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NexantThinking
Special Report: Evolving Propylene Sources Solution to Supply Shortages?
Report Overview
Subjects addressed:
An assessment of the main alternative on-purpose
technologies comprising a review of the technologies,
licensors, and commercial experience

Technology, economic and commercial evaluation.

Economics of alternate routes and feedstocks to


propylene along with a comparison to conventional
routes.

Discussion on the current North American propylene


shortage focusing on causation and consequences.

Global propylene supply/demand outlook.

U.S. propylene supply tightened considerably in 2010 and


2011 due to the increase in ethane cracking and decrease
in heavy liquids steam cracking, while propylene demand
increased as the economy continued to recover from the
effects of the 2008/2009 recession. Consequently, the
propylene to ethylene price ratio increased to above 1.5
in 2011, indicating skyrocketing propylene prices. This
supply/demand imbalance and its effects on price will
only be exacerbated with continued exploitation of shale
gas deposits and the resulting increased use of lighter
feedstocks in crackers. While the shale gas reserves do
not directly affect Europe, LPG cracking in Europe makes
propylene shortages a real possibility there.
To address issues of propylene availability, Nexant has
prepared a new multi-client report which examines and
compares the process technologies and economics of
conventional as well as newer on-purpose commercial
technologies, such as propylene via biomass.
Additionally, the report includes an exploration of the
causes and effects o
 f the current propylene shortage in
North America and ways in which these new sources of
propylene may supplant conventional sources.

The report investigated and evaluated the following


technologies:

--

Conventional steam cracking

--

Off gases from Fluid Catalytic Cracking units in


refineries

--

Catalytic Cracking: Selective Olefin Cracking,


Catalytic Pyrolysis, Deep Catalytic Cracking

--

Enhanced (High Severity) FCC

On Purpose Technologies:
--

Propane Dehydrogenation

--

Metathesis

--

Selective Olefin Cracking

--

Methanol to Olefins/Methanol to Propylene

Bio-Propylene:
--

Corn or Sugar Fermentation (Ethanol Based)

--

Biomass Gasification

--

Switchgrass based

The evaluation of the above technologies included existing


technology developers as well as those new to specific
technologies. Alternate feedstock technologies using natural
gas, coal, corn, sugar, switchgrass and biomass were analyzed
using only information that is in the public domain or was
developed by Nexant from non-confidential information.
Nexant also provided an analysis on the current propylene
situation in North America, including an in-depth discussion
of the various factors that have led to the current propylene
shortage and possible solutions based on alternative supply
sources.
For further information or to purchase the Evolving Propylene
Sources - Solution to Supply Shortages? report, please
contact STMC@nexant.com.

NexantThinking Programs provide subscribers and users with comprehensive analytics,


forecasts and insights for the energy, chemicals, polymers and clean tech industries
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