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REGRESSION ANALYSIS
HOW RUNS ARE SCORED BY BANGLADESH
CRICKET TEAM
SUBMITTED TO
MS. SHAKILA YASMIN
Assistant Professor
Institute of Business Administration
University of Dhaka
SUBMITTED BY
MD. RAQUIBUL ISLAM RUSSEAU
ROLL # 009
EMBA 20TH BATCH
INSTITUTE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
UNIVERSITY OF DHAKA
Sincerely,
_____________________________
Md. Raquibul Islam Russeau
Roll: ZR - 1403009
EMBA 20th Batch
Institute of Business Administration,
University of Dhaka
i
Regression Analysis: How Runs are Scored by Bangladesh Cricket Team
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This has been a great opportunity to link a real life problem with a classroom briefing.
First of All I would like to thank my honorable supervisor Ms. Shakila Yasmin, Assistant Professor,
Institute of Business Administration for assigning this topic and explain insight of this topic to us.
ii
Regression Analysis: How Runs are Scored by Bangladesh Cricket Team
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report is prepared as an integral part of EMBA Program. The main objective of this report is to carry
out a Linear Programming case study. Thus, the topic for the report, Regression Analysis: How Runs are
scored by Bangladesh Cricket Team? was chosen to work on.
Managers everyday faces problem which requires analysis of data to some extent and when analysis
matters we need to know some statistical tools. One common statistics tools is Regression Analysis. As a
manager we often tasked with find out what has impacted our profit or production or schedule or supply
chain most to do that we firstly need to understand how the faction of profit or production or supply chains
are associated. To what extent they explain the changes in the outcome. Once we have understood that
then we can take any measures to improve that situation.
Here in this report first I have tried to put the scenario of batting performance of Bangladesh cricket team
where we were failing to score big runs hence we have lost 625 of the matches in the period of 2010 2014. I have tried to put the problem in simplistic way so that it is easily understandable by readers.
As the report progress I tried to describe component of regression analysis and also the dependent and
independent variables from the case itself. Using multiple linear regression method and with excel data
analysis too I have tried to show how the independent variables are related to the dependent variables. I
have also shown how much the independent variable affects or relates to the Total Run Scored.
In the next part I have interpreted the result to see how much Bangladesh will run given the independent
variables do not perform well or at 0. Also I have showed among those six factors what factor have
significant relationship with the total run scored and what are the order from other factors in terms of
relationship with Total run scored.
Later and final part of the report says about the summarized finding and what Bangladesh cricket team
should do well to make big scores.
iii
Regression Analysis: How Runs are Scored by Bangladesh Cricket Team
CONTENTS
Chapter 1 ........................................................................................................................................................3
Background of the study .............................................................................................................................3
Objective of the Report ..............................................................................................................................3
Methodology ..............................................................................................................................................3
Chapter 2 ........................................................................................................................................................4
What is Regression Analysis? ......................................................................................................................4
Use of Regression Analysis..........................................................................................................................4
Learning of Regression from Managerial Prospective: ...............................................................................4
Chapter 3 ........................................................................................................................................................5
Problem Case Case Study of Bangladesh Cricket Team ...........................................................................5
Chapter 4 ........................................................................................................................................................8
Regression Analysis Output ........................................................................................................................8
Regression Statistics ...............................................................................................................................8
Anova Table ............................................................................................................................................8
Coefficient Table .....................................................................................................................................8
Residual Table .........................................................................................................................................9
Interpretation of the Result: .......................................................................................................................9
Chapter 5 ......................................................................................................................................................12
Findings .....................................................................................................................................................12
Recommendation: ....................................................................................................................................12
Page
Bibliography ..................................................................................................................................................13
CONTENT OF TABLES
Table 1: Bangladesh Team performance from 2010 to 2014 .........................................................................5
Table 2: Runs scored by Bangladesh in last 65 matches and the variables ....................................................7
Table 3: Regression Statistics Table ................................................................................................................8
Table 4: ANOVA Table .....................................................................................................................................8
Table 5: Coefficient Table ...............................................................................................................................8
Table 6: Table of Residuals .............................................................................................................................9
Table 7: Table of Variables and their Coefficient sorted as per their strength ............................................10
CONTENT OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Residual Plots .................................................................................................................................10
Figure 2: Residual Plot for X1 .......................................................................................................................11
Figure 3: Residual Plot for X2 ........................................................................................................................11
Figure 4: Residual Plot for X3 ........................................................................................................................11
Figure 5: Residual Plot for X4 ........................................................................................................................11
Figure 6: Residual Plot for X5 ........................................................................................................................11
Figure 7: Residual Plot for X6 ........................................................................................................................11
CONTENT OF EQUATIONS
Page
CHAPTER 1
Background of the study
During the course K501 Quantitative Analysis for Managers of EMBA program regression analysis was
discussed in the class by our instructor, Ms. Shakila Yasmin, Assistant Professor. To complete our
knowledge and understanding about Regression Analysis this assignment was assigned. This report is
prepared and presented to fulfill that requirement of the course.
We in our work filed everyday faces situations when we need to measure which is influencing our profit,
sales, production or even employee motivation. To do that we need to know how these relationship works
and sometime we need to know exactly how much anything is influencing our decision. This concept is
Regression and to measure that relationship better we need to know the Regression concept well.
To present the case I have choose to work on Bangladesh Cricket Team performances in last 40 years and
wanted to show how some of the variables are related to the Total Runs Scored by Bangladesh in ODI
matches.
Methodology
Data is collected from primary source, here all the data used are the actual scores and data from matches
of Bangladesh Cricket team. (Archive, 2015) These data were extracted from the match scorecard then
complied to make each variables. To extract 65 variables scorecard from 65 matches were taken.
We have chosen multiple linear regression as there are more than one independent variables and the data
follows the basic assumptions of linear regression.1 Once this is determined we formulate the data.
Page
After formulation of data the task was to define confidence level for that 95% of confidence level was
selected as my expectations is that this result would be reflecting 95% of the parameter of all Bangladesh
Cricket Teams matches.
Once we have decided the confidence level the next task was to put these data into Microsoft Excel and
use Data Analysis tool pack to get the output.
1
Assumptions of Linear Regression are
Validity
Additivity and linearity
Independence of errors
Equal variance of errors
Normality of errors
CHAPTER 2
What is Regression Analysis?
Regression Analysis is a statistical tool to measure the extent of relations among the variables. Primarily it
focuses on the relationship between independent and dependent variable by applying techniques for
modelling variables to see the relationship. We business managers are more interested in how the
dependent variable changes when any of the independent variable changes or varies given other variables
are remained same. (Wikipedia, 2015)
This is a normal Linear Regression equation with one dependent and one independent variables:
=
Here,
= predicted value of dependent variables
a = is the intercept of the regression line
b = coefficient of variables in other words it is the slope of regression equation
Historical Analysis: Most common and fundamental use of regression in Business. In business we
often want to analyze the impact of a particular spending or decision on the bottom line hence we
need to use regression on the historical data.
Testing Hypothesis: In business we also use regression for testing hypothesis, these are like in
business we often think that certain variables are causing declining trend in profit. To test this
belief we might want to test whether those variables are actually be blamed for declining profit.
Forecasting: Another use of regression is in forecasting future data based on the present data.
Once we have the relationship explained from Regression Analysis and found the coefficient for
each variable we can then forecast the data from a future period.
Apart from these regression also used heavily in healthcare, pharmaceutical, sports and education sector.
This case particularly focuses on the use of regression analysis in sports sector.
Page
As manager came up with the problem on daily basis it wont be wrong to say that Managers who are
working on Finance, Planning, Production and Supply chain regression is a great tool to be an expert on.
With regression analysis a manager can solve problem from these area with significant level of preciseness
and with lesser difficulty. From the results or solution of regression analysis manager can have idea of the
relationship between independent and dependent variables and also is says about how to fine tune the
inputs to change output.
CHAPTER 3
Problem Case Case Study of Bangladesh Cricket Team
Bangladesh cricket team has been playing ODI cricket since 1997, after 14 years they havent progressed
as they were supposed to. Between 2010 and 2014 Bangladesh cricket team has played 65 matches and
their winning rate was 38%. Knowing the capability team management expected this to be around 60%.
These below table shows performances of Bangladesh for 2010 2014
Year
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Total
Match
16
20
9
8
12
65
Won
9
6
5
5
0
25
Lost
7
14
4
3
12
40
Tied
0
0
0
0
0
0
W/L
1.29
0.43
1.25
1.67
0.00
0.63
Team management identifies batting performance of the team to be accountable for these results. Since
IPL was started in 2008 cricket has emerged as Batsman game and game of batting performance. So the
Bangladesh team management also wanted to see improvement in their batting performances.
Between 2010 and 2014 Bangladeshs batting hasnt clicked that well they have only scored average of 211
runs in their 65 matches. This performance was not enough in matching performance from the opponents.
So Bangladesh Team management wanted to see what contribute most in making runs. So they have
chosen these variables to measure their contribution in the total run.2
-
50 + Partnership
Run in First 10 Over
Run Scored Between 35 - 50 Over
Run by Shakib
Run by Musfiq
Run by First 4 Batsman
167
50 +
Partnership
1
59
186
62
21
20
101
246
42
96
25
198
250
47
90
20
22
169
236
50
56
155
203
59
51
82
Run Scored
Run by
Shakib
7
Run by
Musfiq
30
Run by First 4
Batsman
109
Page
Match
Taking these variables into consideration team management wanted to see how these variable affect total
run scored and if these variables are affecting performances what are the extent of that influence. To see
this we have taken data from 65 matches played from June, 2010 to August, 2014. These data are in below:
37
70
50
113
191
35
33
13
128
228
42
78
58
22
102
10
177
58
57
13
155
11
241
64
61
106
13
60
12
174
53
54
36
29
51
13
200
53
60
63
81
14
194
48
62
172
15
246
40
104
73
63
46
16
189
37
85
11
153
17
283
68
80
55
25
196
18
205
67
55
16
36
95
19
58
40
30
20
227
58
84
32
110
21
166
30
14
11
145
22
78
29
30
16
23
210
35
50
51
44
73
24
229
25
98
81
66
25
295
71
97
253
26
184
19
47
53
59
31
27
188
32
60
26
12
29
28
245
38
102
19
101
173
29
203
72
10
39
16
119
30
245
40
105
79
20
89
31
258
40
98
67
21
117
32
220
26
96
12
69
70
33
62
37
10
57
34
91
26
15
23
35
186
19
36
34
18
36
119
23
60
37
241
43
76
64
120
38
293
38
128
49
46
182
39
212
41
12
56
68
40
234
35
114
68
10
104
41
201
49
30
16
177
42
292
35
102
79
210
43
227
44
65
38
97
44
136
37
27
29
45
221
59
56
44
62
46
259
57
110
128
47
184
62
104
48
269
42
104
99
49
252
29
109
34
26
64
50
247
44
95
18
32
69
51
265
34
95
90
108
52
247
35
87
31
145
53
309
67
102
152
54
167
41
12
27
141
55
228
43
48
24
79
136
56
240
42
80
30
127
57
279
36
95
117
224
58
222
42
97
23
74
59
326
39
145
44
51
261
60
204
39
79
20
93
234
Page
61
272
34
112
52
59
62
58
38
11
41
63
217
35
87
12
152
64
70
42
49
65
247
2
41
92
0
72
Table 2: Runs scored by Bangladesh in last 65 matches and the variables
128
109
This problem has underlying hypothesis that all the coefficient are equal to zero (0) which means that the
variables has no effect on the dependent variable. And the alternate hypothesis is that the independent
variable has effect on the Dependent variable thus coefficients are not equal to zero (0). This is written as
H0 = b1 = b2 = b3 = b4 = b5 = b6 = 0
Or
Page
HA = bi 0
CHAPTER 4
Regression Analysis Output
Once we have run the excel to analyze these data we have will have a result which will say if these variables
explains the runs scored by Bangladesh well and what are the significance of this result. Also this result will
tell how each variable impact Run Scored and whether that relation are by chance or not.
REGRESSION STATISTICS
This below table tells us about how variables are related to each other, how much of the variability in the
dependent variable are explained by the movement in the independent variable and it also tell us about
the standard variability in the estimated and actual values of dependent variable. The most important
values in this table are Multiple R and Adjusted R Square. We will consider Adjusted R Square because this
is comparatively better measure of coefficient of determination as this is the sample size adjusted value.
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.929339484
R Square
Adjusted R Square
0.863671877
0.849568967
Standard Error
23.44038679
Observations
65
Table 3: Regression Statistics Table
ANOVA TABLE
This ANOVA table also known as variance table, this table give us the significance of this regression and
also tells us whether this solution occurred randomly. Because if the solution has occurred randomly then
the variable may not be associated with the changes in dependent variable. This table also helps to verify
if the model is significant enough. Also this says about which hypothesis will be accepted.
df
SS
MS
Regression
Residual
6
58
201892.8149
31868.20052
Total
64
233761.0154
33648.80248
549.4517331
61.24068859
Significance F
2.80348E-23
COEFFICIENT TABLE
Standard
Error
t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Intercept
50 + Partnership
71.86596121
13.84708463
12.48253485
3.897262382
5.757321096
3.553028582
3.41227E-07
0.000764559
46.87945296
6.045866383
96.85246946
21.64830288
0.578987377
0.277250226
2.088320667
0.041169248
0.024010752
1.133964001
0.884551068
0.098735235
8.958818642
1.55074E-12
0.686911021
1.082191115
Run by Shakib
0.253766987
0.125915865
2.015369439
0.048508
0.505814976
Run by Musfiq
0.217704085
0.121515456
1.791575255
0.078418384
0.001718998
0.025535529
0.246434773
0.066105608
3.727895084
0.000440264
0.11411002
0.378759525
0.460943698
Page
Coefficients
This Coefficient table below explain the strength of relationship with individual variable and also says
whether these relationship are statistically valid.
RESIDUAL TABLE
For Every predicted value there will be a actual value and these values will differ from one another. So for
every observations or data we will get a residual values. These residual values are important in
understanding the pattern of the data and also useful to know as it will detect the nature of the problem
(Linearity or Non Linearity).
Observatio
n
Predicted
Run
Scored
Residual
s
Observatio
n
Predicted
Run Scored
Residuals
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
155.04
171.46
236.46
257.89
202.65
186.72
197.70
170.53
209.82
211.21
248.94
192.18
205.64
214.54
244.44
224.12
291.24
222.31
104.45
257.83
167.70
100.87
11.96
14.54
9.54
-7.89
33.35
16.28
36.30
20.47
18.18
-34.21
-7.94
-18.18
-5.64
-20.54
1.56
-35.12
-8.24
-17.31
-46.45
-30.83
-1.70
-22.87
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
204.56
223.06
277.47
172.22
187.52
281.23
192.80
248.08
259.81
221.00
109.51
96.39
141.84
117.87
238.15
315.93
165.10
265.73
187.72
292.85
214.71
120.16
5.44
5.94
17.53
11.78
0.48
-36.23
10.20
-3.08
-1.81
-1.00
-47.51
-5.39
44.16
1.13
2.85
-22.93
46.90
-31.73
13.28
-0.85
12.29
15.84
Observatio
n
Predicted
Run
Scored
Residuals
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
208.11
262.06
149.20
241.61
215.13
237.61
249.49
225.42
294.16
161.45
223.72
218.62
271.26
232.92
350.84
220.88
271.22
107.38
223.00
109.56
251.90
12.89
-3.06
34.80
27.39
36.87
9.39
15.51
21.58
14.84
5.55
4.28
21.38
7.74
-10.92
-24.84
-16.88
0.78
-49.38
-6.00
-39.56
-4.90
F value (61.24) is greater than the Critical value 2.25 Null hypothesis was rejected
Page
Coefficient table shows how each variables and also tells about the height of the regression line. We see
that the constant is 71.87 here which means that Total Runs Scored will be at least 72 even there is no 50+
In this regression we have selected 95% of confidence level that leaves significance level at 5% and the
Significance F value we get is far below our selected significance level which interprets as the results are
not random or occurred by chance.
partnership, No run in First 10 overs, No run between 35 50 overs, No run by Shakib, No run by Musfiq
and no run by first 4 batsman. For this constant as P value is less than the Significance Level ( = .05) and
t-Stat falls in the rejection area we can say that this constant is not random or didnt occurred by chance
and Null hypothesis of no impact on the Total Runs Scored is rejected.
All the variables 50+ partnership, Run in First 10 overs, Run between 35 50 overs, Run by Shakib, Run by
Musfiq and Run by first 4 batsman are positively related to the Total Runs Scored and are not random or
occurred by chance.
Strongest variable among those are 50+ Partnership, if there is one 50+ Partnership in the innings Total
Runs Scored will increase by 13.85 or 14. For each one run scored for Run in First 10 Overs, Run between
35 50 overs, Run by Shakib, Run by Musfiq and Run by first 4 batsman will increase Total Run Scored by
Bangladesh 0.58 , 0.88 , 0.25 , 0.22 , 0.25 respectively. From this we can sort the variables by their strength
of relationship with dependent variable as below:
Variables
Coefficients
0.88
0.58
Run by Shakib
Run by First 4 Batsman
0.25
0.25
Run by Musfiq
0.22
Table 7: Table of Variables and their Coefficient sorted as per their strength
From this table we can see that runs scored between 35 - 50 over are significant than run scored in first 10
overs. This is a fact of modern cricket that team wants a slow but steady start which they can capitalize in
the later overs. Also we see significance of run scored by Shakib and first four batsman are equal which
signifies the important role played by Shakib in the team and failures in our top order.
From the residuals we have plotted this this graphs where we can see that data are have heteroscedasticity
and there are some extreme values at both positive and negative ends. Also the trend line drawn here says
that the data have non-linearity.
The residuals does not have any trend, so we can say that the slope of the regression line was computed
correctly. Also residuals do not have any trend also their average is not zero, the intercept of the regression
line was computed correctly. So we can say that the regression line do not have any error and correct.
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.2
From the residual plot for individual variables says that all those variables has linearity and
heteroscedasticity in their data.
10
0.2
Page
Residuals
100
0
0
-100
0
0
-100
50 + Partnership
150
50
Residuals
Residuals
100
0
-200
200
0
-50 0
50
-100
100
150
Run by SAL
100
Residuals
80
200
100
60
50
40
20
0
0
100
-100
200
300
0
0
50
-100
100
150
Run by Musfiq
Figure 7: Residual Plot for X6
+ .
+ .
+ .
+ .
+ .
11
Page
CHAPTER 5
Findings
As we have discussed about the variables and their relationship between Independent and Dependent one,
we have seen how dependent variable is being explained by the Independent one and also we have seen
how much each variable contributes to the Total Runs Scored. Bit by bit we have reached to the regression
equation which enable us to see different how different values for our Independent variable will affect the
Total Run Scored. Below we can sum up all these with this points:
Recommendation:
Team management wanted to see how this features of Bangladesh batting is associated with the total runs
scored by the team. As now they have found the association and the extent of relationship for each
variables to the total runs scored they would be in better position to improve the areas needed to score
more runs.
Page
12
For this case they want to focus on partnership building as partnership of 50+ has the most significant
relationship with the total runs scored. Also they should focus on the runs coming in the 35 50 over as
well as first 10 over. If Bangladesh could work well in this area it is likely that will have a big score. 86% of
Total Runs can be explained by the changes in this 6 features of batting so Bangladesh should be motivated
to work on this toward improving their batting performance.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Page
13
Year
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
Opponent
India
Sri Lanka
Pakistan
England
England
England
Ireland
Ireland
NewZealand
NewZealand
NewZealand
NewZealand
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
India
Ireland
West Indies
England
Netherlands
South Africa
Australia
Australia
Australia
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
West Indies
West Indies
Month
June
June
June
July
July
July
July
July
October
October
October
October
December
December
December
December
February
February
March
March
March
March
April
April
April
August
August
August
August
August
October
October
Cricket Archive
Serial No
o2993
o2995
o2998
o3018
o3025
o3026
o3027
o3028
o3051
o3054
o3056
o3058
o3071
o3073
o3075
o3078
o3100
o3107
o3117
o3126
o3131
o3138
o3149
o3150
o3151
o3176
o3178
o3180
o3181
o3183
o3198
o3200
Win/Loss
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
Run
Scored
167
186
246
250
236
203
234
191
228
177
241
174
200
194
246
189
283
205
58
227
166
78
210
229
295
184
188
245
203
245
258
220
50 +
Partnership
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
0
3
2
0
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
2
1
Run in First
10 Over
59
62
42
47
50
59
37
35
42
58
64
53
53
48
40
37
68
67
40
58
30
29
35
25
71
19
32
38
72
40
40
26
Run by
SAL
7
20
25
20
1
6
50
33
58
13
106
36
63
9
73
11
55
16
8
32
1
30
51
9
9
53
26
19
39
79
67
12
Run by
Musfiq
30
6
1
22
0
0
9
13
22
0
13
29
1
7
63
6
25
36
0
6
11
3
44
81
1
59
12
101
16
20
21
69
Run by First 4
Batsman
109
101
198
169
155
82
113
128
102
155
60
51
81
172
46
153
196
95
30
110
145
16
73
66
253
31
29
173
119
89
117
70
2011
2011
2011
2011
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
West Indies
Pakistan
Pakistan
Pakistan
Pakistan
India
Sri Lanka
Pakistan
West Indies
West Indies
West Indies
West Indies
West Indies
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
NewZealand
NewZealand
NewZealand
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
India
Afghanistan
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
India
India
West Indies
West Indies
West Indies
October
December
December
December
March
March
March
March
November
December
December
December
December
March
March
May
May
May
October
October
October
February
February
February
February
March
March
March
June
June
August
August
August
o3202
o3218
o3220
o3222
o3258
o3261
o3265
o3267
o3309
o3310
o3311
o3312
o3313
o3349
o3352
o3353
o3354
o3355
o3423
o3426
o3429
o3469
o3470
o3471
o3474
o3478
o3482
o3482
o3497
o3498
o3509
o3511
o3514
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
62
91
186
119
241
293
212
234
201
292
227
136
221
259
184
269
252
247
265
247
309
167
228
240
279
222
326
204
272
58
217
70
247
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
0
2
2
1
4
1
2
1
1
2
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
37
26
19
23
43
38
41
35
49
35
44
37
59
57
62
42
29
44
34
35
67
41
43
42
36
42
39
39
34
38
35
42
41
0
0
36
2
76
128
12
114
30
102
65
0
56
110
0
104
109
95
95
87
102
12
48
80
95
97
145
79
112
0
87
0
92
0
15
34
9
64
49
56
68
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
34
18
0
0
0
3
24
0
0
0
44
20
52
4
0
0
0
10
0
1
0
3
46
1
10
16
79
38
27
44
3
9
5
26
32
90
31
2
27
79
30
117
23
51
4
59
11
12
6
72
57
23
18
60
120
182
68
104
177
210
97
29
62
128
104
99
64
69
108
145
152
141
136
127
224
74
261
93
109
41
152
49
128