Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Agenda
Background
Liquidity Risk Management
Capital & Leverage
Counterparty Credit Risk
Market risk
Objective
The objective of WBT (web based training) on Introduction to Basel III
is to provide high level overview of Basel III
Capital
Counterparty
Credit Risk
Market Risk
Basel III
Pillar 2 &
Pillar 3**
Enhanced Pillar 2 guidelines for
Securitisation, illiquid positions, wrong way
risk, Model Validation, Back Testing, Credit
Rating Agencies
Enhanced disclosures for Securitisation
exposures in Trading Book, Market Risk,
Counterparty Credit Risk (incl. Wrong Way
Risk)
Securitisation
Liquidity
Risk
** Not in scope
for this WBT
5
Source : BCBS Basel III Timelines
BCBS *LRM
Papers
Assessment
Impact Analysis
Implementation
Observation
Liquidity Reporting
2008 - 2010
2010 - 2011
2011 2012
2013 2015
2015 - 2018
*BCBS - 165 International Framework for Liquidity Risk Measurement, Standards & Monitoring
*BCBS - 144 Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk Management & Supervision
*BCBS 188 - International framework for liquidity risk measurement, standards & monitoring
(2/4)
Inability to
payback
liabilities
Unforeseen
Usage of
Credit lines
Events
leading to
Liquidity Risk
transformation
of
short-term
deposits into
long-term loans
Prepayment of
loans
10
LRM Introduction..(4/4)
8
2
Accrued difficulty to fund
ongoing bank activity on
the interbank market
Long-term
funding risk
Transactional
Liquidity
Risk
Other counterparties
Subsequently lack liquidity,
creating trust issues
in the market
6
Banks compete for
increasingly smaller pool
of liquidity
Tradability
risk
Market
liquidity risk
Market refrains
from providing
liquidity
Uncertain, lower-quality
assets are no longer
accepted for trade or
collateral against liquidity
11
13
Quantitative Analysis
Risk Models
Simulations
Transaction
Data
Position Data
LRM Components
LCR
NSFR
Reconciliation
Public Disclosures
Daily Cash Flow Reports
Enhanced Mismatch Reports
Local Regulators(OSFI,APRA ..)
Disclosures
Reference
Data
Pricing /
Valuation
Historical Data
Monitoring Tools
Scenario Analysis
Maturity Mismatch
Stress Testing
Funding Concentration
Market Monitoring
Unencumbered Assets
Limits Management
LCR by Currency
Behaviour Analysis
Regulatory Requirements
14
Cash Flows
Transaction Data
Position Data
Reference Data
Market Data
Security Data
Historical Data
Internal Limits
Categorize Data
Analytics Data
Stressed Data
Ratio Calculation Data
Forecasting Data
Limits Data
Reporting Data
Exception Data
Transformation
Source Target Data Check
Data Validation / Integrity Check
Data Reconciliation
Defaulting / Enrichment / Aggregation / Limit
15
(1/9)
Source: http://www.liquidity-coverage-ratio.com
16
Source: http://www.liquidity-coverage-ratio.com
17
LCR =
18
19
Level II Assets
Subject to the requirement that they comprise no more than 40% of overall stock after haircuts have been applied
Level I assets generated by secured funding transactions maturing within 30 days
Corporate Bonds and Covered Bonds
Not issued by any financial institutions or bank itself or respective affiliated entities
Rated AA- or higher by ECAI
Marketable securities
Representing claims guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks, PSEs, BIS , IMF
Maximum of 20% risk weight according Basel II Standardized Approach
20
Ease and
Certainty of
Valuation
Low
Correlation
With Risky
Assets
Listed on
Recognized
Stock
Exchange
Being listed increases assets
transparency.
Fundamental
Characteristic
of HQLA
Unencumbered
Asset
Eligible for
Intraday
Liquidity Needs
Presence
of Committed
Market
Makers
Quotes will most likely be available
for buying and/or selling a highquality liquid asset.
Flight to
Quality
HQLA Market
Characteristic
Low Market
Concentration
Diverse group of buyers and sellers
in an assets market increases the
reliability of its liquidity
22
RSF Factor
100%
ASF Factor
Liabilities
Assets
Long
Term
Funding
0 % - 50 %
Unencumbered
Assets
0 % - 50 %
70 %
Consumer loans
85 % - 100 %
Core Deposit
85 % - 100 %
100 %
Equity
100 %
Corporate Loans
50 % - 100 %
50 % - 100 %
Long
Term
Funding
23
24
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1600
1899
2282
2726
3270
RWA trading
book(x12.5)
938
1078
1240
1426
1640
Total RWA
2538
2977
3522
4152
4910
Required Tier I
capital under Basel
III
114
149
194
270
344
Required total
capital under Basel
III
228
268
370
436
516
25
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Tier I Capital
shortfall
42
50
13
-42
-88
Total Capital
shortfall
10
23
-76
-103
-137
Leverage ratio
under Basel III
31X
29X
34X
37X
40X
Maximum leverage
3%
33X
33X
33X
33X
33X
Adjustment need
2X
4X
-1X
-4X
-7X
-200
141%
137%
130%
126%
123%
Capital shortfall
under Basel III
Leverage ratio
limitations
Liquidity ratios
26
Total Net Cash outflows over the next 30 calendar days = outflows - Min (Inflows; 75% of
outflows)
27
Secured
Wholesale
Funding Run-offs
Unsecured
Wholesale
Funding Run-offs
Additional
Requirements
Deposits from an
individual
natural person
Secured Funding
collateralized
by level 1 assets (run-off
rate = 0%)
Provided by small
business customers
(5%, 10%, 15% and
higher)
Derivatives Payable
(run-off rate = 100%)
Retail depositsSubject
to LCR include demand
deposits and term
deposits
Secured Funding
collateralized
by level 2 assets (run-off
rate = 15%)
Funding with
operational relationships
(run-off rate = 25%)
Valuation change on
posted collateral
securing derivative
transaction of non-Level 1
Asset (run-off rate = 20%)
Stable deposits
(run-off rate = 5% or
higher)
Treatment of deposits in
institutional networks of
cooperative banks (run-off
rate = 25%)
Liabilities related to
derivative collateral calls
related to a downgrade of
up to 3-notches.(run-off
rate = 100%)
Provided by Non-financial
corporate, sovereigns,
central bank and PSEs
(run-off rate = 75%)
Inflows by
Counterparty
Operational
Deposits
Credit or
Liquidity Facility
Derivatives
Receivable
(Inflow rate = 100%)
Inflow rate is 0%
since deposits held
at other institution
for operational
purpose are
assumed to
stay with institution
Other wholesale
Inflow
100% inflows
from financial
institution
counterparties
50% inflow rate
for non- financial
wholesale
counter parties
Other Cash
Inflows
Valuation changes
on posted collateral
securing derivative
transactions of nonLevel 1 Assets (runoff rate = 20%)
Liabilities related to
derivative collateral
calls related to a
downgrade of up to
3-notches.(run-off
rate = 100%)
29
To monitor concentration of
Counterparty , Product and
Currency
Funding should be
diversified
Contractual
Maturity
Mismatch
Funding
Concentration
Market
Monitoring
Unencumbered
Assets
(i) Eligible for collateral, or, (ii)
Eligible for central bank facilities
Amount , Currency denomination
Estimated market haircut
Location/Business unit
30
31
32
Geography wise
$7,471,425
$58,744,523
$65,656,875
North America
Latin America
Africa
$69,852,365
EMEA
$58,874,125
Asia
APAC
$5,869,854
$25,852,541
BRIC
AUSTRALIA
$9,854,758
$6,502,521
Bonds
Options*
$5,878,962
$258,524
$6,985,425
Forwards*
Equities
Money Market
$7,035,319
Portfolio wise
$1,325,822
5.0000%
5.0000%
4.2000%
$14,568,752
$25,658,415
1.2000%
4.2000%
3.0000%
Emerging Markets
Blue Chips
Construction
Infrastructure
Telecommunication
1.0000%
1.2000%
$25,874,152
Futures*
Information Technology
4.2000%
3.0000%
$85,241
Swaps*
Returns Quarterly
1.0000%
$685,214
Forex *
$6,515,852
Mining
Transport
Technology
$5,236,517
33
This stress test should be viewed as a minimum supervisory requirement for banks.
Banks are expected to conduct their own stress tests to assess the level of liquidity they should hold
beyond this minimum, and construct their own scenarios that could cause difficulties for their specific
business activities.
Such internal stress tests should incorporate longer time horizons than the one mandated by this
standard. Banks are expected to share the results of these additional stress tests with supervisors.
Refer Basel III: International framework for liquidity risk measurement , standards & monitoring Para 19
34
Identify Liquidity
Risk Drivers
Erosion in value of
liquid assets
Additional collateral
requirements
Evaporation of
funding
Withdrawal of
deposits etc
Design Stress
Scenarios (and
Probabilities)
External scenarios
Emerging markets
crisis,systemic shock
in maincentres of
business,market risk
Internal scenarios
Operational risk,
ratings Downgrade
Ad-hoc scenarios
e.g. Country/industry
specific
Model Stress
Tests
Step 1
Quantify liquidity
outflows in all scenarios
for each risk driver
Step 2
Identify cash inflows to
mitigate liquidity
shortfalls identified
Step 3
Determine net liquidity
position under each
scenario
35
Governance of
liquidity
Risk Management
Measurement
and
Management of
Liquidity risk
Public Disclosure
The Role of
supervisors
Clearly articulate
liquidity risk tolerance
for
business strategy
Identifying, measuring,
monitoring and
controlling liquidity risk
Disclose information
On regular basis
regularly perform a
comprehensive
assessment
Establishment of
policies and risk
tolerance
Strategy policies
and practices in tandem
with risk tolerance
Market participants to
make an informed
judgment
Monitoring combination
of internal , prudential
reports and mkt info
Comprehensive cash
flow
forecasting
Incorporate
liquidity costs
Actively manage
collateral positions
performance measure
& new product
approval process
Contingency funding
plan that addressing
liquidity shortfalls
36
37
LRM Summary
Background
The recent credit crisis compounded quickly into a major liquidity crunch leading to insolvency of major
financial institutions
Inadequate liquidity management in almost all banks
No dedicated liquidity buffer or liquidity portfolio in banks
BCBS Response
17 Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk Management and Supervision ( BCBS 144).
Importance of managing liquidity contingency buffer similarly as capital
Maintaining High Quality liquidity portfolio that can hedge out liquidity outflows under stress scenarios
Improved Risk Policies, Procedures & Governance to be reviewed & implemented
Action on Banks
The Basel III Liquidity regulation imposes significant challenges to banks for enhancing existing liquidity
measurement and management methods
Improved Governance Policies for Liquidity Risk ( Review, Modify)
Sophisticated scenario based approach ( Stressed Scenarios) for LRM
Completely Revamp their Liquidity Risk System to include Calculation of LCR, NSFR and Monitoring
Tools as per BCBS papers
Periodically inform Regulator about their LRM approach and get necessary guidance & approval
38
Composition of Capital
Capital Adjustment
Former deduction from capital
Capital Conservation Buffer
Counter Cyclical Buffer
Leverage Ratio
Summary
39
Basel II key
weakness
Basel II
key changes
40
Regulatory adjustments
applied in the calculation of
Common Equity Tier 1
Common
Equity Tier 1
Common shares issued by
consolidated subsidiaries of
the bank and held by third
parties (ie minority interest)
that meet the criteria for
inclusion in Common Equity
Tier 1 capital.
Retained earnings;
Accumulated other
comprehensive income and
other disclosed reserves;
41
Regulatory
adjustments
applied in the
calculation of
Additional Tier 1
Capital
Additional
Tier 1 Capital
Stock surplus
(share premium)
resulting from the
issue of
instruments
included in
Additional Tier 1
capital;1;
42
Regulatory adjustments
applied in the calculation
of Tier 2 Capital
Common
Equity Tier 1
Instruments issued by
consolidated subsidiaries
of the bank and held by
third parties that meet the
criteria for inclusion in
Tier 2 capital and are not
included in Tier 1 capital
43
Capital adjustments
Capital
Adjustment
Investments in own
shares (treasury stock)
44
The following items, which under Basel II were deducted 50% from Tier 1 and 50% from Tier 2 (or had
the option of being deducted or risk weighted), will receive a 1250% risk weight:
Certain securitisation exposures;
45
The capital conservation buffer, which is designed to ensure that banks build up capital buffers outside
periods of stress which can be drawn down as losses are incurred.
Requirement
A capital conservation buffer of 2.5%, comprised of Common Equity Tier 1, is established above the
regulatory minimum capital requirement
Restriction
Mentioned below are the minimum capital conservation ratios a bank must maintain for various levels
of the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratios
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio is 4.5% - 5.125% then the MCCR (Minimum Capital Conservation
Ratios) to be maintained is 100%
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio is >5.125% - 5.75% then the MCCR to be maintained is 80%
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio is >5.75% - 6.375% then the MCCR to be maintained is 60%
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio is >6.375% - 7.0% then the MCCR to be maintained is 40%
Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio is > 7.0% then the MCCR to be maintained is 0%
46
Disclosure
Restrictions
Each Basel Committee member will identify an authority with the responsibility to make decisions on
the size of the countercyclical capital buffer
This will vary between zero and 2.5% of risk weighted assets, depending on their judgment as to the
extent of the build up of system-wide risk
If a bank's capital level falls into the extended buffer range, they would be given 12 months to get
their capital level within the acceptable range before restrictions on the distributions of their earnings
come into effect. Any decision to decrease Countercyclical Buffer will take effect immediately. The
Buffer decisions along with the actual Buffers will be announced on the BIS website
47
Leverage Ratio
48
Capital measure
The capital measure for the leverage
ratio will be based on the new
definition of Tier 1 capital
Items that are deducted completely
from capital do not contribute to
Leverage and will be deducted from
the measure of exposure
Exposure measure
General measurement principles
On-balance sheet items
(a) Treatment of Repurchase agreements
and securities finance
(b) Treatment of Derivatives
Off-balance sheet items
49
Summary
Composition of Tier 1 capital and Tier 2 Capital.
Phasing out of Tier 3
Requirement of Capital Conservation Buffers
Restriction related to Capital Conservation Buffer
Requirement of Counter Cyclical Buffers
Restriction related to Counter Cyclical Buffer
Composition of Leverage Ratio
Parallel run for Leverage ratio
50
Agenda
Counterparty Credit Risk (CCR) - Introduction
Changes in Basel III on CCR
Other Changes
Wrong Way Risk
Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA)
Qualitative Criteria
Other measures
Summary
51
52
Other Measures
Qualitative Criteria
- 53 -
53
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
54
55
?
56
?
57
?
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
58
?
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
59
For example, assume Party X is the Euro receiver in a Euro-US dollar currency swap, where the midmarket valuation is 100. Assume this valuation already includes an effective market value of 2 for the
default risk to Party X, but the swap carries a net market value of default risk (to Party X) of 6. Then
the CVA is a downward adjustment of 4, leaving a fair market value of (to Party A) of 96
60
Types of
CVA Capital Charge
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
61
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
62
Further details : The total CCR capital charge for such a bank is determined as the sum of the following
components
The higher of (a) the IMM capital charge based on current parameter calibrations for
EAD and (b) the IMM capital charge based on stressed parameter calibrations for EAD.
The advanced CVA risk capital charge
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
63
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
64
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
65
Qualitative requirements
Basel has prescribed certain qualitative measures to cover the inadequacies in banks margining
practices, backtesting and stress testing program
The banks using the Internal Model Methods (IMM) are required to follow these qualitative
requirements .
?
66
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
67
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
68
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
69
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
70
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
71
72
Banks should have a routine in place for ensuring compliance with a documented set of
internal policies, controls and procedures concerning the operation of the risk measurement
system. The banks risk measurement system must be well documented, for example,
through a risk management manual that describes the basic principles of the risk
management system and that provides an explanation of the empirical techniques used to
measure counterparty credit risk.
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
74
75
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
76
Transaction Type
Minimum holding
period
Condition
Repo-style
transaction
5 business days
Daily re-margining
5 business days
Daily re-margining
Secured lending
20 business days
Daily revaluation
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
77
Other measures
In order to prudently manage the systematic risks, the Basel Committee introduces
incentives to the banks to move the trades to central counterparty clearing house (CCP)
with exposure to CCPs assigned low risk weights.
The favorable treatment of exposures to CCPs applies only where the qualifying CCPs
complies with the standards set by
the Committee on Payment and Settlement System (CPSS) and
the International Organization of Securities commissions (IOSCO).
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
78
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
79
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
80
Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems, rev June 2011
81
Summary
The financial crisis necessitated reforms in Basel accord and Basel III came into being.
One of the key emphasis in the Basel III accord is the risk coverage of Counterparty
Credit Risk (CCR).
Credit Valuation adjustment(CVA) is introduced into a capital charge.
CVA capital charge differs based of approval status of the Bank and are of three types.
Aggregation of CCR and CVA charge is dependant on types of approval status of the
banks and are of two types.
Management of Wrong way risk is addressed in the Basel III.
Wrong way risk are of two types - Specific and general wrong way risk.
There are qualitative criteria and other measures for management of CCR risk
82
Agenda
Basel II vs. Basel II.5
Summary of Market Risk updates
Correlation Trading Portfolios
Specific Risk Charges
Resecuritization
Stressed VaR (sVaR)
Incremental Risk Charges
Comprehensive Risk Measures (CRM)
Summary
83
Basel II.5
Basel II
Underestimation of exposure in
banks trading books to credit-risk
related products whose risk is not
reflected in VaR
Removal of concessionary 4% RW
treatment for liquid and diversified
portfolios
84
Stressed VaR
85
86
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
87
In order to eliminate the trading book/ banking book arbitrage the Basel Committee introduced
changes to specific risk charges for securitization in trading book
Standardized Approach
Under this approach the bank computes the specific risk of the securitization positions in the
trading book using the same method, used for such positions in banking book.
Table below gives the Securitization Risk Weights for Standardized Approach
Resecuritization exposures are subject to specific risk capital charges depending on whether
or not the exposure is senior
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
88
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
89
No offset is allowed for these derivatives if it hedges a reference entity in trading book
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
90
Basel II.5
The capital charge for specific risk and for general market risk will each be 8%
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
91
92
93
Basel II.5
The CCF for short-term eligible liquidity facilities within the securitization framework is changed
from 20% to 50% to be consistent with the CCF applied to long-term eligible liquidity facilities
94
Apart from the existing guidelines specified under Basel II, following addition guidelines are
prescribed.
Although banks will have some discretion in specifying the risk factors for their internal models, the
following guidelines should be fulfilled.
Additional Guidelines
Factors deemed relevant for the pricing of instruments should be incorporated as risk
factors in VaR model.
The amendment re-emphasizes that the models must capture non-liner risk of options and
other relevant products (e.g. mortgage backed securities, tranched exposures or n-th-todefault credit derivatives)
VaR models should also capture the correlation risk and basis risk of products (e.g.
between credit default swaps and bonds)
Where proxies are used, a good track record for estimating the risk of the actual position
should exist
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
95
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
96
Losses in most banks trading books during the financial crisis were significantly higher than the minimum
capital requirements under the Basel II Pillar 1 market risk rules.
The Basel Committee therefore requires banks to calculate a stressed value-at-risk taking into account a oneyear observation period relating to significant losses
It is VaR based on a one-year observation period relating to significant losses (additional to the VaR based on
the most recent one-year observation period)
In terms of capital requirements, the capital estimate for sVaR is added to capital requirement for VaR
To reduce the pro-cyclicality of the minimum capital requirements for market risk and to increase the overall
level of capital
It is intended to replicate VaR for the banks current portfolio if the relevant market factors were experiencing a
period of stress
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
97
No particular model is prescribed for the calculation of sVaR, so long as each model used captures all the
material risks run by the bank
On a daily basis, a bank must meet the capital requirement (c) given by the expression:
Maximum of its
Previous days value-at-risk number
(VaRt-1); and
Average of the daily value-at-risk
measures on each of the preceding
sixty business days (VaRavg), multiplied
by a multiplication factor (mc)
Maximum of its
Latest available stressed-value-at-risk
number (sVaRt-1); and
Average of the stressed value-at-risk
numbers over the preceding sixty business
days (sVaRavg), multiplied by a multiplication
factor (ms)
The multiplication factors mc and ms will be set by individual supervisory authorities on the basis of their
assessment of the quality of the banks risk management system, subject to an absolute minimum of 3 for m c
and an absolute minimum of 3 for ms
Data sets update every month and reassess whenever a material change in market prices takes place
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
98
The supervisor is satisfied that the banks internally developed approach adequately captures
incremental default and migration risks for positions subject to specific interest rate risk
The specific risk VaR model must include all the material components of price risk and be
sensitive to changes in market conditions and portfolio composition. The model should
explain the historical price variation in the portfolio
capture concentrations (magnitude and changes in composition)
be robust to an adverse environment
capture name-related basis risk
capture event risk
be validated through back-testing
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
99
Incremental Risk Charge (IRC) is an additional charge to the trading book meant to capture Default risk and
Credit Migration Risk. It measures losses due to default and migration for unsecuritized credit products, at the
99.9% percent confidence interval over a capital horizon of one year
Default Risk is the potential for direct loss due to obligors default, as well as the potential for indirect loss that
may arise from a default event
Credit Migration Risk is the potential for direct loss due to internal/ external rating downgrade or upgrade as
well as the as the potential for indirect loss that may arise from a credit migration event
During the financial crisis a number of major banking organizations experienced large losses, most of which
were sustained in banks trading books.
Most of these looses were not captured in the 99%, 10-day VaR since the losses had not arisen from actual
defaults but rather from credit migrations combined with widening of credit spreads and the loss of liquidity
Purpose of IRC ?
To produce an estimate of default and credit migration risks of unsecuritized credit products over a year capital
horizon at 99.9 % confidence level
Source: Guidelines for computing capital for incremental risk in the trading book : BIS: July 2009
100
IRC only applies to banks adopting the internal model approach and that seek to model specific risk in the
trading book
Capital charge for IRC will be estimated as, C= max (IRCt-1, mc *IRCavg)
Maximum of its
Previous days Incremental Risk measure (IRCt-1); and
Average of the Incremental Risk Charge measures over 12 weeks
(IRCavg), multiplied by a multiplication factor (mc)
IRC will be calculated on all positions that are subjected to a capital charge for specific interest rate risk according to
Internal Models Approach to specific market risk, but that are not subject to treatment outlined for unrated securities
under Basel II framework
With supervisory approval, the bank may choose to include all listed equity and derivative positions, based on the listed
equity of a company, in its incremental risk model when the inclusion is consistent with how the bank internally measures
and manages this risk at the trading desk level
Securitization positions are excluded from IRC, even when they are viewed as hedging underlying credit instruments
held in the trading account
Source: Guidelines for computing capital for incremental risk in the trading book : BIS: July 2009
101
Soundness standard: IRC must adhere to a soundness standard comparable to IRB approaches in the banking book
Constant level of risk over one-year capital horizon: This measure must take into account the liquidity horizons
applicable to individual trading positions. Trading positions are rebalanced at the end of their liquidity horizons to achieve
a constant level of risk
Liquidity horizon: The liquidity horizon must be measured under conservative assumptions and should be sufficiently
long that the act of selling or hedging, in itself, does not materially affect market prices. The liquidity horizon for a position
or set of positions has a floor of three months
Correlation: IRC should include correlations between defaults and migrations, which are caused by economic and
financial dependence among obligors. The correlations between default and migration risks and other market factors in
the VaR model are excluded and no diversification is allowed when capital is calculated
Concentration: IRC should reflect issuer and market concentrations. Considering , other things being equal, a
concentrated portfolio should attract a higher capital charge than a more granular portfolio
Risk mitigation and diversification effects: Netting of exposures is only allowed if the instruments are exactly the
same. IRC model should take significant basis risk into account. IRC must include the impact of potential risks that could
occur during the interval between the maturity of the instrument and the liquidity horizon
Optionality: IRC model must reflect the impact of optionality. This should include the nonlinear impact of options and
other positions with material nonlinear behavior with respect to price changes. The bank should have an understanding
of the model risk associated with estimation of price risks
Source: Guidelines for computing capital for incremental risk in the trading book : BIS: July 2009
102
IRC: Modelling
Modelling the IRC
Modelling the IRC is a complex task, two models have been implemented by the banks to do
this
Jump diffusion model
Merton model
Jump Diffusion Model: In this model, in addition to a Brownian Motion term, the price process
of the underlying is allowed to have jumps. The risk of these jumps is assumed to not be
priced. This model is not very popular due to issues such as problems with calibration of the
jumps to actual migration or default probabilities
Merton Model: It is a simulation based model used by majority of the banks for assessing the
default risk.
In deriving data to use in the IRC model one should use market estimates for estimating
probabilities of default and hence implied migration probabilities
The market data from products such as CDS strips can be used to determine forward default
probabilities
The effect of seniority or other instrument specific characteristics must be incorporated within
the estimates for loss given default
Source: Guidelines for computing capital for incremental risk in the trading book : BIS: July 2009
103
Estimation of CRM
CRM applies to banks adopting the internal model approach and that seek to model specific
risk and IRC for correlation trading portfolio
Capital charge for CRM will be estimated as, C= max (CRMt-1, mc *CRMavg)
Maximum of its
Previous days Comprehensive risk measures (CRMt-1); and
Average of the Comprehensive risk measures over 12 weeks (CRMavg),
multiplied by a multiplication factor (mc)
Capital charges for CRM and IRC are calculated separately and added. There is no
adjustment for double counting between the CRM and any other risk measure
CRM estimates will be calculated at least on a weekly basis
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
104
CRM: Modelling
Modelling CRM
Modelling CRM must ensure that following are captured in the model
Cumulative risk arising from multiple defaults, including defaults in tranched products;
Credit spread risk, including gamma and cross-gamma effects;
Volatility of correlations, including the cross effect between spreads and correlation;
Basis risk between indices and constituents or bespoke portfolios;
Recovery rate volatility; and
Hedging slippage and cost of rebalancing
On an overall basis CRM must comply with all requirements for the IRC
In addition, the banks will be required to design stress testing scenarios for correlation trading
portfolios and examine the effect of these scenarios on default rates, recovery rates, credit
spreads and correlations
These tests must be applied weekly and the results submitted to the regulator
The regulator may apply a supplementary capital charge if deemed necessary
A floor on this measure was introduced , being 8 % of the measurement under the
standardized measurement method ( published in the press release of 18th June 2010)
Source: Revisions to the Basel II Market Risk framework: BIS: July 2009
105
Thank You