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Financial Engineering
as a means to support
Jawaharlal Nehru
National Solar Mission
April 2012
Executive Summary
Indias Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) is a one of its kind country level initiative
that aims to help achieve the intertwined national objectives of ensuring energy security for the
country and bringing about sustainable and environmentally efficient growth through large scale
deployment of on-and off-grid solar power applications. With a supportive policy framework in place,
the rapidly growing Indian solar industry offers immense investment opportunities. However, the key
to realizing the projected unprecedented growth would be access to affordable and appropriate
financing.
PwC undertook this study to analyse the financial aspects of the JNNSM to understand the projected
demand-supply position of capital for meeting the Mission targets, identify potential barriers and
develop solutions to foster robust public-private financial system to accelerate the growth of the
Mission.
JNNSM is one of the eight National Missions laid out in Indias National Action Plan on Climate
Change (NAPCC). It aims to incentivize the installation of 22,000 MW of on- and off-grid solar power
using both PV and CSP technologies by 2022 as well as a large number of other solar applications such
as solar lighting, heating, and water pumps. Under NAPCC, the government also announced various
regulations, such as the Renewable Purchase Obligation that has mandated distribution utilities to
buy a minimum proportion (with annual increment) of their power from renewable energy based
power plants. To further complement this framework, tradable renewable energy certificates (RECs)
have been introduced to facilitate inter-state trade so that RPOs can be met. To aid the development of
the solar industry, solar-specific RPOs and RECs have also been instituted.
The NSM will be rolled out over three phases by 2022 with targets of 1000 MW of grid connected
solar by 2013, 4000 MW by 2017 and 20,000 MW by 2022. Phase I focused on establishing an
enabling environment and on capturing low hanging options in solar thermal; on promoting off-grid
systems to serve populations without access to commercial energy and modest capacity addition in
grid-based systems. Using learnings from this phase, capacity will be aggressively scaled up in the
subsequent phases. Projects under the Mission have been awarded on preferential feed-in-tariffs
determined through a reverse bidding mechanism wherein, discount bids have been invited on CERC
determined benchmark tariffs through the trading arm of Indias largest power producer NTPC- NTPC
Vidyut Vitaran Nigam Ltd (NVVN).
As per the targets set out by the JNNSM and other state initiatives, the Indian solar sector has a
number of projects in pipeline scheduled for commissioning in the next two-three years. However, the
government recognizes that these targets cannot be achieved without private sector participation.
Stakeholder interactions with project developers, financiers and policy makers (see full list of
stakeholders in Annexure II) revealed that under the first phase of the Mission, no perceptible gap in
financing for solar projects existed although a majority of funding available was based on balance
sheet recourse. Financial Institutions approached during the course of the study highlighted their
concerns regarding accuracy of solar irradiation data and resultant future cash flows from the solar
power projects. Further, due to limited technical exposure and competence to judge the viability of
solar project proposals, most financial institutions conceded that they were following a wait and
watch approach to first let a few projects come up successfully and then form an opinion on the type
of lending (recourse or non-recourse) they wish to pursue.
Based on these stakeholder inputs, a detailed risk assessment matrix was developed. A majority of
risks related to aspects like lack of technical qualification criteria for bidders, delays in getting
clearances/ approvals, potential equipment supply crunch due to emphasis on domestic content, suboptimal evacuation infrastructure, (un)reliability of solar irradiation data etc. Solar technologies are at
a nascent stage in India and there are considerable risks in the execution of projects. Projects based on
crystalline cells and modules are comparatively easier to execute and less risky as manufacturers
generally guarantee the products for more than 20 years. However, newer technologies like thin-film
and concentrated PV, although demonstrating higher efficiency and lower life-cycle cost of ownership,
are yet unproven and therefore considered risky in the Indian context. The returns of a solar project
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are highly sensitive to radiation levels. High quality solar radiation data is a pre-requisite for proper
potential assessment and project development. Hence, solar radiation assessment is a very important
activity and typically requires several months for ground measurement of solar radiations. Any error
in solar resource estimation adds an uncertainty to the expected future returns. As of now, on-ground
solar radiation data is sketchy and the simulation models are at a preliminary stage. Evacuation of the
electricity generated from power plants located in isolated areas is a potential challenge. It may
require development of new transmission lines, which are often controversial, both because of their
expense and the potential of damage to property and environment.
The risks identified and classified as per their impact, probability and time horizon indicates the
overall nature of the risk on the solar sector as a whole. However, these risks are an even greater
concern at a project specific level, where risk avoidance and mitigation measures tend to be limited
and expensive. It is important to determine which of these risks directly impact project viability, and
to what extent. As can be discerned from the analysis above, certain risks have a direct impact on
interest rates and capital costs, which are among the two most important factors affecting project
viability. This report analyzes the extent of impact that these specific risks and their mitigation
measures can have on interest rates.
The report also includes simulations based on a typical financial model for a solar project.Simulating
solar power generation regardless of the technology is not technically dissimilar to simulating
generation from conventional energy sources. Specific technical and operational assumptions relating
to each type of solar technology, which are relatively easily available from international experience,
along with site specific parameters like radiation, regulatory and other expenses etc. are the
predominant variables required to calculate generation from solar technologies.
However, the primary aim of simulating solar PV and thermal generation for this assignment is
threefold:
1.
analyze the effect of various risks, as perceived by different stakeholders, on project viability.
2. analyze the effect of mitigation measures for each of the risks analyzed in the previous steps
on the project viability and;
3. assess the best combination of funding sources to improve project viability
As has been highlighted in this report, a solar PV or CSP plant can face several categories of risks
ranging from policy & regulatory, technical, infrastructural and general project finance risks that are
univerally applicable for all infrastructure projects. However, only some of these risks have a
discernable effect on key variables that determine solar project viability. Other types of risks are more
generic in nature and do not effect any single project variable directly, but rather put the entire project
itself in jeopardy.
Sensitivity analysis on the financial model above confirms, apart from tariff, the capital costs is
perhaps the most important parameters affecting project viability for both solar thermal and solar PV.
This realization is important since unlike other parameters affecting IRRs, these two are directly
under the control of the project developer. Retaining control over these two parameters
simultaneously could ensure that even if other parameters are adverse, overall project viability is not
severely impacted.
Based on the stakeholder consultation and our analysis the risk mitigation measures for various
associated risks are proposed in detail. These measures are inclusive of the steps to be taken at policy
level, industry level, by financial institutions, project developers, state bodies and other regulatory
bodies.
This study also analyzed the Indian financial systems capacity to provide the requisite funding to the
NSM and scenarios of exceeding the NSM targets by 2 and 3 times. Our analysis suggests, contrary to
some perceptions, that there does not appear to be any sizeable funding gap or significant dearth of
funds for lending to solar projects under the phase I, batch I. Banks and financial institutions (FIs)
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are, however, cautious while treading into uncharted territory beyond phase I or relying on nonrecourse financing. Banks are willing to finance projects that are backed by a companys strong
balance sheet and are cautious about providing project-based financing.
Apart from NSM targets, to estimate the investment required capital cost trends of the technology are
required. To calculate the capital cost till 2022, capital costs for the technologies have been taken as
assessed from stakeholder discussions have been taken for the base year 2011-12. The capital cost for
solar technologies covers the equipment cost, land cost, interest during construction, evacuation cost
and civil and commissioning costs. For the base year 2011-12, the capital cost for solar PV, irrespective
of thin film or crystalline technology has been taken as Rs. 11.00 crores/ MW. For solar thermal the
capital cost for the base year is Rs. 13 crores/ MW.
Capital cost reduction trends for solar PV have been taken at 5%, whereas for solar thermal it has been
taken at 3% annual decrease. However when we consider the other cases for installation of 40,000
MW and 60,000 MW by 2022- technology costs will have to decrease even more aggressively to
promote investors to fund the extra capacity. Despite this, capital cost reductions will most likely not
be proportional to extra added capacity. We assume a 6% annual decrease in capital cost for solar PV
for scenario 2 and a 7% annual decrease in capital cost for scenario 3. For solar thermal the base case
capital cost reduction is 3%, under scenario 2 the capital cost reduction has been taken as 4% and
under scenario 3 it has been taken at 6%.
Further, construction time for solar PV plants has been taken as 1 year, whereas for solar thermal the
construction time has been taken as 2 years, with capital cost distribution of 70% in the first year and
30% in the second year.
The analysis revealed that under the base case (20,000 MW by 2022) the total investment required
was calculated to be Rs. 172, 338 crores (USD 34.47 billion) based on the assumptions for capital cost,
and year-wise installations. A significant participation from the private sector is critical to achieve the
envisioned targets. Therefore, there is an urgent need to explore ways to catalyze private sector
participation to support the Government of India in providing sufficient capital to scale up the
Mission to achieve targets till 2022, and beyond.
To ensure 20,000 MW (10000 MW of solar PV, 10000 MW of solar thermal) of grid connected solar
capacity addition, ramping up local manufacturing capacity is required. The National Solar Mission
also targets to create a favourable environment for solar manufacturing and research for both PV and
solar thermal. One of the missions targets is for India to become a global leader across the solar
manufacturing value chain. This is necessary for the overall success of the National Mission as an
evolving domestic industry would help decrease costs and also provide timely maintenance for
projects. Estimates for adding both solar PV and solar thermal manufacturing has been made which
comes out as, the capital outlay for the NSM base for 20,000 MW of solar (10,000 solar PV) requires
Rs.27,698 crores or USD 5.54 billion.
Achieving financial closure has come across a major impediment for few of the projects awarded
under Batch-1 of JNNSM, the reasons of which have been detailed in the report. The need of the hour
is to understand key features of the present sources and instruments of finance with respect to their
applicability for solar power projects. Accordingly, appropriate recommendations need to be made
which can be put into action readily or by bringing in changes in policies, so that future projects do
not face difficulty in raising financing.
There are primarily two methodologies of raising debt, which are through Project financing or Balance
sheet based funding. The provisions of JNNSM allow the selected bidder (developer) to directly invest
in the solar power project, without the need of creating a separate SPV. Debt can be raised by the
developer on the strength of its balance sheet for financing the project. However, in this case, if the
project fails, the lenders will have recourse to the developers other assets and hence is generally less
preferred by developers.
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The report depicts, there are several sources of raising debt namely, commercial banks, IFCs, capital
markets, multilateral/bilateral agencies, export credit agencies, International banks, FIs, pension
funds, insurance companies, foundations etc. Each one has its unique features in terms of tenure,
interest rates, moratorium period, currency of borrowing, suitability for SPV or developer, special
features etc. These sources of debt has been studied in detail to evaluate which ones would be suitable
for raising finance for financing solar power projects in India. The sources of debt have been
categorised into two major heads, vis--vis, domestic and external sources. While the efficacy of
existing financing sources such as commercial banks and Infrastructure financing Companies may be
enhanced through financial engineering tools like sovereign guarantees, differential interest rates
during loan tenures, take-out financing and securitization of loans, new sources of funding such as
Green Infrastructure Bonds, Lease financing, Clean Renewable Energy Bonds and International
Infrastructure/Energy Funds may be explored as well.
Equity financing is more critical for any project as compared to debt financing. When a project is
identified, the first step is to select an appropriate project developer who has willingness and ability to
put in equity in the project. Efforts towards raising debt are initiated in the next step. Debt financing
cant happen for a sector where interested parties, who are willing to take risks and invest equity in
projects, are not present. The report covers different avenues of raising equity financing in detail. The
study also emphasises the need for concerted and continued policy level engagement and leadership
in order to enhance investor confidence and foster private sector participation.
Apart from maximizing equity IRR, developers need to take several other factors into consideration
while raising debt. Some of the important factors include developers financial strength, project
features, possibility of importing equipment and country of import, availability of government
guarantee, creditworthiness in international markets etc. Considering these factors and constraints,
we have arrived at the most optimal debt-raising combination applicable for solar power developers
under certain specific conditions.
Some of the major recommendations that emerged from this study relate to policy and regulatory level
suggestions, such as, establish separate exposure limits for renewable energy or solar power. Some
financial institutions in India face a 5% cap on investments in the power sector. Renewable are a part
of this allocation; therefore, investment in solar is limited by lenders investments in conventional
power. In addition, lenders exposure is calculated over a four-year term (i.e., if a renewable project is
on the books in year one, it stays there till year four, even if it is divested in year two). Discussions
suggest that these guidelines could limit solar investment and could be revisited with a specific focus
on how a separate renewable energy allocation allowance could be appropriately structured. Other
measures such as exploring financing vehicles such as solar bonds and Credit Default Swap
instruments to unlock foreign capital and evolve PPA breach of contract insurance instruments, Policy
interventions, especially to strengthen pre-qualification criteria for bidders and provide contractual
flexibility to developers to choose from different market models for sale of power have also been
suggested.
Indian Solar industry is currently driven almost exclusively by government policies. Capacity
installations from National Solar Mission and other state policies would potentially increase up to 10
times of the current capacity. In the recent times the capital cost reductions for solar power decreased
by about 16% to 20%. Irrespective of the associated risks and wait and watch policy of financial
institutions most of the project developers are optimistic about the growth of solar markets in India.
Some of the financial institutions claimed the tariffs resulting from the reverse bidding during Phase I
batch I of the national solar mission, were very low which could make the projects unviable during
long run, But with some of the common players from phase I batch I bidding were seen re bidding
during batch II where the tariffs quoted were even lower, confirms the seriousness of developers and
their readiness to invest and grow in the Indian solar markets. The capital cost for solar power has
come down by about 16% to 20% in the last two years. It is expected to continue the downward trend
for the next three years as the manufacturing scale increases and the technology matures.
The Grid parity projections which were earlier supposed to occur at the end of current decade is now
being proposed to be seen much earlier near 2016-17 with , the cost for fossil fuels such as coal
increasing day by day, thus driving up grid power prices.
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SHAKTI Foundation
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
14
Introduction
14
Mission Roadmap
15
15
Ministry of Power
16
CERC
16
NTPC
16
NVVN
16
16
Policy Incentives
17
18
20
22
23
25
27
Stakeholder Consultations
27
27
28
Threats
28
Future
29
29
31
32
Policy framework
32
32
32
3. Issues related to the Contractual Agreement between NVVN & SPD/Distribution Utility
33
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Construction Risk
33
33
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34
4. Aggressive Bidding
34
35
6. Scale of Projects
35
7. Political Risk
35
Infrastructure
35
1. Evacuation Infrastructure
36
36
36
Technological risks
36
36
37
37
37
Financial Risks
37
37
2. Currency risk
38
3. Commissioning risk
38
4. Raising of equity
38
5. Risks leading to non- fulfilment of in-time financial closure by the project developer
38
6. Exposure limits
39
Risk Matrix
39
43
43
43
43
43
Currency risk
43
45
45
45
Issues related to the Contractual Agreement between NVVN & SPD/Distribution Utility
45
45
45
Scale of Projects
46
Political Risk
46
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Infrastructure
46
Evacuation Infrastructure
46
Technological risks
46
46
Technology selection
46
47
Financial Risks
47
47
Currency risk
47
Commissioning Risk
48
Raising of equity
48
Risks leading to non- fulfilment of in-time financial closure by the project developer
48
49
49
51
53
53
53
Assumptions
53
54
56
57
Solar PV Manufacturing
58
60
Introduction
60
62
65
70
Chapter 7: Estimation of the capacity of Indian financial system for providing funding to NSM
72
Approach
72
76
Background
76
77
77
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77
1.2.
78
1.4. Other domestic institutional investors like insurance companies, pension funds,
charitable institutions etc.
2. External sources of raising debt
80
81
2.1.
81
2.2.
82
2.3.
83
2.4.
84
86
86
86
86
86
86
2. Differential interest rates during the tenure of the loan depending upon prevalent project
risk
87
3. Securitization
87
87
Steps by companies
1. Loan guarantees by parent companies
Options for equity financing
87
87
87
87
88
88
Conclusion
88
89
89
Lease financing
89
90
90
90
Solar PV
90
CSP
91
92
Regulatory Interventions
92
Policy Interventions
93
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Other Interventions
94
95
97
119
List of Abbreviations
APPC
CEA
CERC
CPP
CSP
DTC
FDI
FI
Financial Institutions
GDP
GOI
Government of India
GW
Giga Watt
IDC
IEA
IFC
IREDA
IRR
JNNSM
KV
Kilo Volt
kWh
MNRE
MOP
Ministry of Power
MW
Mega Watt
NAPCC
NBFC
NTPC
NVVN
O&M
PE
Private Equity
PFC
PLF
PPA
PSA
PTC
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PV
Photo-Voltaic
REC
REC
RES
RPO
SPD
STU
WtE
Waste to Energy
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List of Tables
Table 1: JNNSM Mission Targets ............................................................................................................... 15
Table 2: Indian Solar PV Manufacturing Companies ............................................................................... 25
Table 3: Risks Associated with JNNSM ..................................................................................................... 31
Table 4: Time Horizon Classification of Risks ........................................................................................... 41
Table 5: Impact of Risks ............................................................................................................................. 44
Table 17: Year-wise RE capacity addition (MW) ...................................................................................... 52
Table 18: Year-wise RE investment required (Rs. Cr) .............................................................................. 52
Table 19: Scenario wise investment required for grid connected solar power ........................................ 58
Table 20: Investment Required under NSM for Solar Power Capacity Addition ................................... 58
Table 21: Investment Required under NSM for Solar Power Capacity Addition and Manufacturing .. 59
Table 6: Major Risks .................................................................................................................................... 61
Table 7: Financial Model Assumptions ..................................................................................................... 62
Table 8: Features of different types of debt .............................................................................................. 64
Table 9: Impact due to capital costs .......................................................................................................... 65
Table 10: Impact due to commissioning time ........................................................................................... 66
Table 11: Impact due to REC prices ........................................................................................................... 66
Table 12: Impact due to CUF ......................................................................................................................67
Table 13: Impact due to interest rates ....................................................................................................... 68
Table 14: Impact on cost of generation per unit due to CUF and interest rates ..................................... 69
Table 15: Sensitivity in IRRs for changes in capital costs and tariff for Solar PV ................................... 70
Table 16: Sensitivity in IRRs for changes in capital costs & tariff for Solar Thermal .............................. 71
Table 22: Projections of Credit Availability for the Power Sector ............................................................72
Table 23: Projections of Credit Availability for Renewable Energy ..........................................................73
Table 24: Funding capacity of select NBFCs for RE ..................................................................................73
Table 25: Capacity of Indian financial system to finance solar power projects .......................................74
Table 26: Credit shortfall under different NSM scenarios ........................................................................74
Table 27: Features of loans from commercial banks ................................................................................. 77
Table 28: Features of loans from IFCs .......................................................................................................79
Table 29: Features of debt raised from Capital Markets ...........................................................................79
Table 30: Features of debt from other domestic institutional investors ................................................. 80
Table 31: Features of debt from foreign sources ....................................................................................... 82
Table 32: Features of debt from export credit agencies ........................................................................... 83
Table 33: Features of debt from international commercial banks .......................................................... 83
Table 34: Features of debt from other foreign sources ............................................................................ 84
Table 35: Sensitivity of sources of funds on IRR ...................................................................................... 85
Table 36: Risk Matrix ................................................................................................................................. 96
Table 37: Rates of PFC Rupee Term Loans ............................................................................................... 98
Table 38: Difference between Gujarat and NVVN solar schemes ..........................................................105
List of Figures
Figure 1: JNNSM Framework ..................................................................................................................... 15
Figure 2: Solar Policy Incentives ................................................................................................................ 17
Figure 3: JNNSM Phase I Batch I bidding process ................................................................................... 18
Figure 4: Recent Market Developments under Phase I ............................................................................. 19
Figure 5: JNNSM Batch I Solar PV Bids .................................................................................................... 19
Figure 6: JNNSM Batch I Solar Thermal Bids .......................................................................................... 20
Figure 7: Recent Market Developments under State policies ................................................................... 21
Figure 8: JNNSM Phase I Batch II Bidding process ................................................................................ 22
Figure 9: Results of JNNSM Phase I Batch II Bidding ............................................................................. 24
Figure 10: Plot of the risk evaluation matrix ............................................................................................. 40
Figure 11: Past Trends of Renewable Energy Capacity Addition ............................................................. 49
Figure 12: Cumulative RE Installed Capacity ........................................................................................... 50
Figure 13: % Addition of RE Technologies ................................................................................................ 50
Figure 14: Capital Cost Trend for Solar PV (Rs. crores/ MW) ................................................................. 54
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Figure 15: Capital Cost Trend for Solar Thermal (Rs. crores/ MW) ........................................................ 54
Figure 16: Scenario 1- Solar Power Installations (MW) ............................................................................55
Figure 17: Scenario 1- Solar Power Investments (Rs. Crores) ...................................................................55
Figure 18: Scenario 2- Solar Power Installations (MW) ........................................................................... 56
Figure 19: Scenario 2- Solar Power Investments (Rs. Crores) ................................................................. 56
Figure 20: Scenario 3- Solar Power Installations (MW) ........................................................................... 57
Figure 21: Scenario 3- Solar Power Investments (Rs. Crores) .................................................................. 57
Figure 22 Capital Cost fluctuations for Solar PV ...................................................................................... 65
Figure 23 Capital Cost fluctuations for Solar Thermal ............................................................................. 65
Figure 24 Impact due to commissioning- Solar Thermal ........................................................................ 66
Figure 25: Impact due to commissioning time -Solar PV projects .......................................................... 66
Figure 26 Decrease in REC prices- Solar PV ..............................................................................................67
Figure 27 Decrease in REC prices-Solar Thermal .....................................................................................67
Figure 28 Change in CUF - Solar PV ......................................................................................................... 68
Figure 29 Change in CUF-Solar Thermal .................................................................................................. 68
Figure 30 Variation in Interest rates - Solar PV ....................................................................................... 69
Figure 31 Variation in Interest rates-Solar Thermal ................................................................................ 69
Figure 32: Gap in financing for solar power from Indian financial system ............................................. 75
Figure 33: Sources of raising finance .........................................................................................................76
Figure 34: Fund Disbursements in 2010-11 ...............................................................................................97
Disclaimer
This report has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You
should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No
representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this
report, and, to the extent permitted by law, PricewaterhouseCoopers Private Limited, its members, employees and agents do
not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining
to act, in reliance on the information contained in this report or for any decision based on it.
This initiative is supported by Shakti Sustainable Energy Foundation (Foundation), however the views expressed in this
document do not necessarily reflect views of the Foundation. The Foundation also does not guarantee the accuracy of any data
included in this publication nor does it accept any responsibility for the consequences of its use.
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looking policy framework that will assimilate developments in the dynamic solar industry. The
Mission itself envisions a thorough revaluation of the process at the end of each phase too.
Mission Roadmap
In order to ensure that the ambitious Mission targets are achieved, smaller targets with shorter time
horizons have been set under each of the three phases of the Mission. The deployment across the
application segments is as follows:
Table 1: JNNSM Mission Targets
3. Solar collectors
1,000-2000 MW
4000-10,000 MW
20000 MW
200 MW
1000 MW
2000 MW
7 million sq meters
15 million sq meters
20 million sq meters
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Ministry of Power
The Ministry of Power (MoP), directly under the purview of the Government of India, is primarily
responsible for the development of electrical energy in the country.
It plays a significant role in the implementation of JNNSM. The ministry through NTPC; a major
entity involved in the execution of the JNNSM, has appointed NVVN, a fully owned subsidiary of
NTPC, for entering into PPAs and power sale agreements (PSAs) with power developers and state
utilities respectively. The Mission states that in order to incentivize a large number of solar power
projects and minimize tariffs, solar power will be bundled with cheap unallocated power from central
power stations and then sold to distribution utilities. The Ministry is responsible for allocating an
equivalent megawatt capacity, from the Central unallocated quota to NVVN for bundling together with
solar power.
CERC
CERC, the chief regulatory body in the country, issues guidelines for fixing feed-in-tariff for purchase
of solar power taking into account current cost and technology trends. Under the National Solar
Mission guidelines, CERC has been mandated to provide the benchmark tariff for selection of projects
under the bundling scheme. CERC has also been entrusted to discharge the formulation of guidelines
and solar specific regulations in order to achieve 3% solar RPO by 2022. Additionally, the CERC also
notifies the Ministry of Power about the rates at which the unallocated power from the Central quota
is to be bundled with solar power and sets durations for the PPA between NVVN and the project
developers.
NTPC
Set up in 1975, NTPC is Indias largest power company. Apart from power generation, which is the
mainstay of the company, NTPC has also ventured into consultancy, power trading, ash utilisation and
coal mining.
NTPC has a total installed capacity of 34,854 MW. NTPC has 15 coal based and 7 gas based stations,
located across the country, under its purview. In addition, under joint ventures, there are 5 coal based
stations & another naptha/LNG based station. The company has set a target to have an installed
power generating capacity of 1,28,000 MW by the year 2032. The capacity, it is envisaged, will have a
diversified fuel mix comprising 56% coal, 16% gas, 11% nuclear and 17% renewable energy sources
(RES) including hydro. NTPC plans to expand its non fossil fuel based generation capacity to nearly
28% of its portfolio by 2032.
NVVN
As stated earlier, NVVN is a fully owned subsidiary of NTPC engaged in the business of power trading.
The Mission provides for NVVN to be the designated nodal agency for procuring the solar power by
entering into a PPA with solar power generation project developers who will be setting up solar
projects during the next two years, i.e., before March 2013 and are connected to the grid at a voltage
level of 33 kV or above. For each MW of installed capacity of solar power for which a PPA is signed by
NVVN, the Ministry of Power shall allocate to NVVN an equivalent amount of MW capacity from the
unallocated quota of NTPC coal based stations and NVVN will supply this "bundled" power to the
distribution utilities.
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Policy Incentives
Guidelines laid out by the JNNSM and the NVVN Mission statements have raised large business
opportunities within the country. JNNSM Mission document, in particular, encompasses the objective
of maximising indigenous content which, it is envisaged, will lead to the establishment of
manufacturing facilities as well as R&D centres in the country. However, the issue of domestic content
restrictions laid out by the Mission is an important concern. The following diagram highlights this
challenge.
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JNNSM-Phase I, Batch I
400 bids for 650 MW
on offer
PV Segment
CSP Segment
Benchmark Tariff
Rs 17.91/kWh
Benchmark Tariff
Rs 15.40/kWh
150 MW on Offer
500 MW on Offer
Reverse Bidding
PV Segment
CSP Segment
30 Projects worth
150 MW selected
7 projects worth
470 MW selected
Tariff Range: Rs
10.95-12.76/kWh
As the pictorial representation also suggests, there was substantial oversubscription for projects to
start with, and then the government invited reverse bids asking for discounts on the initial benchmark
tariff of Rs 17.91/ kWh for PV projects and Rs 15.40/ kWh on CSP projects. Thirty PV projects worth a
cumulative capacity of 150 MW and seven CSP projects worth a cumulative capacity of 470MW were
selected under Batch I of the scheme. Remarkably, the bidding process did result in exceedingly
competitive bids. PPAs have been signed at an average levelized tariff of Rs. 12.16 / kWh for PV
projects and Rs. 9.50/ kWh (taking accelerated depreciation into account) for CSP (thermal) projects,
i.e., the government has secured 32.1% and 29.3% discount respectively in PV and CSP projects.
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The following map highlights the recent (till August, 2011) market developments under Phase I of the
Mission.
Among solar PV projects, the highest discount offered during the round of bids invited for the first
batch of Phase I was Rs 6.96/ kWh whereas the lowest successful discount offered was Rs 5.15/ kWh.
Therefore, the tariffs varied from Rs 10.95/ kWh to Rs 12.76/ kWh. Notably, most of the successful
bidders were new players in the sector. It can be deduced that the larger industrial houses failed to
qualify as they did not bid aggressively, partly because of the 5 MW cap imposed on the size of the
projects, presumably rendering the size of the project vis--vis the organizational commitment
required, unattractive. New entrants have, as has emerged, made good use of the opportunity afforded
by the minimal pre qualification requirements in the policy. For example, there was an absence of any
technical experience requirements in the Policy. The policy merely required a bank guarantee of Rs 3
million per MW along with unconsolidated, audited accounts for the last four years as a proof of the
net financial worth of the companies. The following diagrams illustrate the price discovery mechanism
under Batch I bidding.
18
Batch I
Rs/ kWh
16
Bidders
Average Tariff
Benchmark Tariff
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Among CSP projects, the highest discount offered was Rs 4.82/ kWh while the lowest successful bid
was for Rs 3.07/ kWh. As such, the average discount offered on the benchmark tariff of Rs 15.40/ kWh
was Rs 3.65/ kWh. Notably, all CSP projects have made use of the accelerated depreciation of 80% in
the first year. Consequently, the base feed-in-tariff before discount worked out to Rs 13.45/ kWh
instead of Rs 15.40/kWh. The new tariff range taking into account the accelerated depreciation was
from Rs 8.63 to Rs 10.38 per kWh and the average tariff offered was Rs 9.50/ kWh.
The figure below draws a comparison between tariffs offered by different project developers who won
during the bidding process.
18
16
Rs/ kWh
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
It is worth noting here that in spite of the recent rise in the CSP industry; the technology remains
relatively expensive. The components used in such projects have not reached economies of scale and
lack a competitive market. Further, most components are still manufactured by only a handful of
manufacturers across the world and as such, there needs to be a continuous deployment of technology
to ensure indigenization of such components and bring costs down.
Major players in the state include AES Solar, Astonfield Solar, Azure Power Ltd. with
allotments ranging from 5 to 50 MW.
Rajasthan (Draft)
Rajasthan has set a target of developing 10,000-12,000MW solar power capacity in the next
10-12 years.
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It has been mandated that 200MW of solar power shall be developed till 2012-13 and an
additional 400MW power shall be developed between 2014 and 2017. The State also plans to
develop 1000MW of solar parks
The facility of wheeling solar power, exemption of open access charges and electricity duty
shall be extended to developers and distributors
The minimum project capacity shall be 1 MW. However, if MNRE launches any scheme for
lower capacity power plant then that shall also be considered.
Karnataka
Karnataka targets a total solar power capacity development of targeting capacity addition in
solar power projects by 350 megawatts by 2016.
The solar PV projects that plan to sell their electricity to state utilities at preferential tariff
have to have a capacity of between three and 10 MW.
To keep the costs lower, policy allows developers to inject power at 11kV and above.
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JNNSM-Phase I, Batch II
Total Capacity on Offer:
350 MW
PV Segment
Benchmark Tariff Rs
15.39/kWh
350 MW on Offer
Capacity Maximum:
20 MW (+-5%)
Minimum: 5 MW In
multiples of 5 MW
Reverse Bidding
PV Segment
27 Projects worth
350 MW selected
Tariff Range: Rs
7.49-9.44/kWh
Figure 8: JNNSM Phase I Batch II Bidding process
Some of the salient features and enhancements made in Batch II guidelines include:
Plant capacity could be in multiples of 5 MW. In other words, a developer could bid for
projects of size 5 MW, 10 MW, 15 MW or 20 MW.
Winners of projects under the previous round of bidding or under the Gujarat Solar Policy
were allowed to bid for these projects.
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A company in any form (including parent, affiliate, ultimate or any group company) could bid
for a maximum of 3 projects totalling 50MW.
Financial Criteria for bidding: The net worth of the company was required to be greater than
or equal to the value calculated at the rate of Rs 3 crore per MW of the project capacity up to
20 MW. For every MW additional capacity beyond 20 MW, an additional net worth of Rs 2
crore had to be demonstrated.
Foreign companies could participate in the bidding process. But before signing of the PPA, the
policy mandated such companies to form an Indian company registered under the Companies
Act, 1956
Deadline for achieving financial closure has been raised to 210 days (7 months) from the
earlier 180 days (6 months). The timeline for the commissioning of the project has also been
extended by a month to 13 months from the date of signing PPA from 12 months earlier.
Part commissioning of the Project shall be accepted by NVVN subject to the condition that
the minimum capacity for acceptance of part commissioning shall be 5 MW and in multiples
thereof. The PPA will remain in force for a period of 25 years from the date of acceptance of
respective part commissioning of the project.
As per the revised guidelines, the controlling shareholder of the project must now maintain
50% share for 1 year (up from 26% earlier)
Domestic requirement Both cells and modules have to be manufactured in India. This
domestic content requirement does not apply for thin film and Concentrating Photovoltaic
(CPV) technologies.
The bidder will have to deploy only commercially proven technology those that have at least
one project successfully operational for at least one year, anywhere in the world. Crystalline
Silicon and most of the Thin Films Technologies (CdTe, CIGS, a-Si) easily meet this criteria.
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The lowest quoted tariff in Batch II bidding is approximately 32% lower than lowest tariff quoted
in Batch I, Similarly, the highest quoted winning tariff is lower by nearly 26%.
.
18
16
14
Rs/ kWh
12
10
8
PV Bid Tariff
6
4
Average Tariff
Benchmark Tariff
2
0
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The overall production of solar cells and modules in India in 2008-09 was over 175 Wp and 240 Wp2
respectively. The cumulative production of solar PV in India is about 800 MW in cells.
While globally, nearly 75% of the power generated from solar PV technology is grid interactive and the
remaining 25% accounts for off-grid applications, PV installations in India almost entirely account for
off-grid connectivity and small capacity applications. In urban areas, solar PV technology finds
application in street lighting, traffic lighting and domestic power backup whereas in rural areas it
powers solar lanterns, small electrification systems and, off late, small water pumps as well.
There are, however, significant challenges before the solar PV industry in India. One of the major
barriers for the industry is the absence of a manufacturing base for the basic raw material silicon
wafers. The industry, as such, relies heavily on imports from international markets and is exposed to
fluctuating prices and availability. For the year 2008-09, the total value of Indias imported raw
material was Rs. 1,750 crore (C.I.F.). Of this, nearly 80% was imported from Germany and Taiwan 3.
Interestingly, till 2009, India had always been a net exporter of solar PV technology, with 66% of the
cumulative domestic production of solar PV till 2009 catering to foreign markets. But as a
consequence of the global economic slowdown in 2009, the offtakes from international clients
reduced and resulted in low capacity utilization for Indian manufacturers. To add to it, domestic
demand remained frugal.
Other threats to the solar PV industry in India include increasing competition from international
markets like China and Taiwan and a lack of infrastructure for manufacturing. However, the Indian
industry continues to hold an edge in cost effectiveness even though it operates at a much smaller
scale compared to some of the other developer solar PV markets in the world.
2
3
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As such, new investments are being planned by many players across the value chain comprising of raw
material production, solar cell or module manufacture and system integration. Players such as Lanco
Solar have a planned capacity addition of about 1330 MW in raw material with a planned capacity of
1250 MW in polysilicon and 80 MW in wafers. The BHEL-BEL joint venture also plans to have a
capacity of 250 MW in wafers. To add to the 800 MW manufacturing capacity in solar cells, further
investments are planned by companies such as Tata BP Solar, Moser Baer PV, Indo Solar, Microsol
Power (P) Ltd. and Central Electronics Ltd. India has a solar module assembly line of 1250 MW
capacity and apart from Tata BP Solar and Moser Baer Photovoltaic, Rajasthan Electronic
Instruments Ltd., PLG Power and Titan Energy Systems Ltd. have large investments planned here as
well.
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Stakeholder Consultations
The following contains a gist of the opinions shared by different stakeholders presented under
different heads and is concluded by an overall assessment of the current scenario.
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Threats
As per opinions expressed by Welspun Energy, the likelihood of Indian manufacturers meeting the
imminent steep demand for equipment is low. The industry is not well developed at this stage and
resources are limited. Moreover, prices offered by Chinese manufacturers, who are content with
realising a profit of as low as 5-6% in order to sustain their business, would be tough to match anyway.
The Chinese manufacturers have already developed huge capacities in PV and wafers and this, in a
way, substantiates the fact that they are forced to supply at low profit levels. Further, as far as solar
thermal technologies are concerned, a leading private equity firm in Delhi pointed out that patented
technology is a major concern as it increases the costs involved. As of now, there are no popular
examples of solar thermal technologies being run successfully across the world.
On the Missions emphasis on use of indigenous technology, Mr Gupta of EQ International, said that
developers should be given the flexibility to execute the project in the most economic manner. While
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he is in favour of developing a domestic eco-system for the solar industry, he also believes that in the
short run there should not be stringent norms on domestic content.
Therefore, a complete ban on importing foreign equipment might be risky. The developers also do not
see any harm in importing technology if it enables them to offer power at a relatively lower tariff. To
further this argument, they pointed out that EXIM funding is also available at a relatively low cost.
Besides, protectionism could be harmful for the economy as well.
Realizing the possibility that such domestic content restrictions may cause a gap in supply of critical
components that may hamper the NSM, the MNRE announced, in the guidelines issued for the second
batch of Phase I projects, that domestic content requirements would be relaxed for PV modules made
from thin film technology or concentrator PV cells and project developers would be free to import
them.
Future
As per information shared with us by Welspun Energy, the western and European markets are near a
saturation state as far as demand for solar PV equipment is concerned. Germany, for instance, has
already set up 10GW of solar power. Further, the European financial crisis has led to an even more
pronounced fall in capital expenditure on Solar PV. As such, the rapidly growing Indian economy
offers an attractive market for PV manufacturers. Given the fact that the Indian market is extremely
Price sensitive and that competition is likely to be intense, prices in the most likely scenario will come
down in future. The cost of generation is also likely to come down as a consequence of lower capital
expenditure and higher Plant Load Factors (PLFs) in future through technological advancements. Mr
Gupta of EQ International, based on his own interactions with project developers, also shared the
opinion that as technology matures and we achieve economies of scale, reduction in the cost of
generation is imperative. Added to this is the fact that the government of India has created a
regulatory environment that encourages the industry. The competition that this will lead to, will also
contribute towards driving down the costs.
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Yes Bank: 3 projects under NSM; a 50MW project under Gujarat Policy
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Under the NSM, project developers sign PPAs with NVVN which in turn enters into PSAs with the
state utilities for buying and selling solar power respectively. Project developers seek funding against
these PPAs. However, most FIs are not convinced about the bankability of such PPAs.
Moreover, as brought out earlier as well, banks remain sceptical of the available solar irradiation data,
effectiveness of technology, Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) technology in particular, and projected
returns from these projects. Although some FIs acknowledge that some of the proposed technologies
have been successful elsewhere, they are not convinced about their feasibility in Indian conditions yet
and therefore, want the technologies to be tested and established first.
Many FIs have also conceded the fact that they themselves lack the technical exposure to judge the
projects on merit. Their competence in assessing the viability of solar power projects is low.
Consequently, they remain sceptical of developers, new entrants to the market in particular, in terms
of whether or not they may be capable of developing and presenting a feasible business proposal.
Additionally, FIs and project developers believe that the Missions emphasis on use of indigenous
technology could have a dampening effect on the progress of solar power projects in India. While on
the one hand, the Indian manufacturing industry will take time to develop in order to be able to meet
the demand for equipment, it may not be able to offer any significant cost advantage over imported
technology any time soon, either.
Another key point of debate among financial institutions, pertinent to projects under the NSM, is the
perceptible advantages offered by the Gujarat Solar Policy. The tariff policy in Gujarat offers are more
front ended tariff schedule which enables the lenders to foresee a more secure cash flow pattern from
the projects during the initial years of operation as compared to projects under the NSM. Further, the
Gujarat State Policy mandates the state transmission utility, GETCO, to lay the transmission line
between the solar power plant and the transmission sub-station closest to it; whereas under the NSM,
onus for this lies with the project developer.
As such, most FIs, at this point in time, feel comfortable in waiting for a few projects to come up
successfully and then frame their firm opinion on the type of lending (non-recourse or project based)
they wish to pursue. Over time, they also plan to build their capacity in terms of their competence
level to evaluate solar power projects and develop an understanding of the functioning and
implementation of various organisations and policies involved.
The above snapshot, while presenting the current financing scenario of the NSM, revolves around
various barriers and risks that project developers and FIs are confronted with at present. Subsequent
chapters of the report discuss these risks and present a comprehensive overall assessment of the
scenario in detail.
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Chapter 3: Challenges to
advancing the NSM
As per the targets set out by the JNNSM and other state initiatives, the Indian solar sector has a
number of projects in pipeline scheduled for commissioning in the next two-three years. However, the
government recognizes that these targets cannot be achieved without private sector participation.
From our discussions with stakeholders, we are able to summarise constraints and challenges that are
being perceived by the financial institutions, bankers and equity providers. These constraints and
challenges can be classified into various categories of risks that need to be mitigated in order for the
Indian solar industry to achieve its targets. These risks are presented below. It is important to note
that some of these risks are already being addressed, albeit to different degrees, by the constantly
evolving policy & regulatory framework in the country. Consequently, after the initial classification,
the risks are also further sub-divided according to their time-horizon of influence later in this chapter.
Table 3: Risks Associated with JNNSM
Specific Risks
3
4
Scale of Projects
Political Risk
Evacuation Infrastructure
Technology selection
Currency Risk
Commissioning Risk
Exposure Limits
Infrastructural Risks
Technological Risks
Financial
Risks4
While most stakeholders highlighted financial risks as being the most serious of their concerns,
detailed analysis of financial risks reveals that most of these are actually the results or the effects of
possible or actual realization of other categories of risks listed in the matrix. The financial risks listed
in this matrix are the generic project finance risk that are faced by all categories of infrastructure
projects, modified to reflect concerns of solar power plant developers in particular.
4
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4.6.1 If the SPD is unable to commence supply of power to NVVN by the Scheduled
Commissioning Date other than for the force majeure conditions, the SPD shall pay to
NVVN, Liquidated Damages for the delay in such commencement of supply of power and
making the Contracted Capacity available for dispatch by the Scheduled Commissioning Date
at the rate of /MW/day for delay of first 30days and Rs. . /MW/day for
delay thereafter
It is to be noted that solar power projects, solar thermal projects in particular, are amongst the first of
their kind in India. International experience suggests that such solar thermal projects may take more
than 3 years to commission from its financial closure, owing to the complexities involved in the
project implementation schedule as well timeline for supply of critical components of solar field and
power block components. The solar thermal technology is still in its early development phase in India
and presently, the technology partners associated with the solar thermal technology are mostly based
overseas with limited experience for supply and installation in Indian conditions. Further, deliveries
for the solar thermal technology components, measurement of the solar irradiation and its varying
pattern, detailed engineering of the projects and its optimisation vendor qualification and contract
negotiation makes the stipulated timeframe for commissioning of solar projects very aggressive.
Generation & Operating Risk
Clause 4.8.3 of the PPA between the SPD and NVVN suggests for maintaining the capacity
utilisation factor by the solar power plant. The relevant section of the clause is reproduced below,
At any time during the Term of the Agreement, if the CUF of the Power Project is found to
be below .. [Insert value i.e. 5% less than CUF] or if it is found that the SPD has not
been able to maintain a CUF of [Insert value i.e. 3% less than CUF] for a
consecutive/non consecutive period of three (3) months during a Contract Year on account of
reasons solely attributable to SPD, NVVN shall have the right to assign the liability of
payment of liquidated damages to the distribution utility as identified in the PSA, to the
SPD. The SPD shall be liable to pay such liquidated damages as identified in the PSA to
NVVN.
It is to be noticed that generation from most of the renewable energy are dependent on the vagaries of
the nature and therefore its generation output cannot be predicted accurately. Typically solar resource
data is required to be computed from 12 year solar cycle period and projected over 25 years to
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estimate the electricity generation potential of the site and determine the economic feasibility of the
project. Delays may be expected in procuring requisite certified data to accurately assess project
feasibility and secure guarantees of performance from technology providers. Solar resource, despite
the sophistication in techniques employed to forecast hourly solar irradiation using Typical
Meteorological Year (TMY), may vary by 15% on a year to year basis. Therefore, NVVN suggestion to
penalize lower generation of electricity may be considered contrary to the principles of power
generation through renewable sources and the generation/operation risk on this count may be
required to be factored in.
Furthermore, during the periods of generation from the solar projects in case the Distribution Utility
is unable to draw power for any reason, the solar project developer should not be penalised. The PPA
suggests the delivery point at the commercial metering point at the STU substation. Thus, the losses
up to metering point as well as risk of curtailment due to non-availability of evacuation line will have
to be borne by the solar project developer. The provision of deemed generation for non-availability of
transmission/evacuation arrangement has not been provided under PPA, hence the SPD will have to
bear such risk.
Payment security and default mitigation mechanism
Clause 6.4.8 of the Power Sale Agreement between the NVVN and Distribution Utility suggests a
tripartite agreement for the purchase of the power from solar project developers and sale to
Government owned Distribution Utilities. The relevant portion of the clause is reproduced below,
As a further support for the Discoms obligations, on or prior to the Effective Date, a
Tripartite Agreement may be signed in between the central government, the state government
of the Discom and RBI. NVVN shall be authorized by the central government to invoke such
Tripartite Agreement in case of payment default by the Discom. If the Discom fails to pay a
Monthly Bill or Supplementary Bill or part thereof within thirty (30) days from the Due
Date, NVVN shall have the right to invoke such Tripartite Agreement, after giving a notice
of seven (7) days to the Discom, whereby the pending dues from the Discom shall be routed
through RBI to NVVNs designated account.
In its Power Selling Agreement, it has been implied that the final responsibility of payment rest on
Distribution Utility and in eventuality if the Utility fails to make payment to the NVVN for the power
procured, then it may make payment to the SPDs from separate fund created by Government of
India/or through RBI (designated third party of the agreement) routing the fund to the SPD. The
proposed mechanism suggested under the existing contractual framework for ensuring payment to
SPD in event of default of payment by the Government owned Utility would enhance investor/lender
confidence to ensure steady flow of revenue streams for the Solar Project developer and thereby
enhance the bankability of the project.
4. Aggressive Bidding
At the outset, several project developers and financial institutions were of the view that the reverse
bidding mechanism would threaten the growth the nascent sector by exposing it to uncurtailed
competition, thereby wiping out margins and destroying any incentives for investment. This view was
supported by the fact that reverse tariff bidding for solar energy has not been adopted by any other
country in the world. The results of the first phase of bidding further strengthened this view when the
quoted tariffs were viewed by many project developers and financial institutions alike as being
completely unviable.
However, the Government of India was confident that the reverse bidding is potentially the fastest
way to scale up solar energy, even if it is done at the expense of quickly and somewhat brutally
weeding out the inefficient players that would be unable to compete. This expectation was borne out
by the fact that despite pervasive reservations in the financial community, a majority of projects were
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able to achieve financial closure, and moreover, the second batch of bidding led to even more drastic
cost reductions, reaffirming investor confidence in the sector. The Batch II bidding results also
highlighted the fact that reverse bidding is in fact the fastest way to commercialize solar energy, with
tariffs as low as INR 7.49 indicating a rapid descent towards grid parity.
In light of these developments, the initial risk perception regarding unviable and unsustainable
competitive bidding has been for the most part, alleviated.
6. Scale of Projects
In the case of solar PV, the restriction of 5 MW per business group (in phase I, batch I) makes the offer
further more unattractive for large players to show active interest in solar PV projects. As in the batch
II guidelines scaling issue had been addressed, but still bankers feel no waiver on the size restrictions
shall be made in order to bring in better economies of scale. Financiers are of the view that the small
project size does not support the transaction costs associated and also will lead to larger losses and
trimming profitability. In addition, financial institutions have concerns with regard to technological
uncertainty as they are not fully educated on the various technological issues and are not exact about
which technologies could be the best and most profitable according to the environmental conditions of
the country.
7. Political Risk
A large part of the JNNSM is policy-driven. Project developers and financiers have apprehensions that
a change in the government regime might alter some of the existing regulatory provisions that might
result in changing the overall viability and attractiveness of the sector. For example, as was discussed
during stakeholder discussions, PPAs signed at the current tariffs might be viewed as being too high if
solar power approaches grid generation costs in the future, and the government may independently
decide to renegotiate them in public interest. These types of risks are specific to the political situation
on ground and can have a significant impact on project and sector viability.
Infrastructure
Infrastructure is central to the sustainable development and economic competitiveness of any sector.
Barriers with regard to infrastructural requirements emerged as one of the most important for the
solar power developers in the country. An important parameter which is of critical importance
specifically for solar thermal power projects is the proximity to water resource.
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The lead times required for all the approvals were quite substantial and hence the developers have
highlighted the need for government intervention to reduce the same. In some cases, the developers of
solar thermal power projects did not obtain allotment near water resources since the developers of PV
projects were already allotted the land at those locations.
Single window clearance for solar power project can potentially be a very powerful solution to address
most infrastructure related aspects of solar projects. It is possible to bundle the land, evacuation and
water related approvals under one clearance and the developer would have to approach just one entity
to avail this clearance provided he meets the criteria set by the guidelines. However, such single
window clearances need to be put in place by the individual state governments, since the central
government does not have direct jurisdiction over the various state departments in charge of
clearances.
1. Evacuation Infrastructure
Grid availability is a major issue for developers once the project is completed. For the renewable
project developers grid availability is a major issue of concern, especially for the plants connected at
HT level (33Kv and above).As enunciated in the Electricity Act, 2003, responsibility of the making
necessary arrangement of the solar power rests on the respective State Electricity Regulatory
Commission. However, the approach for providing the evacuation arrangement is not uniform across
regulatory bodies. This proposition creates a sense of uncertainty among the developers with regards
to evacuation of generated power.
Lack of Planning and sharing of information by the respective state transmission utilities with the
developers is seen as one of the major concerns by most of the project developers in finalizing their
project locations. Typically, state utilities do not publicise their present and future infrastructural
plans of setting up of new transmission lines and evacuation infrastructure, it is a major threat as
concerned and upcoming developers are not aware of any developments in the area thus posing a
major risk involving bad planning and changing policies.
Technological risks
1. Reliability of Solar Radiation Data
The biggest risk associated with solar projects lies with the estimation of solar radiation. The returns
of a solar project are highly sensitive to radiation levels. High quality solar radiation data is a prerequisite for proper market assessment and project development. Hence, solar radiation assessment is
a very important activity and typically requires several months for ground measurement of solar
radiations. Any error in solar resource estimation adds an uncertainty to expected outputs. According
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to Power Finance Corporation, as of now, on-ground solar radiation data is sketchy and the simulation
models are at best at a preliminary stage.
The industry is relying on suboptimal solutions in the absence of credible and adequate data. Non
availability of standardised information is leading to the developers opting different sources of
information and hence bankers and financers are finding it very difficult to rely on the provided data
and proceed with investments.
MNRE has initiated steps in this direction, with the Centre for Wind Energy Technology being
assigned to set up 50 ground monitoring stations in association with the states. Probable sites have
been identified in states including Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Jammu & Kashmir,
Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Puducherry, Rajasthan and Tamil Nadu.
Financial Risks
Banks and financial institutions remain averse to the idea of lending to solar power projects. While the
general perception about solar technologies has improved over the years, the technical risk perception
remains high. As a result, there is a near absence of non-recourse or project financing for solar
projects. Most of the lenders insist on recourse to either the parent companys balance sheet or a
performance bond for the project. Industry experience in the energy sector has shown that capacity
addition would not have been possible had financing been limited to only balance sheets. Clearly, this
could defeat the larger objectives of jump-starting capacity addition in solar power.
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2. Currency risk
Currency risk is a form of risk that arises from the change in price of one currency against another.
Whenever investors or companies have assets or business operations across national borders, they
face currency risk if their positions are not hedged. Since the solar markets will involve investments
from various international banks, funding agencies and equity investors the risks associated to the
currency rates fluctuations will always be involved in the sector. This will always involve the
international interactions in terms of investments, production and technology, hence the participation
of different currencies in the Indian solar industry. The currency risks is one of the major financial
risks, especially considering the current market conditions across the world, particularly the European
markets which are well advanced in the solar industry.
3. Commissioning risk
Several infrastructure projects, specifically solar projects have loan agreements that incorporate
commissioning charges. These charges refer to periodic payments associated with the undisbursed
amount of the loan. Essentially, commissioning charges hedges the risk faced by the lender, in case
the borrower is unable to drawdown the entire loan amount, as agreed at the time of financial closure.
For solar projects in particular, risk associated with commissioning charges can pose a significant
threat since plant commissioning can be delayed on account of several factors outside the control of
the developer. Without a revenue stream, commissioning charges, if applicable can impose a heavy
burden on the developer.
4. Raising of equity
Most of the equity financiers look for borrower credit-worthiness, speedy recovery and safety of
investments are indeed sceptical about the financial success of these solar projects. They feel the
prices and tariffs are too much regulated and the return on equity as fixed by the government is not
very competitive for them to invest at such an initial stage of a new sector. Companies would
alternatively have to take loans on their original balance sheet and provide a corporate guarantee.
Balance sheet funding, however, limits the ability, to induct a higher-level debt and so increases the
overall cost of the project. Private equity funds that provide equity, quasi-equity and mezzanine
financing are interested in quick scalability and exit strategies. To compensate for the uncertainty
involved, they expect a very a high rate of return. With traditional financiers for capital-intensive
projects raising doubts about sustainability, developers have limited options to achieve the desired
financial closure.
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while providing corporate guarantees. Some companies are, for the most part, funding their projects
themselves through equity.
6. Exposure limits
Stakeholder consultations have revealed that several banks and FIs are constrained to lend to the
renewable energy sector, in particular to solar energy due to their existing exposure limit norms. At
present, banks and FIs are mandated to lend to priority sectors, which includes the power sector.
However, no further classification within the power sector means that a majority of the allocation
within this sector is diverted towards conventional power projects which are viewed as being less risky
and more financially attractive. Due to an absence of specific exposure limit norms lending to
renewable energy, investments for this sector are crowded out by conventional energy.
Risk Matrix
The various categories and specific risks within each category, as described above, have the potential
to significantly affect the viability of solar projects. However the severity of impact and the probability
of occurrence of each risk are not uniform. In order to better understand these risks, it is important to
classify the risks on two parameters:
1) Severity of Impact: This parameter gauges the extent to which the risk is likely to affect overall
project viability, in case it occurs
2) Probability of Occurrence: This parameter assess the likelihood of a particular risk occurring
As can be discerned, any risk is insignificant if it does not contain both these parameters. In other
words, the higher the severity and / or probability, the more significant is the risk. In order to classify
risks, a matrix of scores has been designed. This matrix assigns scores to the severity of impact and
probability of occurrence. It is shows in the graph below5:
The numerical basis and other assumptions for this graph are given in Annexure I
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100%
90%
Tariff Bidding
80%
Evacuation Infrastructure
Probabality of Occurrence
70%
Scale of projects
60%
PPA-risk
Delay in clearences
Currency risk
and Water
Indigeneous manufacturing
Reliability of Solar
Irradiation Data
40%
Political risk
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
5
Impact of Risk
10
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The risk evaluation matrix highlights the fact that a majority of risks associated with the solar industry lie in the high impact high probability quadrant. This
indicates the need for developing effective solutions for addressing and mitigating these risks. However, in addition, another parameter is important when
assessing the severity of these risks. Risks can be classified according to the time horizon in which they are likely to be realized. The following table shows this
classification:
Table 4: Time Horizon Classification of Risks
Risks
Time horizon
Description
Short term
Short term
Medium term
Aggressive Bidding
Short term
As was done for Batch 2, time for financial closure can be further
increased from 210 days
Will need policy level changes to modify specific clauses in existing
PPA PSA regulations
Will need policy level consideration to discuss the merit of this risk
Short term
Scale of Projects
Short term
Political risk
Long term
Evacuation Infrastructure
Medium term
Short term
Technology selection
Short term
10
Short term
11
12
Currency Risk
13
Commissioning Risk
Medium term
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14
Raising of equity
Medium term
15
Short term
16
Exposure Limits
Medium term
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Currency risk
Akin to the interest rate risk, currency risk also arises due to uncertainties in the international economy. Loans
that are provided in foreign currencies need to be converted into domestic currency for use. Typically, this
conversion is made at the prevailing exchange rate as on date. As is the case with the LIBOR, exchange rates
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cannot be accurately predicted beyond a limited time horizon. If the exchange rate gets significantly
unfavourable, loan and interest repayments can get substantially more expensive than anticipated. This risk is
most visibly manifested in funding sources that offer such loans, namely, ECBs, international banks and other
foreign lenders.
In order to hedge against this uncertainty, borrowers can opt for taking fixed rate loans. In this case, the
exchange risk is passed onto the lender. However, in order to provide this service, the lender would typically
increase the cost of borrowing by as much as 500 basis points over the base rate.
The following table summarizes the above assessments:
Table 5: Impact of Risks
Specific Risks
Net impact
Limited exposure of
Banks/FIs to RE sector
Currency Risk
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components and instruments. Moreover, closing the doors for the latest and more efficient technologies to
Indian market to start with would be counterproductive from the point of view of reducing the costs and
inculcating state of art technologies. Although incentives like tax benefits could be provided for the players
adopting indigenous manufacturing.
Scale of Projects
Scalability is one of the major issues seen by the funding agencies and bigger developers. Although much had
been done in the phase I batch II guidelines, encouraging large scale development would further bring in
economies of scale. Higher MW range of projects had to be promoted for using better evacuation infrastructure.
Political Risk
Political risk is one of the most difficult risks to mitigate since its the sovereign right of the government of the
day to modify existing policies and regulations in best public interest. However, certain measures can be taken
to ensure that the impact of these changes is not directly and unilaterally imposed on the project
developers/financial institutions. For example, developers and FIs can make the case that since tariffs are
calculated based directly on the capital cost in existence at that time, and since payback periods for solar energy
are significantly long, changing tariffs can destroy project viability and offer strong disincentives for future
sector growth. However, apart from petitioning against clauses in the PPA/PSA can define legal redressal and
compensation mechanisms in the case of change in law.
Infrastructure
Evacuation Infrastructure
The concept of a single window entity had to be developed.
The State transmission Utilities (STUs) should public their present and future plans of development, as of
putting in black and white their infrastructure plans including the areas where the transmission lines will be set
up, such an action will help the project developers to make their development plans accordingly, it would bring
in more clarity for the developers regarding the availability of evacuation infrastructure
Reliability of 33KV grid system in India had always been questionable; hence connection to the unreliable grid
would result in loss of revenue to the solar power producers. The government should facilitate the grid
connectivity at 132 KV or higher voltages and the responsibility for development and maintenance of
transmission line shall be on the state transmission utilities.
Technological risks
Reliability on available Solar Irradiation Data
Although the government is in the process to set up radiation measurement centres across various locations in
India, training and capacity building programs should be arranged for creating awareness among the financers
and the other stakeholders and a standardized methodology should be adapted to measure the solar
irradiations. Such a system will bring in more clear mechanism and encourage investments in the sector.
Project developer shall take up the responsibility for ensuring the validity of data. Solar energy centre data
should be standardized which will remove all the confusions for both the developers and the financers.
Technology selection
Selecting technology for Solar Thermal is still an important issue for developers as well as the bankers. The
technology has not been tested under Indian conditions.
Although, the guidelines for selection of projects mention about the technical standards, but since its a very
new sector most of the stakeholders are quiet unsure of the performance concerned. Both the developer and the
financers community proposes the adoption of some well proven and standardized mechanisms at policy levels
to ensure quality of services and pitch in only the serious market players in the market and help to phase out
non serious short term profit seekers from the solar industry.
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Financial Risks
Interest Rate Risks
Interest rate risk is the sensitivity of an institutions cash flows, reported earnings, and economic value or
market valueof-equity (MVE) to changes in interest rates. The movement of interest rates affects the earnings
and book capital by changing the net interest income, the market value of balance sheet instruments accounted
for at market value and other interest sensitive income and expenses. Solar being a capital intensive sector
interest rate will always be affecting the investments in the solar industry.
A forward contract is the most basic interest rate management product. Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) is
based on the idea of a forward contract, where the determinant of gain or loss is an interest rate. Under this
agreement, one party pays a fixed interest rate and receives a floating interest rate equal to a reference rate.
The actual payments are calculated based upon a notional principal amount and paid at intervals determined by
the parties. Only a net payment is made - the loser pays the winner, so to speak. FRAs are always settled in cash.
A futures contract is similar to a forward, but provides the counterparties with less risk than a forward contract,
namely a lessening of default and liquidity risk, due to the inclusion of an intermediary.
Similarly a swap is an exchange. More specifically, an interest rate swap looks a lot like a combination of FRAs
and involves an agreement between counterparties to exchange sets of future cash flows.
All these products all provide ways to hedge interest rate risk, with different products being appropriate for
different scenarios. Although need for that can be ascertained on case by case basis and market outlook.
Currency risk
Fluctuations in foreign exchange are considered another major risk which might affect the solar project during
the construction and operation. Foreign companies who are interested to invest in Indian solar market are
analyzing the opportunities and threats associated with international currency transactions before they
proceed. This is preventing many of the foreign investors to invest freely in the Indian solar markets since, as of
present no guarantee mechanisms are in place to mitigate this risk.
Transactional currency risk can be hedged tactically or strategically to preserve cash flow and earnings,
depending on their currency view.
Translational currency risk is usually hedged opportunistically rather than systematically, notably to try to
avoid emerging market-related shocks to net assets, usually focusing on either long-term foreign investment or
debt structure.
Hedging economic risk is complex, requiring the corporation to forecast its revenue and cost streams over a
given period and then to analyze the potential impact on these of an exchange rate deviation from the rate used
in calculating revenue and cost. For the debt structure, the currency of denomination must be chosen, the
amount of debt estimated in that currency and the average interest period determined. The effect on cash flow
should be netted out over product lines and across markets. Whats left from this process is the economic risk
that has to be managed. For large multinationals, the net economic risk may in fact be quite small because of
offsetting effects. However, economic risk can be substantial for corporations that have invested in only one or
two foreign markets. Concluding it, either taking Rupee loans or hedging the risk by derivative contracts are the
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most effective measures to mitigate the risk. Although the need for that can be ascertained on case by case basis
and market outlook.
Commissioning Risk
Commissioning risk is another major financial risk of concern. NSM is tightly bounded with the stipulated time
frame; hence the timely completion of the projects is mandatory for the successful completion of the mission.
This has been observed that in a typical power project a number of issues come up which leads to delay in the
commissioning and operations, apart from many other risks, laxity from the developers and EPC contractors
side plays a major role in the causing delays. A mitigation measure to bring in better discipline amongst all can
be imposing a penalty clause on the EPC contractor if delay happens, this will reduce the occurrence of such a
risk from the developers side.
Raising of equity
Rising of the equity is a pre-requisite for any project, arranging the equity had been one of the major concerns
for the solar projects under NSM. It has been observed that many equity investors are excusing themselves from
investing under NSM, their concerns and issues have been majorly addressed before in our risk chapters. In
order to encourage participation of equity players, an option which could be forwarded can be allotting
maximum preference shares to institutional investors i.e. fixed return for some period followed by conversion
into normal equity, which will be an encouraging step to pitch in more equity players in the solar projects under
NSM. Apart from this, mitigation of all major risks associated with the solar projects would be an encouraging
step for equity players to start investing in solar industry.
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Currently India has an installed capacity of around 180 GW of electricity, with more than 60% generated from
thermal energy. Hydro power is a distant second at 21%, whereas renewable energy contributes only 20 GW or
11% of the installed mix. However as the capacity utilization factor of renewable energy sources is very low as
compared to capacity utilization factor of thermal electric plants, the energy mix of India from renewable
energy further decreases to 4%.
India continues to grow at a rapid pace, but the growth in the power sector has not been very rapid and the
demand supply gap has widened at now stands at around 10% of total electricity requirement which is around
13% for peak demand. Indias ability to close this gap will be critical for maintaining a high growth rate as
supply of electricity is a major bottleneck for growth in India. To meet this demand and also account for
increase in demand in the future years due to higher economic growth, rural grid electrification, urbanization,
etc, India needs to have an installed capacity of over 300 GW by 2017. While in the 12 th Plan most of this
additional requirement will be met with cheaper thermal (mostly coal power), to grow sustain ably India needs
to increase its mix of renewable energy.
The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy has projected the capacity addition of different renewable
technologies till 2017 in its strategic plan 6 and in its sub-group recommendations for the 12th Five Year Plan7.
For the 13th Five Year Plan, MNRE has envisaged cumulative capacity addition for each of the renewable energy
technologies.
Currently the Indian renewable energy scenario is dominated by the wind sector with an installed capacity of
approximately 15GW as on 31/08/2011 which is 75% of the total installed renewable energy capacity. Wind has
been driving the renewable energy sector and it has grown mainly due to incentives such as accelerated
depreciation and preferential tariffs. However previously developers focussed on installing wind power plants
to avail accelerated depreciation and emphasis on generation was low which is responsible for an overall low
CUF of 17% for the wind sector in India. But with more encouragement from the government towards power
generation through generation based incentives and RPOs, the CUF of wind plants should increase. The
following graph represents the year wise addition of different renewable energy technologies from 2006/07 to
2010/11.
3500
3000
MW
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2006-07
2007-08
Wind
Biomass
2008-09
WtE
SHP
Solar PV
2009-10
2010-11
Solar Thermal
Strategic Plan for new and renewable energy sector for the period 2011-17, extracted from: http://www.mnre.gov.in/policy/strategic-planmnre-2011-17.pdf
7 Extracted from http://www.mnre.gov.in/twelth-plan.htm
6
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Solar power addition during this period has been negligible with a total addition of around 37 MW of solar PV.
Other technologies have shown little growth, but there is a huge potential for biomass and small hydro to grow
in the coming years.
The graph below represents the cumulative capacity of renewable energy in India till 2022 based on MNRE
targets. Wind energy will still be the most dominant technology for this entire period, though based on current
planned scenarios, solar power addition will overtake wind power addition in the 13th Five Year Plan. The
addition of other renewable energy technologies is not as prominent as the addition of wind and solar power.
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Year
Wind Power
Biomass
WtE
Solar PV
Solar Thermal
T he graph below depicts the year wise percentage distribution of addition planned capacity for different
renewable energy technologies till 20228. In the 12th Five Year Plan and the remained of the 11th Five Year Plan,
wind sector will dominate total renewable energy capacity addition, however solar power- both PV and thermal
will dominate the renewable energy planned projections in the 13 th Five Year Plan.
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Wind Power
Biomass
WtE
Solar PV
Solar Thermal
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Wind Power: For wind power, a 1% year on year decrease in capital cost has been taken as the wind
power market has matured, with various technological advances and large investments in local
manufacturing capacity. Further technological advancements may not decrease the capital cost of
turbines, but will increase efficiency and reduce per unit cost of generation.
2) Biomass: For the biomass sector a 2% year on year decrease in capital cost has been taken, as there is
further scope in new technologies, and further R&D efforts will reduce capital costs along with providing
cleaner power and reduced cost of generation.
3) Waste to Energy: For WtE, a year on year capital cost reduction of 2% has been taken as presently the
capital cost is relatively high as compared to other RE technologies as WtE is relatively a new technology
and as more R&D investment flows, capital costs will decrease.
4) Small Hydro: Yearly capital cost for small hydro has been taken as 1%, as the majority of capital cost is
in the form of land and civil costs which will not decrease and will offset technology advancements in
terms of capital costs.
5) Solar PV: Solar Costs for utility scale solar PV have drastically reduced, and as per reports from the
International Energy Agency this trend will continue. Analysis from the Technology Roadmap- Solar
Photovoltaic Energy, IEA9 and the University of Melbourne- Renewable Energy Technology Cost
Review10, along with PwC analysis it has been estimated that the capital cost for solar PV will reduce by
5% annually. Capital cost for the solar technologies will decline as production increases to attain
economies of scale, along with cost reduction measures from increased investment in research and
development in this sector.
6) Solar Thermal: Yearly capital cost decrease for solar thermal has been taken at 3%, as solar thermal is a
still a new technology and with further R&D in this sector, rapid decrease in costs will not be seen
immediately, but in later years when it becomes a mainstream technology.
http://www.iea.org/papers/2010/pv_roadmap.pdf
http://www.earthsci.unimelb.edu.au/~rogerd/Renew_Energy_Tech_Cost_Review.pdf
10
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The investment requirements have been calculated year wise, taking into account the phasing of capital costs for technologies such as biomass, small hydro,
WtE and solar thermal power plants that take more than one year to complete. The year-wise capacity addition targets, along with the investment
requirements to meet these
The table below gives the year wise capacity addition of the renewable energy technologies till 2022 based on MNRE projections and for solar only includes
the NSM targets:
Table 6: Year-wise RE capacity addition (MW)
Year
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2400
2500
2300
2200
2100
1900
2016
2128
2240
2352
2464
350
380
380
330
330
330
340
340
340
340
340
20
25
35
45
55
60
75
88
100
113
125
350
350
400
400
450
500
320
320
320
320
320
150
400
200
200
500
550
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
500
50
200
200
500
550
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
3770
3705
3515
3375
3935
3890
4351
5276
6200
7125
8049
Year
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
12000
12375
11271
10673
10086
9034
9490
9917
10335
10743
11142
1732
1548
1567
1416
1307
1281
1278
1268
1242
1217
1193
128
193
255
330
403
449
523
613
692
768
840
1950
1741
1846
1950
2051
2269
1942
1499
1484
1469
1454
1650
4000
1900
1805
4287
4480
6190
8821
11173
13268
15126
2391
1902
2395
4740
6024
7906
11422
15193
18727
22035
22524
19851
21759
19235
20915
24158
25420
30846
37311
43653
49501
52280
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The allocation of the three scenarios into solar photovoltaic and solar thermal has been done by doubling or
tripling the base scenario in line with the assumptions used by MNRE.
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12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
Solar PV Scenario 1
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
Solar PV Scenario 2
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
Solar PV Scenario 3
Figure 14: Capital Cost Trend for Solar PV (Rs. crores/ MW)
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Solar Thermal Scenario 1
Figure 15: Capital Cost Trend for Solar Thermal (Rs. crores/ MW)
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6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Solar PV
Solar Thermal
Based on the assumptions above, the capital cost requirements were calculated for this scenario by multiplying
the year wise capacity addition and the annual capital costs. For solar thermal as the construction cost is two
years, capital cost phasing has been done. Based on the assumptions for capital cost, and year wise installations
the total investment required for the base scenario was calculated to be Rs. 172, 338 crores (USD 34.47 billion).
As can be seen on the graph below, investments for achieving installation targets for the period 2017 through
2022 are not linearly growing. We have assumed that due to learning curve and bandwagon effects, projects
will come online faster towards the end of the plan period, rather than being equally distributed throughout.
Accordingly, installation targets and corresponding investment requirements are bunched up towards 2020,
dropping rapidly in the final year of the Mission period.
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Solar Photovoltaic
Solar Thermal
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Solar PV
Solar Thermal
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Solar Photovoltaic
Solar Thermal
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Solar PV
Solar Thermal
100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Solar Photovoltaic
Solar Thermal
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The following table gives the investment required under each scenario and also gives the % increase in
investment required from the base case:
Table 8: Scenario wise investment required for grid connected solar power
Investment
Required (Rs. Cr.)
Investment Required
(US$ billion)
% increase in investment
required over base case
20,000
0%
40,000
86.2%
60,000
149%
Solar PV Manufacturing
To ensure 20,000 MW (10000 MW of solar PV, 10000 MW of solar thermal) of grid connected solar capacity
addition, ramping up local manufacturing capacity is required. The National Solar Mission also targets to create
a favourable environment for solar manufacturing and research for both PV and solar thermal. One of the
missions targets is for India to become a global leader across the solar manufacturing value chain. This is
necessary for the overall success of the National Mission as an evolving domestic industry would help decrease
costs and also provide timely maintenance for projects.
At present India is currently an exporter of solar modules, but the domestic solar industry is heavily dependent
on imports of raw materials and components including silicon ingots, wafers and cells. Cell production of both
crystalline and thin film solar PV have risen in the last year with corporations like Moser Baer Solar, TATA BP
Solar, Websol Energy, etc adding cell production capacity to their plants. To promote the nascent solar PV
industry, the central government launched the Special Incentive Package (SIPs) policy which provided capital
subsidies of 20% on capital expenditure for manufacturing units to be set up in Special Economic Zones (over
and above the incentives of SEZ) and capital subsidies of 25% on capital expenditure for Non- SEZ
manufacturing units. The scheme also provided other benefits including exemption from countervailing duties
for manufacturing units being set up in Non- SEZ areas.
To estimate the investment required for solar PV manufacturing- the PV addition has been equally divided
amongst crystalline and thin film technologies. Further 50% domestic content requirement has been taken for
thin film, and 100% for crystalline technology. Year wise incremental manufacturing capacity was computed by
finding the extra capacity required every year to meet at most the local demand with a production efficiency of
80%. Additional solar PV manufacturing capacity available for exports and other schemes is not considered as it
is difficult to estimate the extent of Indias export. The capital cost for base year has been taken as Rs. 18 crores
and then given a decreasing trend with the same % as the capital cost reduction in solar PV project cost.
As per the estimations, the cumulative capacity of solar PV manufacturing based on the above estimations at
the end of the 13th Five Year Plan comes out to be 2250 MW. This figure accounts only for capacity required to
meet the mission targets and excludes additional capacity required for exports and other domestic RPO
schemes. The capital outlay for the NSM base for 20,000 MW of solar (10,000 solar PV) requires Rs.27,698
crores or USD 5.54 billion.
Solar Thermal manufacturing is not considered as globally, existing glass manufacturers are modifying their
existing products to manufacture solar thermal grade reflectors and concentrators. In a typical solar thermal
power plant, the solar field (reflectors/ concentrators) contributes around 40% of the total project cost, whereas
power block equipment comprises of 17% capital cost. The power block is an existing technology, with a large
domestic base. The rest of the capital cost includes engineering and layout of the plant along with construction,
civil costs and land costs.
Table 9: Investment Required under NSM for Solar Power Capacity Addition
Scenario
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Target (MW)
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20,000
27,698
5.54
40,000
51,399
10.28
60,000
71,571
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Table 10: Investment Required under NSM for Solar Power Capacity Addition and Manufacturing
Scenario
PwC
Target (MW)
20,000
200036
40.01
40,000
372301
74.46
60,000
500651
100.13
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Capital Cost: Capital cost is perhaps the most important and the largest cost component associated
with solar projects, since operating costs for solar power plants is negligible. Any increase in capital cost
has a significant impact on the overall project IRR.
2. Commissioning time: Apart from capital costs, interest costs are the most significant portion of a
solar projects cost components. Any delay in commissioning, delays revenues and increases costs
associated with interest during construction (IDC), and commissioning charges, if any.
3. REC prices: The REC RPO regime provides project developers with an alternative revenue stream to
substitute for the discounted preferential tariffs available under the JNNSM. However, the REC prices
are market determined within a band of regulated prices. Depending upon the prevailing demandsupply situation, the prices of RECs can fluctuate wildly, and considering the infancy of the market, it is
impossible to predict price trends.
4. CUF: Capacity utilization factor (CUF) determines the amount of electricity that can be generated from
a given size of the system installed. A plants CUF can be affected by several factors like insolation,
deration etc.
5.
PwC
Interest Rates: While interest rates can affect the overall viability of any project, for solar project in
particular, there are several factors that can adversely affect interest rates, including the inherently high
risk perception harbored by lenders, as well as lack of investor confidence in new project developers,
who inadvertently receive a higher interest rate to hedge risks.
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In order to assess the impact of various risks on each of these key parameters, the following section presents, in
brief, the assumptions used by the simulation model.
Major risk
categories
Specific Risks
Affected Parameters
Policy and
Regulatory Risks
Interest rates
3
4
5
Infrastructural
Risks
Technological Risks
Financial Risks11
Indigenous Manufacturing-Supply
Crunch
Scale of Projects
Political Risk
Commissioning time
Evacuation Infrastructure
CUF
Technology selection
3
1
Currency Risk
Commissioning Risk
Interest rates
Exposure Limits
Commissioning time
CUF
Interest rates
While most stakeholders highlighted financial risks as being the most serious of their concerns, detailed
analysis of financial risks reveals that most of these are actually the results or the effects of possible or actual
realization of other categories of risks listed in the matrix. The financial risks listed in this matrix are the
generic project finance risk that are faced by all categories of infrastructure projects, modified to reflect
concerns of solar power plant developers in particular.
11
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PwC
Power Generation
Time period
Project Cost
Financial
Assumptions
CERC norms
Actual
Unit
Solar PV
Solar Thermal
MW
25
0%
0%
0.15%
0.15%
Auxiliary Consumption
0%
10%
0%
10%
19%
23%
19%
23%
0%
0%
3.5%
3.5%
Years
25
25
25
25
Construction period
Months
12
24
12
24
Start date
Date
1-April-12
1-April-12
Months
Rs Mn/MW
144.2
150
120
125.7
Land requirement
Sq. m/MW
20,000
30,000
20000
30000
314.25
314.25
314.25
314.2314.25
Debt
70%
70%
70%
70%
Equity
30%
30%
30%
30%
Upfront equity
25%
25%
years
10
10
Specific to
combination
Specific to
combination
Moratorium period
months
24
Specific to
combination
Specific to
combination
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Interest Rate
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13.25%
Financial
Assumptions
Tax and
depreciation
13.25%
CERC norms
19%
19%
15%
15%
% p.a
24%
24%
15%
15%
Income Tax
32.45%
32.45%
32.45%
32.45%
MAT Rate
20.01%
20.01%
20.01%
20.01%
7%
7%
5.28%
5.28%
1.3%
1.3%
5.28%
5.28%
Years
10
10
Salvage value
10.0%
10.0%
10%
10%
15%
15%
80%
80%
PwC
Operation &
Maintenance
Actual
% p.a
Working Capital
12.50%
12.50%
5%
5%
O&M Charges
Months
Months
Maintenance
% of O&M exp.
15%
15%
15%
15%
12.75%
12.75%
12%
12%
Rs. mn/MW
1.01
1.45
1.01
1.45
5.72%
5.72%
5.72%
5.72%
Tariff period 1
Years
25
25
10
12.00
Tariff period 2
Years
15
13
Rs/kWh
15.39
15.04
12.16
11.57
Rs/kWh
12.16
11.57
REC
Rs/kWh
12
12
Rs/kWh
2.65
2.65
2.65
2.65
Sale of Power
Page 63 of 125
SHAKTI Foundation
15.88%
Other assumptions
15.88%
CERC norms
Actual
Rs mn/km
1.1
1.1
Km
Per unit
Water requirement
Units/MW
Direct tax code: No tax holiday, No AD, no MAT credit, change in MAT calculations, carry forward of losses for infinite time
10
32.45%
20.01%
2%
In addition to these solar plant specific assumptions, we have also included assumptions regarding the various sources of finances available for solar projects.
These sources of finances have specific characteristics that can have a significant impact on project viability. The following table lists out the key features of
the various sources of financing considered for this simulation.
Table 13: Features of different types of debt
Interest rate
Repayment tenure
(years)
Commercial banks
12.5%
10
13.0%
12
Non-convertible debentures
11.0%
15
Multi-lateral agencies
9.0%
20
7.0%
9.0%
10
While its likely that the specific values assumed for the different features of each financing source may differ, the values given above are largely
representative of actual numbers.
PwC
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Solar PV
Project IRR
Equity IRR
Project IRR
Equity IRR
-15%
11.36%
14.53%
10.92%
13.75%
-10%
10.47%
12.70%
10.15%
12.32%
-5%
9.65%
11.12%
9.45%
11.08%
0%
8.89%
9.74%
8.77%
9.92%
5%
8.22%
8.59%
8.18%
8.94%
10%
7.61%
7.58%
7.64%
8.08%
15%
7.01%
6.63%
7.09%
7.23%
% IRR
Solar Thermal
Solar PV
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
Capital Cost Fluctuations
Equity IRR
Project IRR
10%
15%
10%
15%
Solar thermal
16.00%
14.00%
% IRR
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
Capital Cost Fluctuations
Equity IRR
Project IRR
PwC
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Solar PV
Solar Thermal
Delay in commissioning
Project IRR
Equity IRR
Project IRR
Equity IRR
30 days
8.73%
9.52%
8.64%
9.76%
60 days
8.58%
9.33%
8.48%
9.57%
90 days
8.40%
9.08%
8.32%
9.36%
Solar PV
Solar thermal
12%
8%
10%
6%
8%
% IRR
% IRR
10%
4%
2%
6%
4%
2%
0%
0%
30 days
Equity IRR
60 days
90 days
30 days
Equity IRR
Project IRR
60 days
90 days
Project IRR
Solar PV
Decrease in REC prices: Revenue by REC and APPC
Project IRR
Equity
IRR
Solar Thermal
Project IRR
Equity IRR
0%
12.02%
15.92%
12.06%
15.96%
-1%
11.99%
15.85%
12.04%
15.91%
-2%
11.96%
15.79%
12.01%
15.85%
-5%
11.87%
15.60%
11.93%
15.69%
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Solar PV
18.00%
16.00%
14.00%
%IRR
12.00%
10.00%
Project IRR
8.00%
Equity IRR
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
0%
-1%
-2%
Decrease in REC prices
-5%
Solar thermal
18.00%
16.00%
14.00%
%IRR
12.00%
10.00%
Project IRR
8.00%
Equity IRR
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
0%
-1%
-2%
Decrease in REC prices
-5%
Solar PV
Decrease in CUF
Solar Thermal
Project IRR
Equity IRR
Project IRR
Equity IRR
-1.50%
8.67%
9.36%
8.60%
9.64%
-1%
8.74%
9.48%
8.66%
9.73%
-0.50%
8.81%
9.60%
8.72%
9.83%
+0.50%
8.97%
9.89%
8.84%
10.03%
1%
9.05%
10.03%
8.90%
10.14%
+1.50%
9.14%
10.18%
8.97%
10.25%
PwC
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% IRR
SHAKTI Foundation
Solar PV
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-1.50%
-1%
-0.50%
0.50%
Change in CUF
Equity IRR
Project IRR
1%
1.50%
1%
1.50%
Solar thermal
12.00%
% IRR
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-1.50%
-1%
-0.50%
0.50%
Change in CUF
Equity IRR
Project IRR
Solar PV
Solar Thermal
Project IRR
Equity IRR
Project IRR
Equity IRR
-1.50%
9.13%
10.89%
9.05%
10.91%
-1%
9.06%
10.51%
8.95%
10.57%
-0.50%
8.97%
10.12%
8.86%
10.24%
0.50%
8.84%
9.43%
8.72%
9.66%
1%
8.77%
9.10%
8.63%
9.36%
1.50%
8.69%
8.75%
8.54%
9.05%
PwC
Page 68 of 125
% IRR
SHAKTI Foundation
Solar PV
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-1.50%
-1%
-0.50%
0.50%
Variation in interest rates
Equity IRR
1%
1.50%
Project IRR
Solar thermal
12.00%
% IRR
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-1.50%
-1%
-0.50%
0.50%
Variation in interest rates
Equity IRR
Project IRR
1%
1.50%
Finally the impact on the levelized cost of generation per unit has been calculated by running
sensitivities by varying CUF and interest rates (these parameters are affected by the risks as
mentioned in Table 6). Following table helps us determine as to how the cost of generation varies by
controlling various affected parameters due to the associated risks.
Table 19: Impact on cost of generation per unit due to CUF and interest rates
20.50%
4.171
20.50%
5.257
Sensitivity analysis for Cost of generation with varying interest rates(Solar PV)
11.00% 11.50% 12.00% 12.50% 13.00% 13.50% 14.00%
4.27
4.11
4.16
4.22
4.27
4.33
4.38
4.44
Sensitivity analysis for Cost of generation with varying interest rates(Solar CSP)
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4.69
11.00%
4.33
11.50%
4.45
12.00%
4.57
12.50%
4.69
13.00%
4.80
13.50%
4.92
SHAKTI Foundation
14.00%
5.04
75
PwC
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
7.50
7.77%
6.92%
6.16%
5.46%
4.82%
4.23% 3.67%
3.15%
8.00
8.83%
7.93%
7.13%
6.40%
5.74%
5.11% 4.53%
4.00%
8.50
9.87%
8.92%
8.07%
7.31%
6.61%
5.95% 5.37%
4.83%
9.00
10.88%
9.88%
9.00%
8.20%
7.47%
6.78% 6.17%
5.62%
9.50
11.86% 10.83%
9.90%
9.06%
8.31%
7.60% 6.95%
6.37%
10.00
9.91%
9.12%
8.41% 7.72%
7.11%
10.50
9.92%
9.18% 8.49%
7.83%
11.00
9.93% 9.22%
8.57%
11.50
9.27%
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Table 21: Sensitivity in IRRs for changes in capital costs & tariff for Solar Thermal
75
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80
85
90
95
100
105
110
7.50
9.64%
8.82%
8.09%
7.42%
6.78%
6.22%
5.70%
5.21%
8.00
10.52%
9.67%
8.91%
8.21%
7.56%
6.96%
6.43%
5.92%
8.50
11.38%
10.50%
9.70%
8.98%
8.32%
7.68%
7.12%
6.61%
9.00
12.24%
11.33% 10.49%
9.73%
9.05%
8.42%
7.80%
7.27%
9.50
13.05%
9.76%
9.11%
8.50%
7.92%
10.00
13.87%
9.78%
9.16%
8.58%
10.50
14.63%
9.80%
9.21%
11.00
15.40%
9.82%
11.50
16.13%
10.46%
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Out of these, we have not considered small NBFCs and regional cooperative banks as a potential
source of finance for solar power projects as power projects require large scale investment and they
may not have adequate appetite to finance large scale projects. Thus, to estimate the capacity of
Indian financial system for financing solar power projects, scheduled commercial banks and select
NBFCs such as RECL, PFC and IREDA have been considered for the projections.
Capacity of scheduled commercial banks to finance renewable energy projects
To estimate capacity of scheduled commercial banks to finance solar power projects, we have first
estimated credit availability from these banks for the whole economy by regressing credit availability
over factors such as GDP at nominal rate, cash-reserve ratio, SLR, repo rate, gross NPAs of Indian
banks, US M2 and inflation. The results of the regression analysis indicate that GDP and repo rate are
the most determining factors for estimating credit availability. Basis these results, credit availability
from scheduled commercial banks for the whole economy is estimated.
Table 22: Projections of Credit Availability for the Power Sector
Year (Rs.000
crores)
GDP at nominal
rate
GDP growth
rate (%)
Credit-GDP
ratio %
Credit
availability in
the economy
Credit for
power: credit
for economy
(%)
Credit available
for power
PwC
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
8,451
9,621
10,960
12,417
14,036
15,994
18,170
20,634
23,418
26,586
30,208
15.7
13.8
13.9
13.3
13.0
13.9
13.6
13.6
13.5
13.5
13.6
53.8
55.1
56.2
57.1
58.0
58.7
59.4
59.9
60.4
60.9
61.3
4,549
5,300
6,160
7,095
8,134
9,391
10,787
12,369
14,156
16,189
18,514
5.9
6.3
6.5
6.3
6.4
6.4
6.3
6.4
6.4
6.4
6.4
267
336
402
443
518
599
683
787
901
1,029
1,178
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After this, credit availability for power sector has been estimated using past figures, which is then
apportioned to renewable energy in the ratio of investment required for renewable vs. Power. This is
further apportioned to solar power on the basis of investment required.
For this, firstly nominal GDP has been projected for FY 12 to FY 16 using projections from IMF. GDP
for rest of the years till FY 2022 has been estimated using five year CAGR. Credit availability is
estimated using GDP as a factor. Repo rate is not considered for estimations as it is nearly impossible
to predict repo rate till FY2022.
Credit availability for the economy is apportioned to power sector assuming 3 year moving average of
credit to power: credit to economy ratio.
Credit availability for power sector is apportioned to the renewable energy in the proportion of
investment required in both the sectors. Projections for investment requirement for renewable sector
are described in the previous section. Investment for power sector is calculated using a GDP growth
rate multiplier of 0.7-0.8 of power sector growth. 12
Table 23: Projections of Credit Availability for Renewable Energy
Year (Rs.000
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
crores)
Growth in
power sector
19.58
17.30
17.41
17.72
17.38
18.60
investment
(%)
Investment in
power sector
468
549
644
758
890
1,055
at current
prices
Credit
availability
for RE
11.4
13.4
12.0
12.3
14.1
14.5
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
18.14
18.08
19.27
19.32
19.47
1,247
1,473
1,756
2,096
2,521
17.0
20.1
22.6
24.6
24.8
Growth in disbursements %
IREDA
PFC
RECL
Assumption
15%
10%
5%
Year
(Rs.crores)
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
IREDA
1,850
2,128
2,447
2,814
3,236
3,721
4,279
4,921
5,659
6,508
7,484
PFC
513
564
620
682
750
826
908
999
1,099
1,209
1,330
RECL
560
560
560
560
560
588
617
648
681
715
750
12
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Capacity of Indian financial system to finance solar power projects (Base case)
Using the lending capacity available for renewable energy from scheduled commercial banks and
select NBFCs, we have calculated lending capacity for solar power projects by apportioning it in the
proportion of credit required.
Table 25: Capacity of Indian financial system to finance solar power projects
Year (Rs. crores)
Total credit
available for RE
Credit available
for solar power
Credit required
for solar power
Credit (shortfall)
for solar power
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
14,283
16,615
15,672
16,333
18,688
19,660
22,838
26,699
30,066
33,036
34,334
2,908
4,507
3,499
5,111
7,976
9,580
13,040
17,184
20,594
23,561
24,727
2,829
4,131
3,006
4,581
7,218
8,670
12,329
16,810
20,930
24,712
26,355
79
375
493
530
759
909
712
374
(336)
(1,151)
(1,629)
Similarly, shortfall is calculated under Scenario 2: Double NSM and scenario 3: triple NSM are
mentioned below:
Table 26: Credit shortfall under different NSM scenarios
Years(Rs.Crores)
FY 12
FY 13
FY 14
FY 15
FY 16
FY 17
FY 18
FY 19
FY 20
FY 21
FY 22
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SHAKTI Foundation
5000
0
INR crores
-5000
-10000
-15000
-20000
-25000
-30000
Figure 32: Gap in financing for solar power from Indian financial system
It can be seen that under base case, credit shortfall is reaching significant amount from FY 2019
onwards. Further, the shortfall is emerging from FY 2015 onwards under Scenario 2: Double scenario
and from FY 2014 in Scenario 3: Triple scenario. This indicates there is an urgent need to explore
other innovative areas of financing to meet this shortfall and to position solar power as a priority
sector for lending from banks.
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Potential Sources
of Financing
Debt
Domestic
sources
Equity
External sources
Commercial banks
Sponsors
equity
Multilateral/bilateral
agencies
Export credit agencies
International banks
Private equity
(domestic or
international)
Capital market
(public equity)
Financial institutions,
pension funds,
charitable institutions,
foundations etc.
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Project finance: Debt can be raised by the Special purpose vehicle (SPV) created for the
identified solar project. This is essentially non-recourse debt, where financing is done solely on
the basis of cash flows of the project, with no recourse to the parent company i.e. developer.
Project developers prefer this mode of financing to safeguard their other businesses in the event of
failure of project. However, our stakeholder consultations with leading financial institutions
suggest that lenders consider solar power industry in a nascent stage and perceive solar power
projects as risky ventures. Hence, they are reluctant to provide project finance to solar power
developers.
2. Balance sheet based funding: The provisions of JNNSM allow the selected bidder (developer)
to directly invest in the solar power project, without the need of creating a separate SPV. Debt can
be raised by the developer on the strength of its balance sheet for financing the project. However,
in this case, if the project fails, the lenders will have recourse to the developers other assets and
hence is generally less preferred by developers.
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Term loans
Suitability
Domestic commercial banks can be tapped by the SPV (as project financing) as well
as by the developer (as balance sheet based funding). The developers ability to raise
debt from commercial banks would be dependent on the existing relationships and
credit appraisal of the project/company done by the banks.
Interest rate
Interest rate of ~ 12-13%. These rates are equal to base rate of the bank + spread.
Base rate is different for each bank and is reset periodically as per monetary policy
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Parameters
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Details
changes by RBI. The spread is dependent on credit rating/credit appraisal of the
borrower.
The changes in base rate will expose the borrower to interest rate fluctuations, but
currently no derivative instrument is available for hedging interest rate risk of loans
from domestic commercial banks.
Tenure of the loan Long-tenure loan of maturity 10 years with a moratorium of 2-3 years are usually
extended by domestic commercial banks
Lead time in
raising debt
Generally, banks take 3-4 months in doing credit appraisal and finalising loan
documents for solar power projects.
Special features
Administrative
expenses
Typically, banks charge 2-3% of the loan amount as commitment fees and other
administrative charges. Initial project appraisal costs and ongoing expenses incurred
by the banks to monitor the project performance are also included in administrative
expenses.
Example
State Bank of India and the Export-Import Bank of India has extended a 14-year
loan to a solar plant being built by Spains Grupo T- Solar Global SA and Astonfield
Renewable Resources in Rajasthan. It is said that this long tenure loan may be the
longest in the south Asian nation, where banks have been reluctant to offer loans for
more than 10 years to solar power projects.13
Remarks
Considering that domestic commercial banks can give long term rupee loan and
expedite the whole process quickly, they are one of the most sought after source of
raising money by developers.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-01/sbi-agrees-to-record-14-year-loan-for-t-solar-astonfield-plant.html
14
http://www.ifc.org/ifcext/spiwebsite1.nsf/f451ebbe34a9a8ca85256a550073ff10/90a9316abecfa844852577070062fca0?opend
ocument
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However, currently IREDA cant raise ECBs as it is not yet registered as an IFC with Reserve Bank of
India (RBI). It has submitted an application to be registered as an IFC with RBI in 2010. Once IREDA
gets status of an IFC, it will play a much greater role in extending low cost finance to the renewable
energy sector by exploring option of raising ECBs.
The detailed analysis of IFCs is mentioned below:
Table 28: Features of loans from IFCs
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Term loan
Suitability
Interest rate
Interest rate would range between 13%-14% (PFC), depending upon market
conditions. Further, RECL and PFC reduce interest rates by 0.5% after CoD.
IREDA (12.25%-13%)
Tenure of the loan IFCs provide long tenure loans to the developers
Lead time in
raising debt
IFCs generally take 6-8 months in extending loan due to their rigorous project
appraisal mechanism and several rounds of discussions within the organization.
Special features
Administrative
expenses
Typically, IFCs charge 2-3% of the loan amount as commitment fees and other
administrative charges.
Example
Power Finance Corporation has floated a special subsidiary PFC Green Energy to
provide loans to renewable energy projects.15
Remarks
Owing to the long gestation period of solar power projects, IFCs play an important
role in meeting financing requirements of solar power projects. This would
especially be true for IREDA as its primary objective is promoting renewable
energy.
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Suitability
Capital market can be tapped by SPVs as well as by project developers. However, SPV
may not have good credit rating to issue bonds at lower coupon rates as compared to
the parent developer.
Further, as per Clause 2.2.1 (b) of SEBI DIP Guidelines 2007, convertible bonds can
only be issued by company which is listed and has track record of distributable profits
for at least 3 out of immediately preceding 5 years as per. This implies that
convertible bonds can only be issued by the developer.
Only if the project is developed by an infrastructure company16 or if it is appraised by
a Public Finance Institution (PFI)/IDFC/IL&FS or a bank which was earlier a PFI, or
http://www.greenworldinvestor.com/2011/05/12/power-finance-corporation-green-energy-pfc-subsidiary-to-become-oneof-the-biggest-green-energy-financiers-in-india/
15
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Parameters
SHAKTI Foundation
Details
5% or greater of the project cost is financed by any of the above mentioned
institutions by way of loan or subscription to equity or a combination of both; then
convertible bonds can be issued without the qualifying criteria of past profitability
and can be issued by SPV.
Interest rate
Coupon rates and bond pricing would depend upon market conditions. Convertible
bonds are issued at comparatively lower coupon rates. However, interest rates are
largely dependent upon prevalent market conditions, credit worthiness and rating of
the borrower.
Tenure of the loan Bonds can be raised for longer tenure like 15 years.
Lead time in
raising debt
Lead time for bond issue is longer than debt syndication. Preparation of issue
material, credit rating, road shows, book building process, listing with a recognized
stock exchange etc. may take up to 6-7 months, as book building process is dependent
upon market sentiments. For a reputed company, lead time may be lower.
Special features
Bonds are better than commercial banks as they are generally issued at lower interest
rates and impose lesser covenants on issuers.
One of the main advantage of issuing bonds is they are issued at fixed coupon rates;
hence project is not exposed to interest rate risk.
Administrative
expenses
Floatation costs are incurred in the range of 0.5-1% of the issue amount.
Example
Typically, large companies with good creditworthiness find it viable to publicly issue
bonds. Currently given the scale of most of the solar power developers, this is not
considered as preferred source of financing by them.
Remarks
In future, public issue of bonds can play an important role in meeting financing
requirements of solar power projects. To enable that solar power projects need to
first demonstrate their creditworthiness to be able to tap such source of fund.
1.4. Other domestic institutional investors like insurance companies, pension funds, charitable
institutions etc.
Apart from the lending institutions, there are other institutions such as, insurance companies, pension
funds, charitable institutions, foundations, which invest in other companies via, term loans, bonds or
shares to earn required rate of return on their assets. These companies scrutinize investment
opportunities available in the market and take investment decisions keeping in mind their return
objective, risk tolerance and liquidity needs.
Since most of these institutions deal with public money, their utmost objective is principal protection.
Due to this, these institutions invest only in certain grade of instruments. If solar power projects can
meet their investment criteria, new avenues of raising finance can be tapped by project developers.
Table 30: Features of debt from other domestic institutional investors
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Term loans (LIC has given term loans to few power developers), private placement of
bonds (convertible and non-convertible).
Suitability
Infrastructure Company means, a company wholly engaged in the business of developing, maintaining and operating
infrastructure facility. Infrastructure Facility refers to the meaning of Section 10(23G) (c) of Income Tax Act, 1961.
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Details
investors can be tapped only by developers enjoying high credit rating. SPV will have
to take guarantee from a higher rated developer to avail the same rating.
Interest rate
Coupon rate and bond pricing would be contingent upon market conditions.
Convertible bonds are issued at comparatively lower coupon rates.
Bonds are issued at fixed coupon rates, while loans may be raised at floating rates
Tenure of the loan Long tenure term loans are available from these sources as they have long term
liabilities.
Bonds can also be raised for a longer tenure, such as 15 years. Certain blue chip
companies like TATA Steel has raised perpetual bonds with no fixed maturity.
However, solar power developers will take substantial time to reach that level of
creditworthiness to be able to issue a product like this.
Lead time in
raising debt
Lead time for private placement of bonds is 3-4 months, as book building process is
dependent upon market sentiments.
Raising term loans from these sources may entail lower lead time.
Special features
Coupon rates for private placements are slightly higher than that of public issue.
Bonds are issued at fixed coupon rates, avoiding interest rate risk.
Interest rate of loans can be linked to a base rate which is subject to change with
changing market conditions.
Administrative
expenses
Floatation costs are incurred in the range of 0.5-1% of the issue amount.
Example
Remarks
We believe once few solar projects are successfully commissioned, tapping this
source of debt may become viable for the solar power developers.
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Parameters
Details
Instruments
Soft loans, government guaranteed loans by World Bank and ADB (classified as
External commercial borrowings)
Suitability
The strict restrictions imposed by multi-lateral agencies make it difficult for an SPV
to raise funds from them. It is more appropriate for a developer to raise debt from
these sources using balance sheet financing.
Interest rate
Sovereign guarantee fee ranges between 1-2% and is applicable when govt.
agency is undertaking the project
Additional cost of ~6% for hedging interest rate risk and foreign exchange
risk
Current six month LIBOR is 0.59%
Tenure of the loan Multi-lateral agencies provide long tenure loans (20-30 years) with up to 5 years of
moratorium period. The tenure and moratorium will differ from one agency to
another and will depend upon the type of project.
Lead time in
raising debt
Special features
Administrative
expenses
Administrative expenses would be incurred by the developer while availing loan for
the first time as processes of the company would need to be aligned as per lenders
requirements. Subsequent borrowings wont have significant administrative
expenses.
Example
KfW has signed EUR 250 million loans for 125 MW Mahagenco solar PV plant in
Maharashtra.
Remarks
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based); Areva (France-based). Raising debt from ECAs of these countries can be explored if Indian
CSP developers decide to import equipments from these countries.
For solar PV projects, JNNSM doesnt allow import of high value items like solar cells and modules.
However, inverters (costing Rs. 90 lacs for each MW of solar PV generation 17) are usually imported
from China. Loan from China Development Bank can be explored in this regard. Further, JNNSM has
allowed import of PV modules made from thin film technologies or concentrator PV cells. Raising debt
from the corresponding ECAs can also be explored, if these PV modules are imported.
Table 32: Features of debt from export credit agencies
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Suitability
SPV may find it difficult to raise debt from this source. It will be more appropriate for
an established developer to raise loan from export credit agencies.
Interest rate
Considering current LIBOR of 0.59%, ECAs may charge nearly 6.5-7.5% as interest
rates (including hedging costs). This would however depend upon the international
relations between India and the country of ECA and creditworthiness of the borrower
and viability of the project.
Tenure of the loan Typically, ECAs provide loans for medium term- up to 7 years
Lead time in
raising debt
Lead time in raising debt will depend upon sourcing of equipments and negotiations
with the EXIM banks, which is longer than domestic debt raising
Special features
Financing from export credit agencies is dependent upon the country from where
equipment is imported, restricting this source for the developer.
Administrative
expenses
Example
Export Import Bank of United States has extended USD 16 million loan of 16.5 year
tenure to Azure Power to import thin film PV modules for construction of 5MW solar
project in Rajasthan. US EX-IM Bank has also provided financing to three other
projects in India, namely, Dalmia Solar Project in Rajasthan, the Punj Lloyd Solar
Project in Rajasthan and ACME Solar Technology Project in Gujarat. 18
Remarks
Considering the lower interest rates offered by ECAs, this financing should
definitely be explored to the extent of import of equipments.
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Suitability
Both SPV as well as developer can raise loan from international commercial banks.
But, SPV may find it difficult to raise ECBs due to low creditworthiness.
India Solar PV Advisor, A comprehensive guide for developers and investors. (Updated Sept 2011)
Export-Import Bank of the United States, Office of Communications. July 18, 2011 news release
EX-IM Bank Announces $16 Million Loan to Support First Solar Inc. Exports to Azure Power Project
in India
17
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Parameters
Details
Interest rate
Floating interest rate based on LIBOR + spread of nearly 2-3% (depending upon the
creditworthiness of the borrower)
Hedging costs to hedge interest rate risk and foreign exchange risk is nearly 6%
Special features
No need to take approval from RBI as automatic route is allowed for ECBs raised for
infrastructure development. Maximum borrowing allowed in a year by a company is
USD 750 million.
Administrative
expenses
Remarks
A large business group having good relationships with bankers/or having treasury
desks can explore this option.
Parameters
Details
Instruments
Suitability
Interest rate
Interest rate may be lower than that of domestic bond issue, and will depend upon
market conditions.
Tenure of the loan Bonds can be raised for a longer tenure like 15 years
Lead time in
raising debt
Lead time for international bonds is 3-4 months, as book building process is
dependent upon market sentiments. For a reputed company, lead time may be lower.
Special features
Preparation of issue material, road shows etc would be necessary to issue bonds.
Further, the developer also needs to conduct credit appraisal from an international
credit rating company before issuing bonds in international market.
Administrative
expenses
Floatation costs are incurred in the range of 0.5-1% of the issue amount.
Remarks
In the current scenario, it is difficult for a developer to raise funds from these
sources. Once the solar industry matures, it will be easier for an established
developer to tap this source.
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Conclusion
The above detailed analysis gives us following key insights:
1.
In the present scenario where high technology and contractual risks exist with solar power
plants, domestic commercial banks and specialised infrastructure financing companies will
continue to be the most sought after source of raising debt financing for solar power
developers. Their shorter lead time, low degree of complexity in documentation process and
other arrangements make it easier for developers to raise debt from these sources as
compared to other domestic sources like institutional investors and bond issue. Further, as of
now, solar power is not lucrative enough to entice institutional investors and capital markets
to lend to solar power projects.
2. Interest costs are dependent upon the creditworthiness of the borrower and associated project
risk. This may decrease in future once few projects are successfully commissioned and
demonstrate good track record of operational performance.
3. Till date, only few established developers have been able to tap external sources of finance for
solar power projects. Going forward, once the technological and contractual risk factors
diminish, it will become easier for the project developers to explore these sources of finance.
Along with the qualitative factors, attempt has been made to evaluate the best option of raising debt in
terms of its impact on project IRR and equity IRR. IRR for a solar power project (both PV and CSP)
after considering various sources of debt financing are:
Table 35: Sensitivity of sources of funds on IRR
Source
Multi-lateral agencies
Export credit agencies
External commercial borrowings
Non-convertible debentures
Commercial banks
Specialised infrastructure financing companies
Multi-lateral agencies top the list in terms of equity IRR owing to their long tenure loans,
which spread repayment over a longer period and hence result in increase in free cash flows to
the equity.
2. Export credit agencies provide highest project IRR due to their low interest rates, followed by
other commercial borrowings.
3. Borrowing from commercial banks and special IFCs lead to lowest project and equity IRR.
But, currently these are the most preferred source of raising debt as raising debt from other
sources have their own impediments.
4. Though IRR of raising debt from multi-lateral agencies and export credit agencies is high, it is
not feasible for small project developers to explore these avenues.
It is expected that going forward, solar power will gain momentum and financial institutions will gain
more confidence in solar power. Once that confidence is generated and risks are resolved by bringing
in policy and structural changes, solar power developers would be able to raise funds from capital
markets, financial institutions and other external sources.
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Steps by government
Certain steps undertaken by the government to promote financing of clean energy in India are as
follows:
1. National Clean Energy Fund
The Government of India has set up a National Clean Energy Fund to serve as a separate corpus for
funding green energy projects with the broader objective of cutting down Indias carbon footprint. The
collections for the fund come from clean energy cess of Rs 50 per ton imposed on production/import
of coal, lignite and peat. The corpus of this fund is expected to expand to over Rs 6,500 crore in 201112.19 It will be used for entrepreneurial ventures and research in the field of clean energy technologies.
Use of this fund for development of solar PV and CSP technology will further give boost to solar power
development in the country.
2. Sovereign guarantees to agencies
Typically, multilateral agencies provide debt at lower rates to the emerging economies. To safeguard
their money, they demand guarantee from government of the concerned country. The Government in
turn charges sovereign guarantee fee from the borrower, such as Government of India (GoI) charges 12% guarantee fee from the borrower. However, GoI gives guarantee only to the government
companies or PSUs and not to the private companies.
For example, IREDA avails such loans from multi-lateral agencies with sovereign guarantee and use
the proceeds for solar power development.
http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2011-04-07/news/29392656_1_national-water-mission-water-resourcesclean-energy
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2. Differential interest rates during the tenure of the loan depending upon prevalent project risk
Due to high risk perception of the project during pre-stabilization period, banks charge higher rate of
interest to safeguard themselves from construction and operation risks. Considering this feature,
project developers can negotiate terms with the lenders in such a way that spread charged by banks
reduce once the project risk decreases, i.e. post 1-2 years of CoD. In nutshell, banks can provide
discount to spread once the project achieves stabilization phase.
3. Securitization
Securitization is a process through which illiquid assets are transferred into a more liquid form of
assets and distributed to a broad range of investors through capital markets. Loans extended to solar
power developers can also be bundled together and sold in the form of securities in capital markets.
However, as per RBI regulations, lending institutions can undertake securitization only for risk
transfer and not for profit booking.
4. Partial credit guarantee from Asian Development Bank
Asian Development Bank has decided to extend up to USD 150 million in credit guarantees to help
India scale up its use of solar power under India Solar Generation Guarantee Facility. The
guarantees will be provided to commercial banks that finance private sector solar power plants (PV or
CSP) and will cover 50% of the bank loans against default risk by project developers. This scheme
aims to mobilize long-term funding for solar energy development in India.20
Steps by companies
1. Loan guarantees by parent companies
If a special purpose vehicle is formulated for setting up a solar power project, the SPV may find it
difficult to raise debt at competitive rates due to its high risk profile. However, if the SPV is backed by
a parent company with strong financial strength, parent companys good relationships with bankers
and better credit rating can be leveraged to raise loans at competitive interest rates. For this
arrangement, it is necessary that the parent company should have strong financial strength.
Based on our stakeholder interactions, it was observed that banks and financial institutions are willing
to lend to the developer as balance sheet financing, but are averse to project based lending. Taking
guarantee from parent company would resolve this issue.
20
http://www.adb.org/About/Private-Sector/India-Solar-Guarantee-Facility.asp
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It has been noticed that developers of CSP projects announced under Batch 1 of JNNSM have not
faced much problems in achieving financial closure of the projects. This could be due to the fact that
CSP projects were largely awarded to established players, which have good creditworthiness to raise
debt. Problems were witnessed by solar PV project developers in achieving financial closure. To avoid
this problem in future, financial criteria of minimum net worth and technical criteria of minimum
capacity (MW) under execution can be included in subsequent bidding processes under JNNSM to
select only creditworthy bidders.
2. Capital markets (Public equity)
Established players in power sector can raise equity from capital markets. However, tapping capital
markets is feasible only for those companies which have achieved significant scale and have profitable
operations. Probably, small solar power developers who have won projects under Batch-1 of JNNSM
will be able to raise funds from capital markets once they commission 2-3 power projects.
3. Private equity (PE)
Private equity plays an important role in providing equity to companies requiring capital to execute
their business plan from conceptualization to execution stage. From our stakeholder discussions, it
has been observed that private equity firms prefer to provide company-based funding rather than
project based funding for renewable projects. Typically, PE firms invest in those companies which
have pipeline of credible upcoming projects. PE firms invest in the projects before CoD is achieved at
discounted price and wait for CoD and project to stabilise. Once the project stabilises and returns are
generated as per the assumptions factored by the management and investment committee of PE firm,
PE firms sell their stake at premium. Some of the PE firms interested in solar energy space in India
are Olympus Capital, IFC- investment in Azure Power, Baring Private Equity and Blackstoneinvestment in Moser Baer Projects.
However, our stakeholder consultation with a major private equity firm indicated that PE firms are
less attractive towards solar projects due to capping of returns by CERC. Instead, they are more
focussing on value chain enablers such as equipment manufacturers, EPC firms etc. For example,
Moser Baer Photo Voltaic has received investment of USD 92.5 million from Japan's Nomura, CDC
Group, IDFC PE, Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse and IDFC in September 2008.21 It had also raised
USD 100 million in November 2007 from a round led by IDFC PE, with other investors including GIC
Special Investments, CDC and IDFC.22
Apart from direct investment in companies, some PE firms have created innovative business models
regarding investments in renewable energy. The leading example is Green Infra Limited, set up by
funds managed by IDFC PE. Green Infra works like an independent power producer and
develops/operates renewable power generation projects across wind, solar, biomass, waste-to-energy,
small hydro, and energy efficiency verticals.
Conclusion
Considering todays scenario of solar power projects, only sponsors equity and private equity can be
tapped depending upon the projects viability. Solar power is still in a nascent stage in India, thus it
will be difficult to generate enough interest in capital markets to raise equity for these projects. Upon
commissioning, if projects show consistent record in terms of planned generation and distribution
companies honour the PPA agreement, solar power will be able to build credibility in the market to be
able to raise funds from capital markets. Till then, it will have to rely on investors own equity or
private equity for meeting its growth targets.
21
22
http://www.vccircle.com/500/news/moser-baer-pv-gets-925m-from-investors-in-second-round
http://www.vccircle.com/500/content/moser-baer-photovoltaic-biz-gets-100m-from-idfc-pe-gic-cdc-group-and-idfc
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The developer can finance 100% of the equipment using lease financing, which is not possible
in case of bank financing.
Lease financing can also be made available for long term such as 20 years, whereas it is almost
impossible to get bank finance for such a long tenure
Currently, lease financing is not prevalent in India for solar power projects. In fact, in US, which is a
much developed marked for solar power projects, lease financing (operating) is more popular for solar
PV projects than CSP. The accounting system (IFRS and Direct Tax Code) and equipment leasing
industry need to be studied in detail to understand its implications in the Indian context.
Clean Renewable Energy Bonds (US based)
Another new avenue can be Clean Renewable Energy Bonds (CREBs) which is a new form of tax credit
bond in which interest on the bonds is paid in the form of tax credits by the United States government
in lieu of interest paid by the issuer.25 The tax credit derived from a CREB can be used to offset, on a
dollar for- dollar basis, a holders current-year tax liability. Bonds of similar structure can also be
launched in India for development of solar power projects.
International Funding Sources
Power sector particularly renewable has a good chance to see return of profitability in near future.
Many of the projects will start functioning and will probably move towards becoming higher yielding
assets. All this coupled with the attractive valuations at which the companies in the sector are
available, makes it a great time to for the infrastructure and other funds start investing in the sector.
We analysed some of the global infrastructure funds, who are willing to or will be interested in
investing in the Indian solar industry. Once some of the investments are given practical shape, solar
industry would be having series of such investments and the sector would become relatively better
option for such international sources of financing to invest and earn from the growing sector. The
details of same is enclosed in Annexure-III.
Solar PV
Small developers
Most of the developers of solar PV projects are small in terms of their financial strength. For these
small developers, raising loan from domestic commercial banks and specialised infrastructure
financing companies is much easier as compared to any other source. Out of these two, raising debt
from specialised infrastructure offers higher equity IRR. Assuming 50:50 ratios between domestic
commercial bank and specialised IFCs, project IRR is 8.76% and equity IRR is 9.42% 26.
Established developers
Established developers can issue domestic bonds or raise debt from external sources. Of these options,
raising debt from export credit agencies and ECBs provide the highest IRR.
An Explanation of Clean Renewable Energy Bonds, Authored By: Edwin Oswald and Michael Larsen
http://www.pionline.com/article/20110418/PRINTSUB/304189979/tiny-green-bonds-market-looking-ready-to-sprout
26 As per our model, assuming D/E ratio of 80:20, periodic payment of principal in equal installments
25
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In case, a developer is planning to set up imported thin-film or concentrator PV cells based solar PV
plant, it can raise debt from export credit agencies to finance the cost of imported equipment. In the
past, EXIM banks such as EXIM Bank of United States, China Development Bank and Korea have
provided export credit to Indian companies.
Assuming 30% debt from non-convertible debentures, 50% from export credit agencies and 20% from
ECBs, project IRR is 9.49% and equity IRR is 12.69%. IRR will increase if proportion of ECBs and
export credit agencies increases in total debt.
CSP
Established developers
Most of the CSP projects have been awarded to established developers who have proven track record
in power industry. For such companies, it is much easier to tap unconventional sources of financing,
such as ECBs, bonds etc. Most likely, this is the major reason why most of the CSP developers who
were awarded projects under Batch 1 of JNNSM-Phase 1, have achieved financial closure. The most
ideal source of financing for CSP developers are multi-lateral agencies and export credit agencies.
Raising debt from multi-lateral agencies enables maximum equity IRR of 15.35%, owing to long
repayment and moratorium period.
Raising debt from export credit agencies provide high project IRR of 9.76%, but average equity IRR of
12.89% (at D/E ratio of 70:30).It is not possible for CSP developers to finance 80% of capital by export
credit agencies, as JNNSM guidelines mandate them to use at least 30% of domestic content in all
plants/installations (excluding land). This implies that developers can use imported equipment to the
extent of 70% of the project cost.
Assuming 70:30 D/E ratio, and 80% debt financing by export credit agencies and 20% from ECBs,
equity IRR decreases to 12.78%.
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Regulatory Interventions
Policy Interventions
Other Interventions
Regulatory Interventions
Establish separate exposure limits for renewable energy or solar power. Some
financial institutions in India face a 5% cap on investments in the power sector. Renewable
are a part of this allocation; therefore, investment in solar is limited by lenders investments in
conventional power. In addition, lenders exposure is calculated over a four-year term (i.e., if a
renewable project is on the books in year one, it stays there till year four, even if it is divested
in year two). Discussions suggest that these guidelines could limit solar investment and could
be revisited with a specific focus on how a separate renewable energy allocation allowance
could be appropriately structured.
Support efforts to access foreign pools of capital. As efforts to scale solar continue, the
amount of domestic finance available for investment is reduced by regulations that limit
banks ability to guarantee infrastructure bonds and that set sector limits for renewable
energy. Discussions suggest that policy makers should consider the range of prospective
financing vehicles that could unlock international and institutional capital. These could
include solar bonds and the novel Credit Default Swap markets. Discussions suggest that a
greater degree of dialogue between financiers and regulators would help to identify how these
mechanisms could play a role in the sector and identify the specific regulatory changes that
would enable their effective deployment in the market (tax allowances for bonds etc).
Further, with increasing exposure to foreign funds, the Mission could also benefit from a
foreign exchange hedging facility instituted by the Government. The primary benefit of such a
facility would be to help mitigate foreign exchange exposure risk.
Support emergence of Indian REC market. In this regard, the Mission could benefit
from incorporating a mandatory penalty mechanism for RPO compliance. The penalty clause
could lead to the fostering of the Renewable Energy Certificates market in India as these could
be used to meet predetermined targets. In addition, to further strengthen the REC
mechanism, greater clarity on the trajectory of floor and ceiling prices for RECs should be
provided.
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commonly cited barrier to investment and allow borrowers to project a stable and secure
revenue stream. This would also reduce the cost of borrowing. With PPA risk mitigated, it is
also possible that a larger quantity of international capital could be made available for solar
and other renewable energy projects in India.
Policy Interventions
Make the case for pre-qualification for bidders. Bidding under Phase I of the NSM was
intentionally structured to allow applications from a wide variety of sources with the intention
of encouraging broad participation in the emergent sector. This was a laudable goal; however
it did lead in some instances to a negative perception of solar technologys viability as
inexperienced developers made uneconomical bids. This in turn has resulted in greater lender
concern about risk. To address this misperception, a more evolved pre-qualification process
could be applied to ensure that bidders are viable developers with a long-term interest in the
solar sector. This could be done by including adding specific criteria for lining up engineering
procurement and construction (EPC) contracts in advance of bidding and/or qualification
only on the basis of submitting an initial due diligence report on project performance. This
pre-qualification may not exclude first time solar developers but could possibly provide
weight to past experience in the power sector to ensure that applicants have the requisite
capabilities and a minimum level of commitment to the sector.
Rework tariff structure. Taking a cue from the Gujarat tariff policy, there is a strong case
for introducing a similar two-part tariff mechanism under the NSM as well. CERC could
consider releasing a two-part benchmark tariff wherein separate levelized tariffs could be
determined for the first 12 years and the remaining 13 years of the projects life respectively.
NVVN could then explore the possibility of inviting reverse bids in two parts, one for
discounts on the benchmark tariff for the first 12 years and the other for discounts on tariff for
the remaining 13 years. This could possibly help address the concern among developers that
tariffs under the NSM might prove to be inadequate during the initial years of operation of the
solar power plant.
Provide contractual flexibility to project developers. As per the current policy, project
developers may not sell power to any other entity or chose any other market model even in
case of default. Providing such flexibility to developers, in their contractual agreement (PPA),
could be considered as a hedge against future defaults from state distribution utilities.
Strengthen the bid bond to penalise non-compliance. Closely related to the issue of
pre-qualification is the issue of bid-bonds. Under the current solar bidding rules, developers
face penalties for failing to complete projects within the allotted time periods. This
mechanism should act as a form of pre-qualification by creating a disincentive for low bids.
However evidence from project financiers suggests that this is not creating a sufficient
disincentive and should be revisited to ensure it is effective in holding developers to account.
Another suggestion here could be to modify the bidding mechanism to penalise or completely
weed out the highest and the lowest bids, as is done in construction contracts. The penalty for
the lowest bidder could, for example, mean a 10 times higher bid bond as compared to the
others. While such a mechanism would discourage overly adventurous bids, it would also
encourage bidders to be bid competitively to stay in contention.
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Extend the time allowed for projects to achieve financial closure. The time
allocated under the NSM for achieving financial closure has been cited by some sector
participants as creating a challenge for the level of due diligence possible and impacting the
ability of developers and lenders to appropriately structure a financing agreement.
Recognising this MNRE announced in September 2011 an extended time period for financial
closure under batch II of the NSM phase 1 (from 180-210 days). This has been broadly
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welcomed by the financial community. However some stakeholders suggest that the benefits
for further extending the completion window (With suggestions ranging from 6-9 months),
would be significant and should be considered further
Other Interventions
Provide quarterly reports on progress. Financiers regularly cited the need for more
transparent, routine dissemination of solar plant performance and ground insolation data.
This would, it is suggested, enable superior market intelligence, thereby reducing investor and
lender risk perceptions. To facilitate this, a nodal agency designated by the Government,
should maintain a repository of non confidential, non proprietary financial and technical
information regarding various solar installations.
Consider allocating money from the coal cess. Funds accumulated within the coal cess
(a tax on domestic and imported coal at the rate of Rs. 50 a ton) provide a potential source of
funds to credit enhance the purchase scheme under NSM or state programs. Policy makers
could re-evaluate the disbursement of these funds (currently earmarked for the National
Clean Energy Fund) to destinations that would support the scale up of solar (e.g., through
tariffs or solar parks).
Build Capacity for effective data collection. We propose that first, a study must be
undertaken to establish the authenticity of data from various sources. The study should
determine the extent of discrepancies in data released by the Indian Meteorological
Department (IMD) and also highlight reasons behind the same. The government should then
designate a central agency to iron out errors in methods or procedures as established by the
study and invest in building necessary infrastructure for data collection through IMD. This
would, over time, build an extensive database and largely help address the concerns regarding
the reliability of solar irradiation data in India.
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Annexure-I: Assignment of
weightages to the identified
risks
Assigning weightages to the risks for plotting the risk matrix has been made on the basis of impact of
the impact of the risk and the probability of occurrence of the risk. For severity of impact, scores are
assigned on a 10 point scale, with the following rating:
1-2: Very Low Impact risks
3-4: Low Impact risks
5-6: Medium Impact risks
7-8: High Impact risks
9-10: Very High Impact risks
Similarly, for probability of impact, scores are assigned as percentages, with the following rating:
1-20%
: Very Low probability of occurrence
21%-40% : Low probability of occurrence
41%-60% : Medium probability of occurrence
61%-80% : High probability of occurrence
81%-100%: Very High probability of occurrence
From the obtained results, a risk evaluation graph has been plotted depicting the impact of risk Vs its
probability of occurrence. Evaluating the plot of graph the significance of risks could be determined
and respective actions could be taken to mitigate these risks.
The following two figures show the risk matrix and the risk evaluation plot.
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Risks
Impact
Probability of
occurrence
Low
High
Low
High
High
High
Medium
Very High
High
Medium
Political Risk
Medium
Low
Evacuation Infrastructure
High
High
Very High
Low
Scale of projects
Low
Medium
High
High
High
Medium
Currency Risk
High
Medium
Commissioning Risk
High
Medium
High
Very High
Very High
Very High
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Rating
Very High
High
Medium
Low
Very
Low
Score
8-10
6-8
4-6
2-4
1-2
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27
2%
8%
90%
Thermal Generation
Hydro Generation
Power Finance Corporation has established a Renewable Energy and Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
group to focus and accelerate the development of business in renewable energy generation projects such as
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wind, biomass, small hydro, solar etc. In order to provide incentives for this nascent sector in its portfolio,
Power Finance Corporation takes higher exposures in renewable energy generation projects and offers special
interest rates for such projects.
Power Finance Corporation exposure to the renewable energy sector is not new as it had been funding these
projects for the past 7 to 8 years. Although the major focus had been on wind, small hydro and biomass based
projects, lately they also started funding solar based projects based
Power Finance Corporation is planning to float a subsidiary, Power Finance Corporation Green Energy Ltd, to
finance the renewable energy projects in the country. Power Finance Corporation has already received a
Certificate of Incorporation from the Government of India for floating this subsidiary and it is expected to begin
operations soon. Last financial year, Power Finance Corporation had sanctioned around Rs 3,000 crore (USD
600 million) to various projects under the renewable energy segment and disbursed around Rs 1,800 crore
(USD 360 million) during the period.
Power Finance Corporation funded a number of projects under the Gujarat Solar Policy initiatives while under
the JNNSM; only one project of 2 MW under the migration scheme has been funded.
System of funding
Power Finance Corporation restricts its funding to a maximum of 50% of the project cost and its funds are
always made available only against the progress of the project. In terms of fund availability, Power Finance
Corporation asserts that it has sufficient funds to support any project that approaches them since; they dont
have any fixed allocation of funds for funding any particular segment of projects.
For funding any project Power Finance Corporation appoints Lending engineers, who look after the technical
aspects of the projects and the relative fund requirements. Although all the loans are disbursed on market rates
and no subsidies are provided, except for renewable energy projects, as detailed below.
RUPEE TERM LOANS (other than STL): (Effective from 27.07.2011 as per Policy Circular dated 27.07.2011)
3 Year & 10 year Reset Rates
State Sector
Borrowers
(Category 'A+' )
[AND] Identified
CPSUs [AND] AAA
rated Companies
State Sector
Borrowers
(Category 'A' )
[AND] Central
Sector Borrowers
(Other than
Identified CPSUs &
AAA rated) [AND]
Private Sector
Borrowers
(Generation
Projects with
Integrated Rating
of IR-1)
Private Sector
Borrowers : (a)
Generation
Projects with
Integrated Rating
of IR-2 (b) Entity
Grade : E I & E II
Private Sector
Borrowers : (a)
Generation
Projects with
Integrated Rating
of IR-3 (b) Entity
Grade : E III & E IV
(c) Discom : Grade
A
Private Sector
Borrowers : (a)
Generation
Projects with
Integrated Rating
of IR-4
Private Sector
Borrowers: (a)
Generation
Projects with
Integrated Rating
of IR-5 (b) Discoms:
Grade B. (c) Entity
Grade: E V (d) Nongraded.
12.5%
12.75%
13.25%
13.5%
13.75%
14.00%
Interest Rates for renewable energy projects (as per MNRE) are lower by 25 bps than the rates as applicable for
Generation loans for the respective category of borrower.
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Before disbursing the funds to the developers, Power Finance Corporation ensures full promoter
contribution equity has been arranged.
Power Finance Corporation focuses on funding projects with strong parent company backing and
support. At times applications are rejected due to:
Technological requirements
Manpower
Final Word
Power Finance Corporation proposes the time lines being provided under the National Solar Mission to achieve
financial closures is very less and should be increased , as the Power Finance Corporation being a government
organization has its own stature of working .It follows its own time in making clearings and disbursing funds
following some set procedure and rules. Hence to encourage participation of Power Finance Corporation in
funding projects under NSM timelines for financial closures shall be increased by the Ministry of New and
renewable Energy
According to the Power Finance Corporation, taking into account the time and administrative due diligence
required for each loan application, especially in the solar sector, which has relatively higher risks and capital
commitment requirements, a larger amount of time should be allocated for projects to achieve financial closure.
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Yes Bank
Overview
YES BANK has been actively funding infrastructure projects in India and has made infrastructure a key focus
area of its lending and advisory operations. The dedicated Infrastructure Banking Group at YES BANK offers
the complete range of financial products for infrastructure - from project conceptualization to financial closure.
The sector coverage includes Telecom, Energy (Power, Oil & Gas and Renewable Energy), Transport (Roads,
Ports and Shipping), Logistics, Manufacturing, Urban Infrastructure, and EPC.
Spectrum of YES BANK offerings in infrastructure include:
The infrastructure focus of YES BANK is also clear from its advances to, and high single- and group-borrower
limits for, the sector:
Advances to Infrastructure Sector equivalent to 20% of total bank-wide advances
High Borrower Limits: Single Borrower Limit of Rs. 10.50 Billion (USD 210 million)and Group
Borrower Limit of Rs. 26.00 Billion(USD 520 million)
As of now, Yes Bank has not funded any solar PV projects under the Phase I Batch I of the JNNSM, but
perceives an optimistic scenario for solar projects in India in the next few years. The Bank also expresses its
willingness to fund on-balance sheet solar projects, but is not as comfortable lending to stand alone projects.
All loan disbursements are made on market rates and the loan tenure varies between 12-14 years for solar PV
projects.
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Technological requirements
Till date, Yes Bank has never availed any grants for funding renewable energy projects but has nonetheless been
a key institution funding renewable energy based projects in India. The Bank has also not funded any off grid
projects as on date, as they express concerns regarding the commercial viability and sustainability of such
projects.
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Axis Bank
Axis Bank is currently involved in funding discussions with many project developers .Bank suggests solar to be
a non- viable option without considering the government subsidies. Reverse bidding undertaken to start up
with is not being considered as a viable option.
Tariff fixing and assurance on the power sale agreement. For the first phase, the single-buyer model is a
concern.
Inadequate evacuation facility and clearances on land and other statutory clearances.
Non-assurance of repayment from the utilities may result in repayment risk to the developers/financial
institutions.
Assurance of long-term policy with greater accuracy and uncertainties in the department of the solar
sector.
Availability of long-term guarantee and warranty from technology providers for new technology.
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Loan schemes initiated by your institution for financing Solar PV and Solar Thermal
projects
Srei provides Corporate loans for Solar industry, the current allocation to solar sector being in the range of Rs.
300 crores and the interest rate for the provided loan is in range of 10-11%, while the name of beneficiaries
could not be disclosed, Srei seems to be highly motivated to invest in solar sector. Although no fixed allocation
has been made for solar, all the loans are initiated on case to case basis.
They have also availed certain grant facility previously from different bi-lenders of Europe. Only important
term involved was the fund should be used for green/renewable projects strictly and Srei had been religiously
following this condition.
Government Support can improve the credit worthiness of your borrowers for Solar
Projects
Organization is of view that to boost up the investments in solar sector, government should come up with some
lucrative options in the financial sector involved in solar such as:
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PPA issues
L&T seeks the PPA to be a major roadblock in the financing of NSM seeking:
Gujarat
NVVN
Termination
Clause
Step in Rights
for Lenders
Yes
Yes
Payment
security
Mechanism
1 month revolving
LC
1 month revolving LC +
Rs. 486 Cr of budgetary
support
Grid Availability
Assurance
None
None
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In addition to other risks, seasonality and uncertainty of solar resource leading to variability of project cash
flow.
On the financial perspective ADB has following major concerns:
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Risk of return to the investors is a major issue of concern, as reverse bidding had brought down the
tariffs to much lower levels, the tariff will further decrease in the next phases, if such competition
perceives, but the returns for the equity investors had to be ensured by some way, in order to encourage
equity investors to enter the sector.
Another issue of concern being, solar technologies are at a nascent stage in India and there are
considerable risks in execution of the projects. Crystalline cells and modules are comparatively easier to
execute and less risky as manufacturers generally guarantee the products for 20+ years. However newer
technologies like thin-film and concentrated PV, may provide lower up-front costs, but are unproven
and therefore considered more risky.
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Baring Equity
Following are minutes of meeting we had with a Delhi based equity fund (Baring Equity). The minutes contain a
topic wise account of the conversation
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IREDA
IREDA is a Public Limited Government Company established in 1987, under the administrative control of
Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) to promote, develop and extend financial assistance for
renewable energy and energy efficiency/conservation projects.
IREDAs point on NSM funding:
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IREDA feels the reverse bidding procedure followed in the Phase I batch I, is a good initiative, but such
mechanism takes their own time to develop and mature in the newer markets like Solar in India.
Till date IREDA has not financed any solar project under the NSM scheme.
IREDA showed concerns regarding the quality aspects of materials being used to bring down costs, and
suggests a firm check should be made on the same. In fact they suggested consultants to be appointed
to view the quality of plants under construction.
Economic health of SEBs is another major concern for financial institutions going forward with solar
project financing.
IREDA also forwarded the concept of demonstration projects to be undertaken under NSM.
They feel strong policies can be a much greater push in advancing solar sector as on whole.
Viability of projects on exceptionally low tariffs is also under question.
IREDA also proposes timeframe for achieving the financial closure to be increased.
For pitching in the banks in financing tariff should be more realistic in nature
Government should focus on tapping the international funds at lower rates for the solar projects.
Standardization, publication of data will encourage financial institutions and bankers to start funding
the sector.
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Welspun Energy
The following are minutes of our meeting with Mr. Rajesh Peddu, General Manager Business Development,
Welspun Energy Limited. The minutes contain a topic wise account of the conversation we had.
Current Portfolio
Welspun Energy has a two Solar PV projects under implementation. One of them is a 15MW plant in Gujarat
and is likely to be commissioned by October, 2011. This plant is set up under the Gujarat State Policy on Solar
Energy. The second plant is a 5MW facility in Andhra Pradesh being developed as per policies set out by the
Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM).
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Role of Banks
The developers foresee an important role for the banks in financing the mission. However, at this stage, they do
not entirely fault them for not financing projects more aggressively. In their opinion, banks do not have enough
data or experience to fall back on as a means to verify claims made by project developers. Project developers
themselves find it difficult to substantiate their claims through verifiable data or proven track record. An
interesting suggestion put forth was that, the government could impose obligations on banks to
lend a specific fraction of their entire portfolio to renewable energy/solar power projects. The
mechanism could be similar in nature to the RPO mechanism embodied in JNNSM.
RECs
It is indeed imperative for banks to ensure payment security. The fixing of REC prices for a period of five years
instead of declaring prices for a given year, therefore, is welcomed by the project developers. This would
definitely give the banks a better idea about developers revenue stream. However, they pointed out that RECs
are generally traded only at the end of the year to meet the compliance requirements. Therefore, the cash flows
remain scant during the rest of the year and developers may still find it difficult to pay their quarterly or halfyearly instalments.
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Lanco Solar
Current Portfolio
The presence of Lanco group is widely spread across the country, major achievements of the group can be
stated with 3290 MW of Installed Capacity (Thermal, Hydro, PV), 8000 MW Power Plants under construction.
It is also the largest private sector power trading company with strong EPC capabilities with overall 7000
employees. Hence Lanco has potential to be a major developer for participation in the NSM.
Along with other major players, Lanco is also satisfied with the Phase I Batch II guidelines which increased the
size limits of the solar projects.
According to Lanco Solar the major challenges faced by solar power projects are:
Over all, they are also working very hard to trap this opportunity to become leaders in the country in coming
years. As far as grid parity is concerned they again showed high optimism and suggested the achievement of
grid parity even before 2020
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India has got huge potential for development of MW class Solar Thermal power projects.
Technologies are credible, reliable & simple.
Biggest deterrent is high initial cost due to the fact that all critical components of solar block are
imported government support is expected to overcome this scenario.
Certain level of installed capacity in order to achieve economies of scale, critical components being
imported can be localized 100%; hence unlike others organization favors the concept of indigenous
manufacturing in the solar industry.
Capital cost of Solar Thermal Power Project can be brought down by localization. Government support
by means of setting up of R& D centers is taken up in order to develop Solar Thermal technologies in
the country and making India as a leader in the area.
ACME has similar concerns in promoting National Solar mission as seen by other major developers
being difficulty in obtaining finances, need of government support.
Better policy levels level initiatives to be promoted at central government level, will pitch in more
developers who had been initially excluding themselves from participation in the NSM.
Better RPO mechanism should be brought in place which will further support the NSM.
Cheaper loans and government support is always invited to encourage the private sector participation.
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Organization proposed Single Window Clearance with the government acquiring land and providing
evacuation to the same and then transferring it to the developers
The evacuation network to be strengthened and guaranteed availability of transmission line to be
provided by the utilities.
Solar thermal power plants need detailed feasibility study and technology identification along with
proper solar radiation resource assessment. The current status of international technology and its
availability and financial and commercial feasibility in the context of India needs to be strengthened.
Resource assessment, technological appropriateness and economic feasibility are the basic requirement
of project evaluation.
Issues pertaining to raising of equity domestic / International sources are of major concern.
Issues pertaining to raising of debt domestic / International needs further discussions and
propositions.
Organization also proposes to increase the time frame for achieving financial closures.
Impact of foreign exchange variation on project economics / viability should be concerned at macro
levels.
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Abhijeet Group
Abhijeet Projects is the special purpose vehicle of Corporate Ispat and Alloys Ltd, which won the 50 MW project
through the bidding process under the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission.
Abhijeets is the first project to announce the finalisation of EPC contract among the seven winning bidders of
solar thermal projects under the Mission. Award of EPC cost of Rs 640 crore for a 50 MW CSP project to a
domestic company is a welcome development and affirms our belief that Indian engineering companies are
competitive and ready to absorb new technology cost of Rs 12.8 crore/MW, the project cost is likely to be
around Rs 13.5-14.0 crore depending upon the source of finance and financing cost.
Abhijeet Group won the project by bidding a tariff of Rs 12.24 per unit, the highest tariff amongst the seven
developers who won the thermal projects. They claim, at this price, it is unlikely that there will be any
significant margins for them
Organization is highly optimistic regarding the NSM, and plans to increase their portfolio in near future.
Solar Project financing is difficult because lenders perceive the solar energy industry as highly risky, policy
interventions shall be made to encourage the investment scenarios.
The main risk associated with this industry is lack of reliable solar irradiation data, which makes it difficult to
estimate the return on investment. For JNNSM projects, banks are particularly wary of the heavily discounted
tariffs resulting from the bidding process. Current tariffs are among the lowest in the world for solar, and banks
are concerned that project risks have been underestimated in order to win bids. Lenders are also wary of the
small margins that projects are looking to operate on, in order to be viable at low tariffs. In addition, the small
size (5 MW) of solar photovoltaic (PV) projects (in phase I, batch I) is resulting in high transaction costs for
large banks.
But on the whole, group seems to be satisfied with the advances in the National Solar Mission.
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Sunborne Energy
SunBorne Energy has tied up funds to the tune of Rs 140 crore from domestic banks for its 15 MW solar
photovoltaic plant in Gujarat.
State Bank of Patiala, the lead bank, with three other banks Export-Import Bank of India, Canara Bank and
State Bank of Travancore participated in the debt programme. The debt advisory was led by SBI Capital
Market Ltd.
Indian commercial banks are lending cautiously to projects in the solar sector because large-scale projects are
being commissioned for the first time in India but the company appreciates the support from Indian banks at
this stage and are very optimistic about their future plans .The company plans to commission the project before
the end of this year. The plant will provide 15 MW of photovoltaic power, producing enough electricity annually
to power more than 10,000 households.
The project is expected to be operational by December 2011 and falls under the solar programme of Gujarat that
provides a stable and favourable business environment for the development of renewable energy generation
facilities. India has just commenced on an ambitious solar power development programme and one of the key
success criteria for developers is to be able to attract equity from both Indian and global investors.
Sun Borne Energy has joined hands with Europe-based IPP Epoxies Energy for executing the 15 MW solar
photovoltaic (PV) projects being built in Gujarat. According to an official statement here, this is Eoxis' first
investment in India and demonstrates its strong commitment to the country. Eoxis has ambitious plans to
reach 300 MW of installed capacity in the next three years and intends to make several further investments in
wind and solar generation plants.
With rising coal prices, there is now a significant thrust on solar power. Company views Jawaharlal Nehru
National Solar Mission programme (NSM) as a huge opportunity for serious players in the market
The company has set a target of developing projects of over 1,000 MW in the next five-seven years, and
commissioning over 200 mw plants by 2014.
Apart from NSM, SunBorne is also looking at state-level solar power programmes as potential opportunities.
States such as Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Rajasthan have already initiated policies to meet
renewable energy purchase commitments.
Concerns for NSM:
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For developing Solar PV plant in India, NVVN suggest to rely on domestic content. How
does the domestic content issue impact the overall financial structure of the plant?
We believe that developers should be given the flexibility to execute the project in the most economic manner.
While we are in favour of developing a domestic eco-system for the solar industry, we also believe that in the
short run there should not be stringent norms on domestic content.
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Creditworthiness of PPAs.
Competition from the Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturers who had already achieved economies of
scale.
Strong Payment mechanism should be in place.
Arrangement of funds for the projects.
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Annexure-III: International
Funding Sources
India aims to emerge as one of the biggest player in the Asian Solar market along with China and Japan. With
the ambitious National and State programs on Solar, India is expected to have a considerable chunk of Solar
Power Generation capacity. One of the biggest hurdles that Solar faces in India is that of financing.
With higher interest rates and conservative roles being played by banks to finance the new investment model of
Solar Power Projects, is adding to the woes of the developers. One way to solve the funding problem is to go for
international financing, which are typically lending at lower rates. Such kind of funding makes the projects
financially feasible. Following is the list of some international funds which could be tapped for boosting
international funding for Indian solar industry:
ADIA
Country: Abu Dhabi
Established: 1976
Government of Abu Dhabi wholly owns a globally diversifies investment institution by the name of The Abu
Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA). ADIA has a diversified global investment portfolio, across more than twodozen asset classes and sub-categories, including quoted equities, fixed income, real estate, private equity,
alternatives and infrastructure. ADIA is governed by a well defined governance standard, processes and
systems. ADIAs management comprises of the Board of Directors including the Chairman and Managing
Director who, together with other Board members, are appointed by a decree of the Ruler of the Emirate.
According to the Law (5) of 1981 of the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, the board holds primary responsibility for the
implementation of ADIA's strategies, financial performance and the activities of management. Although no
involvement of the board is there in the investment and operational decisions, all such decisions comes under
the preview of the Managing Director. The investment programmes of ADIA are independent of the
Government of the Emirate of Abu Dhabi or other entities that also invest on the Governments behalf. ADIAs
Managing Director is vested under the law with responsibility for implementing ADIAs Policy and the
management of its affairs, including decisions related to investments, and Acts as its legal representative in
dealings with third parties.
In order to tap the attractive returns from the investments in the infrastructure sector for the long term
investors, ADIAs Infrastructure Group was created in 2007. Main aim of this Infrastructure Group is on assets
with strong market-leading positions and relatively stable cash flows, including utilities, such as water, gas and
electricity distribution and transmission companies, as well as transport infrastructure, such as toll roads,
ports, airports and freight railroads. The group aims to acquire minority equity stakes alongside proven
partners, with an emphasis on developed markets but an ability to look at emerging markets on an
opportunistic basis.
Investments in India
According to the latest news reports , the meeting between the Commerce and Industry Minister Anand
Sharma and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) Managing Director Sheikh Hamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
in New Delhi ,ADIA world's largest sovereign wealth funds plans to invest in the $90-billion ambitious Delhi
Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) and other infrastructure funds. Keeping in mind the worsening investment
climate in developed nations, both leaders agreed that the UAE and India should work towards a greater level of
engagement.
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Equities
Private Equity
Fixed Income
Infrastructure
Achieving an average annual real rate of return of 5 % over the long term is the investment goal of the Board of
Trustees. In order to achieve the target return, investments are yearly target returns are set, on the basis of
which the types and proportion of investments are decided. Over thirty years the Trustees have gradually
guided the Fund from a portfolio entirely in bonds to a portfolio that is diversified across asset types. Whenever
the new investment opportunities appear, they are evaluated by the trustees in order to decide whether or not
they fit into the Funds risk and return targets. To reduce the level and amounts of risks involved investments
across the sectors are made after due diligence with an aim to reduce the overall risks.
Investment in India
The fund had been investing highly in the sectors such as real estate sector, bonds, private equity and
infrastructure. It can be a good opportunity for both Indian Solar industry as well as the fund making
investments in the Indian industry. Government and industry both can play their roles encouraging the fund to
make investments in the sector.
Temasek Holdings
Country: Singapore
Established: 1974
Temasek Holdings owns a $193 billion diversified portfolio as on 31st March 2011. With its headquarters in
Singapore, it has 12 affiliates and offices in Asia and Latin America. In Temaseks portfolio there are a broad
category of industries where in the investments are made, including financial services, transportation, logistics
and industrials, telecommunications, media & technology, life sciences, consumer & real estate, energy &
resources.
Fund holds stakes in many large foreign companies including Standard Chartered, Bank of China, China
Construction Bank, ICICI Bank, Global Crossing, as well as many of Singapore's largest companies, such as
SingTel, DBS Bank, Singapore Airlines, PSA International, SMRT Corporation, Singapore Power, Neptune
Orient Lines and Mediacorp. Although 75% of Temasek's holdings are in Singapore, it has set a target of
eventually reducing this to only one-third. Another one-third will be in developed markets and the final third is
planned for investment in developing economies.
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Investment in India
With its plans to make investments in developing economies Temasak Holdings provides a good opportunity
for the Indian solar industry to approach the fund and encourage them making investments in the up growing
sector. With strong government support and policies attached, solar industry can be an encouraging sector for
the fund to make investments in India.
Kuwait Investment Authority
In order to manage the funds of the Kuwaiti Government in light of financial surpluses after the discovery of oil,
The Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA) was formed. It is Kuwait's sovereign wealth fund which specialises in
local and foreign investment. KIA manages the Kuwait General Reserve Fund, the Kuwait Future Generations
Fund, as well as any other assets committed by the Ministry of Finance.
As of fiscal year 2004/2005, the annual contribution to the Kuwait Future Generations Fund was valued at
896.24 million Kuwaiti dinars (USD$3.07 billion). The Minister of Finance heads the KIA's board of directors ;
in its board the other major members include the Energy Minister, Governor of the Central Bank of Kuwait,
Undersecretary of the Ministry of Finance, and 5 other nationals who are experts in the field, 3 of which should
not hold any other public office.
KIA is estimated to hold in excess of $200 billion of assets, and is reportedly one of the largest Sovereign
Wealth Funds in the World. KIA invests in the Local, Arab and International Markets with its main office
located in Kuwait City and a branch office in London, UK.
Investment in India
With its huge investment capital and interests to invest in global energy sector, the fund could be tapped by
Indian solar industry for funding the various aspects of the sector.
Terra Nex Group
As an International Wealth Management Company Terra Nex Group based out in Switzerland is involved in
consulting governments, institutions and ultra high net individuals in the field of private equity investments,
value creation, wealth structuring, project development and asset management.
In collaboration with the Middle East Best Select Fund (MEBS), Terra Nex, recently announced its plans to
invest US$2bn to develop a solar energy value chain project in the sultanate of Oman, which includes a solar
panel factory, a factory to produce aluminium frames for panels, an educational institution for the renewable
energy sector and a series of solar power stations to generate a total of 400MW electricity annually.
Terra Nex Group also acts as project and business developer in the Middle East and in Europe maintaining
partnerships to Institutional Investors in Europe and to Industries in various sectors. Terra Nex provides
Project Management services to European Institutional Investors by developing renewable energy projects in
the Middle East for direct investments.
Investment in India
With its plans to invest in renewable energy sector particularly solar, the upcoming Indian solar industry could
serve as a major booster providing opportunities for Terra Nex Group for investing in solar sector. Indias most
ambitious plans to achieve 20000 MW solar by 2020 could be another opportunity for the fund. Both Industry
as well as government can play their roles tapping investments from the group to Indian solar sector.
Berkley Energy
Berkeley Energy specializing in renewable energy infrastructure investments is having offices based out in
London and Delhi and a presence in Manila. It is authorised and regulated by The United Kingdom Financial
Services Authority authorises and regulates the Berkley Energy fund. Berkeley Energy is the trading name of
Berkeley Partners LLP, an English limited liability partnership.
Berkeley Energy was founded in 2007 to tap the private equity investment opportunities and yield higher
returns from the attractive yet relatively untapped opportunities for renewable energy infrastructure in
developing markets, with an initial focus on Asia. Berkeley Energy seeks to make equity investments into
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development stage renewable energy projects and project developers, mature and consolidate these
investments into operating portfolios and generate superior returns through successful exits.
According to Berkeley Energy, the Renewable Energy Asia Fund (REAF) invests into post-permitted projects
and project developers with a technology focus is wind, small hydro, biomass, solar, geothermal and landfill gas
and a primary geography focus of India and additional target markets including Philippines, Sri Lanka,
Thailand and Vietnam.
Investment in India
According to the news reports, in an announcement, OPIC has approved $62 million in financing to this fund,
which targets renewable energy projects and project developers in Asia, primarily India and the Philippines.
The fund focuses on mature renewable technologies, such as wind and small hydro, to help close the sizeable
electricity demand-supply gap in its target markets. Currently the fund has $125 million under management,
which would increase to $187 million with the OPIC financing.
Olympus Capital
Established in 1997, Olympus Capital Holdings Asia is a leading independent middle market private equity
firm. Since inception, Olympus Capital has invested approximately $1.5 billion in a varied portfolio comprising
of nearly 35 portfolio companies throughout Asia, including China, India, Japan and South Korea.
Areas of investment for the Olympus Capital include the sectors such as agribusiness and resources, clean
energy and environmental services, and financial and business services.
With the experienced team of investment professionals Olympus Capital has its offices located in Hong Kong,
New Delhi, New York, Seoul, Shanghai and Tokyo. This extensive regional infrastructure gives the firm a
decided advantage in identifying, structuring, monitoring and adding value to its investments. Olympus
Capital's global investor base comprises of the leading pension funds, financial institutions, endowments and
family offices from North America, Asia, Europe and the Middle East.
Good Energies
Founded in 2001, Good Energies Capital is one of the private equity fund focused on investments in the Energy
Industry. Good Energies is a leading global investor in renewable energy and energy efficiency industries. The
firm invests in solar, turbine-based renewable, green building technologies and other emerging areas within
clean energy with its mission to accelerate the global transition to a low-carbon economy, Good Energies
manages the renewable energy portfolio of Netherlands-based COFRA Holding, a family owned and managed
group of companies. The firm operates globally from offices in London, New York, Toronto, Washington, D.C.,
and Zug, Switzerland.
Major areas of investments for Good Energies are:
Wind Power
PV Solar
Transmission Development
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The Good Energies fund size is estimated to be 4 billion pounds. It invests about 350 million pounds per year.
Good Energies and its portfolio companies have shown outstanding growth in recent years, and this trend looks
set to continue as the world transitions to cleaner and more efficient energy sources. As one of the earliest and
most active movers in the renewable energy space, Good Energies offers a proven track record, strong in-house
technology and financial expertise, and a broad network in the industry.
Investment in India
With Good Energies' expansion into the green building technology, developing world, and game-changing
technology clusters, Good Energies is now a global industry leader with a team of more than 30 employees,
bringing outstanding financial and industry expertise.
As a vertically integrated renewable energy company, Good Energies offers both technical and financing
expertise, and seeks to apply these skills to assist developers as a long-term partner and owner of renewable
energy generation assets. The expansion plans of Good Energies in developing renewable energy sector seems
in line with the NSM, which could offer certain opportunities for the fund for making investments in Indian
solar sector and develop the renewable energy sector.
First Reserve Corporation
First Reserve Corporation has been a front runner amongst the global energy-focused private equity firms and
infrastructure investment firms. Firm has raised nearly $23.1billion since its inception since January 1983. The
firm has developed a global platform by investing in the energy industry, having invested more than $18 billion
in equity since inception. First Reserve has invested in over 100 platform acquisitions and First Reserve
portfolio companies have completed more than 300 add-on transactions since inception.
Main areas of investment for the firm includes sectors as oilfield services, equipment and manufacturing,
energy infrastructure and reserves, renewable and alternative energy, and energy-related insurance and
financial products. First Reserve's investor base is primarily made up of corporations, endowments,
foundations, governments, and public retirement funds. Over the years First Reserve has invested more than
$12.5 billion. Reserves investor base is predominately institutional and consists primarily of corporate and
public retirement funds, sovereign wealth funds, endowments and foundations.
Investment in India
Firm has focus on making investments in energy sector, can serve as an opportunity for Indian solar industry if
investments in certain related areas could be made by the firm.
Macquarie SBI Infrastructure Fund
Macquarie SBI Infrastructure Fund (MSIF) is a $1.2-billion fund and MSIT is a joint venture of State Bank of
India (SBI), Macquarie, the Australian financial conglomerate, and the International Finance Corporation, the
private sector lending arm of the World Bank, for investments in infrastructure projects in India.
MSIF is an unlisted fund with approximately US $910 million of committed capital. MSIF is an unlisted private
equity style infrastructure fund and provides its investors (located outside India) with access to the growing
number of investment opportunities available to the private sector in Indias infrastructure and infrastructurelike assets. The manager of MSIF is Macquarie SBI Infrastructure Management Pvt. Limited. IFC, a member of
the World Bank Group, is a minority shareholder in MSIMPL. MSIF has now invested over half its capital in
businesses across power generation, telecom tower infrastructure and airports creating an investment portfolio
that is well diversified by sector.
MSIF has made several major investments. There was the recent $310-million deal in Viom Networks, $125
million in Moser Baers power project, $30 million in Adhunik Power and a proposed investment of $200
million in GMR Airports Holding Pvt Ltd. The fund has raised $1 billion and is set to close after raising another
$200 million by this month.
Global Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Fund (GEEREF)
European Commission proposed to form The Global Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Fund (GEEREF)
in 2006 by the European Commission. The fund is administered by the European Investment Bank (EIB)
through a fund management team from the European Investment Fund (EIF).
PwC
SHAKTI Foundation
It is a Public-Private Partnership (PPP) fund. GEEREF invests in private equity funds (sub-funds) that
specialise in providing equity finance to small and medium-sized project developers and enterprises (SMEs).
Energy efficiency and renewable energy projects will be implemented in developing countries and economies in
transition.
Investments by the fund till date are nearly EUR 47.8 million (USD 64.08 million) which has been approved as
of January 2012.
GEEREFs beneficiaries are small and medium size renewable energy and energy efficiency projects and
enterprises in developing countries and economies in transition. These projects and enterprises often suffer
from lack of capital financing despite potentially attractive returns of the sector.
Investments by the fund would be majorly providing risk capital to different types of sub-funds. This will
amount to 10%-20% of the total fund size depending on the actual needs for capacity building which is likely to
be larger in less developed economies.
Basically, the investments would comprise of:
Small hydro and biomass with on-shore wind also offering significant potential.
Photovoltaics only for middle and high-income contexts because too costly.
GEEREF will provide technical assistance under the EU Commission mandate. The financial support from the
support facility will be channelled to the regional funds or to promoters of the regional funds. The support can
be in the form of grants, bridge financing or seed capital and can be provided both during the pre-operational
phase of a regional fund and during the operational phase.
GEEREF will only invest in equity and quasi-equity in the eligible regional funds. This investment is structured
as a typical fund of fund private equity funding but it also takes under consideration strict social and
environmental aspects.
PwC
SHAKTI Foundation
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