Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Indo-Pakistan
Relations:
Political Realism
Paradigm
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
Focus Area :
Foundations of Indo-Pak
Relation
Two Nation Theory
Origin of Indo-Pak Conflict
Foreign Policy Framework of
India & Pakistan
Bilateral Political Engagement
Role of Extra Regional Powers
Future of Indo-Pak Relations
Additional Complexity
Future of Pakistan
AfPak Policy
Nuclearization of South Asia
China Factor
Chronology of Events
1947- Indo-Pak Division /
British Plan & Two Nation
Theory
PAKISTAN In addition to
the existing political map
of Pakistan lands to be
added were- Punjab /
Assam / Kashmir /
Baluchistan
Sr.
Sr.
1.
1.
1947 Partition
2.
2.
3.
3.
4.
4.
5.
5.
6.
6.
7.
7.
8.
8.
10
11
12
13
11
1974 - The Kashmiri State Govt. affirms that the state "is a constituent unit of
the Union of India". Pakistan rejects the accord with the Indian government.
Spending on
West
Pakistan(Cr.Rs)
1950/51- 1,129
54/55
Spending on
East Pakistan
(Cr.Rs)
524
Net Spending %
of total
expenditure
31.7
1955/56- 1,655
59/60
524
24.0
1960/61- 3,355
64/65
1,404
29.5
1965/66- 5,195
69/70
2,141
29.2
Total
4,593
28.8
11,334
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Politically Marginalized
Far Away to Administer
Economic Marginalization
Different Language
Considered as a Colony of
West Pakistan
Political implications of mal
governance had direct
refugee implication to India
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
Taliban Region or
Pashtun FATA- 40
Million People
Punjabis
What's Wrong
with Pakistan?
Arab Identity
Muhajirs
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
Foreign Policy
Whats Wrong with Pakistan?
Why geography -- unfortunately -is destiny for South Asia's
troubled heartland.
By Robert D. Kaplan
June 18, 2012
A place where tribes are strong and
the central government is
comparatively weak(Kaplan, 2012).
Anatol Lieven in his book Pakistan: A
Hard Country, 2012 notes the same
as a weak state
with strong
societies
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
Indo-Pak Relations
Indo-Pak Conflict
Foreign Policy Directions
Role of International Actors
Future Directions
Close to 70 Years of
confrontation
India & Pakistan have fought
four Wars
Over 25 Years of Proxy war
One million civilian deaths
At Partition
confusion of accession
Operation Gulmarg
- 22nd January 1947
Operation Gulmarg
- 22nd January 1947
Fought a 14 month
campaign that ended with
a ceasefire negotiated by
the United Nations along
Pakistan on the other hand got
with a de facto partition of
possession of now called Azad
the state that continues
Kashmir or Pakistan Occupied
Kashmir (POK) and Gilgit-Baltistan.
even today.
1965 War
1. First, as per Pakistans calculation, Began in August 5, 1965
having lost to China, Indian
& ended on Sept 22,
defense establishment may not be
1965.
willing for another armed conflict.
3 prominent factors
seem to have
accentuated Pakistani
army adventure to
occupy Kashmir by
force.
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
1965 War:
Bilateral War &
Multilateral Power
Balance
It is Prime Minister
Nehru, a Kashmiri
himself took the
issue to UNO.
Apparently with
the advice of Lord
Mountbatten,
Nehru referred J&K
issue to the U.N.
Security Council on
1 January, 1948.
India accused
Pakistan of sending
troops into Jammu
and Kashmir besides
arming the Afridi
tribesmen to foment
law and order
situation .
China Factor
1.
2.
1.
2.
3.
Indian Position
1.
2.
3.
American
Neutrality
&
Warning to China
Additionally, Washington
seems to have warned China
against a possible war front
with India.
Specter
of
Vietnam
China Pakistan
Indonesia
Referred as the
Triple Squeeze had
indeed created
Indian
apprehensions.
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
Role of Iran
&
Soviet Union
Multilateral
Positioning &
De-positioning
&
Washingtons
Neutrality
Helped India in the
1965 war
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
1971 Indo-Pak
War: Cold war in
the Subcontinent
The indo-Pak war
of 1971 had three
prominent
segments.
Year
Marginalization
of East Bengal
Spending on
Spending on
Net Spending %
West
East Pakistan
of total
Pakistan(Cr.Rs)
(Cr.Rs)
expenditure
1950/511,129
524
31.7
54/55
1955/561,655
524
24.0
59/60
1960/613,355
1,404
29.5
64/65
1965/665,195
2,141
29.2
69/70
Total
11,334
4,593
28.8
Source: Reports of the Advisory Panels for the 4th Five Year
Plan 1970-75, Vol. I, published by the Planning Commission of
Pakistan
Pak Marginalization
West Pakistan viewed the Bengali Muslim
1.
residents of East Pakistan as insufficiently
militaristic, insufficiently Muslim, and excessively
influenced by Hindu Indian culture.
2.
American
Response
KissingerMrs. Gandhi
Breakfast
BITS Pilani, K K Birla Goa Campus
Apparently, in spite of Kissingers adamant antiIndian position, Mrs. Gandhi seemed to have
clarified that India has to take a decisive step if
the Pakistanis continue the genocide in East
Pakistan .
Pakistans genocide in East Pakistan had also
divided American administrations perception of
how Washington should respond to the crisis.
Nixon within his administration had faced a
virtual revolt from his diplomats with the entire
State Department team based in Dhaka writing
the so-called Blood Telegram
Blood
Telegrams
from Dhaka
Divided Opinion
in US
Administration
US aircraft
carrier USS
Enterprise in
Bay of Bengal
JP in
Europe
Neutralizing
American British Chinese
India Moves
from NonAligned to Soviet
aligned Space
Indo-Soviet Treaty
of Friendship &
Cooperation
Simla Accord
The cost of war was heavy on
Pakistan. Pakistan lost half its
navy, one fourth of its Air Force
and a third of its army.
Next Phase
Having lost 3 Wars and subsequent Kargil War, Pakistan
since late 1980s has launched a Proxy War or Jihadi
War against India.
Jehadi war has taken away Pakistan from governance
orientation to hosting international terrorism which
now is proving to be suicidal.
2.00
0.00
China
Japan
India
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
China
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
Japan
1995
96
97
98
99
2000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Conclusion
Both India & Pakistan must shift from their animosity & focus
on Good Governance
Political Realism & Balance of Power strategy has not delivered.
They must there fore shift to Political Liberalism and Economic
Neoclassicism approach and focus on economic growth and
such tools to develop their own country.