Professional Documents
Culture Documents
In general terms, the perspective of turnover growth has declined during the last 6-7 months, with a larger
number of companies envisaging negative growth values (12% in Aug vs 2% in Feb). However, the percentage
of companies anticipating a turnover growth rate of 10-31% has increased from 28% in Feb to 37% in Aug
2014.
Companies expectations regarding profit growth largely stayed the same in August compared to
February 2014. If at the beginning of the year 84% of respondent companies were expecting an
increase in profits, in August the percentage reached only 81%. However, 8% of respondents still say
2
that they expect their profit to grow by more than 31% in 2014.
5 main
findings
4
Page 2
Companies expectations with regards to the evolution of their employees number are quite different
in August compared to February 2014. While in Aug 2014, 18% of companies expect a 5-10%
increase in personnel numbers, only 5% said so at the beginning of the year. Also, 22% say now that
they will have no new staff this year compared to 37% in Feb 2014.
More than half of the respondent companies (51% in August) predict a growth in salary level of 5-10%,
while 30% of them (a 9% increase) continue to anticipate higher growth rates of 10-21% in salaries
during this year.
When it comes to financing investments, companies continue to use mostly bank loans (54% in February vs.
49% in August), followed by share capital increase (10% in February vs. 22% in August). There was a steep
reduction in the own resources, intercompany loans and reinvested profit segment, down to 16% in August
from 34% in February 2014.
Business outlook survey 2014 Mid-year edition
Page 3
Financial results
96%
82%
78%
Customer satisfaction
50%
Market share
63%
42%
39%
Brand awareness
Number of years on the market
Feb-14
7%
5%
7%
Number of employees
3%
2%
Other
Aug-14
18%
9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Usually, companies measure their success by a combination of financial results, market share, and brand awareness. In
the second half of 2014, the financial results and market share elements a mild decrease while, criteria such as number of
years in the market, customer satisfaction, and brand awareness go up significantly.
Page 4
6%
2%
20% to 30%
7%
10%
10% to 20%
19%
22%
27%
5% to 10%
30%
18%
1% to 5%
37%
5%
0%
Aug-14
3%
3%
2%
5%
-1% to -5%
-5% to -10%
Feb-14
2%
-10% to -20%
-20% to -30%
1%
Exceeding -31%
1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
In general terms, the perspective of turnover growth has declined during the last 6-7 months, with a larger number of
companies envisaging negative growth values (12% in Aug vs 2% in Feb). The percentage of companies that expect
a 1-5% turnover growth decreased also by 19%. However, the percentage of companies anticipating a turnover growth
rate of 10-31% has increased from 28% in Feb to 37% in Aug 2014.
Page 5
8%
Tourism
15%
8%
Telecommunication / Media
22%
8%
9%
8%
5%
4% 4%
38%
14%
4%
12%
46%
14%
Services
35%
58%
14%
31%
15%
Exceeding 31%
14%
14%
9%
50%
9%
2%
12%
7%
7%
4%
+20 to +30%
+10 to +20%
+5 to +10%
33%
25%
6%
Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare
0%
17%
10%
12%
10%
30%
50%
15%
22%
5%
26%
40%
60%
6%
5%
6%
70%
80%
6%
10%
9%
-1% to -5%
-5% to -10%
7%
-10% to -20%
3% 4%
-20% to -30%
14%
19%
29%
20%
15%
16%
23%
0%
17%
37%
30%
14%
6%
15%
21%
13%
14%
6%
10%
25%
47%
21%
28%
6%
1% to +5%
50%
8%
67%
5%
5%
Exceeding -31%
6% 3% 3%
90%
100%
14% of responding companies in Food & Beverages / Agriculture industry sector, 9% in Services, and 8% in Retail &
Wholesale, Pharmaceuticals, and Transportation sectors expect a turnover growth rate of more than 31%.
Page 6
Exceeding 31%
6%
20% to 30%
7%
17%
10% to 20%
19%
22%
21%
5% to 10%
28%
1% to 5%
30%
9%
10%
0%
6%
4%
-5% to -10%
2%
-10% to -20%
1%
-20% to -30%
1%
Exceeding -31%
Total Respondents: 292
(Skipped this question: 13)
Feb-14
2%
-1% to -5%
Aug-14
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Companies expectations regarding profit growth largely stayed the same in August compared to February 2014. If at the
beginning of the year 84% of respondent companies were expecting an increase in profits, in August the percentage
reached only 81%. However, 8% of respondents still say that they expect their profit to grow by more than 31% in 2014.
Page 7
6%
18%
Tourism
18%
25%
Telecommunication / Media
9%
Services
6%
9%
8%
5%
23%
35%
25%
26%
27%
13%
6%
6%
46%
8%
42%
6%
Exceeding 31%
9%
5% 3%
8%
5% 3%
+20 to +30%
+10 to +20%
Retail & Wholesale trade
4% 4%
20%
33%
25%
25%
6%
Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare
Industry / Manufacturing
13%
10%
5%
14%
6%
0%
9%
30%
16%
5%
6%
20%
18%
11%
18%
24%
40%
6%
23%
-10% to -20%
2%2% 7% 2%
19%
10%
31%
9%
60%
80%
6%
-1% to -5%
-5% to -10%
19%
33%
24%
0%
6%
19%
23%
+5 to +10%
1% to +5%
25%
31%
13%
8%
33%
18%
38%
6%
8%
25%
35%
8%
28%
34%
28%
5%
5%
-20% to -30%
Exceeding -31%
6% 3%
100%
It is noteworthy that 25% of respondent companies in Tourism sector see a potential profit growth of +31%, followed by
companies in Food & Beverages / Agriculture (14%), and companies in Industry / Manufacturing (10%).
Page 8
Exceeding 31%
2%
20% to 30%
5%
9%
9%
10% to 20%
5% to 10%
18%
5%
1% to 5%
30%
35%
Aug-14
22%
0%
6%
-1% to -5%
37%
Feb-14
9%
4%
5%
-5% to -10%
1%
-10% to -20%
1%
-20% to -30%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Companies expectations with regards to the evolution of their employees number are quite different in August compared
to February 2014. While in Aug 2014, 18% of companies expect a 5-10% increase in personnel numbers, only 5% said so
at the beginning of the year. Also, 22% say now that they will have no new staff this year compared to 37% in Feb 2014.
Page 9
4% 4%
8%
17%
Tourism
22%
60%
Telecommunication / Media
Services
33%
14%
5%
8%
7%
29%
42%
4%
14%
17%
27%
12%
38%
34%
67%
17%
Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare
38%
15%
4%
+20 to +30%
+10 to +20%
33%
+5 to +10%
33%
+1% to +5%
28%
24%
Exceeding 31%
5% 2%
19%
33%
8%
40%
43%
10%
4%
11%
38%
15%
6%
8%
0%
-1% to -5%
-5% to -10%
8%
2%3%
5%
15%
15%
14%
5%
5%
19%
14%
18%
0%
15%
30%
8%
47%
37%
40%
8%
19%
14%
24%
20%
39%
60%
3%2%
-10% to -20%
-20% to -30%
10%
6%
80%
12%
3%
100%
The industry sectors that expect the highest growth in personnel numbers (exceeding 31%) are the following:
Retail & Wholesale trade (8%), Services (5%), and Transportation (4%).
Page 10
Exceeding 21%
10% to 20%
2%
6%
5% to 10%
19%
23%
51%
1% to 5%
Aug-14
60%
Feb-14
17%
19%
0%
-1% to -5%
1%
-5% to -10%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
More than half of the respondent companies (51% in August) predict a growth in salary level of 5-10%, while
30% of them (a 9% increase) continue to anticipate higher growth rates of 10-21% in salaries during this year.
Page 11
4%
17%
Tourism
66%
30%
60%
Telecommunication / Media
Services
13%
10%
57%
29%
14%
Exceeding 21%
2%
7%
14%
39%
32%
2% 4%
+10 to +20%
Retail & Wholesale trade
4% 4%
27%
34%
33%
8%
Industry / Manufacturing
Food & Beverages / Agriculture
Construction / Real Estate
0%
6%
32%
0%
28%
6%
62%
-10% to -20%
51%
29%
8%
47%
12%
40%
Exceeding -21%
19%
61%
20%
-1% to -5%
-5% to -10%
77%
38%
+5 to +10%
1% to +5%
67%
15%
5%
4%
33%
31%
3%
3%
15%
33%
28%
Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare
46%
24%
60%
80%
100%
The industry sectors in which companies expect a salary increase exceeding 20% are: Power / Energy / Mining (28%),
followed at a great distance by Services (9%), and by Retail & Wholesale trade, Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare, and
Information Technology with 8% each.
Page 12
12%
Very confident
7%
39%
Somewhat confident
30%
Aug-14
Feb-14
34%
Slightly confident
49%
15%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
The level of trust in the industry sector in which the respondent companies operate has improved between February and
August 2014. The proportion of the companies slightly confident has gone down by 15%, while the percentage of
somewhat confident and very confident companies increased by 9% and 5% respectively.
Page 13
32%
Very confident
40%
40%
Somewhat confident
37%
Aug-14
Feb-14
20%
Slightly confident
23%
8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
If in February 2014 zero percent of respondents were not at all confident about the growth of their company, in August
2014 this percentage has gone up to 8%, while the proportion of very confident companies has gone down to 32% in
August from 40% in February 2014.
Page 14
38%
37%
35%
30%
26%
27%
25%
20%
Aug-14
14% 14%
15%
Feb-14
14%
9%
10%
6%
7%
7%
5%
1%
0%
Low cost
Strong brand
Distribution channels
awareness (trust)
Partnerships
R&D
Other
Low cost as the main strength of the respondents competition in the local market increased from 26% in February to 38%
in August 2014. Competitors brand is not anymore the most important one (27% in Aug vs. 37% in Feb). A notable
increase is seen in the Partnerships segment, up to 14% in August from 9% at the beginning of 2014.
Page 15
Increase dramatically
2%
62%
Somewhat change
60%
Somewhat increase
53%
Somewhat decrease
36%
36%
Aug-14
37%
Feb-14
8%
2%
Change dramatically
Decrease dramatically
3%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
In August 2014, 53% of companies expect the demand from their customers to somewhat increase and 36% believe
that it will stay the same. However, overall there are no major variations in trends in August compared to February 2014.
Page 16
12% 7%
Aug-14 10%
0%
33%
20%
20%
Marketing
27%
34%
40%
(2)
23%
60%
(3)
(4)
Feb-14
21%
Aug-14
13%
80%
19%
14%
0%
100%
14%
20%
20%
26%
36%
32%
40%
(2)
60%
(3)
(4)
5%
28%
6%
80%
100%
Brand Positioning
Feb-14
16%
Aug-14
17%
0%
19%
33%
21%
20%
25%
27%
40%
(2)
27%
60%
(3)
(4)
80%
7%
8%
100%
Although in decrease, a potential change in customers demand seems to impact the most on operations of the
respondent companies (13% in August, in decrease from 21% in February) and not so much marketing and brand
positioning.
Page 17
Feb-14
40%
Aug-14
28%
31%
0%
20%
23%
31%
27%
40%
(2)
60%
(3)
(4)
Organizational Structure
7% 2%
Feb-14
9% 2%
Aug-14
80%
100%
21%
17%
0%
28%
28%
20%
38%
20%
40%
(2)
60%
(3)
(4)
21%
20%
80%
2%
5%
100%
Innovation
Feb-14 5%
Aug-14
12%
0%
16%
23%
35%
16%
25%
20%
40%
(2)
21%
33%
60%
(3)
(4)
14%
80%
100%
Also in decrease, innovation comes second in the ranking of the areas perceived as having the highest impact as a result
of a change in customers demand (14% in August vs 21% in February 2014).
Page 18
Legal environment
Feb-14
18%
Aug-14
8%
0%
35%
15%
10%
26%
28%
20%
30%
27%
40%
21%
50%
(2)
(3)
60%
(4)
22%
70%
80%
90%
100%
The impact of the legal environment on the growth of the company is perceived as relatively stable at the high-end ratings
(21% in February vs 22% in August 2014).
Page 19
Tax environment
Feb-14 2%
Aug-14
14%
7%
0%
28%
8%
10%
19%
23%
20%
30%
37%
31%
40%
(2)
50%
(3)
31%
60%
(4)
70%
80%
90%
100%
In August 62% of respondents consider that tax environment plays a high and very high role in the growth of their
company, on increase from 56% in February.
Page 20
Regulatory environment
Feb-14
2%
7%
Aug-14
0%
9%
33%
11%
10%
33%
22%
20%
30%
23%
33%
40%
50%
(2)
(3)
27%
60%
(4)
70%
80%
90%
100%
The regulatory framework seems to be perceived as of a highest impact in August 27% compared to 23% in February.
Both in August and February, 33% of the respondents agreed that regulatory environment plays a high role in their
companys growth in 2014.
Page 21
54%
August 2014
23%
10%
13%
Aug-14
Our company used venture
capital to finance its investments
Own resources
Feb-14
12%
27%
2%
60%
Intercompany
loans
Reinvested profit
16%
34%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
When it comes to financing investments, companies continue to use mostly bank loans (54% in February vs. 49% in
August), followed by share capital increase (10% in February vs. 23% in August). There was a steep reduction in the own
resources, intercompany loans and reinvested profit segment, down to 16% in August from 34% in February 2014.
Page 22
48%
49%
Bank loans
26%
21%
August 2014
Aug-14
Feb-14
Venture capital
Own resources, intercompany
loans, reinvested profit
Other
12%
11%
3%
Own resources
35%
12%
12%
62%
Intercompany
loans
Reinvested profit
2%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
In August as well, companies main strategy for financing future investments appears to be through bank loans 48% vs.
49% in February 2014. The share capital increase segment is expected to be up to 26% compared to 12% in February.
Page 23
32%
34%
23%
22%
Cost reduction
16%
17%
New products
11%
15%
6%
Talent acquisition
Aug-14
4%
2%
3%
5%
1%
Attraction of EU funds
Mergers & Acquisition
Reduced market coverage
Reduced capital investment
2%
2%
Feb-14
5%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
In the past 6 months, businesses reacted to the pressures coming from the business environment by increasing
productivity (34% in August vs. 32% in February), by reducing costs (23% in August vs. 22% in February), or by new
products launching (16% in August vs. 17% in February).
Page 24
60%
80%
33%
24%
32%
32%
31%
29%
Feb-14
14%
10%
Cutting prices
5%
5%
Increasing prices
Merging with and/or acquring competitors to increase market
share
Total Respondents: 285
(Skipped this question: 20)
Aug-14
18%
22%
3%
7%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
In August, 60% of respondents say their companys strategy to increase sales will consist in introducing new
products/services for existing clients (compared to 80% in February), 33% say they will be increasing investment in
marketing and sales (compared with 24% in February), while 18% will be adapting existing products/service for new
geographic markets (compared to 22% in February).
Page 25
61%
56%
42%
56%
13%
10%
Aug-14
Feb-14
5%
10%
4%
5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Unlike in February, when only 56% of companies said that they would continue to stay on the market if it declined, in
August the percentage increased up to 61%. However, a lower percentage of companies (42% in August vs. 56% in
February) seem to be willing to transform the market through innovative approaches in case such a decline occurs.
Page 26
Demographics
The results of this survey reflect the
responses received to our
questionnaire in the period between
28 Jul. and 8 Aug. 2014, from 305
top executives of major companies
operating in Romania.
Page 27
Demographics
Industry sector
22%
26%
Industry / Manufacturing
14%
9%
11%
10%
Services
Construction / Real Estate
46%
Retail & Wholesale trade
2%
No
9%
4%
7%
Transportation
43%
Food & Beverages / Agriculture
6%
Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare
Information Technology (IT)
Chemicals
Tourism
Yes
Telecommunication / Media
57%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1%
1%
12%
Other
1%
Aug-14
Feb-14
60%
0%
Page 28
17%
4%
4%
5%
4%
4%
2%
4%
2%
2%
8%
54%
0%
9%
10%
20%
30%
Demographics
Business type
29%
100 M EUR +
5%
37%
Business to Government
6%
12%
50-100 M EUR
15%
22%
Aug-14
Business to Consumers
29%
33%
10-50 M EUR
29%
Feb-14
Feb-14
21%
1-10 M EUR
15%
73%
Business to Business
65%
0%
Page 29
20%
40%
60%
5%
80%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Aug-14
40%
Demographics
Job title of respondent
Entity type
CEO/President/Managing
director
77%
54%
38%
Privately owned
17%
CFO/Treasurer/Controller
56%
28%
Manager
8%
7%
Board member
6%
8%
14%
Pubicly listed
36%
Aug-14
SVP/VP/Director
5%
13%
Feb-14
Feb-14
Public Equity / Portfolio
company
Government/State-owned
enterprise
7%
Head of department
4%
3%
3%
2%
3%
5%
2%
3%
CIO/Technology director
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Page 30
Aug-14
1%
Constantin Mgdlina
Elena Badea
Associate Director
Branding, Marketing and Communication
EY Romania
constantin.magdalina@ro.ey.com
elena.badea@ro.ey.com
Page 31
ey.com
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