Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FROM:
Date:
RE:
Electoral
Environment
An
overwhelming
majority
of
likely
voters
in
Michigan
CD
7
say
things
in
the
country
are
on
the
wrong
track
(70%,
right
direction
24%).
On
the
generic
ballot
for
Congress,
a
Republican
candidate
(43%)
has
an
eight-point
advantage
over
a
Democratic
candidate
(35%).
Independents
choose
a
Republican
(30-18%,
21%
someone
else,
31%
not
sure).
A
majority
of
voters
have
an
unfavorable
opinion
of
Hillary
Clinton
(39%
favorable,
57%
unfavorable),
with
47%
having
a
very
unfavorable
opinion.
Clintons
image
is
a
net
negative
among
women
(46%
favorable,
51%
unfavorable),
men
(30%/65%)
and
Independents
(31%/59%).
Most
voters
also
disapprove
of
the
way
President
Obama
is
handling
his
job
(41%
approve,
56%
disapprove).
Candidate
Images
Incumbent
Republican
Tim
Walberg
has
a
solid
image,
nearing
50%
favorability
(48%
favorable,
34%
unfavorable).
Walbergs
image
improves
significantly
among
Republicans
(72%/13%)
and
remains
positive
among
Independents
(43%/36%).
A
Democratic
member
of
the
Michigan
House
of
Representatives,
Gretchen
Driskell
is
a
relative
unknown
to
likely
voters
in
the
district
(21%/21%,
58%
not
sure).
Congressional
Ballot
Test
Q:
If
the
election
for
Congress
were
held
today,
which
of
the
following
candidates
would
you
vote
for:
Republican
Tim
Walberg
or
Democrat
Gretchen
Driskell?
MI-7
Ballot
Test
%
of
Vote
Tim
Walberg
49%
Gretchen
Driskell
32%
Undecided
20%
Walbergs
17%
lead
over
Driskell
doubles
the
8%
lead
for
a
Republican
on
the
generic
ballot.
Walberg
Job
Approval
A
near-majority
of
voters
in
the
district
approve
of
the
way
Tim
Walberg
is
handling
his
job
as
Congressman
(49%
approve,
32%
disapprove).
Independents
(45%/37%)
and
Moderates
(41%/34%)
give
Walberg
positive
reviews
on
his
job
performance.
METHODOLOGY:
The
sample
size
for
the
survey
is
404
likely
voters
in
Michigan
Congressional
District
7
and
the
margin
of
error
is
+/-4.96%.
Cell
phone
interviews
were
conducted
using
live
operators
and
land
line
interviews
were
conducted
using
Interactive
Voice
Response
(IVR).The
survey
was
conducted
September
12-13,
2015
by
Harper
Polling.
The
demographic
profile
of
the
survey
sample
is
as
follows:
Female
53%,
Male
47%;
Republican
33%,
Democrat
30%,
Independent/Other
Party
37%;
White
83%,
Other
17%.
The
total
percentages
for
responses
may
not
equal
100%
due
to
rounding.
121 State Street
Harrisburg, PA 17101
HarperPolling.com
info@HarperPolling.com