You are on page 1of 18

http://www.businessmodelforecast.

com/

Business Model Forecast is a free & easy financ

Build your business model &


strategy

Check cash flow & build


funding plan

FEATURES

EASY

FREE

RELIABLE

HOW TO USE : Fill-in all tabs & check Dashboard for results. Re

Created by Remi BERTHIER

e & easy financial forecast tool for startup

Refine & improve your startup


project

Export forecasts in your


Business Plan

FEATURES

LARGE
COMPATIBILITY

CUSTOMIZABLE

CONFIDENTIAL

d for results. Rework until your Business Model is great !

REVENUES

Tip : Fill-in revenues streams. Specify revenue + variable cost per unit sold and the

Description

Revenue
(per unit)

Cost of
goods sold
(per unit)

Y1
Q1

cost per unit sold and the quantity sold over time. The tool calculates global revenues and costs

Y1
Q2

Q3

Q4

Number of units sold


Y2
Q1
Q2
Q3

Q4

al revenues and costs.

Y3

Y4

Y5

HUMAN RESOURCES
Tip : Fill-in salaries and number of employees over time.

Description

Annual salary
fully charged

N
Y1
Q1

Q2

Q3

1
Q4

Number of employees
Y2
Q1
Q2
Q3

Y3

Y4

Y5

Q4

EXPENSES

Tip : Specify estimated expenses with a fix and variable annual basis. Customize to

Description
Marketing
Sales
Office rental
Legal & Bookkeeping
IT & Licences
Office supplies
Telephone
Printing & Postage
Insurance
Financial fees
Utilities

Fixed annual
expenses
10,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
2,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
2,000
1,000
1,000

Variable
expenses
(% of revenues)
3.0%
0.5%
1.0%
0.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
1.0%
0.5%

Y1
Q1
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
250
250
500
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750

basis. Customize to your needs if necessary. The tool calculates expenses based on these inform

Y1
Q2
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
250
250
500
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750

Q3
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
250
250
500
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750

Q4
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
250
250
500
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750

Cost amount
Y2
Q1
Q2
2,500
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
500
500
250
250
250
250
500
500
250
250
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750
8,750

Q3
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
250
250
500
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750

Q4
2,500
1,250
1,250
1,250
500
500
250
250
500
250
250
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,750

based on these informations.

Y3
10,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
2,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35,000

Y4
10,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
2,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35,000

Y5
10,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
2,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35,000

INVESTMENTS
Tip : Fill-in investments costs over time. The tool estimates amortization based on
Cost
Y1

Description
Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

amortization based on a 5 years period hypothesis.

Q1

Cost amount
Y2
Q2

Y3
Q3

Y4

Y5

Q4

FINANCIAL RESOURCES
Tip : Fill-in financial resources expected over time.
Cash
Y1

Description
Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Capital
Debt
Subsidy
0

Q1

Cash amount
Y2
Q2

Y3
Q3

Y4

Y5

Q4

DASHBOARD

Tip : Analyse your startup financial perfomance over time. Check financial and cash
Y1

Y2

Y3

Break even point


% of revenues
Revenues
% of revenues
Gross profit
% of revenues
Operating profit (EBITDA)
% of revenues
Profit before tax (EBIT)
% of revenues

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!

Debt / Capital
Debt / EBIT
Dividends / Capital

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

0
1
-10,000
-20,000
-30,000
-40,000
-50,000
-60,000
-70,000
-80,000

Monthly cash flow (Y1 &


2

10

11

me. Check financial and cash flow balance. Try to tweak your hypotheses to improve your model
Y4

Y5

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
0
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!
-35,000
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

ly cash flow (Y1 & Y2) - Check that cash > 0

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

flow balance. Try to tweak your hypotheses to improve your model and strategy.
Advises
Break even is minimum revenues to be profitable. Compare with revenues.
Check if revenues are realistics with your resources and market size.
Gross profit is the margin made with sales. Compare with competition.
EBITDA = Gross profit - Human resources - Expenses.
EBIT = EBITDA - Amortization. It pays taxes, loans and dividends.

This ratio helps you verify your debt capacity : < 200% is usually ok
This ratio helps you verify your reimbursement capacity : > 20% is ok
This ratio helps you verify your capacity to remunerate capital with dividends

& Y2) - Check that cash > 0

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

24

You might also like