Forecast Created By:

Anthony Siciliano

Energy currently diving southeast from the Pacific Northwest will form an anomalously strong storm that will
take shape right over Texas on Tuesday. It will feed off the rich moist waters of the Gulf of Mexico, intensifying
on its way up through the nations heartland through Wednesday morning before passing well west of
southern New England early Thursday morning.
With high pressure briefly established before the storms arrival, this will likely bring a brief spell of some snow
and mix before transitioning to heavy rain and warmth floods into the area. Strong winds again with this
system are likely to cause some damage like the last.
Overall, in general terms, this storm system will act and fell like the last one we saw.
In the wake of the big, strong storm system, an upper level vortex will glide southeast from Hudson Bay,
Canada and bring much colder, more typical temperatures for this time of year towards next weekend and at
least a few days beyond. An active, energetic Polar Jet will produce clipper type systems that require keeping a
close eye on through this period.

Late Tues EveEarly Weds

Wednesday
Afternoon
High pressure over the region Monday and
Tuesday slides east over the Canadian Maritimes
as low pressure over northern Mississippi works
its way North/Northeast. The will create a brief
onshore, east flow off the Atlantic Ocean and with
some cold air initially in place some wintry precip
is likely to break out

Easterly flow starts to turn more southerly ,

transporting warmer air into the region , turning
any wintry precip over Southern New England into
rain. It will not likely be too heavy at this time,
though scattered in nature as the main storm
system and trailing front will still be far off to the
west/southwest

Late Weds eveearly Thus Morning

Late Thurs eveVery early Fri

After a brief lull is possible for a time Weds, this is

when we get into the real meat and potatoes of this
strong system as milder, Atlantic air flows into the
region on a stiff southerly wind. Heavy downpours,
strong gusty winds and even the potential of a couple
rumbles of thunder.
Much like the last system !

Most the action should move offshore late Thursday

morning. There will be a wind shit to the west
/northwest allowing colder air to snap back into the
region. Cant rule out a few flakes during this period

Shown is modeled total precipitation from the GFS model.

Again, much like last system, a safe call is for about 1-2 of rain,
with a few coming in with less and a few potentially more as is
the nature with most storm systems.
High precipitable waters values for this time of year will spell
the likelihood of some heavy downpours.
There could be some areas of flooding , especially in poor
drainage areas . The brunt of this should came late Weds-early
Thurs

Surface winds should increase dramatically Weds eve into early

Thursday where some portions of the region (especially S&E)
will see sustained winds of 25-35 mph from the
south/southeast.
Low level jet winds really start to crank up at this time as well
upwards of 70 kts late Weds eve into early Thursday. Thankfully
like last system, these magnitude gusts should not make it to
the surface though safe to say some gusts will approach 55-60
mph once again. Plenty enough to cause renewed damage