Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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PR.OFILE
TONY HSIEH
282
PART
warehouse to Kentucky to be nearer the UPS hub and to ensure the fast delivery of the
products offered, which has recently expanded to clothing, handbags. and accessories.
The company's focus on customer service is designed to make sure the customer has a
quality experience from beginning to end. In addition, all employees once hired must
complete a four-week customer loyalty training prograrn to make sure they understand the culture that has made the company so successful. To ensure that the hires are
serious, Tony makes a visit during the second week and offers anyone $2,000 if they
would like to drop out and quit the program. Only 1 percent of the hires have taken
him up on the offer. The unque culture of the company also includes such things as
happy hours, a nap room, fully paid health insuran(e, and life-related issue support
that Tony pays for out of his own pocket. His philosophy regarding these strategies is
ca.n
Once Zappos wins over a customer (75 percent of the customers are repeaters), the
cornpany tries to ensure their continued interest by keeping them engaged in various
online and social media outlets. Customers are invited to submit reviews and to share
some unique hnancial characteristics, which are included in the discussion that follows.
entrepreneur should prepare operroprietor, then he or she is responship, or where employees exist, the
CHAPTER
10
THE FINANCIAL
PLAN
283
ndi
be
buffer
continues
budg
inventory.
month. This
ales in_
crease. Thus, this
ncrease
demand and
cost of
goods sold as a direct expense. Thus, in those ventures in which high levels of inventory
ar
necessary or where demand fluctuates signifrcantly because ofseasonality, this budget can
be a very valuable tool to assess cash needs.
After completing the sales budget, re entrepreneur can then focus on operating costs. First
a list of fixed expenses (incurred regardless of sales volume) such as rent. utilities. salaries. advertising,
items can
contact w
the additional employee. This budget, along with the manufacturing budget illustrated in
Table 10.l, provides the basis for the pro forma statements discussed in this chapter.
_-.-
Tell the
Truth.
:,
'
5. Prevent flarm.
2
Know YourProduct.
According to a recent three-part story in Ie
Wall Street Journal, the willingness of investors
to buy and sellfinancial products whose complexity they didn't fully understand was one of
the primary catalysts of the bust.
Because money was being made in these deals,
no one thought to question what was going on
or had the strength of character to speak up
2U
i .,
.. .:
When you can reasonably foresee that a decision is likely to hurt people and you make that
decision anyway, you're being both irrespon-
financial
rescue.
6. Don't Exploit.
It is easy to take advantage of a situation for
financial gain, but doing so isn,t consistent with
ln the short run, companies that exploited a natural tragedy may have profited financially, but
,:
10.
Capital budgets are intended to provide a basis for evaluating expenditures that will
impact the business for more than one year. For example, a capital budget may project
expenditures for new equipment, vehicles, computers, or even a new facility. It may also
considerevaluating the costs of make or buy decisions in manufacturing or a comparison
of leasing, buying used, or buying new equipment. Because of the complexity of these
decisions, which can include the computation of the cost of capital and the anticipated
return on the investment using present value methods, it is recommended that the entrepreneur enlist the assistance of an accountant.
286
PART
FROMTHEOPPORruNIYTOTHEBUSINESSPLAN
manufacturers, toy manufacturers, and appliance manufacturers. As can be seen from the
pro forma income statement in Table 10.3, the company begins to earn a profit in the
eleventh month. Cost ofgoods sold remains consistent at 50 percent ofsales revenue.
In preparation of the pro forma income statement, sales by month must be calculated
hrst. Marketing research, industry sales, and some trial experience might provide the basis
for these hgures. Forecasting techniques such as survey of buyers' intentions, composite of
sales force opinions, expert opinions, or time series may be used to project sales.2 It may
also be possible to find hnancial data on similar start-ups to assist with these projections.
As would be expected, it wilt take a while for any new venture to build up sales. The costs
for achieving these increases can be disproportionately higher in some months, depending
on the given situation in any particular period.
Sales revenue for an Internet start-up is often more diffrcult to project since extensive
advertising will be necessary to attract customers to the Web site. For example, a giftware
Internet company can anticipate no sales in the first few months until awareness of the Web
site has been created. Heavy advertising expenditures (discussed subsequently) also will be
incurred to create this awareness. Given existing data on the number of "hits" by a similar
type of Web site, a giftware Internet start-up could project the number of average hits expected per day or month. From the number of hits, it is possible to project the number of
consumers who will actually buy products from the Web site and the average dollar amount
per transaction. Using a reasonable percentage of these "hits" times the average transaction
will provide an estimate of sales revenue for the Internet start-up.
The pro forma income statements also provide projections of all operating expenses for
each of the months during the frrst year. As discussed earlier and illustrated in Table 10.2,
CHAPTER
THE FINANCIAL
PLAN
287
In the pro forma statements for MPP Plascs (Tables 10.3 and 10.4), we can see that the
venture begins to eam a
. In the second year, the mmpany
does not need to spend
with the sales increase, shows a
modest profit of
e venture adds an additional em_
ployee and also incurs a 26 percent increase in sales, resulting in a net profit of
$121 ,gffi.
In projecting the operating expenses for years 2 and 3, it is helpful to first look at those
expenses that will likely remain stable over time. Items like depreciation, utilities, rent, insurance' and interest are likely to remain steady unless new equipment or additional space
is purchased. Some utility expenses such as heat and power can be computed uy using
p
a
$16,3)
288
PART
FROMTHEOPPORruNIYTOTHEBUSINESSPLAN
*No taxes are incuned in profitable yeus 2 and 3 because of tle carryover of losses in
yru l.
industry standard costs per square foot of space that is utilized by the new venture. Selling
expenses, advertising, salaries and wages, and taxes may be represented as a percentage of
the projected net sales. When calculating the projected operating expenses, it is most important to be conservative for initial planning purposes. A reasonable proht that is earned
with conservative estimates lends credibility to the potential success of the new venture.
For the lnternet start-up, capital budgeting and operating expenses will tend to be consumed
by equipment purchasing or leasing, inventory and advertising expenses. For example, the giftware Internet company introduced ealier would need to purchase or lease an extensive amount
of computer equipment to accommodate the potential buyers from the Web site. Inventory
costs would be based on the projected sales revenuejust as would be the case for any retail
store. Advertising costs, however, would need to be extensive to create awareness for the giftwae Web site. These expenses would typically involve a selection of seach engines such as
Yahoo!, Lycos, MSN, and Google; links from the Web sites of magazines such as Womnn's
Day, Family CircIe, and, Better Homes and Gardens; and extensive media advertising in magazines, television, radio, and print-all selected because of their link to ttre target market.
CHAPTER
10
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PLAN
289
addition, not all bills are paid immediately. On the other hand, cash payments
to reduce the
principal on a loan do not constitute a business expense but do constitut a
reduction ofcash.
for
new ven
there
The
is illustrated in Table 10.5. In this met
For strict accounting purposes
the indirect and the direct method.
h flow,
which
the in_
come statement but to understand there are some adjustments that need to be made to
the
...
But, for most of their careers, they worked for somebody else.
First they nged to:sit down with each department
head and develop an adopting plan for cash management. They need to be clear in their instructions, and
forceful in their insistence that there will be dire con.
sequences for failure to comply. Hold department
meetings at 8 a.m. on Monday, issue marching orders.
then meet again on Friday at 6 p.m. to see what did
and did not get done. Every job needs to be monitored by microscope from start to finish.
It'll hurt. Hot & Cold requires drastic niernal over-
ADVICE TO AN ENTREPRENEUR
An entrepreneur friend saw the above article and has
asked you for some advce:
'|
flow?
the pro forma income statement with moditications made to account for the expected timing of the changes in cash. If disbursements are greater than receipts in any time period, the
entrepreneur must either borrow funds or have cash in a bank account to cover the higher
disbursements. Large positive cash flows in any time period may need to be invested in
short-term sources or deposited in a bank to cover future time periods when disbursernents
CHAPTER
10
THE FINANCIAL
PI.AN
291
*Inventory is valud
at cost or average of $2 0O/unit.
each for working capital through the first rhrre yars. After the third y@r
the venrure
wi nred
292
PART
remainder paid in the following month. Thus, referring back to Table 10.3, we can note that
in February the actual cost of goods was $ 16,000. However, we actually pay only 80 percent
of this in the month incurred-but we also pay 20 percent of the cost of goods sold that
is still due from January. Thus, the actual cost of goods cash outflow in February is
.8 x $16,000 + .2 x $10,m0, oratotal of $14,800.
Using conservative estimates, cash flows can be determined for each month. These cash
flow projections assist the entrepreneur in determining how much money he or she will
need to raise to meet the cash demands of the venture. In our example, the venture starts
with a total of $300,000, or $100,000 from each of the three founders. We can see that by
the twelfth month, the venture begins to turn a positive cash flow from operations, still
leaving enough cash available ($41,500) should the projections fall short of expectations.
If the entrepreneurs in our example had to use debt for the start-up, then they would need
to show the interest payments in the income statement as an operating expense and indicate
the principal payments to the bank as a cash disbursement, not as an operating expense.
This issue often creates cash flow problems for entrepreneurs when they do not realize that
debt is a cash disbursement only and that inerest is an operating expense.
It is most important for the entrepreneur to remember that the pro forma cash flow like
the income statement, is based on best estimates. A start-up venture in a weak economy
may hnd it necessary to revise cash flow projections frequently to ensure that their accuracy will protect the firm from any impending disaster. The estimates or projections should
include any assumptions so that potential investors will understand how and from where the
numbers were generated.a
In the case of both the pro forma income statement and the pro forma cash flow, it is
sometimes useful to provide several scenarios, each based on different levels ofsuccess of
the business. These scenarios and projections not only serve the purpose of generating pro
forma income and cash flow statements but, more importantly, familiarize the entrepreneur
with the factors affecting the operations.
are
owned or available to
be used in the venture
operations
forma income and cash flow staements to help justify some of the hgures.5
The pro forma balance sheet reflects the position of the business at the end of the frrst
year. It summarizes the assets, liabilities, and net worth of the entrepreneurs.
Every business transaction affects the balance sheet, but because of the time and
expense, as well as need, it is common to prepae balance sheets at periodic intervals
(i.e., quarterly or annually). Thus, the balance sheet is a picture ofthe business at a certain
moment in time and does not cover a period of time.
Table 10.7 depicts the balance sheet for MPP Plastics. As can be seen, the total assets
equal the sum of the liabilities and owners'equity. Each of the categories is explainedhere:
Assets. These represent everything of value that is owned by the business. Value is not
necessarily meant to imply the cost of replacement or what its market value would
be but is the actual cost or amountexpended for the assel The assets are categorized
as current or fixed. Current assets include cash and anything else that is expected to be
converted into cash or consumed in the operation ofthe business during a period of
one yearor less. Fixed assets are those that are tangible and will be used over a long
period of time- These current assets are often dominated by receivables or money that
CHAPTER
10
THE FINANCIAL
PLAN
293
lmportant to the cash flow of the business since the longer it takes for
customers to pay
their bills, the more stress is placed on the cash needs of the venture.
A
liabililies
Money that is
owed to creditors
'
more detailed
discussion of the management of receivables is presented in chapter
13.
Liabilities. These accounts represent everything owed to creditors. Some
ofthese
amounts may be due within a year (current liabilities), and others
may be long-term
debts. There are no long-term liabilities in our Mpp plastics example
because the
venture used funds from the founders to start the business. However.
should the
entrepreneurs need to borrow money fom a bank for the future purchase
of equipment or for additional growth capital, the balance sheet would sow
long-term liabilities in the form of a note payable equal to the principal amount borrowed.
As
stated earlie any interest on this note would appear as an expense
in the income
statement, and the payment of any principal would be shown
in the cash flow statement. Subsequent end-of-year balance sheets would show only
the remaining
amount of principal due on the note payable. Although pro-pi payment
of what is
owed (payables) establishes good credit ratings and a good retaiionship
with suppliers, it is often necessary to delay payments of bills to more
effectively manage cash
flow- Ideally, any business owner wants bills to be paid on time by
suppliers so that
he or she can pay any bills owed on time. unfortunately, during
*".riorrr,
-uoy
294
PART
BU5IN65 PLAN
firms hold back payment of their bills to better manage cash flow. The problem
with this strategy is that while the entrepreneur may think that slower payment of
bills will generate better cash flow, he or she may also f,rnd that customers are think-
ovrner
equitJ The
ing the same thing, with the result that no one gains any cash advantage. More discussion of this issue is also included in Chapter 13.
Owner equity. This amount represents the excess of all assets over all liabilities. It
represents the net worth of the business. The $300,000 that was invested into the
business by MPP Plastics' three entrepreneurs is included in the owners'equity or net
worth section of the balance sheet. Any profit from the business will also be included
in the net worth as retained earnings. In our MPP Plastics example, retained earnings
is negative, based on the net loss incuned in year 1. Thus, revenue increases assets
and owners' equity, and expenses decrease owners'equity and either increase liabilities or decrease assets.
BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS
In the initial stages ofthe new venture, it is helpful for the entrepreneur to know when a
profit may be achieved. This will provide further insiglrt into the financial potential for the
start-up business. Break-even analysis is a useful technique for determining how many
breakeven Volume of
sales where the venture
units must be sold or how much sales volume must be achieved to break even.
We already know from the projections in Table 10.3 that MPP Plastics will begin to ern
a profrt in the eleventh month. However, this is not the break-even point since the firm has
obligations for the remainder of the year that must be met, regardless of the number of units
sold. These obligations, or fixed costs, must be covered by sales volume for a company to
break even. Thls, breakevn is that volume of sales at which the business will neither make
a proht nor incur a loss.
The break-even sales point indicates to the entrepreneur the volume of sales needed to
cover totai variable and fixed expenses. Sales in excess of the break-even point will result
in a profrt as long as the selling price remains above the costs necessary to produce each
B/E(Q\:
TFC
SP
where B/E(Q) :
TFC :
.SP :
VC
lUnit:
break-even quantity
As long as the selling price is greater than the variable costs per unit, some contribution can
be made to cover hxed costs. Eventually, these contributions will be sufficient to pay all
fixed costs, at which point the firm has reached breakeven.
The major weakness in calculating the breakeven lies in determining whether a cost is
frxed or variable. For new ventures these determinations will require some judgment. However, it is reasonable to regard costs such as depreciation, salaries and wages' rent, and insurance as hxed. Materials, selling expenses such as commissions, and direct labor are
most likely to be vaiable costs. The variable costs per unit usually can be determined by
allocating the direct labor, materials, and other expenses that ae incurred with the production of a sinsle unit.
CHAPTER
IO
THEFINANCIALPLAN 295
production-
as
follows:
B/E:
TFC
SP
VCNnit
$636.300
$4.00
$2.00
$636,300
$2.00
3 I 8.
150 units
Any units beyond the 318,150 that are sold by the venrure will result
in a profit of $2.00 per
unit' Sales below this number will result in a loss for the company.
In cases where the firm
produces more than one product and it is feasible to
allocate hxed costs to each product,
then it is possible to calculate a break-even point for each product.
Fixed costs are determined by weighting the costs as a function of the sales projections
for each product. For example, if it is assumed that 40 percent of the sales are for product
X, ttren 40 percent of
hxed costs should be allocated to that product.
ln our MPP Plastics example, the large number of different products
and the size lots of
customerpurchases prohibit any individual product break-even
calculation. In this case we
estimate the average selling price of all components for use in
our calculations.
296
PART
FROMTHEOPPORruNIYTOTHEBUSINESSPLAN
applicotiuns o.ffunds
Summarizes all the
projected sources
of
will be disbursed
The pro forma sources and applications of funds statement illustrates the disposition of
earnings from operations and from other hnancing. Its purpose is to show how net income
and financing were used to increase assets orto pay offdebt.
It is often diffrcult for the entrepreneur to understand how the net income for the year
was disposed of and the effect of the movement of cash through the business. Questions often
asked are, Where did the cash come from? How was the cash used? and What happened
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assl
298
PART
FROMTHEOPPORTUNIYTOTHEBUSINESSPI.AN
SOFTWARE PACKAGES
There are a number of financial software packages available for the entrepreneur that can
track financial data and generate any important financial statement. For purposes of completing the pro forma statements, at least in the business planning stage, it is probably easiest to use a spreadsheet program, since numbers may change often as the entrepreneur
begins to develop budgets for the pro forma statements. Microsoft Excel is the most widely
used spreadsheet software and is available in Macintosh and PC formats.
The value of using a spreadsheet in the start-up phase for financial projections is simply being able to present different scenarios and assess their impact on the pro forma slatements. It
helps to answer such questions as, Wtrat would be the effect of a price decrease of 10 percent
on my pro forma income statement? What would be the impact of an increase of l0 percent in
operating expenses? and How would the lease versus purchase ofequipment affect my cash
flow? This type of analysis, using the computer spreadsheet Software, will provide a quick
assessment ofthe likely hnancial projections given different scenarios.
It is recommended in the start-up stage, where the venture is very small and limited in
time and resources, that the softwae selected be very simple and easy to use. The entrepreneur will need software to maintain the books and to generate financial statements. Most of
these software packages allow for check writing, payroll, invoicing, inventory managment, bill paying, credit management, and [axes.
The softwae packages vary in price and complexity. The simplest to use and least expensive ($79 to $12t0) software products are QuickBooks (Intuit Inc-), Peachtree (Sage Software),
Microsoft Ofhce Accounting, and CheckMark Software Inc. These packages offer basic payroll and general ledger accounting software for the start-up venture. They typically offer
tutorials and support geaed toward the successful implementation of these packages, particularly for new users. All these firms offer more comprehensive accounting software, as do
many other companies. Prices for these packages can range from $199 to $999 (and up)
depending on the comprehensiveness of the softwae. A simple Intemet seach will identify
hundreds of accounting software companies. The most basic and most popular comprehensive packages are mentioned in the preceding, and these usually can bepurchased online or
at a local computer store. If a more comprehensive package is needed, the entrepreneur
should discuss the options with a business associate, frien{ or consultant who can
assess his or her needs, evaluate the benefits of the most appropriate options, and assist the
entrepreneur in selecting the package that will best t the venture's needs.
IN REVIEW
SUMMARY
This chapter introduces several financial projection techniques. A single fictitious example of a new venture (MPP Plastics Inc.) is used to illustrate how to prepare each pro
forrna statement. Each of the planning tools is designed to provide the entrepreneur
with a clear picture of where funds come from, how they are disbursed, the amount of
cash available, and the general financial well-being of the new venture.
The pro forma income statement provides a sales estimate in the first year (monthly
basis) and projects operating expenses each month. These estimates are determined
from the appropriate budgets, which are based on marketing plan projections and
objectives.
PLAN
2gg
RESEARCH TASKS
1. Research the software packages avairabre to herp entrepreneurs.with
the
financials for a business pran. which do you berieve is te
best?l*iy?
3'
public offering?
DISCUSSION
1.
re
in
d
Does it depend
trepreneur face if
an entrepreneur
3OO PART
FROMTHEOPPORUNITYTOTHEBUSINESSPLAN
SELECTED READINGS
#:"ffi1,ll,lii;';ffi1llly;*1lr;i3l1l;;:iil::;:i'::'Financ-:Finance
tor
A practical-oriented text that focuses specifically on the needs of individuals starting their own businesses. lts emphasis is on financial issues for proprietorships,
partnerships, lmited liability companies) and S corporations. A unique chapter on
personal finance as been added in ths edition.
(November 1 1, 2008). Howtl Fix Financial Reportins, Eusiness week
3#;ir"l;,. ,?:vid.
Twenty af the'wealthiest countries sent their finance ministers to a conference to
discuss how to overhaul the globat financial system. Basically, there needs to be a
chiange
in how companies think about capital markets, and they need to work more
customers, employees, and ttieir supply chains. ln addition, the author
with
argues that
closely
change:s are
needed n the
11.5.
ples (GAn4.
Carter, Richard B.; and Howard Van Auken.'(2005). Bootstrap Financing and Owners'
Perceptions of Their Business Constraints and Opportunities. Entrepreneurship and Re'
gional Development, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 129-44.
The results of
a regional survey of
alternatives.
Gahagan, Jim. (2004). Reaching
for Financial
Success.
pp. 12-13.
This article drscusses the importance of reaching financial success for a business enterprise. As market conditions change dramatically withn a single planning period,
budgeting and planning forecasts and the financial plans they produce are critical
to the
business owner.
Jones, Craig. (February 2008). Reducing Operating Costs through Innovation. Convenience Store Decisionl pp. 6-8
A smal!-business owner of a servce center and car wash drscusses how he was able
to reduce costs through the integration of energy-cost-savng strateges. Not only
were costs reduced, but profits and convenience to the employees and customers
were increased.
Jordan, Chartes E.; and Marilyn A. Waldron. (2001). Predicting Cash Flow from Operations: Evidence on the Comparative Abilities for a Continuum of Measu res. Journal of
Applied Business Research, vol.17, no. 3, pp. 87-94.
Prior studies have'attempted to confirm or reject the asserton that accrual
accounting measures provide better information for predicting cash flows than do
cash basis measures. Howeven their results have proved largely inconclusive and
contradictory. This study identifies research constructs that may have driven these
inconsistent findings and makes adiustments to mitigate their effects.
Rappaport, Alfred. (2005). The Economics of Short-Term Performance Obsession. Financial Analysts lournal, vol. 61, no. 3, pp. 65-79.
This article focuses on a three-pronged program for reducng short-term corporate performance obsession. The author argues that short-term performance is
PLAN
301
ii
to recognze
accruals, these
for an
financial
to
meet
lromptty to en-
reliability.
END NOTES
1
2.
PART