The State of Kenyas Economy

ollowing a year of strong economic growth, Kenya has found itself dealing with a number of

infrastructure and the investment climateKenya could

1.1. Recent Economic Developments

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1.2. Monetary Policy

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1.3. Fiscal Performance

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e second scenario (baseline) assumes that

a high case scenario, where GDP growth

n a low case scenario, it is assumed that

growth to 3.7 percent (average of last decade).

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10

Kenya Economic Update

Growth (%)
Past performance

2011 and 2012

Scenarios

3.7

Average growth for the last decade (2000-2009)

4.2

Low growth scenario for 2011

4.8

Baseline growth forecast for 2011

5.0

Baseline growth forecast for 2012

5.5

High growth scenario for 2011/12

6.0+

Required to reach US$ 1000 income per capita and become

a middle income country by 2019

Source: World Bank, KEU team

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11

GDP

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

7.0

1.6

2.6
5.6
4.8
5.0

(base case) (base case)

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12

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13

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3.2 New Products

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15

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16