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Barbara
Star, S
BASIC TECHNIQUES
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
very technical analyst recognizes the importance of identifying support and resistance areas on price charts.
Early in the history of technical analysis, Alan Andrews developed one such technique, which he called the median
line method . The median line method calls for drawing a line from a high or low price level through the median
price of a subsequent corrective rally or decline and once that is done, adding parallel lines above and below the
median line from the corrective highs and lows. This results in three lines: a long center line (the median line), an
upper channel line and a lower channel line. Each line defines potential support or resistance. Because of the shape it
makes on a price chart, the median line method soon became known as the Andrews pitchfork . The long center
median line resembles a handle, while the two shorter parallel lines are the tines of the pitchfork (Figure 1). Most
charting software today includes the Andrews pitchfork among their technical studies, but it's easy enough to
construct manually on price charts.
FIGURE 1: ANDREWS PITCHFORK APPLIED TO THE DJIA. The Andrews median lines became
known as the Andrews pitchfork because of the shape it makes on the price chart.
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
FIGURE 3: IBM WITH ANDREWS PITCHFORK. In a declining market, construct the pitchfork by
selecting a high point, a low point and another high point.
The median line is the key: Drawing the median line provides the basis for this approach. Figure 4 illustrates
this process with the December 1994 gold futures contract as prices moved up into September and then declined into
December.
The first step is to locate two turning points on a price chart. In Figure 4, these are labeled B and C. The next step is
to find the median point between these two points. The median point is the average price level that falls between the
high of point B and the low of point C. Simply add the high price at B to the low price at C and divide by two to
determine the median point.
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
FIGURE 4: CONSTRUCTING THE MEDIAN LINE. The median line is constructed by finding the
midpoint of a corrective decline or rally. The midpoint at letter X is the average of the high and low between points
B and C. A line connects the price at letter X to a previous anchor pivot point (point A) and extends it into the
future.
In mid-September 1994, the rise in gold prices was interrupted by a four-day corrective decline. The high at point B
was 396.90, while the low of the correction at point C was 390.60. The sum of those prices is 787.50. Divide that
by 2 and the median price would be 393.75. While gold prices were generally dropping from late September to early
December, a corrective rally occurred during November. The low price reached prior to the brief rally at point B was
383.10, while the high of the rally at point C was 387.90. The sum is 771, which, when divided by 2, yields a
median point of 385.50. The median price point would be plotted as a dot on the price chart and labeled X in Figure
4.
Because it takes two points to draw a line, the median price point needs to be anchored to another pivot point.
Andrews uses a previous price low in a rising market or an earlier price high in a declining market as an anchor pivot
point. This is labeled "A" in Figure 4. A straight line can then be drawn from pivot A to median point X and
extended into the future. The median line now divides the corrective price range into two equal parts.
To draw the tines: To complete the pitchfork, draw two more lines, one from the original corrective pivot high
and the other from the original pivot low that parallels the median line extension to the right. Figure 5 labels these
lines as "D" and "E."
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
FIGURE 5: ADDING THE PARALLEL CHANNEL LINES. The tines of the pitchfork are labeled lines
D and E. They begin at the corrective price high and low and parallel the angle of ascent or descent of the median
line.
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
FIGURE 6: LOCATING PIVOT POINTS ON DECEMBER 1994 GOLD. One method to select the
appropriate pivot point is to draw a normal trendline from point 1 to point 2. Extend the trendline until a price
correction forces a change of its original angle (point 3). Use the prices at point 2, point B and point 3 to construct
the pitchfork formation.
I waited until the price again rose above point B before I numbered the September low as point 3. That low
necessitated a downward adjustment in the initial trendline, which I labeled adjusted trendline . Point 2 became the
anchor point for the pitchfork formation, the price at B the high pivot point and price at point 3 the low pivot point.
The upward pitchfork is shown in Figure 5. The lower pitchfork support line (that is, line E) broke closer to the
September price high than the traditional adjusted trendline would have been.
Once the lower support line was taken out, I waited for a retest of the September high to make sure the trend had
changed. That retest occurred in October (point 2 in Figure 6) and permitted a downward trendline that extended
from the highs at points 1 and 2. The price broke above the initial downward trendline in November. After waiting
until the price broke below point B, it was possible to adjust the trendline upward at point 3. The downward
pitchfork formation was plotted from the point 2 retest high, the pivot low at B, and the high at point 3. In
December, the upper line of the pitchfork was broken as prices began to rise.
Bollinger bands provide a similar method for selecting pivot points. At some point in a price trend, a correction takes
price from a high or low Bollinger band to the opposite band. The price high and low of that move are used as two
of the three points needed to create a median line. The price level from which the current trending move began is the
third pivot point.
Figure 7 illustrates this technique with Snapple Beverage (SNPL). An uptrend began in late November 1993 that
kept prices above the middle Bollinger band. In January and February 1994, a decline took prices from the upper
band to the lower band. The pitchfork points were placed at the November low, the January high and the February
low. In early March 1994, prices broke below the lower pitchfork support line, signaling a possible change in trend.
Prices remained below the middle band until late March, when a rally moved prices from the lower band to near the
upper one. At that point, a downward pitchfork was drawn using the February high, the March low and the early
April high. The price penetrated the upper pitchfork channel line, signaling a change in trend, as the stock moved
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
gapped above the resistance of the February high. Prices moved up strongly enough in April to take crude oil above
the upper pitchfork channel line (panel B). Because the pitchfork no longer contained prices, it was time to consider
taking profits if prices broke below the median line. However, while price moved down toward the median line, the
line was not violated and prices reversed to the upside. At that point it was a good time to redraw the pitchfork using
the March low as the anchor and the correction that took price from above the upper channel line toward the median
line. The new pitchfork formation is seen in panel C.
FIGURE 8: JULY 1995 CRUDE OIL WITH ANDREWS PITCHFORK. The four panels illustrate
both the need to periodically adjust the pitchfork formation so that it reflects price action more accurately as well as
the importance of the median line and upper/lower channel lines as price reversal points.
Prices remained within the channel lines throughout April and into May, when it topped near the upper channel line
(panel D). Prices fell to the lower channel line, then rallied toward the median line before breaking the lower channel
line in May. That marked the beginning of a decline.
Use confirming indicators: Despite its usefulness, the pitchfork is by no means a "set it and forget it" analytic
tool. There is an art to selecting the appropriate pivot points. The pitchfork is best used in conjunction with other
indicators to confirm price tops or bottoms. Momentum oscillators as well as overbought/oversold indicators seem to
work well with the Andrews pitchfork.
Figure 9 illustrates the confirmation principle with one such indicator, a price rate of change (ROC), which is found
in most charting software. The ROC oscillates above and below a zero line as it plots the percentage of price change
over the last x number of days. In this case, it tracks the percentage of price change over the past 12 days. Often, it
will signal a loss of price momentum by diverging with price at tops and bottoms. In Figure 9 (July 1995 crude oil),
the pitchfork is positioned as it was in panel D of Figure 8. As price was nearing the upper pitchfork channel line in
early May, the ROC produced a bearish divergence at the price top that warned of a momentum loss. The ROC
crossed its zero line as price broke through the lower channel line of the pitchfork formation. The confirmation
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
Stocks & Commodities V13 (473-477): Support and Resistance with the Andrews Pitchfork by B.
Barbara
Star, S
FIGURE 9: JULY 1995 CRUDE OIL WITH ROC AND ANDREWS PITCHFORK. Momentum
indicators, such as the 12-unit price rate of change shown, can act as a filter to confirm potential trend changes.
Given the proliferation of technical indicators in recent years, the Andrews pitchfork may seem too unsophisticated
for today's traders. Once it is understood and used in conjunction with more current technology, however, the
Andrews pitchfork can enhance trading results.
Barbara Star is a university professor and part-time trader. She leads a MetaStock support group and is vice
president of the Market Analysts of Southern California. Her publications include the EZ Indicator series for use
with the MetaStock program.
REFERENCES, RESOURCES, READING
French, Thomas E. [1985]. "Median line market analysis," Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES,
Volume 3: February/March.
Jaenisch, Ron (1989). "Can you draw a straight line?" Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES,
Volume 7: December.
_____ [1987]. "An after-Christmas story," Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES, Volume 5: April.
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Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.