Professional Documents
Culture Documents
R48A
Henny Zahrany
29112551
I.
Background
Social media services has become parts of nowadays lives that facilitate many of
our needs, especially needs for communication, information, meeting new friends,
sharing facility, join a discussion in a community, etc and now it has evolved into
fulfilling peoples needs in doing business, have some entertainment in many various
ways possible (games, quizzes, etc) and many others. Its not just a platform, as the
technology develop and customers needs getting more complicated and always seek for
something new, it is such an important key to keep innovating to fulfill customers needs
and creating many other possibilities to creates customer satisfaction.
Facebook is one of the most successful online social networking services in the
world, it has its triumph back in the day and has successfully managed to outcome its
competitors, but now it faces even more challenging circumstances and threats as people
are started to migrate its social media activities to other social medias. The 2014
demographic reports of Facebook showed that there has been a decline in Teens users for
about -25.3% over the last three years, supplemented with even interesting facts, the 55
years old and above users has exploded with a 80.4% growth in the last three years
(http://istrategylabs.com/2014/01/3-million-teens-leave-facebook-in-3-years-the-2014facebook-demographic-report/).
2014 maybe is not really a good year for Facebook for its stock price. Facebook
started the year on a high, with its stock selling more than 50% above its IPO price, but
the company is ending 2014 in a very dark place. After briefly exceeding a price of $70
per share, Facebook's stock is now back to its mid-2013 level.
Facebook has conducting many strategic and tactical moves in a fast pace, many
change executed in the service to enhance its performances, it also commencing many
partnership and acquisition, Facebook has acquired 10 companies such as WhatsApp,
ConnectU, Instragram, etc and the latest one is Oculus VR, a virtual reality technology
company. Most of Facebooks acquisitions have been a Talent Acquisition and acquired
producrs are often shut-down, though its an exception for Instagram.
With the changing in customers behavior, needs, and also preferences, declining
stock price back to its mid-2013 level, competition with Google, Microsoft, Twitter, Path,
Vine, and many other social media, also including internet or mobile companies that
could offer products and services that compete with Facebooks features, with its
integrated business strategy they could crush Facebook in a blink of an eye if they dont
think fast and could actually predict and have visions of what will it do in the future. With
85% of its revenue coming from advertising, Facebook also competes with both
traditional and online media business. Severe competition and threats in technology and
social media industry, makes it critical to maintain and enhance its business, this paper
aims to provide a Strategic Management Process along with Projected Financial
Statement, and the Business Model of Facebook, which could give the company a broad
picture of how the company could achieve strategic competitiveness and earn above
average return.
II.
III.
Analysis
1. Strategic Management Process
Segments
Elements
Facebook allows users from age of 13 to any age to
use it
(istrategylabs.com/2014/01/3-million-teens-leavefacebook-in-3-years-the-2014-facebook-demographicDemographi
c segment
(http://wearesocial.com.au/blog/2014/04/15/so
by
the
IMF
and
mainstream
economic forecasts.
Equity prices in most of the world should
Rivalry among
competitors
Bargaining power of
suppliers
Threat of substitute
products
1. Threat
Bargaining power of
buyers
LOW
of new
entrant
201).
Despite
rapid
growth,
whereas
can
be
by
the
user
and
Facebooks
the
platform.
According
to
comes
advertising
Theres
even
from
(Ebersman,
a
69%
social
2012).
increase
average ad price.
Also Developers
as
Facebooks
with
on.
opportunities
This
creates
for the
site to
keywords.
While Facebook
currently
has
experience,
the
customers
not
monetized
the
mobile
LOW
products
short
messaging
services
that
video
communication
over
Facebooks
growth
has
grown,
infrastructure
to
compete
with
Metrics
More than
billion
Capabilities
Objectives/Values
active users
Strategy
markets
database, users
them as
can connect in
platform
better ways
Google+
allows u
Organize
active users
youtube
and universally
the
to connec
worlds Google+
accessible them as
extension
competitive
other
advantage over
services
Facebook.
(gmail,
search,
video
sharing
youtube,
photo
sharing
picasa)
provides
Google is one of the biggest competitors of Facebook and they compete with
each other at many levels from social networking to advertising.
a) Advertising - Googles Adsense and Facebook ads is the main source of
their revenues. They are both into the advising business. They are
competing for advertising budget of other companies. Not only
Facebook provide a way for advertisers to target their ads to specific
demographics and interests of the users but the use of the social graph
can potentially create a network effect on sales that Google can only
limitedly provide. That is attracting advertisers. The following show Ad
revenue of Facebook and Google conducted by eMarketer.com.
1.1.2.
Internal Environment Analysis
a. Resources
Tangible Resources
Physical Resources
Intangible Resources
Sharing Knowledge
XL Axiata owned by Axiata group
Million
users
worldwide.
As
Hello
Facebooks
and
database
their
most
valuable resource.
The major resources of Facebook are
the servers that keep the site running
despite the heavy amounts of traffic.
These
servers
are very
essential
Kamboja,
contributes
sharing
to
knowle
performa
depend
On
solely
November
on
1,
the
2005,
center
operator
Terremark
like
button.
As
users
or
products
they
liked,
(Kessler,
2012).
Though
pictures.
Introduction
Subscribe,
of
features
Timeline,
like
Spotify
smaller,
more
narrowly
experience,
rather
even
carry
Facebooks
Management
Recently Mark Zuckerberg, the companys co-founder and chief
executive, has been working on revamping the way the company creates
and distributes new services. The effort, which he began this year, is
called Creative Labs. In the past, he said, Facebook was one big thing, a
website or mobile app that let you indulge all of your online social
needs. Now, on mobile phones especially, Facebook will begin to
splinter into many smaller, more narrowly focused services, some of
which wont even carry Facebooks branding, and may not require a
Facebook account to use.
Mr. Zuckerbergs plan isnt really a surprise. Facebook has long
been offering its services in separate apps; it introduced a stand-alone
text-message app, Messenger, in 2011. The new plan will accelerate that
effort. To use all of Facebooks features, you may need to install a bunch
of different apps that will each prioritize a single function, from
browsing the News Feed to sending messages to interacting with groups.
The Creative Labs strategy fits with Mr. Zuckerbergs view that some
parts of the mobile Internet are much bigger and more complicated than
Marketing
Facebook has its consumers from the users, advertisers, and developers.
From these consumers, Facebook has commencing strategy for
marketing in each of the segment. In fact, Facebook has beaten Twitter
to the title of the most "marketing friendly" social platform, according to
a poll of social media marketers carried out by the Direct Marketing
Association.
http://marketingland.com/facebook-marketing-friendly-80861, 21 April
2014.
According to a survey of 171 UK social marketers, Facebook is the
favored platform for social media campaign development and
evaluation. The survey was conducted by the Social Media Council of
the London-based Direct Marketing Assn. Survey participants were
asked to rate each social network from 1 to 10 in campaign planning,
All of these talents have various experiences and skills that could
complement each other into building Facebooks vision & mission.
Recent mergers and acquisition also intended to absorb exceptional
talents that will help Facebook into reaching many potential outside its
current position now.
c. Core Competencies
From the capabilities explained above, I believe the capability that has a
unique value for Facebook are from the management information system,
marketing, human resources, and Research and development capabilities.
Two tools that help firm to identify their core competence, are:
a. The combinations of four criteria for sustainable competitive advantage:
Question
Is
Answer
the Yes
Reason
The core competencies could neutralized
capabalitites
valuable?
resources,
since
it
is
and
making
rapid
into
many
smaller,
more
the Yes
branding.
Other competitors
in
capabilities
difficulty
building
rare ?
some
resources
the No
capabilities
costly
capabilities compared.
It is indeed difficult for new entrants or other
existing competitor to straightly compete
to
imitate ?
Is
the Yes
new.
Facebooks
intangible
cannot
be
capabilities
Nonsubstitutabl
e?
Conclusion :
The competitive consequence from the above combinations is a Temporary
Competitive Advantage. Hence the performance implication is average
return s to above average returns.
b. Value Chain Analysis
Before jumping to Facebooks value chain analysis, first lets compare the
traditional media companys value chain with the social media companys
value chain. There are some similarities, but there are some differences that
can be identified, such as:
User loop bacl: the users of social media services are involved in a sort
of loop back arrangement where they produce most of the content use
by the service, but they are also the ones who consume it.
No payment provided to content creators: in spite of investing a lot of
time creating the content used by social media services, users do not
carefully and are always tied to features, not the actual UGC.
No internal content-production function: a social media services main
role lies in creating and operating an infrastructure that provides users
with tools they can use to create or upload their own personalized
content.
There are some key points to make about the agile value chain, the
primary activities are a cohesive set of activities, and it is important to
optimize value across the entire life cycle. The value of primary activities
can be dramatically enhanced with good supporting activity. That
supporting capabilities may be delivered using primary activities which
either have qualified goals and objectives, or that the outcomes of
primary activities are harvested to create supporting capabilities.
Facebook has relentlessly evolved its product, even when users
were resistant to change, allowing it to incorporate ideas that could have
disrupted it had it remained stagnant. Its created a lucrative Platform
developers want to build on. Finally, its turned its Pages and advertising
products into central components of brand and local marketing, giving it
the money to fund innovation elsewhere.
Facebook have their own infrastructure rather than using a third
party cloud provider and they built own data centres to support physical
infrastructure which available to partners as API and IaaS, also they
maintain a PaaS service for those the partners, and theyre both deliver
their own SaaS for specific applications . They are also one of the largest
photo repositories on the planet due to inexpesive and scalable cloud
storage.
They have also launched the Open Compute program that allows
large scale data server and storage services to enter into the world of
Facebook and ultimately make recommendations for how the architecture
can be improved.
The defense system, run by a 30- person security team, is designed
to weed out spam and malicious links. It analyzes up to 650,000 user
actions per second and 2 trillion link clicks per day. So Less than 0.5% of
Facebook users experience spam spreading. In case a users account is
hacked, Facebook is providing more ways for them to regain access.
These include Social Authentication that lets users identify friends in
photos to prove theyre an account owner, and the Trusted Friends feature
that sends an access code to a locked out users closest friends who can
share it with them so they can login again, this has created a high level of
trust and credibility among users.
These latest improvements to efficiency and security strengthened
the service in ways it was moving too fast to focus on. While only seven
years old, Facebook is looking more and more like an established,
sophisticated company ready to deliver value for a long time into the
future.
STRENGTH
Huge active user base; more than
WEAKNESS
Lack source of revenues, having
month
Huge amount of personal user
service
Inability to manage application feeds
languanges (localization)
Email and chat client integrated
Integration with websites and
applications
Organized and simple to use
interface (Design)
Broad target market
OPPORTUNITY
Consolidate Facebook Fan Pages
and Facebook App Pages They
seem redundant
Diversify sources of revenue
THREAT
Social networking audience is fickle
through Facebook
People have privacy concern with
Facebook
Many regional social networking
STRENGTH
1. Huge active user base;
WEAKNESSES
1. Lack source of revenues,
having difficulties in
month
2. Huge amount of
service
2. Inability to manage
personal user
information and
preferences
3. Present in all
geographies
4. Available in more
than 70 languanges
(localization)
5. Email and chat client
integrated
6. Integration with
websites and
applications
7. Organized and simple
to use interface
(Design)
8. Broad target market
OPPORTUNITY
1. Consolidate Facebook Fan
S-O
O-W
Increase targeted 1. Work on ways to reduce
1.
advertisements
and
clutter on FB homepages
2. Create more monetization
redundant
2. Diversify sources of
revenue (especially the
mobile one)
3. Improve Email and Chat
4. Facebook can provide
way
of
showing
opportunities
chat apps.
with Google)
5. Improve privacy structure
THREATS
S-T
T-W
1. Social
networking 1. Try to deliver localized 1. Always keep
enhancing
thy
move
frequently
shift
beyond
the
providers
language translations)
the website.
2. Risk of losing young, 2. Improve development 2. Increase opportunities to
hip image
3. Users using ad-block
extensions
4. Identity thefts and other
cyber crimes through
Facebook
5. People have
platform
on
aspects
privacy
Cost leadship in the social networking industry isnt a factor, because social cloud
services are free, but profits are basically generated from advertising and additional
applications. According to theverge.com, 85% of Facebook profits came from
advertising and 12% from Zynga - a social network game developer.
The revenue derived from Zyngas payments processing fees related to sales of
virtual goods, plus virtual and real gift shops. Facebook provides its own selfadvertising platform and competes with Amazon.com, Google Adwords, YouTube
and Twitter . The cloud marketing is low-cost oriented industry, so Facebook focuses
its strategy on uniqueness differentiation for a broad market.
It provides such advertising services like Campaign Cost and Budgeting with
cost per click (CPC) and cost per one thousand impressions (CPM) tool, attractive
user interface, like recently launched Timeline and free social media services
integrated with other highly valued websites, which delivers a massive exposure
potential for businesses.
Home and Paper also still in further development aside from critics they got from the
customers. From the previous competitive advantage analysis, Facebook has
tremendous sources and capabilities in the R&D and Human resources areas, but
apparently hasnt been able to monetize that into the profits since they still havent
found out to monetize the mobile service.
B. Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet
All numbers are in $ million unless
FY
FY
FY
FY
FY
FY
FY
mentioned otherwise
Ass
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
2,53
3,68
7,93
14,4
4
2,39
5
2,39
6
2,39
81
2,39
ets
Current Assets:
Cash & Cash Equivalents
Marketable Securities
6
1,26
6
1,28
6
2,92
6
3,39
6
6,37
Accounts Receivable
Prepaid Expenses & Other Current
373
547
9
1,22
7
2,07
Assets
88 149 252
2,24 4,60 5,11
427
6,63
723
9,72
5
14,9
4
25,3
56
28
1,47 1,99
3,36
5,06
7,97
12,0
574
5
2
59
80 149
37
82
82
74
90 179
2,99 6,33 7,51
5
215
82
250
10,5
6
350
82
414
15,6
9
529
82
622
24,1
54
816
82
962
39,2
2
9
2,39 2,39
49
40
68
42
29
63
104
141
244
358
553
1,44
75
171
267
382
1,38
633
2,98
958
6,45
9
13,9
Liabilities
Deferred Revenue & Deposits
Current Portion of Capital Lease
137
42
296
90
640
90
2
90
5
90
0
90
36
90
Obligations
106
279
279
1,37
279
2,27
279
4,23
279
8,13
279
16,3
389
899
08
117
250
72
398 322
135 135
1,43 1,83
228
135
2,63
109
135
4,47
17
135
8,28
11
135
16,4
54
615
2,68 2,68
2,68
2,68
2,68
2,68
PlatformPartners Payable
Accrued Expenses & Other Current
828
615
-
C. Cash Flow
Cash Flow Statement
All numbers are in $ million unless
FY
FY
FY
FY
FY
FY
FY
mentioned otherwise
Cash Flow from Operating
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
1,00
1,3
2,23
3,25
4,71
6,90
0
(174
93
(71
2
(1,6
6
(475
8
(2,9
7)
(10
(17)
(175
43)
(296
)
(501
78)
(849
Current Assets
Accounts Payable
Platform Partners Payable
Accrued Expenses & Other
(61)
34
96
3)
41
96
)
38
115
)
102
252
1,60
)
114
324
3,46
)
195
492
7,48
Current Liabilities
Deferred Revenue & Deposits
159
48
1,10
344
0
1,0
742
0
2,93
4
0
3,27
5
0
7,64
6
0
11,2
52
53
(901
(51
(1,3
(1,7
(2,9
(4,0
7)
73)
01)
(135
13)
(180
75)
(287
(21) (69)
(45)
(2,3
(66)
-
)
-
)
-
)
-
(164
(208
(340
(16) (89)
(3,3 (67
(71)
(1,5
)
(2,0
)
(3,3
)
(4,7
10)
00)
00)
02)
Net Income
Accounts Receivable
Prepaid Expenses & Other
96)
79)
4)
(119
Capital Lease Obligations
454 (76)
(250
Long-Term Debt
Other Liabilities
(94)
(92)
(6)
)
63
(61
1,73
5)
-
2,00
(69
(119
1)
(94)
(92)
(6)
(273
(31
1,33
1,15
4,25
6,54
3)
1,78
1,5
1,19
2,53
3,68
7,93
Opening Balance
5
(273
12
(31
9
1,33
4
1,15
5
4,25
6
6,54
)
1,51
3)
1,1
5
2,53
1
3,68
1
7,93
5
14,4
85
99
81
Closing Balance
D. WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital ), is one of the method to calculate the
firms overall cost of capital based on Ross(2008). Calculating WACC using cost
of debt, cost of equity, corporate tax (25%) and the proportion of debt & equity.
WACC = We x Re + Wd x Rd x (1-Tc)Where,
We = Weight of equity capital
Wd = Weight of debt capital
Re = Cost of equity
Rd = Cost of capital
Tc = Company Tax
Cost of Debt
The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its total debt.
As a company acquires debt through various bonds, loans and other forms of debt,
the cost of debt is a useful metric. It gives an idea as to the overall rate being paid
by the company to use debt financing. This measure is also useful because it gives
investors an idea as to the riskiness of the company compared with others. The
higher the cost of debt, the higher the risk for the investor.
Cost of debt (before tax) = Corporate Bond rate of companys bond rating.
Currently Facebook has no bonds.
Anticipating Facebook will receive an A bond rating from Standard and
Poors or Moody Facebooks current cost of debt = 5.10%
Current tax rate
2013 TTM = 41.46%
2013 TTM Facebook Inc. has averaged tax rate of 16.11%
10. Cost of Debt (After Tax) = (Cost of Debt Before Tax) (1 Tax Rate)
The effective rate that a company pays on its current debt after tax.
.051 x (1 .4146) = Cost of debt after tax
The cost of debt after tax for Facebook is 2.93%
Cost of Equity or R Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta Equity (Average
Market Return Risk Free Rate)
The cost of equity is the return a firm theoretically pays to its equity investors (for
example, shareholders) to compensate for the risk they undertake by investing in
their company.
Risk Free Rate = U.S. 10-year bond = 2.92% (Bloomberg)
Average Market Return 1950 2013 = 7%
Beta = (Macro Axis) Facebooks Beta = 2.1
Risk Free Rate + Beta Equity (Average Market Return Risk Free Rate)
2.92 + 2.1 (7- 2.92)
2.92 + 2.1 x 4.08
=
=
=
Net sales
Operating expenses
Operating profit (EBIT)
Taxes
Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT
Capital charges (invested capital X cost of capital)
EVA
First we calculated RONA, which is NOPAT/ net assets, from the data
presented above, we get:
RONA= NOPAT/ net assets
2236/ (10549-2637)= 0.282. From here, we can calculate EVA, which is
(RONA WACC)* invested capital, so:
EVA= (0.282 0.1137)* invested capital, invested capital calculated with this
formula:
Invested capital= total debt and leases + total equity and equity
equivalentsnon-operating cash and investments, So back to EVA,
EVA= (0.282- 0.1137)* 4274= 0.1683*4274= 719.3142
Based on this calculation, EVA>0, so Facebook actually created value added.
3
Key Activities
Partnerships
Content
Partners (TV
Shows, Movies,
Music, News
Articles)
Platform
Development
Data Center
Operatins
Management
Key
Resources
Facebook
Platform
Servers
Technology
Infrastructure
Value
Propositions
Connect with
your friends,
Discover &
learn, Express
yourself
Reach,
Relevance,
Social Context,
Engagement
Personalized
and Social
Experiences,
Social
Distribution,
Payments
Customer
Relationships
Customer
Segments
Same-side
Network Effects
Cross-side
Network Effects
Internet Users
Advertisers
and Marketers
Developers
Channels
Website, Mobile
Apps
Facebook Ads,
Facebok Pages
Developer Tools
and APIs
Revenue
Streams
Cost
Structure
Data center Costs
General and Administrative
Marketing and Sales
Research and Development
Free
Ad Revenues
Payment Revenues
and many are in existence today including MySpace, Friendster, and LiveJournal.
Most of these social networking sites are not very specific and have a variety of
users. This fact is what makes Facebooks selection of customers so important.
Zuckerberg developed a personal niche for his site in making it specifically for
high school (recently), college and university communites, primarily in the
United States.
How it defines and differentiates its product offerings
The second aspect of a business model is how the company defines and
differentiates its product offerings. One of the key elements to Facebooks success
is differentiation, particularly from the social networking giant, MySpace. What
makes a student with an existing MySpace account want to register with
Facebook? The answer to this question lies in how Facebook sets itself apart from
other social networking sites. Facebook is the only brand of these sites that is for
students and students only. Also, to narrow down the potential networks even
more, members are mostly restricted to viewing detailed information about
students only at their school. As a result of this, more intimate communities are
created based on the school. For example, when a UCSD student types
www.facebook.com into their browser and logs onto the site, the real url that they
are accessing is in fact http://ucsd.facebook.com/home.php. Facebooks features
are very similar to the features of MySpace. The major features include: profile,
friends, groups, messages, wall, and photos. The profile is was makes up the
users personal sites. Here they post information about themselves as well as a
photo. The friends feature is one of the major ways that students are able to
become connected through the site. Users can search the site and send friend
requests to other users to acknowledge online friendships. The other way that the
site connects students is through the groups feature. Students with particular
interests, views, or hobbies are able to form and join online groups. The messages
and wall features allow users to interact directly within the online community.
Messaging is a private way of contacting members, almost like e-mail. Also, as an
alternative to messaging, there is a poking feature, which is basically a way of
saying Whats up. The wall acts as a sort of message board and offers more
public communication between users. The recently added photos feature is part of
the users profile in which they can post photos of themselves and others for
people within their college to see.
How it creates utility for its customers
Michael Huston from the Arizona Daily Wildcat writes, If youre not on
Facebook.com by now, then youre either protesting it deliberately in an attempt
to avoid doing what everybody else is doing, or youre afraid that stalkers will use
it to come after you. At first it was simply a site to connect college students but
now it is becoming a staple in the college social scene. The utility that Facebook
creates for its customers is essential in creating traffic. Online social networking
companies like Friendster have failed in the past for being too one-dimensional
and unreal. Facebook was able to recognize these mistakes and capitalized greatly
in forming a very real online social network. In theory, the services provided by
these two companies are very similar. The difference is what makes the individual
keep coming back to the site. On Friendster you can browse through various
peoples profiles and add them as friends but the likelihood of you actually
meeting these online friends is very small. Facebook, on the other hand, is the
opposite. With the number of participating schools and users climbing, it is not
rare to see someone online prior to meeting them in person. Facebook is useful in
a variety of ways including:
Forming study groups
Finding roommates
Keeping in touch with friends at distant schools
Finding others with like interests
Keeping up with social events
Getting information on fraternities/sororities
reportedly invested more than $200 million in data center upgrades last year to keep
up with demand.
REFERENCES
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticism_of_Facebook#Investigation_by_the_Iris
h_Data_Protection_Commissioner_2011.2F2012
http://techcrunch.com/2014/01/30/facebook-creative-labs/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_Facebook
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/fb/financials
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticism_of_Facebook#Investigation_by_the_Iris
h_Data_Protection_Commissioner_2011.2F2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticism_of_Facebook
http://www.dazeinfo.com/2014/01/06/top-5-countries-facebook-inc-fbcontribute-40-total-users-study/
http://www.information-age.com/technology/applications-anddevelopment/1689138/facebook-ipo-reveals-hacker-culture
http://business.wikinut.com/Analyses-of-Facebook-using-Porter-smodels/3thk07b2/
http://qz.com/142032/why-is-facebooks-tax-rate-so-much-higher-than-itscompetitors/
http://techcrunch.com/2014/04/16/facebook-will-be-unbundling-the-bigblue-app-through-its-creative-labs/
http://www.fortune.com/fortune/technology/articles/0,15114,1130217,00.html?promoid
=yahoo http://ucsd.facebook.com/adfaq.php
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/051101/15106.html?.v=1
http://blog.softtechvc.com/2005/10/the_facebook_un.html
http://eduinsight.com/articles/facebook.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_model
http://wildcat.arizona.edu/papers/98/221/03_1.html
http://www.clickz.com/news/article.php/3527336
http://news.com.com/Facebooks+Greek+drama/2100-1046_3-5895963.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Facebook_%28website%29