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Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments
Ltd
Sep 28, 2015

Consumer Discretionary - Apparel & Textile Products

Kitex Garments Ltd


Bloomberg Code: KTG IN

BUY

India Research - Stock Broking

Recommendation (Rs.)

Stock Information
Mkt Cap (Rs.mn/US$ mn)

38523 / 643

3M Avg. daily volume (mn)

0.2

52-wk High/Low (Rs.)

1.3

Sensex/Nifty

25843 / 7874

O/S Shares(mn)

47.5

Face Value (Rs.)

Shareholding Pattern (%)


Promoters

54.2

FIIs

2.4

DIIs

0.2

Others

43.2

Stock Performance (%)


1M

Absolute

Relative to Sensex

17
18

3M

6M

12M

(9)

73

70

(15)

59

66

Source: Bloomberg

Relative Performance*
320

At CMP, the stock is trading at 29.8x and 22.1x FY16E & FY17E P/E respectively.
We believe that the stock is currently available at attractive valuations. We initiate a
BUY recommendation with a target price of Rs. 954 per share, which represents
an upside potential of 18%.

240

1. Volatility in the raw material prices.


2. Forex risk.
3. Competition risk

1074 / 442

Beta (x)

Valuation and Outlook

160
80
Sep-14

Key Risks

18

Kitex

Sep-15

Strong Client Network & Distribution: Kitex garments has clients namely
Mother care, Jockey, Toys R us, Gerber and Carter; and recently added two more
large clients- Childrens Place & Kohl to its client base. The garments segment
contributes 100% of its revenues from exports, of which 85% comes from US and
the rest 15% from Europe.

Upside (%)

Jul-15

Own Brand Little Stars to be launched by Fall 2016: KGL plans to launch its
own brand Little Stars, owned by Kitex USA LLC by fall 2016. The management
plans to target this brand as a mass market product in US and Canada. It plans to
launch the brand through the online route.

954

May-15

Tie-up with Lamaze International helps shift focus from B2B to B2C: Kitex USA
LLC (50-50 JV between KCL and KGL) has signed a brand-licensing agreement
with Lamaze International for the sale of infant wear in the US and Canada under
the Lamaze brand. Kitex USA LLC will be the exclusive supplier for Lamaze infant
wear (for children up to five years old) in US and Canada. The contract validity is till
31 December 2020, extendable for five years.

811

Target Price

Mar-15

Capacity Expansion to be a Major Revenue Driver: Kitex has current fabric


capacity of 48 MT & 0.55 mn pcs/day garmenting capacity; & is targeting a
capacity of 1.1 mn pieces/day in two years. The management expects capex of
Rs.350-450 mn for the group & Rs.150-200 mn for Kitex garments exclusively over
the next 2 years.

CMP (as on Sep 24, 2015)

Jan-15

Kitex garments is the third largest global player in the infant wear with a significant
market share of 70% in India. It has marquee clientele like Mothercare, Toys R
us and Jockey who procure products from Kitex, which contributes significantly
towards margin improvement and robust revenue growth for the company.

Nov-14

Strong Growth Ahead; Unique Business Model

Sensex

Source: Bloomberg; *Index 100

Exhibit 1: Valuation Summary (Rs. Mn)


YE Mar

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

Net Sales

3170

4422

5111

6466

8008

EBITDA Margin (%)

19.0

21.5

33.0

33.0

33.9

6.2

12.1

20.7

131.1

67.1

39.1

EBITDA

Adj. Net Profit


EPS (Rs.)
RoE (%)
PE (x)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

601
294

26.7

951
574

38.7

1687

2134

2715

985

1293

1743

45.0

40.1

38.0

27.2
29.8

36.7
22.1

For private circulation only. For important information about Karvys rating system and other disclosures refer
to the end of this material. Karvy Stock Broking is also available on Bloomberg, KRVY<GO>, Thomson
Publishers & Reuters

Analyst Contact
Jagannadham Thunuguntla
040 - 3321 6296

jagannadham.t@karvy.com

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Company Background

Company Financial Snapshot (Y/E Mar)


Profit & Loss (Rs.mn)
FY15

FY16E

FY17E

Net sales

5111

6466

8008

EBITDA

1687

2134

2715

Optg. Exp (Adj for OI)

3424

Depreciation

213

Other Income

134

Interest

192

4333
209

97

147

5293
239
120

69

PBT

1417

1874

2526

PAT

985

1293

1743

EBITDA margin (%)

33.0

33.0

33.9

P/E (x)

39.1

29.8

22.1

Tax

432

581

783

Profit & Loss Ratios


Net Profit margin (%)

19.3

EV/EBITDA (x)

22.5

Dividend yield (%)

0.2

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Balance Sheet

20.0
17.3

0.2

21.8
13.2

0.2

Kitex Garments Limited is based in Kochi, India. Kitex


Garments Ltd. was incorporated in 1991. It made its public
issue in the year 1995. It is promoted by Boby M Jacob, Kitex
Exports Ltd, Sabu M Jacob and Somy Varghese.
Kitex Garments Limited is in the business of manufacturing
and exporting garments. The company exports its products
to US and European markets. With unmatched global
connections, this company caters to prominent and renowned
conglomerates in USA and Europe.
The company currently employs over 8000 people at its facility,
and has been a business provider to many satellite businesses
in the state. It is the worlds third largest infant wear supplier
and the largest exporter from India. The products of KGL are
Body suits, Sleep wear, Rompers, Burps, Bibs and Training
pants.

Cash Flow (Rs.mn)

(Rs.mn)

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

Total Assets

4272

4901

5780

Current assets

3412

4041

4897

Net Fixed assets

1879

Other assets

56

Total Liabilities

4272

Debt

1408

Networth

2639

Current Liabilities

1081

Deferred Tax

226

2069
56

4901

3818

858

1272

226

2230
56

5780

5346

208

1409

226

Balance Sheet Ratios


RoE (%)

45.0

40.1

38.0

Net Debt/Equity(x)

(0.2)

(0.4)

(0.5)

P/BV (x)

14.6

10.1

7.2

RoCE (%)

43.3

Equity/Total Assets(x)

0.6

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Exhibit 2: Shareholding Pattern

44.1

0.8

48.6

0.9

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

EBITDA

1687

2134

2715

Interest

(192)

(147)

(69)

(47)

Other Income

134

Tax

(432)

Changes in WC

CF from Operations

(581)

(783)

1397

1657

(211)

(245)

(400)

(400)

CF from Investing

(245)

(400)

(400)

213

(550)

(650)

152

(550)

(750)

Investment

Change in Equity

Change in Debt
Others

(62)

Change in Cash

996

CF from Financing

0
0
0

447

0
0

(100)

507

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Exhibit 3: Segmentation - FY15

Fabric
17.0%

DIIs
0.2%

Source: Company, Karvy Research

120

Capex

Others
43.2%

FIIs
2.4%

1090

97

Promoters
54.2%

Garments
83.0%

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Capacity Expansion To Boost Sales and Augur Growth


Kitex has current fabric capacity of 48 MT & 0.5 mn pcs/day garmenting capacity & is targeting a capacity of 1.1 mn pieces/day
in two years. The management expects capex of Rs.350-450 mn for the group & Rs.150-200 mn for Kitex garments exclusively
over the next 2 years. According to the management, the current utilization levels are close to ~65% with 8000 employees
(KGL+KCL). The company intends to increase its utilizations to ~75% by FY16E. The 90mn annual capacity (KGL) & 65mn
Annual capacity (KGL) translate to the 5.5 L/pieces per day.
A total capex of Rs.7.2mn was completed during FY14. This was mainly for the fabric processing segment. Going forward, capex
will be spent on automatic cutting machines, advanced sewing machines and other technology up-gradations. The company
recently completed Rs.600mn-Rs.700mn of investments in the robotics assisted fabric processing plant last FY towards
enhancing capacities and improving efficiencies.
The management plans to bring in automation in new areas, which would bring in 75% labor saving in the long term. For infant
wear, KGL manufactures 10 blocks at present. Each block has eight lines and every line has 25 machines and 40 employees.
Each line produces 5500 pieces a day. It plans to increase another 8 blocks (64 lines) over the next two years and can add three
more blocks.
The company plans to introduce the brand in US and invests significant amount in developing distribution network and branding
exercise. Post capacity expansion, the company expects to cross Rs. 10,000mn export turnover in FY16E against Rs. 7500mn
in the previous fiscal.

Huge opportunity in the Infant-wear market


Indias apparel market (Rs.2300bn) is expected to grow at a positive 9%, with the rising income levels of Indian working class.
Although menswear constitutes the largest apparel market share, kids-wear market is growing at the fastest pace. Overall, the
kids-wear market makes up approximately 20% of the total apparel market, and it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11% over
the next ten years. The segment is currently estimated at worth Rs 460bn and projected to reach Rs 1200bn by 2023.
Within the kids-wear segment, boys-wear contributes 52% of the overall revenue share of about Rs. 239bn & is expected to grow
at 10% CAGR to reach Rs 610bn by 2023. The girls-wear market stands at Rs 218bn & projected to grow at an optimistic 11%
CAGR to reach Rs 616bn by 2023.
According to a Technopak report, the overall childrens market in India can be broadly divided into five segments: super premium
(above Rs 2,500), premium (Rs 1,000-2,500), mid (Rs 500-1,000), economy (Rs 250-500) and lower (up to Rs 250). Currently,
the mid-segment contributes 30% and is expected to contribute ~60% by 2020.
Key players in the Infant-wear category include The Childrens Place (age group: 0-12); Gap stores-Gap Kids & Baby Gap;
Gymboree (age group: 0-7); Gerber, Carters etc.
Exhibit 4: Infant-wear share to the overall Apparel Market

Exhibit 5: Infant-wear Market Share

100%

300

75%

200

50%
100

25%
0%

FY10
FY11
Others as % of Apparel Market

Source: Company, Karvy Research

FY12
FY13
FY14
Infant wear as % of Apparel Market

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY17

FY18

Infant-wear Market Share


Source: Company, Karvy Research

Dominant/Significant Market share in India & Third largest Kids-wear Supplier in the World
Kitex garments is the third largest global player in the infant-wear with a significant market share of 70% in India. Its exports
contribute ~95% of its revenue pie. It has big clients like Mothercare, Toys R us, Jockey, Gerber and Carters who procure
products from Kitex, which contributes significantly towards margin improvement and robust revenue growth for the company.

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd


Among the global players, Wingloo (China) is the largest supplier of infant-wear globally with a capacity of 0.75 mn pcs/day
followed by Gimmell (Singapore) with a capacity of 0.65 mn pcs/day. Kitex garments is the third largest manufacturer with a

capacity of 0.55mm pcs/day and the largest supplier from the Indian markets. Given the infant-wear markets huge opportunity
size, scalability potential for Kitexs business is huge. The management plans to become Number 1 supplier in the infant-wear
market globally in the next 2-3 years.

Dominant/Significant Market share in India & Third largest Kids-wear Supplier in the World
Kitex garments is the third largest global player in the infant wear with a significant market share of 70% in India. Its exports
contribute ~95% of its revenue pie. It has big clients like Mothercare, Toys R us, Jockey, Gerber, Carters who procure products
from Kitex , which contributes significantly towards margin improvement and robust revenue growth for the company.

Among the global players, Wingloo (China) is the largest supplier of infant wear globally with a capacity of 0.75mnpcs/day

followed by Gimmell (Singapore) with a capacity of 0.65mnpcs/day. Kitex garments is the third largest manufacturer with a
capacity of 0.55mm pcs/day and the largest supplier from Indian markets. Given the infant wear markets huge opportunity size,
scalability potential for Kitexs business is huge.
Exhibit 6: Domestic Market Share (%)

Exhibit 7: Capacities of Global Infant-wear Suppliers


0.8

Others
13%

0.6

Jay Jay
Mills
12%

0.75
0.65
0.55

0.4
0.2
Kitex
Garments
75%

Wingloo

Gimmell

Kitex Garments

Global Infant-wear Suppliers (mn pcs/day)


Source: Company, Karvy Research

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Tie-up with Lamaze International helps shift focus from B2B to B2C
Kitex USA LLC (50-50 JV between KCL and KGL) has signed a brand-licensing agreement with Lamaze International for the

sale of infant wear in US and Canada under the Lamaze brand. Kitex USA LLC will be the exclusive supplier for Lamaze infant

wear (for children up to five years old) in US and Canada. The contract validity is till 31 December 2020, extendable for five years.
Lamaze is a non-profit-organization established in 1960 and focuses on parenting, educating new moms through its network
of 2000 educators, and also licenses its brand for the toys and apparels categories for babies. It has been in the infant wear

business since 2008 through a licensing arrangement with Gerber. Lamaze products are sold by well-known retailers like Buy

Buy Baby, ToysRUs and other department stores, which we believe reiterates the brand power of Lamaze, providing high
pricing power.

The management is confident of clocking US$8m sales in CY16 through th brand tie-up and of achieving the minimum guarantee
with royalty rates at ~5% of sales. Most of the products manufactured under the Lamaze brand will be made-to order and
inventory risk will not be borne by Kitex.

We believe this long-term agreement not only provides huge visibility of growth in the B2C category for Kitex but will essentially
enable Kitex to improve its margins further and utilize its spare capacities better during lean quarters. Kitex plans to position
Lamaze garments as premium products, which we believe can aid in higher margins than its existing business. We believe that

Kitexs expertise in infant-wear manufacturing complimented by strong brand recall of Lamaze makes it a sound combination for
strong growth with higher margins.

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Own brand Little Stars to be launched in Fall 2016


KGL plans to launch its own brand Little Stars, owned by Kitex USA LLC by fall 2016. The management plans to target this
brand as a mass market product in the US and Canada. It plans to launch the brand through the online route. It has also

highlighted that apart from the in-licensed brand, it plans to launch its own brand Little Stars in fall 2016, which was earlier
scheduled for launch in the Q2FY16E, would be postponed due to final regulatory and compliance approvals.

The management doesnt expect any inventory risk for the licensed brand and owned brands business, as it will make samples
first, take orders, and then ship.

Strong Clientele and Distribution Network


Kitex derives its 100% garment revenue from exports; of which 90% are to US and 10% to Europe. However, management

downplayed this geographical risk, as majority of customers to whom they supply have global presence. Though KGL faces
significant customer concentration with three players (Gerber, Jockey and Toys R US) accounting for majority of revenues till
last year. It has recently added major customers like Kohls and Childrens Place. The management doesnt supply more than
~$30mn-$40mn to a single customer. Kitex not ready to supply more than $50 Mn to a single player. It is much safer to spread
the same volume between 3-4 leading players.

The company has five large clients Gerber, Toys R Us, Jockey, Mothercare and Carterss and has added two large clients, via
Childrens Place and Kohls in April-September period of FY15. KGL intends to improve its revenue mix in favor of high margin
clients like Toys R Us, Jockey and Mothercare, who procure high value-added products which will drive continued margin
improvement.
Kitex Clients: Gerber is the number one wholesaler in the US with ~40,000 stores; Carters is a wholesaler (supplies to
Wal-Mart, Target), a retailer (~600 outlets) and buys ~US$1.1bn of infant-wear globally.
Kitex won the Best Manufacturer Supplier Award for the year 2011 and 2012 from Toys R Us, U.S.A. The company also won

the Best Manufacturer supplier award from Gerber Children wear, USA for the second consecutive year. It is the most preferred
player among the US companies in terms of its quality and management.

Exhibit 9: Kitex Clientele

Exhibit 8: Client Share (%)


Mothercare
20%

Carters
15%

Gerber
25%

Jockey
20%
Toys R us
20%
Source: Company, Karvy Research

Source: Company, Karvy Research

State-of-the-Art & Cost-efficient Manufacturing Facilities


The company has spend Rs.700 mn last financial year as a capex where they have spend on buying new machines,
up-gradation of current facilities etc. In the next two years, the company plans to spend Rs.300mn - Rs.400mn in capex which
will help the company to expand its capacity from 0.55mn units per day to 1.1mn units per day. It is a vertical set-up with Knitting
& Processing of fabrics, until finished garments are done in-house.
A 240 meters long and 70 meters wide process house that covers an area of 180,768 sq. ft, one of the largest in the world under
one roof, makes fabrics for its garmenting units. Equipped with digital dispenser system for error-free, automatic and computercontrolled preparation of color recipes, high quality knitting machines, most modern dyeing, printing and finishing machines that
use cutting-edge technology, the plant produces 50,000 Kilograms of knitted fabrics that are of exceptional quality, and is well
appreciated and recognized by reputed children-wear apparel brands in the United States and Europe.
5

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd


Its garmenting unit uses latest machinery for pattern Computer-Aided-Design (CAD), plotting and grading. It has Automatic
spreader machines which enhance the speed of spreading and Automated cutting machines that enable faster & precision cutting.
The factory is equipped with latest sewing machinery ensures stain-free, quality sewing and state-of-the-art spectrophotometer
ensures electronic color reading & transmission.

Strong Growth during FY09-14; Performance to accelerate during FY15-17E


Kitex Garments (KGL) posted a healthy and strong growth in revenues with a CAGR of 19.4% during the period of FY09-14.The
company reported high EBITDA and PAT growth of 41.5% & 42.0% respectively on back of strong export demand and growing
contribution from new clients. We expect a robust growth of 25% CAGR revenue growth during FY15-17E as the company plans
to expand its capacity to 1.1mn pcs/day by the same period.
Exhibit 11: EBITDA and PAT Margins (%)

Exhibit 10: Historical Revenue Performance


5,000

50%

5000

25%

4,000

40%

4000

20%

3,000

30%

3000

15%

2,000

20%

2000

10%

1,000

10%

1000

5%

FY10

FY11
FY12
Revenue (Rs. mn)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

FY13

FY14
Growth(%)

0%

FY10

FY11

Revenue (Rs. mn)


PAT margin (%)

FY12

FY13

FY14

0%

EBITDA margin (%)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Exhibit 12: Business Assumptions


Y/E Mar (Rs. Mn)

FY14

FY15E

FY16E

FY17E Comments

Revenue

4422

5111

6466

8008 Higher sales on account of improving volume and value

Revenue Growth (%)

39.5

15.6

26.5

23.8 realizations.

EBITDA

951

1687

2134

2715 EBITDA to grow further due to lower input and

EBITDA Margin (%)

21.5

33.0

33.0

33.9 manufacturing costs due to technology up-gradation.

PAT (normalized)

574

985

1293

1743 Since Kitex has near zero debt, the companys lower

Normalized PAT Margins

13.0

19.3

20.0

21.8 interest expenses yielding to higher PAT.

Fully Diluted EPS

12.1

20.7

27.2

36.7

Fully Diluted EPS Growth (%)

95.3

71.7

31.3

34.8

Revenues

The company plans for a capex of Rs.300mn-Rs.400mn


Capex (ex. Acquisitions)

(718)

(245)

(400)

(400)

for the overall group (KCL+KGL) and expects to do


capex of Rs.150mn-Rs.200mn for garment expansion
for KGL.

Net CFO

1007

1090

1397

1657

Net Debt

158

(625)

(1622)

(2779)

Free Cash Flow

290

845

997

1257

The company has excess cash and plans to become


debt free in the near term.

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Exhibit 13: Karvy vs Consensus


Karvy

Consensus

Divergence (%)

Revenues (Rs.mn)

Comments

FY16E

6446

6399

0.7

Higher revenue due to new client additions,

FY17E

8008

7910

1.2

to capex expansion in the garments segment.

FY16E

2134

2102

1.5

FY17E

2715

2652

2.4

input costs and increasing revenue growth.

FY16E

27.2

26.8

1.3

Due to near-zero debt, the company wouldnt

FY17E

36.7

35.8

2.5

the PAT is expected to be significantly higher.

EBITDA (Rs.mn)

higher volume, value realizations and also due

Higher EBITDA margins on account of lower

EPS (Rs.)
incur any interest costs. On account of the same,

Source: Bloomberg, Karvy Research

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Revenues to grow at 25% CAGR during FY15-17E


KGLs revenues have been growing consistently from the past five years. During FY09-14, Kitex posted revenue CAGR of 19% on
back of higher volume and value realizations in the garments segment. We expect it to further grow by 25% during FY15E-17E on
account of better product mix and operational efficiency. The management plans to increase its current garment capacity to 1.1
mn pcs/day, which makes it the largest in the world. We believe this to contribute significantly to the top-line growth, going forward.
As of FY15, the garments contribute 83% to the overall revenue pie. Going forward, we believe the revenue share to increase to
~95% due to strong export demand and addition of new clients.
Exhibit 15: Revenue (Rs. Mn) & Growth (%)

Garments

30%
20%
10%

Fabric

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Revenue
Source: Company, Karvy Research

FY17E
FY17E

FY17E
FY17E

FY16E
FY16E

0%

FY15
FY15E

2000
FY14
FY14

25%
FY13
FY13

4000

FY12
FY12

50%

40%

FY16E
FY16E

6000

FY15
FY15E

75%

50%

FY14
FY14

8000

FY13
FY13

100%

FY12
FY12

Exhibit 14: Segment Revenues

0%

Exhibit 16: Break-up of Revenues (Rs. Mn)


4200
3100
2000
900
-200

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13


FY14 FY15
FY10 FY11 FY12
FY13 FY14
FY15

Growth (%)

Exports

Domestic

Source: Company, Karvy Research

EBITDA margins to Increase on Lower Input Costs


Exhibit 17: EBITDA (Rs. Mn) & EBITDA Margins (%)
3000

40%
30%

2000
1000
0

KGLs EBITDA margins increased from 9.3% in FY10 to 21.5% in FY14


despite soaring cotton prices in FY12, which form a major part of its

20%

consumables.

10%

Going forward on lower cotton prices and higher realizations, we expect

0%

FY12 FY13 FY14


FY15 FY16E
FY17E
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E
FY16E FY17E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin (%)

EBITDA to grow at a 26.8% CAGR during FY15E-17E & EBITDA margins


to grow by 34% during the same period.

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Net Income to continue uptrend with Margin improvement


Exhibit 18: PAT (Rs. Mn) & PAT Margin (%)
1700

30%

1275

20%

850
10%

425
0

0%

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E


FY15E FY16E FY17E
FY12 FY13 FY14
FY17E
PAT
PAT Margin (%)

PAT grew at 42% CAGR during FY09-14, while the PAT margin grew by
13% in FY14 on back of healthy volume dispatches.

The margins are expected to improve further purely based on efficiencies

of higher turnover & EBITDA margins. We believe the PAT to grow by 33%
CAGR during FY15E-17E on back of robust revenue growth and higher
EBITDA margins.

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

RoE & RoCE to improve significantly


Exhibit 19: RoE (%) & RoCE (%)
50%

RoE & RoCE have improved to 38.7% & 36.2% in FY14 due to increased
EBIT margins and high asset turnover.

40%
30%

We expect RoE & RoCE to improve on a similar note to 38.0% & 48.6%

20%

equity base.

by FY17E on account of higher profitability, asset utilizations and growing


FY12
FY12

FY13
FY13

FY14
FY14

RoE (%)

FY15E
FY16E
FY15
FY16E FY17E
FY17E
RoCE (%)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Revenue per Employee is Increasing Consistently


Exhibit 20: Revenue per Employee
5000

1.5

3750

1.0

2500
1250
0

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

Kitex currently has a strong labor force of 4000 employees each for KCL

0.5

& KGL. The sales per employee grew significantly from 0.78mn in FY10

0.0

technology up-gradation in-order to limit its labor force in the long term.

to 1.09mn in FY14. The management plans to increase its investments in

Number of Employees
Sales per Employee (Rs. mn)
Source: Company, Karvy Research

Kitex to be a Debt-free Company by FY17E


Exhibit 21: Debt-Equity Ratio
1.0
0.8

Kitex has strong market share and pricing power. The Debt-Equity ratio

0.6

stands at 0.5x as of FY15 and is expected to become debt-free by FY17E

0.4

on back of excess cash flows that could be used for capacity expansion in

0.2
0.0

the long term.


FY12
FY12

FY13
FY13

FY14
FY14

FY15E FY16E
FY17E
FY15
FY16E FY17E
Debt-Equity Ratiio

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Improving Working Capital Ratios


Exhibit 22: Working Capital Ratios
151

Kitex has good working capital ratios. The cash conversion cycle has

99

improved from 116 days in FY10 to 42 days in FY14 and expected to come

47
-5

down further. The inventory, sales and payable days reduced to 35 days,
FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

Cash Conversion Cycle


Sales Days
Inventory Days
Payable Days

FY14

43 days and 37 days in FY14 respectively due to strong management


capability and improving cost efficiency.

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Dividend payout to Increase Further; Higher FCF


Exhibit 23: Dividend & CFO (Rs. Mn)
1,800
1,200

Kitex has been consistently paying higher dividends. In FY14, there was

600

Going forward, we expect the payout ratio to further improve to 18% due to

a decline in the same due to cash utilizations for capacity expansion.


generation of free cash flows in the next 2-3 years.

FY12
FY12

FY13
FY14 FY15E
FY15 FY16E
FY16E FY17E
FY13 FY14
FY17E
Dividends paid
CFO-w/o dividend

Source: Company, Karvy Research

Valuation & Outlook


At CMP of Rs. 811 per share, the stock is valued at 29.8x and 22.1x FY16E and FY17E P/E. We reiterate a BUY with a target
price of Rs.954 per share based on 26x FY17E P/E, representing an upside potential of 18%.
Exhibit 24: P/E vs. RoE
50
Page

FY17E P/E (x)

40
30
Kitex

20
Lovable

10
0

KPR Mills

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
FY17E RoE (%)

Source: Company, Karvy Research; * Bubble size reflects the size of Market Capitalization of respective companies

Exhibit 25: Comparative valuation summary


CMP

Kitex

Mcap

EV/EBITDA (x)

Rs. Mn

FY16E

811

Page

Lovable

FY17E

Sales

EPS

EBITDA

FY16E

FY17E

Price Perf (%)


3m

13.2

29.8

22.1

25.2

26.8

33.0

40.1

38.0

(16.0)

4402

18.7

15.1

21.2

17.3

13.3

10.8

15.7

14.0

14.7

2.0

776

29581

Source: Bloomberg, Karvy Research

FY16E

RoE (%)

17.3

147789

KPR Mills

FY17E

CAGR (FY15E-17E)

38523

13250

263

P/E (x)

35.8
6.5

25.9
5.3

54.5

38.8

13.2

36.0

10.4

12.8

33.4

34.4

15.2

31.1

55.1

53.7

23.2

24.3

(13.0)

28.0

6m

12m

59.0

66.0

(12.0)

(29.0)

(7.0)
69.0

69.0

177.0

Exhibit 26: 1-Yr Forward P/E Band


60
40
20

P/E

Mean

~-1SD

~2SD

Sep-15

Jul-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

May-15

Apr-15

Mar-15

Jan-15

Feb-15

Dec-14

Oct-14

Nov-14

Sep-14

Aug-14

Jul-14

Jun-14

May-14

Apr-14

Mar-14

Jan-14

~1SD

Feb-14

Dec-13

Nov-13

Oct-13

Sep-13

Aug-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

Apr-13

May-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

-20

Sep-12

~-2SD

Source: Company, Karvy Research

10

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd


At CMP of Rs. 811 per share, the stock is valued at 29.8x and 22.1 x FY16E and FY17E EPS respectively. The management
has plans to do an overall capex of Rs.300mn-Rs.400mn for the entire group (KCL+KGL). Capex for KGL is around Rs. 150mn200mn, which would be for the expansion in the garments segment. The company plans to expand its existing capacity of 0.5mn
pcs/day to 1.1mn pcs/day, which would make KITEX a leader in the infant wear category. It also plans a capex of Rs.100mnRs.150mn for technology up-gradation, going forward. With increasing demand and growth, improving return ratios and increase
in dividend payout, we reiterate a BUY recommendation with a target price of Rs. 954 per share valuing at 26x FY17E P/E,
representing an upside potential of 18%.
During FY10-14, Kitexs revenues grew at 15.6% CAGR due to its strong positioning in the kids wear segment. Going forward,
we expect KTG to post 25% revenue CAGR coupled with 34% EBITDA margin expansion yielding to a better product mix and
product pipeline. We believe PAT to post 33% CAGR over FY15E-17E. The company currently has capacity utilization of ~62%65% & planning to double their capacities in the next two years.
It has a strong and healthy balance sheet with significant free cash flows. RoE is expected to grow by 38.0% by FY17E from
26.7% in FY13. We expect the dividend payout to improve further by 15%-18% by FY17E, given significant free cash generation
over the next two to three years.
In the domestic markets, we believe KTG is in a better position with 70% market share in a good position in the export market to
capture the infant wear boom on back of its strong clientele, better operating efficiencies, launch of its own brand Little Stars,
strong return ratios, high entry barriers and increasing cash flows.

11

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Peer Comparison
Kitex operates in the infant-wear category. It is the largest supplier of kids garments from India and third largest exporter globally.
Peers include Page Industries, KPR Mills, and Lovable Lingerie. With strong product pipeline, capacity expansion in the garments
segment and management confidence, we remain positive on Kitex in the long term.
Exhibit 27: Revenue Growth (%)

Exhibit 28: EBITDA Margin (%)


25%

50%
40%

39.5%
35.7%

20%

30%
20%
10%
0%

10%

3.5%
FY10

FY11
KPR Miils
Page

9.3%

1.6%
FY12

FY13

Lovable
Kitex

FY14

19.0%

17.7%

15%

21.8%

5%

FY10

FY11
KPR Miils
Page

FY12

Source: Respective companies, Bloomberg, Karvy Research

Source: Respective companies, Bloomberg, Karvy Research

Exhibit 29: RoCE (%)

Exhibit 30: EPS

40%
30%
20%

36.2%

30.4%

25.7%

23.1%

FY11
KPR Miils
Page

FY12

FY13

Lovable
Kitex

FY14

4.3

3.9
FY10

FY11
KPR Miils
Page

5.7

6.2

FY12

FY13

Source: Respective companies, Bloomberg, Karvy Research

Exhibit 31: RoE (%)

Exhibit 32: RoA (%)

80%

40%

60%

30%
39.6%

32.0%

38.7%
31.7%

26.7%

FY10

FY11
KPR Miils
Page

FY12

Source: Respective companies, Bloomberg, Karvy Research

FY13

Lovable
Kitex

FY14

12.1

Lovable
Kitex

FY14

21.0%
20%
10%

20%
0%

FY14

70

Source: Respective companies, Bloomberg, Karvy Research

40%

Lovable
Kitex

140

35

FY10

FY13

105

24.3%

10%
0%

21.5%

18.7%

0%

10.0%

FY10

11.5%

FY11
KPR Miils
Page

14.3%

FY12

13.6%

FY13

Lovable
Kitex

FY14

Source: Respective companies, Bloomberg, Karvy Research

Key Risks
Volatile Raw material Prices: Cotton is the largest consumable for Kitex. As cotton prices due to erratic weather patterns
and government policies remain a tricky and generic issue for the textiles sector, any adverse price movements could pose
margin pressure for the company. If there is an increase in the raw material prices going forward, it could impact the margins
of the company.
Forex Risk: Kitex exports contribute around 95% to the top line. We believe sharp appreciation in INR could affect its overall
revenue.

Competition Risk: Kitex is exposed to competition risks from Asian countries such as Sri-Lanka, Taiwan, China and other
African countries. The increase in competition risks can create pressure on margins, market share etc.
12

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Financials
Exhibit 33: Income Statement
YE Mar (Rs. Million)

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

Revenues

3170

4422

5111

6466

8008

Operating Expenses

2569

3471

3424

4333

5293

3.2

58.3

77.4

26.5

27.2

40

133

115

106

Growth (%)
EBITDA

Growth (%)

Depreciation & Amortization


Other Income

1.6

601

86

EBIT

515

PBT

440

Interest Expenses
Tax

Adjusted PAT
Growth (%)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

147
294

8.3

39.5
951

97

15.6

1687

213
134

26.5

23.8

2134

2715

209

239

97

120

855

1474

1925

2475

882

1417

1874

2526

985

1293

1743

308
574

95.3

192
432

71.7

147

69

581

783

31.3

34.8

Exhibit 34: Balance Sheet


YE Mar (Rs. Million)

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

Cash & Inventories

412

1036

2033

2480

2987

Inventory

459

108

112

171

196

Sundry Debtors

Loans & Advances


Gross Block
Net Block
CWIP

Other Assets

Total Assets

506
217

531
342

627
462

795
595

993
721

1609

2343

2592

2992

3392

23

1172

55

1812

157

1882

179

2069

2230

2303

3152

4272

4901

5780

918

1194

1408

858

208

Total Liabilities

1726

2296

2714

2355

1842

Reserves & Surplus

1176

1694

2591

3770

5299

Current Liabilities & Provisions


Debt

Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
Total Networth

Total Networth & Liabilities


Source: Company, Karvy Research

647
161
48

1224
2303

885
216
48

1742
3152

1081
226
48

2639
4272

1272

226
48

3818
4901

1409

226
48

5346
5780

13

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd

Exhibit 35: Cash Flow Statement


YE Mar (Rs. Million)
EBIT

(Inc.)/Dec in working capital


Other income
Depreciation
Interest paid
Tax paid
Others

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

515

855

1474

1925

40

133

134

97

(204)

86

213

209

(106)

(192)

(147)

(2)

55

10

(147)

(44)

Inc/dec in capital expenditure

(42)

Cash flow from investing activities

97

(47)

(115)

Dividends paid

Cash flow from operations

338

130

(308)

(56)

1007

(718)

(432)

FY17E
2475

(211)

120
239

(69)

(581)

(783)

(72)

(114)

(114)

(245)

(400)

(400)

1090

1397

1657

(42)

(718)

(245)

(400)

(400)

34

276

213

(550)

(650)

(41)

335

152

(550)

(750)

YE Mar (%)

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

EBITDA Margin (%)

19.0

21.5

33.0

33.0

33.9

Net Profit Margin (%)

9.3

13.0

19.3

20.0

21.8

Issuance of equity

(In)/dec in borrowings
Others

Cash flow from financing activities


Net change in cash

Source: Company, Karvy Research

(75)

47

58

(62)

624

996

0
0

447

(100)

507

Exhibit 36: Key Ratios

EBIT Margin (%)

16.2

Dividend Payout Ratio (%)

12.9

RoE (%)

26.7

Net Debt/Equity
RoCE (%)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

0.4

25.7

19.3
8.3

28.8
6.0

29.8
7.3

30.9
5.4

0.1

(0.2)

(0.4)

(0.5)

36.2

43.3

44.1

48.6

38.7

45.0

40.1

38.0

Exhibit 37: Valuation Parameters


YE Mar
EPS (Rs.)

DPS (Rs.)
BV (Rs.)
PE (x)

P/BV (x)

EV/EBITDA (x)
EV/Sales (x)

Source: Company, Karvy Research

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

6.2

12.1

20.7

27.2

36.7

25.8

36.7

55.6

80.4

112.6

31.5

22.1

14.6

10.1

7.2

0.8

131.1

64.9
12.3

1.0

67.1
40.7

8.7

1.3

39.1
22.5

7.4

2.0

29.8
17.3

5.7

2.0

22.1
13.2

4.5

14

Sep 28, 2015

Kitex Garments Ltd


Stock Ratings
Buy

Sell

Hold

Absolute Returns
> 15%

5-15%
<5%

Connect & Discuss More at


1800 425 8283 (Toll Free)

research@karvy.com

Live Chat

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