Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FFWC
BWDB
Objective:
Increase deterministic flood forecast lead time
from 3-days upto 5 days
Develop capacity to forecast flash flood in the
north east region of Bangladesh
Extend flood forecast with respect to important
infrastructures & targeted BWDB projects
Develop & disseminate more user friendly
forecasts through improved web-site
Development of Local Area Network
Capacity development of FFWC
Planning
Implementation
Design
Hydrology
Surface
Water
Ground
Water
Admin
River
Morphology
Accounts
& Finance
Data
Processing
Flood Forecasting &
Warning Centre
Structural
Flood Control, Drainage and Irrigation projects
Coastal embankment
Dredging/de-siltation to increase conveyance
Riverbank Protection
Accelerated Land Reclamation
Salinity protection
Surface water retention (including rain water)
Non-structural
Flood and drought forecasting and Warning
Erosion Prediction (planned)
Hydrological data collection and survey
Capacity development
6 Stations
Bahadurabad, Serajganj, Aricha, on Jamuna
Goalondo, Bhagyakul and Hardinge Bridge
Based on correlation
on Padma
Upto 1990
FFWC
Started1972
Started1972
1995-2000
MIKE 11 Model with GISStarted1972
- 30-FF points - 48 hrs
2004-07 MIKE 11 Model with GIS - 38-FF points 72 hrs
CDMP-II (2011-14)
MIKE 11 Model with GIS - 38-FF points 120 hrs
Observe
Water
Level
Day-1
24 hrs
present
Day-2
48 hrs
future
Day-3
72 hrs
Forecast
Day-1
24 hrs
present
Observe
Day-2
48 hrs
future
Day-3
72 hrs
present
Day-1
24 hrs
Day-2
48 hrs
Day-3
72 hrs
future
Observe
Day-4
96 hrs
Day-5
120 hrs
Tidal
1. Monghla (Passure)
2. Ryanda(Baleshwer)
3. Patharghat( Biskhali)
4. Dosmina(Tetulia)
5. Daultkhan(Meghna)
Present condition
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
Flood Forecast
coverage
Water Level
Monitored by BWDB
Tidal 215
Non tidal 128
Total = 343
Recorded 5 times
a day
3 hourly interval
only day time
Rainfall Gauge
Preparation
Feed to
computer
Field Observation
Water Level
Rainfall
Water Level
from 73
stations
73x5=365
Rainfall 56
stations, daily
basis
06:00 to 09:00 hrs
FFWC
Office
Other Sources
BMD
Satellite image
Web-site
Indian data
Analysis &
Quality
check
08:30 to 10:30 hrs
Error
check
Model
Run
Result
consistency
check
10:30 to 11:00 hrs
Output
Flood
Bulletin
Preparation
Rainfall
Surface
Map
Flood
Inundation
Map
Dissemination
Dissemination
Through
Hard copy
E-mail
Fax
Phone
Web-site
SMS
Cell Broadcast
Distributed to
Policy makers
Disaster
managers (GO
& NGO)
Media
Others
11:30 to --------
Dissemination
Hard Copy Limited, policy makers and top officials
e-mail over 600 address in different groups, Ministries,
BWDB, Disaster management agencies, NGO, Research
Web-site www.ffwc.gov.bd
SMS Very limited
Lobby Display In front lobby of the main building
Evaluation 3 days
deterministic forecast
[m^3/s]
[-]
[m^3/s]
[m^3/s]
70000
Ganges at
Harding Bridge
60000
Discharge (m3/s)
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
2011
Apr
2011
May
2011
Jun
2011
Jul
2011
Aug
2011
Sep
2011
Oct
2011
Nov
2011
Danger Level-Q
[m^3/s]
Jamuna Bridge_SDT [-]
Simulated Discharge [m^3/s]
Station:Bahadurabad, River:Jamuna;
90000
Jamuna at
Bahadurabad
80000
Discharge (m3/s)
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
2011
Apr
2011
May
2011
Jun
2011
Jul
2011
Aug
2011
Sep
2011
Oct
2011
Nov
2011
100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
August
2012
September
2012
90000
Day1
Day2
Day3
Day4
Day5
0.912
0.908
0.882
0.824
0.737
80000
Satisfactory,
still chance of
improvement
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
Excellent match
20000
Need
improvement
10000
August
2012
Excellent match
September
2012
Performance
c~evfvm
hgybv b`x
Mv b`x
gNbv b`x
cv b`x
Chilmari
Bahadurabadi
Serajgonj
Aricha
Forecast Bulletin
5-day Forecast Bulletin for the Jamuna River
Chilmari
Bahadurabadi
Serajgonj
1-day
2-day
3-day
4-day
5-day
Chilmari on Brahmaputra
Bahadurabad on Jamuna
Kazipur on Jmuna
Sirajgonj on Jamuna
Porabari Jamuna
Aricha on Jamuna
5-days lead time
Poor to Good
Need
improvement
Chilmari on
Brahmaputra
Observe WL
Bahadurabad on
Jamuna
Serajgonj on
Jamuna
Aricha on
Jamuna
14.0
13.0
12.0
11.0
Observe
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
00:00
2012-04-23
00:00
04-25
00:00
04-27
00:00
04-29
00:00
05-01
12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
Observe
8.0
7.0
Flash Flood
Forecast trail
result For
Sunamgonj
(pilot area)
6.0
00:00
2012-04-23
00:00
04-25
00:00
04-27
00:00
04-29
00:00
05-01
9.0
8.0
7.0
Observe
6.0
5.0
4.0
00:00
2012-04-23
00:00
04-25
00:00
04-27
00:00
04-29
00:00
05-01
Existing Web-Site
Capacity Development
Training component started and one training has
been completed at the FFWC office during 23-27
September 2012. Total 14 official/professionals of
different disciplines participated from the BWDB.
Additional Forecast 16
Points, total will be 54 points
Additional water level gauges
Danger level fixation
Sl.No
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
River Name
Jamuna
Baulai
Old Surma
Kalni
Kushiyara
Jamuna
Jamuna
Dhaleswari
Dharala
Shitalakhya
Meghna
Mohananda
Ghagot
Atrai
Hurasagar
Padma
Station Name
Sariakandi
Khaliajuri
Derai
Markuli
Sherpur
Sarisabari
Dewanganj
Munshiganj
Kurigram
Lakhpur
Narsingdi
Chapai Newabganj
Gaibandha
Chanhkair
Baghabari
Charbhadhrasion
District
Bogra
Netrokona
Sunamganj
Hobiganj
Moulovibazar
Jamalpur
Jamalbari
Munshiganj
Kurigram
Narayanganj
Narsingdi
Chapai N. Ganj
Gaibandha
Natore
Sirajganj
Faridpur
Upazilla
Sariakandi
Khaliajuri
Derai
Ajmiriganj
Sherpur
Sarisabari
Dewanjganj
Munshiganj
Kurigram
Rupganj
Narsingdi
Chapai N. Ganj
Gaibandha
CDMP-II
Gurudaspur
Shahazadpur
Charbhadhrasion
additional 16 stations,
(38+16) total 54stations 120 hrs
www.ffwc.gov.bd
ffwc05@yahoo.com
ffwcbwdb@gmail.com