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(CNN)Donald Trump's loss to Ted Cruz in Iowa gave rise to a narrative that his
support was rhetorical only, and that he would fail to translate his enormous
media profile into votes. But his 19 point victory in New Hampshire belied this,
and reinforced Trump's claim to be the favourite for the Republican nomination.
Trump's success is real, but it is far too early to call -- he has accumulated fewer
than 20 of the 1,237 delegates he needs for the nomination.
But his victories do say something important about the mood of the U.S.
electorate. The two candidates who entered the field as establishment favorites
-- Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton -- have both struggled, though Bush, facing
many more opponents, has had the worst of it.
The fact that neither Bush nor Clinton has drifted easily towards the nomination
signals that democracy is alive and well in the U.S. -- but if the election has
demonstrated anything thus far, it is the limits of establishment power.
But Trump's adeptness at channeling voter dissatisfaction does not exempt him
from the need to demonstrate how he would address their concerns. And thus
far, he simply hasn't given voters sufficient information to make an informed
judgment about what kind of president he would be.
Trump would be the first president in American history with no public service
record, civilian or military, so there is no record of how he deals with public
policy challenges (in contrast, Sanders has a decades-long record in the U.S.
Senate for voters to scrutinize).