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an introduction
P.J. Musgrove, B.Sc.(Eng.), Ph.D., C.Eng., M.R.Ae.S.
Indexing terms:
Abstract: The global wind-energy resource is very large and widely distributed; and, within Europe, wind
energy has the potential to provide an energy output equal to about three times the present electricity consumption. Although the wind is not very reliable as a source of power from day to day, it is a reliable source of
energy year by year, and the main role for future wind-energy systems will be operating in parallel with
electricity grid systems or, in remote locations, in parallel with diesel engines, so saving fuel. Systems integration
studies indicate that existing utility grid systems could accept a contribution of about 20% from wind turbines,
although, with changes to the future plant mix, the potential contribution is substantially greater: and similar
percentage fuel savings are possible in remote locations with wind/diesel systems. Recent progress in the development of wind turbines is reviewed and the cost data now becoming available indicates that medium-sized
machines, i.e. ~ 20-40 m diameter and with power ratings in the range 50-500 kW, offer the most attractive
economics for land-based applications in the near future, giving energy costs in the range 2.8-5.6 p/kWh, for a
typical site where the annual average wind speed is 5.5 m/s (measured at the normal 10 m height); in windier
locations energy costs will be lower. Corresponding capital costs for installed wind turbines are in the range
750-1500/kW (with average outputs equal to about 30% of the rated). The UK, in common with some other
countries, has a large offshore wind-energy potential, but, to be economically competitive, offshore systems will
need to use multimegawatt wind turbines with diameters of 100 m and larger. Prototype machines in this size
range already exist, but considerable further development is needed before the construction of large offshore
wind turbine arrays can commence, although this is a realistic prospect for the 1990s. The economics of windenergy conversion systems are already encouraging, and commercial applications already in evidence, most
notably in the USA and Denmark where more than 2000 wind turbines with a total installed capacity in excess
of 150 MW have been installed in the past two years. However, further operational experience is required to
demonstrate that reliable operation can be sustained over periods of many years. As this experience is accumulated, and as the cost benefits associated with quantity production are achieved, the market for wind turbines
can be expected to expand rapidly.
Introduction
506
Fig. 1
Traditional windmill
last for about 300 years, plus the oil and gas reserves
(which, given present trends of consumption, can be
expected to last for about 40 years) have a total energy
content equivalent to that received by the Earth as solar
radiation in only 10 days. A small proportion of the incident solar power, estimated to be about one per cent, is
converted by atmospheric convection processes into wind
power, and one per cent of this (i.e. about one hundredth
of one per cent of the incident solar power) is equivalent to
the power presently provided world wide by burning fossil
fuels. The practical problems of harnessing the power in
the wind on anything approaching this scale are, of course,
enormous, but, as the technology of wind-energy conversion systems develops, it is encouraging to know that the
resource is so very large. And although global estimates of
the wind-energy resource have relevance, it is important to
make more detailed and localised assessments. Such a
study has recently been undertaken within the European
Community [5], and concluded, even after making allowance for the many siting constraints that exist in practice,
that there were sites in Europe for about 400 000 megawatt
scale wind turbines; enough, in principle, to provide up to
about three times Europe's present electricity consumption, and equivalent to an oil output (nondepletable) of
about 16 million barrels per day.
Although the wind is not a reliable source of power
from one day to the next (a fact which strongly influences
the way that the output from wind turbines is used, as is
discussed later), it is a much more reliable source of energy,
year by year. The annual energy in the wind at a given
location depends on the wind-velocity-duration distribution, which, in general, can be expressed mathematically as
a Weibull function, which involves two parameters, i.e. a
shape parameter and a characteristic speed, see Reference
4. The Rayleigh distribution, which is a special case of the
Weibull distribution when the shape parameter is equal to
2, is a simple single-parameter function which is now
widely used to describe the wind (especially when detailed
site-specific long-term wind data is unavailable). The Rayleigh distribution provides a reasonable approximation to
the wind-velocity-duration distribution over flat terrain in
Western Europe and elsewhere, and states that the probability p, that the wind speed exceeds a certain value V, is
given by
(1)
where Vm is the annual average wind speed. This equation
indicates that wind speeds in excess of Vm can be expected
for 46% of the year, whereas wind speeds above 2.4 Vm
occur for less than 1 % of the year.
At any given wind speed V the power in the wind P per
unit area (measured perpendicular to the wind direction) is
simply the product of the kinetic energy per unit massy^ 2 ,
and the mass flow rate pV, where p is the air density; i.e.
Per
urnt
area
(2)
(3)
10
lift L
downwind
force f d
crosswind
force fc
Fig. 2
cient devices, even though they have a blade area (as seen
by an observer looking along the axis of rotation) which is
only 5% or 10% of the rotor swept area A. The ratio of
blade area to swept area, known as the solidity, does
exceed 50% for the familiar multibladed water-pumping
windmills, but this is only because these have to provide a
high starting torque at a low rotational speed. Highsolidity wind turbines are less efficient than low solidity
machines, and, as the latter can be made for a lower cost,
they are preferred for most applications, especially electricity generation.
Although traditional windmills and most modern wind
turbines have blades which turn about a horizontal axis,
the last decade has seen considerable progress in the development of vertical-axis wind turbines. The basic Darrieus
wind turbine is shown in Fig. 4, and has curved aerofoil-
(4)
Fig. 4
USA
Fig. 3
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wind and delivering its full torque and power output. This
fluctuating power output can be smoothed either by using
3 blades, instead of 2, or by utilising the rotor inertia via a
compliant torque transmission system. Theoretical calculations, confirmed by field tests, indicate that vertical-axis
wind turbines give power coefficients fully comparable
with horizontal-axis wind turbines. They are of course
omnidirectional, unlike horizontal-axis wind turbines
which must be continually turned to face the wind, and
their proponents argue that vertical-axis wind turbines
have the potential to deliver energy at lower cost than
horizontal-axis wind turbines. However, the development
of the relatively novel Darrieus wind turbine, and its
straight bladed derivatives, is still at a fairly early stage,
and the balance of advantage and disadvantage between
horizontal-axis and vertical-axis wind turbines will not be
resolved before the 1990s.
High wind speeds give very high wind-power densities,
but occur for only a small fraction of the year (see eqn. 1),
and so contain only a small proportion of the annual
energy. It is, therefore, usual to limit the power output of
wind turbines in high wind speeds, and this may be accomplished in horizontal-axis wind turbines by changing the
pitch on all or part of the blades. The lowest wind speed at
which a wind turbine will deliver its rated, maximum
power output is called the rated wind speed VR, and for
optimised modern wind turbines VR is usually about 1.5
Vm. A higher value of VR would give a higher rated power
output, but this higher power level would only be produced relatively infrequently, and the extra costs associated with the consequential higher loads on the blades, the
tower and the transmission are not usually justified by the
small gain in annual energy output. Above a wind speed of
about 25 m/s, which for most sites is exceeded only rarely,
wind turbines are normally shut down; and, when shut
down, a well designed wind turbine will withstand wind
speeds of up to 60 m/s or more.
With good design the average power output from
modern wind turbines is given by
mix (e.g. by replacing with low-cost rapid-response gasturbine generating sets some of the existing slow response
steam-turbine power stations, as they become obsolescent
over the next two decades), the potential wind-energy contribution could be substantially greater. Similar studies of
wind/diesel systems for isolated communities have shown
that fuel savings of up to about 50% appear feasible. The
primary value of the energy output from wind turbines is,
consequently, the value of the fuel that they save; diesel oil
in small isolated communities and fuel oil and/or coal for
larger-scale applications. The cost of wind energy, which
includes the amortisation of the wind turbines' capital cost,
as well as their direct operating and maintenance costs,
should therefore be competitive with the local costs of
these fuels.
Although the generation of electricity, either for use
locally or for distribution via the grid system, will
undoubtedly provide the main applications for future
wind-turbine systems, some traditional applications (and,
in particular, water pumping) will continue to be important in many countries. The development of lower-cost
multibladed water-pumping windmills could indeed have
the same beneficial effects in many developing countries
that it had in the USA, before rural electrification, when
the use of water-pumping windmills, literally by the
million, greatly assisted farming development. Waterpumping applications are facilitated by the fact that one
can compensate for day-by-day fluctuations in the wind by
using water storage tanks.
It is, of course, important that the environmental consequences of using wind turbines be carefully examined. The
main areas of potential concern are noise, electromagnetic
interference and visual intrusion. Well designed machines
will be inaudible above the background noise level (which
itself increases as the wind speed increases) beyond distances of 100-200 m. In most countries with active windenergy programmes, it is presumed that medium or large
wind turbines, i.e. with diameters upwards from 20 m, and
ratings above 100 kW, will not be located closer than
200 m to any habitation. Infrasound, i.e. pressure waves at
(6)
Pm~0.25pVi
below audible frequencies, must also be considered as a
see Reference 8. For Vm = 5.5 m/s this gives Pm cz potential nuisance, although only one wind turbine (the
American Mod 1, see the following text) has actually
50 W/m2, equivalent to 450 kWh/m2 annually. For
caused infrasound problems. Electromagnetic interference
Vm = 8 m/s the average power output Pm ~ 160 W/m2,
could be a problem if a large wind turbine or group of
corresponding to 1400 kWh/m2 annually. These figures are
wind turbines were placed between a residential area and
relative to the rotor swept area A; relative to the blade
the TV transmitter serving the area. With care in siting,
area, the power densities are at least an order of magnitude
this type of problem can usually be avoided; if not it may
larger. These average power densities are such that calcube necessary to instal a TV signal repeater. Some visual
lated energy recovery periods are relatively short, typically
intrusion is unavoidable, because wind-turbine sites must
about 12 months; i.e. the energy invested in the construchave good exposure to the prevailing winds, but visual
tion of a modern wind turbine will be returned within the
impact can be minimised by careful siting, and many
first 12 months of its operational life.
modern wind turbines are quite elegant in appearance.
As the energy output from wind turbines may vary
There is, moreover, the comforting knowledge that when,
markedly from one day to the next, in response to changat the end of its working life, a wind turbine is dismantled,
ing wind speeds, careful consideration must be given to the
there are no continuing adverse environmental conseway it is used. Modern wind turbines will find their major
quences.
applications producing electricity, and operating in parallel with conventional power stations or, in smaller more
isolated communities, diesel engines. The coal or oil burnt
4
Recent developments
in the power stations or diesel engines provides the hour
by hour certainty that there will be sufficient power to
In the decade since 1973, many countries have initiated
meet the demand; the wind turbines contribute energy to
substantial wind-energy research and development prothe system, as and when the wind blows, so that the overall
grammes, and the continuing application of modern design
fuel consumption can be significantly reduced. Recent
and manufacturing methods has led to rapid progress. The
studies, e.g. References 3 and 9, indicate that the UK grid
American programme has been particularly noteworthy. It
system in its present form could accept a contribution of
commenced in 1973, and by September 1975 the first
approximately 20% from wind energy. Further assessmedium-scale test-bed machine, the Mod 0, was in operments indicate that, with modification to the future plant
ation near Cleveland, Ohio. This horizontal-axis wind
510
Fig. 5
Fig. 7
512
completion is due in the winter of 1985-86. In the meantime, the Wind Energy Group has designed and constructed the 20 m-diameter 250 kW-rated MS-1 wind
turbine shown in Fig. 8. This has its rotor upwind of the
tower, and its blades have load-carrying steel spars, each
with a surrounding aerofoil-shaped skin made from glassfibre-rcinforccd composite; power limitation and control in
Fig. 8
Wind Energy Group 20 m diameter, 250 kW wind turbine,
Orkney, UK
1983
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
market for such machines can be expected to grow substantially, as increased production rates lead to lower
capital costs. The UK has so far seen little progress in the
development of wind turbines in this size range, partly due
to lack of the government support which is provided in
Denmark and elsewhere, and partly due to uncertainties as
to the tariffs which would be applied by area electricity
boards to individually owned, grid-connected wind turbines. This second problem has now been resolved with the
publication in October 1983 of the relevant tariffs, as
required by the May 1983 Energy Act.
Grid-connected small wind turbines (where 'small'
denotes diameters up to about 20 m, and ratings up to
about 100 kW) have applications in rural areas in many
developed countries, as well as in some developing countries. They also have considerable potential in remote locations, world wide, operating in parallel with diesel engines
as fuel savers. The problems in optimising and engineering
a satisfactory wind/diesel system are substantial, but
progress is being made and a number of wind/diesel
installations are now being field tested.
In the USA, many manufacturers are now producing
small wind turbines for a wide variety of applications
including water pumping and battery charging in remote
locations, although the greatest market is for gridconnected wind turbines. Although many of these gridconnected machines are individual installations, as in
Denmark, many more are being installed in arrays, i.e.
wind farms. The wind-farm concept was pioneered by US
Windpower and their installation in the Altamont Pass, to
the east of San Francisco, contains several hundred wind
turbines, each with a diameter of 17 m and rated at 50 kW.
Fig. 11 shows part of this wind farm. The concept has been
their purchase, at an agreed rate, of all the electricity generated. Individual investors in a wind farm contribute
several thousand dollars, and several hundred such investors are formed into a partnership which owns and operates the wind farm. Federal and State tax credits and
allowances are such that high-rate taxpayers (paying tax at
a top rate of about 50%) can recoup most of their investment in the first year of operation, and almost all of the
remainder over the next four years, virtually regardless of
how much energy the wind turbines actually produce.
Given good, reliable machines on a well chosen site, the
potential return on the investment is a very attractive one,
and as indicated the financial risk is minimal; hence the
recent rapid growth of wind-farm developments. However,
concern has been expressed that the tax concessions are
too generous, and are encouraging some manufacturers to
proceed from prototype construction to volume production without adequate field testing; there is already evidence that the machines installed in some wind farms are
not very reliable and, consequently, have a low availability.
The more responsible wind-farm developers are proceeding
more cautiously and accumulating much valuable experience, which will undoubtedly have applications in many
other parts of of the world.
There are, so far, no wind farms outside the USA,
although the Netherlands is proceeding with plans to
instal a 10 MW wind farm at Sexebierum, which will
contain about forty wind turbines, each about 25 m diameter and rated at approximately 250 kW; this is due for
completion in 1985.
5
Economics
400
C,o
300
+
E I
200
0*
100
oE
A"
10
Fig. 12
diameter
20 30
40
+
&
o
E
prototype
production 1's
production 10's
denotes
estinyite ,
100 110 120
50 60 70 80 90
diameter.m
Normalised cost per unit area, variation with wind-turbine
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cost
area
.43
(7)
Conclusions
516
References
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