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ANALISIS DE COSTOS DEL URBANISMO DEL PROYE

Concepto

Unidad

Cantidad

Malla Vial Intermedia (V5)

m2

51,942

Malla Vial Local (V7 y V9-PE)

m2

22,261

Redes Acueducto

ml

6,493

Redes Alcantarillado

ml

6,493

Redes Aguas Lluvias

ml

6,493

Redes Energia

ml

6,493

Redes Gas

ml

6,493

Parques Publicos

331,507

Cesin para Equipamientos

70,486

1. Costos Directos

Imprevistos por diseo premilinar 5%


2. Costos Indirectos
AIU del 25%
Interventoria

8.5% SOBRE COSTOS DIRECTOS

Estudios y Diseos

4.4% SOBRE COSTOS DIRECTOS


TOTAL COSTOS DE URBANISMO

ANALISIS DE COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIE


Concepto

Unidad

Cantidad

Malla Vial Intermedia (V5)

m2

51,942

Malla Vial Local (V7 y V9-PE)

22,261

Redes Acueducto

ml

6,493

Redes Alcantarillado

ml

6,493

Redes Aguas Lluvias

ml

6,493

Redes Energia

ml

6,493

Redes Gas

ml

6,493

Parques Publicos

m2

331,507

Cesin para Equipamientos

70,486

1. Costos Directos
2

Imprevistos 2.5% y Reservas 2.5%


2. Costos Indirectos
AIU del 25%
Interventoria

8.5% SOBRE COSTOS DIRECTOS


TOTAL COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO / ANUAL

CALCULO DE PLUSVALIA GENERADA MEJORAMIENTO LOTE


Valor residual Suelo til Urbanizado
Costo de Cargas Locales
Valor Residual Suelo til Sin Cargas

$285,589,277,413
$68,945,095,945
$216,644,181,468

Valor Residual sin Cargas/m2 Lote Neto


VALOR GENERADOR DE PLUSVALIA M2 (P2-P1)
rea Suelo Bruto A1
PLUSVALIA A PAGAR (A1X(P2-P1)

$157,904
$93,585
$881,080
$82,455,970,984

S DEL URBANISMO DEL PROYECTO


Vr. Unitario

Subtotal

$216,269

$11,233,406,991

$265,232

$5,904,278,162

$352,260

$2,287,125,434

$528,390

$3,430,688,152

$440,325

$2,858,906,793

$264,195

$1,715,344,076

$176,130

$1,143,562,717

$50,000

$16,575,325,519

$35,000

$2,467,022,880

Total

$17,137,685,153.16

$11,435,627,171.67

$16,575,325,519.06
$2,467,022,880.00
$2,380,783,036.19
$12,499,110,940.02

$4,249,697,719.61
$2,199,843,525.44

RBANISMO

$6,449,541,245.05
$68,945,095,945.16

DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO
Vr Unitario

Valor / mensual

Total

$650

$33,762,166

$900

$20,034,692

$450

$2,921,726

$750

$4,869,543

$350

$2,272,453

$300

$1,947,817

$250

$1,623,181

$95

$31,493,118

$31,493,118.49

$280

$19,736,183

$19,736,183.04

$53,796,857.45

$13,634,720.77

$5,933,043.99
$31,148,480.93
$10,590,483.52

ANTENIMIENTO / ANUAL

$1,995,994,658.17

O&M ANUAL

NTO LOTE
$157,190,444,674
$68,945,095,945
$88,245,348,729

$10,590,483.52

2.90%

$64,319
$93,585
$881,080
$82,455,970,984

In
TOTALES
Factor Indexacin

0
1.00

Ingresos Operativos
Plusvalias Venta Lotes

$37,338,016

$0

Pago en Especie (Vr en Lotes)

$95,267,361

$0

Total Ingresos Operativos

132,605,377

$0

$2,254,840

$1,099,922

$55,164,826

$0

$3,144,249

$0

$14,577,269

$0

$5,612,485

$0

Egresos Operacionales
Estudios y Diseos/Polizas
Costos de Construccin
Imprevistos
AIU 25% Obras Civiles
Interventoria 8,5%
Costos de O&M
Total Egresos Operacionales

$19,715,175

$0

$100,468,844

$1,099,922
$1,099,922

Saldos Operativos
-$43,425,354

$1,099,922

Equity (Inv Riesgo)

20%

$1,099,922

Deuda (Credito Bancario)

80%

$0

Tasa Interes Bancaria

8.92%

$0

VP Necesidades Financieras

Pago Deuda

$0

Saldos Finales

$0

Retornos

$0

Inversion - retornos

-$1,099,922

Vr pte creditos

$9,523,106

vr pte de las inversiones

$33,902,248

TIR Inversin

10.61%
11.31%

Utilidad Negocio

Factibilidad
Costo
Venta
Utilidad Operacional
Inversion
Credito
TIR Operacional
TIR Inversion
Costo Financiero

$82,917,059
$95,354,617
$12,437,559
$9,523,106
$33,902,248
10.36%
10.61%
$11,260,311

Utilidad Final
Utilidad/Costo

$2,872,360

3.46%

$60,000,000

$1,099,922

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$40,000,000

$20,000,000

Axis Title

$0

$20,000,000

$40,000,000

$60,000,000
Axis Title

Ingresos Operativos Desglosados


1

1.05

1.10

1.16

1.22

1.28

1.34

$0

$0

$0

$4,585,848

$4,815,141

$5,055,898

$0

$0

$9,976,571

$10,475,399

$10,999,169

$11,549,128

$0

$0

$9,976,571

$15,061,248

$15,814,310

$16,605,026

$1,154,918

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$17,498,755

$18,373,693

$19,292,378

$249,982

$262,481

$275,605

$289,386

$303,855

$319,048

$0

$62,496

$4,440,309

$4,662,325

$4,895,441

$75,964

$79,762

$446,218

$468,529

$491,956

$516,553

$542,381

$569,500

$0

$0

$770,204

$1,617,429

$2,547,451

$2,674,824

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$24,573,783

$26,611,187

$3,469,651

$3,643,133

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$14,597,212

$11,549,939

$12,344,659

$12,961,892

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$14,597,212

$11,549,939

$0

$0

$382,723

$4,534,015

$2,919,442

$2,309,988

$0

$0

$1,530,891

$18,136,060

$11,677,770

$9,239,951

$0

$0

$1,667,370

$21,568,906

$36,210,617

$49,502,486

$53,915,633

$45,277,026

$0

$0

$0

$0

$12,344,659

$12,961,892

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

-$382,723

-$4,534,015

-$2,919,442

-$2,309,988

$0

$0

0.1978541171
0.1207766182

0.0639347854

$24,573,783

$5,909,060

$30,676,608

$32,210,438

$1,483,402

$1,557,573

10

Row 29
Row 17
Row 60

Axis Title

TIR OPERACIONAL
VNA NECESIDADES

10

1.41

1.48

1.55

1.63

$5,308,693

$5,574,127

$5,852,834

$6,145,475

$26,409,521

$12,126,584

$12,732,913

$13,369,559

$14,038,037

$68,945,096

$17,435,277

$18,307,041

$19,222,393

$20,183,512

$95,354,617.34
VPN AO 0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$2,199,844

$0

$0

$0

$0

$47,615,661

$335,000

$351,750

$369,338

$387,804

$2,380,783

$83,750

$87,938

$92,334

$96,951

$12,499,111

$597,975

$627,874

$659,268

$692,231

$4,249,698

$2,808,565

$2,948,993

$3,096,443

$3,251,265

$13,971,963

$3,825,290

$4,016,555

$4,217,382

$4,428,252

$82,917,059

$13,609,987

$14,290,486

$15,005,010

$15,755,261

$12,437,559

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$35,196,028

$23,510,437

$10,041,910

$0

$13,609,987

$14,290,486

$10,041,910

$0

$0

$0

$4,963,100

$15,755,261

$0

$0

$4,963,100

$15,755,261

$0

$0

$4,963,100

$15,755,261

26409521.39003
68945095.94516

10

10

$1,635,451

$1,717,224

Row 29
Row 17
Row 60

10.360%
-$43,425,354.23

$5,281,904
$26,409,521

$0.00
UTI 15%
$95,354,617

$12,437,559

TOTAL
DEUDA

3772788.7700049
$8,618,137

$0.00

$0.00

Supuestos Macroeconomicos
Indice de Inflacin Promedio

5.0%

D.T.F.

6.0%

Sobretasa/Spread

2.8%

Tasa Interes

8.9%

Periodo de Gracia

3 aos

Periodo de Credito

10

TIR NOMINAL DESEADA


Duracin Contrato
Periodos de Credito
Cosos Diseos Gestion y Polizas
Costo de Construccin
Costo por Riesgos asumidos
Costo final
Costo O&M etapa Preliminar
Costo O&M etapa 1
Costo O&M etapa 2
Costo O&M etapa 3
Aportes Gobierno
Inversion de riesgo (Equity)
Inversion de Deuda

In
TOTALES
Factor Indexacin

0
1.00

Ingresos Operativos
Plusvalias Venta Lotes

$37,338,016

$0

Pago en Especie (Vr en Lotes)

$95,267,361

$0

Total Ingresos Operativos

132,605,377

$0

$2,254,840

$1,099,922

$55,164,826

$0

$3,144,249

$0

$14,577,269

$0

$5,612,485

$0

Egresos Operacionales
Estudios y Diseos/Polizas
Costos de Construccin
Imprevistos
AIU 25% Obras Civiles
Interventoria 8,5%
Costos de O&M
Total Egresos Operacionales

$19,715,175

$0

$100,468,844

$1,099,922
$1,099,922

Saldos Operativos
-$43,425,354

$1,099,922

Equity (Inv Riesgo)

20%

$1,099,922

Deuda (Credito Bancario)

80%

$0

Tasa Interes Bancaria

8.92%

$0

VP Necesidades Financieras

Pago Deuda

$0

Saldos Finales

$0

Retornos

$0

Inversion - retornos

-$1,099,922

Vr pte creditos

$9,523,106

vr pte de las inversiones

$33,902,248

TIR Inversin

10.61%
11.31%

Utilidad Negocio

Factibilidad
Costo
Venta
Utilidad Operacional
Inversion
Credito
TIR Operacional
TIR Inversion
Costo Financiero

$82,917,059
$95,354,617
$12,437,559
$9,523,106
$33,902,248
10.36%
10.61%
$11,260,311

Utilidad Final
Utilidad/Costo

$2,872,360

3.46%

$60,000,000

$1,099,922

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$40,000,000

$20,000,000

Axis Title

$0

$20,000,000

$40,000,000

$60,000,000
Axis Title

Ingresos Operativos Desglosados


1

1.05

1.10

1.16

1.22

1.28

1.34

$0

$0

$0

$4,585,848

$4,815,141

$5,055,898

$0

$0

$9,976,571

$10,475,399

$10,999,169

$11,549,128

$0

$0

$9,976,571

$15,061,248

$15,814,310

$16,605,026

$1,154,918

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$17,498,755

$18,373,693

$19,292,378

$249,982

$262,481

$275,605

$289,386

$303,855

$319,048

$0

$62,496

$4,440,309

$4,662,325

$4,895,441

$75,964

$79,762

$446,218

$468,529

$491,956

$516,553

$542,381

$569,500

$0

$0

$770,204

$1,617,429

$2,547,451

$2,674,824

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$24,573,783

$26,611,187

$3,469,651

$3,643,133

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$14,597,212

$11,549,939

$12,344,659

$12,961,892

$1,913,614

$22,670,075

$14,597,212

$11,549,939

$0

$0

$382,723

$4,534,015

$2,919,442

$2,309,988

$0

$0

$1,530,891

$18,136,060

$11,677,770

$9,239,951

$0

$0

$1,667,370

$21,568,906

$36,210,617

$49,502,486

$53,915,633

$45,277,026

$0

$0

$0

$0

$12,344,659

$12,961,892

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

-$382,723

-$4,534,015

-$2,919,442

-$2,309,988

$0

$0

19.79%
12.08%

0.0639347854

$24,573,783

$5,909,060

$30,676,608

$32,210,438

$1,483,402

$1,557,573

10

Row 29
Row 17
Row 60

Axis Title

TIR OPERACIONAL
VNA NECESIDADES

10

1.41

1.48

1.55

1.63

$5,308,693

$5,574,127

$5,852,834

$6,145,475

$26,409,521

$12,126,584

$12,732,913

$13,369,559

$14,038,037

$68,945,096

$17,435,277

$18,307,041

$19,222,393

$20,183,512

$95,354,617.34
VPN AO 0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$2,199,844

$0

$0

$0

$0

$47,615,661

$335,000

$351,750

$369,338

$387,804

$2,380,783

$83,750

$87,938

$92,334

$96,951

$12,499,111

$597,975

$627,874

$659,268

$692,231

$4,249,698

$2,808,565

$2,948,993

$3,096,443

$3,251,265

$13,971,963

$3,825,290

$4,016,555

$4,217,382

$4,428,252

$82,917,059

$13,609,987

$14,290,486

$15,005,010

$15,755,261

$12,437,559

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$35,196,028

$23,510,437

$10,041,910

$0

$13,609,987

$14,290,486

$10,041,910

$0

$0

$0

$4,963,100

$15,755,261

$0

$0

$4,963,100

$15,755,261

$0

$0

$4,963,100

$15,755,261

26409521.39003
68945095.94516

10

10

$1,635,451

$1,717,224

Row 29
Row 17
Row 60

10.360%
-$43,425,354.23

$5,281,904
$26,409,521

$0.00
UTI 15%
$95,354,617

$12,437,559

TOTAL
DEUDA

3772788.7700049
$8,618,137

$0.00

$0.00