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Donald Trump (27%) remains in the lead in the race for the Republican nomination, with Ben
Carson (21%) in second place.
Carson and Trump have the highest favorable ratings among Republican primary voters, but
Trump along with Jeb Bush -- also has the highest unfavorable rating. Jeb Bushs favorable
rating has dropped 11 points since August.
Among registered voters overall, Trump is viewed more negatively; 53% are unfavorable.
Carson receives strong assessments from Republican primary voters on being honest and
caring, while Trump continues to be seen as the strongest leader.
When Republican voters are asked who would be their second choice for the nomination, Ben Carson
(20%) and Marco Rubio (18%) are the most mentioned candidates.
Among Trump supporters, Carson is the top second choice, far ahead of any other candidate.
Seven in ten Republican primary voters would support Trump if he became the partys eventual
nominee, though many would have reservations. 29% would support Trump enthusiastically, while
42% would support him with reservations, and another 8% would only support him because he is the
partys nominee. One in five Republican primary voters would not support Trump if he became the
nominee.
If Trump is Republican Nominee, Would You
(among Republican primary voters)
Total
Trump
Support Other
Voters
Supporters
Candidate
Support him enthusiastically
29%
67%
18%
Support him with reservations
42
32
45
Support because hes the nominee
8
1
12
Would not support him
19
*
25
*Less than 0.5%
Trump continues to be viewed as the most electable candidate in a general election. 35% say Trump
has the best chance of winning in November 2016, followed by Ben Carson (18%).
Best Chance of Winning in November 2016
(among Republican primary voters)
Now
9/2015
8/2015
Donald Trump
35%
39%
26%
Ben Carson
18
18
1
Marco Rubio
11
5
4
Jeb Bush
10
11
23
Carly Fiorina
7
*
-Ted Cruz
5
4
4
(Table has been truncated. Not all candidates are listed)
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Carly Fiorina
Jeb Bush
Undecided/havent heard
30
18
38
40
30
While the favorable ratings of both Donald Trump and Marco Rubio have risen slightly since August
among Republican primary voters, Bushs favorable rating has dropped 11 points.
Favorable Views of the Republican Candidates
(Among Republican Primary Voters)
Now
8/2015
Donald Trump
53%
47%
Marco Rubio
50%
46%
Jeb Bush
32%
43%
These Republican candidates are viewed less positively among all registered voters nationwide.
Carson has the highest favorable rating among this broader group of voters, and Fiorina is viewed more
favorably than not. Voters divide in their views of Rubio. Many voters overall dont have an opinion of
these three contenders.
53% of registered voters overall have an unfavorable opinion of Trump the highest of the Republicans
asked about. Bush is also viewed negatively.
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Carly Fiorina
Jeb Bush
Undecided/Havent heard
41
19
46
51
30
44%
30
27
*
33%
34
22
11
15%
38
30
16
23%
42
25
11
16%
36
33
14
Candidate Qualities
Republican primary voters choose honesty (39%) as the most important quality in their choice of a
candidate, though nearly as many pick being a strong leader (36%). Far fewer choose caring about
people like them (13%), having the right experience (8%), or being able to win the general election in
November (2%) as most important.
Most Important Candidate Quality in Deciding Vote for Nomination
(Among Republican Primary Voters)
Is honest and trustworthy
39%
Is a strong leader
36
Cares about people like me
13
Has the right experience
8
Can win a general election
2
Ben Carson is the top choice of Republican primary voters who most value honesty, while Donald
Trump is the top choice of those who value strong leadership.
Most Republican primary voters give Trump, Carson, and Fiorina high marks on many of these
candidate qualities, but Ben Carson is perceived as the most honest: 81% think he is honest and
trustworthy, compared to 60% for Fiorina and 53% for Trump. 39% do not think Trump is honest and
trustworthy, far more than either Carson or Fiorina.
Candidate Qualities: Honest and Trustworthy
(Among Republican primary voters)
Trump
Carson
Fiorina
Yes
53%
81%
60%
No
39
7
21
Dont know
8
12
19
Ben Carson is also seen as the candidate who most cares about people like them. 56% think he cares
a lot, more than twice as many as say the same for Trump or Fiorina.
Candidate Qualities: Cares about People Like You
(Among Republican primary voters)
Trump
Carson
Fiorina
A lot
26%
56%
24%
Some
45
27
45
Not much/not at all
28
9
18
Dont know
1
8
14
But Donald Trump is seen as the strongest leader: 84% think Trump has strong qualities of leadership,
compared to 72% for Carson and 60% for Fiorina.
Yes
No
Dont know
Most think both Trump (59%) and Carson (53%) have the right kind of experience to be president,
though they are less sure of Fiorina (43%).
Yes
No
Dont know
As for what the right kind of experience is, most Republican primary voters think its more important for
the next President to have experience in the private sector (55%) than in politics or government (10%),
though 34% say it doesnt matter.
Type of Experience for Next President
(Among Republican primary voters)
Business and the private sector
55%
Politics and government
10
Doesnt matter
34
When voters are asked in an open-ended question, which one issue they would like to hear the
presidential candidates discuss, the economy and jobs (24%) is the top answer, followed by
immigration (11%), and foreign policy (10%). Health care and guns are also mentioned.
The economy and jobs are the top priority for voters across party lines. Republicans are more likely
than Democrats to want the candidates to talk about immigration.
Issue You Most Want to Hear the Candidates Discuss
(among registered voters)
Total Reps Dems Inds
Economy and jobs
24% 26% 25% 21%
Immigration
11
16
7
10
Foreign policy
10
13
8
8
Health care
6
7
4
7
Guns/laws/2nd amendment
4
4
6
2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------This poll was conducted by telephone October 4-8, 2015 among a random sample of 1,251 adults nationwide,
including 1,038 registered voters. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News by SSRS of Media, PA.
Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones.
The poll employed a random digit dial methodology. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly
selected from all adults in the household. For the cell sample, interviews were conducted with the person who
answered the phone.
Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish using live interviewers.
The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables.
The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points.
The error for subgroups may be higher and is available by request. The margin of error includes the effects of
standard weighting procedures which enlarge sampling error slightly.
The margin of error for the sample of 419 Republican primary voters is 5 percentage points.
This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
42
48
43
37
37
40
38
33
14
7
11
21
7
4
8
8
*
*
*
1
Sep15a1
%
36
35
17
12
1
Q12a. How would you describe the 2016 presidential election campaign so far--is it interesting to you, or would you say
it is dull?
Interesting
Dull
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
71
25
3
2
79
17
2
2
71
25
4
1
64
31
2
2
Q13. Which ONE issue would you most like to hear the candidates for president discuss during the 2016 presidential
campaign?
Economy & jobs
Immigration/illegal immigrants
Foreign policy/misc. foreign affairs
Health care
Guns/2nd amendment/ gun laws
Defense/military/national security
Poverty/ government programs for
Environment/global warming
Miscellaneous social issues
Education/school loans
Foreign aid/ isolationist attitudes
Miscellaneous government issues
Budget/deficit
Taxes/IRS/cut/raise taxes
Income gap
Other
Don't know/No answer
24
11
10
6
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
16
8
26
16
13
7
4
3
*
1
1
2
2
3
*
16
6
25
7
8
4
6
1
2
5
5
3
1
1
*
1
2
19
10
21
10
8
7
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
2
5
1
2
18
9
Q14. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a Republican presidential primary or caucus, or a Democratic presidential
primary or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?
Republican primary
Democratic primary
Not likely to vote
Never vote (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
38
86
2
28
33
2
84
19
17
7
7
32
*
1
12
5
7
20
Sep15a1
%
36
33
17
*
14
Q15. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rick Santorum
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Lindsey Graham
Jim Gilmore
Someone else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
Sep15a1
%
27
23
5
6
6
4
3
1
6
3
1
*
*
*
3
4
9
Q16. Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CHOICE IN q15
%
Ben Carson
20
Marco Rubio
18
Carly Fiorina
13
Donald Trump
11
Jeb Bush
7
Ted Cruz
6
Mike Huckabee
6
Chris Christie
5
Rand Paul
2
Lindsey Graham
1
John Kasich
1
Bobby Jindal
*
George Pataki
*
Rick Santorum
1
Jim Gilmore
Someone else (vol.)
*
None of them (vol.)
4
Don't know/No answer
4
Sep15a1
%
19
7
6
12
9
12
4
4
3
*
2
1
*
1
7
5
8
Q17. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Republican presidential candidates do you think
has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016?
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorina
Ted Cruz
Chris Christie
Rand Paul
John Kasich
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
George Pataki
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Bobby Jindal
Someone else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
Sep15a1
39
18
5
11
*
4
2
1
2
*
1
*
*
3
*
14
10
Q18. If Donald Trump became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him,
support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Don't know/No answer
Sep15a1
%
35
36
12
15
2
Q27. We'd like to get your opinion of some public figures. For each of the following people, please say whether your
opinion is favorable, not favorable, undecided, or whether you haven't heard enough about him or her yet to have an
opinion.
a. Jeb Bush
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
Jul15e
%
30
40
17
12
1
27
25
15
31
2
48
12
11
29
1
10
45
13
29
2
24
21
21
33
2
50
12
12
26
*
24
22
12
39
3
28
53
16
3
1
51
31
16
2
-
7
81
7
4
1
26
48
22
3
1
53
29
16
2
*
27
59
9
4
1
b. Marco Rubio
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
c. Donald Trump
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
11
d. Ben Carson
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
e. Carly Fiorina
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
26
21
13
38
2
44
14
12
29
1
11
33
11
43
2
23
19
15
41
2
45
13
11
29
1
Q27aa. Which one of these candidate qualities is most important to you in deciding who to support for the
Democratic/Republican nomination for president in 2016?
Is honest and trustworthy
Is a strong leader
Cares about people like me
Has the right experience
Can win a general election
Don't know/No answer
39
36
13
8
2
1
Q21. Would you prefer the next president to be someone whose experience has been mostly in politics and
government, or someone whose experience has been mostly in the business or private sector, or doesn't it matter to
you?
34
28
36
2
51
12
36
2
12
51
35
1
38
23
36
2
55
10
34
1
12
Q34. How confident are you in Donald Trumps ability to make the right decisions about the economy--are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
Jul15e
%
47
24
9
19
1
Q35. How confident are you in Donald Trumps ability to handle an international crisis-are you very confident, somewhat
confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
23
39
18
20
1
Q35a. How confident are you in Donald Trumps ability to make the right decisions about illegal immigration--are you
very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
44
30
13
14
*
39
26
9
24
2
Q36. How confident are you in Ben Carsons ability to make the right decisions about the economy--are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
31
40
14
7
9
13
Q37. How confident are you in Ben Carsons ability to handle an international crisis-are you very confident, somewhat
confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
Q37a. How confident are you in Ben Carsons ability to make the right decisions about illegal immigration--are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
33
34
17
5
11
Q38. How confident are you in Carly Fiorinas ability to make the right decisions about the economy--are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
27
30
18
11
14
Q39. How confident are you in Carly Fiorinas ability to handle an international crisis-are you very confident, somewhat
confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
16
36
19
14
14
Q39a. How confident are you in Carly Fiorinas ability to make the right decisions about illegal immigration--are you very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
Very confident
Somewhat confident
Not too confident
Not at all confident
Don't know/No answer
15
38
18
12
16
14
Sep15a1
%
35
55
11
Q41. How much do you think Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself--a lot, some,
not much, or not at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer
15
28
17
38
2
24
44
16
15
1
6
12
18
62
2
14
28
17
38
2
26
45
14
14
1
Q42. Do you think Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
35
62
3
56
42
2
12
86
2
35
60
5
59
38
3
Q43. Do you think Donald Trump has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer
65
33
2
82
17
1
47
52
2
65
31
4
84
14
2
56
41
3
81
7
12
49
16
36
58
18
24
77
7
16
42
32
26
54
17
29
Q45. How much do you think Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself--a lot, some, not
much, or not at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer
33
30
13
9
15
53
26
7
3
10
16
34
21
14
14
28
31
12
9
20
56
27
6
3
8
15
Q46. Do you think Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
Q47. Do you think Ben Carson has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer
51
29
20
69
16
16
37
44
19
48
29
24
72
16
12
Sep15a1
%
38
25
37
39
31
29
57
19
23
24
45
31
36
31
34
60
21
19
Q49. How much do you think Carly Fiorina cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself--a lot, some, not
much, or not at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer
13
39
16
14
18
24
43
8
8
17
6
34
23
20
18
10
39
17
14
19
24
45
10
8
14
Q50. Do you think Carly Fiorina has the right kind of experience to be a good president, or not?
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
27
49
24
41
36
22
13
66
21
27
47
26
43
39
18
Q52. Do you think Carly Fiorina has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer
44
34
22
58
22
20
28
50
22
45
31
23
60
21
19
16
Unweighted
1,251
Weighted
Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters
1,038
948
339
311
388
295
284
369
419
361
17