Professional Documents
Culture Documents
BOND VALUATION
Bonds
Bondholders are lending the corporation
money for some stated period of time.
Bonds can be traded in the secondaryy
market.
Price at which a given bond trades is
determined by market conditions and
terms of the bond.
Definition of a Bond
A bond is a legally binding agreement between
a borrower and a lender that specifies the:
Characteristic of Bonds
Maturity
Time at which the original principal (Par Value) is repaid
to the bondholder.
C+ FV
...
BOND TYPES
Bond Terminology
Par Value or Face Value
Coupon Interest Rate
Based On Issuer
Tax implications
p
for investors
Corporate bonds
Convertible bonds may be exchanged for another asset
Risk that issuer may default on payments
Indenture
Document which details the legal obligation of the
corporation to the bondholders.
BOND TYPES
Based on Coupon Payment
Zero Coupon Bonds
Fixed Rate Coupon Bonds
Floating Coupon Bonds
Rating companies
Moodys Investor Service
Standard & Poors
Reverse Floater
Inflation Index Bond
Rating Categories
Based On Collateral :
secured bonds
Investment grade
Speculative grade
Mortgage Bonds
Equipment Trust Bonds
Unsecured bonds :
Debenture Bonds
Subordinate Bonds
Bond Ratings
Moodys and Standard & Poors regularly monitor
corporate financial statements and assign a rating
to the corporations debt
similar to a personal credit report
Investment
Grade
Junk
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
B
CCC
CC
C
D
Top Quality
Low Quality
No interest being paid
Currently in Default
id
AAA
id
A1
Superior
id
AA
id
A2
Very Strong
id
id
A3
Strong
id
BBB
id
A4
Adequate
id
BB
id
Somewhat Weak
id
Weak
Non-investment
id
CCC
id
Vulnerable
id
id
Default
Sinking funds
Subordination of future debt
Dividend restrictions
Collateral
International Bonds
Represent a rapidly growing category
Reflects willingness of borrowers to borrow across
borders
Sovereign risk
A government may refuse to honor its debts
Foreign Bonds
Categories of foreign bonds
Yankee bonds
Issued by non-U.S. borrowers within the U.S.
Samurai bonds
Yen-denominated
Yen denominated bonds issued in Japan by non
non-Japanese
Japanese
borrowers
Shogun bonds
Non-yen-denominated bonds issued in Japan by nonJapanese borrowers
Bulldog bonds
Issued by non-British borrowers in the U.K.denominated in
pounds
Value
Bond Valuation
Bond Price Determinants
Macroeconomic condition
Issuers Industry
Issuer Performance/creditworthy
I
Instrument
SStructure
Rating
Pricing
Covenant
Market Liquidity
Valuation
Security Valuation
In general, the intrinsic value of an
asset = the present value of the
stream of expected cash flows
discounted
d
scou ted at a
an app
appropriate
op ate required
equ ed
rate of return.
Can the intrinsic value of an asset
differ from its market value?
V =
t=1
Ct
((1 + k))t
Bond Concepts
Ytm = 7%.
1,211
Ytm = 10%.
1,000
837
Ytm = 13%.
775
30
25
20
15
10
Bond Valuation
Bond Valuation
Sebuah obligasi memiliki karakteristik : Nilai pari
= Rp 1 miliar, akan jatuh tempo dalam 5 tahun,
Tingkat kupon = 15 % per tahun (annually) dan
yield to maturity adalah sebesar 17 %. Harga
wajar dari obligasi tersebut adalah :
a. Lebih kecil dari Rp 1 M
b. Rp 1 miliar
c. Rp 1,17 miliar
d. Rp 1,68 miliar
BP =
t=1
RpCt
RpFV
+
(1 + Yb)n
(1 + Yb)t
1300
Bond Value
1200
1100
$31.875
$31.875
$31.875
$1,031.875
6 / 30 / 10
12 / 31 / 10
1000
1 / 1 / 06
6 / 30 / 06
12 / 31 / 06
800
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
6 3/8
0.08
0.09
0.1
Discount Rate
PV =
$1,000
$31.875
1
1
+
= $825.69
10
.11 2 (1.055) (1.055)10
$0
$0
$0
$F
T 1
$0
$0
$1,000
L
L
T
30
29
PV =
PV =
FV
(1 + R )T
Bond Example
Suppose our firm decides to issue 20-year
bonds with a par value of Rp 1 Bio and
annual coupon payments. The return on
other corporate bonds of similar risk is
currently 12%, so we decide to offer a 12%
coupon interest rate.
FV
$1,000
=
= $174.11
(1 + R)T (1.06)30
Bond Example
120
120
120
...
1000
120
...
20
Bond Example
Bond Example
Mathematical Solution:
Mathematical Solution:
BP = PMT
BP = PMT
1-
1
(1 + i)n
i
1-
+ FV / (1 + i)n
BP =
120 1 -
1
(1 + i)n
i
+ FV / (1 + i)n
1
(1.12 )20 +
.12
1000/ (1.12) 20
= Rp 1 Bio
Bond Example
Note:
Note:
If the coupon
p rate = discount rate,
rate,
the bond will sell for par value.
value.
Bond Example
Mathematical Solution:
BP = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n )
BP = 120 (PVIFA .10, 20 ) + 1000 (PVIF .10, 20 )
BP = PMT
1-
1
(1 + i)n
i
+ FV / (1 + i)n
1
(1.10 )20 + 1000/ (1.10)
.10
PV = Rp 1,170 Bio
PV =
120 1 -
20
Note:
If the coupon rate > discount rate,
the bond will
ill sell for a premium.
premi m
Bond Example
Bond Example
Mathematical Solution:
BP =
1-
120 1 -
1
(1 + i)n
i
+ FV / (1 + i)n
1
(1.14 )20 + 1000/ (1.14)
20
= 867,54 M
.14
10
Note:
If the coupon rate < discount rate,
the bond will sell for a discount.
Suppose
p
are
coupons
semi-annual
Bond Example
Mathematical Solution:
BP = PMT (PVIFA k, n ) + FV (PVIF k, n )
BP = 60 (PVIFA .07, 40 ) + 1000 (PVIF .07, 40 )
BP = PMT
1-
1
(1 + i)n
i
+ FV / (1 + i)n
1
(1.07 )40 + 1000 / (1.07)
.07
BP = Rp 866,68 M
BP =
60 1 -
40
11
Yield To Maturity
The expected rate of return on a
bond.
The rate of return investors earn on a
bond if they hold it to maturity.
maturity
P0 =
t=1
$Ct
(1 + kb)t
$M
(1 + kb)n
YTM Example
YTM Example
Mathematical Solution:
Suppose we paid $898.90 for a
$1,000 par 10% coupon bond
with 8 years to maturity and
semi annual coupon payments.
semi-annual
payments
1-
1
(1 + i)n
i
1
898.90 = 50 1 - (1 + i )16
k, 16 )
+ FV / (1 + i)n
solve using trial and error
1000 / (1 + i) 16
12
FV - BP
n
YTM =
FV
+
2
BP
Bonds Risk
Price
Yield
13
Accrued Interest
Accrued Interest
Accrued interest calculation:
Accrued
=
Interest
Calculation
( Coupon Payment )
Thus,
Th the
h actuall price
i for
f a bond
b d is
i the
h bonds
b d clean
l
price plus the accrued interest
But buyers must pay the dirty price, which is always higher
if bond is between coupon payment dates
However, difference is not substantial
Zero Example
Suppose you pay $508 for a zero
coupon bond that has 10 years
left to maturity.
What
Wh is
i your yield
i ld to maturity?
i ?
14
Zero Example
PV = -508
-$508
$1000
Zero Example
FV = 1000
Mathematical Solution:
PV = FV (PVIF i, n )
508 = 1000 (PVIF i, 10 )
.508
508 = (PVIF i, 10 ) [use
[
PVIF table]
bl ]
10
PV = FV /(1 + i) 10
508 = 1000 /(1 + i)10
1.9685 = (1 + i)10
i = 7%
10
950 =
20
t =1
35 1000
+
T
t
(1+ r ) (1+ r )
10 yr Maturity
Coupon Rate = 7%
Price = $950
Yield Measures
Bond Equivalent Yield
7.72% = 3.86% x 2
Effective Annual Yield
(1 0386)2 - 1 = 7.88%
(1.0386)
7 88%
Current Yield
Annual Interest / Market Price
$70 / $950 = 7.37 %
15
Holding-Period Return:
Single Period
HPR = [ I + ( P0 - P1 )]
/ P0
where
I = interest payment
P1 = price in one period
P0 = purchase price
16
Holding-Period Example
CR = 8%
YTM = 8% N=10 years
Semiannual Compounding P0 = $1000
In six months the rate falls to 7%
P1 = $1068.55
$1068 55
HPR = [40 + ( 1068.55 - 1000)] / 1000
HPR = 10.85% (semiannual)
17