Sample Final Exam

Part #1

The population of a particular country consists of three ethnic groups. Each indiv
belongs to one of the four major blood gropups. The table below gives the joint p
of the ethnicity-blood group combinations. (Total of these probabilities is 1.0)

O
Ethnic grou

1
2
3

0.082
0.135
0.215

Blood group
A
0.106
0.141
0.2

Let a person from this country is randomly selected.

Then calculate the following probabilities about the person.

Calculate the
Answer here---> P(B) = P( that the selected person will have blood group B)=

Answer here---> P(1) = P(that the selected person will belong to ethnic group 1) =
P(B|1) = P( that the selected person will have blood group B

Answer here--->
P(B'|1) = P( that the selected person will not have blood group B

Answer here--->

Part #2

Let X= the amount of freezer storage space purchased by the next customer
Suppose that X has pmf as follows:
x
p(x)

13.8
0.2

16
0.55

19.1
0.25

If the price of a freezer having capacity X cubic feet is given as (5*X^3 - 8.5*X
what is the average (expected) price paid by a customer?

Answer here--->

E(5*x^3-8.5*x)=5*E(x^3)-8.5*E(x)=
E(x^3)=
4520.382
E(x)=
16.335
E(x)=x1*p1+x2*p2+x3*p3=

Part #3

To obtain information on corrosion-resistance properties of a certain type of stee

45 specimen bars were buried in soil for two years. Maximum corrosion penetrat

(in mils) for these specimens were measured, yielding a sample average of X-ba

a sample standard deviation of s= 4.8. (Assume that sample std dev s is same a

Steel bars were designed with specification to not exceed 50 mils of corrosion
Test a hypothesis to prove that the design specification has not been met (that
corrosion penetration limit specification has been violated)
(a)

Test the following hypotheses with alpha of 0.05, using rejection regi

Answer here---> H0:=50

Ha:>50

(b)

test statistics: z=(x-bar-)/(s/sqrt(n))

rejection region: z>=Z(alpha)=Z(0.0
since 2.376>1.645, we reject H0.

Test the following hypotheses with alpha of 0.05, using P-value meth

Answer here--->

Part #4

P-value=1-phi(z)=
0.008755
since P-value< 0.05, reject H0.

Consider the data below.

Develop a simple linear regression model. Calculate the R^2 value for the mode

Answer here--->
X
105
100
94

Y
3.3
3.2
3.4

y-hat
3.29
3.217
3.1294

residuals
y-hat
x=
0.01
3.2909786592 y=
-0.017
3.2179295107 xy=
0.2706
3.1302705324 x^2=

890
37.6
2545.2
67182

93
78
71
67
62
57
45
40
36
30
12

3
2.8
2.9
2.7
2.6
2.5
2.6
2.2
2
2.3
2.1

3.1148
2.8958
2.7936
2.7352
2.6622
2.5892
2.414
2.341
2.2826
2.195
1.9322

-0.1148
-0.0958
0.1064
-0.0352
-0.0622
-0.0892
0.186
-0.141
-0.2826
0.105
0.1678

3.1156607027 y^2=
103.54
2.8965132572
2.7942444492 Sxy=
154.9143
2.7358051304 Sxx=
10603.43
2.6627559819
2.5897068334 beta1=
0.01461
2.4143888769 beta0=
1.756947
2.3413397284
2.2829004096 equation: y=1.757+0.0146*x
2.1952414313
1.9322644967

Part #5

The degree of degradation (polymerization) of insulation papers used in transfor

by the product of viscosity and concentration. The polymerization measures for
samples are given below.
418
421
422
422
434
437
438
446
454
463
462
425

(a)

calculate a two-sided 95% CI for the true average degree of polymerization.

[Hint: population standard deviation is not known, henc
you have to use sample standard dev

Answer here--->

t(alpha/2,n-1)=t(0.025,17)= 2.109816
x-bar=
438.7778
s=
14.58668
Upper CI limit=
Lower CI limit=

(b)

446.0316
431.524

Recalculate the CI in part (a) assuming that the population standard devia
is known to be 15.5

Answer here--->

Z(alpha/2)=Z(0.025)=
Upper CI limit=
Lower CI limit=

445.9383
431.6173

1.959964

ethnic groups. Each individual

ble below gives the joint probabilities
se probabilities is 1.0)

Blood group
B

AB

0.008
0.018
0.065

0.004
0.006
0.02

e person.

blood group B)=

0.091

g to ethnic group 1) =

0.2

ve blood group B given that s/he is from ethnic group 1)=

P(B|1)= P(B intersection 1)/P(1)=

0.04

ot have blood group B given that s/he is from ethnic group 1)=
P(B'|1)=1-P(B|1)=

0.96

by the next customer

x^3=

given as (5*X^3 - 8.5*X),

22463.06

2628.072

4096 6967.871

of a certain type of steel bars,

ximum corrosion penetration

a sample average of X-bar= 51.7 mils and

ample std dev s is same as population std dev )

ceed 50 mils of corrosion penetration.

n has not been met (that is

0.05, using rejection region method.

s: z=(x-bar-)/(s/sqrt(n))=
gion: z>=Z(alpha)=Z(0.05)=
>1.645, we reject H0.

2.375822
1.644854

0.05, using P-value method.

e R^2 value for the model.

n=

SSE=

14

0.293877

SST=

2.557143

r^2=1-SSE/SST=

0.885076

=1.757+0.0146*x

n papers used in transformers are measured

merization measures for eighteen (n=18)
447
427
448

431
453
450

ee of polymerization.
ation is not known, hence
use sample standard deviation (calculated as STDEV(data))]

pulation standard deviation ()