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¾ 1. Background
¾ 2. Main Challenges
¾ 3. Conclusions
2
1. Background
Questions?
3
1. Background
Where is China? 4
2. Main Challenges
2.1 Economy
2.2 Urbanization
2.3 Motorization
2.4 Modal Split
2.5 Travel Behavior
2.6 Affordability
2.7 Energy Consumption
2.8 Traffic Safety
5
2.1. Economic growth
100000
6153
2367 4457
3603
1928
2520
2054
1693
1000 634 956
784 830
358
294 448
381 388
27 7. 9%
2009:>50
25 11. 5% 230
3
12
12
10
9. 9% 4. 3%
9
3 7. 8%
London 87.0
New York 86.0
Tokyo 71.0
Copenhagen 69.0
Maseilles 68.0
Paris 63.0
Beijing 57.5
Changsha 73.0
Ningbo 83.6
Wuhan 84.3
Yinchuan 84.8
ShenYang 86.9
Hefei 86.9
Challenge 4: Chinese citizens prefer to sustainable transport modes 87.8
(such as
Nanjing
walk, use a bicycle, or public transport). However, there are growing
50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0
challenges to keep these trends in place, and priority the proposed modal
split (Public transport 30%, Bicycle 30%, % and walk 30%), namely the
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increase in demand and use of private cars.
2.4. Modal Split
Modal Split in Changsha
the trip structure of Changsha(%)
70.3% 51.3%
2007 45.2 3.5 24.3 14.8 12.2
81.9% 43.8%
84.8% 28.4%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
2007 3 2 .6 3 4 .5 2 3 .0 9 .9
2005 2 9 .8 2 9 .8 3 0 .3 1 0 .1
2000 2 6 .5 2 3 .2 3 8 .5 1 1 .8
0 20 40 60 80 100
Ca r Pu b l i c Tr a n s p o r t Cy c l i n g Ot h e r s
Speed Speed
Cost Cost
Comfort Comfort
Key
Punctuality Punctuality
Factors
11
2.5. Travel Behavior
30 2.5
25
25
Accepted Distance
Speed “door to door” speed
25 2.0
Cost 2.0
Average Travel
Cost(Yuan/km)
20 18
Speed (km/h)
Distance: 3.5-9.3
1.5
15
15
10 10 1.0
10
5 0.6
0.5
5
0.1 0.3
0.0 0.1 0.0
0 0.0
Wal k Bus Bi cycl e BRT Rai l Car Taxi
Tr ansi t
Travel Mode
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year
400,000,000
350,000,000
300,000,000
tCO2-eq
250,000,000
200,000,000
150,000,000
100,000,000
50,000,000
-
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
2.01.00
0.00
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Strategic
Priorities
Public Transport Energy efficient
Safety
TDM & security
17
3. Conclusions
Too slow and too fast planning should be avoided.
Traffic Safety
Energy Comsuption
Affordability
Dangerous Planning
Travel Behavior area to be avoided !
Urbanization
Economic growth
18
Thank you for your
attention!
Dr.WU Hongyang
Deputy Director
China Urban Sustainable Transport Research Centre
China Academy of Transportation Sciences,
Ministry of Transport, P.R.China
Email: wuhy82@163.com
Tel: +86-10-58278509 Fax: +86-10-58278509
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Cell phone:+86-13581651129