Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CHAPTER 1............................................................................................. 3
INTRODUCTION...................................................................................... 3
I.1 Research Background.....................................................................3
I.2 Problem Identification and Statement............................................6
I.3 Research Scope and Limitation......................................................7
I.4 Research Objectives.......................................................................7
I.5 Research Benefits..........................................................................8
CHAPTER II............................................................................................. 9
LITERATURE REVIEW.............................................................................. 9
2.1 Capital Market............................................................................... 9
2.1.1 Definition of capital market....................................................9
2.1.2 Type of Capital Market..........................................................10
2.1.3 The Roles of Capital Market..................................................12
2.1.4 Capital Market Instruments...................................................13
2.2 Stock........................................................................................... 13
2.2.1 Definition of Stock.................................................................13
2.2.2 Types of Stock.......................................................................15
2.2.3 Stock Price............................................................................ 17
2.3 Stock split................................................................................... 18
2.3.1 Definition of Stock Split.........................................................18
2.3.2 Types of Stock Split...............................................................19
2.3.3 The Reason Companies Do Stock Split..................................20
2.3.4 Benefits of Stock Split...........................................................21
2.3.5 Theory in the Stock Split.......................................................21
2.4 Abnormal Return.........................................................................22
2.5 Trading Volume Activity...............................................................24
2.6 Previous Research Review...........................................................25
2.7 Theoretical Framework................................................................26
2.8 Articulating Hypothesis from Theoretical Framework..................26
CHAPTER III.......................................................................................... 27
DATA PROCESSING METHOD................................................................27
3.1 Research Method........................................................................27
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
I.1
Research Background
At the first time of the company was build, the owner hopes that the
company can maintain the viability of the company and also could earn much
profit. To reach that hopes, the owner needs much money to keep the company
still going concern in its business. That is becoming the main problem that should
be solved, because of the economic condition in Indonesia has not been stable yet,
it will be more difficult to solve.
The capital market could be one of a tool to solve that financial problem.
Capital Markets is one of the sources of external funding companies to improve
long-term capital needs of the company by selling shares and obligations.
According to Husnan (1994:3), capital market is the financial instruments
(securities) for the long run that could be traded either in the form of debt, that
published by the government, public authorities, or private parties. In Indonesia,
many companies that have been go public companies listed in the capital market.
They have listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange as one of the big capital market in
Indonesia.
The function of capital market is as a mediator between the companies
that needs the money to their operational activities and investors who will invest
their money in those companies. With the presence of capital market, expected
that the activity of economic will increase because the capital market is the
alternative funding for companies.
Investors will not invest their money, if there is no information that
could convince them that they should invest in those companies. By using the
relevance information that is prepared by companies, investors could value the
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prospect of a performance those companies itself, so the investors could get the
view of the risk and expected return of stock that owned by companies. One of the
important information is the announcement of the corporate action. Corporate
action is the action that done by the companies that has the significant impact
towards the continuity of operation, the price of stock, and the stockholders. One
of kind the corporate action is stock split.
Stock split is a corporate action when the company divides the existing
number of shares into multiple shares. The company usually does this action when
the stock price in the market is high. By issuing the stock split, it will be attract
many investors, because the price of stock split is affordable than the stock price
in the market. According to Keown, Scott, Martin, Petty (1996), and quoted by
Rohana, Jeannet, Mukhlasin (2003), said that the manager has many reasons to do
stock split, such as:
1. To make the stock price is not too expensive, so it will increase the amount
of stockholders and also the liquidity of stock trading
2. To restore the price and the size of the average stock trading to the range
that has been on target
3. To bring the information about the investment opportunities in the form of
increasing the earnings and cash dividend
Stock split as one of the information that can be effect on the Indonesia
Stock Exchange, may allow the changes such as price, yield, and also the volume
of trade stock. Companies that have go public, have the desire to increase the
value of the company. One way that could increase the value of the company is a
rising stock prices because the market price of the stock may be a reflection of the
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value of the company. If the increasing in stock price is overvalued by the market,
it can resulted in decreasing the ability of investors and it also will affect to
volume stock trading. The company issuing the shares must always pay attention
to the price of its shares.
Moreover, this corporate action also will give the positive information
and reaction because there will be the assumption if the stock split is a signal if
there will be the improvement of the companys performance that could increase
the dividend for the investors. This positive reaction will make the significant
value of Abnormal Return. The presence of this information transfer is indicated
by the significant of Abnormal Return in the other companys stock in the same
industry (Almilia and Kristijadi, 2005).
Abnormal Return is the amount of return realization security which is
different with the expected return that is based on the return in the market and the
relationship between security and market (Reilly and Brown, 2011: 155). Not
only for the Abnormal Return but also for Trading Volume Activity that positive
reaction will effect. Based on trading range theory which states that the stock split
will cause the increasing of trading volume activity or the increasing of liquidity
because the price is more attractive for investors. This result can indicate that the
stock split can cause the Trading Volume Activity changes significantly before and
after the announcement of stock split.
The impact of stock split that has been done by the companies have been
researched before there is the research gap from those researches. The result of
those past researches indicate there is the controversy according to the effect of
stock split. Based on the research that has been done by Grinblatt, Masulis, and
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Titman (1984) quoted from Sutrisno (2000) define, Around the announcement of
stock split shows there are abnormal stock behavior. (pg.3)
Based on the result of research about the stock split, in general there are
two kind of different opinions towards the variables that has been researched, so
the writer is interested in discussing further about the stock split, in the form of
thesis
titled
"ANALYSIS
THE
MARKET
REACTION
TOWARDS
I.2
acquire the stocks and also the liquidity of stocks. Stock split is one of corporate
action that has done by the companies that can make the price of stock lower than
before, make the price of stock is affordable, and increase the liquidity of stock in
the market. Besides, by doing the stock split, a company hopes that investors will
consider it as a good news so there will be the positive value for the Abnormal
Return and Trading Volume Activity around the announcement of stock split that
could change significantly.
In fact, even from the some last researchers stated that there is no the
significant changes for the average of Abnormal Return and Trading Volume
Activity before and after the announcement of stock split. This contrast make the
investors are confused because they want to get the high return from those stocks.
In this case, they want to get the positive value of Abnormal Return and Trading
Volume Activity. Based on the topic above, the problem would be identified as
follows:
1. Is there the reaction of market toward the announcement of stock split?
2. Do the Abnormal Return simultaneously giving the significant effect
before and after the announcement of stock split on manufacturing
company that are listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange?
3. Do the Trading Volume Activity simultaneously giving the significant
effect before and after the announcement of stock split on
manufacturing company that are listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange?
I.3
Return and Trading Volume Activity before and after the announcement of stock
split to public. The research subject is the financial statement of manufacturing
companies that are listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange and available on
Indonesia Capital Market Electronic Library. The period of the financial statement
that will be taken is 5 years from the year 2010 2014.
I.4
Research Objectives
The researcher intended to achieve these following outcomes:
1. To analyze the stock reaction toward the announcement of stock split
that is indicated by the Abnormal Return and Trading Volume
Activity
2. To analyze the difference of Abnormal Return and Trading Volume
Activity before and after the announcement of stock split
I.5
Research Benefits
As for the benefits to be gained for this research:
CHAPTER II
LITERATURE REVIEW
8
Primary Market
10
The part of the capital markets that deals with the issuance of new
securities. This is the market for new long term equity capital where
the securities are sold for the first time. In a primary issue, the
securities issued by the company to investors.
Secondary Market
Known by the aftermarket, it is the financial market where issued the
previous securities and financial instruments like stock, options, bonds,
and features that bought and sold. The stock price in this market
defined by the government and offer between seller and buyer
according to market mechanism.
Financial market that trade the right to determine the choice of (sell or
buy) to stocks or bonds, the choice is approval or contractual rights of
shareholders to buy or sell in certain time.
2.1.3
Jogiyanto (2003) states, " Capital markets have important role in a country,
stock market also is an indicator of success to determine the economic
condition a country". (pg.11). The roles of capital market such as:
A media to improve the company needs in the long term by selling the
shares and issuing bonds
To attract the buyers and sellers to participate, so the capital market will be
more liquid and efficient
A media of allocation the fund from lender to borrower
Besides, Husnan (2001), defines The existence of capital markets has
some appeal from the investors, such as:
The stock market will be an alternative as a collector of funds other than
banking system. Capital markets allow companies to issue the securities
in the form of a letter of debt (bonds) or a certificate of ownership
(stocks).
Capital markets allow investors to have a variety of investment options
according to their risk preferences. With the capital markets, allowing
investors
to
diversifying
investments
according
to
their
risk
The principle of capital market instruments are all of kinds the securities.
The notion of some instruments usually appear in the capital market, are as
follows:
Shares (stock), a letter of ownership or possession a person or entity
within a company.
Rights, a right granted to the previous shareholders to purchase additional
new shares issued by an enterprise.
Bond (Bond) , is the evidence of the issuer's debt which is guaranteed by
the insurer that contains a promise of the final payment or other
appointments that will be paid on the maturity date.
Warrant, the rights granted to the owner bonds to buy a certain number of
shares in the future with the price that has been decided before.
2.2 Stock
2.2.1 Definition of Stock
There are valuable letter that go public company have and declare that the one
who buy it from the company through capital market will become one of the
owners of the company, the valuable letter is called stock.
Tandelilin (2001) states, Share is proof ownership of the asset one of the
company that issued the shares by owning shares of a company, and the investor
will has the right to get the income and the companys wealth after deducting the
payment of all companys liabilities.
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Griffin and Elbert (2002) define, stock is the evidence of the companys
ownership. By buying the stock of the company the shareholders have become the
one of the owner of the company. Stock can be defined as a sign of ownership or
possession of a person or entity to a corporation or limited liability of the
company. (pg.51)
The nature of the investment is to provide a role for investor to gain the
profits. Each shareholder is a part of the owner that company, so they are entitled
to a portion of profits. However the right is limited because the shareholders
entitled to an enterprise income only after all liabilities are met. Share or stock is
the evidence of the shareholders that shareholders have become one of the owners
in one company that sell their share or stock in the capital market. Kertonegoro
(2001) stated that stock is a form of the investor participation in equity capital or
the evidence of the ownership of the company.
Based on Syahrul et all (2000) by buying stock the shareholders will obtain
dividend, capital gain, and credit and dominance toward the company where the
shareholders have the shares.
Weston and Copeland (2001) defines, The stock price of the company that
are offered in the capital market can be increasing or decreasing from the book
value of the stock, and it depends on the net income of the company.
According to Kertonegoro (2001), there are three objectives of the investors
that buy stock/shares in the capital market, which are:
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Grounded on the method of the stock performance, stock can be divided as:
Blue chip stocks
The stock of company that have high reputation as the leader of the
industry compare to the other company that are in the same industry
and the dividend that are paid to the shareholder that hold blue chip
stocks will be divided in stable and constant period.
Income stocks
Income stocks are the stock of the company that can pay the
dividend higher than the average dividend from the previous period.
Growth stocks
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The stock that comes from the company that have higher growth
revenue, as the leader of the industry that have high reputation.
Speculative stocks
The stock of the company that cannot be consistent in the spreading
the dividend from one period to another period, but it has the ability
to produce higher revenue in the future even though it is not certain
matter.
Counter cyclical stocks
The stock that will be not influenced by the conditions of macroeconomic or the general business situation.
2.2.3 Stock Price
The stock value will be paid by the investors depend on the results are
expected to be accepted and the risk involved in the purchase transaction.
Assessment included determining the value of a stock that is necessary to obtain
the performance standards that can be used to assess the benefits in the investment
of stock is concerned.
According to Tandelilin (2001:183) stated that there are three kinds of value
in stock assessment which are:
Book value
The value of the stock that is calculated based on the book keeping
company that issued the stock.
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Market value
The value of the stock that is shown in the market price on the capital
market.
Intrinsic value
Known also as theoretical value is the value of the stock that is actual
or supposed to happen.
According to Horne et all (2001) argued that market prices act as a
barometer of business performance. The market price indicates how well
management duties on behalf of the shareholders. Therefore, management is
always in control. The shareholders will be satisfied with the performance of
management that can sell their shares and invest the money in order companies.
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19
20
The lower stock price will increase the ability of such shares to be traded
at all times and will improve the market efficiency.
As a step to do merger and acquisition, the share price that relatively
comparable that would facilitate the negotiation of merger and acquisition
that made by the stock exchange.
2.3.4 Benefits of Stock Split
According to Fama (1993) benefits from the actions of stock split by the
company are as follows:
Stock prices which are lower provide the wide marketability and efficient
markets,
Shares will attract the small investors and it convert the lot owners of
restricted shares (odd lot) becomes the owner of a series of round lot.
The number of shareholders will increase, which means the addition of
market liquidity (relative easier and faster with securities traded at a
minimum price which is different from previous transactions).
In the announcement of stock split, there is a strong signal delivered to the
market that management continuously optimistic about the growth of the
company and an overview of the power project the company.
Rahmat (2009) states, The benefits of the policy would be obtained if the
stock split stock prices are relatively higher before the stock split compared with
other companies that are in the similar industry would turn out to be relatively
more normal ( not too low or high ) after the stock split
2.3.5 Theory in the Stock Split
21
According to Michael Hendrawijaya (2009) stated that in the stock split there
are several supporting theory that explain about it and it became the prediction
that has the relationship with the impact of stock split.
There are two theories as the literature to support the stock split which are:
Trading Range Theory
This theory said that the high stock price will cause reducing the active
trading stock to encourage the companies to do stock split. Leung (2005)
defines, If the price before stock split is high, so the split of share it
proves the truth of motives. Moreover, Harsono (2004) states, Doing the
stock split that made the stock price is not high so can be reached by the
investors and at the end will increase the liquidity of stock. It means the
companies do stock split because the price in the market is to high so it
encourages the companies to do it.
Signalling Theory
This theory explains that stock split will give the information to the
investors about the increasing of significant profit for the future.
According to Jogiyanto (2003) stated that Signalling theory has
encouraged companies to do stock split because there is the opportunity to
do investment, also showed the good prospect from the companies in the
future.
the
actual return and that is expected to result from market movements (normal return
22
R it
t
2 Market model
To determine market model there are two stages by using data estimation
and realization during the period use the model to estimate the expected
return in the window period. It can be formed by using the technique of
Ordinary Least Square regression equation.
E ( Rit ) =i+ i Rmt + it
of securities to i at time
i
Rmt
= Market return
it
period to t
3
ARit=Rit Rmt
ARit
Rit
Rmt
= Market return
Rmt=
TVA=
Research Variables
Analysis Data
(year)
Research
Result
Abnormal Return,
Caroline 201)
Pengaruh stock split: analisis likuiditas
Return
There is no the
test
of stock split
Earnings , dividends,
price
shares, institutional
ownership
Leung,et al ( 2005
difference of Abnormal
spread, depth
25
Phenomenon and
Problem
Company
Announced Stock
Split
Market
Reaction
(stock price)
Abnormal
Return
Trading
Volume
Activity
26
CHAPTER III
DATA PROCESSING METHOD
technique. It means the companies which have been chosen are selected on the
basis of specified criteria. The objective of this technique is to obtain the adequate
information regarding the data that needed by the researcher in order to answer the
research problem and to prevent the error that will affect to the result later on. The
criteria that will implied in this research are:
a
The companies are listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange for five years
from 2010 until 2014 as the research will conducted
The companies have published the Financial Statement Report for the year
ended December 31, 2010 until December 31, 2014
The companies that have announced the stock split during 2010 until 2014
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using the implied criteria. The data would be obtained and analyzed by using the
statistical analytical tool program which called SPSS (Statistical Product and
Service Solution).
Variable
Abnormal
Definition
the difference
Return
between the
Measurement
ARit=Rit Rmt
actual return or
return , and
expected return
29
2.
Expected
Return
The level of
expected profit
Rmt=
TVA=
investors on
investment
embedded
3.
Trading
Measuring the
Volume
difference in the
Activity
number of trades
after and before
the stock split
30
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Reference
Farinha, Jorge and Nuno Filipe Basilio, 2006, Stock Splits : Real Effects or Just
a Question of Maths? An Empirical Analysis of the Portuguese Case , Centro de
Estudos de Economia Industrial, do Trabalho e da Empresa, pp. 1 61.
Ikenberry, David L, et al, 1996, What Do Stock Splits Really Signal ? , Journal
of Financial And Quantitative Analysis, pp. 357 375.
Asquith, Paul, et al, 1989, Earnings and Stock Splits , The Accounting Review,
Pp. 387 403.
Bhattacharya, Upal and Amy Dittmar, 2001, Costless Versus Costly Signalling :
Theory and Evidence from Share Repurchases .
Leung, Tak Yan, et al, 2005, Do Stock Splits Really Signal ? , pp. 1 33.
Jogiyanto, 1998, Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Investasi, BPFE Yogyakarta, edisi
Pertama, Yogyakarta.
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