Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ASRXXX10.1177/00031224124400
Revenge of the
Managers: Labor CostCutting and the Paradoxical
Resurgence of Managerialism
in the Shareholder Value Era,
1984 to 2001
Adam Goldsteina
Abstract
Institutional changes associated with the rise of shareholder value capitalism have had
seemingly contradictory effects on managers and managerialism in the United States
economy. Financial critiques of inefficient corporate bureaucracies and the resulting wave
of downsizing, mergers, and computerization subjected managers to unprecedented layoffs
during the 1980s and 1990s as firms sought to become lean and mean. Yet the proportion
of managers and their average compensation continued to increase during this period. How
did the rise of anti-managerial investor ideologies and strategies oriented toward reducing
companies labor costs coincide with increasing numbers of ever more highly paid managerial
employees? This article examines the paradoxical relationship between shareholder value
and managerialism by analyzing the effects of shareholder value strategies on the growth
of managerial employment and managerial earnings in 59 major industries in the U.S.
private sector from 1984 to 2001. Results from industry-level dynamic panel models show
that layoffs, mergers, computerization, deunionization, and the increasing predominance of
publicly traded firms all contributed to broad-based increases in the number of managerial
positions and the valuation of managerial labor. Results are generally consistent with David
Gordons (1996) fat and mean thesis.
Keywords
financial capitalism, managerialism, restructuring, shareholder value
Corresponding Author:
Adam Goldstein, Department of Sociology,
University of California, Berkeley, 410 Barrows
Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720-1980
E-mail: goldstam@berkeley.edu
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3.5
12
10
2.5
1.5
271
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0
0.5
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Mass Layoff Announcements
Mergers
Note: Layoffs refer to announced layoff events involving 50 or more workers (Fligstein and Shin 2007).
Computerization denotes real private non-farm investment in hardware and software (U.S. Bureau of
Economic Analysis 2010).
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272
Assault on Managerialism
The bid to reduce labor costs had a particular
distributional character. Cost-cutting strategies
were largely directed at traditional targets like
workers and unions. The reigning wisdom on
Wall Street held that reducing wage rents for
workers would help boost shareholder value
after a decade of falling profits during the
1970s and early 1980s. Shedding unionized
labor was likely an ulterior motive behind
much restructuring, particularly in manufacturing industries (Gordon 1996).
The far more novel aspect of shareholder
value ideology was that it was also very much
anti-managerial. In the bureaucracies that predominated in postwar corporate America,
managerial pay and status were closely linked
to the number of subordinates because
rewards filtered up the organizational hierarchy (Jackall 1988; Rosen 1982). This created
incentives for managers to build their own
mini-empires by hiring more and more subordinates. Separation of investor ownership
from managerial control insulated white-collar incumbents from market pressures, bringing them job security, annual pay raises, and
well-defined career ladders in return for loyalty and competence.
However, scholars and critics alike noted
that this bureaucratic logic of managerial
empire-building came into tension with the
capitalist logic of profit maximization. As
Dahrendorf (1972:46) put it, never has the
imputation of a profit motive been further
from the real motives of men than it is for
modern bureaucratic managers. Whether
this characterization was accurate, shareholder value critics singled out paternalistic
corporate policies and the languid bureaucrats they sheltered as another cause of
stagnating profits. Middle-managers were
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Managerial Persistence
In contrast to the research discussed earlier,
other data show that the classic managerialist
tendency to create more and more high-paying managerial positions continued unchecked
throughout the shareholder value era. Even as
layoffs heightened turnover, the number and
proportion of managerial employees, their
pay levels, and their share of total corporate
income in the U.S. economy all grew steadily
from the mid-1980s through the early 2000s.
Figure 2 charts the proportions of total
business income devoted to production and
supervisory/nonproduction employees wages.
Supervisory employees is a broad definition
of managers that encompasses all types of
employees for whom supervision is a primary
task. Supervisory salaries as a proportion of
total business income increased from 16 to
23 percent between 1980 and 2004, while
nonsupervisory workers share of corporate
income decreased from 36 to 27 percent. Also
striking is that total employee pay as a proportion of corporate income (the sum of the
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274
38%
35%
32%
29%
26%
23%
20%
17%
14%
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Wages to Nonsupervisory Workers
Note: I calculated supervisors share of total business income by subtracting total wage and salary
earnings for production and nonsupervisory workers (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 2010a) from total
wage and salary payments to all private non-farm workers (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2010),
and then dividing by total non-farm business income (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2010).
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275
Data source: Current Population Survey (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 2010b).
Note: Managers are defined here according to the Census Bureau occupational category Executives,
Administrators, and Managers. Public administrators and funeral directors are excluded.
$27.00
$26.00
$25.00
$24.00
$23.00
$22.00
$21.00
$20.00
$19.00
$18.00
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
Data source: Current Population Survey (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 2010b).
Note: Managers are defined here according to the Census Bureau occupational category Executives,
Administrators, and Managers. Public administrators and funeral directors are excluded.
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276
EXPLANATIONS
The data and previous research discussed
earlier present two seemingly contradictory
sets of facts. First, U.S. firms shed managerial
positions en masse during the 1980s and
1990s as they restructured in accordance with
shareholder value orthodoxy. Second, the
ranks and rewards of managers continued to
Countervailing Pressures
As discussed earlier, previous research suggests
that corporations embrace of shareholder value
strategies put real downward pressure on managerial positions and earnings during the late
1980s and 1990s. One way to reconcile this
with persistent aggregate growth of managerial
employment and pay is to suppose that negative
effects of restructuring simply were not strong
enough to counter other forces militating toward
heightened demand and rewards for managers.
The most likely countervailing factor is the
progressive shift in the sectoral composition of
employment and compensation from manufacturing toward services and finance (Tomaskovic-Devey and Lin 2011; cf. Littler and Innes
2004). For instance, financial industries tend to
employ managers at a significantly higher rate,
and pay higher salaries, than does the economy
as a whole (Scott, OShaughnessy, and Cappelli
1996). Disproportionate growth of industries
with high managerial intercepts could lead to
aggregate increases in managerial positions and
pay despite negative within-industry effects of
shareholder value strategies. In other words, the
presence of greater numbers of firms in industries with greater managerial intensity and pay
levels may have outweighed individual firms
efforts to reduce managerial costs.3 By this
account, persistent aggregate managerial growth
occurs in spite of the anti-managerial shareholder value revolution. The countervailing
pressures theory predicts that shareholder value
strategies such as layoffs, mergers, and computerization did exert negative (but ultimately feeble) effects on managerial employment and
earnings within U.S. industries.4
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RESEARCH DESIGN
I model effects of layoffs, mergers, computerization, and deunionization on the growth of
managerial earnings and employment within
59 industries from 1984 to 2001. Layoffs,
mergers, computerization, and efforts to
undermine unions were all prototypical strategies firms employed in accordance with
shareholder value logics (Fligstein and Shin
2007). It is worth clarifying that these transformations vary in the extent to which they
were conceived or understood as anti-managerial. Layoffs, mergers, and computerization
posed clear threats to middle managers.
Although deunionization did not target managers, it represents a mechanism through
which labor cost-cutting efforts could contribute to managerial resurgence. I also examine two inferential measures of shareholder
value pressures: the degree to which an industry is becoming dominated by publicly traded
corporations, and the extent to which ownership is held by institutional investors.
The unit of analysis is the industry-year.
The 59 two-digit SIC industries comprise
over 99 percent of private non-farm employment in the United States.6 There are a number of reasons to use two-digit SIC industries
as the unit of analysis. First, industry-level
analysis represents a significant methodological advance over previous studies, which
adduce relationships between labor cost-cutting strategies and persistent managerial
growth from aggregate trends (e.g., Gordon
1996). It is impossible to tell on the basis of
aggregate data whether such associations
reflect an actual causal link or some other
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280
during the previous three years due to restructuring, plant closing, abolished shift, insufficient work, or some other similar reason. I
tabulated displacement estimates by industry
for each overlapping three-year time window
spanning 1991 to 2001. I then smoothed these
into an annualized estimated count and
divided this figure by the number of full-time
equivalent employees to derive an annual
displacement rate per 1,000 employees. Note
that this measure is not directly comparable
with the announced layoff measure because it
is based on the number of workers laid off in
each industry rather than the number of layoff
events.
Finally, I use two inferential measures of
exposure to shareholder value pressures. First
is the proportion of all full-time equivalent
(FTE) industry employees who work at publicly traded firms. I created this measure by
calculating the total sum of FTE employees at
publicly traded firms in each industry from
the Compustat (Standard and Poors 2008)
database. I then divided this figure by the
BEAs estimate of total FTE employees in
each industry. The second is the proportion of
total industry market capitalization held by
institutional investors. Institutional investors
were among the most aggressive proponents
of shareholder value strategies (Useem 1996).
This measure captures varying shareholder
pressures within the population of publicly
traded firms. I calculated this measure from
firm-level data in the Thomson Reuters database of 13-f forms, which all large (>$100
million assets) investment funds must file
with the SEC.
Control variables. The models include
several time-varying controls for industrylevel changes. Size and growth measures
include the log of full-time equivalent industry
employment, the log of industry-specific real
GDP, and the annual rate of growth in industry
GDP. Together, these measures capture industry growth and decline along dimensions of
domestic employment and output. Of course,
total managerial employment levels will grow
as the overall industry grows. These measures
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Models
For managerial earnings growth and employment growth, I estimate equivalent dynamic
panel models (also known as growth models or
lagged dependent variable models). I adopt a
GMM approach (Arellano and Bond 1991),
which simultaneously accommodates several
modeling considerations. First, the Arellano-
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282
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1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
Mean
23.42
Standard Deviation
6.01
Minimum
10.7
Maximum
47.01
Hourly Manager Earnings
(log) Total Managerial Emp.
.12
Profit / Asset Ratio
.07
Avg. Post-Primary Educ. (yrs)
.45
Proportion Female
.39
(log) FTE Employment
.22
Growth Rate (%GDP)
.01
Output (log GDP)
.08
Avg. Firm Size
.45
Announced Layoff Events
.39
Mergers
.13
Computer Investment (log)
.19
% Emp. in Public Corporations
.65
Union Coverage Rate
.17
% Holdings Institutional Investor .02
Job Displacement Rate
.03
Variable #
.14
.09
.35
.75
.20
.77
.02
.24
.41
.67
.11
.22
.12
.08
11.27
1.21
7.01
13.85
.03
.11
.21
.16
.14
.19
.03
.08
.19
.12
.34
.17
.16
7.34
8.11
17.83
40.38
.12
.05
.00
.06
.37
.28
.15
.19
.38
.08
.07
.03
8.05
.42
3.5
9
.31
.15
.18
.11
.13
.12
.25
.39
.38
.05
.10
.34
.17
.01
.86
.18
.83
.15
.14
.40
.65
.39
.36
.11
.33
6.83
1.04
3.68
9.14
.14
.01
.02
.13
.20
.09
.15
.02
.20
.025
.072
.44
.5
.02
.24
.44
.81
.08
.27
.04
.30
11.11
1.04
8.17
13.93
.28
.01
.02
.66
.52
.08
.09
699
281
135
1,424
.30
.30
.39
.03
.05
.18
1.14
2.45
0
19
10
.44
.10
.17
.02
.09
66.79
146
0
2,426
11
.10
.46
.07
.19
6.64
1.65
.42
1.81
12
.43
.08
.15
.42
.38
.03
1.04
13
.09
.01
17.49
15.41
.85
85
14
.01
.38
.12
0
.76
15
.05
.03
.01
.21
16
Goldstein
283
RESULTS
Managerial Earnings
Table 2 reports results of the industry-level
managerial earnings analysis. Note that inclusion of the lagged dependent variable on the
right side of the equation means that coefficient estimates for the covariates represent
effects net of earnings during the previous
period. Column one reports the baseline control model. Average earnings grow as industries become more profitable, as their total
employment increases, and as managerial
incumbents become more highly educated on
average. Feminization of management in an
industry also has a strong negative effect on
managerial earnings, but only when theoretical variables are included in Models 2, 3, and
4. Increasing industry GDP and GDP growth
rate are both negatively associated with subsequent managerial earnings growth, although
this is likely an artifact of high collinearity
with the total employment measure.
Model 2 adds the theoretical variables.
Results offer strong and consistent support
for the fat and mean theory, which predicted a
positive relationship between shareholder
value strategies and subsequent managerial
earnings growth (negative relationship for
union coverage). Coefficients for all the theoretical variables are in the predicted direction,
and four of the six are statistically significant.
Average managerial earnings increase as
Managerial Employment
While results in Table 2 show that organizational transformations associated with shareholder value heightened the rewards attached
to managerial positions, they say nothing
about changes in the prevalence of these
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284
(2)
(3)
(4)
18.88
(4.208)
22.35
(5.514)
22.47
(7.35)
.706
(.0210)
.151
.561
(.0246)
.137
.537
(.0306)
.143
.478
(.0392)
.143
(.0191)
.0875
(.0184)
.805
(.0191)
.0345
(.0185)
.661
(.1030)
.132
(.5980)
3.593
(.1280)
2.530
(.6310)
4.058
(.0235)
.0281
(.0247)
.851
(.1530)
2.521
(.7670)
3.984
(.0288)
.0394
(.0310)
.898
(.1930)
2.157
(.9270)
3.034
(.7790)
.498
(.6400)
4.155
(.7860)
4.579
(.6990)
5.258
(1.2020)
4.716
(.9510)
5.201
(.7680)
(.7800)
(.9590)
.000373
(.0009)
.00290
(.0009)
.748
(.1250)
5.116
.00284
(.0010)
.748
(.1480)
7.385
(.6310)
.0836
(.0171)
.195
(.4210)
.0131
(.0203)
(.8290)
.0772
(.0210)
.217
(.5000)
.000193
(.0244)
857
668
857
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16.4
(8.683)
(1.4720)
3.511
(1.1830)
2.576
(1.2950)
.000704
(.0011)
.00461
(.0011)
.262
(.2500)
1.14
(1.0630)
.0587
(.0277)
.491
(.5990)
26.05
(3.9040)
502
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285
Sectoral Comparisons
The overall results reported earlier assume
managerial growth processes played out similarly within different types of industries.
Manufacturing, retail, service, and FIRE sectors all saw secular increases in managerial
earnings and employment, but within-industry effects of shareholder strategies on these
growth trajectories could vary across sectors.
To examine sectoral variations, I re-estimated
Models 4 and 8 with sector-specific interaction terms. Each theoretical variable is
interacted with an indicator variable for retail,
service, and financial/real estate industries
(manufacturing/extractive is the omitted category). Intercepts remain industry-specific.
Table 4 shows results of this analysis.
Coefficients for the interaction terms represent the estimated difference between slopes
for industries in each respective sector and
the omitted baseline manufacturing/extractive
sector. The associated t-tests indicate whether
the difference is statistically significant.
These results do not contravene the earlier
results, but they do suggest several of the
overall effects are driven by transformations
within particular sectors. This is particularly
so for managerial earnings growth, which is
reported in the left-hand column. Coefficient
differences indicate that positive effects of
increasing corporate predominance are confined to manufacturing and, to a lesser extent,
nonfinancial service industries. Layoffs also
drove managerial earnings growth to a greater
extent in manufacturing and nonfinancial services than in retail or FIRE industries,
although in this case the disparities are not
statistically significant.
The relationship between shareholder
value strategies and managerial employment
growth shows less variation across sectors,
meaning the results are more consistently
positive. The one significant exception is
computerization, which has a strongly positive effect on employment growth in manufacturing and retail, but only a very weak
effect among service and financial industries.
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286
(6)
(7)
(8)
.552
(.2400)
3.619
(.3770)
3.304
(.4920)
3.770
(.5960)
.671
(.0194)
.00439
.471
(.0249)
.00316
.425
(.0293)
.00428
.409
(.0392)
.00785
(.0013)
.00072
(.0014)
.00949
(.0063)
.225
(.0359)
.161
(.0014)
.00127
(.0014)
.012
(.0077)
.197
(.0367)
.0402
(.0502)
.223
(.0488)
.100
(.0538)
(.0016)
.000944
(.0016)
.0182
(.0091)
.185
(.0436)
.0826
(.0710)
.221
(.0619)
.0423
(.0627)
.000132
(.0001)
.000118
(.00006)
.0400
(.0082)
.0922
.0000965
(.00006)
.0311
(.0092)
.122
.000123
(.00007)
.0901
(.0152)
.150
(.0414)
.00970
(.0011)
.0817
(.0528)
.00920
(.0014)
.0991
(.0257)
.000852
(.0012)
(.0300)
.000736
(.0015)
(.0678)
.00571
(.0019)
.0615
(.0355)
857
668
(.0490)
.381
(.0446)
.196
(.0509)
857
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(.0020)
.000438
(.0020)
.0353
(.0115)
.0887
(.0525)
.220
(.0897)
.0738
(.0750)
.191
(.0826)
.000254
(.0001)
.561
(.2520)
502
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287
Managerial Earnings
Managerial Employment
25.57
(4.948)
21.16
(27.37)
6.095
(12.28)
40.47
(30.89)
.00640
(.00369)
.0125
(.00646)
.00472
(.00383)
.0147
.907
(.306)
.840
(1.626)
.691
(.722)
2.418
(1.748)
.00004
(.00022)
.00011
(.00038)
.00013
(.00023)
.00004
(.00035)
.173
(.00588)
.492
(.446)
.589
(2.369)
.783
(.617)
.0628
(.708)
18.12
(1.714)
19.67
(36.55)
12.34
(2.370)
24.51
(3.373)
2.471
(1.441)
4.594
(1.805)
1.682
(1.685)
1.414
(3.600)
.0239
(.0358)
.144
(.264)
.0347
(.0693)
.0583
(.303)
19.42
(13.07)
502
(.0266)
.0634
(.136)
.135
(.0358)
.116
(.0420)
.239
(.109)
.542
(2.119)
.142
(.142)
.0535
(.199)
.0632
(.0824)
.0348
(.104)
.0428
(.0971)
.187
(.207)
.00499
(.00226)
.0136
(.0159)
.00343
(.00406)
.00155
(.0176)
3.79
(.833)
502
Note: Main effects and cross-products of control variables are included in model but omitted from table.
Standard errors are in parentheses.
p < .05; p < .01; p < .001 (two-tailed tests).
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288
DISCUSSION AND
CONCLUSIONS
Scholars have noted the curious puzzle that
managers in the United States continued to
grow more numerous and prosperous during
the 1980s and early 1990s despite seemingly
powerful institutional currents militating
against them (Gordon 1996; Jacoby 2000;
Littler and Innes 2004). This article adds
three sets of empirical findings. First, managerial employment and pay continued to
increase through the late 1990s and early
2000s. Second, the industry-level analytic
results provide consistent evidence that it was
through precisely those organizational and
institutional transformations commonly associated with managerial downsizing that managerial positions and earnings increased.
Third, effects of shareholder value strategies
on managerial earnings growth tended to be
more pronounced in manufacturing and nonfinancial service sectors, while effects on
managerial employment growth occurred
throughout the economy.
The findings carry several implications.
Most basic, they support the underlying
insight of Gordons (1996) fat and mean thesis. In particular, they present much more
rigorous evidence for a causal relationship
between labor cost-cutting strategies and
managers enhanced standing: efforts to make
firms lean and mean not only failed to halt the
century-long trend toward greater managerial
presence in the economy, but they actually
helped propel its continued growth.
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290
Funding
This research was supported in part by an NSF graduate
fellowship.
Acknowledgments
Earlier versions of this article were presented at the 2010
meeting of the Society for the Advancement of SocioEconomics (Philadelphia) and at the 2011 American
Sociological Association meeting (Las Vegas). The
author would like to thank Heather Havemen, Neil Fligstein, and the five anonymous ASR reviewers for helpful
comments. The author also thanks Taekjin Shin and Neil
Fligstein for making available their database of mergers
and announced layoffs.
Notes
1. Managerial intensity refers to managers as a proportion of total employment.
2. Of course, there is no necessary functional link
between the goal of increasing shareholder returns
and adoption of lean and mean strategies as a means
to achieve this. In fact, the balance of evidence suggests layoffs and mergers were adopted in a copycat
fashion and failed to boost efficiency or long-term
stock values (Agrawal and Jaffe 2000; ONeill,
Pouder, and Buchholtz 1998).
3. Osterman (2008) questions this explanation because
upward trends in managerial intensity occurred
within both manufacturing and financial sectors.
However, industries vary considerably in their use of
managers even within sectors.
4. Note that I do not directly measure the extent to
which sectoral shifts boosted managerial ranks and
earnings. Rather, shifting industry composition provides a mechanism for reconciling the ostensibly
negative effects of shareholder value strategies with
aggregate increases.
5. Of course, there are other reasons why implementation of shareholder value strategies could have no
effect on managerial intensity and pay, but decoupling provides a theoretical rationale to expect a null
effect in a context where prior theory suggests a negative effect.
6. A description of the industry sample and its construction can be found in the online supplement (http://asr.
sagepub.com/supplemental).
7. Although three-digit industries would permit more
granular measurement of the independent variables, it
is impossible to generate valid managerial earnings
and employment estimates below the two-digit level
due to excessively small cell sizes.
8. One other issue concerns the level of occupational
aggregation. There are two reasons to conduct a
single set of analyses on the two-digit occupational
group rather than separate analyses for each detailed
three-digit occupation (e.g., financial managers and
personnel managers). First, disaggregating to detailed
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