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Chapter5RiskandReturn111

Chapter5
RiskandReturn
Instructors Resources
Overview
Thischapterfocusesonthefundamentalsoftheriskandreturnrelationshipofassetsandtheirvaluation.
Forthesingleassetheldinisolation,riskismeasuredwiththeprobabilitydistributionanditsassociated
statistics:themean,thestandarddeviation,andthecoefficientofvariation.Theconceptofdiversification
isexaminedbymeasuringtheriskofaportfolioofassetsthatareperfectlypositivelycorrelated,perfectly
negativelycorrelated,andthosethatareuncorrelated.Next,thechapterlooksatinternational
diversificationanditseffectonrisk.TheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)isthenpresentedasa
valuationtoolforsecuritiesandasageneralexplanationoftheriskreturntradeoffinvolvedinalltypesof
financialtransactions.

Study Guide
ThefollowingStudyGuideexamplesaresuggestedforclassroompresentation:
Example

Topic

Riskattitudes

Graphicdeterminationofbeta

12

Impactofmarketchangesonreturn

Suggested Answer to Chapter Opening Critical


Thinking Question
Howmightanemployeeworkingincorporatefinancebeaffectedbythemergerofhisorher
companywithanothercorporation?
Sinceoneofthewaystoreapcostsavingsinamergeristoeliminateduplicateoperations,corporate
financeemployeesmustconsiderthepossibilitythattheirpositionmaybeeliminated.Theonlydefense
againstsuchadevastatingcareersetbackistobeproficientinyourjobskillset.Whileexperienceandjob
knowledgemaynotbeenoughtoavoidthecostcuttingaxe,thosequalitieswouldmakeyourjobsearch
easier.Forthosewhoarechosentostaywiththenewlymergedcompany,youcanexpectchange.
Establishedprocedures,thepeoplewithwhomyouworkandevenyourworklocationmayallchange.The
mergermayrequireextraworkonyourpartasthecompanyworkstoassimilatebothpartsintoanew
whole.

112Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

Answers to Review Questions


1.

Riskisdefinedasthechanceoffinancialloss,asmeasuredbythevariabilityofexpectedreturns
associatedwithagivenasset.Adecisionmakershouldevaluateaninvestmentbymeasuringthe
chanceofloss,orrisk,andcomparingtheexpectedrisktotheexpectedreturn.Someassetsare
consideredriskfree;themostcommonexamplesareU.S.Treasuryissues.

2.

Thereturnonaninvestment(totalgainorloss)isthechangeinvalueplusanycashdistributionsover
adefinedtimeperiod.Itisexpressedasapercentofthebeginningoftheperiodinvestment.The
formulais:
Return

(endingvalue initialvalue) cashdistribution


initialvalue

Realizedreturnrequirestheassettobepurchasedandsoldduringthetimeperiodsthereturnis
measured.Unrealizedreturnisthereturnthatcouldhavebeenrealizediftheassethadbeen
purchasedandsoldduringthetimeperiodthereturnwasmeasured.
3.

(a) Theriskaversefinancialmanagerrequiresanincreaseinreturnforagivenincreaseinrisk.
(b) Theriskindifferentmanagerrequiresnochangeinreturnforanincreaseinrisk.
(c) Theriskseekingmanageracceptsadecreaseinreturnforagivenincreaseinrisk.
Mostfinancialmanagersareriskaverse.

4.

Sensitivityanalysisevaluatesassetriskbyusingmorethanonepossiblesetofreturnstoobtaina
senseofthevariabilityofoutcomes.Therangeisfoundbysubtractingthepessimisticoutcomefrom
theoptimisticoutcome.Thelargertherange,themorevariabilityofriskassociatedwiththeasset.

5.

Thedecisionmakercangetanestimateofprojectriskbyviewingaplotoftheprobability
distribution,whichrelatesprobabilitiestoexpectedreturnsandshowsthedegreeofdispersionof
returns.Themorespreadoutthedistribution,thegreaterthevariabilityorriskassociatedwiththe
returnstream.

6.

Thestandarddeviationofadistributionofassetreturnsisanabsolutemeasureofdispersionofrisk
aboutthemeanorexpectedvalue.Ahigherstandarddeviationindicatesagreaterprojectrisk.Witha
largerstandarddeviation,thedistributionismoredispersedandtheoutcomeshaveahigher
variability,resultinginhigherrisk.

7.

Thecoefficientofvariationisanotherindicatorofassetrisk,measuringrelativedispersion.Itis
calculatedbydividingthestandarddeviationbytheexpectedvalue.Thecoefficientofvariationmay
beabetterbasisthanthestandarddeviationforcomparingriskofassetswithdifferingexpected
returns.

Chapter5RiskandReturn113

8.

Anefficientportfolioisonethatmaximizesreturnforagivenrisklevelorminimizesriskforagiven
levelofreturn.Returnofaportfolioistheweightedaverageofreturnsontheindividualcomponent
assets:
n

k p wj k j
j1

where:
nnumberofassets,
wjweightofindividualassets,
j expectedreturns.
k
Thestandarddeviationofaportfolioisnottheweightedaverageofcomponentstandarddeviations;
theriskoftheportfolioasmeasuredbythestandarddeviationwillbesmaller.Itiscalculatedby
applyingthestandarddeviationformulatotheportfolioassets:

kp

i 1

9.

(ki k)2
(n 1)

Thecorrelationbetweenassetreturnsisimportantwhenevaluatingtheeffectofanewassetonthe
portfoliosoverallrisk.Returnsondifferentassetsmovinginthesamedirectionarepositively
correlated,whilethosemovinginoppositedirectionsarenegativelycorrelated.Assetswithhigh
positivecorrelationincreasethevariabilityofportfolioreturns;assetswithhighnegativecorrelation
reducethevariabilityofportfolioreturns.Whennegativelycorrelatedassetsarebroughttogether
throughdiversification,thevariabilityoftheexpectedreturnfromtheresultingcombinationcanbe
lessthanthevariabilityorriskoftheindividualassets.Whenoneassethashighreturns,theothers
returnsarelowandviceversa.Therefore,theresultofdiversificationistoreduceriskbyprovidinga
patternofstablereturns.
Diversificationofriskintheassetselectionprocessallowstheinvestortoreduceoverallriskby
combiningnegativelycorrelatedassetssothattheriskoftheportfolioislessthantheriskofthe
individualassetsinit.Evenifassetsarenotnegativelycorrelated,thelowerthepositivecorrelation
betweenthem,thelowertheresultingrisk.

10. Theinclusionofforeignassetsinadomesticcompanysportfolioreducesriskfortworeasons.When
returnsfromforeigncurrencydenominatedassetsaretranslatedintodollars,thecorrelationofreturns
oftheportfoliosassetsisreduced.Also,iftheforeignassetsareincountriesthatarelesssensitiveto
theU.S.businesscycle,theportfoliosresponsetomarketmovementsisreduced.
Whenthedollarappreciatesrelativetoothercurrencies,thedollarvalueofaforeigncurrency
denominatedportfoliodeclinesandresultsinlowerreturnsindollarterms.Ifthisappreciationisdue
tobetterperformanceoftheU.S.economy,foreigncurrencydenominatedportfoliosgenerallyhave
lowerreturnsinlocalcurrencyaswell,furthercontributingtoreducedreturns.
Politicalrisksresultfrompossibleactionsbythehostgovernmentthatareharmfultoforeign
investorsorpossiblepoliticalinstabilitythatcouldendangerforeignassets.Thisformofriskis
particularlyhighindevelopingcountries.Companiesdiversifyinginternationallymayhaveassets
seizedorthereturnofprofitsblocked.

114Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

11. Thetotalriskofasecurityisthecombinationofnondiversifiableriskanddiversifiablerisk.
Diversifiableriskreferstotheportionofanassetsriskattributabletofirmspecific,randomevents
(strikes,litigation,lossofkeycontracts,etc.)thatcanbeeliminatedbydiversification.
Nondiversifiableriskisattributabletomarketfactorsaffectingallfirms(war,inflation,political
events,etc.).Somearguethatnondiversifiableriskistheonlyrelevantriskbecausediversifiablerisk
canbeeliminatedbycreatingaportfolioofassetswhicharenotperfectlypositivelycorrelated.
12. Betameasuresnondiversifiablerisk.Itisanindexofthedegreeofmovementofanassetsreturnin
responsetoachangeinthemarketreturn.Thebetacoefficientforanassetcanbefoundbyplotting
theassetshistoricalreturnsrelativetothereturnsforthemarket.Byusingstatisticaltechniques,the
characteristiclineisfittothedatapoints.Theslopeofthislineisbeta.Betacoefficientsfor
activelytradedstocksarepublishedinValueLineInvestmentSurveyandinbrokeragereports.The
betaofaportfolioiscalculatedbyfindingtheweightedaverageofthebetasoftheindividual
componentassets.
13. TheequationfortheCapitalAssetPricingModelis:
kjRF[bj(kmRF)],
where:
kj
RF
bj
km

therequired(orexpected)returnonassetj.
therateofreturnrequiredonariskfreesecurity(aU.S.Treasurybill)
thebetacoefficientorindexofnondiversifiable(relevant)riskforassetj
therequiredreturnonthemarketportfolioofassets(themarketreturn)

Thesecuritymarketline(SML)isagraphicalpresentationoftherelationshipbetweentheamountof
systematicriskassociatedwithanassetandtherequiredreturn.Systematicriskismeasuredbybeta
andisonthehorizontalaxiswhiletherequiredreturnisontheverticalaxis.
14. (a) Ifthereisanincreaseininflationaryexpectations,thesecuritymarketlinewillshowaparallel
shiftupwardinanamountequaltotheexpectedincreaseininflation.Therequiredreturnfora
givenlevelofriskwillalsorise.
(b) TheslopeoftheSML(thebetacoefficient)willbelesssteepifinvestorsbecomelessrisk
averse,andalowerlevelofreturnwillberequiredforeachlevelofrisk.
15. TheCAPMprovidesfinancialmanagerswithalinkbetweenriskandreturn.Becauseitwas
developedtoexplainthebehaviorofsecuritiespricesinefficientmarketsanduseshistoricaldatato
estimaterequiredreturns,itmaynotreflectfuturevariabilityofreturns.Whilestudieshavesupported
theCAPMwhenappliedinactivesecuritiesmarkets,ithasnotbeenfoundtobegenerallyapplicable
torealcorporateassets.However,theCAPMcanbeusedasaconceptualframeworktoevaluatethe
relationshipbetweenriskandreturn.

Chapter5RiskandReturn115

Suggested Answer to Critical Thinking Question


for in Practice and Global Focus Box
Internationalmutualfundsdonotincludeanydomesticassetswhereasglobalmutualfundsinclude
bothforeignanddomesticassets.HowmightthisdistinctionaffecttheircorrelationwithU.S.equity
mutualfunds?
Thedifferencebetweenglobalfundsandinternationalfundsisthatglobalfundscaninvestinstocksand
bondsaroundtheworldincludingU.S.securities,whileinternationalfundsinvestinstocksandbonds
aroundtheworld,butnotU.Ssecurities.Therefore,globalfundsaremorelikelytobecorrelatedwithU.S.
equitymutualfundssinceasignificantportionoftheirportfoliosarelikelytobeU.S.equities.Aninvestor
seekingincreasedinternationaldiversificationinaportfolioshouldconsiderinternationalfundsover
globalfundsorincreasetheportionoftheportfoliodevotedtoglobalfundsifseekingdiversification
throughglobalfunds.

Suggested Answer to Critical Thinking Question


for Focus on Ethics Box
Ishittingthenumbersanappropriategoal,giventheChapter1contrastofprofitandshareholder
wealthmaximization?Ifnot,whydoexecutivesemphasizeit?
ThepresentationinChapter1ofourtextbookisclear(andseealsothemoralimperativeintheChapter1
ethicsfocusbox):managersaretomaximizeshareholderwealth,notprofits.Shareholderwealth
encompassescashflowamount,timing,andriskallofwhicharemissedbyanEPSfocus.Further,tothe
extentmanagersfocusonprofit,theyshouldtargetlongruneconomicprofit,notnextquartersEPS.
Really,thereareonlytwojustificationsformanagementattentiononEPS:(1)profitsarealargeand
necessarypartofoperatingcashflows(thinkoftheindirectapproachtothestatementofcashflows,inthe
operatingsection);and(2)investorsmayuseEPSchangestoenablereevaluationofthecompanys
businessstrategyandtrendline.(InChapter7,youwillbepresentedwiththepriceearningsmultiple
approachtostockvaluation.)

Answers to Warm-Up Exercises


E51.

TotalAnnualReturn

Answer:

K1

C1 P1 P0 $0 $12, 000, 000 $10, 000, 000

20%
P0
$10, 000, 000

Logistics,Inc.doubledtheannualrateofreturnpredictedbytheanalyst.Thenegativenet
incomeisirrelevanttotheproblem.

116Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

E52.

ExpectedReturn

Answer:

E53.

Analyst

Probability

Return

WeightedValue

0.35

5%

1.75%

0.05

5%

0.25%

0.20

10%

2.0%

0.40

3%

1.2%

Total

1.00

ExpectedReturn

4.70%

ComparingtheRiskofTwoInvestments

Answer: CV10.100.150.6667
CV20.050.120.4167
Basedsolelyonstandarddeviations,investment2haslowerriskthaninvestment1.Basedon
coefficientsofvariation,investment2isstilllessriskythaninvestment1.Sincethetwo
investmentshavedifferentexpectedreturns,usingthecoefficientofvariationtoassessriskis
betterthansimplycomparingstandarddeviationsbecausethecoefficientofvariationconsiders
therelativesizeoftheexpectedreturnsofeachinvestment.
E54.

ComputingtheExpectedReturnofaPortfolio

Answer:
K p (0.45 0.038) (0.40 0.124) (0.15 0.175)
(0.0171) (0.0496) (0.02625)
0.09295 9.295%
Theportfolioisexpectedtohaveareturnofapproximately9.3%.
E55.

CalculatingaPortfolioBeta

Answer:
Beta 0.20 1.15) (0.10 0.85) (0.15 1.60) (0.20 1.35) (0.35 1.85)
0.2300 0.0850 0.2400 0.2700 0.6475 1.3875

Solutions to Problems
P51.

LG1:RateofReturn: kt

(Pt Pt1 Ct )
Pt1

Basic
(a) InvestmentX:Return

($21, 000 $20, 000 $1, 500)


12.50%
$20, 000

($55, 000 $55, 000 $6,800)


12.36%
$55, 000
(b) InvestmentXshouldbeselectedbecauseithasahigherrateofreturnforthesamelevelof
risk.
InvestmentY:Return

Chapter5RiskandReturn117

P52.

LG1:ReturnCalculations: kt

(Pt Pt1 Ct )
Pt1

Basic
Investment

P53.

Calculation

kt(%)

($1,100$800$100)$800

25.00

($118,000$120,000$15,000)$120,000

10.83

($48,000$45,000$7,000)$45,000

22.22

($500$600$80)$600

3.33

($12,400$12,500$1,500)$12,500

11.20

LG1:RiskPreferences
Intermediate
(a) TheriskindifferentmanagerwouldacceptInvestmentsXandYbecausethesehavehigher
returnsthanthe12%requiredreturnandtheriskdoesntmatter.
(b) TheriskaversemanagerwouldacceptInvestmentXbecauseitprovidesthehighestreturn
andhasthelowestamountofrisk.InvestmentXoffersanincreaseinreturnfortakingon
moreriskthanwhatthefirmcurrentlyearns.
(c) TheriskseekingmanagerwouldacceptInvestmentsYandZbecauseheorsheiswillingto
takegreaterriskwithoutanincreaseinreturn.
(d) Traditionally,financialmanagersareriskaverseandwouldchooseInvestmentX,sinceit
providestherequiredincreaseinreturnforanincreaseinrisk.

P54.

LG2:RiskAnalysis
Intermediate
(a)
Expansion

Range

24%16%8%

30%10%20%

(b) ProjectAislessrisky,sincetherangeofoutcomesforAissmallerthantherangefor
ProjectB.
(c) Sincethemostlikelyreturnforbothprojectsis20%andtheinitialinvestmentsareequal,the
answerdependsonyourriskpreference.
(d) Theanswerisnolongerclear,sinceitnowinvolvesariskreturntradeoff.ProjectBhasa
slightlyhigherreturnbutmorerisk,whileAhasbothlowerreturnandlowerrisk.
P55.

LG2:RiskandProbability
Intermediate
(a)
Camera

Range

30%20%10%

35%15%20%

118Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

(b)

CameraR

CameraS

Possible
Outcomes

Probability
Pri

ExpectedReturn
ki

Weighted
Value(%)(kiPri)

Pessimistic

0.25

20

5.00

Mostlikely

0.50

25

12.50

Optimistic

0.25

30

7.50

1.00

ExpectedReturn

25.00

Pessimistic

0.20

15

3.00

Mostlikely

0.55

25

13.75

Optimistic

0.25

35

8.75

1.00

ExpectedReturn

25.50

(c) CameraSisconsideredmoreriskythanCameraRbecauseithasamuchbroaderrangeof
outcomes.TheriskreturntradeoffispresentbecauseCameraSismoreriskyandalso
providesahigherreturnthanCameraR.
P56.

LG2:BarChartsandRisk
Intermediate
(a)
BarChartLineJ
0.6

Probability

0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.75

1.25

8.5

ExpectedReturn(%)

14.75

16.25

Chapter5RiskandReturn119

BarChartLineK
0.7
0.6
0.5

Probability

0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1

2.5

13.5

15

ExpectedReturn(%)
(b)
Probability
Pri

ExpectedReturn
ki

Weighted
Value
(kiPri)

VeryPoor

0.05

0.0075

0.000375

Poor

0.15

0.0125

0.001875

Average

0.60

0.0850

0.051000

Good

0.15

0.1475

0.022125

Excellent

0.05

0.1625

0.008125

1.00

ExpectedReturn

0.083500

VeryPoor

0.05

0.010

0.000500

Poor

0.15

0.025

0.003750

Average

0.60

0.080

0.048000

Good

0.15

0.135

0.020250

Excellent

0.05

0.150

0.007500

1.00

ExpectedReturn

0.080000

Market
Acceptance
LineJ

LineK

(c) LineKappearslessriskyduetoaslightlytighterdistributionthanlineJ,indicatingalower
rangeofoutcomes.

120Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P57.

LG2:CoefficientofVariation: CV

k
k

Basic
7%
0.3500
20%
9.5%
B CVB
0.4318
22%
6%
C CVC
0.3158
19%
5.5%
D CVD
0.3438
16%
(b) AssetChasthelowestcoefficientofvariationandistheleastriskyrelativetotheother
choices.
(a) A CVA

P58.

LG2:StandardDeviationversusCoefficientofVariationasMeasuresofRisk
Basic
(a) ProjectAisleastriskybasedonrangewithavalueof0.04.
(b) ProjectAisleastriskybasedonstandarddeviationwithavalueof0.029.Standarddeviation
isnottheappropriatemeasureofrisksincetheprojectshavedifferentreturns.
0.029
(c) A CVA
0.2417
0.12
0.032
B CVB
0.2560
0.125
0.035
C CVC
0.2692
0.13
0.030
D CVD
0.2344
0.128
InthiscaseprojectDisthebestalternativesinceitprovidestheleastamountofriskforeach
percentofreturnearned.Coefficientofvariationisprobablythebestmeasureinthisinstance
sinceitprovidesastandardizedmethodofmeasuringtherisk/returntradeoffforinvestments
withdifferingreturns.

Chapter5RiskandReturn121

P59.

LG2:AssessingReturnandRisk
Challenge
(a) Project257
(1) Range:1.00(.10)1.10
n

(2) Expectedreturn: k k i Pri


i=1

ExpectedReturn
RateofReturn
ki

Probability
Pr i

WeightedValue
ki Pr i

.10

0.01

0.001

0.10

0.04

0.004

0.20

0.05

0.010

0.30

0.10

0.030

0.40

0.15

0.060

0.45

0.30

0.135

0.50

0.15

0.075

0.60

0.10

0.060

0.70

0.05

0.035

0.80

0.04

0.032

1.00

0.01

0.010

1.00
3. StandardDeviation:

i=1

0.450

(k k)
i

k k i Pr i

Pri

i=1

ki

ki k

(ki k) 2

Pr i

(ki k) 2Pr i

0.10

0.450

0.550

0.3025

0.01

0.003025

0.10

0.450

0.350

0.1225

0.04

0.004900

0.20

0.450

0.250

0.0625

0.05

0.003125

0.30

0.450

0.150

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.40

0.450

0.050

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.45

0.450

0.000

0.0000

0.30

0.000000

0.50

0.450

0.050

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.60

0.450

0.150

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.70

0.450

0.250

0.0625

0.05

0.003125

0.80

0.450

0.350

0.1225

0.04

0.004900

1.00

0.450

0.550

0.3025

0.01

0.003025
0.027350

122Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

Project 257 0.027350 0.165378


4.

0.165378
0.3675
0.450
Project432
CV

(1) Range:0.500.100.40
n

(2) Expectedreturn: k k i Pr i
i 1

ExpectedReturn
RateofReturn
ki

Probability
Pr i

WeightedValue
ki Pri

0.10

0.05

0.0050

0.15

0.10

0.0150

0.20

0.10

0.0200

0.25

0.15

0.0375

0.30

0.20

0.0600

0.35

0.15

0.0525

0.40

0.10

0.0400

0.45

0.10

0.0450

0.50

0.05

0.0250

k k i Pr i
i 1

1.00

0.300

(k k)

(3) StandardDeviation:

Pri

i 1

ki

ki k

(ki k) 2

Pri

(ki k) 2Pri

0.10

0.300

0.20

0.0400

0.05

0.002000

0.15

0.300

0.15

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.20

0.300

0.10

0.0100

0.10

0.001000

0.25

0.300

0.05

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.30

0.300

0.00

0.0000

0.20

0.000000

0.35

0.300

0.05

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.40

0.300

0.10

0.0100

0.10

0.001000

0.45

0.300

0.15

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.50

0.300

0.20

0.0400

0.05

0.002000
0.011250

Project432 0.011250 0.106066


(4) CV

0.106066
0.3536
0.300

Chapter5RiskandReturn123

(b) BarCharts
Project257
0.35
0.3
0.25

Probability

0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
-10%

10%

20%

30%

40%

45%

50%

60%

70%

80%

100%

RateofReturn
Project432

0.3

0.25

0.2

Probability
0.15

0.1

0.05

0
10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

RateofReturn

35%

40%

45%

50%

124Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

(c) SummaryStatistics
Project257

Project432

Range

1.100

0.400

ExpectedReturn( k )
StandardDeviation( k )

0.450

0.300

0.165

0.106

CoefficientofVariation(CV)

0.3675

0.3536

SinceProjects257and432havedifferingexpectedvalues,thecoefficientofvariationshould
bethecriterionbywhichtheriskoftheassetisjudged.SinceProject432hasasmallerCV,it
istheopportunitywithlowerrisk.
P510. LG2:IntegrativeExpectedReturn,StandardDeviation,andCoefficientofVariation
Challenge
n

(a) Expectedreturn: k ki Pri


i 1

ExpectedReturn

AssetF

RateofReturn
ki

Probability
Pri

WeightedValue
kiPri

0.40

0.10

0.04

0.10

0.20

0.02

0.00

0.40

0.00

0.05

0.20

0.01

0.10

0.10

0.01

k k i Pri
i 1

0.04
AssetG

0.35

0.40

0.14

0.10

0.30

0.03

0.20

0.30

0.06
0.11

AssetH

0.40

0.10

0.04

0.20

0.20

0.04

0.10

0.40

0.04

0.00

0.20

0.00

0.20

0.10

0.02
0.10

AssetGprovidesthelargestexpectedreturn.

Chapter5RiskandReturn125

(b) StandardDeviation: k

(k k)
i

Pri

i 1

(ki k) 2

Pri

0.40 0.04 0.36

0.1296

0.10

0.01296

0.10 0.04 0.06

0.0036

0.20

0.00072

0.00 0.040.04

0.0016

0.40

0.00064

0.05 0.040.09

0.0081

0.20

0.00162

0.10 0.040.14

0.0196

0.10

0.00196

(ki k)
AssetF

0.01790
AssetG

0.35 0.11 .24

0.0576

0.40

0.02304

0.10 0.110.01

0.0001

0.30

0.00003

0.20 0.110.31

0.0961

0.30

0.02883
0.05190

AssetH

0.40 0.10 .30

0.0900

0.10

0.009

0.20 0.10 .10

0.0100

0.20

0.002

0.10 0.10 0.00

0.0000

0.40

0.000

0.00 0.100.10

0.0100

0.20

0.002

0.20 0.100.30

0.0900

0.10

0.009
0.022

0.1338

0.2278

0.1483

Basedonstandarddeviation,AssetGappearstohavethegreatestrisk,butitmustbe
measuredagainstitsexpectedreturnwiththestatisticalmeasurecoefficientofvariation,since
thethreeassetshavedifferingexpectedvalues.Anincorrectconclusionabouttheriskofthe
assetscouldbedrawnusingonlythestandarddeviation.
(c) CoefficientofVariation=

standarddeviation()
expectedvalue

0.1338
3.345
0.04
0.2278
AssetG: CV
2.071
0.11
0.1483
AssetH: CV
1.483
0.10
Asmeasuredbythecoefficientofvariation,AssetFhasthelargestrelativerisk.
AssetF: CV

126Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P511. LG2:NormalProbabilityDistribution
Challenge
(a) Coefficientofvariation:CV k k
Solvingforstandarddeviation: 0.75 k0.189
k 0.750.1890.14175
(b) (1) 68%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween1standarddeviationfromtheexpectedvalue:
1 0.189 0.14175 0.33075
1 0.189 0.14175 0.04725
(2) 95%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween2standarddeviationsfromtheexpectedvalue:
2 0.189 (2 0.14175) 0.4725
2 0.189 (2 0.14175) 0.0945
(3) 99%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween3standarddeviationsfromtheexpectedvalue:
3 0.189 (3 0.14175) 0.61425
3 0.189 (3 0.14175) 0.23625
(c)
ProbabilityDistribution
60

50

40

Probability
30

20

10

0
-0.236

-0.094

0.047

0.189

Return

0.331

0.473

0.614

Chapter5RiskandReturn127

P512. LG3:PortfolioReturnandStandardDeviation
Challenge
(a) ExpectedPortfolioReturnforEachYear:kp(wLkL)(wMkM)
Expected
PortfolioReturn
AssetL
AssetM
Year
(wLkL)
(wMkM)
kp

2004

(14%0.405.6%)

(20%0.6012.0%)

17.6%

2005

(14%0.405.6%)

(18%0.6010.8%)

16.4%

2006

(16%0.406.4%)

(16%0.609.6%)

16.0%

2007

(17%0.406.8%)

(14%0.608.4%)

15.2%

2008

(17%0.406.8%)

(12%0.607.2%)

14.0%

2009

(19%0.407.6%)

(10%0.606.0%)

13.6%

(b) PortfolioReturn:

w k
j

kp
kp

j1

n
17.6 16.4 16.0 15.2 14.0 13.6
15.467 15.5%
6

(c) StandardDeviation: kp

(ki k)2

i 1 (n 1)
n

(17.6% 15.5%)2 (16.4% 15.5%)2 (16.0% 15.5%)2

(15.2% 15.5%)2 (14.0% 15.5%)2 (13.6% 15.5%)2

kp
6 1
(2.1%)2 (0.9%)2 (0.5%)2

(0.3%)2 (1.5%)2 (1.9%)2

kp
5
kp

(4.41% 0.81% 0.25% 0.09% 2.25% 3.61%)


5

11.42
2.284 1.51129
5
(d) Theassetsarenegativelycorrelated.
(e) Combiningthesetwonegativelycorrelatedassetsreducesoverallportfoliorisk.
kp

128Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P513. LG3:PortfolioAnalysis
Challenge
(a) Expectedportfolioreturn:
Alternative1:100%AssetF
kp

16% 17% 18% 19%


17.5%
4

Alternative2:50%AssetF50%AssetG
AssetF
(wFkF)

Year

AssetG
(wGkG)

PortfolioReturn
kp

2007

(16%0.508.0%)

(17%0.508.5%)

16.5%

2008

(17%0.508.5%)

(16%0.508.0%)

16.5%

2009

(18%0.509.0%)

(15%0.507.5%)

16.5%

2010

(19%0.509.5%)

(14%0.507.0%)

16.5%

66
16.5%
4
Alternative3:50%AssetF50%AssetH
kp

Year

AssetF
(wFkF)

AssetH
(wHkH)

PortfolioReturn
kp

2007

(16%0.508.0%)

(14%0.507.0%)

15.0%

2008

(17%0.508.5%)

(15%0.507.5%)

16.0%

2009

(18%0.509.0%)

(16%0.508.0%)

17.0%

2010

(19%0.509.5%)

(17%0.508.5%)

18.0%

kp

66
16.5%
4

(b) StandardDeviation: kp

i 1

(ki k)2
(n 1)

(1)
F

[(16.0% 17.5%)2 (17.0% 17.5%)2 (18.0% 17.5%)2 (19.0% 17.5%)2 ]


4 1

[(1.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (1.5%)2 ]


3

(2.25% 0.25% 0.25% 2.25%)


3

5
1.667 1.291
3

Chapter5RiskandReturn129

(2)
FG

[(16.5% 16.5%)2 (16.5% 16.5%)2 (16.5% 16.5%)2 (16.5% 16.5%)2 ]


4 1

FG

[(0)2 (0)2 (0)2 (0)2 ]


3

FG 0
(3)
FH

[(15.0% 16.5%)2 (16.0% 16.5%)2 (17.0% 16.5%)2 (18.0% 16.5%)2 ]


4 1

FH

[(1.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (1.5%)2 ]


3

FH

[(2.25 0.25 0.25 2.25)]


3

FH

5
1.667 1.291
3

(c) Coefficientofvariation:CV k k
1.291
0.0738
17.5%
0
CVFG
0
16.5%
1.291
CVFH
0.0782
16.5%
(d) Summary:
CVF

kp:ExpectedValue
ofPortfolio

kp

CVp

Alternative1(F)

17.5%

1.291

0.0738

Alternative2(FG)

16.5%

Alternative3(FH)

16.5%

1.291

0.0
0.0782

Sincetheassetshavedifferentexpectedreturns,thecoefficientofvariationshouldbeusedto
determinethebestportfolio.Alternative3,withpositivelycorrelatedassets,hasthehighest
coefficientofvariationandthereforeistheriskiest.Alternative2isthebestchoice;itis
perfectlynegativelycorrelatedandthereforehasthelowestcoefficientofvariation.

130Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P514. LG4:Correlation,Risk,andReturn
Intermediate
(a) (1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:between5%and10%
(b) (1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:0risk10%
(c) (1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:0risk10%
P515. LG1,4:InternationalInvestmentReturns
Intermediate
(a) Returnpesos

24, 750 20, 500 4, 250

0.20732 20.73%
20, 500
20, 500

(b) Purchaseprice
Salesprice

Priceinpesos
20.50

$2.22584 1, 000shares $2, 225.84


Pesosperdollar 9.21

Priceinpesos
24.75

$2.51269 1, 000shares $2, 512.69


Pesosperdollar 9.85

(c) Returnpesos

2, 512.69 2, 225.84
286.85

0.12887 12.89%
2, 225.84
2, 225.84

(d) Thetworeturnsdifferduetothechangeintheexchangeratebetweenthepesoandthedollar.
Thepesohaddepreciation(andthusthedollarappreciated)betweenthepurchasedateandthe
saledate,causingadecreaseintotalreturn.Theanswerinpart(c)isthemoreimportantof
thetworeturnsforJoe.Aninvestorinforeignsecuritieswillcarryexchangeraterisk.

Chapter5RiskandReturn131

P516. LG5:Total,Nondiversifiable,andDiversifiableRisk

132Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

Intermediate
(a)and(b)
16
14
12

Portfolio
Risk
(kp)
(%)

10

Diversifiable

8
6
4

Nondiversifiable

2
0
0

10

15

20

25

NumberofSecurities
(c) Onlynondiversifiableriskisrelevantbecause,asshownbythegraph,diversifiableriskcan
bevirtuallyeliminatedthroughholdingaportfolioofatleast20securitieswhicharenot
positivelycorrelated.DavidTalbotsportfolio,assumingdiversifiableriskcouldnolongerbe
reducedbyadditionstotheportfolio,has6.47%relevantrisk.
P517. LG5:GraphicDerivationofBeta
Intermediate
(a)

DerivationofBeta
Asset Return %
32

Asset B

28
b = slope = 1.33

24
20

Asset A

16
12

b = slope = .75

8
4
0
-16

-12

-8

-4

-4 0

12

16

Market
20 Return

-8
-12

(b) Toestimatebeta,theriseoverrunmethodcanbeused: Beta

Rise Y

Run X

Chapter5RiskandReturn133

Takingthepointsshownonthegraph:
BetaA

Y 12 9 3

0.75
X 8 4 4

Y 26 22 4

1.33
X 13 10 3
Afinancialcalculatorwithstatisticalfunctionscanbeusedtoperformlinearregression
analysis.Thebeta(slope)oflineAis0.79;oflineB,1.379.
(c) Withahigherbetaof1.33,AssetBismorerisky.Itsreturnwillmove1.33timesforeachone
pointthemarketmoves.AssetAsreturnwillmoveatalowerrate,asindicatedbyitsbeta
coefficientof0.75.
BetaB

P518. LG5:InterpretingBeta
Basic
Effectofchangeinmarketreturnonassetwithbetaof1.20:
(a) 1.20(15%)
18.0%increase
(b) 1.20(8%)
9.6%decrease
(c) 1.20(0%)
nochange
(d) Theassetismoreriskythanthemarketportfolio,whichhasabetaof1.Thehigherbeta
makesthereturnmovemorethanthemarket.
P519. LG5:Betas
Basic
(a)and(b)
Asset

Beta

Increasein
MarketReturn

ExpectedImpact
onAssetReturn

Decreasein
MarketReturn

Impacton
AssetReturn

0.50

0.10

0.05

0.10

0.05

1.60

0.10

0.16

0.10

0.16

0.20

0.10

0.02

0.10

0.02

0.90

0.10

0.09

0.10

0.09

(c) AssetBshouldbechosenbecauseitwillhavethehighestincreaseinreturn.
(d) AssetCwouldbetheappropriatechoicebecauseitisadefensiveasset,movinginopposition
tothemarket.Inaneconomicdownturn,AssetCsreturnisincreasing.

134Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P520. LG5:BetasandRiskRankings
Intermediate
(a)
Stock

Beta

1.40

0.80

0.30

Mostrisky
Leastrisky
(b)and(c)
Increasein

ExpectedImpact

Decreasein

Impacton

Asset

Beta

MarketReturn

onAssetReturn

MarketReturn

AssetReturn

0.80

0.12

0.096

0.05

0.04

1.40

0.12

0.168

0.05

0.07

0.30

0.12

0.036

0.05

0.015

(d) Inadecliningmarket,aninvestorwouldchoosethedefensivestock,stockC.Whilethe
marketdeclines,thereturnonCincreases.
(e) Inarisingmarket,aninvestorwouldchoosestockB,theaggressivestock.Asthemarket
risesonepoint,stockBrises1.40points.
n

P521. LG5:PortfolioBetas:bp

w b
j

j1

Intermediate
(a)
Beta

PortfolioA
wA
wAbA

1.30

0.10

0.130

0.30

0.39

0.70

0.30

0.210

0.10

0.07

1.25

0.10

0.125

0.20

0.25

1.10

0.10

0.110

0.20

0.22

0.90

0.40

0.360

0.20

0.18

Asset

bA

0.935

PortfolioB
wB
wBbB

bB

1.11

(b) PortfolioAisslightlylessriskythanthemarket(averagerisk),whilePortfolioBismore
riskythanthemarket.PortfolioBsreturnwillmovemorethanPortfolioAsforagiven
increaseordecreaseinmarketreturn.PortfolioBisthemorerisky.

Chapter5RiskandReturn135

P522. LG6:CapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM):kjRF[bj(kmRF)]
Basic
Case

kj

8.9%

5% [1.30(8%5%)]

12.5%

8% [0.90(13%8%)]

8.4%

9% [0.20(12%9%)]

15.0%

10% [1.00(15%10%)]

8.4%

6% [0.60(10%6%)]

RF[bj(kmRF)]

P523. LG5,6:BetaCoefficientsandtheCapitalAssetPricingModel
Intermediate
TosolvethisproblemyoumusttaketheCAPMandsolveforbeta.Theresultingmodelis:
k RF
km RF
10% 5% 5%
Beta

0.4545
16% 5% 11%
15% 5% 10%
Beta

0.9091
16% 5% 11%
18% 5% 13%
Beta

1.1818
16% 5% 11%
20% 5% 15%
Beta

1.3636
16% 5% 11%
IfKatherineiswillingtotakeamaximumofaverageriskthenshewillbeabletohavean
expectedreturnofonly16%.(k5%1.0(16%5%)16%.)

Beta
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)

P524. LG6:ManipulatingCAPM:kjRF[bj(kmRF)]
Intermediate
(a) kj 8%[0.90(12%8%)]
kj 11.6%
(b) 15% RF[1.25(14%RF)]
RF 10%
(c) 16% 9%[1.10(km9%)]
km 15.36%
(d) 15% 10%[bj(12.5%10%)
bj
2

136Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P525. LG1,3,5,6:PortfolioReturnandBeta
Challenge
(a) bp(0.20)(0.80)(0.35)(0.95)(0.30)(1.50)(0.15)(1.25)
0.160.33250.450.18751.13
(b) kA

($20, 000 $20, 000) $1, 600 $1, 600

8%
$20, 000
$20, 000

kB

($36, 000 $35, 000) $1, 400 $2, 400

6.86%
$35, 000
$35, 000

kC

($34, 500 $30, 000) 0 $4, 500

15%
$30, 000
$30, 000

kD

($16, 500 $15, 000) $375 $1,875

12.5%
$15, 000
$15, 000

(c) kP

($107, 000 $100, 000) $3,375 $10,375

10.375%
$100, 000
$100, 000

(d) kA4%[0.80(10%4%)]8.8%
kB4%[0.95(10%4%)]9.7%
kC4%[1.50(10%4%)]13.0%
kD4%[1.25(10%4%)]11.5%
(e) Ofthefourinvestments,onlyChadanactualreturnwhichexceededtheCAPMexpected
return(15%versus13%).Theunderperformancecouldbeduetoanyunsystematicfactor
whichwouldhavecausedthefirmnotdoaswellasexpected.Anotherpossibilityisthatthe
firmscharacteristicsmayhavechangedsuchthatthebetaatthetimeofthepurchase
overstatedthetruevalueofbetathatexistedduringthatyear.Athirdexplanationisthatbeta,
asasinglemeasure,maynotcaptureallofthesystematicfactorsthatcausetheexpected
return.Inotherwords,thereiserrorinthebetaestimate.

Chapter5RiskandReturn137

P526. LG6:SecurityMarketLine,SML
Intermediate
(a),(b),and(d)
SecurityMarketLine
16
B

Km

14

SML

12

MarketRisk
RequiredRateof
Return%

Risk premium

10

Risk-free
Rate

8
6
4
2
0
0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.2

1.4

NondiversifiableRisk(Beta)
(c) kjRF[bj(kmRF)]
AssetA
kj0.09[0.80(0.130.09)]
kj0.122
AssetB
kj0.09[1.30(0.130.09)]
kj0.142
(d) AssetAhasasmallerrequiredreturnthanAssetBbecauseitislessrisky,basedonthebeta
of0.80forAssetAversus1.30forAssetB.ThemarketriskpremiumforAssetAis3.2%
(12.2%9%),whichislowerthanAssetBs(14.2%9%5.2%).

138Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

P527. LG6:ShiftsintheSecurityMarketLine
Challenge
(a),(b),(c),(d)
SecurityMarketLines
20

SMLd
SMLa
SMLc

Asset A

18
16
14

Required
Return(%)

12
10
8
6
4

Asset A

2
0
0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.2

1.4

NondiversifiableRisk(Beta)

1.6

1.8

(b) kjRF[bj(kmRF)]
kA8%[1.1(12%8%)]
kA8%4.4%
kA12.4%
(c) kA6%[1.1(10%6%)]
kA6%4.4%
kA10.4%
(d) kA8%[1.1(13%8%)]
kA8%5.5%
kA13.5%
(e) (1) Adecreaseininflationaryexpectationsreducestherequiredreturnasshowninthe
paralleldownwardshiftoftheSML.
(2) Increasedriskaversionresultsinasteeperslope,sinceahigherreturnwouldberequired
foreachlevelofriskasmeasuredbybeta.

Chapter5RiskandReturn139

P528. LG6:IntegrativeRisk,Return,andCAPM
Challenge
(a)
Project

kj

RF[bj(kmRF)]

kj

9%[1.5(14%9%)]

16.5%

kj

9%[0.75(14%9%)]

12.75%

kj

9%[2.0(14%9%)]

19.0%

kj

9%[0(14%9%)]

9.0%

kj

9%[(0.5)(14%9%)]

6.5%

(b)and(d)
SecurityMarketLine
20

SMLb

18

SMLd

16
14

Required
Rateof
Return(%)

12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-1

-0.5

0.5

1.5

2.5

NondiversifiableRisk(Beta)
(c) ProjectAis150%asresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectBis75%asresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectCistwiceasresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectDisunaffectedbymarketmovement.
ProjectEisonlyhalfasresponsiveasthemarket,butmovesintheoppositedirectionasthe
market.

140Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

(d) SeegraphfornewSML.
kA9%[1.5(12%9%)]

13.50%
kB9%[0.75(12%9%)]

11.25%
kC9%[2.0(12%9%)]

15.00%
kD9%[0(12%9%)]

9.00%
kE9%[0.5(12%9%)]

7.50%
(e) ThesteeperslopeofSMLbindicatesahigherriskpremiumthanSMLdforthesemarket
conditions.Wheninvestorriskaversiondeclines,investorsrequirelowerreturnsforany
givenrisklevel(beta).
P529. EthicsProblem
Intermediate
Onewayistoaskhowthecandidatewouldhandleahypotheticalsituation.Onemaygaininsight
intothemoral/ethicalframeworkwithinwhichdecisionsaremade.Anotherapproachistousea
pencilandpaperhonestytestthesearesurprisinglyaccurate,despitetheobviousnotionthatthe
jobcandidatemayattempttogametheexambygivingtherightversustheindividuallyaccurate
responses.Beforeevenadministeringthesituationalinterviewquestionorthetest,askthe
candidatetolistthepreferredattributesofthetypeofcompanyheorsheaspirestoworkfor,and
seeifcharacterandethicstermsemergeinthedescription.Somecompaniesdocredithistory
checks,aftergainingthecandidatesapprovaltodoso.Usingallfourofthesetechniquesallows
onetotriangulatetowardavalidanddefensibleappraisalofacandidateshonestyandintegrity.

Case
Analyzing Risk and Return on Chargers Products Investments
Thiscaserequiresstudentstoreviewandapplytheconceptoftheriskreturntradeoffbyanalyzingtwo
possibleassetinvestmentsusingstandarddeviation,coefficientofvariation,andCAPM.
(a) Expectedrateofreturn: kt

(Pt Pt1 Ct )
Pt1

AssetX:
Year

Cash
Flow(Ct)

Ending
Value(Pt)

Beginning
Value(Pt1)

Gain/
Loss

AnnualRate
ofReturn

1997

$1,000

$22,000

$20,000

$2,000

15.00%

1998

1,500

21,000

22,000

1,000

2.27

1999

1,400

24,000

21,000

3,000

20.95

2000

1,700

22,000

24,000

2,000

1.25

2001

1,900

23,000

22,000

1,000

13.18

2002

1,600

26,000

23,000

3,000

20.00

2003

1,700

25,000

26,000

1,000

2.69

2004

2,000

24,000

25,000

1,000

4.00

2005

2,100

27,000

24,000

3,000

21.25

2006

2,200

30,000

27,000

3,000

19.26

Chapter5RiskandReturn141

AverageexpectedreturnforAssetX11.74%
AssetY:
Beginning
Value(Pt1)

Year

Cash
Flow(Ct)

Ending
Value(Pt)

Gain/
Loss

AnnualRate
ofReturn

1997

$1,500

$20,000

$20,000

$0

1998

1,600

20,000

20,000

8.00

1999

1,700

21,000

20,000

1,000

13.50

2000

1,800

21,000

21,000

8.57

2001

1,900

22,000

21,000

1,000

13.81

2002

2,000

23,000

22,000

1,000

13.64

2003

2,100

23,000

23,000

9.13

2004

2,200

24,000

23,000

1,000

13.91

2005

2,300

25,000

24,000

1,000

13.75

2006

2,400

25,000

25,000

9.60

7.50%

AverageexpectedreturnforAssetY11.14%
(b) k

(k k)
i

(n 1)

i 1

AssetX:
Year

Return
ki

Average
Return,k

(ki k)

(ki k) 2

1997

15.00%

11.74%

3.26%

10.63%

1998

2.27

11.74

9.47

89.68

1999

20.95

11.74

9.21

84.82

2000

1.25

11.74

12.99

168.74

2001

13.18

11.74

1.44

2.07

2002

20.00

11.74

8.26

68.23

2003

2.69

11.74

9.05

81.90

2004

4.00

11.74

7.74

59.91

2005

21.25

11.74

9.51

90.44

2006

19.26

11.74

7.52

56.55
712.97

x
CV

712.97
79.22 8.90%
10 1
8.90
0.76
11.74%

142Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

AssetY:
Year

Return
ki

Average
Return,k

(k i k)

(k i k)2

1997

7.50%

11.14%

3.64%

13.25%

1998

8.00

11.14

3.14

9.86

1999

13.50

11.14

2.36

5.57

2000

8.57

11.14

2.57

6.60

2001

13.81

11.14

2.67

7.13

2002

13.64

11.14

2.50

6.25

2003

9.13

11.14

2.01

4.04

2004

13.91

11.14

2.77

7.67

2005

13.75

11.14

2.61

6.81

2006

9.60

11.14

1.54

2.37
69.55

69.55
7.73 2.78%
10 1
2.78
CV
0.25
11.14%
Y

(c) SummaryStatistics:
AssetX

AssetY

11.74%

11.14%

StandardDeviation

8.90%

2.78%

CoefficientofVariation

0.76

0.25

ExpectedReturn

Comparingtheexpectedreturnscalculatedinpart(a),AssetXprovidesareturnof11.74percent,
onlyslightlyabovethereturnof11.14percentexpectedfromAssetY.Thehigherstandard
deviationandcoefficientofvariationofInvestmentXindicatesgreaterrisk.Withjustthis
information,itisdifficulttodeterminewhetherthe0.60percentdifferenceinreturnisadequate
compensationforthedifferenceinrisk.Basedonthisinformation,however,AssetYappearsto
bethebetterchoice.
(d) Usingthecapitalassetpricingmodel,therequiredreturnoneachassetisasfollows:
CapitalAssetPricingModel:kjRF[bj(kmRF)]
Asset

RF[bj(kmRF)]

kj

7%[1.6(10%7%)]

11.8%

7%[1.1(10%7%)]

10.3%

Chapter5RiskandReturn143

Fromthecalculationsinpart(a),theexpectedreturnforAssetXis11.74%,comparedtoits
requiredreturnof11.8%.Ontheotherhand,AssetYhasanexpectedreturnof11.14%anda
requiredreturnofonly10.8%.ThismakesAssetYthebetterchoice.
(e) Inpart(c),weconcludedthatitwouldbedifficulttomakeachoicebetweenXandYbecausethe
additionalreturnonXmayormaynotprovidetheneededcompensationfortheextrarisk.In
part(d),bycalculatingarequiredrateofreturn,itwaseasytorejectXandselectY.Therequired
returnonAssetXis11.8%,butitsexpectedreturn(11.74%)islower;thereforeAssetXis
unattractive.ForAssetYthereverseistrue,anditisagoodinvestmentvehicle.
Clearly,ChargerProductsisbetteroffusingthestandarddeviationandcoefficientofvariation,
ratherthanastrictlysubjectiveapproach,toassessinvestmentrisk.BetaandCAPM,however,
providealinkbetweenriskandreturn.Theyquantifyriskandconvertitintoarequiredreturn
thatcanbecomparedtotheexpectedreturntodrawadefinitiveconclusionaboutinvestment
acceptability.Contrastingtheconclusionsintheresponsestoquestions(c)and(d)aboveshould
clearlydemonstratewhyJuniorisbetteroffusingbetatoassessrisk.
(f) (1) Increaseinriskfreerateto8%andmarketreturnto11%:
Asset

RF[bj(kmRF)]

8%[1.6(11%8%)]

12.8%

8%[1.1(11%8%)]

11.3%

kj

(2) Decreaseinmarketreturnto9%:
Asset

RF[bj(kmRF)]

kj

7%[1.6(9%7%)]

10.2%

7%[1.1(9%7%)]

9.2%

Insituation(1),therequiredreturnrisesforbothassets,andneitherhasanexpectedreturn
abovethefirmsrequiredreturn.
Withsituation(2),thedropinmarketratecausestherequiredreturntodecreasesothatthe
expectedreturnsofbothassetsareabovetherequiredreturn.However,AssetYprovidesa
largerreturncomparedtoitsrequiredreturn(11.149.201.94),anditdoessowithless
riskthanAssetX.

Group Exercises
Thisexerciseusescurrentinformationfromseveralwebsitesregardingtherecentperformanceofeach
groupsshadowfirm.Thisinformationisthencomparedtoarelevantindex.Thetimeperiodsfor
comparisonare1and5years.Calculatedannualreturnsandbasicgraphicalanalysisbegintheprocessof
comparison.Correlationbetweenthefirmandthemarketisinvestigatedfurtherthroughtheuseofthe
firmsbeta,andtheriskfreerateasrepresentedbythe3monthTreasuryrate.Lastly,thegroupisaskedto
graphthefirmsSMLusingthedatatheycalculated.
Accurateandtimelyinformationisthefirstmessageofthisassignment.Studentsareencouragedtolookat
severalsitesandalsotosearchforothers.Theinformationcontentofthedifferentsitescanthenbe
compared.Thisinformationisthenusedtogetstudentstoseehowbasicstockmarketanalysisisdone.As
always,partsofthisexercisecanbemodifiedordroppedattheadoptersdiscretion.Onesuggestionisto
addothercorporationstothecomparison(s).Also,someofthemorecomplexcalculationscouldbe
eliminated.

144Part2ImportantFinancialConcepts

Answers to Web Exercises


Thisassignmentdriveshomethetopicofinflation.Sinceinflationandfutureexpectationsofinflation
driveinterestrates,thisassignmenttiesinnicelywiththepreviousassignment.Thestudentisdirectedto
theCPIattheBLSWebsite.Thedeliverableisgraphsoninflationthatcanbeusedtocomparethe
patternofinflationtothepreviouslyacquiredgraphsofinterestrates.Asecondpartoftheassignment
coversexchangerates.Thestudentisaskedtoretrieveinformationontheexchangeratesofseveral
currenciesattheWebsiteofhis/herchoosing.

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