PPP Poll North Carolina - With Head To Head Matchups

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
March 13, 2016
INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL
information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH
OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Trump Still Leads NC; Bond Likely To Pass

Raleigh, N.C. Way back on July 8th PPP released a North Carolina poll that was
the first survey to find Donald Trump leading the Republican race anywhere in
the country. 8 months later our final poll of the GOP race finds Trump primed to
book end that first poll with a victory in the Tar Heel State. Trump is polling at
44% to 33% for Ted Cruz, 11% for John Kasich, and 7% for Marco Rubio.
Compared to a month ago Trump's support is up 15 points and Cruz's is up 14
points. Kasich's remained in place, and Rubio has seen his support collapse 9
points. Trump appears to already be building up a lead among early voters- he's
at 46% to 38% for Cruz, 11% for Kasich, and 4% for Rubio. Among those planning
to vote on election day Trump gets 43% to 32% for Cruz, 11% for Kasich, and 8%
for Rubio.
If there's a path to #StopTrump in North Carolina it's Kasich and Rubio voters
uniting around Cruz. Trump's lead over Cruz declines to 49/43 when the two are
matched head to head because Rubio voters overwhelmingly move to Cruz in that
scenario (70/20) and Kasich voters move to Cruz as well, although by a pretty
narrow 39/34 margin.
If John Kasich and Marco Rubio really combine for 20% of the vote in North
Carolina on Tuesday Donald Trump will almost definitely win the state, said
Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. The only way hes likely to be
stopped is if supporters of the also rans shift their support to Ted Cruz.
One big thing Trump has going for him is that he has the most committed
supporters. 89% of Trump voters say they'll definitely cast their ballots for him,
compared to 84% of Cruz, 68% of Rubio, and 65% of Kasich supporters who say
the same for their candidate. Cruz needs to hope those Rubio and Kasich voters
open to changing their minds gravitate toward him if he's going to have a chance
to win the state.
Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
Interestingly Kasich is now the most broadly popular candidate in North

Carolina, with a 60/23 favorability rating. Trump's next at 56/38, followed by
Cruz at 51/35, and continuing the recent trend Rubio is now under water in his
image with North Carolina Republicans as just 39% see him favorably to 48%
who have a negative opinion.
Other notes from North Carolina:
-The Bond:
Democratic primary voters in North Carolina support the bond 67/18, while
Republicans are much more evenly divided on it with 47% in support and 43%
opposed. That should still add up to its passing with about 60% of the vote unless
undecideds move against it en masse.
-The Senate Race:
The US Senate race will be a contest between Richard Burr on the Republican
side and Deborah Ross on the Democratic side- they both have overwhelming
leads in their primaries. One interesting- and surprising thing- to watch for on
Tuesday night though might be who wins their primary by more. Right now we
find Ross leading hers by 32 points with 40% to 8% each for Ernest Reeves and
Chris Rey, and 4% for Kevin Griffin. It may be more instructive to look at the
numbers among those who have already voted- Ross is at 50% to 17% for Rey, 8%
for Reeves, and 5% for Griffin, suggesting Rey is likely to end up in second place.
Burr- even as a two term incumbent- actually has a smaller lead than Ross in his
primary. He's up by 28 points with 48% to 20% for Greg Brannon, 4% for Paul
Wright, and 3% for Larry Holmquist.
The Democratic Senate primary didnt end up being much of a contest, said
Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. Deborah Ross has caught on
with the party base in a way none of the other candidates really have. General
election match ups between her and Richard Burr have also become closer as
shes become more familiar to voters across the state.
-The Governor's Race:
The primary contests on both the Republican and Democratic sides never really
became contests. Pat McCrory's getting 70% to 7% for Charles Kenneth Moss, and
6% for Robert Brawley. Roy Cooper leads Ken Spaulding 53/17 and has an even
wider 68/22 lead banked among early voters. The long anticipated
Phone: 888 621-6988
McCrory/Cooper contest will be a real thing on Wednesday, and we've found

them trading small leads in the polls on a month to month basis ever since we
started looking at it. This is likely to be the premier Governor's race in the
country this year.
-The Race for Attorney General
There are still a lot of voters undecided in both party's primaries for Attorney
General- 40% for the Republicans, 43% for the Democrats. Things look very up in
the air on the Republican side- Jim O'Neill has a slim lead over Buck Newton at
33/27 and the numbers among voters who have already cast their ballots don't
clarify things much either- O'Neill received 44%, Newton received 37%, and 19%
either didn't vote in that contest or have already forgotten who they voted for. On
the Democratic side Josh Stein leads Marcus Williams by a relatively close 33/23
spread, but among those who have already voted his lead is wider at 51/29 which
suggests people are moving toward him once they study the candidates more
carefully.
-Other Races on the Democratic Side
-Linda Coleman leads the primary for Lieutenant Governor with 32% to 18% for
Holly Jones, 7% for Robert Earl Wilson, and 5% for Ronald Newton. 38% of
voters are still undecided, but it also bodes well for Coleman that she's up 46/29
among those who have already voted.
-Charles Meeker has a 33/22 lead over Mazie Ferguson for Labor Commissioner.
Surprises can happen in a race that close with 44% of voters still undecided, but
similarly to Stein Meeker's 47/28 lead among those who have already voted
suggests good things once voters get informed.
-Dan Blue III is up 36/22 on Ron Elmer in the race for State Treasurer, but what
bodes particularly well for him is a 57/22 advantage among those who have
already voted. Elmer will really have to come from quite a bit behind to have a
chance on Tuesday.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 749 likely Republican primary voters and 746 likely Democratic
primary voters, from March 11th to 13th. The margin of error is +/-3.6% for both the Republicans
and the Democrats. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the
phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the
internet through an opt-in internet panel.
Phone: 888 621-6988

North Carolina Survey Results

Q1
Will you vote in the Democratic or Republican

primary for President, Governor, and other
important offices, or will you not vote in a
primary?
Q6
Favorable........................................................ 60%
Unfavorable .................................................... 23%
Democratic primary......................................... 0%
Republican primary .........................................100%
Will not vote in a primary................................. 0%
Q2
Not sure .......................................................... 17%
Q7
The Republican candidates for President are

Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and
Donald Trump. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 33%
Unfavorable .................................................... 48%

Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Q8
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Donald Trump ................................................. 44%
Unfavorable .................................................... 38%
Undecided....................................................... 5%
Not sure .......................................................... 6%
Are you firmly committed to your current choice

for President, or is it possible youll change
your mind between now and the primary?
Given the same list of choices, who would be

your second choice for the GOP candidate for
President in 2016?
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 18%
John Kasich .................................................... 25%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 21%
Donald Trump ................................................. 11%
Undecided....................................................... 25%
Q5
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Donald Trump?
Marco Rubio ................................................... 7%
Firmly committed to your current choice ......... 83%

Its possible youll change your mind between
now and the primary ....................................... 17%
Q4

of Marco Rubio?
Favorable........................................................ 39%
John Kasich .................................................... 11%
Q3

of John Kasich?
Q9
Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Marco

Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would you support
for the Republican nomination for President?
Donald Trump ................................................. 47%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 13%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 33%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%
Q10 Who would you prefer as the Republican

candidate if you had to choose between just
Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio?
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 56%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 25%
Not sure .......................................................... 19%

of Ted Cruz?
Favorable........................................................ 51%
Unfavorable .................................................... 35%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 749 likely Republican primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
March 11-13, 2016

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump?
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 43%
Donald Trump ................................................. 49%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%

John Kasich and Donald Trump?
John Kasich .................................................... 37%
Donald Trump ................................................. 55%
Not sure .......................................................... 8%

Marco Rubio and Donald Trump?
Marco Rubio ................................................... 33%
Donald Trump ................................................. 58%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Q14 The Republican candidates for US Senate are

Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon,
and Richard Burr. If the election was today,
who would you vote for?
Larry Holmquist............................................... 3%
Paul Wright ..................................................... 4%
Greg Brannon ................................................. 20%
Richard Burr.................................................... 48%
Undecided....................................................... 24%
Q15 The Republican candidates for Governor are

Pat McCrory, Charles Kenneth Moss, and C.
Robert Brawley. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Q16 The Republican candidates for Attorney

General are Buck Newton and Jim ONeill. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Buck Newton................................................... 27%
Jim ONeill....................................................... 33%
Undecided....................................................... 40%
Q17 The Republican candidates for Commissioner

of Agriculture are Andy Stevens and Steve
Troxler. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Andy Stevens.................................................. 15%
Steve Troxler................................................... 48%
Undecided....................................................... 37%
Q18 The Republican candidates for Commissioner

of Insurance are Joe McLaughlin, Ron Pierce,
and Mike Causey. If the election was today,
who would you vote for?
Joe McLaughlin............................................... 19%
Ron Pierce ...................................................... 11%
Mike Causey ................................................... 24%
Undecided....................................................... 46%
Q19 There is a 2 billion dollar bond on the ballot to

fund capital improvement and new facilities for
the state including the construction and
furnishing of new facilities for the UNC system,
the North Carolina Community College System,
water and sewer systems, the States National
Guard, the Department of Agriculture and
Consumer Services, attractions and parks, and
the Department of Public Safety. If the election
was today, would you vote for or against this
bond proposal?
Pat McCrory.................................................... 70%
Vote for the bond proposal.............................. 47%
Charles Kenneth Moss.................................... 7%
Vote against the bond proposal ...................... 43%
C. Robert Brawley........................................... 6%
Not sure .......................................................... 10%
Undecided....................................................... 18%

Raleigh, NC 27604
March 11-13, 2016
Q20 Have you already voted using Early Voting or

an absentee ballot, or have you not voted yet?
Already voted.................................................. 23%
Haven't voted yet ............................................ 77%
Q21 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Q23 If you are a Republican, press 1. If you are an

independent or identify with another party,
press 2.
Republican...................................................... 74%
Independent.................................................... 26%
Q24 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
Very liberal ...................................................... 4%
18 to 45........................................................... 28%
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 4%
46 to 65........................................................... 46%
Moderate......................................................... 18%
Older than 65 .................................................. 26%
Somewhat conservative.................................. 35%

Very conservative ........................................... 39%
Q22 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 49%
Man................................................................. 51%

Raleigh, NC 27604
March 11-13, 2016
Republican President Primary

Base
Ted John Marco Donald

Cruz Kasich Rubio Trump Undecided
Primary Party Vote

Republican primary 100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%

Base

Republican President
Primary
100%
John Kasich 11%
Marco Rubio
7%
Donald Trump 44%
Ted Cruz 33%
Undecided
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Primary
Base

Cruz Kasich Rubio Trump
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
Firmly committed to 83%
your current choice
84%
65%
68%
89%
Its possible youll 17%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
16%
35%
32%
11%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
survey of 749 likely Republican primary voters

Base

Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 18%
21%
46%
28%
1%
John Kasich 25%
21%
39%
33%
8%
Marco Rubio 21%
40%
34%
8%
11%
Donald Trump 11%
24%
22%
9%
4%
Undecided 25%
15%
24%
7%
31%
76%

Base

Cruz Favorability
Favorable 51%
96%
14%
45%
28%
40%
Unfavorable 35%
2%
63%
30%
56%
21%
Not sure 14%
2%
23%
26%
16%
39%

Base

Kasich Favorability
Favorable 60%
54%
92%
62%
59%
34%
Unfavorable 23%
31%
3%
15%
23%
18%
Not sure 17%
14%
5%
23%
18%
48%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base

Rubio Favorability
Favorable 39%
58%
40%
89%
19%
32%
Unfavorable 48%
32%
47%
4%
69%
36%
Not sure 12%
10%
13%
7%
12%
32%

Base

Trump Favorability
Favorable 56%
24%
19%
29%
97%
29%
Unfavorable 38%
70%
72%
64%
2%
31%
6%
9%
8%
1%
40%
Not sure
6%

Base

Trump/Rubio/Cruz
3%
22%
9%
97%
Marco Rubio 13%
7%
37%
88%
1%
7%
Ted Cruz 33%
87%
20%
3%
1%
20%
2%
21%
1%
62%
Donald Trump 47%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
7%
12%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base

Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 56%
88%
29%
13%
47%
39%
Marco Rubio 25%
11%
53%
87%
21%
18%
Not sure 19%
2%
17%
33%
43%

Base

Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 43%
97%
39%
70%
1%
29%
Donald Trump 49%
2%
34%
20%
96%
17%
Not sure
2%
27%
10%
3%
55%
8%

Base

Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
57%
95%
73%
2%
41%
Donald Trump 55%
30%
3%
14%
97%
29%
Not sure
13%
1%
14%
2%
30%
8%

Base

Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 33%
58%
58%
89%
1%
25%
Donald Trump 58%
31%
26%
9%
97%
38%
Not sure
12%
17%
2%
1%
38%
March 11-13, 2016
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base

Republican Senate
Primary Vote
3%
5%
4%
3%
3%
4%
1%
8%
6%
6%
1%
Greg Brannon 20%
31%
13%
7%
16%
16%
Richard Burr 48%
46%
47%
69%
50%
26%
Undecided 24%
17%
27%
18%
25%
55%
Larry Holmquist
Paul Wright

Base

Republican Governor
Primary Vote
Pat McCrory 70%
77%
61%
82%
68%
47%
9%
3%
9%
4%
Charles Kenneth Moss
7%
4%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
6%
6%
4%
7%
Undecided 18%
14%
24%
11%
16%
49%

Base

Republican Attorney
General Primary Vote
Buck Newton 27%
38%
22%
21%
23%
18%
Jim ONeill 33%
24%
45%
37%
38%
13%
Undecided 40%
38%
34%
42%
39%
69%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base

Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 15%
15%
12%
15%
17%
4%
Steve Troxler 48%
51%
55%
47%
48%
22%
Undecided 37%
34%
33%
37%
36%
74%

Base

Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 19%
18%
27%
11%
20%
5%
Ron Pierce 11%
10%
13%
6%
12%
10%
Mike Causey 24%
26%
18%
40%
23%
13%
Undecided 46%
46%
42%
43%
45%
72%

Base

Bond Proposal Vote

Vote for the bond 47%
proposal
44%
55%
70%
43%
45%
Vote against the bond 43%

proposal
48%
37%
21%
47%
26%
Not sure 10%
7%
8%
9%
10%
29%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Committed to Choice Yes/No

Base
Firmly committed to
Its possible youll change your
your current choice mind between now and the primary
Primary Party Vote

100%
100%

Base
Firmly committed to
Primary
Ted Cruz 35%
35%
33%
John Kasich 12%
9%
24%
Marco Rubio
7%
6%
13%
Donald Trump 46%
50%
29%

Base
Firmly committed to
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
change your mind
between now and the
primary
March 11-13, 2016
100%
100%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 19%
18%
22%
John Kasich 26%
27%
17%
Marco Rubio 21%
21%
21%
Donald Trump 12%
10%
19%
Undecided 23%
23%
21%

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 52%
51%
52%
Unfavorable 36%
38%
25%
Not sure 12%
10%
23%

Base
Firmly committed to
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 61%
61%
62%
Unfavorable 23%
25%
11%
Not sure 16%
13%
26%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 40%
38%
47%
Unfavorable 49%
51%
39%
Not sure 11%
10%
14%

Base
Firmly committed to
Trump Favorability
Favorable 58%
60%
48%
Unfavorable 38%
37%
41%
3%
11%
Not sure
4%

Base
Firmly committed to
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 49%
53%
31%
Marco Rubio 14%
12%
24%
Ted Cruz 34%
33%
36%
2%
9%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 57%
57%
56%
Marco Rubio 26%
24%
35%
Not sure 18%
19%
9%

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 44%
41%
54%
Donald Trump 51%
54%
33%
Not sure
4%
13%
6%

Base
Firmly committed to
Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
36%
43%
Donald Trump 57%
59%
42%
Not sure
5%
15%
6%

Base
Firmly committed to
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 34%
32%
45%
Donald Trump 59%
62%
46%
Not sure
6%
9%
March 11-13, 2016
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
3%
4%
5%
5%
4%
Greg Brannon 20%
22%
13%
Richard Burr 50%
47%
60%
Undecided 22%
22%
23%
Larry Holmquist
Paul Wright

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican Governor
Primary Vote
Pat McCrory 71%
72%
68%
6%
7%
7%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
6%
6%
Undecided 16%
15%
20%

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican Attorney
Buck Newton 28%
29%
22%
Jim ONeill 34%
34%
32%
Undecided 38%
37%
46%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 16%
16%
15%
Steve Troxler 49%
48%
55%
Undecided 35%
36%
30%

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 20%
20%
17%
Ron Pierce 11%
11%
11%
Mike Causey 25%
25%
23%
Undecided 45%
44%
49%

Base
Firmly committed to
Bond Proposal Vote

proposal
44%
60%

proposal
47%
29%
8%
12%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Primary Party Vote

100%
100%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Primary
Ted Cruz 33%
38%
32%
John Kasich 11%
11%
11%
7%
4%
8%
Donald Trump 44%
46%
43%
1%
7%
Marco Rubio
Undecided
5%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
95%
79%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
5%
21%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 18%
17%
18%
John Kasich 25%
25%
24%
Marco Rubio 21%
21%
21%
Donald Trump 11%
10%
12%
Undecided 25%
27%
25%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 51%
55%
50%
Unfavorable 35%
37%
35%
Not sure 14%
8%
15%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 60%
60%
60%
Unfavorable 23%
31%
20%
Not sure 17%
9%
20%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 39%
40%
39%
Unfavorable 48%
52%
47%
Not sure 12%
9%
13%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Trump Favorability
Favorable 56%
57%
56%
Unfavorable 38%
41%
37%
2%
7%
Not sure
6%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 47%
48%
47%
Marco Rubio 13%
13%
14%
Ted Cruz 33%
35%
32%
4%
8%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 56%
57%
55%
Marco Rubio 25%
24%
26%
Not sure 19%
19%
19%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 43%
42%
43%
Donald Trump 49%
50%
48%
Not sure
8%
9%
9%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
37%
37%
Donald Trump 55%
58%
54%
Not sure
5%
8%
March 11-13, 2016
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 33%
31%
34%
Donald Trump 58%
61%
57%
Not sure
8%
9%
9%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Larry Holmquist
3%
Paul Wright
5%
3%
4%
5%
4%
Greg Brannon 20%
32%
17%
Richard Burr 48%
49%
48%
Undecided 24%
9%
28%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Republican Governor
Primary Vote
Pat McCrory 70%
74%
69%
6%
7%
9%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
11%
5%
Undecided 18%
6%
21%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Republican Attorney
Buck Newton 27%
37%
24%
Jim ONeill 33%
44%
29%
Undecided 40%
19%
46%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 15%
18%
14%
Steve Troxler 48%
61%
44%
Undecided 37%
21%
42%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 19%
27%
16%
Ron Pierce 11%
19%
9%
Mike Causey 24%
29%
22%
Undecided 46%
24%
53%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Bond Proposal Vote

proposal
50%
46%

proposal
48%
42%
Not sure 10%
2%
12%
Ideology
Base
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Primary Party Vote

100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Primary
Ted Cruz 33%
20%
21%
19%
31%
44%
John Kasich 11%
6%
19%
25%
10%
5%
7%
6%
8%
10%
8%
4%
Donald Trump 44%
56%
51%
39%
44%
43%
12%
8%
6%
3%
Marco Rubio
Undecided
March 11-13, 2016
5%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
79%
86%
73%
84%
87%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
21%
14%
27%
16%
13%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 18%
22%
John Kasich 25%

Marco Rubio 21%
Donald Trump 11%
Undecided 25%
16%
15%
16%
21%
18%
8%
24%
28%
24%
22%
13%
22%
23%
19%
7%
10%
11%
14%
38%
57%
30%
22%
22%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 51%
48%
37%
37%
47%
63%
Unfavorable 35%
38%
59%
41%
37%
28%
Not sure 14%
14%
4%
22%
16%
9%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 60%
51%
45%
61%
63%
59%
Unfavorable 23%
29%
51%
15%
20%
26%
Not sure 17%
20%
4%
24%
17%
16%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 39%
21%
39%
36%
45%
38%
Unfavorable 48%
67%
61%
45%
45%
50%
Not sure 12%
12%
19%
11%
12%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Trump Favorability
Favorable 56%
71%
46%
50%
57%
59%
Unfavorable 38%
29%
54%
41%
36%
37%
9%
8%
4%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
6%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 47%
49%
50%
47%
47%
47%
Marco Rubio 13%
16%
23%
20%
17%
6%
Ted Cruz 33%
11%
25%
21%
31%
43%
Not sure
25%
2%
13%
6%
4%
7%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 56%
52%
21%
40%
49%
72%
Marco Rubio 25%
14%
48%
37%
30%
14%
Not sure 19%
34%
31%
23%
20%
14%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 43%
17%
27%
36%
44%
49%
Donald Trump 49%
59%
67%
48%
49%
46%
Not sure
25%
6%
16%
7%
5%
March 11-13, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
28%
40%
44%
41%
32%
Donald Trump 55%
56%
51%
44%
55%
60%
Not sure
16%
8%
12%
4%
8%
8%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 33%
20%
33%
35%
36%
32%
Donald Trump 58%
62%
65%
48%
57%
63%
Not sure
18%
1%
16%
7%
6%
9%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Larry Holmquist
3%
Paul Wright
4%
16%
6%
4%
2%
3%
21%
6%
5%
2%
Greg Brannon 20%
15%
9%
10%
15%
31%
Richard Burr 48%
48%
20%
49%
56%
44%
Undecided 24%
21%
44%
32%
22%
20%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican Governor
Primary Vote
Pat McCrory 70%
50%
46%
61%
73%
76%
20%
10%
4%
5%
7%
22%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
5%
6%
6%
7%
28%
29%
23%
17%
13%
Undecided 18%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican Attorney
Buck Newton 27%
16%
26%
23%
29%
30%
Jim ONeill 33%
35%
42%
31%
36%
29%
Undecided 40%
48%
32%
46%
36%
41%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 15%
22%
21%
17%
16%
12%
Steve Troxler 48%
33%
44%
40%
50%
51%
Undecided 37%
45%
34%
43%
34%
37%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 19%
21%
28%
12%
23%
17%
Ron Pierce 11%
41%
13%
15%
8%
9%
Mike Causey 24%
16%
28%
20%
24%
27%
Undecided 46%
23%
30%
53%
46%
47%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Bond Proposal Vote
proposal
50%
40%
55%
49%
42%

proposal
49%
59%
29%
42%
49%
Not sure 10%
2%
1%
16%
9%
9%
Gender
Base
Woman
Man
Primary Party Vote

March 11-13, 2016
100%
100%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Primary
Ted Cruz 33%
29%
37%
John Kasich 11%
12%
11%
7%
9%
5%
Donald Trump 44%
43%
45%
8%
3%
Marco Rubio
Undecided
5%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
80%
86%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
20%
14%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 18%
19%
17%
John Kasich 25%
23%
26%
Marco Rubio 21%
20%
22%
Donald Trump 11%
10%
13%
Undecided 25%
28%
23%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 51%
47%
55%
Unfavorable 35%
35%
35%
Not sure 14%
18%
10%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 60%
55%
65%
Unfavorable 23%
21%
24%
Not sure 17%
24%
11%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 39%
41%
38%
Unfavorable 48%
44%
53%
Not sure 12%
15%
9%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Trump Favorability
Favorable 56%
55%
57%
Unfavorable 38%
38%
38%
7%
5%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
6%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 47%
48%
46%
Marco Rubio 13%
14%
12%
Ted Cruz 33%
29%
36%
9%
5%
Not sure
7%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 56%
54%
57%
Marco Rubio 25%
26%
25%
Not sure 19%
20%
18%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 43%
42%
44%
Donald Trump 49%
48%
49%
Not sure
10%
7%
9%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
38%
36%
Donald Trump 55%
54%
56%
Not sure
8%
8%
March 11-13, 2016
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 33%
35%
32%
Donald Trump 58%
57%
60%
Not sure
8%
9%
9%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Larry Holmquist
3%
Paul Wright
3%
4%
4%
4%
5%
Greg Brannon 20%
16%
24%
Richard Burr 48%
46%
51%
Undecided 24%
32%
16%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican Governor
Primary Vote
67%
72%
7%
5%
8%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
5%
7%
Undecided 18%
23%
13%
Pat McCrory 70%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican Attorney
Buck Newton 27%
23%
31%
Jim ONeill 33%
28%
38%
Undecided 40%
49%
31%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 15%
16%
14%
Steve Troxler 48%
39%
56%
Undecided 37%
45%
30%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 19%
16%
22%
Ron Pierce 11%
11%
11%
Mike Causey 24%
21%
27%
Undecided 46%
52%
40%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Bond Proposal Vote

proposal
48%
46%

proposal
35%
51%
Not sure 10%
17%
3%
Party
Base
Republican Independent
Primary Party Vote

100%
100%
Party
Base Republican Independent
Primary
Ted Cruz 33%
34%
31%
John Kasich 11%
8%
21%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
4%
Donald Trump 44%
46%
37%
5%
7%
Undecided
March 11-13, 2016
5%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
85%
78%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
15%
22%
Party
Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 18%
20%
13%
John Kasich 25%
24%
26%
Marco Rubio 21%
21%
21%
Donald Trump 11%
10%
14%
Undecided 25%
25%
27%
Party
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 51%
53%
44%
Unfavorable 35%
34%
38%
Not sure 14%
12%
19%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 60%
58%
66%
Unfavorable 23%
25%
18%
Not sure 17%
18%
16%
Party
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 39%
42%
33%
Unfavorable 48%
46%
54%
Not sure 12%
12%
13%
Party
Trump Favorability
Favorable 56%
59%
49%
Unfavorable 38%
35%
44%
6%
6%
Not sure
6%
Party
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 47%
48%
43%
Marco Rubio 13%
13%
15%
Ted Cruz 33%
33%
31%
6%
10%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 56%
57%
53%
Marco Rubio 25%
24%
27%
Not sure 19%
19%
20%
Party
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 43%
43%
42%
Donald Trump 49%
50%
44%
Not sure
7%
14%
9%
Party
Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
34%
47%
Donald Trump 55%
58%
48%
Not sure
9%
5%
8%
Party
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 33%
33%
34%
Donald Trump 58%
60%
53%
Not sure
7%
13%
March 11-13, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
Larry Holmquist
3%
4%
3%
Paul Wright
4%
5%
4%
Greg Brannon 20%
19%
22%
Richard Burr 48%
50%
44%
Undecided 24%
22%
28%
Party
Republican Governor
Primary Vote
Pat McCrory 70%
70%
69%
6%
8%
7%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
6%
6%
Undecided 18%
18%
16%
Party
Republican Attorney
Buck Newton 27%
24%
36%
Jim ONeill 33%
35%
27%
Undecided 40%
41%
37%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 15%
13%
21%
Steve Troxler 48%
50%
42%
Undecided 37%
37%
37%
Party
Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 19%
20%
16%
Ron Pierce 11%
11%
11%
Mike Causey 24%
25%
23%
Undecided 46%
45%
50%
Party
Bond Proposal Vote
proposal
47%
47%

proposal
43%
43%
Not sure 10%
10%
10%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to
45
46 to Older
65 than 65
Primary Party Vote

100%
100%
100%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Primary
Ted Cruz 33%
27%
38%
31%
John Kasich 11%
10%
9%
15%
7%
7%
6%
7%
Donald Trump 44%
46%
43%
43%
10%
4%
4%
Marco Rubio
Undecided
5%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
81%
85%
81%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
19%
15%
19%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Primary Second
Choice
Ted Cruz 18%
19%
18%
17%
John Kasich 25%
19%
26%
29%
Marco Rubio 21%
23%
21%
19%
Donald Trump 11%
10%
13%
10%
Undecided 25%
30%
23%
25%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 51%
52%
52%
48%
Unfavorable 35%
34%
35%
37%
Not sure 14%
15%
13%
15%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 60%
46%
64%
68%
Unfavorable 23%
25%
24%
18%
Not sure 17%
29%
12%
14%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 39%
34%
41%
43%
Unfavorable 48%
48%
51%
45%
Not sure 12%
18%
8%
12%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Trump Favorability
Favorable 56%
59%
56%
54%
Unfavorable 38%
35%
39%
38%
6%
5%
8%
Not sure
6%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 47%
49%
46%
47%
Marco Rubio 13%
15%
12%
14%
Ted Cruz 33%
28%
37%
32%
8%
5%
8%
Not sure
March 11-13, 2016
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 56%
55%
56%
55%
Marco Rubio 25%
27%
24%
26%
Not sure 19%
17%
20%
19%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 43%
35%
47%
43%
Donald Trump 49%
55%
45%
48%
Not sure
10%
7%
10%
9%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Kasich/Trump
John Kasich 37%
34%
36%
43%
Donald Trump 55%
57%
56%
51%
Not sure
9%
8%
6%
8%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 33%
31%
34%
35%
Donald Trump 58%
61%
59%
54%
Not sure
9%
7%
10%
March 11-13, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican Senate
Primary Vote
3%
6%
2%
3%
4%
7%
4%
3%
Greg Brannon 20%
23%
21%
15%
Richard Burr 48%
33%
50%
62%
Undecided 24%
31%
24%
16%
Larry Holmquist
Paul Wright
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican Governor
Primary Vote
Pat McCrory 70%
58%
73%
78%
6%
4%
7%
10%
C. Robert Brawley
6%
6%
6%
7%
Undecided 18%
27%
15%
12%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican Attorney
Buck Newton 27%
26%
28%
28%
Jim ONeill 33%
29%
33%
35%
Undecided 40%
45%
39%
36%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican
Commissioner of
Agriculture Primary
Vote
Andy Stevens 15%
19%
13%
14%
Steve Troxler 48%
39%
51%
51%
Undecided 37%
42%
36%
35%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican
Commissioner of
Insurance Primary
Vote
Joe McLaughlin 19%
18%
17%
22%
Ron Pierce 11%
18%
8%
9%
Mike Causey 24%
28%
24%
19%
Undecided 46%
36%
50%
50%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Bond Proposal Vote

proposal
44%
46%
51%

proposal
43%
46%
38%
Not sure 10%
12%
8%
11%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
North Carolina Survey Results

Q1
Will you vote in the Democratic or Republican

primary for President, Governor, and other
important offices, or will you not vote in a
primary?
Q5
Democratic primary.........................................100%
Josh Stein ....................................................... 33%
Republican primary ......................................... 0%
Marcus Williams.............................................. 23%
Will not vote in a primary................................. 0%
Q2
The Democratic candidates for US Senate are

Ernest Reeves, Chris Rey, Deborah Ross, and
Kevin Griffin. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Undecided....................................................... 43%
Q6
Charles Meeker .............................................. 33%
Chris Rey ........................................................ 8%
Mazie Ferguson .............................................. 22%
Deborah Ross................................................. 40%
Undecided....................................................... 44%
Q7
Undecided....................................................... 41%
The Democratic candidates for Governor are

Ken Spaulding and Roy Cooper. If the election
was today, who would you vote for?
Roy Cooper..................................................... 53%
Undecided....................................................... 30%
The Democratic candidates for Lieutenant

Governor are Holly Jones, Ronald Newton,
Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
Holly Jones ..................................................... 18%
The Democratic candidates for Superintendent

of Public Instruction are Henry Pankey and
June Atkinson. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Henry Pankey ................................................. 11%
June Atkinson ................................................. 49%
Ken Spaulding ................................................ 17%
Q4
The Democratic candidates for Commissioner

of Labor are Charles Meeker and Mazie
Ferguson. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Ernest Reeves ................................................ 8%
Kevin Griffin .................................................... 4%
Q3
The Democratic candidates for Attorney

General are Josh Stein and Marcus Williams. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Undecided....................................................... 40%
Q8
The Democratic candidates for State Treasurer

are Dan Blue III and Ron Elmer. If the election
was today, who would you vote for?
Dan Blue III ..................................................... 36%
Ron Elmer....................................................... 22%
Undecided....................................................... 43%
Ronald Newton ............................................... 5%

Robert Earl Wilson .......................................... 7%
Linda Coleman................................................ 32%
Undecided....................................................... 38%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 746 likely Democratic primary voters
March 11-13, 2016
Q9
There is a 2 billion dollar bond on the ballot to

fund capital improvement and new facilities for
the state including the construction and
furnishing of new facilities for the UNC system,
the North Carolina Community College System,
water and sewer systems, the States National
Guard, the Department of Agriculture and
Consumer Services, attractions and parks, and
the Department of Public Safety. If the election
was today, would you vote for or against this
bond proposal?
Vote for the bond proposal.............................. 67%
Vote against the bond proposal ...................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%
Q10 Have you already voted using Early Voting or

an absentee ballot, or have you not voted yet?
Already voted.................................................. 30%
Haven't voted yet ............................................ 70%
Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Q12 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 59%
Man................................................................. 41%
Q13 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If an

independent, press 2.
Democrat ........................................................ 82%
Independent.................................................... 18%
Q14 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If

African American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic .......................................................... 3%
White .............................................................. 55%
African American............................................. 37%
Other............................................................... 5%
Q15 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................... 37%
46 to 65........................................................... 41%
Older than 65 .................................................. 22%
Very liberal ...................................................... 20%

Somewhat liberal ............................................ 26%
Moderate......................................................... 37%
Somewhat conservative.................................. 13%
Very conservative ........................................... 5%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 746 likely Democratic primary voters
March 11-13, 2016
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Voted
Yes/No
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Senate Democratic
Primary
Base
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Governor Democratic
Primary
Ernest Reeves
8%
8%
8%
Ken Spaulding 17%
22%
15%
Chris Rey
8%
Deborah Ross 40%
17%
4%
Roy Cooper 53%
68%
47%
50%
35%
Undecided 30%
10%
39%
4%
5%
3%
Undecided 41%
20%
50%
Kevin Griffin
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Voted
Yes/No
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary
Base
Attorney General
Democratic Primary
Holly Jones 18%

Ronald Newton
5%
Robert Earl Wilson
29%
14%
Josh Stein 33%
51%
26%
2%
7%
Marcus Williams 23%
29%
20%
Undecided 43%
20%
54%
7%
6%
7%
Linda Coleman 32%
46%
26%
Undecided 38%
18%
47%
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Voted
Yes/No
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Labor Commissioner
Democratic Primary
Charles Meeker 33%
47%
27%
Mazie Ferguson 22%
28%
20%
Undecided 44%
25%
53%
March 11-13, 2016
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Base
Superintendent of
Public Instruction
Democratic Primary
Henry Pankey 11%
15%
9%
June Atkinson 49%
65%
42%
Undecided 40%
20%
48%

Raleigh, NC 27604
survey of 747 likely Democratic primary voters
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Already Voted
Yes/No
Base
Already Voted
Yes/No
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Base
State Treasurer
Democratic Primary
Already Haven't
voted voted yet
Bond Proposal Vote
Dan Blue III 36%
57%
26%
Ron Elmer 22%
22%
21%
Undecided 43%
21%
52%

proposal
76%
63%

proposal
19%
18%
Not sure 15%
5%
19%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Senate Democratic
Primary
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Governor Democratic
Primary
Ernest Reeves
8%
12%
6%
8%
4%
Ken Spaulding 17%
18%
14%
17%
23%
6%
Chris Rey
8%
9%
9%
7%
7%
6%
Roy Cooper 53%
60%
60%
50%
45%
40%
Deborah Ross 40%
Undecided 30%
23%
26%
32%
32%
54%
46%
46%
37%
35%
13%
4%
4%
4%
3%
6%
5%
Undecided 41%
29%
35%
44%
48%
76%
Kevin Griffin
Ideology
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Attorney General
Democratic Primary
28%
19%
14%
21%
3%
Josh Stein 33%
44%
37%
32%
20%
19%
Ronald Newton
5%
5%
7%
3%
6%
2%
Marcus Williams 23%
20%
22%
22%
31%
27%
Robert Earl Wilson
7%
6%
4%
9%
10%
11%
Undecided 43%
36%
41%
46%
49%
54%
Linda Coleman 32%
36%
37%
32%
23%
13%
Undecided 38%
26%
33%
43%
40%
70%
Holly Jones 18%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Labor Commissioner
Democratic Primary
Charles Meeker 33%
43%
37%
28%
31%
24%
Mazie Ferguson 22%
24%
26%
20%
21%
18%
Undecided 44%
33%
37%
52%
48%
57%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Superintendent of
Public Instruction
Democratic Primary
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
State Treasurer
Democratic Primary
Henry Pankey 11%
17%
10%
7%
20%
June Atkinson 49%
47%
54%
51%
42%
43%
Undecided 40%
36%
37%
42%
38%
57%
Dan Blue III 36%
38%
41%
35%
31%
15%
Ron Elmer 22%
19%
26%
18%
22%
31%
Undecided 43%
43%
33%
47%
47%
54%
Ideology
Gender
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Bond Proposal Vote
proposal
72%
71%
68%
56%
58%

proposal
16%
17%
18%
22%
18%
Not sure 15%
12%
12%
14%
21%
24%
Base Woman
6%
9%
Ernest Reeves
8%
Chris Rey
8%
8%
8%
Deborah Ross 40%
37%
44%
4%
3%
6%
Undecided 41%
46%
33%
Kevin Griffin
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Senate Democratic
Primary
Gender
Man
Governor Democratic
Primary
Base Woman
Man
Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary
Ken Spaulding 17%
15%
20%
18%
19%
Roy Cooper 53%
52%
56%
Ronald Newton
5%
4%
7%
Undecided 30%
34%
24%
Robert Earl Wilson
7%
5%
10%
Linda Coleman 32%
30%
34%
Undecided 38%
42%
31%
March 11-13, 2016
Holly Jones 18%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Attorney General
Democratic Primary
Base Woman
Man
Labor Commissioner
Democratic Primary
Josh Stein 33%
29%
40%
Charles Meeker 33%
29%
40%
Marcus Williams 23%
23%
23%
Mazie Ferguson 22%
23%
22%
Undecided 43%
48%
37%
Undecided 44%
48%
39%
Gender
Base Woman
Gender
Man
Superintendent of
Public Instruction
Democratic Primary
Base Woman
Henry Pankey 11%
10%
13%
June Atkinson 49%
50%
48%
Undecided 40%
40%
40%
Dan Blue III 36%
32%
42%
Ron Elmer 22%
22%
21%
Undecided 43%
47%
37%
Gender
Base Woman
Party
Man
Bond Proposal Vote

proposal
67%
68%

proposal
15%
22%
Not sure 15%
18%
10%
March 11-13, 2016
Man
State Treasurer
Democratic Primary
Base Democrat Independent

Senate Democratic
Primary
Ernest Reeves
8%
8%
5%
Chris Rey
8%
9%
4%
Deborah Ross 40%
40%
36%
4%
3%
10%
Undecided 41%
40%
45%
Kevin Griffin

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

Governor Democratic
Primary

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary
Ken Spaulding 17%
17%
16%
Roy Cooper 53%
54%
50%
Ronald Newton
5%
Undecided 30%
29%
34%
Robert Earl Wilson
Holly Jones 18%
20%
12%
5%
6%
7%
8%
4%
Linda Coleman 32%
33%
27%
Undecided 38%
35%
50%
Party
Party

Attorney General
Democratic Primary

Labor Commissioner
Democratic Primary
Josh Stein 33%
35%
25%
Charles Meeker 33%
35%
28%
Marcus Williams 23%
23%
23%
Mazie Ferguson 22%
22%
23%
Undecided 43%
42%
52%
Undecided 44%
43%
49%
Party
Party

Superintendent of
Public Instruction
Democratic Primary
Henry Pankey 11%
12%
8%
June Atkinson 49%
51%
41%
Undecided 40%
37%
51%
March 11-13, 2016

State Treasurer
Democratic Primary
Dan Blue III 36%
39%
21%
Ron Elmer 22%
20%
30%
Undecided 43%
41%
49%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Party
African
Base Hispanic White American Other

Bond Proposal Vote
proposal
68%
64%

proposal
16%
27%
Not sure 15%
16%
9%
Senate Democratic
Primary
Ernest Reeves
8%
25%
3%
13%
9%
Chris Rey
8%
3%
5%
12%
10%
Deborah Ross 40%
18%
46%
32%
39%
4%
14%
4%
2%
11%
Undecided 41%
40%
42%
41%
31%
Kevin Griffin
Race
Race
African
Governor Democratic
Primary
African
Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary
Ken Spaulding 17%
38%
10%
23%
22%
10%
22%
16%
4%
Roy Cooper 53%
23%
64%
42%
45%
Ronald Newton
5%
21%
4%
4%
11%
Undecided 30%
39%
26%
35%
34%
Robert Earl Wilson
Holly Jones 18%
7%
18%
5%
8%
13%
Linda Coleman 32%
18%
30%
35%
30%
Undecided 38%
34%
38%
37%
42%
Race
Race
African
Attorney General
Democratic Primary
African
Labor Commissioner
Democratic Primary
Josh Stein 33%
18%
43%
21%
29%
Charles Meeker 33%
34%
33%
32%
53%
Marcus Williams 23%
37%
16%
31%
33%
Mazie Ferguson 22%
23%
23%
23%
15%
Undecided 43%
44%
41%
48%
38%
Undecided 44%
43%
44%
45%
32%
March 11-13, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race
African
Superintendent of
Public Instruction
Democratic Primary
African
State Treasurer
Democratic Primary
Henry Pankey 11%
25%
10%
11%
13%
June Atkinson 49%
30%
54%
46%
36%
Undecided 40%
45%
36%
44%
51%
Dan Blue III 36%
31%
35%
36%
46%
Ron Elmer 22%
23%
23%
20%
18%
Undecided 43%
46%
42%
44%
36%
Race
Age
African
Bond Proposal Vote
proposal
61%
69%
66%
63%

proposal
29%
22%
12%
15%
Not sure 15%
10%
9%
22%
22%
Base
Senate Democratic
Primary
Ernest Reeves
8%
12%
4%
6%
Chris Rey
8%
12%
5%
8%
Deborah Ross 40%
25%
50%
46%
4%
4%
4%
4%
Undecided 41%
47%
37%
37%
Kevin Griffin
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Governor Democratic
Primary
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary
Ken Spaulding 17%
20%
14%
17%
Roy Cooper 53%
36%
61%
67%
Ronald Newton
5%
Undecided 30%
44%
25%
16%
Robert Earl Wilson
March 11-13, 2016
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Holly Jones 18%
21%
19%
7%
3%
5%
7%
9%
5%
8%
Linda Coleman 32%
25%
34%
38%
Undecided 38%
43%
37%
30%

Raleigh, NC 27604
15%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Attorney General
Democratic Primary
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Labor Commissioner
Democratic Primary
Josh Stein 33%
26%
37%
39%
Charles Meeker 33%
25%
39%
37%
Marcus Williams 23%
21%
25%
23%
Mazie Ferguson 22%
22%
21%
25%
Undecided 43%
52%
38%
38%
Undecided 44%
53%
39%
39%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Superintendent of
Public Instruction
Democratic Primary
Base
State Treasurer
Democratic Primary
Henry Pankey 11%
14%
9%
10%
June Atkinson 49%
35%
55%
62%
Undecided 40%
52%
35%
28%
Dan Blue III 36%
27%
38%
46%
Ron Elmer 22%
19%
24%
22%
Undecided 43%
54%
38%
32%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Bond Proposal Vote

proposal
63%
69%
73%

proposal
17%
19%
19%
Not sure 15%
21%
13%
8%
March 11-13, 2016
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Raleigh, NC 27604

PPP Poll North Carolina - With Head To Head Matchups

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PPP Poll North Carolina - With Head To Head Matchups

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

March 13, 2016

INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

Trump Still Leads NC; Bond Likely To Pass

Interestingly Kasich is now the most broadly popular candidate in North

McCrory/Cooper contest will be a real thing on Wednesday, and we've found

Phone: 888 621-6988

North Carolina Survey Results

Will you vote in the Democratic or Republican

Not sure .......................................................... 17%

The Republican candidates for President are

Unfavorable .................................................... 48%

Donald Trump ................................................. 44%

Unfavorable .................................................... 38%

Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Are you firmly committed to your current choice

Given the same list of choices, who would be

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Marco Rubio ................................................... 7%

Firmly committed to your current choice ......... 83%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

John Kasich .................................................... 11%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Marco

Q10 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

March 11-13, 2016

Q11 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Q12 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Q13 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Q14 The Republican candidates for US Senate are

Q15 The Republican candidates for Governor are

Q16 The Republican candidates for Attorney

Q17 The Republican candidates for Commissioner

Q18 The Republican candidates for Commissioner

Q19 There is a 2 billion dollar bond on the ballot to

Pat McCrory.................................................... 70%

Vote for the bond proposal.............................. 47%

Charles Kenneth Moss.................................... 7%

Vote against the bond proposal ...................... 43%

Not sure .......................................................... 10%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

March 11-13, 2016

Q20 Have you already voted using Early Voting or

Q21 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

Q23 If you are a Republican, press 1. If you are an

Q24 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

Very liberal ...................................................... 4%

Somewhat liberal ............................................ 4%

Older than 65 .................................................. 26%

Somewhat conservative.................................. 35%

Q22 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

March 11-13, 2016

Republican President Primary

Ted John Marco Donald

Primary Party Vote

Republican President Primary

Ted John Marco Donald

John Kasich 11%

Donald Trump 44%

Ted Cruz 33%