Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Kitex Garments
Ltd
Sep 28, 2015
BUY
Recommendation (Rs.)
Stock Information
Mkt Cap (Rs.mn/US$ mn)
38523 / 643
0.2
1.3
Sensex/Nifty
25843 / 7874
O/S Shares(mn)
47.5
54.2
FIIs
2.4
DIIs
0.2
Others
43.2
Absolute
Relative to Sensex
17
18
3M
6M
12M
(9)
73
70
(15)
59
66
Source: Bloomberg
Relative Performance*
320
At CMP, the stock is trading at 29.8x and 22.1x FY16E & FY17E P/E respectively.
We believe that the stock is currently available at attractive valuations. We initiate a
BUY recommendation with a target price of Rs. 954 per share, which represents
an upside potential of 18%.
240
1074 / 442
Beta (x)
160
80
Sep-14
Key Risks
18
Kitex
Sep-15
Strong Client Network & Distribution: Kitex garments has clients namely
Mother care, Jockey, Toys R us, Gerber and Carter; and recently added two more
large clients- Childrens Place & Kohl to its client base. The garments segment
contributes 100% of its revenues from exports, of which 85% comes from US and
the rest 15% from Europe.
Upside (%)
Jul-15
Own Brand Little Stars to be launched by Fall 2016: KGL plans to launch its
own brand Little Stars, owned by Kitex USA LLC by fall 2016. The management
plans to target this brand as a mass market product in US and Canada. It plans to
launch the brand through the online route.
954
May-15
Tie-up with Lamaze International helps shift focus from B2B to B2C: Kitex USA
LLC (50-50 JV between KCL and KGL) has signed a brand-licensing agreement
with Lamaze International for the sale of infant wear in the US and Canada under
the Lamaze brand. Kitex USA LLC will be the exclusive supplier for Lamaze infant
wear (for children up to five years old) in US and Canada. The contract validity is till
31 December 2020, extendable for five years.
811
Target Price
Mar-15
Jan-15
Kitex garments is the third largest global player in the infant wear with a significant
market share of 70% in India. It has marquee clientele like Mothercare, Toys R
us and Jockey who procure products from Kitex, which contributes significantly
towards margin improvement and robust revenue growth for the company.
Nov-14
Sensex
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
Net Sales
3170
4422
5111
6466
8008
19.0
21.5
33.0
33.0
33.9
6.2
12.1
20.7
131.1
67.1
39.1
EBITDA
601
294
26.7
951
574
38.7
1687
2134
2715
985
1293
1743
45.0
40.1
38.0
27.2
29.8
36.7
22.1
For private circulation only. For important information about Karvys rating system and other disclosures refer
to the end of this material. Karvy Stock Broking is also available on Bloomberg, KRVY<GO>, Thomson
Publishers & Reuters
Analyst Contact
Jagannadham Thunuguntla
040 - 3321 6296
jagannadham.t@karvy.com
Company Background
FY16E
FY17E
Net sales
5111
6466
8008
EBITDA
1687
2134
2715
3424
Depreciation
213
Other Income
134
Interest
192
4333
209
97
147
5293
239
120
69
PBT
1417
1874
2526
PAT
985
1293
1743
33.0
33.0
33.9
P/E (x)
39.1
29.8
22.1
Tax
432
581
783
19.3
EV/EBITDA (x)
22.5
0.2
Balance Sheet
20.0
17.3
0.2
21.8
13.2
0.2
(Rs.mn)
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
Total Assets
4272
4901
5780
Current assets
3412
4041
4897
1879
Other assets
56
Total Liabilities
4272
Debt
1408
Networth
2639
Current Liabilities
1081
Deferred Tax
226
2069
56
4901
3818
858
1272
226
2230
56
5780
5346
208
1409
226
45.0
40.1
38.0
Net Debt/Equity(x)
(0.2)
(0.4)
(0.5)
P/BV (x)
14.6
10.1
7.2
RoCE (%)
43.3
Equity/Total Assets(x)
0.6
44.1
0.8
48.6
0.9
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
EBITDA
1687
2134
2715
Interest
(192)
(147)
(69)
(47)
Other Income
134
Tax
(432)
Changes in WC
CF from Operations
(581)
(783)
1397
1657
(211)
(245)
(400)
(400)
CF from Investing
(245)
(400)
(400)
213
(550)
(650)
152
(550)
(750)
Investment
Change in Equity
Change in Debt
Others
(62)
Change in Cash
996
CF from Financing
0
0
0
447
0
0
(100)
507
Fabric
17.0%
DIIs
0.2%
120
Capex
Others
43.2%
FIIs
2.4%
1090
97
Promoters
54.2%
Garments
83.0%
100%
300
75%
200
50%
100
25%
0%
FY10
FY11
Others as % of Apparel Market
FY12
FY13
FY14
Infant wear as % of Apparel Market
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
Dominant/Significant Market share in India & Third largest Kids-wear Supplier in the World
Kitex garments is the third largest global player in the infant-wear with a significant market share of 70% in India. Its exports
contribute ~95% of its revenue pie. It has big clients like Mothercare, Toys R us, Jockey, Gerber and Carters who procure
products from Kitex, which contributes significantly towards margin improvement and robust revenue growth for the company.
capacity of 0.55mm pcs/day and the largest supplier from the Indian markets. Given the infant-wear markets huge opportunity
size, scalability potential for Kitexs business is huge. The management plans to become Number 1 supplier in the infant-wear
market globally in the next 2-3 years.
Dominant/Significant Market share in India & Third largest Kids-wear Supplier in the World
Kitex garments is the third largest global player in the infant wear with a significant market share of 70% in India. Its exports
contribute ~95% of its revenue pie. It has big clients like Mothercare, Toys R us, Jockey, Gerber, Carters who procure products
from Kitex , which contributes significantly towards margin improvement and robust revenue growth for the company.
Among the global players, Wingloo (China) is the largest supplier of infant wear globally with a capacity of 0.75mnpcs/day
followed by Gimmell (Singapore) with a capacity of 0.65mnpcs/day. Kitex garments is the third largest manufacturer with a
capacity of 0.55mm pcs/day and the largest supplier from Indian markets. Given the infant wear markets huge opportunity size,
scalability potential for Kitexs business is huge.
Exhibit 6: Domestic Market Share (%)
Others
13%
0.6
Jay Jay
Mills
12%
0.75
0.65
0.55
0.4
0.2
Kitex
Garments
75%
Wingloo
Gimmell
Kitex Garments
Tie-up with Lamaze International helps shift focus from B2B to B2C
Kitex USA LLC (50-50 JV between KCL and KGL) has signed a brand-licensing agreement with Lamaze International for the
sale of infant wear in US and Canada under the Lamaze brand. Kitex USA LLC will be the exclusive supplier for Lamaze infant
wear (for children up to five years old) in US and Canada. The contract validity is till 31 December 2020, extendable for five years.
Lamaze is a non-profit-organization established in 1960 and focuses on parenting, educating new moms through its network
of 2000 educators, and also licenses its brand for the toys and apparels categories for babies. It has been in the infant wear
business since 2008 through a licensing arrangement with Gerber. Lamaze products are sold by well-known retailers like Buy
Buy Baby, ToysRUs and other department stores, which we believe reiterates the brand power of Lamaze, providing high
pricing power.
The management is confident of clocking US$8m sales in CY16 through th brand tie-up and of achieving the minimum guarantee
with royalty rates at ~5% of sales. Most of the products manufactured under the Lamaze brand will be made-to order and
inventory risk will not be borne by Kitex.
We believe this long-term agreement not only provides huge visibility of growth in the B2C category for Kitex but will essentially
enable Kitex to improve its margins further and utilize its spare capacities better during lean quarters. Kitex plans to position
Lamaze garments as premium products, which we believe can aid in higher margins than its existing business. We believe that
Kitexs expertise in infant-wear manufacturing complimented by strong brand recall of Lamaze makes it a sound combination for
strong growth with higher margins.
highlighted that apart from the in-licensed brand, it plans to launch its own brand Little Stars in fall 2016, which was earlier
scheduled for launch in the Q2FY16E, would be postponed due to final regulatory and compliance approvals.
The management doesnt expect any inventory risk for the licensed brand and owned brands business, as it will make samples
first, take orders, and then ship.
downplayed this geographical risk, as majority of customers to whom they supply have global presence. Though KGL faces
significant customer concentration with three players (Gerber, Jockey and Toys R US) accounting for majority of revenues till
last year. It has recently added major customers like Kohls and Childrens Place. The management doesnt supply more than
~$30mn-$40mn to a single customer. Kitex not ready to supply more than $50 Mn to a single player. It is much safer to spread
the same volume between 3-4 leading players.
The company has five large clients Gerber, Toys R Us, Jockey, Mothercare and Carterss and has added two large clients, via
Childrens Place and Kohls in April-September period of FY15. KGL intends to improve its revenue mix in favor of high margin
clients like Toys R Us, Jockey and Mothercare, who procure high value-added products which will drive continued margin
improvement.
Kitex Clients: Gerber is the number one wholesaler in the US with ~40,000 stores; Carters is a wholesaler (supplies to
Wal-Mart, Target), a retailer (~600 outlets) and buys ~US$1.1bn of infant-wear globally.
Kitex won the Best Manufacturer Supplier Award for the year 2011 and 2012 from Toys R Us, U.S.A. The company also won
the Best Manufacturer supplier award from Gerber Children wear, USA for the second consecutive year. It is the most preferred
player among the US companies in terms of its quality and management.
Carters
15%
Gerber
25%
Jockey
20%
Toys R us
20%
Source: Company, Karvy Research
50%
5000
25%
4,000
40%
4000
20%
3,000
30%
3000
15%
2,000
20%
2000
10%
1,000
10%
1000
5%
FY10
FY11
FY12
Revenue (Rs. mn)
FY13
FY14
Growth(%)
0%
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
0%
FY14
FY15E
FY16E
FY17E Comments
Revenue
4422
5111
6466
39.5
15.6
26.5
23.8 realizations.
EBITDA
951
1687
2134
21.5
33.0
33.0
PAT (normalized)
574
985
1293
1743 Since Kitex has near zero debt, the companys lower
13.0
19.3
20.0
12.1
20.7
27.2
36.7
95.3
71.7
31.3
34.8
Revenues
(718)
(245)
(400)
(400)
Net CFO
1007
1090
1397
1657
Net Debt
158
(625)
(1622)
(2779)
290
845
997
1257
Consensus
Divergence (%)
Revenues (Rs.mn)
Comments
FY16E
6446
6399
0.7
FY17E
8008
7910
1.2
FY16E
2134
2102
1.5
FY17E
2715
2652
2.4
FY16E
27.2
26.8
1.3
FY17E
36.7
35.8
2.5
EBITDA (Rs.mn)
EPS (Rs.)
incur any interest costs. On account of the same,
Garments
30%
20%
10%
Fabric
Revenue
Source: Company, Karvy Research
FY17E
FY17E
FY17E
FY17E
FY16E
FY16E
0%
FY15
FY15E
2000
FY14
FY14
25%
FY13
FY13
4000
FY12
FY12
50%
40%
FY16E
FY16E
6000
FY15
FY15E
75%
50%
FY14
FY14
8000
FY13
FY13
100%
FY12
FY12
0%
Growth (%)
Exports
Domestic
40%
30%
2000
1000
0
20%
consumables.
10%
0%
30%
1275
20%
850
10%
425
0
0%
PAT grew at 42% CAGR during FY09-14, while the PAT margin grew by
13% in FY14 on back of healthy volume dispatches.
of higher turnover & EBITDA margins. We believe the PAT to grow by 33%
CAGR during FY15E-17E on back of robust revenue growth and higher
EBITDA margins.
RoE & RoCE have improved to 38.7% & 36.2% in FY14 due to increased
EBIT margins and high asset turnover.
40%
30%
We expect RoE & RoCE to improve on a similar note to 38.0% & 48.6%
20%
equity base.
FY13
FY13
FY14
FY14
RoE (%)
FY15E
FY16E
FY15
FY16E FY17E
FY17E
RoCE (%)
1.5
3750
1.0
2500
1250
0
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Kitex currently has a strong labor force of 4000 employees each for KCL
0.5
& KGL. The sales per employee grew significantly from 0.78mn in FY10
0.0
technology up-gradation in-order to limit its labor force in the long term.
Number of Employees
Sales per Employee (Rs. mn)
Source: Company, Karvy Research
Kitex has strong market share and pricing power. The Debt-Equity ratio
0.6
0.4
on back of excess cash flows that could be used for capacity expansion in
0.2
0.0
FY13
FY13
FY14
FY14
FY15E FY16E
FY17E
FY15
FY16E FY17E
Debt-Equity Ratiio
Kitex has good working capital ratios. The cash conversion cycle has
99
improved from 116 days in FY10 to 42 days in FY14 and expected to come
47
-5
down further. The inventory, sales and payable days reduced to 35 days,
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Kitex has been consistently paying higher dividends. In FY14, there was
600
Going forward, we expect the payout ratio to further improve to 18% due to
FY12
FY12
FY13
FY14 FY15E
FY15 FY16E
FY16E FY17E
FY13 FY14
FY17E
Dividends paid
CFO-w/o dividend
40
30
Kitex
20
Lovable
10
0
KPR Mills
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
FY17E RoE (%)
Source: Company, Karvy Research; * Bubble size reflects the size of Market Capitalization of respective companies
Kitex
Mcap
EV/EBITDA (x)
Rs. Mn
FY16E
811
Page
Lovable
FY17E
Sales
EPS
EBITDA
FY16E
FY17E
13.2
29.8
22.1
25.2
26.8
33.0
40.1
38.0
(16.0)
4402
18.7
15.1
21.2
17.3
13.3
10.8
15.7
14.0
14.7
2.0
776
29581
FY16E
RoE (%)
17.3
147789
KPR Mills
FY17E
CAGR (FY15E-17E)
38523
13250
263
P/E (x)
35.8
6.5
25.9
5.3
54.5
38.8
13.2
36.0
10.4
12.8
33.4
34.4
15.2
31.1
55.1
53.7
23.2
24.3
(13.0)
28.0
6m
12m
59.0
66.0
(12.0)
(29.0)
(7.0)
69.0
69.0
177.0
P/E
Mean
~-1SD
~2SD
Sep-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Jun-15
May-15
Apr-15
Mar-15
Jan-15
Feb-15
Dec-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Sep-14
Aug-14
Jul-14
Jun-14
May-14
Apr-14
Mar-14
Jan-14
~1SD
Feb-14
Dec-13
Nov-13
Oct-13
Sep-13
Aug-13
Jul-13
Jun-13
Apr-13
May-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
-20
Sep-12
~-2SD
10
11
Peer Comparison
Kitex operates in the infant-wear category. It is the largest supplier of kids garments from India and third largest exporter globally.
Peers include Page Industries, KPR Mills, and Lovable Lingerie. With strong product pipeline, capacity expansion in the garments
segment and management confidence, we remain positive on Kitex in the long term.
Exhibit 27: Revenue Growth (%)
50%
40%
39.5%
35.7%
20%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10%
3.5%
FY10
FY11
KPR Miils
Page
9.3%
1.6%
FY12
FY13
Lovable
Kitex
FY14
19.0%
17.7%
15%
21.8%
5%
FY10
FY11
KPR Miils
Page
FY12
40%
30%
20%
36.2%
30.4%
25.7%
23.1%
FY11
KPR Miils
Page
FY12
FY13
Lovable
Kitex
FY14
4.3
3.9
FY10
FY11
KPR Miils
Page
5.7
6.2
FY12
FY13
80%
40%
60%
30%
39.6%
32.0%
38.7%
31.7%
26.7%
FY10
FY11
KPR Miils
Page
FY12
FY13
Lovable
Kitex
FY14
12.1
Lovable
Kitex
FY14
21.0%
20%
10%
20%
0%
FY14
70
40%
Lovable
Kitex
140
35
FY10
FY13
105
24.3%
10%
0%
21.5%
18.7%
0%
10.0%
FY10
11.5%
FY11
KPR Miils
Page
14.3%
FY12
13.6%
FY13
Lovable
Kitex
FY14
Key Risks
Volatile Raw material Prices: Cotton is the largest consumable for Kitex. As cotton prices due to erratic weather patterns
and government policies remain a tricky and generic issue for the textiles sector, any adverse price movements could pose
margin pressure for the company. If there is an increase in the raw material prices going forward, it could impact the margins
of the company.
Forex Risk: Kitex exports contribute around 95% to the top line. We believe sharp appreciation in INR could affect its overall
revenue.
Competition Risk: Kitex is exposed to competition risks from Asian countries such as Sri-Lanka, Taiwan, China and other
African countries. The increase in competition risks can create pressure on margins, market share etc.
12
Financials
Exhibit 33: Income Statement
YE Mar (Rs. Million)
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
Revenues
3170
4422
5111
6466
8008
Operating Expenses
2569
3471
3424
4333
5293
3.2
58.3
77.4
26.5
27.2
40
133
115
106
Growth (%)
EBITDA
Growth (%)
1.6
601
86
EBIT
515
PBT
440
Interest Expenses
Tax
Adjusted PAT
Growth (%)
147
294
8.3
39.5
951
97
15.6
1687
213
134
26.5
23.8
2134
2715
209
239
97
120
855
1474
1925
2475
882
1417
1874
2526
985
1293
1743
308
574
95.3
192
432
71.7
147
69
581
783
31.3
34.8
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
412
1036
2033
2480
2987
Inventory
459
108
112
171
196
Sundry Debtors
Other Assets
Total Assets
506
217
531
342
627
462
795
595
993
721
1609
2343
2592
2992
3392
23
1172
55
1812
157
1882
179
2069
2230
2303
3152
4272
4901
5780
918
1194
1408
858
208
Total Liabilities
1726
2296
2714
2355
1842
1176
1694
2591
3770
5299
Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
Total Networth
647
161
48
1224
2303
885
216
48
1742
3152
1081
226
48
2639
4272
1272
226
48
3818
4901
1409
226
48
5346
5780
13
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
515
855
1474
1925
40
133
134
97
(204)
86
213
209
(106)
(192)
(147)
(2)
55
10
(147)
(44)
(42)
97
(47)
(115)
Dividends paid
338
130
(308)
(56)
1007
(718)
(432)
FY17E
2475
(211)
120
239
(69)
(581)
(783)
(72)
(114)
(114)
(245)
(400)
(400)
1090
1397
1657
(42)
(718)
(245)
(400)
(400)
34
276
213
(550)
(650)
(41)
335
152
(550)
(750)
YE Mar (%)
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
19.0
21.5
33.0
33.0
33.9
9.3
13.0
19.3
20.0
21.8
Issuance of equity
(In)/dec in borrowings
Others
(75)
47
58
(62)
624
996
0
0
447
(100)
507
16.2
12.9
RoE (%)
26.7
Net Debt/Equity
RoCE (%)
0.4
25.7
19.3
8.3
28.8
6.0
29.8
7.3
30.9
5.4
0.1
(0.2)
(0.4)
(0.5)
36.2
43.3
44.1
48.6
38.7
45.0
40.1
38.0
DPS (Rs.)
BV (Rs.)
PE (x)
P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
EV/Sales (x)
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
6.2
12.1
20.7
27.2
36.7
25.8
36.7
55.6
80.4
112.6
31.5
22.1
14.6
10.1
7.2
0.8
131.1
64.9
12.3
1.0
67.1
40.7
8.7
1.3
39.1
22.5
7.4
2.0
29.8
17.3
5.7
2.0
22.1
13.2
4.5
14
Sell
Hold
Absolute Returns
> 15%
5-15%
<5%
research@karvy.com
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yy Associates of KSBL might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject
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yy It is confirmed that KSBL and Research Analysts, primarily responsible for this report and whose name(s) is/ are mentioned therein of this report have not
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yy It is confirmed that Jagannadham Thunuguntla, Research Analyst did not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the
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