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Advances in Meteorology
Volume 2015, Article ID 808617, 14 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/808617
Research Article
Evaluation of the Wind Energy Potential in the Coastal
Environment of Two Enclosed Seas
Florin Onea, Alina Raileanu, and Eugen Rusu
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Dunarea de Jos University of Galati, 6200 Galati, Romania
Correspondence should be addressed to Eugen Rusu; erusu@ugal.ro
Received 1 April 2015; Revised 29 May 2015; Accepted 30 May 2015
Academic Editor: Julio Diaz
Copyright 2015 Florin Onea et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License,
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
The work presents a comprehensive picture of the wind energy potential in the coastal environment of the Black and the Caspian
Seas. 10-year of data coming from the US National Centers for Environmental Prediction was considered as the main source. This
dataset was subsequently compared with both in situ and remotely sensed measurements. The results show that the western side of
the Black Sea has an enhanced wind power potential, especially in the vicinity of the Crimean Peninsula. As regards the Caspian
Sea, the northeastern sector can be considered more energetic. A direct comparison of various wind parameters corresponding to
the locations with higher potential in the two target areas considered was also carried out, in order to notice the similarities and
the key features that could be taken into account in the development of an offshore wind project. Finally, it can be concluded that
the coastal environments of the Black and the Caspian Seas can become in the near future promising locations for the wind energy
extraction, as well as for the hybrid wind-wave energy farms that could play an important role also in the coastal protection.
1. Introduction
The present work is focused on two enclosed seas, the Black
and the Caspian Seas, and it has as main objective to assess the
wind energy potential in these marine areas. The Black Sea is
located between the Anatolian Peninsula and the southeastern part of Europe and it is connected to the Mediterranean
Sea throughout the Marmara and Aegean seas, respectively.
This basin can be divided into two main zones (west and
east) with particular features, the coastlines of the sea being
distributed between Bulgaria and Romania (west), Russia
and Ukraine (north), and Georgia (east) and Turkey (south).
Regarding the geographical characteristics of this sea, an
average depth of 1315 m, a total area of 436402 km2 , and a
water volume of 547000 km3 can be mentioned (Rotaru [1],
Rusu et al. [2]). In the short term, the regional climate is
under the influence of the NAO (North Atlantic Oscillations)
mechanism, according to which during the winter time the
storm events significantly increase under the influence of
the cold air arriving from the northern regions. On a local
scale, as in the case of the Novorossiysk region (Russia), the
Bora events can restrict the maritime traffic since the wind
conditions can easily exceed 15 m/s (Alpers et al. [3]).
Advances in Meteorology
47
Latitude ()
A
45
B1
B4 B5
B3
B12
43
B2
B10
B6
B7
B9
B8
B11
41
33
27
38
43
Longitude ( )
(a)
P3
P5
P2
P4
P1
Meteorological stations
(b)
48
A
C4
C3
C2
42
C5
Latitude ()
C1
C6
C
C12
C7
C11
39
C8
C10
C9
D
35
46
51
54
Longitude ()
(c)
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3
U10 (m/s)
U10 (m/s)
20
25
18
16
14
Numerical model
Numerical model
20
15
10
12
10
8
6
2
0
10
15
Measurements
20
25
8
10
12
Measurements
(a)
16
18
20
(b)
U10 (m/s)
U10 (m/s)
20
18
20
16
Numerical model
Numerical model
14
15
10
5
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
10
15
Measurements
20
(c)
8
10
12
Measurements
14
16
18
20
(d)
Figure 2: Scatter plots of the 10 parameter based on the in situ and NCEP model data considering the entire time interval 19992008 and
the reference points: (a) P1, (b) P2, (c) P3, and (d) P5. The point P1 is reported only to the time period 20032008.
med
(m/s)
med
(m/s)
Bias
(m/s)
RMSE
SI
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
7.21
4.08
4.46
4.61
3.28
6.42
4.43
6.03
6.00
6.27
0.78
0.35
1.57
1.39
2.98
4.49
2.07
3.37
3.57
4.46
0.62
0.5
0.75
0.77
1.35
0.12
0.63
0.44
0.36
0.22
Advances in Meteorology
In situ
5.5
2.5
NCEP
8.5
U10 (m/s)
U10 (m/s)
5.5
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
P1
P2
P3
Month
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
(b)
1.4
0.6
0.4
U10 (m/s)
U10 (m/s)
(a)
0.6
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
0.6
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
Month
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P4
P5
P1
P2
P3
(c)
P4
P5
(d)
Figure 3: Evaluation of the wind conditions reported to the meteorological station sites for the time interval 19992008. The analyses are
based on the in situ measurements and the NCEP data and correspond to the mean values of (a) monthly wind speeds registered at the
meteorological stations, (b) monthly wind speeds provided by the NCEP model, (d) and (c) diurnal-nocturnal variations of the wind speeds
according to the in situ measurements and the NCEP data, respectively.
7.21 m/s for the point P1 located in the offshore area, compared
to the points P2P5 (which are in the nearshore), where
values in the range 3.284.61 m/s are encountered. med
is associated with the NCEP model and has significantly
higher values, especially for the points P3P5, while a good
approximation is provided for the point P2 (4.43 m/s). The
bias is negative for all the points, except for P1 where a value
of 0.78 m/s results. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)
is frequently considered to assess the differences between
the values provided by the numerical models and the ones
coming from the measurements, where the zero value is
considered as a reference (perfect score). According to this
index, the best results are accounted by the point P2 (2.07),
while the point P5 has a value of 4.46. Regarding the point P1,
the higher values of the RMSE index (4.49) can be considered
to be normal if we take into account that the errors tend to
increase for higher wind speeds. The scatter index (SI), which
links the RMSE to the med , presents values in the range 0.5
1.35, while for the Pearson correlation index (R) also the point
P2 presents the best results (0.63) compared to P1 (0.12) and
P5 (0.22).
3. Results
3.1. Evaluation of the Wind Conditions. Figure 3 illustrates
the distribution of the wind conditions corresponding to
the parameter 10 for the P group points. The monthly
distribution of the in situ measurements (mean values) is
indicated in Figure 3(a), from which it can be noticed that the
point P1 (located offshore) stands out with higher wind speed
values and also indicating clearly the differences between the
summer and winter intervals. It has to be mentioned that
in the present work the winter time is considered the 6month period between October and March. This point (P1)
Advances in Meteorology
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450
Power density (W/m2 )
U10 (m/s)
220
Total time
Winter time
Total time
Winter time
(a)
(b)
8.5
U10 (m/s)
U10 (m/s)
8.5
5.5
3
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
Month
B2
B5
B7
B10
(c)
B2-diurnal
B5-diurnal
B7-diurnal
B10-diurnal
B2-nocturnal
B5-nocturnal
B7-nocturnal
B10-nocturnal
(d)
Figure 4: Assessment of the wind conditions in the Black Sea reported to a height of 10 m. The results are based on the NCEP data (1999
2008) for the mean values of (a) wind speedstotal and winter time, (b) power densitytotal and winter time, (c) monthly wind speed (B2,
B5, B7, and B10), and (d) monthly wind speed (B2, B5, B7, and B10)diurnal and nocturnal.
Advances in Meteorology
450
Power density (W/m2 )
U10 (m/s)
2
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C6
C7
C8
200
0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C6
C7
C8
Total time
Winter time
Total time
Winter time
(a)
(b)
8.5
U10 (m/s)
8.5
U10 (m/s)
C5
5.5
3
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
C3
C6
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
C3-diurnal
C6-diurnal
C7-diurnal
C11-diurnal
C7
C11
(c)
C3-nocturnal
C6-nocturnal
C7-nocturnal
C11-nocturnal
(d)
Figure 5: Assessment of the wind conditions in the Caspian Sea reported to a height of 10 m. The results are based on the NCEP data (1999
2008) for the mean values of (a) wind speedstotal and winter time, (b) power densitytotal and winter time, (c) monthly wind speed (C3,
C6, C7, and C11), and (d) monthly wind speed (C3, C6 C7, and C11)diurnal and nocturnal.
(1)
Advances in Meteorology
Table 2: Statistical analysis of the NCEP data, corresponding to the total time (TT) and winter time (WT), respectively. The results cover the
ten-year time interval 19992008.
Point
Results
10 (m/s)
95% (m/s)
Extreme (m/s)
Power density (W/m2 )
Time interval
TT
WT
TT
WT
TT
WT
TT
WT
B2
6.71
7.70
12.37
13.28
24.81
24.81
319.6
436.9
Black Sea
B5
B7
6.04
4.17
7.00
4.58
11.86
8.06
13.16
8.62
21.92
16.33
21.92
16.33
260.4
86.05
370.7
107.9
B10
4.52
4.81
8.93
9.53
19.39
19.39
109.6
131
C3
6.31
6.63
11.22
11.62
18.8
17.41
251.3
285.6
Caspian Sea
C6
C7
6.59
5.86
7.47
6.02
12.57
10.42
13.64
10.73
18.83
18.49
18.83
18.49
314
198.9
426.3
216.6
C11
3.91
4.20
7.61
8.28
16.83
16.83
71.5
88.3
Advances in Meteorology
N
20%
15%
10%
5%
20%
15%
10%
In situ
5%
E W
P1
S
N
20%
15%
10%
NCEP
5%
E W
In situ
N
20%
15%
10%
5%
NCEP
E W
S
9
P3
20%
15%
10%
5%
3
U10 (m/s)
(c)
20%
15%
10%
5%
In situ
E W
P4
N
20%
15%
10%
5%
20%
15%
10%
5%
NCEP
E W
S
6
Diurnal
20%
15%
10%
5%
E W
(b)
20%
15%
10%
5%
3
U10 (m/s)
(a)
20%
15%
10%
5%
U10 (m/s)
20%
15%
10%
5%
P2
20%
15%
10%
NCEP
5%
EW
S
6
20%
15%
10%
5%
S
9
Nocturnal
S
N
20%
15%
10%
5%
20%
15%
10%
In situ
5%
E W
Nocturnal
Diurnal
S
6
U10 (m/s)
(d)
Figure 6: Wind roses reported to the meteorological stations, during the time period 19992008. The results are structured in the diurnal
and nocturnal intervals, corresponding to the points (a) P1, (b) P2, (c) P3, and (d) P4.
Advances in Meteorology
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47
N
B3
B1
20%
15%
10%
20%
15%
10%
5%
20%
15%
10%
20%
15%
10%
5%
W
Latitude ()
5%
45
B5
5%
S
S
B7
N
20%
15%
10%
43
N
20%
15%
5%
W
20%
10%
5%
B3-wind roses
B11
B9
41
15%
10%
5%
27
33
38
43
Longitude ()
U10 (m/s)
(a)
48
C4
20%
15%
10%
5%
W
C2
20%
15%
10%
5%
W
E
N
42
C6
20%
15%
10%
S
5%
W
Latitude ()
C12
20%
15%
10%
5%
W
39
C8
20%
15%
10%
5%
C10
20%
15%
10%
5%
W
E
S
35
46
51
Longitude ()
6
54
U10 (m/s)
(b)
Figure 7: Wind roses corresponding to some relevant points from (a) the Black Sea and (b) the Caspian Sea. The NCEP data correspond to
the 10-year time interval (19992008).
Advances in Meteorology
Power density (W/m2 )
10
550
250
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
B2
C6
(a)
B2 diurnal
20%
15%
10%
5%
20%
15%
10%
5%
W
S
N
S
N
B2 nocturnal
20%
15%
10%
5%
S
6
C6 nocturnal
20%
15%
10%
5%
S
0
C6 diurnal
U10 (m/s)
(b)
U10 (m/s)
(c)
Figure 8: Comparison of the wind conditions corresponding to the points B2 (the Black Sea) and C6 (the Caspian Sea), where (a) monthly
mean power density, (b) diurnal and nocturnal wind roses for the reference point B2, and (c) diurnal and nocturnal wind roses for the
reference point C6 are reported.
Advances in Meteorology
point B2 does not present higher values than the point C6.
Regarding the point B2, it can be observed that a maximum of 488 W/m2 is reported in January, while compared to C6 the following differences can be noticed: January11 W/m2 , March45 W/m2 , May7.5 W/m2 , July
20 W/m2 , September8 W/m2 , and November47 W/m2 ,
respectively.
The most severe variation can be associated with the
diurnal/nocturnal distribution of the wind direction, which
is illustrated for the point B2 in Figure 8(b). During the
diurnal interval, a significant percentage of the wind is
coming from the southwestern sector (sea region) compared
to the night interval, when the northern sector (onshore
region) is dominant, while regarding the wind speeds there
are no visible variations. For the point C6 (Figure 8(c)), the
northwestern sector seems to be more representative, while
a reverse trend is observed for the nocturnal period when
the wind conditions from the southeastern sector occur more
frequent.
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the wind speeds do not exceed 3.1 m/s during the total time or
3.8 m/s in winter. The monthly distribution of the wind speed
for the most relevant points is presented in Figure 9(b), from
which the influence of the winter season can be observed.
First of all, it can be noticed that the differences between the
points are very small, the point B2 presenting slightly higher
values during JanuaryMarch (5.6 m/s) or for SeptemberOctober interval (4.8 m/s). During the summer time, in the
reference points, wind speeds in the interval 2.34.2 m/s
can be noticed, with some energetic peaks during June
and September. Regarding the structure of the wind, in
Figure 9(c), it is represented the histogram corresponding to
the point B2. As it can be observed, the wind occurrences
from the interval 36 m/s are the most important, while the
values higher than 12 m/s are almost close to zero. During the
winter time, the wind conditions located under 3 m/s seem to
be insignificant reported to the total wind budget.
A similar analysis is performed in Figure 10 in the
Caspian Sea area. The seasonal mean values (Figure 10(a))
indicate that the point C6 seems to have the most important
wind resources indicating a maximum of 6.6 m/s during
winter, this point being also indicated by the NCEP dataset.
Other important points can be considered: C1 with 5.3 m/s
and 6.6 m/s (total-winter time), C2 5.1 m/s6.3 m/s and
C12 5.3 m/s6.5 m/s. The point C9 appears to be the
less energetic one, since the wind conditions do not exceed
4.4 m/s, even during the winter, this aspect being also indicated by the NCEP data. Regarding the monthly distribution,
the seasonal pattern of the wind conditions can be observed
when a maximum of 7.4 m/s appears during February, while
the point C2 has considerably lower values for the interval
OctoberDecember. During the summer time, the selected
points have wind speed values between 3 and 5 m/s, lower
values being registered in May. The wind histogram is
indicated in Figure 10(c) for the point C6, where during the
total time a similar distribution can be observed as in the case
of the point B2, while during the winter season an energetic
peak for the interval 69 m/s is reported.
Table 3 presents a statistical analysis of the wind conditions considering the same reference points as in the case
presented in Table 2 (NCEP data). In general, it can be
observed that the values indicated by the satellite measurements are significantly lower than those given by the model,
both during the total and the winter time. From the analysis
of the 95% it can be observed that the Black Sea points present
values in the range 6.899.37 m/s (total time) and 8.16
10.23 m/s (in winter) compared to the Caspian Sea, where
during the winter time the values are close to 11 m/s. For the
extreme values, a maximum of 22.4 m/s is indicated by the
point C6, being followed by B2 with 15.9 m/s, while on the
opposite side the point B7 presents a minimum of 13 m/s.
During the winter time, the power density takes values in
the range 66161 W/m2 for the B points, compared to 212
245 W/m2 in the Caspian basin.
5. Conclusions
In the present work a comprehensive picture of the wind
energy potential in the Black and the Caspian Seas is provided
12
Advances in Meteorology
U10 (m/s)
5.5
Black sea
2.5
1200
U10 (m/s)
B2
2
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
600
0
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
03
36
69
912
U10 (m/s)
Month
B1
B2
B3
B4
1215
15
Total time
Winter time
(b)
(c)
Figure 9: Evaluation of the wind conditions in the Black Sea based on satellite measurements. The results are reported to the time interval
20102014, for (a) mean wind speed for the total and winter time, respectively, (b) the monthly evolution of the 10 parameter in the points
B1, B2, B3, and B4, and (c) wind speed histogram corresponding to the point B2.
Table 3: Statistical analysis of the satellite measurements, corresponding to the total time (TT) and winter time (WT), respectively. The results
cover the five-year time interval 20102014.
Point
Results
10 (m/s)
95% (m/s)
Extreme (m/s)
Power density (W/m2 )
Time interval
TT
WT
TT
WT
TT
WT
TT
WT
B2
4.18
5.12
9.37
10.23
15.88
15.88
109
160.9
Black Sea
B5
B7
3.82
2.96
4.59
3.57
8.41
6.89
9.17
8.16
15.4
12.99
15.4
12.99
80.52
44.43
115.3
66.01
B10
3.84
4.65
8.43
9.56
15.06
15.06
80.72
119.3
C3
4.74
5.83
9.32
11.29
16.35
16.35
133.7
217.1
Caspian Sea
C6
C7
5.32
4.98
6.62
6.12
10.81
10.17
11.96
11.75
22.43
21.76
22.43
21.76
190.4
160.4
296.1
245.3
C11
4.712
5.735
9.642
11.37
20.24
20.24
139.1
211.7
Advances in Meteorology
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Caspian sea
U10 (m/s)
3.5
Points
Total time
Winter time
(a)
7.5
600
U10 (m/s)
C6
N 300
5.5
3
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
03
36
Month
C1
C2
69
912
1215
15
U10 (m/s)
C6
C12
Total time
Winter time
(b)
(c)
Figure 10: Evaluation of the wind conditions in the Caspian Sea based on satellite measurements. The results are reported to the time interval
20102014, for (a) mean wind speed for the total and winter time, respectively, (b) monthly evolution of the 10 parameter in the points C1,
C2, C6, and C12, and (c) wind speed histogram corresponding to the point C6.
Conflict of Interests
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interests
regarding the publication of this paper.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by a grant of the Romanian
Ministry of National Education, CNCS-UEFISCDI PN-IIID-PCE-2012-4-0089 (project DAMWAVE). The work of the
first author has been funded by the Sectoral Operational
Programme Human Resources Development 20072013 of
the Ministry of European Funds through the Financial
14
Agreement POSDRU/159/1.5/S/132397. The wind dataset corresponding to the Ukrainian coastal environment of the
Black Sea was kindly provided by the Ukrainian Research
Hydrometeorological Institute. The altimeter products were
produced by Ssalto/Duacs and distributed by Aviso with
support from Cnes.
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