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Culture Documents
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Bond Market: Overview
1. Bond issuances in the region have grown.
Since 1997, the total outstanding amount of local
currency bonds outstanding in ASEAN+3 (ex-
Japan) has increased steadily from US$150 bn to
over US$3.9 trn by end of June 2009.
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Size of outstanding local currency bonds (in $ billions)
This indicator shows the absolute amount of local currency (LCY) bonds of P.R. China, Hong Kong, China, Indonesia, Japan, Korea,
Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand outstanding in USD, categorized as government, corporates, and financial
institutions. Government bonds include obligations of the central government, local governments, and the central bank. Corporates
comprise both public and private companies including international organizations. Financial institutions comprise both private and
public sector banks and other financial institutions. Bonds are defined as long-term bonds and notes, treasury bills, commercial
paper, and other short-term notes.
Source: AsianBondsOnline (http://asianbondsonline.adb.org)
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Size of outstanding ASEAN+3 local currency bonds (in $ billions) (1/3)
China Hong Kong, China
Indonesia Japan
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Size of outstanding ASEAN+3 local currency bonds (in $ billions) (2/3)
Republic of Korea Malaysia
Philippines Singapore
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Size of outstanding ASEAN+3 local currency bonds (in $ billions) (3/3)
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Bonds Outstanding in Major Markets
2008 1996
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Corporate Bonds Outstanding
Financial
All Issuers Governments Institutions Corporates
LCY Bonds
Outstanding % of World % of World % of World
(USD Trln) Total % of World Total Total Total
Emerging East Asia excl. PRC 1.48 2.5% 2.4% 1.7% 5.5%
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Growth of Emerging East Asia Bonds Outstanding
Growth of Emerging East Asian LCY Growth of Emerging East Asian LCY
Government Bond Markets in 1H09 (y-o-y %) Corporate Bond Markets in 1H09 (y-o-y %)
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Asian Bond Market Overview
Bonds as % of GDP
(in %) 1H08 1H09
Note: GDP data are from CEIC. 2007 annual GDP was used for the calculation of bonds outstanding as percentage of GDP for
1H08. 2008 annual GDP was used for 1H09.
Source:
People’s Republic of China (Chinabond); Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong Monetary Authority); Indonesia (Indonesia Stock Exchange and Bank Indonesia); Republic of
Korea (Bank of Korea and KoreaBondWeb); Malaysia (Bank Negara Malaysia); Philippines (Bureau of the Treasury and Bloomberg LP); Singapore (Monetary Authority
of Singapore and Bloomberg LP); Thailand (Bank of Thailand); and Viet Nam (Bloomberg LP).
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What is the ABMI?
ABMI’s aims
– To develop efficient and liquid bond markets in the region
– To foster a high degree of financial independence in Asia
Endorsement by ASEAN+3
– ABMI was endorsed by the ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers
Meeting in August 2003 in Manila, Philippines
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Brief Background of the
Asian Financial Crisis
Causes:
– Lack of well developed bond
market or “weak fundamentals”
– Over-dependence on bank
borrowing
– Double mismatch (maturity/
currency)
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ABMI Objectives
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ABMI Milestones Update
Total outstanding bonds issued in Asian currencies
amounted to $3.9 trillion. That’s 300% growth since
ABMI was launched in 2003.
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ABMI Milestones Update
Highlights of more favourable policy environment (2/3):
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ABMI: Focus
Two main areas being addressed by ABMI:
1. Facilitate access to market via wider variety of bond issuers
and investors in Asia
2. Enhance market infrastructure for bond markets
Market Infrastructure:
•Guarantee Mechanism •Information Dissemination • Legal and Regulatory
•New Bond Products in Asia •Clearing & Settlement Framework
•Credit Rating Systems •Policy Dialogues among members
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ABMI Framework & Role of Task Forces
ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers Meet annually
Task Forces
TF 1 TF 2 TF 3 TF 4 TACT
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Key Issues - Regional Bond
Markets
Challenges for bond markets in the region going forward
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI – TF1 (3)
TF 1 – Promoting Issuance of Local Currency Denominated Bonds
(Credit Guarantee and Investment Mechanisms)
4. ASEAN+3 Deputy Finance Ministers meeting in
Nov 2007 chose the fund scheme with ADB
trustee.
Detailed proposal is now being prepared by ADB
and its consultants
– ASEAN+3 and ADB prepare for the launch of the
fund by 2010
– Agenda: business model, amount to be invested,
term, governance
– Proposal: operational and investment policy, product mix,
financial analysis, capital structure and draft implementation plan
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI – TF2
TF 2 – Facilitating the Demand of Local Currency Denominated Bonds
1. Conference “Investing in Asian Bonds Conference 2007” in
Tokyo (Nov 2007)
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI – TF4 (2)
TF 4 –Improving Related Infrastructure for the Bond Market
(Infrastructure for Securities Settlement)
3. ADB organized the “Asia Bond Clearing and Settlement
Conference 2007” in April 2007 in Singapore.
a. 20 speakers and 150 participants from 16 countries of the region,
Europe and US
b. Discussed:
• The future direction for bond clearing and settlement in the region
• Setting up a group of experts to move this initiative further
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI – TF4 (5)
Task Force 4 –Improving Related Infrastructure for the Bond Market
(Fostering Credit Culture)
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ADB’s Role and Contribution
to ABMI – Capacity Building
Joint ADB – JICA* Training Program on Bond Market Development
Held in Tokyo, Japan on 5-15 November 2007 and
24 November - 13 December 2008.
Attended by 14 ASEAN officials from the regions’ central bank,
securities and exchange commission and ministry of finance.
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to ABMI
Information Dissemination (1)
Asian Bonds Online Website
(http://asianbondsonline.adb.org)
• Launched on May 15, 2004, one-stop information site to
disseminate information on ASEAN+3 bond markets
• Completed studies of working groups can be
downloaded here
• Registered close to 100,000 visitor sessions for
the month of May 2009.
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to ABMI
Information Dissemination (2)
Asian Bond Monitor
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI Bond Issue (1)
US$10 Billion Equivalent Asian Currency Note
Programme
3. Status:
Singapore, Hong Kong and Malaysia: approved
Thailand, Philippines and Korea: in the pipeline, under discussion
with the governments
Other countries: targeting PR. China next
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI Bond Issue (2)
US$10 Billion Equivalent Asian Currency Note
Programme
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ADB’s Role and Contribution to
ABMI Bond Issue (3)
Local Currency Bond Issuance by ADB (as of April 2009)
Country Coupon Amount Issue Tenor Country Coupon Amount Issue Tenor
% Date (Yrs) % Date (Yrs)
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ADB Future Work Plan over
the Medium Term (2)
Improve the quality, comparability, and consistency of
local currency bond market data provided on Asian Bonds
Online.
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Prospects of the Regional Bond
Market over the Medium-term
– Economies in the region more resilient and are
expected to grow
– ASEAN+ 3 countries continue to deepen reforms
to support the development of the domestic bond
markets with the support of ADB
– Market infrastructure such credit guarantee for
local currency bonds and regional settlement and
clearance system would be in place
– Local bond markets are gradually maturing
– Credit ratings have significantly improved
– Investor base is becoming broader
– Attractive risk-reward tradeoff
– Asian debt is maturing as an asset class
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Thank You
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