Professional Documents
Culture Documents
I. CERTIFICATION
I certify that all assumptions, sources, methods, and calculations contained herein stem from the
objective application of the existing body of knowledge and methodology available to me for the
purpose of determining pecuniary losses.
I further certify that my professional compensation associated with this economic loss report and
possible subsequent services is strictly remuneration for time expended on such services and not
contingent on the outcome of subject matter.
As part of my responsibility as practitioner of forensic economics, I pledge adherence to the
Statement of Ethical Principles and Principles of Professional Practice of the National
Association of Forensic Economics (NAFE). A printable copy of this Statement is available at
http://nafe.net/Pages/Ethics.aspx and can also be provided on request.
_________________________
Elias C. Grivoyannis, Ph.D.
II. OPINION OF ECONOMIC LOSS
Plaintiffs counsel retained me in order to calculate economic damages suffered by plaintiff
allegedly as a result of personal injury. The analysis set forth herein is based on information
provided to me by plaintiff and plaintiff's counsel, either written or verbal, as it pertains to this
matter.
Having relied on this information, as cited in the report, and in accordance with generally
accepted economic and statistical principles, it is my professional opinion that the total value of
pecuniary losses sustained by Allan J. Pollack, based on alternative probable future events
described in the report, is between
$ 749,402 and $ 801,158 after tax on his adjusted income
or
$845,114 and $902,185 before tax on his adjusted income
Plaintiff:
Injury date and age:
Residence:
Prior health:
Education:
Marital status:
Spouse:
Son:
Daughter:
Case Venue:
79.46 years
December 31, 2053
61.27 years
October 19, 2034
1Based on data contained in life tables of the National Vital Statistics Reports, Volume 56, No. 9, Table 1,
published by the National Center for Health Statistics (a division of the U.S. Department of Health and
Human Services), December 28, 2007.
2Based on median years to retirement tables for plaintiff's age, gender, education level, and labor-forceactivity statistical cohort, contained in article Median Years To Retirement and Worklife Expectancy for
the Civilian U.S. Population, authored by Hunt, Pickersgill and Rutemiller, (using 1998/99 BLS labor
force participation rates), Journal of Forensic Economics, 14(3), 2001, Appendix A, Tables 3-4, pp. 212213.
ANNUAL
W-2 GROSS
WAGES
ANNUAL
BASE
EARNINGS
ANNUAL
OVERTIME
EARNINGS
WEEKLY AVG
HOURS of
WORK
(d)=(b)-(c)
WEEKLY
AVG.HOURS
OVERTIME
(e) = [(d)/(a)x
(1+ 0.5)]/52
YEAR
(a)
(b)
(c)=(a )x40x52
2005
$15.00
$ 53,464
$ 31,200
$ 22,264
19.03
59.03
(f) = 40+(e)
The year before his injury, Mr. Pollack worked a regular forty (40) hours week plus an
average of nineteen (19) hours per week overtime.
Since March of 2006 and at the time of his injury, Kopyt Services, LLC in Flemington,
New Jersey, employed Mr. Pollack in the same capacity. His 23 weeks of pre-injury
compensation for 2006 is summarized as follows:
PERIOD
HOURLY
WAGES
YTD PAYSTUB
GROSS
WAGES
2/27/2006
-8/6/2006
$24.50
$28,366
YTD
REGULAR
EARNING
S
YTD
OVERTIME
EARNINGS
AVERAGE
WEEKLY
HOURS OF
OVERTIME
AVERAGE
HOURS
OF WORK
PER WEEK
$21,216
$7,150
6.63
46.63
Mr. Pollacks annualized pre-injury compensation at Kopyt Services, LLC during the year of his
injury is summarized in the following table.
ANNUALIZED PRE-INJURY EARNINGS
PERIOD OF 52 WEEKS
January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2006
PERIOD
HOURLY
WAGES
ANNUAL
PAYSTUB
GROSS
WAGES
2006
$24.50
$64,131
ANNUAL
REGULAR
EARNING
S
ANNUAL
OVERTIME
EARNINGS
AVERAGE
WEEKLY
HOURS OF
OVERTIME
AVERAGE
HOURS
OF WORK
PER WEEK
$47,965
$16,166
6.34
46.34
During the year of his injury, Mr. Pollack was expected to work a regular forty (40) hour week
plus an average of 6.34 hours per week overtime. Overtime is an integral part of Mr. Pollacks
work. If he is on a job that needs to be finished, he needs to finish the job by working overtime
[SOURCE: Plaintiffs Deposition dated June, 29, 2009, page 147]. His overtime does not
depend on current economic conditions but on the maintenance of heating and air-conditioning
equipment [SOURCE: Plaintiffs Deposition dated June, 29, 2009, page 149].
Mr. Pollack received health, prescription, dental, and eyeglass/vision insurance coverage through
his employer5 estimated at 15% of gross earnings after adjusting for the contributions of the
employee.
Post-injury functionality, current employment status, compensation and benefits
Mr. Pollack reports that, prior to his injury, excepting a fracture of his left clavicle in July 1994
while he was in the army6; he enjoyed good health and actively participated in the labor force. As
a result of the incident on August 6, 2006, Mr. Pollack reportedly fractured his left rib, rotator
cuff, and clavicle. He remained out of work between August 6 and September 18, 2006. Mr.
Pollack underwent his first surgery, performed by Dr. Friedman on January 23, 2007, and did not
resume work until April 1, 2007. On November 13, 2007, Mr. Pollack had a second surgery
performed by Dr. Golomberk, and was not scheduled to return to work until the spring of 2008.
Mr. Pollack reports that, after his injury he lost his ability to complete many of his job
assignments. His surgeons, Dr. Friedman and Dr. Golomberk advised him to stop working in his
field and change occupation because of the amount of physical labor in what he was doing
[SOURCE: Plaintiffs Deposition, dated June 29, 2009, page 11].
Mr. Pollack further reports that in his daily job assignments he had to carry a 55 to 60 pounds
tool bag up a 32 step ladder to do repairs. He also had to do a lot of crawling and getting his
body in different positions to get to specific areas to repair compressors. He had to carry 15 to
200 pounds blower motors and 75 to 500 pound compressors to complete his daily tasks
[SOURCE: Plaintiffs Deposition, dated June 29, 2009, page 132]. Due to continued pain after
his injury, plaintiff also consulted with Dr. Gerald Williams at the Rothman Institute in
Philadelphia on April 8, 2008. Reportedly, Dr. Williams, along with Dr. Golomberk were both of
the opinion that Mr. Pollack should perhaps consider changing his present field of employment
to one not involving the same level of physical labor which may have contributed to his unabated
pain [SOURCE: Plaintiffs Answers to Form A Uniform Interrogatories]. Mr. Pollacks
subsequent work hours at Kopyt Services decreased after his injury from 55 to 60 hours a week
down to 35 to 40 hours a week [SOURCE: Plaintiffs Deposition, dated June 29, 2009, page 10].
5ibid., Questionnaire, p. 2.
6ibid., Interrogatories, p. 9, and Medical Record Consultation Sheet, Orthopedic Clinic, Darnall Army
Community Hospital, Fort Hood, Texas, dated July 6, 1994.
In response, Kopyt Services, LLC had to train other employees to perform Mr. Pollacks tasks
[SOURCE: Plaintiffs Deposition, dated June 29, 2009, page 148, and Plaintiffs response to our
Personal Injury Questionnaire]. The following table reports Mr. Pollacks actual gross wages
during the last four years, from 2005 to 2008, and reveals the declining average hours of work
per week after his injury in 2006.
PLAINTIFFS ACTUAL EARNINGS
PERIOD OF 4 YEARS
2005 to 2008
PERIOD
2005
2006
2007
2008
HOURLY
WAGE
RATE
ACTUAL
ANNUAL
W-2 GROSS
WAGES
ACTUAL
ANNUAL
REGULAR
EARNINGS
ACTUAL
ANNUAL
OVERTIME
EARNINGS
AVERAGE
WEEKLY
HOURS OF
OVERTIME
ACTUAL
AVERAGE
HOURS of WORK
PER WEEK
(a)
(b)
(c)=(a)x40x52
(d)=(b)-(c)
(e) = [(d)/(a)x
(1+ 0.5)]/52
(f) = 40+(e)
19.03
0.81
-7.33
-3.87
59.03
40.81
32.67
36.13
$15.00
24.50
27.50
28.50
$53,464
52,507
46,714
53,548
$31,200
50,960
57,200
59,280
$22,264
1,547
-10,486
-5,732
The above table shows the existence of impairment of plaintiffs earning capacity with
reasonable degree of economic certainty. Although plaintiffs hourly wage rate has been rising
from an average of $15 per hour in 2005 to $28.50 per hour in 2008, his annual gross wages have
been declining from $53,464 in 2005 to $46,714 in 2007 and then back up to $53,548 in 2008.
The reductions were because of plaintiffs reduced hours of work per week due to his injury in
2006. The increase in 2008 was due primarily to the increase in his hourly wage.
Plaintiff has been approved and has received state of New Jersey short-term disability benefits of
$488 per week. These benefits total $18,072 and are included in our calculations as mitigation to
plaintiffs economic damages.
Mr. Pollack continues to receive fringe benefits post-injury. These benefits are valued at 15% of
gross earnings and no loss of fringe benefits is assessed.
Future Employment
Mr. Pollack had plans on starting his own business in commercial refrigeration service work
[SOURCE: Plaintiffs response to our Personal Injury Questionnaire]. As a result of his 2006
injury his plans on starting his own business are destroyed. He is even forced to consider leaving
his present field of employment because it involves physical labor that becomes painful, because
of his injuries, and impossible [SOURCE: Deposition of Natalie A. Pollack, dated October 2,
2009, pages 33-34]. He believes that his transition to a public relations job would come naturally
to him because his current job is customer relations based. More specifically, he is contemplating
possibly joining the public relations company of his step-mother in New Jersey. [SOURCE:
Plaintiffs response to our Personal Injury Questionnaire]
Such a transition will have the following implications for Mr. Pollack. According to the Bureau
of Labor Statistics, public relations specialists engage in promoting or creating good will for
individuals, groups, or organizations by writing or selecting favorable publicity material and
releasing it through various communications media. May prepare and arrange displays, and make
speeches. There are no defined standards for entry into a public relations career. A college
degree in a communications-related field combined with public relations experience is excellent
preparation for public relations work. Many entry-level public relations specialists have a college
degree in public relations, journalism, advertising, or communication. [SOURCE:
http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos086.htm].
Since Mr. Pollack has the personal connections in this industry, but he does not have the
academic training for this occupation, it is expected that his starting salary will be in the first 10 th
or 25th percentile of the wage scale for this occupation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics,
Occupational Employment and Wages, May 2008 report, estimate these percentiles and they are
summarized below.
Percentile Wage Estimates for [27-3031] Public Relations Specialists
Percentile
Hourly Wage
Annual Wage
10 %
$14.49
$30,140
25 %
$18.46
$38,400
[SOURCE: http://www.bls.gov/oes/2008/may/oes273031.htm#nat ]
For purposes of this report we will assume that Mr. Pollack will not transition to a public
relations job in the near future, because starting his new career at the 25 th percentile of the
compensation scale, by earning an annual wage of $38,400 will be catastrophic for his family
because he will not be able to support himself and his two young children. Mr. Pollacks original
plan of starting his own business is also not considered in this report.
For purposes of this report we will assume that Mr. Pollack will remain employed on a full-time
basis in his pre-injury occupation, and will not transition to any alternate career paths more
suitable to his post-injury state of health that he is currently contemplating.
Earning Capacity
An economic damage due to loss of wages or salary caused by injury is measured by an earning
capacity standard7. Earning Capacity is defined as "the ability to earn money" and "impairment
of earning capacity means the diminution or loss of the ability to earn money 8." The loss of the
ability to work is in itself a compensable element of damages. Earning capacity goes beyond
someones actual loss; even an unemployed, or sporadically employed, plaintiff is entitled to
recover for the deprivation of what he could have earned. Earning capacity could encompass
what a person could conceivably earn if such possibilities can be demonstrated with reasonable
certainty9. Past behavior is strong evidence of what a person was capable of doing in the past,
and absent identifiable changes, strong evidence of what that person would be capable of doing
in the future. Actual earnings data is often the starting point for measuring capacity.
For purposes of this report we will assess earning capacity impairment by comparing plaintiffs
actual pre-injury earnings with his post-injury earnings. The pre-injury earning capacity of Mr.
Pollack has been assessed to be $64,131 in 2006 dollars, which is equal to Mr. Pollacks
annualized pre-injury earnings during the year of his injury.
Household Services
Prior to his accident, Mr. Pollack did share significantly in household services with his spouse
such as mowing the lawn, weed-whacking, house maintenance and up keeping. Mrs. Pollack
reports that, as a result of his injury, the plaintiff is unable to perform such household tasks
[SOURCE: Deposition of Natalie A. Pollack, dated October 2, 2009, pages 50-53].
A number of studies have been made over the years that measure the value of services and the
hours devoted to each service in the average family. These studies involve preparing a list of
services and a time study sheet that is then taken into a sample of homes of various sizes and
7Stephen M. Homer and Frank Slesnick, The Valuation of Earning Capacity: Definition, Measurement
and EvidenceJournal Of Forensic Economics 12(1), 1999, pp. 13--32
8Minzer, M., J. Nates, C. Kimball, D. Axelrod, and R. Goldstein, Damages ~n Tort Actions; August 1991
Cumulative Supplement, Volume 2, by Deitz and Sokol, M., New York, NY: Matthew Bender, 1991, p. 31.
9 See: (Fitzpatrick v. United States, 1991, p. 1038), (Courtney v. Allied Filter Engineering, Inc., 1989, p.
959), and (Walker v. Bankston, 1990, p. 697)
used to record precisely the type of work and the time spent in accomplishing it. The results of
these studies are summarized below:
Hours per Week Spent in Household Work
Researcher
Sanik
Bryant
Sanik
Hunt/Kiker
Peskin
Walker
Sanik
Gauger
Average
Husband
13.00
12.75
14.16
10.86
15.12
11.20
11.90
10.50
12.40
Wife
43.00
34.85
41.12
44.46
33.77
51.10
47.60
39.90
41.52
By combining the results of these eight studies, we see that the results are reasonably close.
Accordingly, an average has been taken of all the studies to represent the time spent, on the
average, by the husband and the wife in household work. A representative wife spends on
average 41.52 hours per week (5.93 hours per day) in household work and a representative
husband spends 12.40 hours per week (1.77 hours per day).
It is assumed in this appraisal report, very conservatively, that before his injury Mr. Pollack
performed household services averaging seven point five (7.5) hours per week, or 1.07 hours per
day. This estimate is only sixty percent (60%) of the national average of household services
performed by a married male in the United States and we refer to it as the lowest bound of this
estimate.
Years of Healthy Life for Performance of Household Services:
As a person ages, it is quite common to find that s/he can no longer do the same amount of work
as they could in younger, healthier years. This seems true for work outside the home as well as
for work inside the home and for the family. As a result, it is not reasonable to assume that a
person would perform services right to the end of life expectancy. In order to account for the
likelihood of reduced performance of household services, as age progresses, we reduce the
annual hours of household services by 11.3% between the ages of sixty-five (65) and seventyfive (75) and by 30.7% after age seventy-five (75). [SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce,
Current Population Reports, Disability, Functional, Limitation, and Health Insurance Coverage:
1984/85, Household Economic Studies, Series P-70, No. 8, Table G, p. 8.] This adjustment yields
the following number of hours of household services performed by plaintiff during his life
expectancy.
Age
Up to 65
65 to 75
Over 75
Baseline Earnings
Mr. Pollacks earnings history at the year of his injury is presented in the table that follows.
Year
2005
2006
Employer
Air Contracting, LLC
Kopyt Services, LLC
Wage Rate
Annual Earnings
$15.00
$24.50
$53,465
$64,131
Based on the annualized pre-injury earnings at the time of his injury on August 6, 2006, Mr.
Pollacks baseline earnings are established at his earning capacity of $64,131 in 2006 dollars.
Estimated Gross Earnings Adjustments
Typical adjustments are made for the likelihood of becoming unemployed during one's worklife,
accounting for fringe benefits, federal and state tax liabilities, and job maintenance expenses.
Unemployment Adjustment
This downward adjustment is necessary since worklife expectancy is not typically reduced to
include participants' time out of the active labor force due to unemployment. Although
unemployment impacts all labor sectors, different statistical cohorts may experience different
rates. This is an average rate over a time period comparable to the number of years until
plaintiff's projected retirement, in this case, a period of approximately 23 years. Thus, between
1986 and April 2009, males in Mr. Pollacks age cohort experienced an average unemployment
rate of about 5% per annum. [SOURCE: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics,
Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey, Unemployment Rate,
http://www.bls.gov/cps.] However, since many workers recover part of their lost earnings
through state unemployment compensation benefits, we lower this rate to 3.8%.
Income Tax Adjustment
This downward adjustment accounts for the reduction in income due to the potential payment of
federal and state income tax liabilities. Tax burdens can vary significantly from taxpayer to
taxpayer and to accurately estimate income taxes without extensive knowledge of the taxpayer's
profile can be a daunting task. By analyzing Mr. Pollacks 2005 to 2008 federal and state tax
returns, we calculated an effective combined federal and state tax rate of 14 %. [SOURCES:
Plaintiffs Federal Income Tax Returns, State of New Jersey Resident Income Tax Returns, W-2
Wage and Tax Statements, 2005-2008, and 2006 pay stubs].
Fringe Benefits Adjustment
Plaintiff reports receiving health insurance, prescription coverage, dental insurance, an
eyeglass/vision plan through his employers. Mr. Pollack continues to receive these fringe
benefits post-injury. Due to the prospective nature of insurance we value fringe benefits at 15 %
of gross earnings and we dont assess any loss of fringe benefits in past years and future years.
Loss of Net Earnings in Prior Years
To project Mr. Pollacks earnings potential from the date of trial through the date of his
retirement, we apply a very conservative annual growth rate of four percent (4%) in future years
reflecting average wage trends in the economy in recent years. [SOURCE: Hours and earnings
in private nonagricultural industries, 1960-2007, Economic Report of the President, February 11,
2008, Table B-47, http://www.gpo.access.gov/eop/tables08.html, percentage calculated by
author.]
Lost gross earnings are adjusted downwards by 3.8% to take into account the likelihood of
periods of unemployment during a person's expected working life.
Gross earnings losses are not adjusted upwards to take into account the loss of fringe benefits. In
this appraisal, as noted previously, Mr. Pollacks fringe benefit package in his former and current
employment is valued at 15 % percent of gross earnings and our adjustment rate is zero percent
(0%).
The preceding adjustments are detailed in the following tables.
Projected Potential Earnings of the Plaintiff Date of Injury to Trial
Year
Ending
12/31/2006
12/31/2007
12/31/2008
12/31/2009
6/30/2010
Part
of the
Year
0.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Years
from Trial
6/30/2010
3.50
2.50
1.49
0.50
0.00
Gross
Potential
Earnings
25,899
74,803
80,787
87,250
47,115
Unempl
oyment
Adjustm
ent
984
2,843
3,070
3,316
1,790
Fringe
Benefits
0
0
0
0
0
Income
Tax
Adjustm
ent
3,488
10,074
10,880
11,751
6,345
Plaintiff
Would
Have
Earned
21,427
61,886
66,837
72,184
38,979
Year
Ending
12/31/2006
12/31/2007
12/31/2008
12/31/2009
6/30/2010
Part
of the
Year
0.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Years
from
6/30/2010
3.50
2.50
1.49
0.50
0.00
Gross
Actual
Earnings
$21,003
46,714
53,548
63,195
34,125
Unempl
oyment
Adjustm
ent
$0
0
0
0
0
Fringe
Benefits
$0
0
0
0
0
Income
Tax
Adjustm
ent
$2,940
6,540
7,497
8,847
4,778
Plaintiff
Has
Actually
Earned
$18,062
40,174
46,051
54,348
29,348
Year
Ending
12/31/2006
12/31/2007
12/31/2008
12/31/2009
6/30/2010
Part of
the Year
0.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Years
from
6/30/2010
3.50
2.50
1.49
0.50
0.00
Plaintiff Would
Have Earned
$21,427
61,886
66,837
72,184
38,979
Plaintiff Has
Actually
Earned
$18,062
40,174
46,051
54,348
29,348
Lost Net
Earnings
$3,365
21,712
20,786
17,836
9,631
Cumulative
Loss of Net
Earnings
$3,365
25,077
45,862
63,698
73,329
The calculations cited in the previous three tables indicate that the total value of plaintiffs loss
of past net earnings until June 30, 2010 amounts to $73,329. This amount should be augmented
by the amount of interest necessary to compensate for the lost purchasing power during the
period the plaintiff did not have constructive use of the money. In the absence of specific
instructions, it is assumed that the court will undertake the calculation of this interest.
It is noted that plaintiffs past-lost earnings (lost back pay) of $73,329 are after tax calculations.
Pre-tax lost past earnings can be calculated simply by comparing the Gross Potential Earnings
and Gross Actual Earnings in the above charts. This calculation, adjusted for unemployment,
becomes $85,267.
Plaintiff has been approved and has received state of New Jersey short-term disability benefits
that total $18,072. In our calculations we treat these benefits as mitigation to plaintiffs economic
damages. When we subtract those benefits from plaintiffs past lost earnings we assess his lost
back pay after tax to be $55,257 and his lost back pay before tax to be $67,195.
safely in a portfolio of financial instruments, would allow the individual to draw out a stream of
earnings year by year that was just large enough to replace the losses projected for each
succeeding year.
We note that interest earnings from any award in this case will be subject to future income
taxation in each subsequent year. This poses a problem since the award will be, in effect, taxed
indirectly when no provision has been made for this tax burden. Thus, it is assumed that any
lump-sum award will be used to purchase investment instruments that will provide a flow of
nontaxable payments to plaintiff.
The present value of plaintiffs future loss of earnings [front-pay] after taxes is found to be
$514,610, if plaintiff retires at age 65,and$547,265, if plaintiff retires at age 67. Plaintiffs future
losses are calculated as follows:
Years
Gross
Age
of the
Year
6/30/2010
Potential
Earnings
Unemployment
Adjustment
37.47
38.47
39.47
40.47
41.47
42.47
43.47
44.47
45.47
46.47
47.47
48.47
49.47
50.47
51.47
52.47
53.47
54.47
55.47
56.47
57.47
58.47
59.47
60.47
61.47
62.47
63.47
64.47
65.00
65.47
66.47
67.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.54
0.46
1.00
0.53
0.50
1.50
2.51
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.51
7.50
8.50
9.50
10.51
11.50
12.50
13.50
14.51
15.50
16.50
17.50
18.51
19.50
20.50
21.50
22.51
23.50
24.50
25.50
26.51
27.50
28.04
28.50
29.50
30.04
$45,370
94,370
98,145
102,070
106,153
110,399
114,815
119,408
124,184
129,152
134,318
139,690
145,278
151,089
157,133
163,418
169,955
176,753
183,823
191,176
198,823
206,776
215,047
223,649
232,595
241,898
251,574
261,637
145,736
126,041
282,987
155,982
$1,724
3,586
3,729
3,879
4,034
4,195
4,363
4,538
4,719
4,908
5,104
5,308
5,521
5,741
5,971
6,210
6,458
6,717
6,985
7,265
7,555
7,857
8,172
8,499
8,839
9,192
9,560
9,942
5,538
4,790
10,754
5,927
From
Lost
Income
Fringe
Benefits
Tax
Adjustment
Plaintiff
Would
Have
Earned
$0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
$6,110
12,710
13,218
13,747
14,297
14,869
15,463
16,082
16,725
17,394
18,090
18,813
19,566
20,349
21,163
22,009
22,889
23,805
24,757
25,748
26,777
27,849
28,963
30,121
31,326
32,579
33,882
35,237
19,628
16,975
38,113
21,008
$37,536
78,074
81,197
84,445
87,823
91,336
94,989
98,789
102,740
106,850
111,124
115,569
120,191
124,999
129,999
135,199
140,607
146,231
152,080
158,164
164,490
171,070
177,913
185,029
192,430
200,127
208,133
216,458
120,570
104,276
234,121
129,047
Years
Gross
Ending
Age
Year
12/31/2009
Earnings
Unemploy
-ment
Adjustme
nt
12/31/2010
37.47
38.47
39.47
40.47
41.47
42.47
43.47
44.47
45.47
46.47
47.47
48.47
49.47
50.47
51.47
52.47
53.47
54.47
55.47
56.47
57.47
58.47
59.47
60.47
61.47
62.47
63.47
64.47
65.00
65.47
66.47
67.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.54
0.46
1.00
0.54
0.50
1.50
2.51
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.51
7.50
8.50
9.50
10.51
11.50
12.50
13.50
14.51
15.50
16.50
17.50
18.51
19.50
20.50
21.50
22.51
23.50
24.50
25.50
26.51
27.50
28.04
28.50
29.50
30.04
31,598
68,352
71,086
73,930
76,887
79,962
83,161
86,487
89,947
93,544
97,286
101,178
105,225
109,434
113,811
118,364
123,098
128,022
133,143
138,469
144,007
149,768
155,758
161,989
168,468
175,207
182,215
189,504
105,557
91,291
204,967
114,170
1,201
2,597
2,701
2,809
2,922
3,039
3,160
3,287
3,418
3,555
3,697
3,845
3,999
4,158
4,325
4,498
4,678
4,865
5,059
5,262
5,472
5,691
5,919
6,156
6,402
6,658
6,924
7,201
4,011
3,469
7,789
4,338
Year
12/31/2011
12/31/2012
12/31/2013
12/31/2014
12/31/2015
12/31/2016
12/31/2017
12/31/2018
12/31/2019
12/31/2020
12/31/2021
12/31/2022
12/31/2023
12/31/2024
12/31/2025
12/31/2026
12/31/2027
12/31/2028
12/31/2029
12/31/2030
12/31/2031
12/31/2032
12/31/2033
12/31/2034
12/31/2035
12/31/2036
12/31/2037
7/13/2038
12/31/2038
12/31/2039
7/13/2040
of the
From
Actual
Lost
Income
Fringe
Tax
Plaintiff
Will
Actually
Benefits
Adjustment
Earn
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4,256
9,206
9,574
9,957
10,355
10,769
11,200
11,648
12,114
12,599
13,103
13,627
14,172
14,739
15,328
15,941
16,579
17,242
17,932
18,649
19,395
20,171
20,978
21,817
22,689
23,597
24,541
25,522
14,216
12,295
27,605
15,376
26,141
56,549
58,811
61,163
63,610
66,154
68,801
71,553
74,415
77,391
80,487
83,706
87,055
90,537
94,158
97,925
101,842
105,915
110,152
114,558
119,140
123,906
128,862
134,017
139,377
144,952
150,750
156,780
87,329
75,527
169,574
94,455
Year
Ending
12/31/2010
12/31/2011
12/31/2012
12/31/2013
12/31/2014
12/31/2015
12/31/2016
12/31/2017
12/31/2018
12/31/2019
12/31/2020
12/31/2021
12/31/2022
12/31/2023
12/31/2024
12/31/2025
12/31/2026
12/31/2027
12/31/2028
12/31/2029
12/31/2030
12/31/2031
12/31/2032
12/31/2033
12/31/2034
12/31/2035
12/31/2036
12/31/2037
7/13/2038
12/31/2038
12/31/2039
7/13/2040
Age
Part
of the
Year
Years
from
8/1/2009
Would
Have
Earned
Plaintiff
Would
Actually
Earn
37.47
38.47
39.47
40.47
41.47
42.47
43.47
44.47
45.47
46.47
47.47
48.47
49.47
50.47
51.47
52.47
53.47
54.47
55.47
56.47
57.47
58.47
59.47
60.47
61.47
62.47
63.47
64.47
65.00
65.47
66.47
67.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.54
0.46
1.00
0.53
0.50
1.50
2.51
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.51
7.50
8.50
9.50
10.51
11.50
12.50
13.50
14.51
15.50
16.50
17.50
18.51
19.50
20.50
21.50
22.51
23.50
24.50
25.50
26.51
27.50
28.04
28.50
29.50
30.04
37,536
78,074
81,197
84,445
87,823
91,336
94,989
98,789
102,740
106,850
111,124
115,569
120,191
124,999
129,999
135,199
140,607
146,231
152,080
158,164
164,490
171,070
177,913
185,029
192,430
200,127
208,133
216,458
120,570
104,276
234,121
129,047
26,141
56,549
58,811
61,163
63,610
66,154
68,801
71,553
74,415
77,391
80,487
83,706
87,055
90,537
94,158
97,925
101,842
105,915
110,152
114,558
119,140
123,906
128,862
134,017
139,377
144,952
150,750
156,780
87,329
75,527
169,574
94,455
Lost
Net
Income
Net Present
Value
of Loss
Cumulative
Net Present
Value
of Loss
11,394
21,525
22,386
23,281
24,213
25,181
26,188
27,236
28,325
29,458
30,637
31,862
33,137
34,462
35,841
37,274
38,765
40,316
41,929
43,606
45,350
47,164
49,051
51,013
53,053
55,175
57,382
59,677
33,241
28,749
64,547
34,592
11,131
20,075
19,929
19,787
19,646
19,506
19,364
19,226
19,089
18,953
18,816
18,682
18,549
18,416
18,283
18,152
18,023
17,894
17,765
17,638
17,512
17,387
17,261
17,138
17,016
16,895
16,772
16,653
9,050
7,659
16,416
8,582
11,131
31,206
51,135
70,922
90,568
110,074
129,438
148,665
167,754
186,707
205,523
224,205
242,753
261,170
279,452
297,605
315,628
333,522
351,287
368,925
386,437
403,825
421,086
438,224
455,240
472,135
488,907
505,560
514,610
522,269
538,685
547,267
It is noted that plaintiffs future lost earnings (lost front pay) of $514,610 and or $547,267 are
after tax calculations. Pre-tax lost future earnings can be calculated simply by comparing the
Gross Potential Earnings and Gross Actual Earnings in the above charts. This calculation,
adjusted for unemployment, shows the following: $598,384 and or $636,357 respectively.
Wage Growth Over Time
It may not seem plausible that Mr. Pollack whose net earnings are $75,072 today would earn
$234,121 thirty years from now. However, thirty years ago, it also did not seem plausible that the
average annual compensation for many professions would double or even triple over the same
period of time. The table below helps us understand the impact of time on wages. It shows
extrapolations of wages from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for different occupations in the state
of New Jersey all of which have more than doubled or tripled over a 30-year span in the past.
Annual Mean Wage Growth for Selective Occupations in New Jersey
Over a 30-year Period
Stat Occupation
e
Code
Occupational Title
History Teachers,
NJ
25-1125 Postsecondary
NJ
25-4021 Librarians
NJ
29-1051 Pharmacists
NJ
29-2021 Dental Hygienists
NJ
33-2011 Fire Fighters
NJ
47-2111 Electricians
NJ
47-2121 Glaziers
NJ
49-9043 Maintenance Workers, Machinery
1978
$28,984
30,538
24,022
30,429
27,416
29,102
20,094
21,472
The reason for such wage increases is attributed to increases in the rate of inflation and the rise in
worker productivity over time. The table below helps us understand the impact of inflation on
commodity prices. It shows historic data from the Bureau of the Census for the market prices of
different commodities in the state of New Jersey all of which have more than doubled or tripled
over a 30-year span in the past. When consumer items become more expensive, workers have to
get paid more to pay their bills (to afford the same items they could buy with their income
before). If they dont get an increase in their income, to compensate them for inflation, they will
quit their job and try to get a better one. As a result, employers have to keep increasing the
compensation of their employees before they will loose them to their competition. But that
increases their operating cost! In order to maintain their profit margins they have to increase
their prices. This is how we get the vicious spiral of wage-price increases over time. It is easy to
see the impact of inflation on the prices of consumer items from the historic prices of selective
items in the following table:
County
NJ
NJ
NJ
NJ
NJ
Morris
Morris
Morris
Morris
Morris
NJ
Morris
New Automobiles
SOURCES:
www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/census/historic/values.html;
http://www.gti.net/mocolib1//prices/1970.html
* 1970 Ford Galaxie 500;
** 1980 Buick Grand Prix;
^ 1990 Plymouth Voyager SE Minivan;
^^ 2000 Buick Regal
The sale price of the median home in Morris County New Jersey was $23,400 in 1970 and
$170,800 thirty years later in the year 2000. Likewise the price of a pound of coffee increased
from 76 cents in 1970 to $4.00 a pound thirty years later in the year 2000. This price inflation
resulted into a wage increase from $28,984 in 1978 to $78,990 in 2008 for History Teachers and
from $27,416 in 1978 to $69,620 in 2008 for Fire Fighters in the State of New Jersey.
Loss of Household Services
The services performed by homemakers are not sold in the marketplace, but this does not imply
they are not valuable. One method to place a value on homemakers services is to measure how
much a homemakers services would cost if they were to be individually purchased in the
marketplace.
As stated in the Background Facts and Assumption section, it is assumed that prior to being
injured, Mr. Pollack provided household services averaging 1.07 hours per day. It is further
assumed that as a result of his August 6, 2006 injury plaintiff has suffered a loss of his former
ability to provide household services. The monetary value of these services is assessed at $11.62
in 2006 dollars. [SOURCE: The Dollar Value of a Day, Expectancy Data Corp., Shawnee Mission, KS, and U.S.
Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review, August 2008, Table 14, p. 71,
http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2008/08/cls0808.pdf.] To obtain corresponding values in the future, an
Year
Ending
12/31/2006
12/31/2007
12/31/2008
12/31/2009
6/30/2010
Part
of the
Year
0.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Years
From
Trial
6/30/2010
3.50
2.50
1.49
0.50
0.00
Hours
Per Year
390
390
390
390
390
Hourly
Rate
11.62
12.06
12.52
13.00
13.49
Monetized
Value
of Annual
Loss
1,813
4,704
4,883
5,068
2,630
Cumulative
Value
of Loss
1,813
6,517
11,399
16,468
19,098
Age
Part
of the
Year
37.47
38.47
39.47
40.47
41.47
42.47
43.47
44.47
45.47
46.47
47.47
48.47
49.47
50.47
51.47
52.47
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Years
From
6/30/2010
Hours
Per Year
Hourly
Rate
Value of
Annual
Loss
Present
Value of
Loss
Cumulative
PV of
Loss
0.50
1.50
2.51
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.51
7.50
8.50
9.50
10.51
11.50
12.50
13.50
14.51
15.50
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
$13.49
14.00
14.53
15.09
15.66
16.25
16.87
17.51
18.18
18.87
19.59
20.33
21.10
21.91
22.74
23.60
$2,630
5,461
5,668
5,884
6,107
6,339
6,580
6,830
7,090
7,359
7,639
7,929
8,231
8,543
8,868
9,205
$2,570
5,093
5,046
5,001
4,955
4,911
4,866
4,822
4,778
4,735
4,692
4,649
4,607
4,565
4,524
4,483
$2,570
7,663
12,709
17,709
22,665
27,575
32,441
37,263
42,041
46,776
51,467
56,116
60,723
65,289
69,813
74,295
12/31/2026
12/31/2027
12/31/2028
12/31/2029
12/31/2030
12/31/2031
12/31/2032
12/31/2033
12/31/2034
12/31/2035
12/31/2036
12/31/2037
7/13/2038
12/31/2038
12/31/2039
12/31/2040
12/31/2040
12/31/2041
12/31/2042
12/31/2043
12/31/2044
12/31/2045
12/31/2046
12/31/2047
7/13/2048
12/31/2048
12/31/2049
12/31/2050
12/31/2051
12/31/2052
53.47
54.47
55.47
56.47
57.47
58.47
59.47
60.47
61.47
62.47
63.47
64.47
65.00
65.47
66.47
67.47
67.47
68.47
69.47
70.47
71.47
72.47
73.47
74.47
75.00
75.47
76.47
77.47
78.47
79.47
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.54
0.46
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.54
0.46
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
16.50
17.50
18.51
19.50
20.50
21.50
22.51
23.50
24.50
25.50
26.51
27.50
28.04
28.50
29.50
30.51
30.51
31.50
32.50
33.50
34.51
35.50
36.50
37.50
38.04
38.51
39.50
40.50
41.50
42.51
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
390
346
346
346
346
346
346
346
346
346
346
346
346
270
270
270
270
270
24.50
25.43
26.40
27.40
28.44
29.52
30.64
31.81
33.02
34.27
35.57
36.93
38.33
38.33
39.78
41.30
42.87
44.49
46.19
47.94
49.76
51.65
53.62
55.65
57.77
57.77
59.96
62.24
64.61
67.06
9,555
9,918
10,295
10,686
11,092
11,513
11,951
12,405
12,876
13,366
13,874
14,401
8,006
6,143
13,766
14,289
14,832
15,395
15,980
16,588
17,218
17,872
18,551
19,256
10,705
7,225
16,190
16,805
17,444
18,107
TOTAL
4,442
4,402
4,362
4,322
4,283
4,245
4,206
4,168
4,130
4,093
4,055
4,018
2,180
1,636
3,501
3,469
3,601
3,568
3,536
3,504
3,472
3,440
3,409
3,379
1,832
1,210
2,589
2,565
2,542
2,519
$176,973
78,737
83,140
87,501
91,824
96,107
100,351
104,557
108,725
112,855
116,947
121,002
125,021
127,201
128,837
132,338
135,807
139,408
142,976
146,512
150,016
153,488
156,928
160,337
163,716
165,548
166,758
169,347
171,912
174,454
$176,973
Phillipsburg Pharmacy
Bates
Date
Amount
419
08/24/06
30
431
02/21/07
0.75
433
419
09/13/06
30
431
02/23/07
0.75
406
607
11/15/06
30
431
02/27/07
0.75
401
431
12/13/06
30
431
03/06/07
0.75
422
418
10/11/06
30
609
03/08/07
0.75
422
418
11/16/06
30
430
02/02/07
0.75
719
418
01/30/07
30
611
03/15/07
0.75
721
608
01/10/07
30
612
03/20/07
0.75
723
432
02/23/07
90
622
12/11/07
0.75
731
432
02/27/07
30
618
11/20/07
0.75
725
433
433
609
610
611
612
03/02/07
03/06/07
03/08/07
03/13/07
03/15/07
03/20/07
30
30
30
30
30
90
Total
$7.50
614
03/22/07
30
732
06/06/08
7.97
405
616
05/14/07
30
733
03/18/08
34.00
736
617
08/29/07
30
734
03/18/08
594.00
410
619
620
11/27/07
11/30/07
30
30
735
403
08/29/08
08/14/06
34.00
14.37
11/12/0
6
11/20/0
6
12/31/0
6
11/16/0
6
01/23/0
7
12/31/0
7
05/14/0
7
04/08/0
8
08/06/0
8
04/11/0
8
Total
08/08/0
6
01/12/0
7
12/10/0
6
Total
18.53
18.53
85.00
18.53
24.92
10.00
10.00
20.00
12.89
10.00
$228.4
0
70
129
129
$328.0
0
621
622
623
624
406
406
423
625
722
730
729
12/05/07
12/11/07
01/28/08
03/28/08
11/17/06
11/20/06
08/18/06
04/08/08
05/12/08
05/08/09
05/19/09
Total
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
50
40
$1,110
Total
$684.34
708
711
724
06/06/07
03/15/07
05/18/09
Total
33
120
50
$203
Presby Chiropractic
Plaintiffs total loss values in present (2010) dollar amounts before tax are summarized as
follows:
SOURCE OF ECONOMIC
LOSS
Net earnings loss in prior years
Net earnings loss in future years
Household services loss in prior years
Household services loss in future years
It is important to understand that this total loss figure is a present value amount (in 2010 dollars),
representing a lump-sum payment made at present needed to generate a flow of payments
sufficient to compensate for the losses in each year of loss included in this appraisal. In addition,
please note that pre-trial or pre-judgment interest has not been calculated. These interest losses
are typically determined at the time of trial and would be in addition to the losses calculated in
this appraisal report.
The preceding findings are based on information provided to us to date. They are subject to
revision should additional information be forthcoming that would change any facts or
assumptions upon which this analysis rests. We also note that pecuniary losses are an
approximation and are provided by the economic expert as a guide to the trier of fact. Because a
lost stream cannot be computed with absolute certainty, a lump-sum payment represents a rough
and ready attempt to put plaintiff in the same position had he/she not been injured. [ SOURCE:
Jones v. Laughlin Steel Corp. v. Pfeifer, 462 U.S. 523, 545-47 (1983).]
ASSIGNMENT
Assume that you were engaged by the defendants attorney to review the previous report and
give him your professional opinion on the accuracy of the data, on the appropriateness of the
assumptions and the methodology used, and on the accuracy of the calculations and numerical
findings.
Discuss your observations with your classmates and your instructor and write a report stating
your professional opinion for the defense attorney that engaged you.