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每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 3 月 15 日
市场技术解读
料将试叩 1,300 点强大支撑线…
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 事实上,即使隔夜美国股市连续第 3 日反弹,但鉴于大部分亚洲股市的交投情绪都处于谨慎,迫使本地投资者在周末来临前
纷纷选择锁定近日的盈利。
技术解读∶
♦ 由于卖压加剧,富时综指扩大前一日的利淡动力,从而更进一步转入负值区。
♦ 在图表上,在短期动力解读进一步转弱下,它连续形成第 2 根阴烛。
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每日交投策略∶
♦ 上周五的跌势果然不出乎我们所料,主要因为富时综指在经过近来的凌厉涨势后,陷入了短暂性的整盘走势。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶主要海外指数及原产品
3月 3月 3月 3月 3月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 8日 9日 10 日 11 日 12 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%)
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,311.20 -10.23 -0.8
583 253 451 274 247
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 8,577.32 -62.48 -0.7
194 455 292 440 436
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,238.33 6.20 0.1
256 258 270 276 272
无交易 各大海外指数
304 375 330 354 389
道琼斯工商指数 10,624.69 12.85 0.1
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,367.66 -0.80 0.0
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,149.99 -0.25 0.0
(百万股) 1,161 798 934 792 716 伦敦金融时报指数 5,625.65 8.39 0.1
总成交值 恒生指数 21,209.74 -18.46 -0.1
(百万令吉) 2,259 1,453 1,619 1,347 1,336 雅加达综合指数 2,666.51 -10.01 -0.4
东京日经 225 指数 10,751.26 86.31 0.8
外汇 首尔综合指数 1,662.74 6.12 0.4
令吉兑美元 3.3380 3.3410 3.3180 3.3170 3.3055 上海综合指数 3,013.41 -37.87 -1.2
曼谷综合指数 733.34 7.39 1.0
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg) 富时新加坡海峡时报指
数 2,881.36 7.45 0.3
台湾加权指数 7,748.33 -1.33 0.0
印度 Sensex 指数 17,166.62 -1.34 0.0
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 81.24 -0.87 -1.1
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,649.00 -11.00 -0.4
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 1 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
26 日-27 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 3 月 16 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
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2010 年 3 月 15 日
图 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(日线图) 图 4∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(单日线图)
技术解读∶
♦ 尽管现货市场出现强大的卖压,但本地期货指数周五成功在温和的趁低吸购活动下从低点回升。
♦ 技术而言,随着它在图表上创下第 2 根阴烛,这显示卖压动力将会延续。
每日交投策略∶
表 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)收盘
FKLI (月份) 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 3 月 1324.50 1326.50 1312.00 1316.00 -5.00 1316.00 5201 18776
10 年 4 月 1323.50 1325.50 1312.00 1314.00 -4.50 1315.00 688 635
10 年 6 月 1322.00 1326.00 1311.00 1314.00 -4.50 1315.00 200 544
10 年 9 月 1324.50 1324.50 1308.00 1313.50 -4.50 1313.00 75 219
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2010 年 3 月 15 日
图 5∶美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)(日线图) 图 6∶美国纳斯达克指数(Nasdaq)(日线图)
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 美股周五收盘时起落参半,主要因为零售和消费者信心数据好坏参半。
技术解读∶
♦ 从它形成一根潜在的“黄昏星型态”(evening star)看来,该指数出现可能会稍微回调的风险。
♦ 从它在 7 个交易日来首次形成一根阴烛看来,图表建议将出现更多套利活动。
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2010 年 3 月 15 日
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶陈唱摩多(TChong)(日线图) 图 8∶陈唱摩多(单日线图)
本周初将出现跟进升势…
♦ 可是,该强劲涨势却引来庞大的抛风,更一度威胁了长达 15 个月来的升势趋势。
♦ 技术而言,在获得正面的动力解读下,它记录了一根正面的短期多头形态,反映出本周初将出现跟进涨势。
技术解读∶
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