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Culture Documents
Fred Halliday
Francis Fukuyama, The End of History and the Last Man, Hamish Hamilton, London
1992, 17.99 hbk; The Free Press, New York 1992, $24.95 hbk.
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or Freud, but rather Weber, since it is his thesis that the universal
ideals predominant in the world today are not specific to particular
cultures (the Protestant) but can prevail, in terms of social and political organization, on a world scale. As Fukuyama himself intimated in
discussion, what would most challenge his thesis is not the prevalence
of wars and inequality in the world, the standard empiricist fare of his
critics, but the success of an illiberal, Confucian, capitalism in the Far
East. The Sombart connection is also a suggestive one, leading one
friend to observe that the subtitle of Fukuyamas book might well be
Why is There No Socialism in America? And regrettably, for the moment
at least, not much sign of it elsewhere, one could add.
Fukuyamas theses, first enunciated in his article The End of History? in the summer of 1989, and expanded in his book, have been
the centre of a notable international debate, marked by extremes of
excoriation and appropriation. He has been accused of capitalist, if
not USocentric, triumphalism, of neglecting the major contradictions
prevalent in the world today, of downplaying the challenge to his
version of liberal democracy from radical Islam, of complacency
about US society itself, and so forth. Others have seen in his work a
robust, if philosophically eccentric and in its Hegelian provenance
unwelcome, assertion of Western advanced capitalist victory in the
Cold War and of the resolution of the major ideological conflicts of
the past two hundred years.
Fukuyama himself appears puzzled by the reception of his theses, if
not ungratified by the reputation it has generated. On his tour of
Europe to promote the books simultaneous publication in France,
Germany and Britain he was struck by the, apparently predictable,
responses: French rejection on the grounds that he is still another
totalizing grand thinker; German amusement that anyone should be
surprised at these ideas which, in the assertive Lnder of the land
where Hegel first pronounced, are self-evident. In Britain there is a
range of response, from the empiricist scepticism of the Right (I cant
see what he is going on about. History is just one damn thing after
another) and a Left divided between those who see him as just a
capitalist ideologue, blind to the potential of revolutionary socialism,
and those who seek to recruit him for a revisionist progressivism. It
is strange to find that, in Europe, many of the people who defend me
are Marxists, he observes. In Japan-----a country with which, despite
family background, he has little sense of common identity-----recognition for a successful member of the diaspora is outweighed by suspicion of his universalism, which looks all too much like an apologia for
US hegemony.
Progress and the Limits of Liberal Democracy
Prior to his 1989 article, Fukuyama wrote studies of Third World
states of socialist orientation, such as Ethiopia, Mozambique and
South Yemen, for the RAND Corporation, in which there was much of
interest. The same applies to his book. Like an opera, it has its
longueurs, repetitions and borrowings, but four of its theses are
important and worth engaging with.
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Immanuel Wallerstein, Historical Capitalism, London 1983, p. 98: It is simply not true
that capitalism as a historical system has represented progress over the various previous
historical systems that it destroyed or transformed.
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lead to further conflicts in the future. The reality, as Fukuyama underlines, is that the advanced capitalist West did win the Cold War.
The third issue on which Fukuyama is interesting is that of liberal
democracy itself. Of course, his invocation of this concept is selective
and ahistorical. That most classical liberals did not believe in universal suffrage, or the equality of nations, and did believe in an interventionist state is not properly recognized. The main thrust of his
argument is, moreover, inclined towards the complacent: that a
solution has been found, in liberal democracy, and that it will, more
or less, last for ever. But there is another reading of Fukuyama possible, not least in this age of the dethroned author: namely, that while
liberal democracy will for a time prevail as the dominant solution to
politics in the contemporary world, it is itself inherently unstable and
liable to self-destruction. This-----eminently Hegelian and pre-Marxist
-----argument rests upon the destabilizing effects of the thymotic, both
with regard to relations within states and to those between them. His
reasons as to why this model may not mark the end of history are to be
questioned, but are less important than this cogent assertion of the
inherent limits and contested future of the political form now claimed
to be the solution to humanitys problems. And even those Marxists
who still hold to the inevitability of a revolutionary socialist outcome,
as capitalism digs its own grave, need to be reminded that there is an
alternative path which liberal democracy could take, namely a
regression to various forms of barbarism, national and international,
by way of some mixture prevailing of capitalist-authoritarian,
nuclear, ecological, racist and recidivist trends.
The fourth aspect of Fukuyamas argument to be welcomed concerns
his analysis of the trend towards universalization in the contemporary
world. Here again his thesis might appear to be self-evident were it
not for the fact that substantial theoretical resistance to it can be
detected from several, variant, quarters. One source of this resistance
has already been noted with regard to the argument on the Cold War,
on the part of those who denied that both Soviet Communism and
Western Communism sought to prevail over the other. Underlying
this view is a belief that persists even in a post-Cold War situation,
namely that capitalism in some way needs an enemy. With Communism gone, it is suggested, some other bogey, such as ethnic minorities, or Islam, has to be evoked. In some cases, this is used to explain
the genesis of the Gulf War. In fact, as Marx and Engels pointed out
in section two of the Manifesto, capitalism does not need an enemy at
all, but seeks to make the world like itself, on pain of extinction----more or less what happened to the Bolshevik Revolution. Rarely articulated, this needed enemy argument underpins much of the critical
literature on cold war, in its reluctance to see why and how capitalism
has developed a universalizing dynamic, not just at the level of markets and productive relations, but also in internal political forms and
cultural patterns. Resistance to this idea is also found in a theoretical
school that Fukuyama criticizes, but not enough: namely, the realism
of state-centric International Relations theory, according to which
what solely matters are relations between states, and the internal
character of them is to be disregarded as reductionist. In Chapter 23,
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For the most famous statement of this, see Kenneth Waltz, Theory of International Politics, New York 1979.
4
Interestingly, in this original meaning it approximates to the Arabic word thawra,
contemporary Arabic for revolution, but in origin a word denoting the spiritedness
of bulls and other animals.
5
For different accounts of thymos in Plato, see R.C. Cross and A.D. Woozley, Platos
Republic, a Philosophical Commentary, London 1986, pp. 120---21; Julia Annas, An Introduction to Platos Republic, Oxford 1981, pp. 126---8.
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soul has parts at all, since all Plato meant by parts of the soul was
that people are complex.
Thymos is identified with the irrational, since it is the seat of anger and
rage, akin to spirit or heart. The key story that Fukuyama invokes,
from Plato, to illustrate the concept itself, points in another direction:
it concerns Leontius, the son of Aglaion, who, while walking near the
walls of Athens, sees some bodies lying under the wall, at first turns
away his eyes, and then out of curiosity looks. He is then ashamed and
angry with himself, suffering an attack of thymos. This is a story anyone can understand, but it hardly illustrates the Fukuyama concept of
thymos, which is both relational, involving what others think of one,
and about recognition, not anger. All of which suggests that whatever
the validity of the insights on the role of recognition in politics, the
derivation of it amidst a flurry of textual backup is inconclusive.
Much has been made of how Fukuyamas confident extrapolations are
supposedly wrong-----wars will continue, Islam is a threat, 1.4 billion
people still live under Communist Party rule as opposed to 1.7 billion
before 1989, and so forth. These observations do not really challenge
his central theme, since neither Dengist modernizations, nor Islamic
fundamentalism, are challenges on a global stage: the Islamic threat
is little more than a malign combination of clerical bombast and
Western paranoia. The real challenge to the West (a hypostatization
we could well do without) is from Japan, not Iran or Algeria: where,
one might ask, is the technological or investment challenge from these
latter states? Where Fukuyama is, on empirical grounds, more shaky
is in two other respects: first, in his belief that capitalism can bring
the whole of the world up to current developed levels; second, in the
degree to which he believes liberal democracy is now spreading. The
former, a restatement in RAND Corporation terms of the view cogently
expressed by Bill Warren, is right to criticize the myths of dependency
theory, but ignores the facts which stare at one every year from Table
1 of the World Bank Report, namely that while few countries, outside
Africa, are getting poorer, the gap between rich and poor states is
widening. Moreover, as Arrighi has so well pointed out, the membership of the club of rich states has remained constant for over a
century-----no one has left, although the members have changed places
in the ranking order, and only one state has joined, namely Japan. The
belief in liberal democracy understates the degree to which capitalist
democracy is precarious: it needs to last for a generation at least
before it can be assumed it will endure. One only has to think about
the Weimar Republic, or about such states as Sri Lanka, Liberia,
Argentina, Lebanon in the 1960s to see how dictatorship can be reestablished. In this, historically more cautious, perspective, there are
only about two dozen established liberal democracies in the world
today, out of what are now over 180 independent states.
On Historical Agency
This historically superficial view of democracy is linked to an idealist
and most misleading account of how democracy came about. The dates
Fukuyama gives for the establishment of liberal democracy-----1790 for
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NLR
103,
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