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Safety Science
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ssci
Department of Maritime Transportation and Management Engineering, Piri Reis University, Tuzla 34940, Istanbul, Turkey
Department of Marine Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Tuzla 34940, Istanbul, Turkey
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 15 August 2013
Received in revised form 17 February 2014
Accepted 4 April 2014
Available online 24 April 2014
Keywords:
ISM Code
Safety management system
Maritime regulations
Decision-making
a b s t r a c t
Future of ship safety is recently a core topic discussed in various platforms by maritime stakeholders.
Regarding this issue, it is so signicant task to achieve maritime regulatory compliances with ship operational requirements to ensure safe operations on-board ships. For instance, it is one of the most recently
amendments to evaluate safety management system (SMS) effectiveness. The maritime research in this
context focuses on promoting a hybrid decision-making approach to measure effectiveness of safety
management system implementations on-board ships. The approach incorporates Analytical Hierarchy
Process (AHP) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). It determines
the key performance indicators (KPIs) with tangible/intangible data in decision analysis which enhance
shipboard safety conditions. The main ndings highlight that number of detentions, crew injuries onboard ship, and major non-conformities are considered as assessment factors of ship SMS. The proposed
approach enables to review the SMS practices systematically that is required by recent amendments of
ISM Code. Thus, the proposed approach remedies the gap between safety science and maritime transportation industry in terms of adopting operational data in safety analysis. Consequently, the research
outcomes encourage the maritime researchers, safety engineers and ship operators.
2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Safety is the one of the key aspects of sustainable maritime
transportation. It directly deals with the management and operation of ships. The achievements of the International Maritime
Organization (IMO) related to maritime safety and marine environmental protection are marvellous. Principally, the IMO governs the
safety, security and environmental dimensions via regional Port
State Control (PSC) authorities in accordance with the designated
memorandum of understandings (MOUs). In current situation,
the IMO declared that there are now enough regulations in place
and the problem is one of implementation and enforcement.
Indeed, maritime authorities encourage the ships operators to full
the requirements of adopted rules and regulation. Therefore, safety
standards on-board ships contribute to threat unsafe conditions
along with the operation process. Hereby, it very critical aspect
to ensure conformity among regulatory execution and operational
requirements. In order to implement and enforce regulations in a
good order, ship management organisation should establish an
Corresponding author. Tel.: +90 216 581 00 50; fax: +90 216 581 00 51.
E-mail addresses: emreakyuz82@gmail.com, eakyuz@pirireis.edu.tr (E. Akyuz).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2014.04.003
0925-7535/ 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
170
171
172
6a
6 21
A6
6 ..
4 .
an1
a12
1
..
.
an2
a1n
a2n 7
7
..
.. 7
7 aii 1; aji 1=aij ; aij 0
.
. 5
Step (3) Calculating criterion weights (KPIs priorities) and consistency ratio: After composing of a pair-wise comparison matrix,
normalised value of matrix is found by dividing each entry in column to the sum of entries in column. Thereafter, the priority
weights of criterion are calculated. The average of value in each
row gives estimate of relative weights of criterion. The normalisation of matrix and priority weights of criterions (W1, W2,. . ., Wj) can
be calculated with following equations;
ai j
rij Pn
i1 ai j
Wj
i 1; 2; . . . ; n and j 1; 2; . . . ; n
n
1 X
aij ;
n i1
i 1; 2; . . . ; n and j 1; 2; . . . ; n
In order to provide consistency of data provided in methodology, Saaty proposed an equation to verify whether the matrix is
consistent or not. Accordingly, consistency index (CI) can be calculated as follows (4);
CI
kmax: n
n1
aijwj kmax:wi
j1
CR CI=RI
1
173
Table 1
The values of random index.
n
RI
1
0
2
0
3
0.58
4
0.90
5
1.12
6
1.24
7
1.32
8
1.41
9
1.45
10
1.49
Step (4) Constructing decision matrix (D): This step is to represent all information available for the attribute in the decision
matrix. The structure of the decision matrix can be dened as
follows;
c1
c2
c3
cn
6A
6 1
6
6 A2
6
D6A
6 3
6 .
6 .
4 .
x11
x12
x13
x21
x31
..
.
x22
x32
..
.
x23
x33
..
.
..
.
x1n 7
7
7
x2n 7
7
x3n 7
7
.. 7
7
. 5
Am
xm1
xm2
xm3
xmn
Key performance indicators (KPIs) are generally used to measure progress or to monitor trends which can be used to demonstrate where further improvements or resources are required. In
order to monitor performance of the SMS implementation, relevant
records and evidences which are gathered from the ship can be utilised. So that continuous monitoring of the KPIs will give idea
about the state of SMS implementations on-board ship. If there
would be any shortfalls on SMS design, it should be revised to
increase its utility. Moreover, the KPIs based analysis improves
safety performance on-board ships. In addition, application of KPIs
upon SMS implementation will provide to systematic review on
safety conditions.
The determined KPIs will help to measure effectiveness of SMS
implementations on-board ships by using the hybrid decisionmaking approach (AHPTOPSIS). The KPIs are provided on the
Table 2.
th
xij
r ij q
Pm 2 ; i 1; 2; 3; . . . ; m and j 1; 2; 3; . . . ; n:
i1 xij
v ij wj rij ;
i 1; 2; . . . ; n; j 1; 2; . . . ; n
10
r
Xn
2
Si
v ij v j ; i 1; 2; . . . ; m
j1
11
Table 2
KPIs description, code and sources table.
Name of KPIs
Code
of
KPIs
Sources
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
DNV (2012)
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
Management company
Management company
Si
r
Xn
v ij v j 2 ; i 1; 2; . . . ; m
j1
12
C i
Si
; 0hC i h1; i 1; 2; . . . ; m
Si Si
13
Step (10) Ranking the preference order (SMS effectiveness evaluation): The nal step is provided to rank alternatives in accordance with the descending order of C i . This step provides a
comparison of alternative years in SMS effectiveness.
174
management and operation. The HSEQ department mainly concentrates on adopting quality principles into health, safety and environment considerations. The HSEQ manager judgements are taking into
account to gain a different viewpoint in SMS effectiveness analysis.
The verbal judgement, based on a 15 rating scale, is used.
4. Application
In this section the proposed AHPTOPSIS approach will be utilised to measure effectiveness of SMS implementations on-board
ships. To demonstrate the model, it is contacted with a prestigious
shipping company which has a chemical tanker eet. The eet age
is ranging between 2 to 15 years old and ships size varying 3000
17,000 deadweight tons.
4.1. Analysis of respondents
The data contains qualitative and quantitative information for
KPIs basis per year. The quantitative data (KPI1 to KPI7) were provided through data records which are consisting of PSC reports,
vetting control reports and company internal audit reports. The
data received from company is available for the last three years.
In addition, subjective data has received from maritime experts.
The expert prole contains professional managers (DPA and HSEQ
department) and marine superintendents who have seagoing background and professional execution experiences. While constituting
the expert group, average seagoing experiences (six years) and
shore-based management experiences (ve years) are taken into
account. Hence, the judgements of the experts are considered in
a group consensus via a brainstorming meeting. In this meeting,
technical and operational aspects of the problem are considered
in the evaluation of safety related activities on-board. The group
provide data/judgements for pairwise comparison of KPIs and the
subjective data for KPI8 and KPI9 in the content of decision matrix.
4.2. Data collection
Considering the importance of ISM Code implementation onboard ship, this study is conducted by using real data from operational level. It measures the effectiveness of SMS implementation
on-board ship by using the KPIs. Accordingly, the shore-based
organisation can realise whether SMS implementation on-board
is useful or not.
In this study, a shipping company operating chemical tanker
eet is decided. Execution of chemical tanker eet is required
advance management system due to the critical operational
aspects. In this demonstration, the data were gathered by reviewing company SMS records, related documents and correspondence
communication with ships. In addition, PSC reports and vetting
reports were benetted to analyse deciency, major non-conformity and detention. On the other hand, linguistic data has received
from DPA and HSEQ department of the company for KPI8 and KPI9
subjective judgement.
4.3. Empirical analysis
In application step, KPIs assist to measure effectiveness of SMS
implementation on-board ship. These indicators can also be helpful
to review performance of SMS implantation on-board ships. Moreover, knowing how to prioritize KPIs can help us streamline the
decision-making process of application.
After determining the KPIs for SMS effectiveness application, a
pair-wise comparison matrix is established in accordance with
19 scale of the analytic hierarchy process which is showing the
intensity of importance each criterion. The judgements on KPIs,
175
KPI1
KPI2
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
Equal
importance
Reciprocal
Strong
importance
Equal
importance
1/Moderate
plus
1/Strong
plus
Equal
importance
1/Moderate
importance
1/Very strong
importance
1/Moderate plus
Strong
importance
Moderate
plus
Strong
importance
Strong plus
Very strong
importance
Strong plus
1/Strong
importance
1/Moderate
importance
1/Moderate
importance
Weak
1/Moderate plus
1/Moderate
importance
Moderate
Importance
Strong plus
KPI3
Equal importance
KPI4
KPI5
Equal
importance
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
which are given in Table 3, were received from the company DPA
to construct a pair-wise comparison matrix
The corresponding numerical equivalents for each judgement
are shown in Table 4. For example, number of completed training
on-board ship (KPI2) has weak importance than DPA internal
audit judgement (KPI8); therefore, number 2 is assigned for this
comparison. Likewise, the reciprocal equation of KPI8 to KPI2 is
assigned 1/2 as proposed in Eq. (1).
After composing of a pair-wise comparison matrix, the values
are need to normalised basis Eq. (2). It is found by dividing each
entry in column to the sum of entries in column. In Table 5, normalised value of each KPI is illustrated.
The priority weights of KPIs are calculated in accordance with
Eq. (3). The average of value in each row gives estimate of relative
weights of KPIs. Numerical weight values and percentages of each
KPI are provided in Table 6.
According to the Table 6, KPI4 (number of detention) has the
highest weight criterion (0.31) and it is percentage is 30.94% in
overall. Thereafter, KPI7 (number of crew injury on-board ship)
and KPI3 (number of major non-conformity) are ranking respectively. Since the KPI4 is ranked on the top of priority weight table,
Table 4
Pair-wise comparison matrix.
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
1.00
1/5
4.00
3.00
1/5
1/7
5.00
4.00
3.00
5.00
1.00
6.00
7.00
1/3
1/6
3.00
1/2
1/3
1/4
1/6
1.00
4.00
1/5
1/5
3.00
1/3
1/5
1/3
1/7
1/4
1.00
1/7
1/9
1/3
1/5
1/7
5.00
3.00
5.00
7.00
1.00
1/3
5.00
3.00
1/3
7.00
6.00
5.00
9.00
3.00
1.00
7.00
3.00
1/3
1/5
1/3
1/3
3.00
1/5
1/7
1.00
1/3
1/5
1/4
2.00
3.00
5.00
1/3
1/3
3.00
1.00
1/3
1/3
3.00
5.00
7.00
3.00
3.00
5.00
3.00
1.00
Table 5
Normalised pair-wise comparison matrix.
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
0.05
0.01
0.19
0.15
0.01
0.01
0.24
0.19
0.15
0.21
0.04
0.26
0.30
0.01
0.01
0.13
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.11
0.43
0.02
0.02
0.32
0.04
0.02
0.13
0.05
0.09
0.38
0.05
0.04
0.13
0.08
0.05
0.17
0.10
0.17
0.24
0.03
0.01
0.17
0.10
0.01
0.17
0.15
0.12
0.22
0.07
0.02
0.17
0.07
0.01
0.03
0.06
0.06
0.52
0.03
0.02
0.17
0.06
0.03
0.02
0.13
0.20
0.33
0.02
0.02
0.20
0.07
0.02
0.01
0.10
0.16
0.23
0.10
0.10
0.16
0.10
0.03
Strong
importance
Extreme
importance
Moderate
Importance
Equal
importance
1/Strong
importance
1/Very strong
importance
Equal importance
Weak
Moderate
importance
Strong
importance
1/Moderate
importance
1/Moderate
importance
Moderate
Importance
Equal
importance
Very, very
strong
Moderate
importance
Moderate
importance
Strong
importance
Moderate
importance
Equal
importance
it is considered as the most critical factor in terms of safety management system implementation on-board ship. Subject to the
variety and number of detention, the ship might not be allowed
to sail by port authorities until the necessary rectication for
detentions have been completed by master of vessel or shorebased management company. Moreover, number of detentions
lead to lose prestige for shipping company. Therefore, a well organised SMS is designed and implemented by shore-based management company to prevent possible detention in advance.
The KPI7 is the second most crucial shortfall factor in accordance with effectiveness of safety management system implementations on-board ships. Since ship crew face a high risk at sea
conditions, crew injury rate gives an idea whether effectiveness
of SMS implementation on-board is properly fullled or not.
Thereby, as the second important factor, the SMS implementation
shall be organised to prevent crew injury on-board ship.
The KPI3 has the third highest weight criterion and shortfall
effectiveness of safety management system implementation onboard ships. The major non-conformity shall be prevented by
implementation SMS on-board ship properly. In case major nonconformities do not rectify on-time, the ship will face detain in
port.
After calculating priority criterion weight, the consistency
degree of the matrix is controlled to satisfy the consistency of judgments in the pair-wise comparison. The consistency ratio (CR) of
matrix can be calculated by using Eqs. (4)(6). The random index
(RI) value will be 1.45 since nine factors are compared in matrix.
Consequently, the CR value can be found as 0.093. Since the CR
value is less than 0.10, all data inserted in comparison matrix is
considered as consistency.
In the next step, decision matrix is established basis Eq. (7).
Table 7 is illustrating data records and judgements provided by
company on a yearly basis. The data demonstrates the total numbers that have occurred in that year for eet. For instance, totally
thirty-four deciencies have been observed in 2010. In addition,
two near-miss events have been reported in 2011. Beside numerical data information, verbal judgement of DPA and HSQE departments take a place in table basis 15 rating scale. For example,
DPA assigned with FP (fair performance) for 2010 years in terms
of reviewing the safety and environmental related performance
of ships. On the other hand, same year has been evaluated as GP
(good performance) by the HSQE manager in accordance with the
responsibility scope.
The data received from DPA are utilised to compose initial decision matrix in Table 8 where negative factors (cost attributes) are
reciprocally inserted. For instance, KPI7 (number of crew injury
176
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
Table 11
Weighted normalised decision matrix.
Criterion Weight
Percentage (%)
0.09
0.07
0.15
0.31
0.04
0.03
0.19
0.08
0.04
9.06
7.32
15.13
30.94
4.01
2.87
18.80
8.04
3.83
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
2010
2011
2012
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.10
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.04
0.11
0.20
0.03
0.02
0.13
0.06
0.03
0.06
0.04
0.09
0.20
0.02
0.02
0.13
0.04
0.03
34
21
8
2
5
57
4
FP
GP
2012
37
17
4
1
2
52
2
VGP
VGP
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
26
14
5
1
3
59
2
GP
VGP
Max
Min
0.06
0.05
0.11
0.20
0.03
0.02
0.13
0.06
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.06
0.10
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.03
0.02
Table 13
Distance calculation, relative closeness and ranking.
Table 8
Initial decision matrix.
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
2011
Table 12
Positive/negative ideal solution.
Table 7
Data on KPIs.
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
2010
Scale
Weight
2010
2011
2012
Numbers
Numbers
Numbers
Numbers
Numbers
Numbers
Numbers
5-Scale judgement
5-Scale judgement
0.09
0.08
0.15
0.29
0.04
0.03
0.20
0.08
0.04
1/34
21
1/8
1/2
1/5
57
1/4
FP
GP
1/37
17
1/4
1
1/2
52
1/2
VGP
VGP
1/26
14
1/5
1
1/3
59
1/2
GP
VGP
S+
S
C
Rank
2010
2011
2012
0.14
0.02
0.12
3
0.02
0.14
0.86
1
0.03
0.13
0.79
2
Table 9
Decision matrix.
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
Weight
2010
2011
2012
0.09
0.08
0.15
0.29
0.04
0.03
0.20
0.08
0.04
0.03
21.00
0.13
0.50
0.20
57.00
0.25
2.00
3.00
0.03
17.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
52.00
0.50
4.00
4.00
0.04
14.00
0.20
1.00
0.33
59.00
0.50
3.00
4.00
Table 10
Normalised decision matrix.
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
Table 14
KPI based distances to PIS.
Weight
2010
2011
2012
0.09
0.08
0.15
0.29
0.04
0.03
0.20
0.08
0.04
0.53
0.69
0.36
0.33
0.32
0.59
0.33
0.37
0.60
0.49
0.56
0.73
0.67
0.79
0.54
0.67
0.74
0.80
0.69
0.46
0.58
0.67
0.53
0.61
0.67
0.56
0.80
KPI1
KPI2
KPI3
KPI4
KPI5
KPI6
KPI7
KPI8
KPI9
2010
2011
2012
0.015
0.000
0.056
0.098
0.019
0.001
0.066
0.030
0.007
0.019
0.010
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.018
0.022
0.000
0.011
0.000
0.000
0.015
0.000
on-board ship) has been reported as four times in 2010. Since number of crew injury has negative effect on SMS effectiveness evaluation, it should be inserted as reciprocal. Therefore, KPI7 value
(number of crew injury on-board ship) for 2010 is inserted as 1/4
in decision matrix.
The equivalent values of data, called as decision matrix, are
illustrated in Table 9. In this section, verbal judgement of DPA
and HSQE manager are converted to numerical value in accordance
with 15 rating scale. For example, DPA assigned a judgement for
eet conditions in 2012 are good (GP). Therefore, it is converted to
3 in accordance with 15 rating scale.
The decision matrix is normalised by using the Eq. (8). The normalised decision matrix is shown in Table 10.
Thereafter, weighted normalised decision matrix is calculated
in accordance with Eq. (9). The results are illustrated in Table 11.
177
178
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