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State Key Laboratory of Organic-Inorganic Composites, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China
Key Laboratory of Beijing City on Preparation and Processing of Novel Polymer Materials, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China
c
Beijing Engineering Research Center of Advanced Elastomers, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China
b
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 26 July 2013
Accepted 17 December 2013
Available online 3 January 2014
a b s t r a c t
A back-propagation articial neural network (BP-ANN) model was established to predict fatigue property
of natural rubber (NR) composites. The mechanical properties (stress at 100%, tensile strength, elongation
at break) and viscoelasticity property (tan d at 7% strain) of natural rubber composites were utilized as
the input vectors while fatigue property (tensile fatigue life) as the output vector of the BP-ANN. The
average prediction accuracy of the established ANN was 97.3%. Moreover, the sensitivity matrixes of
the input vectors were calculated to analyze the varied affecting degrees of mechanical properties and
viscoelasticity on fatigue property. Sensitivity analysis indicated that stress at 100% is the most important
factor, and tan d at 7% strain, elongation at break almost the same affecting degree on fatigue life, while
tensile strength contributes least.
2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Rubber materials are widely used in the tires. The life of tire is
strongly affected by the fatigue property of the rubber composite
[1]. The fatigue property of the rubber material depends on many
factors and conditions, such as rubber formulation, the mechanical
properties [2,3], loading history, the external environment [4], and
so on. In addition, thermo-chemical, mechanicalchemical and oxidative degradation makes this problem even more complex. Usually, the fatigue property data is mainly obtained by experimental
method, which requires a lot of time and money, so establishing a
mathematical model to predict the fatigue property of rubber material can reduce the cost of experiments. Up to now, many researchers have used some mathematical models to study the fatigue
performance of rubber materials [5], and however, little research
on building the model of the relationship among the mechanical
properties, viscoelasticity property and fatigue property has been
carried out.
Articial neural network (ANN), as an effective modeling method, has a good self-learning ability, and moreover it can simulate
nonlinear function in arbitrary precision [6,7]. Jancic-Stojanovic
et al. [8] found that training multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with
back propagation (BP) algorithm was suitable for the analysis of
Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Organic-Inorganic Composites, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China. Tel.: +86 10
64442621.
E-mail address: wuyp@mail.buct.edu.cn (Y.-P. Wu).
0261-3069/$ - see front matter 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.matdes.2013.12.044
181
within a certain range. So, the original data is normalized into the
range of [1, 1], using formula (6):
2. Simulation
2.1. Back-propagation articial neural network (BP-ANN)
x
The structure of BP-ANN is shown in Fig. 1. In the three-layer
BP-ANN, if the input of the input layer is p, according to the neural
network mapping relationship, the input and output parameters of
the hidden and output layers can be described in the mathematical
formula (1)(4)
in1 w1 p b1
out 1 f1 in1
in2 w2 out 1 b2
out 2 f2 in2
in which in1 and in2 are the input parameters of hidden layer and
output layer, respectively; b1 is the threshold value connecting input layer to hidden layer, and b2 is the threshold value connecting
hidden layer to output layer; w1 is the weight (probability of data
transmission along a path) connecting input layer to hidden layer,
and w2 is the weight connecting hidden layer to output layer;
out1 and out2 are the output parameters of hidden layer and output
layer, respectively; f1 and f2 are the transfer functions of hidden
layer and output layer [17,18], respectively. In addition, out2 can
be regarded as the overall output of the ANN.
The main task of the neural network is approximating the specied error by a non-linear function and making a prediction. Therefore, a non-linear transfer function should be selected between the
input layer and the hidden layer to complete advanced processing.
Here hyperbolic tangent function tansig is chosen as the transfer
function between the input layer and the hidden layer, that is,
x
x
f1 x eex e
. On the other hand, the mapping between the hidden
ex
layer and output layer is simple, so linear function pureline is chosen as the transfer function between the hidden layer and output
layer, that is, f2(x) = x .
2.2. Sensitivity matrix
The network sensitivity matrix is the partial derivative of out2
to input p of BP network. So, the partial derivative of out2 to input
p can be obtained from formula (5):
f20 in2 w2 f10 in1 w1
@p
@in2 @out1 @in1 @p
p min p
max p min p
1
min p
p
A p B
max p min p
max p min p
C 1 f20 in2 w2 f10 in1 w1 A
@p
@out 2 @p @p
The partial derivative of f1(x), f2(x), which are given above, can
be calculated by formula (9):
2
f10 x 1 f1 x ; f20 x 1
n
o
@out 2
2
C 1 w2 1 f1 in1 w1 A
@p
n
o
2
C 1 w2 1 f1 w1 A p w1 B b1 w1 A
10
When a BP-ANN has been established, w1, w2 and b1 are xed. Matrixes A, B, C and D can be calculated by formula (7). According to
formula (10), the matrix of partial derivative of original output to
the original input variable, namely sensitivity matrix, can be computed, and then the most important factors on the fatigue property
of NR composites can be gured out.
x min x
max x min x
182
Table 1
Fatigue life, mechanical properties and loss tangent (tan d) of 26 sets of NR composites.
Samples
Elongation at break %
tan d at 7% strain
Training data
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
54.5
12
11
9
7.5
11
13.5
10
11
21.5
19
10
102.7
8.4
14.1
97.3
24.1
35
37.1
32
25.5
14.5
33.8
1.8
2.1
2.4
2.7
3.1
3.6
2.9
3.2
3.3
3.0
3.3
3.3
1.8
3.2
2.1
1.6
2.8
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.4
2.5
2.2
21.4
25.0
27.8
30.0
28.7
28.8
28.3
28.9
28.7
28.6
29.4
26.9
16.6
22.2
25.3
21.9
23.8
24.3
24.7
24.6
25.0
26.4
25.6
511
514
521
526
520
454
453
456
444
492
465
424
430
382
471
505
437
491
492
505
507
516
551
0.211
0.230
0.211
0.187
0.187
0.155
0.165
0.178
0.173
0.170
0.171
0.148
0.294
0.302
0.301
0.314
0.239
0.229
0.229
0.231
0.235
0.239
0.257
Validation data
24
25
26
21.5
10
35.8
3.3
3.4
2.4
26.0
29.4
24.4
418
477
488
0.167
0.175
0.234
strains from 0.7% to 40%, and tan d at 7% strain is the largest for the
rubber composites. So the choice of tan d at 7% strain to characterize hysteresis is reasonable.
All the samples were divided into training samples and validation samples according to the principles of data selection. In order
to avoid the data gaps after extracting the validation samples, the
samples with closed fatigue life values should be given the priority
as the validation ones. From Table 1, the tensile fatigue life values
of samples 24, 25, and 26 were closed to samples 10, 8, and 18,
respectively. Therefore, samples 24, 25, 26 were chosen as the validation ones.
stages, epoch number and error goal were selected as 10,000 and
0.001, respectively.
The training process of BP-ANN is shown in Fig. 2. The training
line of network global error was smooth, and after 14 iterations the
network global error was 0.000950829, less than the error goal
0.001, demonstrating that the established ANN can quickly reach
the error goal.
In order to validate the training effect of the above ANN, we
compared the predicted data and experimental data of twentythree training samples, and the results are shown in Fig. 3. Obviously, the errors between the predicted data and the experimental
data were very small and the training effect was excellent. The
average training accuracy was 93.5%, indicating that the established ANN could be used for validation data in the following
analysis.
For the three validation samples, the results predicted by the
above established ANN are shown in Fig. 4. The prediction results
of sample 24, 25 and 26 were 20.276, 10.188 and 35.662, respectively. The prediction accuracy of the three validation samples
were 94.3%, 98.1%, 99.6%, and the average accuracy was 97.3%,
indicating that the established ANN is effective and feasible.
3.2. Sensitivity analysis
In this study, the sensitive analytical method based on the partial derivative of input variables is a local-sensitive analytical
method. So, the sensitivity matrix reects the sensitivity coefcient near a certain observational point. In order to observe the
trend of the sensitivity of the input vector in the global scope,
we calculated the sensitivity matrixes of four inputs F1, F2, F3
and F4 in the range (10%, 10%) of their mean value points. The
mean values of F1, F2, F3 and F4 were 2.65, 25.87, 478.85 and
0.22, respectively, and the corresponding calculation ranges of
F1, F2, F3 and F4 were (2.385, 2.915), (23.283, 28.457), (430.965,
526.735) and (0.198, 0.242), respectively.
Considering that there were four input vectors in our study, it
was inconvenient to display the sensitivity coefcient results in
183
Table 2 (continued)
NR
Zinc Oxide
Stearic Acid
Accelerator DM
Accelerator CZ
Accelerator TT
Accelerator NS
Accelerator DTDM
Accelerator D
Antioxidant 4010
Antioxidant 4020
Antioxidant RD
Wax
Carbon Black
N115
Carbon Black
N220
Carbon Black
N234
Carbon Black
N330
Plasticizer
Si69
Sulfur
Silica VN3
100
5
2
1.8
100
5
2
1.8
100
5
2
1.8
100
5
2
1.8
100
5
2
1.8
100
5
2
1.7
100
5
2
1.7
1
1
100
5
2
1.7
1
1
1
100
5
2
1.7
2
1
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
6
3
1.4
6
3
1.7
6
3
2.0
6
3
2.3
6
3
2.5
6
3.5
2.3
6
3.5
2.3
6
3.5
2.3
6
3.5
2.3
Recipes
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
NR
Zinc Oxide
Stearic Acid
Accelerator DM
Accelerator CZ
Accelerator TT
Accelerator NS
Accelerator DTDM
Accelerator D
Antioxidant 4010
Antioxidant 4020
Antioxidant RD
Wax
Carbon Black
N115
Carbon Black
N220
Carbon Black
N234
Carbon Black
N330
Plasticizer
Si69
Sulfur
Silica VN3
100
5
2
1.7
1
45
100
5
2
1.7
100
5
2
1.7
100
5
1
1.8
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
1
1.5
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
1
1
2
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
1
0.7
1.4
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
2
1
1
1
100
5
2
1
1
1
45
25
25
25
25
25
25
45
20
20
20
20
20
15
6
3.5
2.3
6
3.5
2.3
6
3.5
2.3
6
3
1.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
6
3
1.7
6
3
1.7
5
Recipes
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
NR
Zinc Oxide
Stearic Acid
Accelerator DM
Accelerator CZ
Accelerator TT
Accelerator NS
Accelerator DTDM
Accelerator D
Antioxidant 4010
Antioxidant 4020
Antioxidant RD
Wax
Carbon Black
N115
Carbon Black
N220
Carbon Black
N234
Carbon Black
N330
100
5
2
1
1
1
100
5
2
1
1
1
100
5
2
1.3
0.4
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
2
1.8
0.2
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
2
1.8
1.5
1.5
1
100
5
2
1.7
100
5
2
1.7
100
5
2
1.5
0.4
1.5
1.5
1
45
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
12
10
20
20
10
20
20
Recipes
Plasticizer
Si69
Sulfur
Silica VN3
6
3
1.7
8
6
3
1.7
10
6
3
1.0
6
3
1.5
6
3
1.5
10
6
3.5
2.3
6
3.5
2.3
6
3
1.0
original data
prediction data
100
80
Output
Recipes
60
40
20
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
the meantime, and we xed two input vectors at their mean values, and calculated the partial derivatives of the other two input
vectors. The sensitivity matrix consisted of the partial derivative
values, and therefore, the larger the partial derivative was, the
greater the input vectors impact on the fatigue life.
Firstly, in Figs. 5 and 6, F3 and F4 were xed at the their mean
values 478.85 and 0.22, respectively, while F1 and F2 were increased from 10% to 10% of their mean values with the step
length of 2% of mean value, that is, the calculative ranges of F1
and F2 were (2.385, 2.915) and (23.283, 28.457), respectively. Then
we obtained the partial derivative results (sensitivity coefcient
matrix) of F1 and F2: 441(2121) data totally. The partial derivative results of F1 and F2 are shown in Figs. 5 and 6, respectively.
In the title of Figs. 58, PD means partial derivative for short.
184
original data
prediction data
output
30
20
10
sample 24
sample 25
sample 26
Sample
Fig. 4. Prediction results of BP-ANN.
elongation, it means that the rubber molecules can extend and orientate more easily, and accordingly improving the resistance of
crack growth. So hysteresis and elongation at break are also important factors.
Mars and Fatemi in their review [2] commented that a large
number of factors affecting fatigue life of rubber had been studied
individually, and the ability to integrate such diverse results into
accurate fatigue life predictions remained an ambitious and elusive
goal. In our study, the results of sensitive analysis give a quantitative understanding of the material property factors affecting fatigue property of rubber, especially hysteresis [5]. To the best of
our knowledge, this study is the rst to give a clear picture about
the connections among the basic mechanical property parameters,
hysteresis and fatigue life by the method of sensitive analysis
based on the BP-ANN. The method is not only applied to investigate the roles of affecting factors of fatigue property for NR rubber
composites, but also provides a new potential way for the research
into other properties of rubber materials. We will continue our
study along this direction.
4. Conclusions
A BP-ANN model consisting of fatigue life, three mechanical
properties (stress at 100%, tensile strength, elongation at break),
and hysteresis (tan d at 7% strain) was established to predict the
tensile fatigue life of the NR composites, and the average prediction
accuracy for fatigue life was 97.3%. A sensitive analytical model
based on the partial derivative of the output vector to the input
vectors was developed to quantitatively understand the above
property parameters on fatigue property of NR composites. According to the result of sensitivity analysis, stress at 100% was the most
important factor affecting the fatigue life of NR composites; hysteresis and elongation at break exhibit almost have the same affecting
degree on the fatigue life, which is consistent with the fatigue
mechanism.
Acknowledgements
The authors gratefully acknowledge the nancial support of the
Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University, Ministry
of Education of China (Grant Number: NCET-10-0202), and the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.: 51073009).
185
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