Professional Documents
Culture Documents
24 NOV 2015
Majesco Ltd.
BUY
INDUSTRY
IT
Rs 575
Target Price
Rs 800
Nifty
7,849
Sensex
25,819
MJCO IN
23
13/197
Rs 608/287
3M
6M
12M
Absolute (%)
70.7
Relative (%)
70.4
50.44
11.31
FIIs
Public & Others
Source : BSE
Amit Chandra
amit.chandra@hdfcsec.com
+91-22-6171-7345
Harit Shah
haritj.shah@hdfcsec.com
+91-22-6171-7325
4.92
33.33
A Majestic opportunity!
In Jun-15, Indian software services firm Mastek
spun off its US insurance product arm (Majesco
Mastek) as a separate listed entity (Majesco Ltd).
Further, a subsidiary of this newly listed entity
reverse merged into the US-listed Cover-All Inc,
rebranding itself as Majesco US Inc (now a 70%
subsidiary of Majesco Ltd). Additionally, Majesco
US acquired Agile, a consulting outfit for US$ 9mn.
These corporate actions were part of a conscious
strategy to create a software product business in a
niche vertical (P&C insurance). This vertical is on
the cusp of a transformational shift in its usage of IT
systems. Addressable market is US$ 9.25bn, with
only 10-15% penetration by third-party vendors.
We believe Majesco is in the early stages of a multiyear flowering. Initiate coverage with a BUY. Our TP
of Rs 800 is based on a 2x EV/sales multiple,
implying 39% upside and is at 70% discount to rival
Guidewires EV/sales multiple. We have built in a
30% holdco discount for the Majesco US stake.
Financial Summary (Rs mn)
Net Sales
EBITDA
APAT
Diluted EPS (Rs)
P/E (x)
EV / Sales (x)
RoE (%)
1HFY16
3,376
99
50
2.2
N.M.
1.9
N.M.
Why EV/sales?
FY17E
9,763
629
230
10.1
57.0
1.3
8.5%
FY18E
12,378
1,432
619
27.1
21.2
1.0
19.9%
HDFC securities Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg HSLB <GO>& Thomson Reuters
Contents
Substantial market opportunity.............................................................................................................................. 3
Time to reboot P&C software at inflexion point.................................................................................................. 4
US listing, board appointments to drive product acceptance ................................................................................ 5
Agile and Cover-All complete the product suite..................................................................................................... 6
Highly rated insurance product ............................................................................................................................. 8
Cloud offering a key differentiator ......................................................................................................................... 9
Implementation tie ups to drive penetration ...................................................................................................... 11
Rated platforms drive robust client addition ....................................................................................................... 12
Sticky revenue model, good visibility .................................................................................................................. 12
Life and Annuity (L&A) A dark horse ................................................................................................................. 13
Majesco US vs Guidewire Financials .................................................................................................................... 14
Company Background .......................................................................................................................................... 16
Management Profile ............................................................................................................................................ 17
Financials .............................................................................................................................................................. 18
Valuation & Outlook ............................................................................................................................................. 20
Page | 2
US Market
US Insurance Market Premium
IT Expense (% of Premium)
US Annual IT Expense
Staff (40%)
External Services & Staffing (15%)
Maintenance / Support Fees (15%)
New Hardware / Software (12%)
Others (Desktops, Networks etc.) (18%)
Market Opportunity
Addressable US Market Opportunity (50%)
Size US$ BN
$1,259.0
3.5%
$44.1
$17.6
$6.6
$6.6
$5.3
$7.9
$18.5
$9.3
Page | 3
Page | 4
Page | 5
Policy
32
11
14
Claims
Distribution
4
Billing
24
Page | 6
Dec 2014
Board Approves
Demerger of
Insurance
Acquisition of
Covel-All and
Agile Tech
Jan 2015
Feb 2015
March 2015
March 2015
May 2015
S-4 Effectiveness
June 2015
July 2015
Commencement of
trading of Majesco
on NYSE
NYSE Majesco
Listing approval
MM Re-Organization
India High Court Aprrovals
Cover-All
Shareholder
Proxy Vote
Cover-All
Shareholder
approval
Promoters
(51.0%)
Mastek Ltd
(Solutions divison
parent company)
Majesco Ltd
(Insurance division
Listed in India)
69.7%
Mastek UK
(100%)
13.8%
Vector US
(100%)
Majesco (US)
(Listed in NYSE)
Majesco Canada
(100%)
16.5%
Cover-All Share
Holders
Majesco Malaysia
(100%)
Majesco UK
Majesco Thailand
(100%)
(100%)
Cover-All Systems
(100%)
Page | 7
Page | 8
Page | 9
18%
15%
13%
10%
6%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Mid-tier segment
Oregon Mutual Insurance
MAIF
Nodak Mutual Insurance Company
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited
Secura Insurance Companies
GMAC Insurance
OneBeacon Insurance Group
Society Insurance
Tokio Marine Nichido
Start ups
AssureStart
Heritage Insurance
Newco
Page | 10
Page | 11
2015
2013
2008
2007
80+
Customers
155
Customers
35+
Customers
10+
Customers
2005
3
Customers
Majescos
Page | 13
FY11
172.5
104.1
60.4%
52.5
30.4%
51.7
29.9%
34.8
20.2%
6.9
4.0%
59.6
0.0
12.5
FY12
232.1
34.6%
142.1
61.2%
64.1
27.6%
78.0
33.6%
49.1
21.1%
28.9
12.5%
205.7
0.0
169.3
FY13
300.7
29.6%
175.0
58.2%
82.3
27.4%
92.7
30.8%
63.0
21.0%
29.7
9.9%
156.7
0.0
135.3
FY14
350.3
16.5%
201.3
57.5%
106.7
30.5%
94.6
27.0%
76.2
21.8%
18.4
5.3%
444.3
0.0
421.0
FY15
380.5
8.6%
233.4
61.3%
123.4
32.4%
109.9
28.9%
93.4
24.6%
16.5
4.3%
844.4
0.0
557.2
Page | 14
FY14
82.8
37.1
44.8%
22.7
27.5%
14.3
17.3%
10.1
12.2%
4.2
5.1%
10.3
0.0
4.9
FY15
79.3
-4.3%
30.5
38.5%
21.0
26.5%
9.5
12.0%
10.3
13.0%
-0.8
-1.1%
6.8
3.0
6.3
FY16E
113.3
42.9%
51.4
45.4%
36.8
32.5%
14.6
12.9%
16.1
14.2%
-1.5
-1.3%
11.7
9.8
8.5
FY17E
147.9
30.6%
67.2
45.4%
41.7
28.2%
25.5
17.2%
19.6
13.2%
5.9
4.0%
15.9
9.1
10.7
FY18E
187.6
26.8%
84.8
45.2%
44.8
23.9%
40.0
21.3%
22.6
12.0%
17.5
9.3%
24.8
7.2
18.1
Page | 15
Company Background
Majesco Ltd is a spin-off of the insurance
9%
4%
32%
18%
13%
19%
19%
83%
P&C
Non Insurance
6%
Implementation
Cloud
Maintenance
License
Consulting & IT
Non Insurance
22%
6%
51%
27%
88%
North America
UK
APAC
Non recurring
Recurring Customary
Recurring Contractual
Page | 16
Management Profile
Name
Designation
Educational background
Executive Director,
Majesco Ltd & CEO
Majesco (US)
Masters degree in
Business Management
from Indian Institute of
Management (IIM),
Ahmedabad.
Bachelor of Science
degree from Missouri
State University and
Executive Programs at
Stanford Graduate School
of Business
Ed has over 25 years of international experience serving highgrowth technology companies. He served as Vice President and
Director at Corum Group, a Global M&A Advisory firm. Ed also
worked at Innovation Group PLC as Group President, Chief
Operating Officer Technology.
Dr. Arun K.
Maheshwari
Chairman, Majesco
(US)
Farid Kazani
Managing director,
Majesco Ltd & CFO
Majesco (US)
C.A, ICWA
Ketan Mehta
Robert P.
Restrepo, Jr,
Edward Ossie
Professional details
Page | 17
Financials
We forecast 33% USD revenue
CAGR for Majesco US over the
period FY15-FY18E
We believe the QBE deal
could be a path in terms of
increasing traction with tier-1
P&C insurance carriers
On an organic basis, we
believe Majesco can achieve
20% revenue growth over the
next 2-3 years
We expect the cloud segment
to be the major growth driver
and forecast 48% USD rev
CAGR over FY16E-FY18E
Revenue forecasts
Profitability forecasts
FY15A
79.3
38.5
26.5
13.0
(2.5)
3.1
0.6
Management
FY18 target
200-225
44-46
22-26
10-12
9-10
3-4
12-14
HDFC sec
FY18 est.
187.6
45.2
23.9
12.0
9.3
2.2
11.6
Variance from
management est.
(6.2-16.6%)
1.2% - (0.8%)
1.9% - (2.1%)
2% - 0%
0.3% - (0.7%)
(0.8-1.8%)
(0.4-2.4%)
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research; Note: FY15 numbers pertain to Majesco (US) as per 10-K filings; margin data excludes restructuring
cost.
1QFY16
FY18E
3.7
4.1
8.6
8.6
31.7
28.9
Implementation
Maintenance
17.9
Consulting & IT
Maintenance
Consulting & IT
24.3
Cloud
Cloud
Licence
Licence
Non-insurance
18.5
17.5
19.2
Implementation
Non-insurance
16.9
Page | 19
Particulars
Sales (FY18E, Rs mn)
Guidewire (EV/revenue, x, FY18E)
Discount to Guidewire valuations
Target EV/revenue multiple (x)
Majesco EV (Rs mn)
Holding company discount
EV (Rs mn)
Less: Debt (Rs mn)
Add: Cash (Rs mn)
Implied market capitalisation (Rs mn)
No of shares (mn)
Target price (Rs)
Upside potential
Bear Case
11,141
6.8
75%
1.7
18,939
35%
12,310
641
1,224
12,893
22.8
565
(1.6%)
Base Case
12,378
6.8
70%
2.0
25,252
30%
17,676
641
1,224
18,259
22.8
800
39.4%
Bull Case
13,616
6.8
65%
2.4
32,407
25%
24,305
641
1,224
24,888
22.8
1,091
90.0%
Page | 20
Peer Valuations
Relative Valuation
Intellect Design Arena
Guidewire
Majesco
EV/Sales (x)
FY16E
FY17E
3.3
2.8
8.9
8.0
1.7
1.3
FY18E
2.4
6.8
1.0
EV/EBITDA (x)
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
N.A.
65.1
22.7
50.6
39.7
29.0
74.8
19.9
8.3
Source: Bloomberg, HDFC sec Inst Research, Guidewire (listed on the NYSE) has a July ending FY.
Page | 21
1HFY16
3,376
N.A.
1,745
463
1,069
99
2.9%
N.A.
57
99
57
14
42
(6)
(2)
39
10
50
N.A.
2.2
N.A.
FY17E
9,763
30.9%
5,194
1,259
2,681
629
6.4%
271.9%
95
239
486
69
417
125
88
0
204
204
474.4%
9.0
474.4%
FY18E
12,378
26.8%
6,611
1,452
2,884
1,432
11.6%
127.5%
119
278
1,273
62
1,211
363
254
0
593
593
190.4%
26.0
190.4%
1HFY16
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
114
2,463
2,577
657
198
443
641
254
4,129
114
2,449
2,563
651
198
354
552
297
4,063
114
2,653
2,767
738
198
283
482
372
4,359
114
3,246
3,360
992
198
227
425
445
5,223
460
1,901
252
896
1,224
627
2,746
142
1,088
1,230
1,516
4,129
556
2,019
252
990
971
692
2,653
158
1,259
1,417
1,236
4,063
618
2,137
252
1,204
994
906
3,103
198
1,554
1,752
1,352
4,359
640
2,256
252
1,526
1,482
1,149
4,157
237
1,844
2,081
2,076
5,223
Page | 22
FY18E
593
(99)
494
62
278
(236)
599
(300)
299
(300)
271
(62)
(35)
209
508
(20)
1,482
1HFY16
FY16E
FY17E
FY18E
48.3%
47.3%
46.8%
46.6%
EBITDA Margin
2.9%
2.3%
6.4%
11.6%
APAT Margin
1.5%
0.5%
2.1%
4.8%
RoE
N.M.
1.4%
7.7%
19.4%
N.M.
N.M.
5.7%
14.8%
RoCE
N.M.
N.M.
4.7%
12.0%
N.M.
N.M.
30.0%
30.0%
0.8
1.8
2.2
2.4
Debtors (days)
48
48
45
45
Payables (days)
41
41
38
38
(3.0)
(2.5)
(0.8)
(0.7)
Net D/E
(0.2)
(0.2)
(0.2)
(0.3)
7.0
3.4
9.1
23.0
EPS (Rs/sh)
2.2
1.6
9.0
26.0
CEPS (Rs/sh)
6.5
10.4
19.4
38.2
113.0
112.4
121.4
147.4
N.M.
368.4
64.1
22.1
P/BV
5.1
5.1
4.7
3.9
EV/Sales
1.9
1.7
1.3
1.0
EV/EBITDA
N.A.
74.9
20.0
8.4
OCF/EV (%)
N.A.
N.A.
2.7%
5.0%
FCF/EV (%)
N.A.
N.A.
0.3%
2.5%
N.A.
N.A.
-0.9%
-0.3%
PROFITABILITY (%)
GPM
EFFICIENCY
Tax Rate (%)
Interest Coverage
PER SHARE DATA
DPS (Rs/sh)
BV (Rs/sh)
VALUATION
P/E
Page | 23
RECOMMENDATION HISTORY
Majesco
Date
24-Nov-15
TP
900
CMP
575
Reco
BUY
Target
800
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Rating Definitions
BUY
: Where the stock is expected to deliver more than 10% returns over the next 12 month period
NEUTRAL : Where the stock is expected to deliver (-)10% to 10% returns over the next 12 month period
SELL
: Where the stock is expected to deliver less than (-)10% returns over the next 12 month period
Page | 24
Disclosure:
We, Amit Chandra, MBA & Harit Shah, PGDBA authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our
views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in
this report.
Research Analyst or his/her relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its
Associate may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Further
Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest.
Any holding in stock Yes
Disclaimer:
This report has been prepared by HDFC Securities Ltd and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or
arrived at, based upon information obtained in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of
warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. This document is for
information purposes only. Descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and this document is not, and should not be
construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments.
This report is not directed to, or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident or located in any
locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, reproduction, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or what would subject HDFC
Securities Ltd or its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.
If this report is inadvertently send or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This document may
not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purposes without prior written approval of HDFC Securities Ltd .
Foreign currencies denominated securities, wherever mentioned, are subject to exchange rate fluctuations, which could have an adverse effect on their value or price, or the income derived
from them. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, the values of which are influenced by foreign currencies effectively assume currency risk.
It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. HDFC Securities Ltd may from time to time solicit from, or perform broking, or other services
for, any company mentioned in this mail and/or its attachments.
HDFC Securities and its affiliated company(ies), their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies)
mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the
company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and
other related information and opinions.
HDFC Securities Ltd, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any
action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the
dividend or income, etc.
HDFC Securities Ltd and other group companies, its directors, associates, employees may have various positions in any of the stocks, securities and financial instruments dealt in the report,
or may make sell or purchase or other deals in these securities from time to time or may deal in other securities of the companies / organizations described in this report.
HDFC Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any
other assignment in the past twelve months.
HDFC Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report
for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or
specific transaction in the normal course of business.
HDFC Securities or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research
report. Accordingly, neither HDFC Securities nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is
not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. HDFC Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach
different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Research entity has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. Research analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. We
have not received any compensation/benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the Research Report.
HDFC securities
Institutional Equities
Unit No. 1602, 16th Floor, Tower A, Peninsula Business Park,
Senapati Bapat Marg, Lower Parel,Mumbai - 400 013
Board : +91-22-6171 7330 www.hdfcsec.com
Page | 25