Intro to Basic Statistics & Probability

Theory in Civil Engineering Systems

Iwan Renadi S, Ir., MSCE, Ph.D.

Department of Civil Engineering
Graduate Program
University of Indonesia
27 September 2013

Basic Statistics & Probability Theory

in
Civil Engineering Systems
[PART-1]

1.Why Statistics and Probability in

Engineering?
2.Decision Problems in Engineering
3.Examples

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Why Statistics and Probability in Engineering?

Decision Problems in Engineering?

Decision Problems in Engineering?

Decision Problems in Engineering?

Decision Problems in Engineering?

Decision Problems in Engineering?

Basic Statistics & Probability Theory

in
Civil Engineering Systems
[PART-2]
1. Risk and Motivation for Risk Assessment
2. Overview of Probability Theory
3. Interpretation of Probability
4. Sample Space and Events
5. The Three Axioms of Probability Theory
6. Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Overview of Probability Theory

Interpretation of Probability

Interpretation of Probability

Interpretation of Probability

Interpretation of Probability

Sample Space and Events

Sample Space and Events

Sample Space and Events

Sample Space and Events

Sample Space and Events

Sample Space and Events

The Three Axioms of Probability

Theory

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Conditional Probability and Bayess Rule

Basic Statistics & Probability Theory

in
Civil Engineering Systems
[PART-3]
1. Overview of Uncertainty Modeling
2. Random Variables
3. Extreme Value Distribution
4. Probability Density Function in Statistics
5. Basics of Reliability Analysis
6. Decision Analysis in Engineering

Overview of Uncertainty Modeling

Random variables and their characteristics

Tools in Uncertainty Modeling

Overview of Uncertainty Modeling

Overview of Uncertainty Modeling

Overview of Uncertainty Modeling

Overview of Uncertainty Modeling

Random Variable

W = 1/6 bh2

What is Random Variable?

What is Random Variable?

What is Random Variable?

What is Random Variable?

What is Random Variable?

What is Random Variable?

What is Random Variable?

The Decision Context

What are we doing today?

What are we doing today?

What are we doing today?

Extreme Value Distributions

Extreme Value Distributions

Extreme Value Distributions

Return Period

Return Period

Probability Density Functions in

Statistics

Probability Density Functions in

Statistics