Professional Documents
Culture Documents
26 September 2014
Contents
26 September 2014
Introduction
Company
Valuation considerations
Appendices
Introduction
Background
Mandate
Evaluation procedure
Information basis
26 September 2014
Introduction
Background
Background
Nobel Biocare announced on 29 July 2014 that the company had been
contacted by third parties who were interested in possibly acquiring the
company (media release). The company retained a financial advisor to
evaluate the interest of potential acquirers
26 September 2014
Introduction
Mandate
Mandate of the Board of Directors
The fairness opinion is intended solely for use by the Board of Directors
of Nobel Biocare as part of its report to the shareholders in connection
with the offer (in compliance with the Takeover Board ordinance on
public takeover offers)
This fairness opinion can be used for publication in connection with the
public tender offer. It may also be referred to in the offer prospectus
dated 1 October 2014. Use for any other purposes is not permitted
Swiss Capital has neither performed an audit as defined by law, nor any
kind of due diligence
26 September 2014
Introduction
Evaluation procedure
Evaluation procedure
The valuation analysis results in a value range for the operating entity
and the Equity Value of Nobel Biocare, respectively. The implied value
range for a Nobel Biocare share is an indication that can be used to
assess the financial fairness and appropriateness of the offer
The value range for Nobel Biocare as a company and the derived value
per registered share was calculated primarily on the basis of the
discounted cash flow method (DCF method). Sensitivity analyses were
also carried out as part of the DCF method by varying the major value
drivers. Additional valuation methods such as trading multiples and
transaction multiples as well as premiums from other public takeovers
were considered to test the plausibility of the DCF results
26 September 2014
Introduction
Information basis
Information basis
Swiss Capital made use of the following information for its assessment:
Capital market and financial data for Nobel Biocare and selected
trading multiples (source: Bloomberg)
26 September 2014
The information and criteria in this document are effective as of the date
on which this document was prepared
Company
Overview and group structure
Business activities and products
Historic financials
Market and positioning
Strategic planning
26 September 2014
Company
The company is listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange (SIX: NOBN) since
2002 and offers a wide range of solutions, from single tooth to fully
edentulous indications with dental implant systems. Alongside tooth
implants, the product range includes prosthetics, software and
diagnostics equipment
2x
Sales markets
(direct & via sales
partners)
7x production sites
Headquarters
Group structure
Group structure
NB Holding AG
NB
Services
AG
(CH)
NB AG
(CH)
NB
Management AG
(CH)
4 subsidiaries
NB AsiaAfrica
Holding
AG
(CH)
12 subsidiaries
AlphaBio Tec
Dental
Implants
SA (ZA)
NB AB
(SE)
21 subsidiaries
NB
Finance
AG
(CH)
NB
Holding
USA Inc.
(US)
32 subsidiaries
Company
Nobel Biocare offers tooth implants, full ceramic crowns, bridges, guided
implant surgery, as well as scanners and software for CAD/CAM
systems1. The company is active primarily in the premium segment,
which makes up approx. 60% of the dental implant market. The value
segment with lower-priced solutions makes up the remaining 40%
The company offers dentists and dental technicians comprehensive
customer service through its sales force of more than 750 people, an
online shop and a wide range of training and continuing education
programs
Operations are divided into three geographic regions EMEA (Europe,
Middle East and Africa), Americas and APAC (Asia-Pacific), with EMEA
and Americas each providing ca. 40% of revenue. The most important
countries are the United States (ca. 33% of 2013 revenue) and Japan
(ca. 9% of 2013 revenue)
EUR m
800
569
580
567
22%
21%
18%
37%
39%
41%
42%
40%
41%
600
400
200
2011
2012
Americas
EMEA
2013
Asia/Pacific
Product portfolio
The Nobel Biocare product portfolio is divided into the two business
segments of Implant Systems and Individualized Solutions, which are
sold in all three geographical regions and often as combined solutions
14%
86%
Implant Systems
Individualized Solutions
26 September 2014
1) Computer-aided manufacturing
10
Company
Historic financials
Revenue for 2013 and H1 2014
Margin (%)
EUR m
800
600
40%
577
19.9%
400
581
(+2.0%)
569
(-1.3%)
567
(-2.4%)
18.4%
17.5%
16.1%
12.7%
11.9%
11.3%
10%
85
72
46
40
69
64
46
43
0%
2010
Revenue
2011
EBIT
Net profit
2012
2013
EBITDA margin
EBIT margin
EUR m
20%
14.7%
200
Margins
30%
450
The reported EBIT margin in 2013 was 11.3% (EBITDA margin 16.1%).
Adjusted for one-time costs relating to strategic reorganisation and
currency effects, the 2013 EBIT margin was 13.4%
The company has implemented various cost-cutting measures and
efficiency programs since 2012, which were reflected in a significant
improvement in EBIT margin in H1 2014. The margin increased to 15.8%
in H1 2014 based on constant exchange rates (and 15.0% after
adjustment for currency effects), in comparison to an EBIT margin of
10.7%1 in H1 2013 (identical before and after currency effects)
45%
283
(-2.2%)
289
300
30%
15.8%
150
10.7%
15%
15.0%
10.7%
0
0%
H1 2013
Revenue
H1 2014
EBIT margin (reported)
26 September 2014
Sources: Nobel Biocare 2013 annual report and (presentation of) Interim Report 2, 2014
1) 2013 margin includes EUR 6.2m non-recurring costs for headquarter realignment. Adjusted margin at 12.9%
11
Company
Nobel Biocare is active in the cheaper value segment via its separate
brand Alpha-Bio Tec (ABT), but only has a market share of approx. 3%
Across both segments, Nobel Biocare has a market share of approx. 18%
2.5
2.0
Premium
Value
1.5
1.0
0.5
Nobel
Biocare
Premium
market
share: 29%
Nobel
Biocare
Value
market
share: 3%
Premium
EUR 1.5 bn
(59% of total)
Value
EUR 1.1 bn
(41% of total)
EUR bn
3.0
Nobel Biocare
market share 18%
Nobel Biocare;
18%
Camlog;
5%
Biomet 3i
acquired by Zimmer
Holdings in Q2 20144
Zimmer &
Biomet 3i; 12%
Dentsply;
13%
26 September 2014
12
Company
Recent market studies suggest that only approx. 1% of all missing teeth
are currently treated with implants1. This is due mainly to a) the high
costs of treatment and b) lack of education among dentists and other
dental professionals
Of the roughly 1.7 million licensed dentists worldwide, only around
200,000 (ca. 12%) place implants. About 10 million patients are treated
and some 12 million implants placed each year
Market research studies2 for the dental implant market predict market
growth of 7.7% p.a. for the period 2014-2018 (premium and value
segments, not including abutment3 sales), driven among other things by
significant growth in China and Latin America
Nobel Biocare applies a more conservative market estimate and is
expecting medium-term growth of ca. 4% p.a. for the global dental
implants market (including abutment sales)
EUR m
2'500
CAGR
+7.7%
11%
2'000
1'500
1'000
5%
Despite the positive outlook for Nobel Biocare, there are several risk
factors that could have a negative impact on market prospects and
Nobel Biocares financial planning
Nobel Biocare is active in the premium segment and has only limited
exposure to the dynamically growing value segment. Strong competition
from value providers and lower priced products could impact the
expected market growth in the premium segment and/or increase price
pressure in the premium segment
Specific risks in terms of product quality and safety (recalls, periimplantitis4), negative media campaigns (e.g. in Japan) and patent
disputes could negatively impact Nobel Biocares business
26 September 2014
9%
16%
17%
28%
27%
26%
25%
29%
43%
41%
40%
39%
37%
2017
2018
9%
9%
17%
500
18%
0
2015
Europe
9%
9%
4%
8%
16%
2014
Risks
7%
USA
2016
APAC
LATAM
China
Source: EU/NA iData 2013, LATAM/APAC/China iData 2012 APAC = Japan, Australia, South Korea
Sources: 1) Figures according to Nobel Biocare 2013 annual report 2) EU/NA iData 2013, LATAM/APAC/China iData 2012
3) Abutments are the connecting elements between the tooth implant and the prosthetic treatment (tooth crowns) 4) Inflammation of the soft and hard tissues
13
Company
Strategic planning
Strategy
Nobel Biocare and Straumann differentiate themselves from their direct
competitors in terms of service level and product value. Nobel Biocare
also stands out for its extensive product and solutions portfolio as well
as its variety of clinical treatments. In recent years, however, Nobel
Biocare has lost market share to Straumann. New strategic initiatives
are targeted at improving its relative market position in order to win back
market share
Nobel
Biocare
The management expects that the company will outgrow the market and
will win back market share. For 2014, the company targets 3-4%
revenue growth (at constant exchange rates) and an EBIT margin
improvement of about 1.5-2.0 percentage points (from 12.1%1 in 2013)
For the 3-5 years after 2014, the company targets to grow faster than
the market average and to improve its EBIT margin by 1.0-1.5
percentage points each year
Zimmer
Danaher
Implant
Discounter 1
Discounter 2
Discounter 3
Discounter n
Product Value
Straumann
Astra /
Dentsply
Biomet
3i
Service Level
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
H1/2014
10%
14%
12%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
Nobel Biocare
Straumann
Biomet 3i
Zimmer
Dentsply
1) Margin without one-time costs for strategic reorganisation 2) One company in the future (Zimmer Holdings)
14
Valuation considerations
Valuation process
Discounted cash flow method
Share price and analyst estimates
Comparable companies
Comparable transactions
Premiums of public takeovers
26 September 2014
15
Valuation considerations
Valuation process
Basic information
The discounted cash flow (DCF) method has been used as the primary
valuation method to determine the fair value of the Nobel Biocare
shares. The DCF method allows to include several company-specific
factors
The key assumptions of the underlying business plan have been tested
for plausibility in several dialogues with the company management and
compared to industry benchmarks
The DCF method is regarded as one of the most recognised and accurate
methods in company valuation
The DCF method has therefore been applied as the primary valuation
method
Trading multiples
Number of shares
The group also has two active employee stock option plans, the
Restricted Share Unit Plan (RSUP) and the Performance Share Unit
Plan (PSUP). A total of 1,699,157 options have been issued under these
plans
Transaction multiples
The prices paid in such transactions vary greatly according to the specific
interests of the parties involved. To a certain degree, they are based on
subjective valuations. Consequently, it is crucial to carefully analyse the
transaction parameters (majority or minority shareholdings, high strategic
premiums based on synergies, tax benefits, etc.)
Nr. of Shares
Ausgegebene Aktien
Treasury Shares
Shares outstanding
RSUP+PSUP
Fully diluted shares outstanding
26 September 2014
123'784'530
1'379'552
122'404'978
1'699'157
124'104'135
1) Date of Danahers pre-announcement. Any deviations from this date, such as for net financial iabilities, are explicitly noted
16
Valuation considerations
The DCF method is based on future free cash flow projections before
financing activities. This represents cash flows available to both equity
investors and debt providers that are then discounted at the weighted
average cost of capital (WACC)1 to the date of valuation in order to
reflect the time value of money as well as the entrepreneurial risk
The DCF calculation is based primarily on the 2014 budget and the
2015-2019 business plan established by management
The resulting Enterprise Value is the aggregate of the free cash flow
during the business plan period until 2019, during the extended planning
period from 2020-2023 and the terminal value, which are discounted to
15 September 2014 at the weighted average cost of capital
The enumeration on the lower right illustrates how the free cash flow
calculation, based on earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), is
derived
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is defined as the cost of
capital or required rate of return for equity investors and debt providers.
The cost of equity is calculated using the capital asset pricing model
(CAPM). The WACC for Nobel Biocare is calculated based on the
following assumptions
26 September 2014
Extended
planning period
Assuming
perpetual
cash flow
FCFn+1
DCF0
FCF2
FCF1
FCF3
FCF5
FCF4
FCFn-1
FCFn
17
Valuation considerations
COST OF EQUITY
Risk-free interest rate: Since Nobel Biocare generates nearly all of its
revenue (ca.99%) outside of Switzerland, a regionally 1 revenue-weighted
average of 10-year government bonds of the most revenue-intense
currencies (USD, EUR, JPY) was used to derive the risk-free interest rate
applied
Debt / Equity
7.3%
Unlevered Beta
1.06
Market Premium
5.0%
Relevered Beta
1.12
Risk-free Rate
1.7%
Equity Risk Premium
5.6%
Equity
93.2%
Cost of Equity
9.3%
Country Premium
0.8%
Tax rate: According to the long-term average tax rate of 19.0% used in
the business plan
26 September 2014
WACC
8.8%
COST OF DEBT
Risk-free Rate
1.7%
Spread
1.2%
Cost of Debt
2.9%
Tax Rate
19.0%
Debt
6.8%
After-tax Cost of Debt
2.3%
18
Valuation considerations
Net cash
Net cash was EUR 71.5 million as of 30 June 2014. Accounting for longterm pension obligations of EUR 17.7 million, net cash decreases to
EUR 53.9 million
Debt-like items of EUR 11.3 million were also considered. These items
consist primarily of the expected cash outflow relating to provisions
made for restructuring (Procera) and one-time tax risks
In total, the valuation includes adjusted net cash of EUR 17.6 million as
per 30 June 2014
Revenue
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of revenue for the planning
period 2014-2019 is 6.2%
EBITDA
The EBITDA margin increases from 17.9% to 25.9% in the same period
primarily due to increasing revenues (operating leverage), the
restructuring measures implemented (Procera, etc.) and efficiency gains
(various programs such as sales force streamlining initiatives)
Tax rate
Management expects the tax rate to decrease slightly from its current
level of 22.6% to 19.0% towards the end of the planning period (the
average tax rate in Switzerland currently amounts to 17.9%)
Adjusted net cash: EUR 17.6 million (as per 30 June 2014)
26 September 2014
19
Valuation considerations
EUR m
Sum of "un-levered" Free Cashflows 2014-23 (@ 8.8% WACC)
Present Value of Terminal Value (@ 2.0% perpetual growth rate)
1'002.5
1'696.6
= Equity Value
The adjusted net cash position of EUR 17.6 million has been added to
the Enterprise Value to determine the Equity Value of Nobel Biocare
Based on 124.1 million shares (fully diluted), a EUR/CHF exchange rate
of 1.21 and the sensitivity analyses of key value drivers, a DCF value
per Nobel Biocare share of CHF 15.5-18.0 as per 15 September 2014 is
derived
694.1
17.6
1'714.2
124.1
13.8
1.21
16.7
15.5 - 18.0
Sensitivities
Enterprise value (EUR millions) at
perpetual growth rate
WACC
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
7.8%
1'806.6
1'898.3
2'005.9
2'133.8
2'288.4
8.3%
1'674.3
1'750.5
1'838.8
1'942.3
2'065.4
8.8%
1'559.4
1'623.3
1'696.6
1'781.6
1'881.2
9.3%
1'458.7
1'512.8
1'574.3
1'644.9
1'726.7
9.8%
1'369.6
1'415.8
1'467.9
1'527.1
1'595.1
26 September 2014
WACC
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
7.8%
17.7
18.6
19.7
20.9
22.4
8.3%
16.4
17.2
18.0
19.0
20.2
8.8%
15.3
15.9
16.7
17.5
18.5
9.3%
14.3
14.9
15.5
16.2
17.0
9.8%
13.5
13.9
14.4
15.0
15.7
20
Valuation considerations
The chart to the right shows the historical development of Nobel Biocares
share price over the last twelve months (LTM). The closing price on
15 September 2014 was CHF 17.05
The 60-day VWAP is defined as the volume-weighted average price of all
stock market transactions executed during the last 60 trading days
The 60-day VWAP as per 12 September 2014 was CHF 16.02 (last
VWAP before the valuation date as per 15 September 2014)
The monthly median of daily traded volumes over the full last twelve
months before the media release was 0.27% at its minimum, and thus
well above the liquidity threshold of 0.04% 1
20
15
6'000
10
4'000
2'000
0
Aug-13
0
Oct-13
Dec-13
Feb-14
Volume
Source: Bloomberg
Mar-14
NOBN
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
SPI
Analyst estimates
The average target price of all analysts is approx. CHF 15.5 per share
The average price of analysts who did not factor in a takeout valuation
assessment is approx. CHF 14.8 per share
Date
12-Sep-14
11-Sep-14
10-Sep-14
08-Sep-14
02-Sep-14
01-Sep-14
01-Sep-14
29-Aug-14
28-Aug-14
28-Aug-14
22-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
31-Jul-14
23-Jun-14
Analyst
Barclays
Bank am Bellevue
Credit Suisse
Commerzbank
Bernstein
Kepler Cheuvreux
Main First
Berenberg
HSBC
Jefferies
Bank Vontobel
Deutsche Bank
JPMorgan
Exane BNP Paribas
UBS
Goldman Sachs
Recommendation
Hold
Hold
Buy
Hold
Hold
Hold
Sell
Hold
Sell
Sell
Hold
Hold
Sell
Sell
Hold
Hold
8'000
2) Source: Bloomberg
Target price
17.2
12.7
20.0
13.5
18.5
17.5
14.0
16.6
14.4
13.5
17.0
16.0
12.0
16.0
16.0
13.0
Takeout valuation
No
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
15.5
14.8
21
Valuation considerations
Comparable companies
Market-based valuation trading multiples
Since the number of pure-play peer companies in the market for dental
implants and prosthetic solutions is limited, the universe of potential
comparable companies has been extended to include listed competitors
in adjacent industries such as dental equipment or medical supplies
It was further considered that the selected comparable companies
generate a substantial share of their revenues in dentistry or ideally have
a subsidiary in the dental implant market (such as Zimmer)
The group of selected companies has also been compared with broker
and industry reports in order to ensure that the most suitable companies
are included in the selection
The list of selected comparable companies can be found in Appendix 3
EUR m
EBITDA
101.6
EBITDA Mutiple
14.8x
The average of the group of these EBITDA multiples (14.8x) was applied
to the EBITDA 2014 of Nobel Biocare, resulting in an Enterprise Value for
Nobel Biocare of EUR 1.5 billion. The value per share was increased by
10% (upper threshold) and decreased by 10% (lower threshold) to derive
the value range. This range based on trading multiples amounts to
CHF 13.3-16.2
26 September 2014
17.6
1'519.0
124.1
12.2
1.21
1'501.5
Valuation result
2014
14.8
13.3 - 16.2
22
Valuation considerations
Comparable transactions
Market-based valuation transaction multiples
EUR m
2013
EBITDA
91.3
EBITDA Mutiple
Valuation result
This resulted in an Enterprise Value of EUR 1.3 billion. The value per
share was increased by 10% (upper threshold) and decreased by 10%
(lower threshold) to derive the value range. This value range calculated
using the transaction multiples amounts to CHF 11.7-14.3
26 September 2014
= Equity Value
Number of fully diluted shares outstanding (m)
14.5x
1'323.2
17.6
1'340.8
124.1
10.8
1.21
13.0
11.7 - 14.3
23
Valuation considerations
CHF
'000
20.0
10'000
+35%
17.5
7'500
+25 %
5'000
Closing price as per 28 July 2014 of CHF 13.85
12.5
10.0
Mar-14
2'500
May-14
Volume
Jun-14
NOBN
0
Sep-14
Jul-14
SPI
Source: Bloomberg
Since 2006, average premiums of 29% were paid compared to the closing
price 4 weeks before the announcement of the tender offer and approx.
30% compared to the 60-day VWAP on the day before the announcement
of the tender offer
26 September 2014
15.0
24
26 September 2014
25
The DCF valuation results in a value range of CHF 15.5-18.0 per share
26 September 2014
VWAP: 13.3
(as per 28.07.2014)1
Offer: 17.1
15.5
DCF
18.0
13.3
Trading multiples
16.2
11.7
Transaction multiples
14.3
12.1
14.4
17.3
10
12
18.7
17.2
14
16
18
20
Kurt Regg
Senior Partner
1) The day before the media release regarding the takeover approach on 29 July 2014
Martin Menzi
Senior Partner
26
Appendices
Appendix 1: Calculation of adjusted net cash
Appendix 2: Analysis of betas and derivation of WACC
Appendix 3: Trading multiples
Appendix 4: Transaction multiples
Appendix 5: Public takeover premiums
Appendix 6: List of abbreviations
26 September 2014
27
Appendix 1
30 June 2014
-101.1
-4.2
Pension liabilites
-17.7
172.7
26 September 2014
4.1
53.9
-25.0
28.9
-11.3
17.6
28
Appendix 2
WACC describes the weighted required rate of return for equity investors and debt providers. The cost of equity capital is calculated using the capital asset
pricing model (CAPM). The cost of debt has been adjusted with the expected tax rate of 19%. The beta of Nobel Biocare is the two-year beta as per 28 July
2014 (last trading date before the media release confirming the takeover approach on 29 July 2014)
Comparable
Levered
companies
beta
1.39
Marginal
Debt
Equity market
Debt to
Unlevered
Levered
Unlevered
tax rate
(LCm)
value (LCm)
equity
return
17.9%
122.4
2'110.5
5.8%
beta
1.33
8.6%
return
8.3%
Straumann
0.99
17.9%
203.6
3'500.6
5.8%
0.94
6.6%
6.4%
Dentsply
0.87
40.0%
1'367.2
6'616.8
20.7%
0.77
6.0%
5.6%
Sirona
0.69
40.0%
79.5
4'492.9
1.8%
0.68
5.1%
5.1%
Align
1.70
40.0%
0.0
4'352.3
0.0%
1.70
10.2%
10.2%
Zimmer
0.96
40.0%
1'687.4
17'663.6
9.6%
0.91
6.5%
6.2%
Average
1.10
7.3%
1.06
7.2%
7.0%
Nobel Biocare
32.6%
Macroeconomic
assumptions
0.96
1.01
1.06
1.11
1.16
Risk-free rate
1.7%
Debt/equity
2.3%
8.5%
8.8%
9.0%
9.3%
9.6%
Risk premium
5.0%
4.8%
8.6%
8.9%
9.2%
9.4%
9.7%
1.2%
7.3%
8.7%
9.0%
9.3%
9.5%
9.8%
0.8%
9.8%
8.8%
9.1%
9.4%
9.6%
9.9%
8.7%
12.3%
8.9%
9.2%
9.5%
9.7%
10.0%
WACC5
Unlevered betas
Capital structure
Debt to
Equity to
Cost
capitalization
capitalization
of debt
0.96
1.01
1.06
1.11
1.16
2.2%
97.8%
1.9%
2.3%
8.4%
8.6%
8.9%
9.1%
9.4%
4.5%
95.5%
2.4%
4.8%
8.3%
8.6%
8.8%
9.1%
9.3%
6.8%
93.2%
2.9%
7.3%
8.3%
8.5%
8.8%
9.0%
9.3%
8.9%
91.1%
3.4%
9.8%
8.3%
8.5%
8.8%
9.0%
9.3%
10.9%
89.1%
3.4%
12.3%
8.2%
8.5%
8.7%
9.0%
9.2%
Debt/equity
2) Unlevered beta = (levered beta/(1 + ((1 - tax rate) * debt/equity)). Assumes beta of debt = 0.0
5) WACC = ((debt/capitalization * (cost of debt * (1 - tax rate))) + (equity/capitalization * levered cost of equity))
26 September 2014
29
Appendix 2
Explanation
Source
1.7%
5.0%
MRP is the difference between the market return and the risk-free rate of
respective government bonds over a relevant time period
Damodaran: "Equity Risk Premiums (ERP) Determinants, Estimation and Implications" (2014)
0.8%
1.2%
Ibbotson (2012)
Beta (unlevered)
1.06
Beta (relevered)
1.12
Cost of equity
9.3%
Formula: k e = rf + L x MRP + s p + cc
1.7%
Spread (cs)
1.2%
The spread is defined as the difference between the calculated risk-free rate
and the effective financing costs of Nobel Biocare
Company information
19.0%
2.3%
Equity to capitalization
93.2%
Debt to capitalization
6.8%
WACC
8.8%
26 September 2014
30
Appendix 3
Trading multiples
Enterprise Value to
Company
LC
Share Price
Perform. 52w
Market Cap.
(CHF m)
Net Debt
(CHF m)
Nobel Biocare
CH
22.0%
2'110.5
(89.4)
Straumann
CH
25.4%
3'500.6
(135.8)
Dentsply
US
5.8%
6'191.0
Sirona
US
18.1%
4'203.8
Align
US
15.1%
4'072.3
Zimmer
US
27.7%
16'527.0
EV
(CHF m)
Revenues
EBITDA
EBIT
2014
2015
2016
2014
2015
2016
2014
2015
2016
2'021.1
2.9x
2.8x
2.6x
16.4x
14.4x
13.1x
22.3x
18.7x
16.3x
3'364.7
4.9x
4.1x
3.7x
19.9x
15.5x
13.5x
24.3x
19.1x
16.5x
7'408.8
2.6x
2.6x
2.5x
12.7x
11.9x
10.8x
15.7x
14.6x
13.2x
(203.5)
4'002.7
3.6x
3.3x
3.1x
13.0x
11.7x
NA
16.4x
14.9x
14.1x
(470.3)
3'601.9
5.0x
4.4x
3.9x
18.6x
16.3x
14.0x
20.3x
17.5x
15.0x
(9.9)
16'518.9
3.7x
3.6x
3.5x
9.7x
9.3x
8.5x
12.2x
11.6x
11.0x
High*
5.0x
4.4x
3.9x
19.9x
16.3x
14.0x
24.3x
19.1x
16.5x
Average*
4.0x
3.6x
3.3x
14.8x
12.9x
11.7x
17.8x
15.5x
14.0x
Median*
3.7x
3.6x
3.5x
13.0x
11.9x
12.2x
16.4x
14.9x
14.1x
Low*
2.6x
2.6x
2.5x
9.7x
9.3x
8.5x
12.2x
11.6x
11.0x
1'216.6
2014
Nobel Biocare
0.6%
Straumann
1.8%
Dentsply
1.7%
Sirona
6.2%
EBITDA Margin
EBIT Margin
2016
2014
2015
2016
2014
2015
2016
5.0%
5.4%
17.8%
19.3%
20.2%
13.1%
14.9%
16.2%
17.9%
10.3%
24.4%
26.6%
27.6%
20.0%
21.5%
22.7%
3.3%
4.1%
20.8%
21.4%
22.7%
16.8%
17.5%
18.6%
8.8%
7.1%
27.4%
27.9%
29.0%
21.7%
22.4%
21.7%
15.5%
13.6%
13.9%
27.2%
27.3%
27.9%
24.9%
25.4%
26.1%
Zimmer
2.2%
3.8%
3.6%
38.6%
38.9%
40.7%
30.6%
31.1%
31.5%
High*
Align
2015
15.5%
17.9%
13.9%
38.6%
38.9%
40.7%
30.6%
31.1%
31.5%
Average*
5.5%
9.5%
7.8%
27.7%
28.4%
29.6%
22.8%
23.6%
24.1%
Median*
2.2%
8.8%
7.1%
27.2%
27.3%
27.9%
21.7%
22.4%
22.7%
Low*
1.7%
3.3%
3.6%
20.8%
21.4%
22.7%
16.8%
17.5%
18.6%
26 September 2014
31
Appendix 4
Transaction multiples
Enterprise value EUR(m)
Target
revenue
EV/
sales
EV/
EBITDA
150
45
3.3x
7.5x
MDH AG Mamisch Dental Health is a Germany based company which provides foreign dental
prosthesis
BioHorizons, Inc.
(60% Stake)
186
87
2.1x
n.a.
04.04.2013
Heraeus Dental
450
354
1.3x
n.a.
Heraeus Dental, is a Germany based provider of cosmetic dentistry, tooth preservation, prosthetics,
periodontalgy and digital dentistry
04.12.2012
227
82
2.8x
10.4x
16.05.2012
Neodent
(49% Stake)
Straumann Holding AG
444
69
6.3x
12.9x
Neodent is a Brazil based company engaged in manufacturing of dental implants and related
prosthetic components, mainly active in the value segment
22.06.2011
Astra Tech AB
DENTSPLY International
1'254
400
3.4x
17.1x
Astra Tech AB is a Sweden based developer and manufacturer of healthcare devices for single use
and dental implants
26.04.2011
257
120
2.1x
16.8x
EDP European Dental Partners Holding GmbH, is a Germany based company engaged in the
design, manufacture, and trade of dental equipment
29.03.2011
Cadent, Inc.
135
28
4.8x
n.a.
Cadent, Inc., is a US based provider of 3D digital scanning solutions for orthodontics and dentistry
industries
18.11.2010
220
44
5.0x
n.a.
Implant Direct LLC, is a US based company engaged in manufacturing dental implant products
13.10.2009
PaloDEx Group Oy
Danaher Corporation
276
77
3.6x
20.3x
PaloDEx Group Oy, is a Finland based designer and manufacturer of dental imaging (x-ray)
equipment for dentists
11.11.2008
194
69
2.8x
14.5x
BioCad Medical Inc., is a Canada based medical prosthetic software developer headquartered in
Quebec
15.01.2008
131
51
2.5x
14.5x
12.04.2006
Danaher Corporation
1'738
541
3.2x
14.5x
Sybron Dental Specialties Inc is a US-based company that designs, manufactures and markets
dental, dental implant, and infection prevention products
26.09.2005
1'213
320
3.8x
19.8x
Sirona Dental Systems GmbH, is a Germany based manufacturer of dental equipment and
technologies
02.05.2005
800
320
2.5x
13.1x
Sirona Dental Systems GmbH, is a German manufacturer of equipment for dental practices,
laboratories and clinics
29.03.2004
Danaher Corporation
350
450
0.8x
n.a.
10.11.2003
EQT Partners AB
418
284
1.5x
n.a.
28.12.2000
Friadent GmbH
106
44
2.4x
n.a.
02.11.2000
116
33
3.3x
n.a.
Core Vent Corporation/ Paragon Implant Company, is a provider of medical services and products
30.08.1999
Biomet, Inc.
167
60
2.5x
17.0x
29.06.1998
Steri-Oss Inc
110
35
3.2x
n.a.
3.0x
2.8x
14.9x
14.5x
Date
Target company
Bidder company
26.02.2014
26.11.2013
Average
Median
26 September 2014
Source: Mergermarket
Target description
Kaltenbach & Voight GmbH (KaVo), is a German designer, manufacturer and supplier of dental
equipment
Sirona Group, is a German based dental equipment manufacturer
32
Appendix 5
Bidder
Consideration
Cash/Shares
Transaction
value (CHF m )
07-Jul-14
Nationale Suisse
Helvetia Holding AG
1'974
33%
33%
16-May-14
PubliGroupe SA
Swisscom AG
Cash
486
71%
73%
27-Nov-13
Cash
101
4%
4%
02-Oct-13
Acino Holding AG
Cash
522
57%
54%
05-Aug-13
SES Holding SA
Cash
164
N/A
2%
04-Jul-13
Schmolz + Bickenbach AG
Venetos Holding AG
Cash
1'483
0%
0%
31-Jul-12
Grupo Safra SA
Cash
699
1%
3%
12-Dec-11
ABB Ltd
Cash
175
40%
36%
08-Nov-11
Uster Technologies AG
Cash
372
7%
12%
20-Jun-11
EGL AG
Axpo Holding AG
Cash
2'244
0%
21%
17-May-11
Edipresse SA
Lamunire SA
Shares/Cash
2'378
N/A
N/A
26-Apr-11
Cash
796
2%
6%
11-Apr-11
Schulthess Group AG
NIBE Industrier AB
Shares/Cash
629
20%
24%
17-Jan-11
Artemis Beteiligungen
Cash
267
4%
7%
06-Dec-10
Winterthur Technologie AG
3M (Schweiz) AG
Cash
364
15%
23%
22-Sep-10
Cash
2'681
N/A
24%
28-Jul-10
Cash
214
75%
59%
05-Apr-09
Quadrant AG
Aquamit BV
Cash
237
0%
58%
15-Sep-08
BASF SE
Cash
3'453
59%
64%
26-Aug-08
Cash
385
21%
17%
Notes:
09-Jul-08
Speedel Holding AG
Novartis AG
Cash
511
74%
80%
12-Dec-07
Cash
1'567
0%
0%
10-Dec-07
Cash
639
55%
54%
07-Aug-07
Unilabs SA
Capio AB
Cash
747
94%
30%
Transaction value1 of at
least CHF 100 million
05-Mar-07
Getaz Romang SA
CRH PLC
26-Feb-07
Converium Holding AG
SCOR
459
22%
25%
Shares/Cash
19-Dec-06
SIG Holding AG
Cash
2'664
25%
16%
Cash
2'828
19%
52%
05-Jan-07
Serono International SA
Merck KGaA
Cash
21'931
28%
31%
07-Dec-06
Bank Linth
Liechtensteinische Landesbank
Cash
270
10%
31%
06-Sep-06
Saurer AG
OC Oerlikon AG
Cash
1'964
49%
36%
22-Aug-06
Agie Charmilles SA
Georg Fischer AG
733
12%
14%
31-Jan-06
Amazys Holding AG
X-Rite Inc
257
39%
38%
29%
21%
30%
25%
Shares/Cash
Cash
Average
Median
26 September 2014
33
Appendix 6
List of abbreviations
ABT
FCF
AG
FX
APAC
Asia-Pacific
H1
approx.
approximately
JPY
Japanese yen
bn
billions
LATAM
Latin America
ca.
circa
LC
Local currency
CAD/CAM
LTM
CAGR
millions
Capex
capital expenditures
N/A
not applicable
CAPM
NOBN
cf.
p.a.
per annum
CF
cash flow
PSUP
CHF
Swiss francs
RSUP
D&A
SIX
DCF
TOB
estimates
TV
terminal value
EBIT
US/USA
EBITDA
USD
US dollars
amortization
vs.
e.g.
VWAP
EMEA
WACC
EUR
euros
YoY
Year-on-year
EV
Enterprise Value
26 September 2014
34
Contact information
Kurt Regg
Senior Partner
Martin Menzi
Senior Partner
E
T
F
M
E
T
F
M
kruegg@n1swisscap.com
+41 44 226 52 32
+41 44 226 53 70
+41 79 401 92 53
menzi@n1swisscap.com
+41 44 226 52 54
+41 44 226 53 70
+41 76 320 72 21
+41 44 226 52 52
+41 44 226 52 53
www.n1swisscap.com
26 September 2014
35