SYNDICATE 10

ERRYN M PARAMYTHA 29115016

JOSHUA MARVEL L G
29115314
MILA MUJAADILAH
29115053
RIDHO RIADI A
29115193

B. Decision Tree

C. Best alternative
large production
0
0.6
success
1
0

4.75

small scale production

develop
0
0

1.65

invest

0.4
1

failure

1.65
-3

not develop
0

-3

A. the company
decision making

0.75

Best alternative

high sales
6

arge production

6
4.75

0.25
low sales
1
1

0.75
high sales
4

mall scale production

3.5

0.25
low sales
2
2

-3

E. Recommendatio

For the company, w

product and produ
profit for the comp

invest and not invest

2
3

Develop and not develop

succeess
fail
variable
failure

0.6
0.4
cost
-3

large production
high sales
low sales
high probability
low probability

6
1
0.75
0.25

small scale production

high sales
low sales

4
2

commendation

he company, we recommend to do the development of a microbiolog

uct and produce in a large scale production because it has the high
t for the company

of a microbiological
t has the highest

ID

Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Value

Prob
0

Pred
0
0
0

0
0

Kind
0D
0E
0T
1D
1T
3E
3E
5T
5T
6T
6T

NS

S1
2
2
0
2
0
2
2
0
0
0
0

S2
1
3
0
5
0
7
9
0
0
0
0

S3
2
4
0
6
0
8
10
0
0
0
0

S4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Col
21
15
27
9
22
4
14
2
7
12
17

1
5
5
9
9
13
13
17
17
17
17

Mark
1

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

One Input, One Output
Date
Time
Workbook
Input Cell
Output Cell

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

19-Feb-16
5:10 PM
Case Sensitivity Analysis (Syndicate10).xlsx
answer!$X$9
answer!$A$23

3.3

2.8

high sales
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

invest
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
1.2
1.65
2.1
2.55
3
3.45

2.3
inves t

1.8

1.3

0.8
1

10

high s ales

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

One Input, One Output
Date
Time
Workbook
Input Cell
Output Cell
p(favorable)
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
20

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

19-Feb-16
4:43 PM
exersice.xlsx
Sheet9!$X$2
Sheet9!$A$23
Output Value
0
0
0
0.1
0.875
1.65
2.425
3.2
3.975
4.75

5
4.5
4
3.5
3

Output Value

2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

p(favorable)

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation

SensIt 1.31 Tryout for Evaluation