Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Curso:
Economa
Docente:
Alfredo D. Holgun Alfaro
TRUJILLO PER
2015-2
Resumen
En el presente trabajo de investigacin se analiza la situacin econmica del Per
en el presente ao 2015. Para esto se ha realizado un estudio determinado que
nos muestra las principales causas por las que se ha experimentado una
desaceleracin debido a la incertidumbre y las tendencias generadas
principalmente en el comercio internacional. La gran profundidad, la cobertura y
sincronizacin de la crisis financiera acompaada de una contraccin violenta del
financiamiento internacional y grandes problemas de sobreendeudamiento en las
economas de las zonas europeas estn causando efectos e impactos negativos
en la economa peruana, la cual est cada vez ms insertada en la economa
mundial. Es por eso que como parte de la investigacin se ha buscado fomentar
el desarrollo de mtodos experimentales innovadores que dan una visin del
panorama de acciones para disminuir esta desaceleracin, como es la aplicacin
de la regla de Taylor, la cual permite encontrar la tasa natural de inters peruano.
La tasa natural permite evaluar y dar recomendaciones sobre la poltica monetaria
que hasta hoy ha llevado a cabo el Banco Central de Reserva de nuestro pas, as
como las futuras polticas que este llevar a cabo. La aplicacin de polticas
contra cclicas, el manejo prudente las polticas fiscales y monetarias, la
estabilidad de la inflacin y el impulso al crecimiento del PBI han hecho posible en
los ltimos aos que el Per sea un atractivo de inversiones internacionales, esto
tras la obtencin del grado de inversin y la confianza de los agentes econmicos;
lo cual permite a nuestro pas estar en una mejor posicin para enfrentar y
superar la actual coyuntura internacional de inestabilidad y vulnerabilidad de las
principales economas del mundo.
Palabras Clave: sobreendeudamiento,
vulnerabilidad, coyuntura, inflacin
desaceleracin,
contra
cclicas,
pg. 2
Abstract
In the present research the economic situation in Peru is analyzed in this year
2015. To this has been done a particular study that shows the main reasons why it
has slowed due to the uncertainty generated mainly trends in international trade.
The great depth, coverage and timing of the financial crisis accompanied by a
violent contraction of international finance and large debt overhangs in the
economies of European areas are causing negative effects and impacts in the
Peruvian economy, which is increasingly inserted in the global economy. That is
why as part of research has sought to promote the development of innovative
experimental methods that give a view of the panorama of actions to reduce the
slowdown, as is the application of the Taylor rule, which allows you to find the
natural rate of Peruvian interest. The natural rate allows to evaluate and make
recommendations on monetary policy that has until now carried out by the Central
Reserve Bank of our country and future policies that this take place. Implementing
countercyclical policies, prudent management of fiscal and monetary policies,
inflation stability and momentum to GDP growth made possible in recent years
that Peru is an attractive international investment, this after obtaining the
investment grade and the confidence of economic agents; allowing our country to
be in a better position to face and overcome the current international situation of
instability and vulnerability of major world economies.
pg. 3
Introduccin
El presente trabajo de investigacin tiene como objetivo realizar un anlisis de los
impactos que ha ocasionado la crisis econmica mundial en el 2015 a nivel
nacional. La intencin en este estudio es observar algunos de los principales
factores que han fomentado la desaceleracin econmica que se est viviendo en
el Per. Adems, buscaremos una manera de poder llegar a determinar a travs
de mtodos experimentales innovadores, como es la regla de Taylor, posibles
acciones para enfrentar esta desaceleracin. De esta manera, evaluaremos la
poltica monetaria que ha llevado a cabo el Banco Central de Reserva de nuestro
pas hasta hoy, as como las futuras polticas que este realizar.
Introduction
The present research aims to make UN analysis of the impacts that caused the
global economic crisis in 2015 a national level . The intention in this study is to
observe some of the main factors that have promoted the economic downturn
being experienced in Peru. : Also, we look for a way to determine S. to reach one
through innovative experimental methods , such as the Taylor rule , Facing
Possible Actions para esta slowdown. DE This way , we will assess the monetary
policy that has conducted the Central Reserve Bank of Our Country until today
and future policies Que esta performed.
pg. 4
pg. 5
Strengthening Dollar
The economic situation in the US has been strengthening, which the dollar has
appreciated significantly, affecting the Global Economy These include Colombian,
but this consequence not only due to the rising dollar, triggered another surge As
the child Exports of oil sector because unlike the dollar, the price of oil is declining
and their exports.6
pg. 6
of interest Within the UN data economic model of the definition of monetary policy
rule.
REFERENCIAS
pg. 7
REFERENCES
Albarracin, C. (2015). Method of estimation of the interest rate and its influence on
the Peruvian monetary policy (Thesis). USIL. Lima: Editorial Fund of San Ignacio
de Loyola University, Lima, Peru.
Albarracin, C. (2015). Method of estimation of the interest rate and its influence on
the Peruvian monetary policy [online] Retrieved on 9 October 2015. Of:
http://repositorio.usil.edu.pe/jspui/handle/123456789/1487
Yefferson Llonto Caicedo and Cynthia Reyes Milagros Vera (2012). International
economic crisis and impact on Peru and in the Lambayeque Region ( Working
ranked third in the Economic Research Contest , organized by the Chamber of
Commerce of Lambayeque on the occasion of its 111th anniversary institution).
Retrieved
12
November
2015.
Of:
http://www.cclam.org.pe/CRISIS
%20ECONOMICA%20(TERCER%20LUGAR).pdf
Yaneth Buitrago Guanumen Carmen (2015). Shot of the dollar and the decline in
the oil sector in Colombia (Specialization in International Business Management).
Retrieved
November
13,
2015.
Of:
http://repository.unimilitar.edu.co:8080/bitstream/10654/14007/2/DISPARO
%20DEL%20D%C3%93LAR%20Y%20LA%20DECADENCIA%20DEL
%20SECTOR%20PETROLERO%20EN%20COLOMBIA.pdf
pg. 8