March 2016 AP GFK Poll FINAL CVT Issues

Public Affairs & Corporate Communications
THE AP-GfK POLL

March, 2016
Conducted by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications
A survey of the American general population (ages 18+)
Interview dates: March 31 April 4, 2016

Number of interviews, adults: 1,076
Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level
NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled.
Please refer to the exact sample number at the bottom of each table.
*Beginning in October, 2013, AP-GfK polls were conducted online using GfKs nationally representative
KnowledgePanel. All prior trend conducted by telephone.
For more information, see http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com.
CUR1-AA4 previously released.
4/23-27/15
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
12/5-9/13
79
20
*
-
100
-
100
-
78
22
*
-
100
-
100
-
78
15
4
3
74
19
5
3
77
16
5
2
73
20
4
3
79
16
2
2
N=1,023
N=1,002
N=1,077
N=1,607
N=1,384
N=967
N=1,840
N=1,536
N=955
N=1,042
N=1,352
N=1,009
N=1,058
N=1,365
10/15-19/15
80
19
*
12-3-7/15
82
18
1
2/11-15/16
7/9-13/15
Are you currently registered to vote at your address, or not?
3/31-4/4/16
S1.
Yes
No
Not sure
Refused/Not answered
82
18
1
80
20
1
78
76
21
23
Based on: (Excludes those living in ND)
N=1,075
N=1,030
N=1,006
Some questions held for future release.

CURX-CURY previously released.
FAV1.
Barack Obama
Ted Cruz
Hillary Clinton
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Bernie Sanders
For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable
impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to have an opinion,
you can say that too. (Summary table)
Total
favorable
53
26
40
34
26
48
Very
favorable
31
5
17
8
11
19
Somewhat
favorable
22
21
23
26
15
29
Total
unfavorable
44
59
55
31
69
39
Somewhat
unfavorable
11
27
17
18
13
19
Very
unfavorable
32
32
38
12
56
20
Dont
know
enough
to say
2
14
4
34
4
12
Refused
1
1
1
2
1
1
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
7/24-28/14
3/20-24/14
12/5-9/13
10/3-7/13
Total favorable
53
45
48
47
46
46
46
41
43
44
44
44
42
46
44
Very favorable
31
24
25
24
24
27
26
21
20
23
26
20
22
23
24
Somewhat favorable
22
21
24
23
22
20
20
20
23
21
18
24
20
23
20
Total unfavorable
44
47
44
45
47
46
45
46
46
50
54
51
51
49
46
Somewhat unfavorable
Very unfavorable
Dont know enough to say
Refused/Not Answered
11
32
2
1
11
36
6
2
11
34
6
2
14
31
6
2
13
34
5
2
15
31
7
1
13
32
6
3
13
33
11
2
15
32
9
2
15
35
5
1
13
41
2
1
13
38
4
1
14
37
6
1
15
34
4
2
13
33
8
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,044
N=1,012
N=1,367
N=1,227
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
7/24-28/14
3/20-24/14
10/3-7/13*
Based on:
1/29-2/2/15
Barack Obama
3/31-4/4/16
FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable
impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to have an opinion,
you can say that too.
26
28
24
17
20
18
15
22
18
16
Very favorable
10
Somewhat favorable
21
21
14
12
15
12
13
10
Total unfavorable
59
46
37
39
33
32
27
30
30
32
Very unfavorable
27
32
14
1
19
27
24
3
12
24
37
2
14
25
41
3
11
22
43
4
10
22
49
2
10
17
55
3
9
22
46
2
10
20
50
2
10
22
50
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,044
N=1,012
N=1,227
Ted Cruz
Total favorable
Based on:
Hillary Clinton
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
7/24-28/14
3/20-24/14
(Continued) For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to
have an opinion, you can say that too.
3/31-4/4/16
FAV1.
Total favorable
40
38
44
41
39
46
48
46
Very favorable
17
17
18
17
18
22
21
21
Somewhat favorable
23
22
25
24
21
24
27
26
Total unfavorable
55
51
46
48
49
41
42
39
Very unfavorable
17
38
4
1
13
38
8
2
10
36
8
2
13
35
8
2
16
33
9
2
12
30
12
2
14
29
8
2
14
25
12
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,044
N=1,012
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
3/20-24/14
Based on:
34
26
14
13
Very favorable
Somewhat favorable
26
21
12
10
Total unfavorable
31
24
25
23
13
13
Very unfavorable
18
12
34
2
13
10
48
3
11
14
58
3
12
11
61
4
6
7
75
4
7
6
77
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,012
John Kasich
Total favorable
Based on:
Donald Trump
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
(Continued) For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to
have an opinion, you can say that too.
3/31-4/4/16
FAV1.
Total favorable
26
32
30
31
28
Very favorable
11
13
12
10
10
Somewhat favorable
15
19
19
21
18
Total unfavorable
69
58
58
57
58
Very unfavorable
13
56
4
1
15
43
7
3
12
45
10
2
15
43
8
3
15
43
12
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
Bernie Sanders
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
4/23-27/15
Based on:
Total favorable
48
40
31
32
10
Very favorable
19
14
11
13
29
26
19
20
Total unfavorable
Somewhat favorable
39
39
32
30
11
Very unfavorable
19
20
12
1
16
23
19
3
11
21
35
3
13
18
35
3
5
6
73
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,077
Based on:
FAVP.
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of
3/31-4/4/16
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
12/5-9/13
10/3-7/13
[GRID, RANDOMIZE FIRST TWO ITEMS]
Total favorable
48
46
45
42
49
49
47
47
43
43
42
Very favorable
19
16
16
16
17
18
19
15
15
15
13
Somewhat favorable
29
30
28
26
32
31
28
32
28
28
29
Total unfavorable
50
52
54
57
49
49
52
51
54
55
54
Very unfavorable
22
28
3
23
29
2
23
31
1
20
36
1
25
23
3
25
25
2
22
30
1
25
26
3
25
29
3
27
28
2
23
32
4
Based on:
N=1,076
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,012
N=1,367
N=1,227
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
12/5-9/13
10/3-7/13
N=1,354
3/31-4/4/16
The Democratic Party
30
39
41
44
41
42
44
35
38
30
28
Very favorable
10
12
10
10
12
Somewhat favorable
24
29
31
33
31
32
32
28
29
25
21
Total unfavorable
67
58
58
54
56
56
54
62
60
68
69
Very unfavorable
27
40
3
32
26
3
32
26
2
29
25
1
30
26
3
30
26
2
26
28
2
34
28
3
34
26
3
37
31
3
34
35
4
Based on:
N=1,076
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,012
N=1,367
N=1,227
The Republican Party

Total favorable
N=1,354

WIN2.
Would you definitely vote for, consider voting for, or definitely not vote for
following candidates in a general election for president?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Definitely
would vote
for
24
21
16
10
11
Would
consider
voting for
26
41
19
33
42
Definitely
would not
vote for
49
37
63
55
46
each of the
Refused
1
1
2
2
2
Bernie Sanders
Definitely would vote for
Would consider voting for
Definitely would not vote for
Based on:
2/11-15/16
22
29
46
3
N=1,076
N=1.033
2/11-15/16
Based on:
24
26
49
1
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
3/31-4/4/16
Based on: N=1,076
21
41
37
1
17
35
44
5
N=1,076
N=1.033
Based on:
John Kasich
Based on:
2/11-15/16
N=1,076
N=1.033
2/11-15/16
Ted Cruz
17
25
54
3
10
33
55
2
10
34
52
4
N=1,076
N=1.033
2/11-15/16
Based on:
16
19
63
2
3/31-4/4/16
Donald Trump
3/31-4/4/16
(Continued) Would you definitely vote for, consider voting for, or definitely
not vote for each of the following candidates in a general election for
president?
3/31-4/4/16
WIN2.
11
42
46
2
7
37
52
5
N=1,076
N=1.033

WIN1.
Regardless of who you would personally support, do you think each of the following could
possibly win the general election for president if they were their partys nominee, or definitely
could not win?
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
Refused
2
3
3
3
3
Hillary Clinton
Could possibly win
Definitely could not win
82
16
2
71
25
4
78
17
5
75
21
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
Bernie Sanders
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
Based on:
Could possibly win

60
37
3
62
33
5
37
56
6
44
51
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
Based on:
Definitely
could not
win
16
37
38
49
63
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Could
possibly
win
82
60
59
48
34
Donald Trump
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
(Continued) Regardless of who you would personally support, do you think each of the
following could possibly win the general election for president if they were their partys
nominee, or definitely could not win?
3/31-4/4/16
WIN1.
Could possibly win

59
38
3
63
33
4
55
40
5
48
47
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
Ted Cruz
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
Based on:
Could possibly win

48
49
3
47
48
6
33
60
7
23
71
6
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
John Kasich
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
Based on:
Could possibly win

34
63
3
31
63
6
18
74
7
16
78
6
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
Based on:
10
IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM]
Some items held for future release.

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Civil
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly/not at all well
Slightly well
Not at all well
48
21
27
49
21
28
3
11
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
Based on:
12-3-7/15
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
2/11-15/16
Compassionate
N=1,076
3/31-4/4/16
Based on:
42
20
22
56
22
34
3
41
18
23
54
20
34
6
40
19
21
55
22
33
6
42
18
24
53
20
34
5
40
15
24
58
22
36
3
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
IMG1. (Continued) Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM]
12
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
31
12
20
66
19
48
2
37
15
22
61
20
41
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
4/23-27/15
12-3-7/15
33
12
21
63
19
44
5
7/9-13/15
Based on:
31
12
19
63
18
45
6
10/15-19/15
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
29
13
17
65
17
48
5
12-3-7/15
Decisive
2/11-15/16
Based on:
29
12
17
69
18
50
3
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Honest
3/31-4/4/16
48
24
24
49
23
27
3
50
24
26
44
16
28
6
49
25
24
45
18
27
6
50
25
25
45
18
27
5
47
22
25
50
19
31
3
56
29
27
42
18
24
3
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
13
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
39
18
21
57
21
35
5
41
17
24
58
22
36
2
44
20
24
54
19
34
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
7/9-13/15
Based on:
40
18
22
54
19
35
6
10/15-19/15
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
37
16
20
58
19
39
6
12-3-7/15
Competent
36
16
20
62
22
40
2
2/11-15/16
Based on:
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Likable
3/31-4/4/16
48
28
21
49
19
30
3
48
26
22
46
14
32
6
49
29
20
45
16
30
6
51
28
22
45
16
30
4
48
27
22
49
18
31
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
3/31-4/4/16
Donald Trump
Civil
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
15
4
11
83
17
66
3
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
14
12-3-7/15
Compassionate
2/11-15/16
N=1,076
3/31-4/4/16
Based on:
17
7
10
80
16
64
3
21
9
13
73
19
54
6
18
8
11
77
18
59
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
15
12-3-7/15
34
15
19
60
17
43
6
33
14
18
62
19
44
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
12-3-7/15
Decisive
2/11-15/16
Based on:
25
10
15
72
16
56
3
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Honest
3/31-4/4/16
42
21
22
55
16
39
3
55
33
23
39
12
27
6
55
34
21
40
12
28
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
16
12-3-7/15
26
8
17
68
21
48
6
24
9
15
71
21
50
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
12-3-7/15
Competent
2/11-15/16
Based on:
21
8
14
76
16
60
3
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Likeable
3/31-4/4/16
31
14
16
67
17
50
3
40
20
19
55
18
37
6
38
19
19
58
19
39
5
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
3/31-4/4/16
Ted Cruz
Civil
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
33
8
26
61
33
28
6
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
17
12-3-7/15
Compassionate
2/11-15/16
N=1,076
3/31-4/4/16
Based on:
29
6
23
66
31
35
6
27
7
20
63
27
36
10
27
8
19
62
28
34
11
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
18
12-3-7/15
27
8
20
63
28
36
10
29
11
18
60
30
30
11
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
12-3-7/15
Decisive
2/11-15/16
Based on:
27
5
21
68
32
36
6
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Honest
3/31-4/4/16
36
9
27
58
33
25
6
35
12
23
55
28
27
10
33
13
20
56
30
27
11
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
19
12-3-7/15
27
7
20
64
26
37
10
27
8
19
62
29
33
11
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
12-3-7/15
Competent
2/11-15/16
Based on:
26
5
21
68
28
41
5
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Likeable
3/31-4/4/16
34
8
25
61
31
31
5
33
10
23
58
28
30
10
32
11
21
57
29
28
11
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
3/31-4/4/16
John Kasich
Civil
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
48
18
30
46
28
18
7
Compassionate
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
20
2/11-15/16
N=1,076
3/31-4/4/16
Based on:
37
11
27
56
35
21
7
29
7
23
58
35
23
13
N=1,076
N=1,033
Decisive
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
21
2/11-15/16
Based on:
39
12
27
55
33
22
7
33
9
25
54
33
21
13
N=1,076
N=1,033
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Honest
3/31-4/4/16
36
9
27
57
36
21
7
30
6
24
57
34
23
13
N=1,076
N=1,033
Competent
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
Based on:
22
2/11-15/16
Based on:
40
13
27
54
34
20
7
32
7
25
56
33
23
13
N=1,076
N=1,033
2/11-15/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
3/31-4/4/16
Likeable
3/31-4/4/16
40
12
28
53
33
20
7
33
10
23
55
32
23
13
N=1,076
N=1,033
ISSPRES. How well does each of the following candidates represent your positions on the issues you care
about? - some items held for future release.
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Very/
somewhat
well
43
30
Very well
20
15
Somewhat
Well
23
14
Slightly
well
Slightly/
Not well
at all
53
67
13
12
Not well
at all
40
54
Hillary Clinton
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
Base: N=1,076
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
43
20
23
53
13
40
3
39
20
20
55
16
39
6
N=1,076
N=1,033
Donald Trump
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
Based on:
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
30
15
14
67
12
54
4
37
18
19
57
16
41
7
N=1,076
N=1,033
Based on:
23
Refused
3
4
Civility
3/31-4/4/16
IMG2 How important is each of the following qualities in a candidate for president?
Extremely/Very important
Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Slightly/Not at all important
Slightly important
Not at all important
75
38
37
18
5
3
2
2
Based on:
24
N=1,076
Compassion
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
IMG2 (Continued) How important is each of the following qualities in a candidate for president?
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
68
36
32
23
7
5
2
2
65
32
33
24
8
5
2
4
65
35
30
22
9
6
3
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Honesty
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Based on:
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
88
63
25
7
3
1
2
2
86
63
23
7
3
2
2
3
86
66
19
6
4
1
3
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Based on:
25
Decisiveness
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
85
51
34
10
4
2
2
2
83
50
33
9
4
2
2
4
83
60
24
8
5
3
3
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Likability
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Based on:
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
53
24
29
33
13
9
3
2
51
25
26
31
14
10
4
4
54
27
26
28
14
11
3
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Based on:
26
Competence
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
91
69
22
4
3
1
2
2
88
68
19
6
3
1
2
4
88
74
14
5
3
1
2
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Their positions on the issues
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
Based on:
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
87
59
28
8
3
1
2
3
85
56
29
7
4
2
1
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
Based on:
27
CUR_CvT.
If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November, regardless
of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of:
Handling the economy

Handling immigration
Protecting the country
Handling health care
Handling the U.S. image abroad
Filling Supreme Court vacancies
Handling international trade
Handling the threat posed by the Islamic State group
Creating jobs
Working with Congress
Making America great
Handling gender equality
Based on: N=1,076

B1-CCON6 previously released.
28
Hillary
Clinton
38
42
37
43
48
42
41
36
36
44
33
55
Donald
Trump
35
33
31
27
21
23
32
32
35
20
28
12
Both
9
5
10
8
7
15
9
8
10
10
7
10
Neither
16
18
19
21
22
18
16
22
17
23
30
21
Refused
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
TP4.
Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or are you not a supporter of
the Tea Party movement?
20
74
19
76
18
77
22
74
21
75
20
76
19
78
22
75
27
71
17
79
20
77
26
72
23
74
20
22
27
Not a supporter
18
79
77
73
67
Dont know [VOL]
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
Supporter
Refused/Not
Answered
Based on:
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
[IF TP4=1] Do you support the tea party movement strongly or somewhat
3/31-4/4/16
TP4a.
Strongly
Somewhat
28
71
29
70
25
75
27
73
28
71
35
65
36
63
36
64
35
65
38
62
31
68
31
67
34
65
35
64
28
71
31
67
N=195
N=208
N=186
N=183
N=213
N=227
N=225
N=332
N=318
N=261
N=361
N=331
N=255
N=259
N=263
N=227
Based on: Tea Party Supporter
29
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these?
3/31-4/4/16
PID1.
Democrat
34
31
29
30
29
32
31
31
30
34
34
31
36
35
29
32
30
Independent
25
25
26
26
26
27
27
24
23
23
23
24
25
25
24
21
24
Republican
26
26
23
23
25
21
23
24
26
29
35
24
27
32
28
26
27
None of these
12
14
19
18
17
19
17
18
19
12
19
11
17
19
16
Dont know [VOL]
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,010
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
42
44
42
41
41
44
42
43
47
45
40
30
29
32
31
31
30
34
34
31
36
35
29
10
12/3-7/15
41
2/11-15/16
7/9-13/15
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these? IF

INDEPENDENT OR NONE, OR REFUSAL, ASK: Do you lean more toward the Democrats
or the Republicans?
3/31-4/4/16
PID1/i.
N=1,045
10/15-19/15
Based on:
47
43
42
Democrat
34
31
29
Independent lean Democratic
10
None lean Democratic
Total Democrat
Total Republican
36
37
35
37
37
34
35
38
37
41
47
34
38
45
38
Republican
26
26
23
23
25
21
23
24
26
29
35
24
27
32
28
Independent lean Republican
10
10
10
10
10
10
None lean Republican
Independent dont lean
10
None dont lean
10
12
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
15
14
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
Based on:
30
DM5.
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
Based on:
2/11-15/16
Liberal
Conservative
Moderate
Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a?
3/31-4/4/16
G11b.
22
30
44
4
21
32
42
4
19
33
43
5
18
35
44
3
20
34
43
3
21
33
43
3
19
33
45
3
20
35
40
5
21
33
42
3
21
36
42
2
20
41
39
1
20
31
45
4
20
35
43
2
19
40
40
1
16
34
45
4
22
33
42
4
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,224
N=1,016
N=643
N=1,044
N=1,354
Which one of the following best describes where you live?

Urban area
Suburban area
Rural area
25
48
25
2
N=1,076
Based on:
INS1.
The next questions are about your personal health insurance. Please include health
insurance obtained through employment or purchased directly as well as government
programs like Medicare and Medicaid that provide medical care or help pay medical bills.
31
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
12/5-9/13
10/16-20/14
12/3-7/15
89
9
2
89
9
3
87
10
2
88
10
2
88
10
2
88
9
2
87
10
3
86
11
3
86
12
2
82
15
3
85
12
3
83
16
2
82
16
2
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
N=1,367
TOTAL
2/11-15/16
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Yes
No
10/15-19/15
Are you currently covered by any kind of health insurance or some other kind of health
care plan or not?
DM12.
Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

Yes, born-again/evangelical
No
Based on:
DM13.
N=1,076
What is your religious preference?

Protestant
Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Other religion
Dont belong to religious denomination
Based on:
DM14.
30
67
3
26
22
2
2
13
31
3
N=1,076
[IF OTHER RELIGION IN DM13] Do you consider yourself a Christian, or not?

Yes, a Christian
No, not a Christian
Based on:
86
14
N=127
DMCELL. How many different landline telephone numbers, if any, are there in your home? This includes
listed or unlisted numbers. Please dont count cell phones or landlines used ONLY for faxes or
modems.
0
1
2
3
4
5 or more
Based on:
32
48
44
3
1
1
*
4
N=1,076
PPEDUCAT. (4 category)
Less than high school
High school
Some college
Bachelors degree or higher
Based on:
10
32
28
30
N=1,076
PPETHM
White, Non-Hispanic
Black, Non-Hispanic
Other, Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
2+ Races, Non-Hispanic
Based on:
66
11
4
16
3
N=1,076
PPGENDER
Male
33
48
Female
52
Based on:
N=1,076
PPWORK
Working as a paid employee
Working self-employed
Not working on temporary layoff from a job
Not working looking for work
Not working retired
Not working disabled
Not working - other
Based on:
55
6
1
5
18
5
10
N=1,076
PPAGE
Age group:
18-29
30-49
50-64
65+
Based on:
DM20.
21
34
26
19
N=1,076
And in which group does your total household [IF SINGLE: PERSONAL] income fall?
[READ LIST]
Under $10,000
$10,000 to under $20,000
$20,000 to under $30,000
$30,000 to under $40,000
11
$40,000 to under $50,000
$50,000 to under $75,000
20
$75,000 to under $100,000
14
$100,000 to under $150,000
18
$150,000 or more
Based on:
9
N=1,076
CENSUS REGION:
Northeast
18
Midwest
22
South
37
West
23
Based on:
34
N=1,076
AP-GfK Poll Methodology

The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted March 31 to April 4, 2016 by GfK Public Affairs &
Corporate Communications a division of GfK Custom Research North America. This poll is based on a
nationally-representative probability sample of 1,076 general population adults age 18 or older.
The survey was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanel, a probability-based panel designed
to be representative of the U.S. population. At inception participants were chosen scientifically by a
random selection of telephone numbers and since 2009 through Address-based sampling using the post
offices delivery sequence file. Persons in these households are then invited to join and participate in the
web-enabled KnowledgePanel. For those who agree to participate, but do not already have Internet
access, GfK provides at no cost a laptop and ISP connection. People who already have computers and
Internet services are permitted to participate using their own equipment. Panelists then receive unique
log-in information for accessing surveys online, and then are sent emails throughout each month inviting
them to participate in research.
The data were weighted to account for probabilities of selection, as well as age within sex, education,
race, and phone type. The phone type targets came from the fall, 2012 MRI Consumer Survey. The
other targets came from the March, 2012 Supplement of the Current Population Survey.
The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for
results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results
based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest
whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than
100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total significantly more than 100%,
depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. The cooperation rate for
this poll was 48%.
Trend data are displayed for selected questions from previous AP-GfK Polls that were conducted using
telephone interviews with nationally-representative probability samples of adults age 18 or older. Details
about all AP-GfK Polls are available at http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com.
35

March 2016 AP GFK Poll FINAL CVT Issues

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

March 2016 AP GFK Poll FINAL CVT Issues

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Public Affairs & Corporate Communications

THE AP-GfK POLL

A survey of the American general population (ages 18+)

Interview dates: March 31 April 4, 2016

CUR1-AA4 previously released.

Are you currently registered to vote at your address, or not?

Based on: (Excludes those living in ND)

Some questions held for future release.

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of

[GRID, RANDOMIZE FIRST TWO ITEMS]

The Democratic Party

The Republican Party

Some questions held for future release.

Based on: N=1,076

Some questions held for future release.

Could possibly win

Could possibly win

Could possibly win

Could possibly win

Some items held for future release.

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

Their positions on the issues

Handling the economy

Some questions held for future release.

Dont know [VOL]

Based on: Tea Party Supporter

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these?

Dont know [VOL]

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these? IF

Independent lean Democratic

None lean Democratic

Independent lean Republican

None lean Republican

Independent dont lean

None dont lean

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a?

Which one of the following best describes where you live?

Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

What is your religious preference?

[IF OTHER RELIGION IN DM13] Do you consider yourself a Christian, or not?

$10,000 to under $20,000

$20,000 to under $30,000

$30,000 to under $40,000

$40,000 to under $50,000

$50,000 to under $75,000

$75,000 to under $100,000

$100,000 to under $150,000

AP-GfK Poll Methodology

You might also like