Midyear Population and Density for Region Summary

Region
Country
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil

Year
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970

Population Area (sq. k Density (persons per sq. km.)

53443075 8459417
6.3
54973775 8459417
6.5
56557783 8459417
6.7
58197231 8459417
6.9
59894345 8459417
7.1
61651450 8459417
7.3
63481099 8459417
7.5
65369855 8459417
7.7
67319772 8459417
8
69332977 8459417
8.2
71411679 8459417
8.4
73512233 8459417
8.7
75679187 8459417
8.9
77914771 8459417
9.2
80221304 8459417
9.5
82601179 8459417
9.8
85017480 8459417
10.1
87459519 8459417
10.3
89926300 8459417
10.6
92416817 8459417
10.9
94930053 8459417
11.2

Density (persons per sq. km.)

Midyear Population and Density for Region Summary

Region
Country
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil

Year

Population Area (sq. k Density (persons per sq. km.)

1971 97350239 8459417
11.5
1972 99800740 8459417
11.8
1973102281260 8459417
12.1
1974104790608 8459417
12.4
1975107327250 8459417
12.7
1976109890962 8459417
13
1977 112528142 8459417
13.3
1978 115283675 8459417
13.6
1979 118157191 8459417
14
1980121063697 8459417
14.3
1981123961522 8459417
14.7
1982126890221 8459417
15
1983129821262 8459417
15.3
1984132793071 8459417
15.7
1985135733183 8459417
16
1986138567223 8459417
16.4
1987141352474 8459417
16.7
1988144096245 8459417
17
1989146797954 8459417
17.4
1990149409483 8459417
17.7

Density (persons per sq. km.)

Midyear Population and Density for Region Summary

Region
Country
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil

Year
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

Population
Area (sq. k
151944196 8459417
154460821 8459417
156963840 8459417
159448367 8459417
161911449 8459417
164369473 8459417
166840211 8459417
169322084 8459417
171814744 8459417
174315386 8459417
176789957 8459417
179204829 8459417
181553173 8459417
183827544 8459417
186020004 8459417
188131059 8459417
190167417 8459417
192130270 8459417
194019058 8459417
195834188 8459417

Density (persons per sq. km.)

18
18.3
18.6
18.8
19.1
19.4
19.7
20
20.3
20.6
20.9
21.2
21.5
21.7
22
22.2
22.5
22.7
22.9
23.1

Midyear Population and Density for Region Summary

Region
Country
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil

Year
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

Population
Area (sq. k Density (persons per sq
197595498 8459417
23.4
199321413 8459417
23.6
201009622 8459417
23.8
202656788 8459417
24
204259812 8459417
24.1
205823665 8459417
24.3
207353391 8459417
24.5
208846892 8459417
24.7
210301591 8459417
24.9
211715973 8459417
25
213093938 8459417
25.2
214438667 8459417
25.3
215748760 8459417
25.5
217022513 8459417
25.7
218259140 8459417
25.8
219461193 8459417
25.9
220629152 8459417
26.1
221759269 8459417
26.2
222847611 8459417
26.3
223890497 8459417
26.5

Density (persons per sq. km.)

Midyear Population and Density for Region Summary

Region
Country
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil
Custom Region
Brazil

Year
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050

Population
Area (sq. k
224883120 8459417
225820856 8459417
226700848 8459417
227520248 8459417
228276400 8459417
228968010 8459417
229595148 8459417
230158196 8459417
230657720 8459417
231094505 8459417
231468908 8459417
231781810 8459417
232035257 8459417
232231427 8459417
232372630 8459417
232460126 8459417
232494981 8459417
232479213 8459417
232414900 8459417
232304177 8459417

Density (persons per sq. km.)

26.6
26.7
26.8
26.9
27
27.1
27.1
27.2
27.3
27.3
27.4
27.4
27.4
27.5
27.5
27.5
27.5
27.5
27.5
27.5

Seleccin de modelos
Modelos Exponencial Discreto: Nt+1 = Nt
Parmetros
= 1.004806053

Ao
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993

xAo
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

ObservadoNt
53443075
54973775
56557783
58197231
59894345
61651450
63481099
65369855
67319772
69332977
71411679
73512233
75679187
77914771
80221304
82601179
85017480
87459519
89926300
92416817
94930053
97350239
99800740
102281260
104790608
107327250
109890962
112528142
115283675
118157191
121063697
123961522
126890221
129821262
132793071
135733183
138567223
141352474
144096245
146797954
149409483
151944196
154460821
156963840

Predicho
Residual
53443075
0
55237981.88 69805272858.7102
56829602.7 73885950114.7143
58476930 78231516855.6856
60182200.4 82860728559.6282
61947750.13 87793769967.9029
63786192.52 93082058979.5035
65684026 98703408678.0921
67643314.39 104679678631.148
69666195 111034209311.223
71754887.31 117791945842.671
73865536.69 124823494835.725
76042905.18 132290916022.364
78289233.52 140222176853.476
80606851.84 148647134680.159
82998164.64 157597600285.923
85426078.51 166952744856.495
87879854.08 176681581032.838
90358490.56 186788681901.653
92860977.12 197278211017.36
95386291.86 208153901056.568
97818109.41 218902716970.778
100280388 230061862205.527
102772829 241640233497.253
105294237 253642384962.515
107843070 266070736237.072
110419104 278933745386.814
113068958 292482175272.609
115837734 306981873786.525
118725061 322476018686.999
121645536 338536088536.668
124557288 354936700322.901
127500062 371906197335.861
130445190 389285978225.002
133431282 407312686341.473
136385524 425548608757.864
139233184 443504606159.274
142031821 461512996930.332
144788779 479603600957.252
147503473 497756698362.865
150127553 515624368205.562
152674448 533267772982.614
155203168 551078903512.623
157718217 569083950308.872

RSS
2.38789E+013

1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046

44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96

159448367
161911449
164369473
166840211
169322084
171814744
174315386
176789957
179204829
181553173
183827544
186020004
188131059
190167417
192130270
194019058
195834188
197595498
199321413
201009622
202656788
204259812
205823665
207353391
208846892
210301591
211715973
213093938
214438667
215748760
217022513
218259140
219461193
220629152
221759269
222847611
223890497
224883120
225820856
226700848
227520248
228276400
228968010
229595148
230158196
230657720
231094505
231468908
231781810
232035257
232231427
232372630
232460126

160214684 587242203126.627
162689604 605525206876.219
165159441 624050065731.114
167642054 642952025256.452
170135855 662223087861.371
172640495 681864321390.526
175153155 701856864193.076
177639619 721925343515.297
180066097 741782399534.604
182425727 761350776057.06
184711029 780545595914.436
186914026 799275326495.723
189035227 817519476716.282
191081372 835313158955.522
193053658 852645872291.6
194951524 869492601924.904
196775377 885837642279.944
198545152 901843539909.905
200279362 917666805360.635
201975685 933277512574.073
203630767 948635598367.153
205241495 963702450962.817
206812864 978515528855.347
208349942 993114658085.187
209850621 1007472362121.64
211312312 1021556106915.55
212733491
1035343252287
214118079 1048864287225.71
215469271 1062143768768.98
216785660 1075161549352.48
218065535 1087894256565.62
219308105 1100327550315.5
220515935 1112480940619.84
221689507 1124353560029.54
222825056 1135901493337.03
223918628 1147078324124.06
224966527 1157839678813.85
225963920 1168129048210.37
226906163 1177891279349.69
227790384 1187089318327.96
228613722 1195686188502.73
229373508 1203646999991.64
230068442 1210951437479.46
230698594 1217594057101.97
231264348 1223573316911.79
231766273 1228890246849.18
232205157 1233548829662.28
232581360 1237549084937.08
232895766 1240897209044.98
233150431 1243612466332.7
233347544 1245716134423.74
233489425 1247231453286.76
233577342 1248170878109.28

2047
2048
2049
2050

97
98
99
100

232494981
232479213
232414900
232304177

233612364 1248545206887.88
233596520 1248375857914.08
233531898 1247685252588.5
233420643 1246496735438.02

log-verosimilitud
-1322.53915

Criterio Akaike
2647.07829985

Crecimiento poblacional exponencial de Brasil durante los ultimos 60 aos

250000000
200000000

Tamao de la poblacin

150000000

ObservadoNt

100000000

Predicho

50000000
0
0 50 100
Tiempo (aos)

Crecimiento poblacional exponencial de Brasil de 1950 hasta 2010

250000000
200000000
150000000
Tamao poblacional

Predicho

100000000
50000000
0
1900 1950 2000 2050
Aos

os 60 aos

sta 2010

Crecimiento poblacional exponencial de Brasil estimada hasta 2050

250000000
200000000
150000000
Tamao de la poblacin 100000000

ObservadoNt
Predicho

50000000
0

100
0 200

Tiempo (aos)

Crecimiento poblacional exponencial de Brasil de 1950 hasta 2050

250000000
200000000
150000000
Tamao poblacional

Predicho

100000000
50000000
0
1900 2000 2100
Aos

ada hasta 2050

50 hasta 2050

Seleccin de modelos
Modelo Lineal: y = mx + b
Parmetros
m = 2009726.21
b = 61098147.3
Ao
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993

xAo
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

Observado
53443075
54973775
56557783
58197231
59894345
61651450
63481099
65369855
67319772
69332977
71411679
73512233
75679187
77914771
80221304
82601179
85017480
87459519
89926300
92416817
94930053
97350239
99800740
102281260
104790608
107327250
109890962
112528142
115283675
118157191
121063697
123961522
126890221
129821262
132793071
135733183
138567223
141352474
144096245
146797954
149409483
151944196
154460821
156963840

Predicho
53443075
63107873.5
65117599.7
67127326
69137052.2
71146778.4
73156504.6
75166230.8
77175957
79185683.2
81195409.4
83205135.6
85214861.8
87224588
89234314.2
91244040.4
93253766.6
95263492.8
97273219
99282945.2
101292671
103302398
105312124
107321850
109331576
111341302
113351029
115360755
117370481
119380207
121389934
123399660
125409386
127419112
129428838
131438565
133448291
135458017
137467743
139477469
141487196
143496922
145506648
147516374

RSS
5.125E+015

log-verosimilitud
-1593.66853

Residual
0
6.616E+013
7.327E+013
7.975E+013
8.543E+013
9.016E+013
9.361E+013
9.597E+013
9.714E+013
9.708E+013
9.572E+013
9.395E+013
9.093E+013
8.667E+013
8.123E+013
7.470E+013
6.784E+013
6.090E+013
5.398E+013
4.714E+013
4.048E+013
3.543E+013
3.038E+013
2.541E+013
2.062E+013
1.611E+013
1.197E+013
8.024E+012
4.355E+012
1.496E+012
1.064E+011
3.157E+011
2.193E+012
5.770E+012
1.132E+013
1.844E+013
2.620E+013
3.474E+013
4.394E+013
5.359E+013
6.276E+013
7.136E+013
8.018E+013
8.925E+013

Crecimiento poblacional lineal de Brasi

250000000
200000000
150000000
Tamao de la Poblacin 100000000
50000000
0

50
0 1

Tiempo (aos

Crecimiento poblacional lineal de

250000000
200000000
150000000
Tamao de la Poblacin100000000
50000000
0

2
190

Ao

1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046

44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96

159448367
161911449
164369473
166840211
169322084
171814744
174315386
176789957
179204829
181553173
183827544
186020004
188131059
190167417
192130270
194019058
195834188
197595498
199321413
201009622
202656788
204259812
205823665
207353391
208846892
210301591
211715973
213093938
214438667
215748760
217022513
218259140
219461193
220629152
221759269
222847611
223890497
224883120
225820856
226700848
227520248
228276400
228968010
229595148
230158196
230657720
231094505
231468908
231781810
232035257
232231427
232372630
232460126

149526100
151535827
153545553
155555279
157565005
159574731
161584458
163594184
165603910
167613636
169623362
171633089
173642815
175652541
177662267
179671993
181681720
183691446
185701172
187710898
189720625
191730351
193740077
195749803
197759529
199769256
201778982
203788708
205798434
207808160
209817887
211827613
213837339
215847065
217856791
219866518
221876244
223885970
225895696
227905422
229915149
231924875
233934601
235944327
237954053
239963780
241973506
243983232
245992958
248002684
250012411
252022137
254031863

9.845E+013
1.077E+014
1.172E+014
1.273E+014
1.382E+014
1.498E+014
1.621E+014
1.741E+014
1.850E+014
1.943E+014
2.018E+014
2.070E+014
2.099E+014
2.107E+014
2.093E+014
2.058E+014
2.003E+014
1.933E+014
1.855E+014
1.769E+014
1.673E+014
1.570E+014
1.460E+014
1.346E+014
1.229E+014
1.109E+014
9.874E+013
8.659E+013
7.465E+013
6.305E+013
5.191E+013
4.136E+013
3.163E+013
2.287E+013
1.523E+013
8.887E+012
4.057E+012
9.943E+011
5601059204
1.451E+012
5.736E+012
1.331E+013
2.467E+013
4.031E+013
6.078E+013
8.660E+013
1.184E+014
1.566E+014
2.020E+014
2.550E+014
3.162E+014
3.861E+014
4.653E+014

2047
2048
2049
2050

97
98
99
100

232494981
232479213
232414900
232304177

256041589
258051316
260061042
262070768

5.544E+014
6.539E+014
7.643E+014
8.860E+014

g-verosimilitud

Criterio Akaike
3191.33707

poblacional lineal de Brasil durante los ultimos 60 aos

Crecimiento poblacional lineal de Brasil esti

250000000
200000000

300000000

150000000
Tamao de la Poblacin 100000000

Observado

250000000

Predicho

200000000

Ob

150000000
Tamao de la Poblacin
100000000

50000000
0

50
0 100

Pre

50000000
0

100
0 200

Tiempo (aos)

Tiempo (aos)

nto poblacional lineal de Brasil de 1950 hasta 2010

250000000

Crecimiento poblacional lineal de Brasil d

200000000
150000000
Tamao de la Poblacin100000000
50000000
0

2000
1900 2100
Aos

300000000
Observado

250000000

Predicho

200000000
150000000
Tamao de la Poblacin
100000000
50000000
0

2000
1900 2100
Aos

onal lineal de Brasil estimada hasta 2050

300000000
250000000
200000000
Observado

150000000
e la Poblacin
100000000

Predicho

50000000
0

100
0 200

Tiempo (aos)

acional lineal de Brasil de 1950 hasta 2050

300000000
250000000
200000000

150000000
o de la Poblacin
100000000
50000000
0

2000
1900 2100
Aos

Observado
Predicho

Ao
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

xAo

parametro
ObservadoNtN(t+1)/N(t)
((+ ))/
0
53443075
0 1.004806053
(())
1
54973775 1.02864169
2
56557783 1.028813884
3
58197231 1.028987133
4
59894345 1.029161422
5
61651450 1.029336743
6
63481099 1.029677307
7
65369855 1.029753045
8
67319772 1.029828994
9
69332977 1.029905107
10
71411679 1.029981433
11
73512233 1.029414712
12
75679187 1.029477461
13
77914771 1.029540275
14
80221304 1.029603283
15
82601179 1.029666371
16
85017480 1.029252621
17
87459519 1.028723964
18
89926300 1.028204832
19
92416817 1.02769509
20
94930053 1.027194574
21
97350239 1.025494413
22
99800740 1.025172008
23 102281260 1.024854726
24 104790608
1.0245338
25 107327250 1.024206769
26 109890962 1.023886869
27 112528142 1.023998152
28 115283675 1.024487501
29 118157191 1.024925611
30 121063697 1.024598638
31 123961522 1.023936366
32 126890221 1.023625872
33 129821262 1.02309903
34 132793071 1.022891543
35 135733183 1.022140553
36 138567223 1.020879493
37 141352474 1.02010036
38 144096245 1.019410845
39 146797954 1.018749337
40 149409483 1.017789955
41 151944196 1.016964874
42 154460821 1.016562824
43 156963840 1.01620488
44 159448367 1.015828658
45 161911449 1.015447521
46 164369473 1.015181286
47 166840211 1.015031611
48 169322084 1.014875748
49 171814744 1.014721411

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050

50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100

174315386
176789957
179204829
181553173
183827544
186020004
188131059
190167417
192130270
194019058
195834188
197595498
199321413
201009622
202656788
204259812
205823665
207353391
208846892
210301591
211715973
213093938
214438667
215748760
217022513
218259140
219461193
220629152
221759269
222847611
223890497
224883120
225820856
226700848
227520248
228276400
228968010
229595148
230158196
230657720
231094505
231468908
231781810
232035257
232231427
232372630
232460126
232494981
232479213
232414900
232304177

1.014554292
1.014195941
1.013659554
1.013104245
1.0125273
1.011926722
1.011348538
1.010824146
1.01032171
1.009830767
1.009355421
1.008993884
1.008734587
1.008469782
1.008194463
1.007910043
1.007656195
1.007432216
1.007202684
1.006965385
1.006725494
1.006508555
1.006310499
1.006109407
1.005903872
1.005698151
1.005507458
1.005321939
1.005122247
1.004907763
1.004679817
1.00443352
1.004169882
1.003896859
1.003614455
1.003323449
1.003029704
1.002738977
1.002452351
1.002170351
1.00189365
1.001620129
1.00135181
1.001093472
1.000845432
1.000608027
1.000376533
1.00014994
0.999932179
0.99972336
0.999523598

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.98303809
Coeficiente d 0.96636388
R^2 ajustado 0.96602413
Error tpico
11041345.9
Observacione
101
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 3.467E+017 3.467E+017 2844.26499 9.709E-075
Residuos
99 1.207E+016 1.219E+014
Total
100 3.588E+017
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 61098147.3 2181093.44 28.0126226 7.413E-049 56770384.8 65425909.9 56770384.8
Variable X 1 2009726.21 37683.5551 53.3316509 9.709E-075 1934953.86 2084498.55 1934953.86

Superior 95,0%
65425909.9
2084498.55