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1
X =
4
1
2
#
1 1
,
3 5
(d) Give an expression for a valid standard error for the elements of .
You do not need to give a proof of validity.
3. Show that the value of 1 in
Pn
(y y)(xi x
)
i=1
Pn i
2
(x
)
i=1 i
Pn
Pn
where x
= 1/n i=1 xi and y = 1/n i=1 yi , can be rewritten in each of
the following three forms:
1 =
(a)
Pn
xi yi nxy
1 = Pi=1
n
2
x2
i=1 xi n
1
(b)
Pn
(xi x
)yi
1 = Pi=1
n
)2
i=1 (xi x
(c)
Pn
xi (yi y)
1 = Pi=1
n
)2
i=1 (xi x
4. Suppose that both the least-squares line and the least-squares parabola
y = 0 + 1 x + 2 x 2 + e
were fitted to the same set of points. Explain why the sum of the squares
of the deviations of the points from the parabola cannot be larger than
the sum of the squares of the deviations of the points from the straight
line.
698 Chapter 11 Linear Statistical Models
xi1
xi2
yi
xi1
xi2
yi
100
113
120
144
100
118
120
138
110
127
130
146
110
132
130
156
120
136
10
130
149
11.2 Regression
Sec. 11.1,(under
we introduced
the method
6. Download the file Data_PG_UL.csv from In
bCourses
the Files
tab). of least squares. This method co
coefficients for a linear function to predict one variable y based on other va
The spreadsheet includes monthly returns
index
(Rm ), that the y values are observed valu
x1,for
. . . the
, xk .CRSP-VW
In this section,
we assume
random variables.
this case, there is a statistical model in wh
Proctor & Gamble (RP G ), Unilever (RUcollection
Consumer
Goods In
index
L ) and aof
method
of
least
squares
turns
out
to produce the maximum likelihood es
(RHH ). In the lecture, we discussed regressions for Proctor & Gamble
of the parameters of the model.
using the finite sample results under normality. The problem set asks you
to do the same analysis for Unilever.
Regression Functions
Pressure and the Boiling Point of Water. Forbes (1857) reports the resul
periments that were trying to obtain a method for estimating altitude.
RU Lt Rf t = + (Rmt Rf t ) + et
is available for altitude in terms of barometric pressure, but it was diffic
a barometer
to high altitudes
2 . in Forbes day. However, it might be ea
Report the coefficient estimates, theelers
R2 and
the adjusted
R
to carry
a thermometer
and measure the boiling point of water.
contains the measured barometric pressures and boiling points of water
periments. We can use the method of least squares to fit a linear relationsh
2
boiling point and pressure. Let yi be the pressure for one of Forbes ob
and let xi be the corresponding boiling point for i = 1, . . . , 17. Using
Table 11.5, we can compute the least-squares line. The intercept and slo
spectively, 0 = 81.049 and 1 = 0.5228. Of course, we do not expect th
y = 81.049 + 0.5228x precisely gives the relationship between boiling p
pressure y. If we learn the boiling point x of water and want to compute
tional distribution of the unknown pressure Y , is there a statistical model
us to say what the (conditional) distribution of pressure is given that the b
Example
11.2.1