Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MARCH 2015
Tornadoes in Romania
BOGDAN ANTONESCU
Centre for Atmospheric Science, School of Earth, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University of
Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
AURORA BELL
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
(Manuscript received 2 June 2014, in final form 23 September 2014)
ABSTRACT
The first tornado climatology for Romania is presented based on datasets attained from three periods
between 1822 and 2013. The historical period (18221944) contains 33 tornado reports originating from
historical newspaper archives and publications of the Romanian Meteorological Institute. Evidence of tornado observations in Romania before the nineteenth century is found in the representation of tornadoes in
the Romania folk mythology. The socialist period (194589) contains only seven tornado reports, likely because during this period it was believed that tornadoes did not occur in Romania. The recent period (1990
2013) contains 89 tornado reports that came from mass-media sources and eyewitness reports. Of the 129
tornadoes from the Romanian tornado database, 98 were reported between May and July with a peak in May
(36 reports). Most of the tornadoes (28 reports) occurred during the afternoon hours 15001659 local time.
Tornadoes were more frequently reported over eastern Romania compared with other regions of the country,
with a maximum over southeastern Romania [0.370.45 (105 km2)21 yr21].
1. Introduction
Tornado climatologies are important for understanding the formation and characteristics of severe convective
storms, and also for better quantifying the risks that tornadoes pose. The reported frequencies of tornadoes
are, in general, lower in Europe compared to the
United States. In his study on tornadoes and waterspouts in Europe, Alfred Wegener estimated that at
least 100 tornadoes occur each year in Europe
(Wegener 1917). More recently, Dotzek (2003) estimated that 329 tornadoes and waterspouts are observed each year in Europe, based on a survey among
the participants of the Second European Conference
on Severe Storms. Groenemeijer and Khne (2014)
DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00181.1
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FIG. 1. The spatial distribution of tornado climatologies in Europe. The countries for which tornado climatologies
have been published (Table 1) are represented in green, and the climatologies for eastern Europe are labeled.
Romania is represented in orange.
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TABLE 1. Climatologies of tornadoes for European regions. The European regions are based on the definition from the United Nations
Statistics Division (available online at http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49regin.htm). The tornado climatology for Turkey was
also included since Turkey is a contiguous transcontinental country, located in western Asia and southeastern Europe.
Region
Country
Study
Study period
Northern Europe
Southern Europe
Finland
Sweden
Lithuania
Estonia
Ireland
United Kingdom
Germany
Austria
France
Italy
Eastern Europe
Spain
Portugal
Greece
Turkey
Czech Republic
17962007
17251996
19502002
17952001
19502001
10911999
15871999
191099
16801999
14561992
199199
18252009
19362002
17092012
18182013
11192002
11192010
19962001
19562010
Western Europe
Hungary
Bulgaria
2. Data
The first tornado report in Romania is from the beginning of the nineteenth century, but tornadoes have
been observed before, as is shown by the Romanian folk
mythology related to the figure of the dragon (balaur
in Romanian) and the sorcerer (solomonar in Romanian). For the folk mentality, the dragon is the
Principal of Disorder, which disturbs the order of nature
and human communities by bringing thunderstorms and
hail. The solomonar,1 the Principle of Order, is
a sorcerer that has the power to control the weather
elements and to subdue the dragon (Oisteanu 2013). In
the folklore of other countries, high winds and severe
storms also had supernatural representations or were
interpreted as divine judgment [e.g., Jankovic (2000), for
United Kingdom]. We conjecture that tornadoes have
been represented in the Romanian folk mythology as
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FIG. 2. The topography of Romania and the spatial distribution of the folklore sources in which the tornadoes are
mentioned as balauri (yellow circles). The major cities in Romania (with populations greater than 280 000) are
represented by the black circles. Other cities referenced in this article are represented by white circles.
2
Volbura is another term used to described whirlwind events
over southeastern Romania (Gherman 1928), but this term is used
in the folklore sources to describe dust whirls (i.e., dust devils) and
not tornadoes.
3
The first Romanian newspapers, Albina Rom^
aneasca and
Curierul Rom^
anesc, were first published in 1829.
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4
This explanation can also result from the confusion between the
word uragan used to describe tornadoes in the historical database and the use of the word in modern Romanian to describe
tropical cyclones.
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reports). The eyewitness reports were submitted by professional meteorologists (two reports, 2.2% of all recent
reports) and severe weather spotters (two reports, 2.2%
of all recent reports). Radar and satellite data were analyzed for all the tornado reports after 2002 to confirm
that the radar imagery showed radar echoes or the satellite imagery showed cloudiness during or after the time
of the event. Even with a verification system in place,
there are limitations to the correctness of the tornado
reporting. Thus, not all the recent tornado reports were
well correlated with the cell locations from the radar data.
These differences were associated with locations errors
(e.g., location of the nearest village was provided instead
of the actual location of the tornado) and time errors
(e.g., only an estimate of the actual time of the tornado
was provided).
Altogether, 129 tornadoes that occurred on 112 days
have been reported in Romania between 1822 and 2013.
The majority of the tornadoes occurred over land (121
reports) and eight tornadoes occurred first over water
and then hit the land. Certainly, this dataset is incomplete, as shown for example by the low number of
tornado reports during the socialist period. The Romanian tornado dataset is clearly dominated by recent
events, with an increase in the number of reports after
the year 2000 (Fig. 3). This increase in the number of
tornado reports was observed in other European countries, too. For example, for Finland, Rauhala et al.
(2012) showed an increase from 50 tornado reports between 1990 and 1999, to 130 reports between 2000 and
2007. For Romania, the recent increase in the number of
tornado reports can be attributed to
1) increased public awareness after the F
ac
aeni F31
tornado in 2002;
2) implementation of the WSR-98D radar network in
2002 (Ioana et al. 2004) helped in defining tornado
locations considerably, especially in underpopulated areas, by detecting the larger circulation
pattern in which the tornado was embedded (i.e.,
the mesocyclone);
3) a rapid increase in cellular telephone subscriptions
per 100 inhabitants from 11.2 in 2000 to 105.0 in 2012,
along with a rapid increase in the percentage of
individuals using the Internet from 3.7 in 2000 to 50.0
in 2012;5
4) volunteer severe weather spotters, some of them
trained by the RNMA (e.g., the Association for
5
Source is the World Telecommunication/Information and
Communication Technologies Indicators Database (2013) (available online at http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/stat/
default.aspx).
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3. Spatial distribution
The spatial distribution of tornadoes reports in
Romania is shown in Fig. 4. The distribution of tornado
reports during the historical period reflects the availability of documentary sources rather than the true
distribution. Thus, the majority of tornadoes (29 reports
representing 87.9% of all historical reports) were reported over southern and eastern Romania, a region
that between 1881 and 1913 was the Romanian Kingdom. The region of Romania bounded to the east and
south by the Carpathian Mountain Range was a part of
the AustroHungarian Empire before 1918, and no official reports for this region were available before 1920
(Fig. 4a).
Figure 5 shows the distribution of all tornado reports
between 1822 and 2013 by F scale, in which the F-scale
estimate is the minimum that can be retrieved from the
description of the event. From the 23 historical reports
for which an estimation on the F scale was possible, 11
reports were for weak tornadoes [F0 or F1; Hales (1988)]
and 12 reports were for significant tornadoes (F2 or F3).
The large percentage of significant tornadoes during the
historical period compared with the other periods is because strong tornadoes have a large impact on society and
are therefore more likely to be reported than weak tornadoes (Brooks and Doswell 2001; Verbout et al. 2006).
During the socialist period, the annual average number
of tornado reports decreased from 0.44 (105 km2)21 (yr)21
between 1879 and 1913 to 0.06 (105 km2)21 (yr)21 between 1945 and 1989. All the tornadoes reported during
the socialist period, with one exception (the 12 June 1961
tornado from Cluj), occurred over eastern and southern
Romania (Fig. 4b). The lack of tornado reports is an
artifact of the socialist period and not the result of climatological factors. For example, Iliescu (1989) showed,
based on cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning data between
1966 and 1980, gathered using CG lightning counters,
that the annual average number of thunderstorm days
(days in which at least 15 CG lightning flashes were
detected) varies from 35 to 40 thunderstorm days over
most parts of Romania to 2530 days over southeastern
Romania [Fig. 21 in Iliescu (1989), p. 87]. Geicu and
C^
andea (2008), using data from the Romanian surface
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4. Monthly distribution
From the 126 tornadoes reported in Romania between 1822 and 2013 containing information on the occurrence month, 125 tornadoes were reported between
March and September and one tornado was reported
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FIG. 6. (a) KDE analysis for the tornado reports in the recent dataset (19902013) showing
the annual average number of tornado reports [(105 km2)21 yr21, shaded according to the
scale]. (b) Population density of Romanian counties (people per km2, shaded according to the
scale) and the urban areas (blue) derived from the 200203 MODIS data at 1-km resolution
(Schneider et al. 2003).
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FIG. 8. The percentage of the daily total of tornado reports between 1822 and 2013 occurring in 2-h bins starting at the indicated
local time (e.g., 1500 LT indicates the period between 1500 and
1659 LT).
5. Diurnal distribution
The diurnal distribution of tornadoes in Romania into
2-h bins in local time (LT 5 UTC 1 2 h), is shown in
Fig. 8. The diurnal distribution is based on 95 tornado
reports (75.4% of all reports) between 1822 and 2013
that contained information on the occurrence time. The
majority of tornadoes (88 reports, 92.6% of all cases)
were reported between 0900 and 2059 LT, with a peak in
the afternoon between 1500 and 1659 LT (28 reports,
29.4% of all cases). The reporting of only seven tornadoes between 2100 and 0859 LT may be because of the
difficulties associated with spotting tornadoes at night
(sunset is approximately at 2100 LT during June
August) or because they occur when the public tends to
be asleep (Ashley et al. 2008). The diurnal distribution of
tornado reports in Romania is similar to those observed
in the neighboring countries. For Bulgaria, Simeonov
et al. (2013) showed that tornadoes tend to occur between 1400 and 1800 LT (80% of all reports) with a peak
around 1600 LT. Tornadoes in Hungary occur most
frequently between 1500 and 1900 LT (72% of all reports) (Szilrd 2007).
6. Conclusions
This study summarizes the tornado climatology of
Romania between 1822 and 2013 based on a dataset
comprising 129 tornadoes reported on 112 days. The
tornado climatology was divided into three periods:
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