Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Short Report
Prepared by:
Qasra Siddiqui
Submitted to:
Sir Sajid
M.Com Final
2015
Determinants
Of
Capital structure
decision
of
Textile industry
of
Pakistan
Table of content
1.
5
2.
6
3.
9
4.
12
5.
13
6.
13
7.
16
8.
17
Abstract
Introduction
Literature Review
Theoretical Framework
Hypothesis
Data Collection & Methodology
Findings
Conclusions & Recommendations
I firstly give my thanks to almighty ALLAH, whose blessings and support has
helped me greatly to complete my report properly on time.
Secondly I am deeply indebted to my lecturer MUHAMMAD SAJID (Course supervisor)
who provided many valuable suggestions and guidance and support have assisted me to complete
my research work in a proper manner.
ABSTRACT
Purpose: Purpose of this study is to evaluate the determinants of capital that
affect financing behavior of the firms of textile industry of Pakistan keep viewing
that the capital structure decision plays an important role in any firms financing
decision while financing their firms.
Findings:
DETERMINANTS OF CAPITAL
STRUCTURE DECISION OF TEXTILE
INDUSTRY OF PAKISTAN
1.
Introduction:
Pakistan Textile industry is one of the most vital sectors in the country GDP
contributions and it is the backbone of Pakistan economy. Researcher has
conducted a research last year in business research course about the decline
in textile production of Pakistan. Researcher studied many articles and
business news for that purpose and found the overall contribution of the
Textile industry is more than 65% and it provides 40% employment. Pakistan
is the 8th foremost exporter of textile products to international market.
Textile sector of Pakistan contributes a great role in the economy of Pakistan
by providing job opportunities and also to earn foreign trade. The main
competitor of Pakistan textile industry includes China, India, Bangladesh and
Turkey. As per the importance of this sector the capital structure of textile
industry is also very important for the economic growth of Pakistan.
Capital structure is the choice whether to go for Debt or equity or a mix of
them. Capital structure is the sum up of debt, equity and retained earnings.
The objective of the firms management is to enhance the value of the firm.
The shareholders can benefit from the fruits of Capital structure and they can
benefit more if a best debt-equity ratio is worked out. The value of firm is
equal to the summation of both debt and equity. The weighted cost of capital
can be minimized and the shareholders wealth maximized by the Capital
structure decision. The different firms follow different combination of debt
and equity which has provided origin to different capital structure theories.
Capital structure is very momentous for the firm mainly textile sector.
Because it has an impact on continuing firms profits, firms valuation and
capital budgeting decisions. Capital structure is disposed by many factors
like size, growth, profitability and specific industry. Textile industry is the
most important sector of Pakistan which contributes lion's share in countrys
exports. Economy of Pakistan has a great impact of performance of textile
sector. This sector of Pakistan mostly relies on bank loan.
1.2) Background:
In the opinion of management the cast of capital can handle efficiently with
the help of effective capital structure. The study has been made many times
for several years on this topic but it is still solvable issue. Modigliani-Millar
(1958) explained the theory of irrelevance. In this theory he gave the
primary theoretical frame work & his theory opened new doors for advance &
new research. With the help of this theory new theories were found such as
pecking order theory (POT) & static trade off theory (STT), signaling theory
and agency theory.
Shah & Hijazi (2004) studied first time about the capital structure with
respect to listed firms of KSE. This research provides new way to the
researchers. After that many studies were over there in different sectors of
Pakistan.
First study on Textile Sector of Pakistan was done by Akber, Ali & Tariq
(2009). They studied about the whole industry. By carrying this theory
Yaqoob & Gohar (2013) studied the textile composite sector of Pakistan taken
the industry specific variables to determine the capital structure of Textile
composite sector of Pakistan.
Many other studied were carried out to evaluate the optimal capital structure
with the help of premier theories. Different financier agreed with different
theories & follows that one. A study on Pakistan Textile sector made by
Aurangzeb & Anwar-ul-Haq (2012) by using total debts. However
Considerable work has been done to know the optimal capital structure
decision that is in influenced by many factors like profitability, size, age,
growth, non debt tax show that firms performance is surely influenced by
capital structure. In this study leverage is taken as dependent variable while
firms size, firms Profitability, Tangibility of assets, firms growth & Non tax
debt shield are taken as Independent variable. All variables taken with regard
of previous studies.
1.4) Objectives:
The prime purpose of this study is to know the factors that are significant
predicators of firms capital structure in Textile industry of Pakistan. Secondly
to know the impact of firm specific determinant on capital structure. In
addition we also want to analyze that how much our results support formal
capital structure theories. The basic purpose is analyze that the results
supports which one theory i-e, STT & POT
The literature will be taken in this study by studying scholarly articles writer
by different researcher & the primary theories such as theory of irrelevance
(958), Static Trade off theory (1984), Pecking Order Theory, Signaling theory
(1977) & Agency theory.
1.7) Methodology:
The main focus area in this study will be the Textile sector of Pakistan.
Researcher will do non profitability design research with the help of
convenient sampling. Regression Model will be used to find the relations of
different variables.
1.8) Hypothesis:
1.9) Significance:
This study will be purely made on Textile sector of Pakistan; It would be
helpful to know the factors of this industry that influence in the capital
structure decision making.
10
2. Literature review:
As mentioned before literature review will consist on the primary theories
and articles by different researcher. Here we are going to describe those
theories and literature of different researchers according to time series.
The capital structure of a company reflects company current position and
evaluates it with the help of past position of firm.
Theory of Irrelevance: It has been observed that a firms worth is sovereign of
the capital structure: stated by Miller and Modigliani (1958). In their opinion if a
firms value depends on capital structure, then arbitrage opportunities would be
on hand in perfect capital market. In addition, if investor and organization both
could have a loan of at same interest rate, investor could offset any capital
structure decision of the association. While many unfeasible statement are
described by this theory, but it gives the primary theoretical framework for new
& advance studies.
Static Trade off Theory: This approach on capital structure is well defined by
Myers (1984). The concept is divided into two theories by him. Static trade off
theory (STT) & Pecking order theory (POT).According to STT, a firm obeys a debt
to equity ratio and then performs accordingly. Return and cost of debt set the
ratio: It consists of taxes and monetary distress cost.
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Signaling Theory: Ross (1977) gave the theory of signaling. In this theory
the sign of confidence for investors was supposed to be debts. Issuance of
debt by the organization taken as the indicator of that the organization was
looking onward after that for manages in cash flows.
The second subject of this theory was Equity under Pricing. This has been
discussed in Pecking Order Theory. If organizations issue the equity rather
than debt, to fulfill its need, it will be considered as a negative signal for the
financiers, because of its cost.
Agency Theory: Agency theory is another way of explaining the selection of
capital structure.
The approach of difference in managers & shareholders is recognized by
Jenson & Meckling in 1976. According to them where the agency cost is at
minimum that would be the most favorable capital structure for an
organization. This approach is alike with Myers (1997), he said that
organization will have least gearing ratio because of Partial or asymmetrical
knowledge & information. The manger whose stake was less than 100% in
the firm would use the free cash flows for the sake of his own benefit, which
he would use to boost the value of the organization. Recommended by the
Jenson (1986), by increasing the share of the manager this problem can be
resolved. So, the advantage of the company & can be achieved by the debt
financing. Followed theories provided the strong base to evaluate the factors
which control firms leverage or gearing.
Ignacio (2003) considered the Uruguayan Corporations. He studied that 40%
of firms has used own resources to finance their business. That shows the
high leverage using by most of firms. As much as leverage value was
concerned no witness was found to assure the positive relation of firm size &
tangibility of assets with leverage. These results supported the Pecking Order
Theory that showed inverse relation among profitability & outside funded
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researchers like: Rajan and Zingles (1995), Shah and Hijazi (2005), Hijazi and
Tariq (2006), Fozia et al (2013), Noah Yasin (2014) followed to Meckling
(1976) and Myers (1977), Sabeel and Hanif (2011) etc.
Theoretical framework:
Tangibilit
y
14
HYPOTHESIS
H1: Size of the firm is positively related to firms leverage.
H2: Firm having lower ratio of fixed assets will borrow less.
Size
Growth
Prior studies recommend that the level of leverage depends upon the
definition of leverage. Measurement of based on both market and book
value. Both the methods have been used by many researchers
(Timtan &
Profitabili
wessel 1988, Rajan & Zingales 1995). The earlier measure dividing the book
tyon
value of debt by book value of debt plus market value of equity later
measure dividing the book value of debtby book value of debt plus book
value of equity. We are using the book value measure of leverage.
Leverage =
Total Debt
Total Assets
In the book value measure cash saving is the main benefit of leverage by the
debt tax shield. Because one debt issued the debt-tax shield is not effected
by market value (Banerjee, S. et at 2000). This is because of irrelevancy of
market value of debt.
Another reason of using the appropriate measure of leverage is to take total
liabilities or only Non current debt as a percentile of total assets. Although
premier capital structure theories considered long term debt as a proxy of
leverage. In Pakistan most of the firms are using short term financing
because of their average size of the firms which makes difficult to establish
capital market due to technical difficulties & cost (Shah & Hijazi 2004).
Commercial banks are the main source of debt in Pakistan, There banks
usually do not consider or encourage to provide long term loans. Corporate
bond market is yet limited history in Pakistan & is in the process
development. This is the reason of short term debts used by firm rather than
long term debts in Pakistan. Booth et al (1999) also analyzed in their
research that the use of long term debt is lesson than the short term debt.
This study was made on the developing countries including Pakistan.
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2.1.2) Size:
The relation between the size & leverage has a conflict point of view by
different researchers. Trade off theory showed a positive relation of size &
leverage. On the other hand pecking order theory suggested a negative
relation between them. First, while deciding the level of leverage by large
firms the direct bankruptcy cost is not considered as an affective variable as
constitution fix these costs & compose a minor proportion of the total firms
value and also, larger firms being more diversified has small probability of
bankruptcy (Timtan & wessel 1988). Subsequently it may accept a direct
relation between size & leverage of a firm second, in contrast of first view,
Rajan and Zingales (1995) argued that there was less irregular information
about the larger firms. That reduced the probability of undervaluation of new
equity issue & this encourages the large firms to use more equity financing.
This proves a negative relation between size & leverage of the firm).
Following Rajan & zingales (1995), we accept that there is an inverse relation
between size and leverage of the firm. This research is using size as a
natural log of total assets.
Tangibility =
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2.1.4) Profitability:
Trade off theory showed a positive relationship between firms profitability
and leverage. It described that more profitable firms have higher income to
shield tax. This is the reason behind they borrow more debts. Whereas
pecking order theory showed an inverse relation between profitability &
leverage of a firm. This concept was developed by Myers & Majluf (1984).
They said that firms & investors both had asymmetric information in order to
firms performance. Anthonio (et, at, 2006), Sabeel and Hanif (2011) Taqoob
& Gohar (2013), Hijazi & Tariq (2006) and many others found a negative
relation between profitability & leverage. We are also expecting a negative
relation between both of them.
Profitability =
2.1.5) Growth:
Empirically, there is much controversy about the relation between growth
rate and levelof leverage. According to Pecki8ng order theory, a firm firstly
uses its internally generated funds. But for growing firms it may not be
enough or sufficient for it. Then they will move towards the next option that
is debt financing which shows that growing firms will borrow more (Drobetz
and Fix, 2003). On the other hand, agency costs for growing firms are
expected to increase as these firms have more flexibility with regard to
future investments. The reason behind is that the debt holders fear that
these growing firms may go for more risky projects in future as they have
more choice of selection between risky and save investment opportunities.
With regard of this expected future risk, debt holders will impose higher cost
while lending to growing firms, therefore, facing higher cost of debt will
enforce to use less debt financing and more equity financing. Similarly,
Titman and Wessels (1988), Barclay et al. (1995) and Rajan and Zingales
(1995) all find an inverse relation between growth opportunities ang
leverage. After studying many research articles researcher have taken a
positive relation between growth rate and leverage. Different research
studies have used different measures of growth; like market to book value of
equity, research expenditure to total sales measure and annual percentage
increase in total assets (Titman and Wessels, 1988). Given the structure of
data researcher measure growth (GT) as a percentage increase in total
assets, as the data was taken from the State Bank of Pakistan publication
17
which does not contain information on annual stock prices and research
expenditure of the listed firms.
Growth =
Y2 Y1
Y1
100
3.
18
Profitability and NDTS (Non Debt Tax Shield) for the stated period. After
specifying the capital structure function in linear form it can be described as:
LG = Leverage
TG= Tangibility
SZ = Size
GT = Growth
PF = Profitability
NDTS = Non debt tax shield
= Error term
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Minimum Maximum
-3.78
.43
5.43
.02
-.12
-.07
4.64
.70
7.63
.16
1.65
.08
Mean
Std. Deviation
1.4823
.5228
6.5963
.0502
.2756
.0267
2.17211
.08548
.62716
.03881
.50847
.04591
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The average tangibility ratio for the whole industry is moderate as the mean
value is 0.5228. Which means industry has 52.28% tangible assets of their
total assets? the standard deviation showed little variation of 0.8548 or
8.548%
The size of the firm has a higher mean value of 6.5963 for the average
industry. As the size is natural log of total assets so it is justified for this
industry. The standard deviation is also high that is 62.716%. That showed a
high variation in size of the firm.
The
table.
R Square
Adjusted R
Square
.750a
.563
.016
first table of
Std. Error of
the Estimate
2.15449
of the
Model Summary
This table provides
R2, adjusted R2,
the R,
and
interest is the
can be used to determine how well a regression model fits the data:
The "R" column represents the value of R, the multiple correlation
coefficients. R can be considered to be one measure of the quality of the
prediction of the dependent variable; in this case, Leverage. A value of
0.750, in this example, indicates a good level of prediction. The "R Square"
column represents the R2 value (also called the coefficient of determination),
which is the proportion of variance in the dependent variable that can be
explained by the independent variables (technically, it is the proportion of
variation accounted for by the regression model above and beyond the mean
model). You can see from our value of 0.563 that our independent variables
explain 56.3% of the variability of our dependent variable, Leverage.
However, you also need to be able to interpret "Adjusted R Square" (adj. R2)
to accurately report your data.
20
Sum of
Squares
df
Mean Square
Regression
23.895
4.779
Residual
18.567
4.642
Total
42.463
F
1.030
Sig.
.503
The Fratio in
the
ANOVA
table (see
below)
has
tested whether the overall regression model is a good fit for the data. The
table has shown that the independent variables statistically have not
significantly predicted the dependent variable, F(4, 95) = 1.030, p < .0005
(i.e., the regression model is not a good fit of the data).
The general form of the equation to predict Leverage from tangibility, Size,
Growth, Profitability, is:
Table 4: Coefficients
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Coefficients
Unstandardized
Coefficients
B
Std.
Error
(Constant)
16.147
21.572
Tangibility
-24.571
14.646
Size
-.729
NDTS
95.0% Confidence
Interval for B
t
Sig.
Lower
Bound
.749
.496
-43.746
76.039
-.967
-1.678
.169
-65.235
16.093
2.490
-.211
-.293
.784
-7.642
6.184
75.873
63.788
1.355
1.189
.300
-101.230
252.975
Growth
-4.868
4.473
-1.140
-1.088
.338
-17.286
7.550
Profitability
19.745
31.059
.417
.636
.560
-66.489
105.979
Model
1
Standar
dized
Coeffic
ients
Beta
Upper
Bound
a. Dependent Variable: DE
4. Findings:
In table 4 coefficients showed the relation between the dependent &
independent variables as given:
The selected hypothesis with respect of tangibility of the firm was consistent
with the trade off theory. However the results has shown a negative relation
between tangibility and debt by the value of
1= -24.571. Thus the
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References
Memon. F (2010). Capital Structure & firm performance. Asian Journal of
Business & Management Sceince. 1(9)
Yasin. N (2014). Determinant of Capital Structure of listed Co of textile &
sugar sec during different economic periods. IOSR-JBM. 16(3)
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