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TEKNOLOGI
P ETRONAS
FINAL EXAMINATION
MAY 2012 SEMESTER
COURSE
RO BAB
LITY &
STATISTICS
DATE
O3'd
TIME
9.00 AM
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
1.
2.
3.
4.
Where applicable, show clearly steps taken in arriving at the solutions and
indicate ALL assumptions.
5.
Note
Universiti Teknologi
pETRoNAS
1.
Stem
I
I
1345 6
0113 58889
1344 778
235
11
6
7
i.
Find the mode, the median and the mean of the data.
[2 marks]
il
ilt
b. The number of cars arriving per minute at a toll booth on Penang Bridge is
Poisson distributed with a mean of 2.5. What is the probability that in any
given minute
i.
no cars arrive?
[2 marks]
i.
lf the expected number of cars arriving at the toll booth per ten-minutes
interval is 25.0, what is the probability that in any given ten-minutes period
ilt
tv.
2.
a.
The random variable )'is called a Laplace random variable if its probability
density function is given by
,f(y):ke-tlYl ,>0,
-oo< y<@
Find the
i.
ii.
ii.
iv.
value of k
[2 marks]
mean of
I
[2 marksJ
standard deviation of ).
[2 marks]
)z
[4 marks]
b.
A box contains 100 washe rs, 24 of which are brass, 36 are copper and the
remainder are steel. One washer is taken from the box at random without
replacement and a second washer similarly drawn. What is the probability
that
i.
ii.
iii.
a.
27
39
28
47
41
42
35
32
38
= 0.05?
[5 marks]
il
b.
Do students who get higher grades study more time during night? To
answer this question, a random sample of 16 students who got a grade
point average between 3.5 - 4.0 last semester were asked the number of
hours they study each night. For this group, the sample mean was 2.6
hours with standard deviation 1.5 hours. A second random sample of the
same number of students who got a grade point average of 2.0 - 2.5 were
asked the same question. For this group the sample mean was 1.5 hours
wth standard deviation 1.3 hours.
i.
ilt
Find the 99% two sided confident interval of this test. what is your
conclusion?
[4 marks]
(design) and
B (cost of material). Two levels 11+ and (-)) of each factor are considered. Five
TABLE Q4
Treatment
Combination
DESIGN
MATERlAL
Total lifetime of 5
AB
(in hours)
(1)
122
60
qb
components
120
118
Complete
answering the
TABLE Q4ai
Source
DF
A (Design)
B (Material)
lnteracton
Error
Total
SS
MS
204.8
F
?
180
28
11
569.60
,)
[10 marks]
o
ii.
Based on the results above, what conclusions can you draw from the
factorial experiment?
[4 marks]
iii.
iv.
Write the least square fitted model using only the significant sources.
[4 marks]
a.
TABLE QSa
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
number
mean
range
number
mean
range
5.48
1.4
12
5.06
1.4
5.42
1.6
13
4.82
1.9
5.42
1.4
14
4.86
1.3
5.40
0.5
15
4.68
0.9
5.52
1.7
16
5.28
1.6
5.32
o.7
17
4.68
1.1
5.34
1.6
18
4.94
0.6
5.58
1.2
19
4,90
1.0
4.54
0.6
20
4.96
0.7
10
5.42
1.6
21
5.06
1.8
11
5.58
0.5
22
5.22
0.8
il
ilt
[4 marks]
Suppose a sample of 6 is taken throughout the production process.
Brefly explain (no calculaton required) how will this affect the
monitoring process?
[2 marks]
b.
The memory size of the seven programs mentioned in the Disk l/O and CPU
time data were measured. The memory size (in Kbytes) and CPU time (in
milliseconds) pairs observed are:
(7O,2) , (75,5) , (144,7',), (190,9) , (210,10) , (235,13) , (400,20)
i.
Analyse the data usng a simple regression model to predict CPU time
as a function of the memory size.
[6 marks]
- END OF PAPER.