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ABSTRACT
Skipjack tuna habitat in the western North Pacific was
studied from satellite remotely sensed environment
and catch data, using generalized additive models and
geographic information systems. Weekly resolved remotely sensed sea surface temperature, surface chlorophyll, sea surface height anomalies and eddy kinetic
energy data were used for the year 2004. Fifteen generalized additive models were constructed with skipjack catch per unit effort as a response variable, and
sea surface temperature, sea surface height anomalies
and eddy kinetic energy as model covariates to assess
the effect of environment on catch per unit effort
(skipjack tuna abundance). Model selection was based
on significance of model terms, reduction in Akaikes
Information Criterion, and increase in cumulative
deviance explained. The model selected was used to
predict skipjack tuna catch per unit effort using
monthly resolved environmental data for assessing
model performance and to visualize the basin scale
distribution of skipjack tuna habitat. Predicted values
were validated using a linear model. Based on the fourparameter model, skipjack tuna habitat selection was
significantly (P < 0.01) influenced by sea surface
temperatures ranging from 20.5 to 26C, relatively
oligotrophic waters (surface chlorophyll 0.080.18,
0.220.27 and 0.30.37 mg m)3), zero to positive
INTRODUCTION
Skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) is a highly migratory pelagic species inhabiting all tropical and subtropical waters of the worlds oceans (Matsumoto,
1975; Arai et al., 2005). The species is commercially
important, ranked among the first 10 species that have
contributed highly to global catches in previous years
(FAO, 2009). A significant portion of these catches
are from the Pacific Ocean, which has one of the most
productive fisheries in the world, particularly the
western North Pacific. Skipjack tuna catches from
the Pacific Ocean have increased consistently since
the 1980s (Miyake et al., 2004). Despite the high
catches and exploitation rates, the western Pacific
stock is said to be capable of sustaining even larger
catches (Lehodey et al., 1998). Catches are highest
from May to August off Japan (Wild and Hampton,
1993). Katsuwonus pelamis are caught almost entirely
by surface gears such as pole and line (Langley et al.,
2005) and purse seines, although other miscellaneous
gears are also used (Miyake et al., 2004).
Distribution in sub-tropical waters is confined to
the 15C surface temperature isotherm (Wild and
Hampton, 1993). In the western Pacific, skipjack tuna
have been captured as far as 44N off Japan (Wild and
Hampton, 1993; Langley et al., 2005). Migration patterns in the western North Pacific follow a north
south seasonal cycle where the poleward movement
occurs in the fallsummer season (Kawai and Sasaki,
doi:10.1111/j.1365-2419.2010.00552.x
383
Figure 1. Schematic illustration of the northern migration of skipjack tuna in the western North Pacific, off the southeast and
east coasts of Japan. The northern migration routes of different groups of skipjack tuna are shown with green lines (14). The
typical path of the Kuroshio Current is indicated by the continuous red line; the Oyashio Current is shown in blue. Figure
modified from Nihira (1996).
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R. Mugo et al.
ders twice after leaving the coast of Hokkaido, generating the first and second intrusions (Kawai, 1972).
The meanders are separated by a warm core ring
(WCR) originating from the northward movement of
the ring produced by the Kuroshio (Yasuda et al.,
1992). The southern limit of sub-polar waters is often
referred to as the Oyashio Front (Talley et al., 1995).
The Oyashio ecosystem is an important fishing ground
for several sub-arctic species and sub-tropical migrants
(Saitoh et al., 1986). The Kuroshio originates from the
sub-tropical gyre and is distinguished by low density,
nutrient-poor, warm and high salinity surface waters
(Kawai, 1972; Talley et al., 1995). The Kuroshio
Extension is an eastward-flowing inertial jet characterized by large-amplitude meanders and energetic
pinched-off eddies, with high eddy kinetic energies
(Qiu, 2002). Confluence of the two currents results in
a mixed region, the KuroshioOyashio Transition
Zone (Yasuda, 2003). The behavior of the Kuroshio
Extension, warm streamers and WCRs in the Transition Zone is important to the fishing industry (e.g.,
Saitoh et al., 1986; Sugimoto and Tameishi, 1992).
Fishery data
Skipjack tuna daily catch data obtained from the
Ibaraki Prefecture Fisheries Research Station, for the
period March to November (2004) were digitized from
fishing logs of a pole and line fishery (173 vessels) and
compiled into a database. These data comprised daily
geo-referenced fishing positions (latitude and longitude), catch in tonnes and effort, from which catch per
unit effort (CPUE) was determined in tonnes per boat
day. The data were mapped using ARCGIS 9.2 ( ESRI,
Redlands, CA, USA) and further compiled into
weekly and monthly resolved datasets.
Remotely sensed environmental data
385
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R. Mugo et al.
Figure 2. Spatial distribution of skipjack tuna fishing locations overlaid on 9-monthly images for each of the four environmental
variables (a) SST, (b) SSC, (c) SSHA and (d) EKE). Fishing locations are shown as red dots.
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
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R. Mugo et al.
Figure 4. Time-series plots of weekly averaged (a) latitudinal displacement of fishing positions, (b) CPUE, (c) SST, (d) SSC,
(e) SSHA and (f) EKE.
(b)
(a)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
SSHA and EKE shows the two may not account for
much variability in skipjack tuna CPUE. SST and
EKE, or SST and SSC account for relatively higher
variability in CPUE, according to AIC and deviance
explained. Among the three-parameter models, combination of SST, SSC and EKE showed that all predictor variables were highly significant, had the lowest
AIC value and the highest deviance explained
(12.8%). Overall, the four-parameter model had the
lowest AIC value and the highest deviance explained.
389
Figure 5. Histograms of CPUE and environmental variables showing (a) distribution of CPUEs; (b) distribution of log-transformed CPUE, which helped to normalize the asymmetrical distribution observed in (a); and (c) utilization of SST, (d) SSC, (e)
SSHA and (f) EKE by skipjack tuna in the western North Pacific in 2004.
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
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R. Mugo et al.
Model
Variable
EDF
AIC
P-value
SST
SSC
SSHA
EKE
SST+SSC
SST
SSC
SSHA
EKE
SST
SSC
SST
SSHA
SST
EKE
SSC
SSHA
SSC
EKE
SSHA
EKE
SST
SSC
SSHA
SST
SSC
EKE
SST
SSHA
EKE
SSC
SSHA
EKE
SST
SSC
SSHA
EKE
8.3
8.7
8.2
8.1
7.8
8.6
8.2
7.7
8.2
8.2
8.7
8.2
8.7
8.2
6.4
8.2
7.8
8.7
8
7.7
8.6
8.2
8.1
2.8
8.4
8.7
5
8.3
7.6
8.7
2.5
8.3
4593.50
4736.30
5052.40
5003.40
4527.90
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
8.09
< 2.00
1.84
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
1.33
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
< 2.00
1.19
2.24
< 2.00
< 6.27
< 2.00
< 2.00
8.68
< 2.00
< 2.00
1.09
< 2.00
< 2.00
9.93
2.59
< 2.00
SST+SSHA
SST+EKE
SSC+SSHA
SSC+EKE
SSHA+EKE
SST+SSC+SSHA
SST+SSC+EKE
SST+SSHA+EKE
SSC+SSHA+EKE
SST+SSC+SSHA+EKE
4548.80
4479.30
4659.00
4544.40
4829.30
4488.10
4402.40
4431.10
4502.90
4371.10
CDE%
1016
1016
1016
1016
1016
1014
1016
1009
1016
1016
1016
1015
1016
1016
1016
1016
1016
1012
1008
1016
1016
1016
1016
1011
1016
1016
1008
1016
1016
1013
1007
1016
9.9
8
3.6
4.3
11
10.7
11.6
9.26
10.8
6.9
11.7
12.8
12.3
11.5
13.3
extending southwards. The predicted values lie between zero and 2 tonnes per boat day. Correlation of
observed and predicted CPUEs pooled monthly
showed a significant relationship (P < 0.01; r2 = 0.64)
(Fig. 9).
DISCUSSION
We combined GAMs and GIS to study skipjack tuna
habitat from fishery data and satellite remotely sensed
datasets in the western North Pacific. Fishing data,
though not free from sampling bias based on the
fishermens choice of fishing locations, are low-cost
species distribution data sets available to fishery scientists. Fishing data CPUE are often used as an index
of fish occurrence and abundance (Lehodey et al.,
1998) and therefore high CPUEs can be said to indicate preferred oceanographic conditions for a species.
Here we further examine our results and their inherent
relevance as environmental indicators of skipjack tuna
habitat.
During weeks 1729, the fishery operated between
30 and 35N (Fig. 4a), a period when the mean weekly
SSTs (Fig. 4c) are increasing as a result of rising surface water temperatures due to flow of warm waters
transported by the Kuroshio Current. This is also reflected by the mean SSC, which shows that the waters
were correspondingly oligotrophic (Fig. 4d). However,
after July the fishery advanced further north, where the
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Figure 7. GAM-derived effect of the four oceanographic variables on CPUE, from the model constructed with: (a) SST, (b)
SSC, (c) SSHA and (d) EKE. Gray-shaded area indicates the 95% confidence intervals; the solid line shows the fitted GAM
function which describes the effect that a predictor variable has on the response variable (CPUE). The relative density of data
points is shown by the rug plot on the x-axis. Values of a predictor variable showing a positive effect on CPUE were read as all
values for which the fitted GAM function was above the zero axis.
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
393
Figure 8. Predicted skipjack tuna CPUEs overlaid with observed fishing locations from March to November, 2004. Predictions
were done on monthly averaged images due to lack of data in many of the weekly images, especially for SST and SSC.
394
R. Mugo et al.
Use of SSHA and geostrophic velocities data distributed by AVISO is also acknowledged.
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