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by Brian Lambert, part of a series on Unearthing Best Practice for Mine Optimization
We all know that in todays competitive global economy, businesses must deliver better results
using fewer resources in order to survive. Fortunately, mine scheduling is one area where better
results can be achieved with existing technology. This climate appears to be accelerating, not
abating, and so most of us accept it as a significant part of our job. We must figure out how to do
more with less, and simultaneously enhance our competitiveness. Mining organizations are not
immune to this challenge; we must find higher project net present values (NPVs) in tighter
planning horizons as compared to days gone by.
What is optimal?
The terms optimal and optimization are often used but not always correctly understood or
applied. Lets clarify the real meaning of these terms before proceeding. Optimization is the
approach for finding the optimal solution and providing us with the guarantee that no better
schedule exists. In general, both words focus on problem solutions mine schedules in the context
of this article. Optimal means the best solution, while optimization is the approach taken to
find the optimal solution. We know that optimal means best, but how can we be certain that our
schedule is optimal? To know that a schedule is truly optimal, we must prove that no other better
schedule exists. We can do this by evaluating every possible schedule that satisfies the operational
requirements. However, the large number of potential schedules makes this task impossible
without the use of a computer-based mathematical modelling approach. Optimization is this
approach, intelligently searching through all feasible schedules, and providing us with the
guarantee that no better schedule exists.
We create a set of rules and logic which characterize what a best schedule should look
like
The heuristic generates and evaluates schedules based on our rules and logic
Our computer quickly produces schedules that we may not have even considered,
reducing the chance that the best schedule is overlooked
There is no guarantee that the schedule will satisfy complex constraints (e.g., blending)
There is a risk that the truly optimal schedule has not been found
We still may have to manually envision different sets of rules and logic to create and
solve different model variations, in order to ensure the heuristic evaluates a sufficient
number of potential schedules.
We input model parameters and requirements for our project, and the modelling software
builds a mathematical model
The optimizer uses this model to sort through all feasible schedules
The optimizer chooses the optimal schedule with a guarantee that no better schedule
exists
This recommended growth plan will typically include some investment in growth via several
means, such as exploration, acquisition and/or capital expenditure.
The Recommended Growth Plan elaborates the base plan further to account for possible
investments for project growth.
There will also be some constraints to growth. These could be imposed by your companys
Board or senior management, infrastructure- or market-related, due to environmental or social
factors, or some combination of these.
But strategic planners must always challenge these constraints to make sure that they really are
hard constraints, rather than just assumptions that have been imposed without any justification.
Challenging these constraints is key to identifying the best path to value for your business. As a
strategic mine/business planner, part of your job is to help your senior management and Board do
just that. The fewer constraints you start with, the better the opportunity you have to find the
truly optimal strategic schedule for your mine.
The strategic plan needs to be regularly updated to ensure it remains workable. Often, this is an
annual cycle, but the frequency of updates is really a matter for your own business to decide.
The Strategic Business Plan is derived from the base and recommended growth plans and must
be regularly updated and communicated to stakeholders.
The important thing to remember here is that the strategic plan needs to be updated according to
the actual state and the current knowledge of your business and not the superseded information
that made up your original feasibility study.
Feasibility studies are completed at a given point in time and generally serve a particular
purpose, e.g. to prove the feasibility to invest in a particular mining project and to assist with
obtaining funding to do so.
Things like the changing needs of the business, increased knowledge/understanding of ore bodies
and hard-earned experience gained during operations will inevitably mean that a feasibility
studys mine plan will very quickly become out-of-date.
4. Medium-term Plans
The strategic business plan then drives the direction of your Medium-term Mine Plans. Typically
these are 2-5 year timeframes, but again, the parameters are up to your business to decide.
The Medium-term Plan is typically 2-5 years long and it must be aligned with the objectives set
in your strategic business plan.
The medium-term plan may be simply the first 2-5 years of the strategic plan, with a bit more
added granularity to allow for more detailed budget planning, or it may be a separate plan put
together by a different group of mine planners.
Whatever the case, it must focus on efficiently delivering the objectives and milestones that have
been set in the strategic plan. This ensures that the maximum value that has been identified in the
strategic business plan is delivered.
Of course, situations will arise where the two planning horizons will be in conflict. Thats where
constant collaboration and feedback between those responsible for the medium-term planning
and strategic planning functions is essential.
5. Short-term Plans
Short-term Mine Plans are then developed on a rolling basis. Typically these have time frames
ranging from three-month forecasts to monthly, weekly and daily equipment-based production
plans.
The Short-term Plan is typically developed on a monthly or weekly rolling basis and must be
both aligned with the medium-term plan, and flexible enough to deal with operational variability.
At the shortest time frame, these plans form a clear, concise set of instructions for mine
operations to execute in the field; for example, where to prepare the next bench or drill pattern,
which shot is being fired next, where the shovels are digging and where the dirt is being hauled.
Once again, alignment between the short-term and medium-term plans is essential.
However, the short-term plan should still retain adequate flexibility and agility to deal with
variability in key operating factors such as grades, short-term stockpile levels, equipment
downtime, weather conditions and other environmental factors.
downstream blending or stockpiling buffer. Other operations shift the mining focus to another
available area in order to deliver the KPIs of ore tonnage or grade.
Yet in nearly every case, overcoming this unforeseen obstacle means a deviation from the original
plan, and this registers as a mark against mine plan compliance. Further, these deviations cause
ripple effects for the remainder of the operational schedule which then must be re-configured to
maintain feasibility.
This often results in increased costs, an increased risk to the future plan, and additional grey hairs
on mining engineers heads.
So what is the core of the problem?
If we know that our mine plan is based on an average grade model that predicts only a 10%
probability for some key parameter (ore quantity produced, metal produced, net present value,
etc.), its quite likely that management will go back and revise the plan before establishing
operational KPIs on it.
This then will fundamentally increase the likelihood that the plan will be followed, and overall
compliance (not to mention stakeholder confidence in the plan) will be maintained. A good result
for all involved.
What is your first step in increasing your mine plan compliance? Developing a process for aligning
the different levels of your mine plan? Or maybe managing the geological uncertainty within your
mine plan?
plan
for
the
iron
ore
complex.
Boss: This just came down from above. They want a bunch of scenarios run on different crushing
rates. They also want scenarios on the timing of commencement of those satellite pits.
Bob:
I
thought
I
just
Boss: Different this time. New parameters. Crushing to vary between 26 and 35mtpa on 1mtpa
increments with specific costing for each. We also want to evaluate the satellite pits commencing
on each of the years in the schedule for contribution to the blend.
Bob: So if I understand what youre saying, Boss, thats 10 possible crushing rates with further
evaluation of the 3 satellite pits in each possible period over a 10 year mine plan?
Boss: You got it.
Bob: Ah, Boss, thats 300 scenarios. Using our excel-based mine scheduling tool that will take
me, hmm, lets see, with an hour per scenarioabout a month. Bear in mind, Im a guru at this
thing. A ninja. The best. Of course, thats a month if I sleep. However, if I only sleep 4 hours per
night I could get it done in about two weeks. Youll have to feed me at my desk.
Boss: There has to be a better way.
Well, Boss, there is. And its called Alternative Process Optimization.