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Abstract
The paper analyses current transportation and traffic conditions in the Sao Paulo Metropolitan area and the factors that shaped them over
the 19671997 period. Quantitative data from four subsequent Origin-Destination surveys (OD) were used. Transport progressively changed
towards a motorized system, first with the intense use of buses and finally with the large increase in the use of automobiles. Public transport
services experienced severe supply and quality problems and increasing fares led to the exclusion of a large number of users. Negative
externalities related to the increasing use of the automobilesuch as traffic accidents, congestion and pollutionskyrocketed, threatening
the sustainability of the metropolis. Policies towards unsustainability continue to be supported and it also appears that even harsher negative
consequences will have to be faced until a new vision of the problem is developed.
q 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Urban change; Mobility and transport in Sao Paulo
92
Table 1
Social and economic changes, SPMR, 19671997
Year
1967
1977
1987
1997
a
b
Pop
(000s)
7097
10,273
14,248
16,792
Education
Students (000s)
1088
2523
3676
5,011
Estimated.
Not included in the 1967 survey.
Jobs
Enroll/inhab
0.15
0.25
0.26
0.30
(000s)
a
2736
3960
5647
6959
Jobs/inhab
0.39
0.39
0.40
0.41
Walking
trips
b
5641
10,658
10,812
Motorized
trips
7163
15,758
18,749
20,620
Mobility (trips/per/day)
All trips
Walk trips
Motor trips
2.08
2.06
1.87
0.55
0.75
0.64
1.01
1.53
1.32
1.23
93
94
downwards. Among the latter, three are especially important. First, the change in consumption habits, translated by
the increasing use of concentrated shopping centers.
Second, the heightened awareness of overall daily congestion forced the rearrangement of travel habits towards
closer, more selected destinations but also towards less trips
for less important purposes (or those that could be replaced
by home activities such as the use of the video-cassette).
Thirdand very importantseveral purchases that
involved traveling have been replaced with home-delivery
services, operated by hired motorcyclists (the motoboys).
Such services have been increasing exponentially in the
region: the number of motorcycles rose from 100,000 in
1985 to 300,000 in 1997, with 65% of new motorcycles used
for commercial purposes (CET, 2001). These motorcycles
may have been doing about 23 million trips per day (10%
of all trips captured on the OD survey), which are not
registered by the OD survey, limited to home interviews.
Individual and social mobility. The prevailing analysis
opens the way to propose the use of the concept of social
mobility, as complementing individual mobility. Social
mobility refers to trips made by all people in all activities
and not just those registered when interviewing people in
their households. Based on this concept and considering that
income may not have changed after all, it is possible to put
forward the hypothesis that while individual mobility as
captured by the survey decreased, social mobility has not
changed since several trips, registered in the previous OD
surveys were just transferred to home-delivery services: this
is the mobility transfer phenomenon.4 In other words,
overall social mobility, related to the level and dynamics of
the regional economy, may not have changed.
The impact of the automobile: ownership of a first
automobile has a great impact on the familys mobility since
40% of trips are then made using the new car. Its use
increases as income increases. The possession of an
automobile also allows for chained trips, corresponding to
about 35% of all auto trips in the region. The availability of
the automobile seems so attractive to owners that trips as
short as 5 min are common (11% of all auto trips).
Table 2
Change in the use of motorized transport modes, SPMR, 19671997
Transport mode
Public
Train
Subway
Bus
Private (auto and taxi)
Otherb
Total
a
b
1977
1987
1997
63.5
4.4
59.1
25.9
10.6
100.0
60.7
3.2
3.4
54.1
34.8
4.4
100.0
54.8
4.4
7.6
42.8
41.9
3.3
100.0
50.8
3.2
8.3
39.3a
47.3
0.9
100.0
95
Table 3
Change in auto fleet and in motorized trips, SPMR, 19671997
Year
Autos (000s)
Public transport
trips (000s)
Auto trips/person
Public transport
trips/person
Modal split
public-private (%)
1967
1977
1987
1997
493
1.384
2.014
3.095
2293
6240
8473
10,147
4894
9759
10,343
10,473
0.32
0.61
0.59
0.60
0.69
0.95
0.73
0.62
6832
6139
5545
5149
Fig. 3. SPMR, auto and public transport trips per person, 19671997.
96
Table 4
Public transport infrastructure supply, SPMR, 19671997
Year
1967
1977
1987
1997
a
Busa
Train
6
Metro
6
All
6
km
km/10 pop
km
km/10 pop
km
km/10 pop
km
km/106 pop
0
58
101
101
0
8.2
9.8
7.1
270
270
270
270
38.0
26.2
18.9
16.1
0
17
28
44
0
1.7
2.0
2.6
270
345
399
415
38.0
33.5
28.0
24.7
Table 5
Public transport demand, SPMR, 19671997
Year
1967
1977
1987
1997
Train
Subway
Total
1557
2390
2904
2362
122
146
316
272
0
176
540
690
1679
2712
3760
3324
97
Table 6
Public transport costs, SPMR, 19771997
Year
Bus
Metro
Train
Bus
Metro
Train
1977
1987
1997
0.47
0.61
0.92
0.68
0.42
1.10
0.24
0.21
0.83
9.4
21.3
40.8
13.7
14.7
48.8
4.8
7.2
38.6
travel times are also very different: 27 min for cars, 57 for
buses and up to 77 and 93 min for combined busrail and
bus-metro trips.
5.6. Costs of transport
Public transport has become increasingly more expensive, especially in the last decade. Putting aside inflation,
the bus farethe most important modedoubled between
1977 and 1997. The train fare, paid by very poor people,
increased by a factor of 3.5. The monthly cost of transport in
terms of the minimum wage has dramatically increased
(Table 6).
In public transport, the increase in fares, coupled with
persistently low incomes, have expelled the poorer from
the bus system. This has been replaced by either walking
trips or no travel at all. The increase in informal
activities has kept a larger portion of the population out
of the system given that travel passes are provided only
for those on the formal job market.5 Integrated trips were
also severely affected since the integrated fare remained
beyond peoples purchasing power.
Automobile ownership taxes have always been very low,
around U$ 100 a year. The most important factor affecting
travel choicethe cost of a liter of gasolinehas decreased
from R$ 2.09 in 1980, to R$ 1.62 in 1987, to R$ 0.77 in
1997. Another factorparking costdoes not have a great
impact because there have been free parking spaces on
streets for most users.
5.7. Support for the automobile
Unsustainability was created also by several policies
supporting the use of the automobile. Extensive road
construction has been used to counteract congestion in
several periods of the citys history. In the city of Sao
Paulo, between 1967 and 1977, 27% of the citys budget
was used for such purposes (Vasconcellos, 2000). The
largest investments were made between 1960 and 1980
(Table 7), although some of the most substantial ones
98
Table 7
Main road infrastructure supply, city of Sao Paulo
Year
km lanesa
km lanes/106 pop
1960
1970
1980
1990
886
1764
2369
2574
216
430
437
328
Year
Vehicle
occupants
Pedestrians
Total
Fatalities/
105 pop
1980
1985
1995
1997
750
1044
846
933
1580
1515
1432
1109
2330
2559
2278
2042
27.4
27.8
23.0
20.4
After 1998, the new Brazilian Traffic Code changed the distribution of
enforcement authorities and gave up the organization of local, civilian
traffic police to city authorities.
99
Table 9
Vehicle emissions and hospital morbidity costs, SPMR
Hospital costsa, 1997
ton/year
kg/pers-year
1642
1044
102.6
65.2
37
2722
2.3
170.1
106 US$
US$/pers-year
124.8
6.9
Refer Cetesb (2004) for emissions and Ortiz and da Motta (2004) for health
costs.
a
Respiratory and heart failure morbidity costs.
100
Table 10
Three decades, three cities
Decade
Characteristics
19671977
19771987
19871997
Year
Pop
(000s)
Total trips/
day (000s)
Mobility (trips/
per/day)
Modal split
publicprivate (%)
1987
1997
2002
14,248
16,792
18,300
29,400
31,400
38,660
2.06
1.87
2.11
5545
5149
4753
Table 11
SPMR, recent mobility trends
101
102
Table 12
Speed and public transport use on large cities in the developing world
City
Seoul
Jakarta
Manilla
Sao Paulo
Buses
24
23.6
25.5
22
18.8
14.6
15.4
14.5
Pass-km on public
transport (%)
54.0
46.1
66.7
55.2
Refs. Vasconcellos (2001) for Sao Paulo and Newman and Kenworthy
(1999) for the other cities.
9. Conclusion
Information and data from the origin-destination
surveys carried out every decade in the 19671997 period
in the SPMR may be used to analyze how changes in
urban structure, the job market and economic and social
conditions interacted with the transport and traffic systems
and so produced new ways of living and using the city.
Three different cities may be defined in these three
decades. Transport progressively changed towards a
motorized system, first with the intense use of buses and
finally with the great increase in the use of automobiles.
Individual motorized mobility, after increasing 50% in the
19671977 decade, experienced decreases, although social
mobilityincluding trips indirectly linked to peoples
needs, such as those provided by delivery servicesmay
not have decreased. Female mobility progressively
approached that of males, although remaining lower.
High mobility differences among income stratatypical
of developing countries with high social and economic
disparitiesremained, confirming the income-mobility
paradigm. Public transport services experienced severe
supply and quality problems, which coupled with
increasing fares and decreasing incomes for the poorer
led to the exclusion of a large number of users. Negative
externalities related to the increasing use of the automobile, such as traffic accidents, congestion and pollutionskyrocketed, threatening the sustainability of the
metropolis. All such consequences were propelled by the
lack of coordination among urban, transport and traffic
policies, the abandoning of public transport and the
political, ideological and economic support given by
transport and traffic authorities for automobile use. Such
consequences may also be found in other large cities in
Brazil (Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte) and in other cities
of the developing world, such as Bangkok, Mexico, Seoul,
Caracas and Buenos Aires.
The analysis of data in Sao Paulo also calls for a question
about the future. Priority for buses improved in 2004 with
the building of median bus lanes in about 200 km of arterial
streetswith a corresponding increase in speed and
reliabilitybut operating performance and quality of the
whole bus system remains poor. The subway and railway
103
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7
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8
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104