Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Course:
Supervisor:
19-12-2015
3618 words
4318 including tables and graphs
Abstract
Watching politically-oriented television programs has been blamed for negative effects on
social capital since the 1970s. The negative character of the news is often pointed to as the
reason people distrust politicians. Others theorized that the causal relationship runs much
deeper. With the decline of TV in favour of the internet as a primary source for political
information gathering, the older age groups lag behind in adapting to and using of the
internet. Based on data from the European Social Survey, this study investigates whether a
correlation between political TV-watching and political trust can be found in five democratic
corporatist countries. A mild positive correlation was found, meaning that (at least for these
countries) watching politically-oriented broadcast actually somewhat improves trust among
individuals born before 1961.
Introduction
Theory
Late 1960s, political trust was dwindling in the United States, exemplified by the 1968
elections between Wallace and Nixon (Robinson, 1976: p.409). Spurred by footage of the
was
People
the year
Year
2010
2012
2014
Total respondents - Belgian
4518 - 743
4569 - 768
4295 - 679
(& nationality)
- German
- 1390
- 1342
- 1327
- Danish
- 751
- 740
- 607
- Dutch
- 909
- 907
- 890
- Swedish
- 725
- 812
- 792
Gender (%m:%f)
50.1:49.9
49.2:50.8
49.8:50.2
Average age
64.74 y/o
66.06 y/o
67.31 y/o
Table 1: basic sample characteristics (data from: ESS5, ESS6 and ESS7)
(ibid:
deep line
drawn.
born
in
1960
earlier were included, while people born after 1960 were excluded from the dataset. This
ensures that the random probability sample ESS takes is the same for rounds five through
seven.
This resulted in three datasets, each with well over 4000 respondents. Unsurprisingly,
the average age grows with ~1.3 years for each subsequent dataset, as can be seen in Table 1.
Country
Belgium
Year
2010
2012
2014
Germany
2010
2012
2014
2.41
1.76
1.93
30.48
25.00
20.99
40.72
44.11
45.76
14.84
18.35
18.06
7.09
6.42
7.72
2.34
2.29
3.47
Denmark
2010
2012
2014
1.21
0.82
1.67
9.50
10.44
12.52
38.04
37.50
34.39
25.54
25.55
27.55
14.11
14.84
13.69
6.45
6.04
5.01
>3
1.91
1.20
0.89
Mean*
1.117
1.137
1.110
1.10
1.45
1.31
1.02
0.61
0.77
1.056
1.095
1.145
2.15
2.20
2.00
2.96
2.61
3.17
1.437
1.429
1.406
10
Netherlands
2010
2012
2014
2.27
3.15
2.39
16.53
19.78
14.48
37.83
34.27
35.01
21.40
22.92
24.40
9.97
10.90
13.34
5.78
3.93
5.59
2.49
2.81
2.39
3.74
2.25
2.39
1.346
1.276
1.362
Sweden
2010
2012
2014
2.53
1.25
2.20
16.85
20.97
16.34
46.21
44.82
45.01
19.38
19.10
19.71
9.97
9.24
9.99
2.81
1.75
3.76
1.40
1.75
1.43
.84
1.12
1.56
1.182
1.165
1.227
2010
2.39
20.48
41.52
19.19
9.06
3.74
1.62
2012
2.19
19.42
42.28
20.56
9.07
3.26
1.81
2014
2.42
17.28
41.86
21.15
9.97
4.11
1.59
Table 2: Percentage of people reporting amount of hours watching political TV-programming
2.00
1.41
1.61
1.209
1.202
1.237
Mean
*= mean is calculated by multiplying the percentage with amount of hours, taking the larger number as factor;
i.e. 0-0.5=*.5, 0.5-1=*1, etc, and >3=*4. The resulting mean is therefore an approximation, not a definitive nr
.
have not stopped watching political broadcasts on television in favor of the internet. This
means that, to answer the research question, there will not have to be accounted for a
longitudinal effect resulting in further analysis only being based off data from ESS7.
To understand the effects of political TV-news watching on political trust, political
news watching was used as an independent variable. It was measured against three different
dependent variables based on democratic actors, namely trust in parliament, trust in
politicians and trust in political parties. These dependent variables were conceived by
asking respondents how much they trusted these actors with options ranging from 0 (no trust
at all) to 10 (complete trust).
Table 3 shows the results of this analysis for trust in parliament. Swedes are most
trusting of their parliament, followed by Denmark. Their levels of trust are significantly
different from the other three countries. Trust in politicians is highest in Denmark, with both
Germany and Belgium reporting very low levels of trust in their politicians as can be seen in
table 4. Trust in political parties is once again highest in Denmark, with both Belgium and
Germany reporting distinctly lower levels of trust (table 5).
11
Mean*
4.31
5.00
5.34
5.34
5.42
5.26
5.63
5.00
Mean*
3.11
4.06
4.47
4.56
4.77
4.47
4.11
4.19
Country
Hours
Belgium
Germany
Denmark
The Nthrlnds Sweden
Mean
0
2.64
3.80
3.33
3.68
4.00
3.49
00.5
3.46
3.52
5.03
4.53
4.43
4.19
0.51
4.00
3.72
4.99
4.70
5.02
4.49
11.5
4.16
3.88
5.12
4.71
4.88
4.55
1.52
4.23
4.00
5.05
4.94
5.42
4.73
22.5
4.25
3.91
5.57
4.82
4.07
4.52
2.53
5.00
4.65
4.33
4.00
4.70
4.54
>3
2.50
3.50
4.61
4.57
4.00
3.84
mean
3.89
3.75
5.01
4.67
4.86
Table 5: average trust in political parties and amount of hours watching political TV-programming
12
Parliament
Politicians
Pol.parties
3
2
1
0
0h
>3h
ment, where a very weak negative correlation was found to exist. Overall, with all countries
combined, a weak positive correlation remained. Results for this calculation, however, also
indicated that the correlation was not significant for Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden,
but when combined the results were still significant. The strongest correlation between
watching political TV-news and political trust was found in Belgium.
Variable
Parliament
Test
P
Sig.
Politicians
Country
Belgium
.116
.003**
Germany
.105
.000**
Denmark
.000
.991
Netherlands
.029
.401
Sweden
-.028
.436
Combined
.064
.000**
.146
.084
.048
.028
.035
.093
13
Pol. Parties
Sig.
.000**
.003**
.247
.412
.333
.000**
P
Sig.
.107
.006**
.063
.024*
.016
.695
.031
.356
.020
.594
.079
.000**
Table 6: measurement of correlation and significant for all three dependent variables per country
*= a significant correlation tested at the 0.05 level (2-tailed)
**= a significant correlation tested at the 0.01 level (2-tailed)
Discussion
The positive correlation found in the analysis means that proof is found in the data against the
videomalaise theory. However, because the sample was decided upon based on the
videomalaise theory being the least likely theory to be proven, this does not mean the
videomalaise theory does not exist elsewhere in the world, namely the United States, where
the theory originated. Robinson himself stated that the European TV-media were much less
focussed on exposing what is wrong, and are more satisfied with the status quo (Robinson,
1976: p.428). The selection of the five countries based on the democratic corporatist model
by Hallin & Mancini, in which media is subjected to government over watch to provide
certain standards in reporting (Hallin & Mancini, 2004: p.299), further enhanced the
unlikeliness proof for the videomalaise theory could be found. It would have been interesting
to include the United States in the results to compare differences, but since the data used was
from the European Social Survey, this was impossible.
On the other hand, some evidence for elements of Norris virtuous circle theory could
be found. While watching no political broadcasts at all gave low results for trust, it steadily
increased up until the 1.5 2 hour category. This amount of daily political news-watching
seems to give the best results for political trust. Watching for longer periods tended to give
increasingly lower results for trust, providing evidence for her statement that misanthropists
14
15
References
Avery, J. M. (2009). Videomalaise or virtuous circle? The influence of the news media on
political trust. The international journal of press/politics,14(4), 410-433.
Bakker, T. P., & de Vreese, C. H. (2011). Good news for the future? Young people, Internet
use, and political participation. Communication Research, 0093650210381738.
Bennett, S. E., Rhine, S. L., Flickinger, R. S., & Bennett, L. L. (1999). " Video Malaise"
Revisited Public Trust in the Media and Government. The Harvard International
Journal of Press/Politics, 4(4), 8-23.
Brggeman, M., Engesser, S., Bchel, F., Humprecht, E., & Castro, L. (2014). Hallin and
Mancini Revisited: Four Empirical Types of Western Media Systems. Journal of
Communication, 64(6), 1037-1065
Condry, J. (1993). Thief of time, unfaithful servant: Television and the American
child. Daedalus, 259-278.
ESS ERIC (2010). European Social Survey Round 5 [data file]. Retrieved from: http://www.
europeansocialsurvey.org/download.html?file=ESS5e03_2&y=2010
ESS ERIC (2012). European Social Survey Round 6 [data file]. Retrieved from: http://www.
europeansocialsurvey.org/download.html?file=ESS6e02_1&y=2012
ESS ERIC (2014). European Social Survey Round 7 [data file]. Retrieved from: http://www.
europeansocialsurvey.org/download.html?file=ESS7e01&y=2014
Hallin, D. C., & Mancini, P. (2004). Comparing media systems: Three models of media and
politics. Cambridge University Press.
16
17
18