IL-8 Survey Results

Q1

How likely are you to vote in the March

Democratic primary election for President, US
Senate, US House, and other important offices:
will you definitely vote, probably vote, are the
chances 50/50, or will you probably not vote?

Q5

Will definitely vote ........................................... 93%

More likely....................................................... 62%

Will probably vote ........................................... 7%

Less likely ....................................................... 18%

Chances are 50/50 ......................................... 0%

Wouldn't make a difference............................. 14%

Will probably not vote...................................... 0%

Q2

The Democratic candidates for US House are

Mike Noland, Raja Krishnamoorthi, and Deb
Bullwinkel. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?

Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Q6

Mike Noland.................................................... 22%

Raja Krishnamoorthi ....................................... 17%

Less likely ....................................................... 76%

Not sure .......................................................... 50%

(Among those who selected a candidate in Q2)

Are you firmly committed to that candidate, or
is there a chance you could change your mind
between now and the primary?

Wouldn't make a difference............................. 12%

Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Q7

If one candidate strongly supported expanding

Social Security benefits, paid for by asking the
wealthy to pay their fair share into the Social
Security system, would that make you more or
less likely to support that candidate, or would it
not make a difference?
More likely....................................................... 74%

Would you call your political views progressive,

moderate or conservative?
Progressive..................................................... 41%

Firmly committed to that candidate ................. 45%

Theres a chance you could change your
mind between now and the primary ................ 55%

Q4

If one candidate had taken tens of thousands

of dollars in campaign contributions from a
company that outsources jobs to India, would
that make you more or less likely to support
that candidate?
More likely....................................................... 7%

Deb Bullwinkel ................................................ 11%

Q3

If one candidate strongly supported debt free

college for all public higher education students
through a mix of state aid and lowering costs,
would that make you more or less likely to
support that candidate, or would it not make a
difference?

Moderate......................................................... 47%
Conservative................................................... 12%

Q8

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 54%
Man................................................................. 46%

Q9

If you are Latino, press 1. If white, press 2. If

African American, press 3. If other, press 4.

Less likely ....................................................... 7%

Latino .............................................................. 17%

Wouldn't make a difference............................. 12%

White .............................................................. 63%

Not sure .......................................................... 6%

African-American ............................................ 6%
Other............................................................... 14%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 537 Democratic primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

January 13-14, 2016

Q10 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,

press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................... 23%
46 to 65........................................................... 47%
Older than 65 .................................................. 30%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 537 Democratic primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

January 13-14, 2016

Committed to Candidate Yes/No

Committed to Candidate Yes/No

Firmly committed Theres a chance you could change your
Base to that candidate
mind between now and the primary

Base

Firmly committed Theres a chance you could change your

to that candidate
mind between now and the primary

Committed to
Candidate Yes/No

Democratic Primary
Vote
Mike Noland 43%

49%

38%

Raja Krishnamoorthi 34%

31%

37%

Deb Bullwinkel 22%

19%

25%

Firmly committed to 45%

that candidate
Theres a chance you 55%
could change your
mind between now
and the primary

Committed to Candidate Yes/No

100%

100%

Committed to Candidate Yes/No

Firmly committed Theres a chance you could change your

Base to that candidate
mind between now and the primary
Candidate Expand
Social Security
More/Less Likely

Base

Firmly committed Theres a chance you could change your

to that candidate
mind between now and the primary

Candidate Support
Debt Free College
More/Less Likely

More likely 75%

73%

77%

More likely 64%

68%

60%

Less likely

9%

12%

7%

Less likely 18%

19%

17%

Wouldn't make a 13%

difference

13%

13%

Wouldn't make a 15%

difference

11%

19%

2%

2%

2%

4%

Not sure

2%

Not sure

3%

Committed to Candidate Yes/No

Ideology

Firmly committed Theres a chance you could change your

mind between now and the primary
Base to that candidate
Contributions from
Outsourcing Company
More/Less Likely
More likely 11%

17%

6%

Less likely 69%

64%

74%

Wouldn't make a 16%

difference

12%

19%

Not sure

Base Progressive Moderate Conservative

Democratic Primary
Vote

7%

4%

1%

Mike Noland 22%

25%

19%

Raja Krishnamoorthi 17%

20%

18%

4%

Deb Bullwinkel 11%

15%

8%

10%

Not sure 50%

40%

54%

65%

Ideology
Base Progressive Moderate Conservative
Committed to
Candidate Yes/No
Firmly committed to 45%
that candidate

56%

35%

32%

Theres a chance you 55%

could change your
mind between now
and the primary

44%

65%

68%

January 13-14, 2016

survey of 537 Democratic primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

21%

Ideology

Ideology

Base Progressive Moderate Conservative

Candidate Expand
Social Security
More/Less Likely

Base Progressive Moderate Conservative

Candidate Support
Debt Free College
More/Less Likely

77%

75%

62%

More likely 62%

73%

60%

33%

7%

7%

7%

9%

Less likely 18%

14%

19%

30%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

11%

13%

14%

Wouldn't make a 14%

difference

10%

14%

27%

5%

5%

15%

3%

7%

10%

More likely 74%

Less likely

Not sure

6%

Not sure

6%

Ideology

Gender

Base Progressive Moderate Conservative

Contributions from
Outsourcing Company
More/Less Likely
More likely

Base Woman

Man

Democratic Primary
Vote
7%

8%

6%

6%

Mike Noland 22%

19%

25%

20%

14%

Less likely 76%

71%

78%

82%

Raja Krishnamoorthi 17%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

14%

12%

7%

Deb Bullwinkel 11%

8%

14%

8%

4%

5%

Not sure 50%

52%

46%

Not sure

6%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Committed to
Candidate Yes/No
Firmly committed to 45%
that candidate

41%

Theres a chance you 55%

could change your
mind between now
and the primary

59%

49%

Base Woman

75%

74%

7%

6%

9%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

11%

14%

8%

4%

More likely 74%

51%

Less likely

Not sure

January 13-14, 2016

survey of 537 Democratic primary voters

Man

Candidate Expand
Social Security
More/Less Likely

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Base Woman

Candidate Support
Debt Free College
More/Less Likely

Man

Contributions from
Outsourcing Company
More/Less Likely

More likely 62%

61%

63%

7%

7%

7%

Less likely 18%

17%

19%

Less likely 76%

76%

75%

Wouldn't make a 14%

difference

16%

12%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

9%

16%

6%

6%

8%

3%

Not sure

6%

More likely

Not sure

6%

Race

Race

AfricanBase Latino White American Other

Democratic Primary
Vote

AfricanBase Latino White American Other

Committed to
Candidate Yes/No

32%

18%

Raja Krishnamoorthi 17%

6%

Deb Bullwinkel 11%

17%

Not sure 50%

45%

Mike Noland 22%

13%

28%

21%

7%

20%

9%

24%

10%

52%

57%

42%

Firmly committed to 45%

that candidate

67%

37%

17%

56%

Theres a chance you 55%

could change your
mind between now
and the primary

33%

63%

83%

44%

Race

Race

AfricanBase Latino White American Other

Candidate Expand
Social Security
More/Less Likely

AfricanBase Latino White American Other

Candidate Support
Debt Free College
More/Less Likely

More likely 74%

62%

78%

82%

70%

More likely 62%

67%

58%

74%

68%

Less likely

7%

14%

5%

7%

7%

Less likely 18%

12%

19%

20%

21%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

4%

13%

12%

21%

Wouldn't make a 14%

difference

10%

17%

7%

8%

20%

4%

2%

10%

6%

4%

Not sure

6%

January 13-14, 2016

survey of 537 Democratic primary voters

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Race

Age

AfricanBase Latino White American Other

Contributions from
Outsourcing Company
More/Less Likely
16%

4%

10%

Less likely 76%

70%

77%

96%

67%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

2%

14%

4%

18%

12%

5%

Not sure

6%

Mike Noland 22%

19%

19%

28%

Raja Krishnamoorthi 17%

15%

20%

15%

Deb Bullwinkel 11%

15%

12%

6%

Not sure 50%

51%

49%

50%

5%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Committed to
Candidate Yes/No
Firmly committed to 45%
that candidate

53%

Theres a chance you 55%

could change your
mind between now
and the primary

47%

42%
58%

45%
55%

Base

More likely 74%

62%

74%

84%

Less likely

7%

16%

5%

3%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

10%

15%

10%

12%

5%

3%

6%

Age
Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Candidate Expand
Social Security
More/Less Likely

Not sure

Age

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Candidate Support
Debt Free College
More/Less Likely

Base

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Contributions from
Outsourcing Company
More/Less Likely

More likely 62%

65%

62%

59%

Less likely 18%

21%

16%

Wouldn't make a 14%

difference

7%

17%

7%

4%

7%

Not sure

18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Democratic Primary
Vote
7%

More likely

Base

6%

January 13-14, 2016

survey of 537 Democratic primary voters

7%

11%

5%

7%

19%

Less likely 76%

69%

78%

77%

14%

Wouldn't make a 12%

difference

12%

13%

11%

9%

4%

5%

More likely

Not sure

6%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988