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Cities
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/cities
Department of Applied Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam and ERIM, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands
Judge Business School and Fitzwilliam College, University of Cambridge, Storeys Way CB3 0DG, Cambridge, United Kingdom
c
Department of Applied Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands
b
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 21 September 2009
Received in revised form 4 October 2010
Accepted 22 November 2010
Available online 24 December 2010
Keywords:
City-regions
Spatial structure
Commuting
Urban networks
England and Wales
a b s t r a c t
In the contemporary literature on urban systems, it is often suggested that the conceptualization of urban
systems as monocentric spatial entities has become increasingly problematic. However, by analyzing
employment and commuting patterns in English and Welsh city-regions between 1981 and 2001, it
can be shown that not all city-regions are experiencing a shift toward a polycentric spatial structure.
Although most city-regions in Southeast England and the Midlands are becoming more polycentric,
the spatial structures of many city-regions in the North have not shown signicant change. In fact, some
are becoming more monocentric. In addition, polycentricity takes different forms, which indicates that
the development of metropolitan spatial structure can be characterized as a heterogeneous spatial
process.
2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Introduction
The contemporary literature on urban systems often argues that
polycentricity has become the dominant metropolitan form in
Western Europe. The literature claims that the monocentric model,
in which a principal city offers labor demand and the surrounding
territory offers labor supply, is increasingly inaccurate (Meijers,
2007). Indeed, studies have hypothesized that rms and households are increasingly located outside the principal city where they
create new centers while maintaining signicant linkages with the
original core. In addition, past studies have conjectured that proximate but historically autonomous urban centers within the same
city-region are undergoing a spatial and functional integration.1
The outcome of these developments is hypothesized as a spatially
and functionally integrated city-region with multiple centers at the
supra-local scale.
Therefore, it is argued that modern urban life is taking place in a
polycentric city-region, not a monocentric city. The emphasis on
polycentricity reects the move from territories dominated by a
Corresponding author. Tel.: +31 (0)10 4089579; fax: +31 (0)10 4089141.
E-mail addresses: mburger@ese.eur.nl (M.J. Burger), bastiaan.degoei@cantab.net
(B. de Goei), lambertvanderlaan@gmail.com (L. van der Laan), fhuisman@ese.eur.nl
(F.J.M. Huisman).
URL: http://www.mjburger.net (M.J. Burger).
1
For example, city-regions characterized by the historical co-location of multiple
smaller centers (i.e., conurbations), such as the area around Middlesbrough.
0264-2751/$ - see front matter 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.cities.2010.11.006
161
162
the level of the city-region, the monocentric model has been unable
to explain a shift in employment from the principal center to the
subordinate centers in surrounding territories and the resulting decrease of commuting from the surrounding territory to the principal
city. Second, the existence of an enormous amount of excess or
wasteful commuting the difference between the average commuting distance projected by the monocentric density function
based on travel-minimizing behavior and the actual required commuting distance made the monocentric model unrealistic (Small
& Song, 1994). The most obvious reason for the failure of the monocentric model is the increasing percentage of journey-to-work travel
from the principal city to the surrounding territory and between different parts of the surrounding territory.5
Whereas the monocentric concept gave way to that of polycentric city-regions, the resulting metropolitan spatial structure often
remains unclear (Van der Laan, 1998).6 For example, a polycentric
city-region can be characterized by a spatial structure whereby exchange commuting only occurs between the original center and
the surrounding territory or by a more fragmented pattern in which
the original principal city and subordinate centers have become
indistinct. A more elaborate discussion of these issues is provided
in the next section.
Metropolitan spatial structure
Conceptualizing the importance of centers
Every assessment of spatial structure starts off by determining
the importance of centers. As indicated by Preston (1971), one
can make a distinction between the absolute importance of a center or its nodality and the relative importance of a center or its centrality. In the light of employment and journey-to-work ows, the
nodality of a center can be expressed by the total number of jobs it
provides, whereas the centrality of a center can be dened by the
number of jobs in excess of those demanded by the centers own
inhabitants. The distinction between nodality and centrality can
be traced back to the work by Christaller (1933), who argued that
if the importance of a center was determined solely on the basis of
its size, then part of its importance must be ascribed to the settlement itself as an agglomeration and another part to the settlement
as a provider of jobs, goods and services to the surrounding territory. Accordingly, it is possible to separate the external importance
from the local importance of a city. The importance a center c in an
open system (i.e., including linkages with other systems) can then
be decomposed7 as follows:
C ci Nc C co Lc ;
where Cci = the surplus importance of a center based on incoming
ows from other places within the same spatial system; its internal
centrality. Nc = the absolute importance of a center; its nodality.
Cce = the surplus importance of a center based on incoming ows
from other places outside the spatial system; its external centrality.
Lc = the local importance of a center based on internal ows (people
working and living in the same place).
For example, when examining the importance of a center as
source of jobs in a city-region, it can be argued that Nc represents
total employment in part of the city-region c, Cci represents
5
It should be noted that, over time, the monocentric model could also over-predict
commuting distance as total commuting distance could drop when more people work
and live in sub-centers (Small & Song, 1994). However, this would also mean that the
predictions from the monocentric model are no longer reliable.
6
The use of polycentricity should not be confused with the concept of multicentricity. Multicentricity refers to the existence of multiple centers, while polycentricity
emphasizes a certain balance in importance of these centers.
7
See Burger and Meijers (2010) for a more elaborate discussion of these issues.
Morphologically Monocentric
Morphologically Polycentric
Functionally Monocentric
Functionally Polycentric
163
Polycentric Criss-Cross
Monocentric
Polycentric Decentralized
Polycentric Exchange
surrounding territory to the principal city but also from the principal city to the surrounding territory. In a polycentric criss-cross urban system, the different parts of the surrounding territory have
become more dominant because they attract commuters from
other parts of the surrounding territory. In this, parts of the surrounding territory have become complementary to the principal
city and are increasingly important as centers within the city-region. Commuting ows decentralize as the number of workers
commuting between the different parts of the surrounding territory and bypassing the (former) principal city increases. Yet, the
degree of exchange commuting remains low. Finally, a decentralized polycentric city-regionis characterized by a multi-oriented
commuting pattern in which there is no longer a dominant center.
In a polycentric decentralized system, there is a large amount of
both criss-cross and exchange commuting. Two types of city-regions t this classication: (1) a formerly monocentric city-region
in which employment has spread from the urban core to the urban
fringe (i.e., edgeless cities) (Lang, 2003) and (2) city-regions characterized by the historical co-location of multiple smaller centers
(i.e., conurbations). In such urban systems, the amount of traditional commuting may become very small.
Empirical setting and methodology
Previous research on commuting and spatial structure in England and
Wales
Despite the growing amount of theoretical literature on changing urban systems, only a small number of recent empirical studies
have quantitatively assessed the development toward polycentric
city-regions in England and Wales. Studies by Coombes, Charles,
Raybould, and Wymer (2006), Nielsen and Hovgesen (2008), Green
(2008) and De Goei, Burger, Van Oort, and Kitson (2008, 2010) have
analyzed the dynamics of spatial structure in England and Wales
empirically by using commuting data, whereas most work on
164
English and Welsh urban networks has been done at the inter-regional scale (i.e., between supra-local territories).
Analyzing commuting data, Green (2008) found that England
and Wales became more connected at the inter-regional scale between 1981 and 2001. In addition, Green (2008) concluded that
there is an increasing tendency for people to live and work at the
urban periphery, where travel patterns have become increasingly
diffused. On a similar note, Nielsen and Hovgesen (2008) examined
the development of nationwide commuting ows in England and
Wales between 1991 and 2001. They found an increase in the average commuting distance during this period, which is exemplied by
an increasing connectivity between rural areas and main centers.
Focusing on commuting networks in the Greater Southeast, De
Goei et al. (2008), De Goei et al. (2010) concluded that the megacity-region still could not be regarded as a functional polycentric
urban region. However, they found some evidence for spatial integration at the supra-local scale (i.e., the city-region), as well as a
decentralization of the system at the inter-regional scale, because
the hub function of London is decreasing in signicance. On a similar note, Coombes et al. (2006) found some evidence for increasing
linkage formation between the principal cities of the city-regions
in the East Midlands urban network.
However, the empirical literature on spatial structure in general, and those studies in particular, pay limited attention to the
spatial heterogeneity present between different city-regions. The
remainder of this article contributes to the existing empirical literature on urban systems by jointly addressing the dynamics, spatial
heterogeneity and the specic polycentric pattern of city-regions
in England and Wales.
Commuting and city-regions in England and Wales
The present study used journey-to-work data between local
authority districts from 1981 and 2001 to analyze the development
of metropolitan spatial structures in England and Wales. These
data were obtained from the Special Workplace Statistics (Set C)
in the British Census.9 The Census Interaction Data Service (CIDS)
1991/2001 common geography was used to avoid potential problems with the changes of district-boundaries over the past 20 years
(Boyle & Feng, 2002). A subdivision of city-regions is made using the
common geography. In this, we used the classication created by
Coombes (2000), which comprises 43 British city-regions. We dened city-regions by functional linkages and areal associations based
on the 2001 Census. In this, the city-regions are delineated on the
basis of commuting data through an algorithm that optimises the
boundaries on the basis of a size of employment criterion and a minimum threshold of self-containment of ows to workplaces (Robson,
Barr, Lymperopoulo, Ress, & Coombes, 2006, p. 8). Accordingly, the
classied city-regions are to a large extent self-contained because
most people (>80%) who work in city-regions also live there.
The delineation of Coombes (2000) is non-nodal and exhaustive
because there may be several employment centers within each
city-region, and every area in Great Britain is allocated to a cityregion. Compared to other classications of city-regions in England
and Wales (see Davoudi, 2008; Robson et al., 2006), an obvious
advantage of the Coombes classication is that it does not assume
a priori the existence of only one main center within a city-region.
Hence, the bottom-up approach of delineating city-regions is useful for exploring polycentric patterns in a wider region (Davoudi,
2008). Based on the classication of city-regions by Coombes
(2000), we selected the 22 largest English and Welsh city-regions,
9
Census output is crown copyright and is reproduced with the permission of the
controller of HMSO and the Queens printer for Scotland. Sources: 1981 census:
Special workplace statistics (Set C) and 2001 census: Special workplace statistics
(level 1).
whereby the more rural areas are excluded because these areas are
typically not metropolitan (for a similar selection, see Champion &
Coombes, 2007). An overview of the city-regions included in the
analysis is presented in Fig. 3.
Quantifying the spatial structure of city-regions
The degree to which incoming commuting and employment is
centralized within city-regions is estimated to assess the development of metropolitan spatial structure of English and Welsh
city-regions between 1981 and 2001. To assess the degree of morphological and functional polycentricity in a city-region, we used a
primacy index (Adolphson, 2009; Van der Laan, 1998). The morphological primacy index is calculated as the ratio of employment
in the largest center (i.e., the principal city) and the total employment in the city-region and is thus based on the balance in the distribution of nodality scores. The functional primacy index is
calculated as the ratio of incoming commuting into the largest center originating from the city-region and the total incoming commuting originating from the city-region and is thus based on the
balance in the distribution of internal centrality scores. A city-region is considered morphological monocentric if its employment
is highly concentrated in one (principal) city. A city-region is considered functional monocentric if most commuting ows originating from other parts of the city-region are directed at the principal
city (and no ows are directed from the principal city to the surrounding territory). The larger the degree of morphological and
functional primacy is in a city-region, the lower the degree of morphological and functional polycentricity in a city-region.
In addition to the summary measures of polycentricity, we look
at specic patterns of polycentricity, which correspond to the
typology of polycentric spatial structures introduced in the previous section. In this, we make a distinction between the monocentric and three types of polycentric city-region: the exchange, the
criss-cross, and the decentralized city-region. This typology is
based on (1) the degree of exchange commuting, or the degree to
which commuters living in the principal city are oriented toward
the surrounding territory and (2) the degree of criss-cross commuting, or the degree of commuting between different parts of
the surrounding territory. We compared the degree of exchange
and criss-cross commuting with the degree of traditional commuting, where commuting is dened as journey-to-work travels between the area of residence and another area of employment.
Hence, we excluded the journey-to-work travel of people who
work and live in the same area. A more technical description of
these measures is provided in Table 1.
Building on the discussion in the previous sections, we describe
two additional features of city-regions. The degree of network density reects the extent to which different parts of the city-region
are networked or functionally interdependent and can be measured as the ratio of the actual connections between the different
parts of the city-region compared to the total potential connections
between the different parts of the city-region (Green, 2007). Here,
the total potential connections between the different parts of a
city-region are dened as the total number of employees in a
city-region. A generally low ratio of the sum of internal centrality
scores by different parts of the city-region compared to the number of employees within a city-region indicates a low level of network density. Likewise, the openness of a city-region can be
dened as the ratio of the number of employees in a city-region
residing in other city-regions compared to the total employment
in the city-region (Patuelli, Reggiani, Nijkamp, & Bade, 2009).10
10
Alternatively, this measure can be conceptualized as the ratio of the sum of
external centrality scores of the different parts of the city-region divided by the sum
of nodality scores of the different parts of the city-region.
165
Table 1
Orientation of commuting and four types of urban systems.
Exchange commuting
Crsiss-cross commuting
High
Low
Low
High
Criss-cross
Monocentric
Decentralized
Exchange
Notes:
Exchange commuting index: IC(PC ? ST)/[ IC(PC ? ST) + IC(ST ? PC)].
IC(PC ? ST) = incoming commuting in the surrounding territory emerging from the
principal city.
IC(ST ? PC) = incoming commuting in the principal city emerging from its surrounding territory.
Criss-cross commuting index: IC(ST ? ST)/[IC(ST ? ST) + IC(ST ? PC)].
IC(ST ? ST) = commuting between different parts of the surrounding territory.
IC(ST ? PC) = incoming commuting in the principal city emerging from its surrounding territory.
Empirical results
Spatial organization of English and Welsh city-regions
Table 2 indicates the spatial organization of the 22 selected cityregions in England and Wales in 2001 on the basis of employment
and commuting trips. Based on the morphological and functional
primacy indices, the majority of city-regions exhibit some extent
of a functional and morphological polycentric pattern. On average,
only 36.7% of the incoming commuting ows to the city-region and
28.8% of employees concentrate in the principal city. Middlesbrough, Preston, Reading and Southampton are the most relatively
polycentric city-regions in England and Wales. Other city-regions,
such as Nottingham, Leeds and Leicester, can still be characterized
as relatively monocentric. Overall, there is a strong correlation
(0.77) between the degree of functional and morphological polycentricity (see also Table 3); city-regions that are relatively functional polycentric are also relatively morphological polycentric.
Now we turn to related aspects of the spatial organization of
city-regions: the degree of network density and outward openness.
Table 2 shows that on average, 28% of the employees in a cityregion commute between different parts of the city-region, while
approximately 10% of the employees live outside the city-region
in which they work. However, there are considerable differences
between city-regions, especially with regard to the degree of
network density. London11 appears to be the most networked
city-region, with over half of its employees commuting between
the different parts of the city-region.12 With respect to the outward
openness of city-regions, (unsurprisingly) the geographically isolated city-regions (Cardiff, Middlesbrough, Newcastle and Plymouth)
are the most closed, while smaller city-regions located in between
11
Central London as principal city is here dened as the Camden, City of London,
City of Westminster, Islington, Kensington and Chelsea, Lambeth and Southwark
which together form the Central London partnership.
12
However, part of the variation between city-regions can be explained by the
different areal units used to characterize the different parts of the surrounding
territory.
166
Table 2
Spatial organization of English and Welsh city-regions (2001).
City-region
Functional
primacy
Morphological
primacy
Network
density
Outward
openness
Southampton
Reading
Preston
Plymouth
Middlesbrough
Brighton
Newcastle
Manchester
Birmingham
Cardiff
London
Bristol
Stoke
Portsmouth
Shefeld
Northampton
Norwich
Liverpool
Coventry
Leeds
Nottingham
Leicester
17.8
19.8
20.6
24.4
25.0
26.7
33.3
34.1
35.5
35.8
38.2
39.5
39.5
40.4
40.8
44.4
45.9
46.2
47.0
49.0
49.5
53.1
15.8
11.9
13.0
24.1
16.9
31.5
22.2
19.2
35.2
29.8
23.0
28.0
26.9
28.5
39.4
43.7
22.0
31.7
43.5
50.8
35.5
41.6
31.1
29.0
28.4
19.8
31.6
22.4
37.1
34.5
30.5
29.1
51.4
24.6
25.3
22.2
20.4
18.6
28.0
28.3
21.7
13.7
38.7
34.0
8.4
18.7
7.2
2.7
3.9
8.0
4.2
9.7
11.2
4.3
6.2
7.2
12.7
11.2
7.9
18.7
5.5
10.6
19.9
14.0
11.3
12.4
Mean
Standard deviation
36.7
10.3
28.8
10.7
28.2
8.2
9.8
4.9
Table 3
Correlation matrix of the different dimensions of the spatial organization of cityregions.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Functional primacy
Morphological primacy
Network density
Outward openness
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
1.00
0.77
0.07
0.34
1.00
0.43
0.45
1.00
0.31
1.00
14
Yet, overall, there is a strong correlation of 0.84 between the change in functional
primacy and the change in morphological primacy.
167
Table 4
Changes in spatial organization of English and Welsh city-regions in percentage
points (19812001).
City-region
Functional
primacy, D
Morphological
primacy, D
Network
density, D
Outward
openness, D
London
Bristol
Portsmouth
Coventry
Leicester
Stoke
Norwich
Plymouth
Birmingham
Manchester
Southampton
Liverpool
Reading
Preston
Newcastle
Brighton
Shefeld
Cardiff
Northampton
Middlesbrough
Nottingham
Leeds
13.7
12.9
12.5
11.0
11.0
10.3
9.9
9.4
8.3
7.4
7.1
5.3
5.3
4.6
4.4
4.1
4.0
1.7
1.7
0.6
2.0
7.1
2.6
6.6
5.1
7.2
8.3
6.9
4.0
6.3
6.1
3.3
5.0
4.4
2.6
0.3
1.9
3.3
1.3
2.3
0.1
0.7
0.2
3.6
0.7
2.6
0.2
3.0
2.5
2.4
3.4
5.3
2.2
3.6
4.0
0.9
2.7
5.4
5.7
2.9
3.9
7.1
5.3
7.9
3.1
4.9
1.6
2.8
2.7
7.9
3.8
3.5
1.7
1.0
4.0
4.6
2.9
2.8
7.8
3.0
1.8
1.0
3.1
1.9
6.2
2.3
4.3
5.4
6.2
5.2
3.1
3.2
3.5
2.1
3.2
2.3
Mean
Standard deviation
within the different parts of the surrounding territory. The correlation between changes in outward openness and changes in primacy
was insignicant.
Turning to the development of specic spatial structures, Fig. 5
shows that most city-regions are developing a more decentralized
pattern, whereas city-regions in South England and the Midlands
tend to do this at a faster pace than city-regions in North England
and Wales. In Cardiff and Northampton, only some exchange
Table 5
Correlation matrix of changes in the different dimensions of the spatial organization
of city-regions.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
D
D
D
D
Functional primacy
Morphological primacy
Network density
Outward openness
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
1.00
0.84
0.53
0.04
1.00
0.56
0.09
1.00
0.26
1.00
168
Table 6
Shift in relative share of the different types of journey-to-work trips in percentage
points (19812001; italicised cells more than 3% points change).
City-region
1
Within PC
2
Within ST
3
ST ? PC
4
PC ? ST
5
ST ? ST
Birmingham
Brighton
Bristol
Cardiff
Coventry
Leeds
Leicester
Liverpool
London
Manchester
Middlesbrough
Newcastle
Northampton
Norwich
Nottingham
Plymouth
Portsmouth
Preston
Reading
Shefeld
Southampton
Stoke
4.7
2.9
5.0
0.1
6.3
0.5
6.2
2.6
0.8
2.4
1.5
2.2
1.5
3.2
2.4
6.2
2.2
0.5
1.5
1.9
3.8
5.4
2.5
0.0
2.4
7.2
3.3
4.5
3.7
3.5
0.1
1.2
6.4
3.5
3.9
0.2
0.7
0.9
2.1
4.9
1.2
1.9
0.1
3.0
1.6
0.0
1.8
2.2
0.6
3.0
2.1
2.0
6.7
1.1
1.8
0.5
2.1
0.9
2.2
0.1
2.7
0.1
0.9
0.9
1.2
1.4
1.2
0.5
0.7
1.7
1.9
0.6
0.8
0.2
0.4
0.1
0.5
0.7
1.5
0.5
0.4
1.4
1.3
0.6
0.6
1.1
1.1
1.7
2.5
2.4
3.7
3.2
1.7
1.3
3.8
1.2
7.0
4.7
6.6
4.4
1.7
3.8
1.2
4.0
1.5
4.7
3.0
1.8
4.1
2.1
Mean
Standard deviation
2.9
2.0
0.6
3.3
0.5
2.1
0.8
0.7
3.2
1.6
many city-regions are polycentric, the spatial structure differs considerably across city-regions. A related question is which kind of
spatial structure prevails in specic regions. During the period
19812001, decentralization in the spatial structure occurred
across city-regions. These results are in line with the ndings of
De Goei et al. (2010) for the Greater Southeast, which also observed
decentralization at the supra-local scale, exemplied by a relative increase in exchange and criss-cross commuting. Similar
decentralization of employment and population at the supra-local
scale has been observed in Denmark (Nielsen & Hovgesen, 2005),
France (Aguilera & Mignot, 2004), and Germany (Guth et al., 2009).
Nevertheless, the extent of change in the overall spatial pattern
is modest. In addition, the results show a large spatial differentiation. It was found that not all city-regions are moving in the same
direction. Whereas the majority of city-regions in Southeast
England and the Midlands are becoming more polycentric, the
spatial structure of many city-regions in North England is changing
slowly or even becoming more monocentric. Having observed
these different trends, the question remains why some city-regions
become polycentric in form and other city-regions do not. Further
empirical research should address this question in detail by quantitatively linking the spatial heterogeneity in the dynamics of
metropolitan spatial structure with the heterogeneity in the initial
shape, economic and socio-cultural developments and local and regional land use policies across city-regions.
Further research can use different approaches (De Goei et al.,
2010). First, more detail on the relationship between changing
metropolitan spatial structure and the increasing exibility and
mobility of rms is needed. In particular, the link between
advancements in transport, ICT, a developing service economy,
and changes in metropolitan spatial structure deserves further
analysis. A starting point here would be the research of Iaonnides,
Overman, and Schmidheiny (2008), which has shown that ICT
weakens agglomeration forces and provides incentives to relocate
economic activities to smaller centers. Particular attention should
be paid to how changes in the balance between agglomeration
economies and diseconomies (e.g., pollution, crime) trigger
changes in the spatial organization of metropolitan areas and
how a group of functionally linked centers share agglomeration
economies (Meijers & Burger, 2010).
Secondly, the relationship between the changing metropolitan
spatial structure and the increasing exibility and mobility of
households can be further examined. Advances in transport and
ICT make households not only more mobile, but they can also
change residential preferences. Advances in transport and ICT allow for the potential of changes in the demography of developed
economies and the life styles of people and can thus affect metropolitan spatial structure (Champion, 2001). Such demographic
developments include the rise of two-earner and single person
households, the increasing number of working women, higher life
expectancy, and lower fertility (Hall & White, 1995). These demographic developments have changed the residential preferences of
large groups of people, causing changes in the spatial organization
of urban systems (Van Ham, 2002). Thirdly, the effect of local and
regional policies on metropolitan spatial structure can be analyzed
further. This includes policies that have the explicit intention to
change metropolitan spatial structure and policies that unintentionally accomplish this task. Likely, there are multiple drivers behind the changing spatial organization of city-regions. However,
these drivers may differ across various locations. In addition, the
original shape of city-regions also inuences changes in their spatial organization. Accordingly, it will be important to distinguish
between city-regions and different determinants of metropolitan
spatial structure.
Although commuting constitutes one of the most important
economic interactions within a city-region, a signicant limitation
169
170
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